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WHAT IS ARAB SPRING ?
THE ARAB SPRING REFERS TO A SERIES OF
VIOLENT AND NON-VIOLENT
REVOLUTIONARY PROTESTS AND
DEMONSTRATIONS TRANSPIRING IN ARAB
COUNTRIES SINCE DECEMBER 18, 2010.
ON 17 DEC 2010
MOHAMMED BOUAZIZI,
TUNISIAN FRUIT-SELLER,
SELF-IMMOLATED TO PROTEST ABUSE
WHAT WAS THE IMMIDIATE CAUSE ?
WHAT WERE THE REASONS ?
•DICTATORSHIP
•ABSOLUTE MONARCHY
•HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS
•CORRUPTION IN THE GOVERNMENT
•ECONOMIC DECLINE
•UNEMPLOYMENT
•EXTREME POVERTY
WHO WERE THE COUNTRIES INVOLVED ?
• UPRISINGS STARTED ON DECEMBER 2010.
• CAUSES:
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT, FOOD PRICE INFLATION,
CORRUPTION, LACK OF FREEDOM OF SPEECH,
POOR LIVING CONDITIONS.
• EFFECTS:
OUSTER OF PRESIDENT BEN ALI ELECTION TO A
COSTITUTIONAL ASSEMBLY
WHAT HAPPENED IN TUNISIA ?
• TOURISTS ARRIVALS DOWN OF 40% IN APRIL
• HIGHER FOOD PRICES
• DECLINING OF CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
• INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 11%
• GDP GROWTH EXPECTED OF 1% IN 2011 LESS
THAN
3,5% OVER THE LAST YEAR
IS THERE ANY ECONOMIC IMPACTS TUNISIA GOT ?
•UPRISINGS STARTED ON 25 JANUARY 2011
•CAUSES :
HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT,FOOD INFLACTION,
CORRUPTION,ELECTORAL FRAUD,LOW
MINIMUN WAGES,STATE EMERGENCY LAW
•POLITICAL EFFECTS:
OVERTHROW OF MUBARAK’S REGIME
WHAT HAPPENED IN EGYPT ?
•TOURISTS ARRIVAL DOWN OF 80% IN APRIL
•INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN OF 24%
•INFLATION RATE AT 12%
•FOOD PRICE UP BY OVER 20%
•GDP GROWTH EXPECTED OF 1% LESS 5%
THAN OVER THE LAST YEAR
IS THERE ANY ECONOMIC IMPACTS EGYPT GOT ?
IS THE GDP CHANGED IN TUNISIA & EGYPT ?
•TO EXCLUDE CHINESE INTERESTS IN NORTH AFRICA
(GEOPOLITICAL STANDPOINT)
•TO CONTROL OIL PRODUCTION (TRADE STANDPOINT)
•TO ELIMINATE MUAMMAR GHADAFI (HISTORICAL STANDPOINT)
•TO IMPLEMENT THE DEMOCRACY (POLITICAL STANDPOINT)
WHY A WAR IN LIBYA ?
Month Value
Sept - 2010 75.93 $
Oct - 2010 76.14
Nov - 2010 84.56
Dec - 2010 90.1
Jan - 2011 92.6
March - 2011 104.42
WHAT HAPPEN TO OIL PRICES ?
• PARALYSIS OF LIBYAN SOVEREIGN FUNDS’
INVESTMENT
IN EU AND USA COUNTRIES
• HIKES OF OIL PRICE
• HIKES OF GLOBAL FOOD PRICES
• LOSS OF INVESTMENT IN ITALY
WHAT WERE THE IMPACTS AROUND THE WORLD ?
• TERMINATION OF TREATY OF FRIENDSHIP
SIGNED
IN 2008
• TERMINATION OF TRADE RELATIONS
• DECREASE IN OIL SUPPLY
• WITHDRAWAL OF SHARES BY LYBIAN
SOVEREIGN FUND IN ITALIAN COMPANIES
HOW THE WAR IMPACTS ITALY ?
• POLITICAL UNCERTAINITY
• GEOPOLITICAL INSTABILITY (ANARCHY)
• SHORTAGE IN THE OIL’ SUPPLY
• HIKES OF OIL’S PRICE
• WHO WILL RULE THE COUNTRY?
WHAT COMES NEXT ?

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Arab spring

  • 1.
  • 2. WHAT IS ARAB SPRING ? THE ARAB SPRING REFERS TO A SERIES OF VIOLENT AND NON-VIOLENT REVOLUTIONARY PROTESTS AND DEMONSTRATIONS TRANSPIRING IN ARAB COUNTRIES SINCE DECEMBER 18, 2010.
  • 3. ON 17 DEC 2010 MOHAMMED BOUAZIZI, TUNISIAN FRUIT-SELLER, SELF-IMMOLATED TO PROTEST ABUSE WHAT WAS THE IMMIDIATE CAUSE ?
  • 4. WHAT WERE THE REASONS ? •DICTATORSHIP •ABSOLUTE MONARCHY •HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS •CORRUPTION IN THE GOVERNMENT •ECONOMIC DECLINE •UNEMPLOYMENT •EXTREME POVERTY
  • 5. WHO WERE THE COUNTRIES INVOLVED ?
  • 6. • UPRISINGS STARTED ON DECEMBER 2010. • CAUSES: HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT, FOOD PRICE INFLATION, CORRUPTION, LACK OF FREEDOM OF SPEECH, POOR LIVING CONDITIONS. • EFFECTS: OUSTER OF PRESIDENT BEN ALI ELECTION TO A COSTITUTIONAL ASSEMBLY WHAT HAPPENED IN TUNISIA ?
  • 7. • TOURISTS ARRIVALS DOWN OF 40% IN APRIL • HIGHER FOOD PRICES • DECLINING OF CONSUMER CONFIDENCE • INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN 11% • GDP GROWTH EXPECTED OF 1% IN 2011 LESS THAN 3,5% OVER THE LAST YEAR IS THERE ANY ECONOMIC IMPACTS TUNISIA GOT ?
  • 8. •UPRISINGS STARTED ON 25 JANUARY 2011 •CAUSES : HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT,FOOD INFLACTION, CORRUPTION,ELECTORAL FRAUD,LOW MINIMUN WAGES,STATE EMERGENCY LAW •POLITICAL EFFECTS: OVERTHROW OF MUBARAK’S REGIME WHAT HAPPENED IN EGYPT ?
  • 9. •TOURISTS ARRIVAL DOWN OF 80% IN APRIL •INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DOWN OF 24% •INFLATION RATE AT 12% •FOOD PRICE UP BY OVER 20% •GDP GROWTH EXPECTED OF 1% LESS 5% THAN OVER THE LAST YEAR IS THERE ANY ECONOMIC IMPACTS EGYPT GOT ?
  • 10. IS THE GDP CHANGED IN TUNISIA & EGYPT ?
  • 11. •TO EXCLUDE CHINESE INTERESTS IN NORTH AFRICA (GEOPOLITICAