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25D+C 6/02
Egypt, said the eminent Greek historian
Herodotus, is “the gift of the Nile.” This is
not an overstatement since without the
Nile, the country as we know it, simply
wouldnotexist.TheimportanceoftheNile
to the survival of the country was reiterat-
ed by Napoleon during the French occu-
pation of Egypt. He said: “If I were to rule
a country like Egypt, not a single drop of
water be allowed to flow into the Mediter-
ranean.”
Throughout history, the Egyptians have
harnessed the water of the Nile. They built
a very successful civilisation on the banks
of the Nile. Even now, after harnessing the
full flow of the Nile, only about 4 per cent
of the land area of the country, mainly
stretched as narrow strips on both sides
of the Nile, are arable: the rest of the coun-
try is basically a desert.
Of all the dams in the world, the Aswan
High Dam is unquestionably most well-
known. It is also the most vilified dam in
the world. An important question that has
never been asked is why this dam is so
well-known globally, when there are many
other dams, which are much larger and/or
more spectacular. Engineering-wise, it is
a somewhat average dam. It is not as awe-
insprising as the Ataturk Dam in Turkey, or
not as spectacular as many other much
smaller dams like the Yagisawa Dam in Ja-
pan. Yet, very few people outside Japan
have ever heard of Yagisawa Dam. Even
in Japan, the Aswan Dam is better known
than the Yagisawa Dam. The logical ques-
tion then to ask is why this anomaly ex-
ists? This is a question that has never been
asked, let alone answered.
Politics of the Aswan Dam
To understand this anomaly, it is nec-
essary to analyse the hydropolitics that
engulfed the construction of this dam. On
the basis of the research carried out at the
Third World Centre for Water Management
in Mexico, it is now becoming evident that
much of this can be explained by the
superpower rivalries between the United
States and the Soviet Union. The Aswan
Dam became a victim of the Cold War be-
cause of the hydropolitics that were asso-
ciated with it. Irrespective of its overall
benefits and costs, this superpower rival-
ry of the past was instrumental to make
the dam famous and also in giving it a bad
name, which has prevailed to date.
The facts are as follows. The United
States had initially agreed with the Egyp-
tian President Gamal Abdel Nasser to pro-
vide the necessary funding for the con-
struction of the dam. However, for a varie-
ty of reasons, the USA was displeased
with President Nasser, and on July 19,
1956, a letter announcing the withdrawal
of the American offer to finance the dam
was handed to the Egyptian Ambassador
in Washington. This was not unexpected,
since by this time Nasser was convinced
that the Americans would decline to fi-
nance the dam. A week after this official
letter was received, Nasser declared in a
speechinAlexandriatocommemoratethe
departure of King Farouk from Egypt that
the High Dam would be built by Egypt and
paid for out of the revenues of the Suez
Canal. He went on to say: “We have tak-
en this decision to restore part of the glo-
ries of the past, and to safeguard our na-
tional dignity and pride”
As Mohammed Heikal, a confident of
President Nasser, said later: “After the
West had fumbled and failed it was the So-
viets who had stepped into the breach,
and with their money and their skills had
built the ‘new pyramid’…”
When the construction of the Aswan
High Dam was completed, the General
Secretary of the Central Committee of the
Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Ni-
kita Khruschev, sent an informal message
to President Nasser requesting that he be
officially invited to participate in the open-
ing ceremony of the Dam. This invitation
was extended to him and this became the
first visit of the General Secretary to any
Arab or African country. During the open-
ing ceremony, Khruschev declared that
the Soviet Union would “drown capital-
ism” in the African continent, and the So-
viet assistance to construct the Dam was
the beginning of this process.
The superpower politics over the con-
struction of the Aswan Dam generated
considerable media and public interest in
the West, as well as in other parts of the
world. This contributed to the global
awareness of this dam.
Soon after the dam was constructed,
several American journalists published a
series of articles condemning it because
of its adverse social, environmental and
economicimpacts.Sincetheconstruction
of this dam was completed before any
country in the world required environmen-
tal impact assessment (EIAs), or metho-
dologies were even available for carrying
out EIAs, not surprisingly no environmen-
tal impact studies were conducted. Ac-
cordingly, all these published opinions
were of course at best only conjectures,
since the real impacts, both positive and
negative, were unknown as there was no
systematic analysis or monitoring of such
impacts. It is now well known that the in-
telligence agencies of both the two super-
powers at that time routinely used some
journalists and academics to plant stories
that were detrimental to the other side. To
what extent dirty tricks were used to den-
Asit K. Biswas
The Aswan High Dam across the
mighty river Nile is perhaps one of
the most controversial of the
existing big dams in the world.
Political, economic and
environmental arguments have
been raised against it ever since
its construction in the early 1960s.
But Asit K. Biswas, after a careful
evaluation of the dam’s impact on
Egypt, concludes that it has been
overwhelmingly beneficial to the
country.
Aswan Dam Revisited
The Benefits of a Much-Maligned Dam
From time immemorial, the Nile has been
Egypt’s lifeline.
Photo:GMP
igrate the reputation of the Aswan
Dam because it was constructed with
Soviet help, and also because it was
the first major Soviet-assisted struc-
ture in Africa, will probably never be
known definitively. However, to a very
significant extent, the current bad im-
age of the Aswan dam in the West
and the rest of the world could be
traced to these early journalistic writ-
ings which were accepted at face
value by people outside Egypt, even
though most were misleading at
best, and incorrect at worst.
In retrospect, the high-profile
media articles which focused exclu-
sively on the so-called negative en-
vironmental impacts of the Aswan
High Dam found a receptive audi-
ence in the West, many of whom
were already convinced at that time
that such large development pro-
jects could only be environmental
disasters. Very few, if any, people
realised that the articles were
based on suppositions rather than
facts, and it was highly likely that
many such stories were ‘planted’
by the intelligence agencies. Not
surprisingly, most of these stories
were later found to be incorrect.
These writings in the US me-
dia simply reinforced the prevail-
ing biases such as ‘small is
beautiful’, and ensured that the
Dam became a cause célebre
among the newly emerging envi-
ronmental movement as a prom-
inent example of a bad, large de-
velopment project. Irrespective
of detailed studies later, which
refuted most of the earlier short-
comings of the structure, the
legend of the Aswan High Dam
has continued to live until the
present day. The detailed stud-
ies that were carried out in the
1980s and early 1990s on the
actual impacts of the dam with
the support of the Canadian International
Development Agency (CIDA) are only
known to the very few people who were
directly associated with this project. The
CIDA-assisted studies indicated that con-
trary to the popular belief that the Aswan
Dam was a ‘complete disaster’, it was ac-
tually one of the best dams in the world
because of the very substantial overall
benefits it brought to the country and its
people.
The myths surrounding the Aswan High
Dam have been repeated so many times
that these are now accepted as facts, es-
pecially outside Egypt. In reality, evidence
indicates that Aswan has been remarkably
successful dam, without which Egypt
would have been in dire economic straits.
It has unquestionably contributed to some
adverse environmental impacts as well as
to many positive ones. Not surprisingly,
the Executive Director of the United Na-
tions Environment Programme, Dr. Mos-
tafa Kamal Tolba, concluded in 1988: “-
The real question can no longer be wheth-
er the Aswan Dam should have been ev-
er built, since without it the Egyptians
would have been facing a continuing ec-
onomic and social catastrophe over the
past three decades, but rather what steps
should have been taken to maximise fur-
ther the positive socio-environmental
benefits and reduce the negative
ones so that the net benefit to the
Egyptian people could have been
even higher.”
Economic benefits
The dams economic benefits
have never been in doubt. At the
time of its construction, total cost,
including subsidiary projects and
the extension of electric power
lines, amounted to Egyptian £450
million. This is estimated to have
been recovered within only two
years, since its annual return to the
national income was estimated at
E£255 million: E£140 million from
agricultural production, E£100 mil-
lion from hydropower generation,
E£10 million from flood protection,
and E£5 million from improved
navigation. Viewed from any an-
gle, these are remarkable eco-
nomic returns from any develop-
ment project.
The importance of the dam to
Egypt’s economic survival was
clearly demonstrated in the
1980s. It is not difficult to see
whatwouldhavehappenedtothe
Egyptian economy and its social-
political conditions if the Dam
had not been there to protect the
country from first, the potentially
catastrophic impact of nine
years of continued drought from
1979 to 1988; and second the
abnormally high summer flood
of 1988 (which had devastating
impacts on another Nile Basin
country, Sudan). Even with the
Dam, Egypt had come perilous-
ly close to feeling the catas-
trophic impacts of the drought
in 1988, due to a dangerously
low water level in the High Dam
Lake. There can be no doubt
that if the drought had contin-
ued for another few years, even
the Aswan High Dam would not have been
able to protect Egypt from its ravages.
Impact on downstream areas
Clearly, construction of the Dam has
changed the hydraulic regime of the river
downstream. In effect, it has become a
“glorified canal”, since its water flows to-
tally controlled by a series of dams and
barrages. Canalisation of the river has re-
duced its length. Similarly, the number of
islands in the river has declined from 150
before the Dam to 36 at present.
Amajorenvironmentalconcernwasthe
potential drop in river-bed level down-
stream of the Dam as the result of serious
D+C 6/0226
erosion caused by the flow of silt-free wa-
ter (silt is now deposited behind the dam)
Estimates by various national and interna-
tional experts put this drop at between 3
and 8.5 metres. The actual drop has now
been measured at less than 15 per cent of
the lowest estimate.
Prior to the construction of the Dam, silt
used to be spread over land or carried to
the Mediterranean delta. It is estimated
that each year floods used to deposit 12
million tonnes of silt on land along the Nile.
The reduction in soil fertility due to the loss
of the nitrogenous component of the silt
now has to be compensated for by the an-
nual addition of some 13,000 tonnes of
lime-nitrate fertiliser.
The Egyptians had been taming the
River Nile long before the construction of
the Aswan High Dam, and coastal erosion
intheNileDeltawasfirstobservedin1898,
when the first manmade structures start-
ed to control the river’s flow. This erosion
accelerated after the construction of the
Dam. Appropriate measures have been
taken, or are being implemented, to miti-
gate the effect of the coastal erosion.
Waterlogging and disease
Over-irrigation and other inefficient us-
es of water, bad land levelling and the in-
tensification of cropping patterns have
contributed to an increase in the ground-
water level of irrigation areas. Absence of
proper drainage in the past contributed to
the development of salinity and waterlog-
ging, which reduced land productivity.
Egypt then embarked on an ambitious
programme of providing drainage in 2 mil-
lion ha, where productivity has increased
by 15-30 per cent depending on soil con-
ditions.
Following the construction of the Dam,
the fish catch in the Mediterranean de-
clined from 22,618 tonnes in 1968 to
10,300 tones in 1972. By 1980, it had re-
covered to 13,450 tonnes. However, what
is not generally recognised is that the High
Dam Lake created a completely new
source of fish, and, by 1982, was produc-
ing 32,000 tonnes annually, more than
compensating for the loss in the Mediter-
ranean catch.
The Aswan High Dam has been widely
blamed for an increase in schistosomia-
sis. It is now clear that in most cases schis-
tosomiasis infection occurred not during
irrigation, but during human contact with
canal water due to the absence of water-
supply and sanitation facilities. Provision
of basic services like clean water, sanita-
tion, health education and rural clinics has
reduced the overall prevalences of schis-
tosomiasis from more than 40 per cent
during the pre-dam period to only 10.7 per
cent in 1991. It is expected that this figure
will continue to fall, dropping below 5 per
cent, at which point the disease will no
longer be considered endemic for the first
time in centuries.
Balanced assessment
An objective evaluation of the impacts
of the Aswan High Dam based on over 30
years of operational data clearly indicates
that it has been overwhelming positive. Al-
though the Dam has contributed to some
environmental problems, these have
proved to be significantly less severe than
was generally expected, or currently be-
lieved by many people. In retrospect, the
Aswan High Dam deserves much more
credit than it has received thus far for its
significant beneficial contributions to
Egypt’s overall social and economic de-
velopment.
The Third World Centre for Water management is
now conducting a major study on the actual eco-
nomic, social, and environmental impacts of the As-
wan High Dam Ataturk Dam in Turkey and Bhakra-
Nangal Dam in India, with the support of the Nippon
Foundation of Japan. The present report is based on
the initial finding of this assessment project.
Prof. Asit K. Biswas is the President of the Third
World Centre for Water Management in Mexico. For-
mer President of International Water Resources As-
sociation, he was a Member of the World Commis-
sion on Water, and Senior Advisor to the Executive
Director of UNEP for 19 years. His work has now
been translated into 31 languages.
27D+C 6/02

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Aswan dam. reliable estimation of aswan dam by prof. biswas (3 p.)

  • 1. 25D+C 6/02 Egypt, said the eminent Greek historian Herodotus, is “the gift of the Nile.” This is not an overstatement since without the Nile, the country as we know it, simply wouldnotexist.TheimportanceoftheNile to the survival of the country was reiterat- ed by Napoleon during the French occu- pation of Egypt. He said: “If I were to rule a country like Egypt, not a single drop of water be allowed to flow into the Mediter- ranean.” Throughout history, the Egyptians have harnessed the water of the Nile. They built a very successful civilisation on the banks of the Nile. Even now, after harnessing the full flow of the Nile, only about 4 per cent of the land area of the country, mainly stretched as narrow strips on both sides of the Nile, are arable: the rest of the coun- try is basically a desert. Of all the dams in the world, the Aswan High Dam is unquestionably most well- known. It is also the most vilified dam in the world. An important question that has never been asked is why this dam is so well-known globally, when there are many other dams, which are much larger and/or more spectacular. Engineering-wise, it is a somewhat average dam. It is not as awe- insprising as the Ataturk Dam in Turkey, or not as spectacular as many other much smaller dams like the Yagisawa Dam in Ja- pan. Yet, very few people outside Japan have ever heard of Yagisawa Dam. Even in Japan, the Aswan Dam is better known than the Yagisawa Dam. The logical ques- tion then to ask is why this anomaly ex- ists? This is a question that has never been asked, let alone answered. Politics of the Aswan Dam To understand this anomaly, it is nec- essary to analyse the hydropolitics that engulfed the construction of this dam. On the basis of the research carried out at the Third World Centre for Water Management in Mexico, it is now becoming evident that much of this can be explained by the superpower rivalries between the United States and the Soviet Union. The Aswan Dam became a victim of the Cold War be- cause of the hydropolitics that were asso- ciated with it. Irrespective of its overall benefits and costs, this superpower rival- ry of the past was instrumental to make the dam famous and also in giving it a bad name, which has prevailed to date. The facts are as follows. The United States had initially agreed with the Egyp- tian President Gamal Abdel Nasser to pro- vide the necessary funding for the con- struction of the dam. However, for a varie- ty of reasons, the USA was displeased with President Nasser, and on July 19, 1956, a letter announcing the withdrawal of the American offer to finance the dam was handed to the Egyptian Ambassador in Washington. This was not unexpected, since by this time Nasser was convinced that the Americans would decline to fi- nance the dam. A week after this official letter was received, Nasser declared in a speechinAlexandriatocommemoratethe departure of King Farouk from Egypt that the High Dam would be built by Egypt and paid for out of the revenues of the Suez Canal. He went on to say: “We have tak- en this decision to restore part of the glo- ries of the past, and to safeguard our na- tional dignity and pride” As Mohammed Heikal, a confident of President Nasser, said later: “After the West had fumbled and failed it was the So- viets who had stepped into the breach, and with their money and their skills had built the ‘new pyramid’…” When the construction of the Aswan High Dam was completed, the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Ni- kita Khruschev, sent an informal message to President Nasser requesting that he be officially invited to participate in the open- ing ceremony of the Dam. This invitation was extended to him and this became the first visit of the General Secretary to any Arab or African country. During the open- ing ceremony, Khruschev declared that the Soviet Union would “drown capital- ism” in the African continent, and the So- viet assistance to construct the Dam was the beginning of this process. The superpower politics over the con- struction of the Aswan Dam generated considerable media and public interest in the West, as well as in other parts of the world. This contributed to the global awareness of this dam. Soon after the dam was constructed, several American journalists published a series of articles condemning it because of its adverse social, environmental and economicimpacts.Sincetheconstruction of this dam was completed before any country in the world required environmen- tal impact assessment (EIAs), or metho- dologies were even available for carrying out EIAs, not surprisingly no environmen- tal impact studies were conducted. Ac- cordingly, all these published opinions were of course at best only conjectures, since the real impacts, both positive and negative, were unknown as there was no systematic analysis or monitoring of such impacts. It is now well known that the in- telligence agencies of both the two super- powers at that time routinely used some journalists and academics to plant stories that were detrimental to the other side. To what extent dirty tricks were used to den- Asit K. Biswas The Aswan High Dam across the mighty river Nile is perhaps one of the most controversial of the existing big dams in the world. Political, economic and environmental arguments have been raised against it ever since its construction in the early 1960s. But Asit K. Biswas, after a careful evaluation of the dam’s impact on Egypt, concludes that it has been overwhelmingly beneficial to the country. Aswan Dam Revisited The Benefits of a Much-Maligned Dam From time immemorial, the Nile has been Egypt’s lifeline. Photo:GMP
  • 2. igrate the reputation of the Aswan Dam because it was constructed with Soviet help, and also because it was the first major Soviet-assisted struc- ture in Africa, will probably never be known definitively. However, to a very significant extent, the current bad im- age of the Aswan dam in the West and the rest of the world could be traced to these early journalistic writ- ings which were accepted at face value by people outside Egypt, even though most were misleading at best, and incorrect at worst. In retrospect, the high-profile media articles which focused exclu- sively on the so-called negative en- vironmental impacts of the Aswan High Dam found a receptive audi- ence in the West, many of whom were already convinced at that time that such large development pro- jects could only be environmental disasters. Very few, if any, people realised that the articles were based on suppositions rather than facts, and it was highly likely that many such stories were ‘planted’ by the intelligence agencies. Not surprisingly, most of these stories were later found to be incorrect. These writings in the US me- dia simply reinforced the prevail- ing biases such as ‘small is beautiful’, and ensured that the Dam became a cause célebre among the newly emerging envi- ronmental movement as a prom- inent example of a bad, large de- velopment project. Irrespective of detailed studies later, which refuted most of the earlier short- comings of the structure, the legend of the Aswan High Dam has continued to live until the present day. The detailed stud- ies that were carried out in the 1980s and early 1990s on the actual impacts of the dam with the support of the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) are only known to the very few people who were directly associated with this project. The CIDA-assisted studies indicated that con- trary to the popular belief that the Aswan Dam was a ‘complete disaster’, it was ac- tually one of the best dams in the world because of the very substantial overall benefits it brought to the country and its people. The myths surrounding the Aswan High Dam have been repeated so many times that these are now accepted as facts, es- pecially outside Egypt. In reality, evidence indicates that Aswan has been remarkably successful dam, without which Egypt would have been in dire economic straits. It has unquestionably contributed to some adverse environmental impacts as well as to many positive ones. Not surprisingly, the Executive Director of the United Na- tions Environment Programme, Dr. Mos- tafa Kamal Tolba, concluded in 1988: “- The real question can no longer be wheth- er the Aswan Dam should have been ev- er built, since without it the Egyptians would have been facing a continuing ec- onomic and social catastrophe over the past three decades, but rather what steps should have been taken to maximise fur- ther the positive socio-environmental benefits and reduce the negative ones so that the net benefit to the Egyptian people could have been even higher.” Economic benefits The dams economic benefits have never been in doubt. At the time of its construction, total cost, including subsidiary projects and the extension of electric power lines, amounted to Egyptian £450 million. This is estimated to have been recovered within only two years, since its annual return to the national income was estimated at E£255 million: E£140 million from agricultural production, E£100 mil- lion from hydropower generation, E£10 million from flood protection, and E£5 million from improved navigation. Viewed from any an- gle, these are remarkable eco- nomic returns from any develop- ment project. The importance of the dam to Egypt’s economic survival was clearly demonstrated in the 1980s. It is not difficult to see whatwouldhavehappenedtothe Egyptian economy and its social- political conditions if the Dam had not been there to protect the country from first, the potentially catastrophic impact of nine years of continued drought from 1979 to 1988; and second the abnormally high summer flood of 1988 (which had devastating impacts on another Nile Basin country, Sudan). Even with the Dam, Egypt had come perilous- ly close to feeling the catas- trophic impacts of the drought in 1988, due to a dangerously low water level in the High Dam Lake. There can be no doubt that if the drought had contin- ued for another few years, even the Aswan High Dam would not have been able to protect Egypt from its ravages. Impact on downstream areas Clearly, construction of the Dam has changed the hydraulic regime of the river downstream. In effect, it has become a “glorified canal”, since its water flows to- tally controlled by a series of dams and barrages. Canalisation of the river has re- duced its length. Similarly, the number of islands in the river has declined from 150 before the Dam to 36 at present. Amajorenvironmentalconcernwasthe potential drop in river-bed level down- stream of the Dam as the result of serious D+C 6/0226
  • 3. erosion caused by the flow of silt-free wa- ter (silt is now deposited behind the dam) Estimates by various national and interna- tional experts put this drop at between 3 and 8.5 metres. The actual drop has now been measured at less than 15 per cent of the lowest estimate. Prior to the construction of the Dam, silt used to be spread over land or carried to the Mediterranean delta. It is estimated that each year floods used to deposit 12 million tonnes of silt on land along the Nile. The reduction in soil fertility due to the loss of the nitrogenous component of the silt now has to be compensated for by the an- nual addition of some 13,000 tonnes of lime-nitrate fertiliser. The Egyptians had been taming the River Nile long before the construction of the Aswan High Dam, and coastal erosion intheNileDeltawasfirstobservedin1898, when the first manmade structures start- ed to control the river’s flow. This erosion accelerated after the construction of the Dam. Appropriate measures have been taken, or are being implemented, to miti- gate the effect of the coastal erosion. Waterlogging and disease Over-irrigation and other inefficient us- es of water, bad land levelling and the in- tensification of cropping patterns have contributed to an increase in the ground- water level of irrigation areas. Absence of proper drainage in the past contributed to the development of salinity and waterlog- ging, which reduced land productivity. Egypt then embarked on an ambitious programme of providing drainage in 2 mil- lion ha, where productivity has increased by 15-30 per cent depending on soil con- ditions. Following the construction of the Dam, the fish catch in the Mediterranean de- clined from 22,618 tonnes in 1968 to 10,300 tones in 1972. By 1980, it had re- covered to 13,450 tonnes. However, what is not generally recognised is that the High Dam Lake created a completely new source of fish, and, by 1982, was produc- ing 32,000 tonnes annually, more than compensating for the loss in the Mediter- ranean catch. The Aswan High Dam has been widely blamed for an increase in schistosomia- sis. It is now clear that in most cases schis- tosomiasis infection occurred not during irrigation, but during human contact with canal water due to the absence of water- supply and sanitation facilities. Provision of basic services like clean water, sanita- tion, health education and rural clinics has reduced the overall prevalences of schis- tosomiasis from more than 40 per cent during the pre-dam period to only 10.7 per cent in 1991. It is expected that this figure will continue to fall, dropping below 5 per cent, at which point the disease will no longer be considered endemic for the first time in centuries. Balanced assessment An objective evaluation of the impacts of the Aswan High Dam based on over 30 years of operational data clearly indicates that it has been overwhelming positive. Al- though the Dam has contributed to some environmental problems, these have proved to be significantly less severe than was generally expected, or currently be- lieved by many people. In retrospect, the Aswan High Dam deserves much more credit than it has received thus far for its significant beneficial contributions to Egypt’s overall social and economic de- velopment. The Third World Centre for Water management is now conducting a major study on the actual eco- nomic, social, and environmental impacts of the As- wan High Dam Ataturk Dam in Turkey and Bhakra- Nangal Dam in India, with the support of the Nippon Foundation of Japan. The present report is based on the initial finding of this assessment project. Prof. Asit K. Biswas is the President of the Third World Centre for Water Management in Mexico. For- mer President of International Water Resources As- sociation, he was a Member of the World Commis- sion on Water, and Senior Advisor to the Executive Director of UNEP for 19 years. His work has now been translated into 31 languages. 27D+C 6/02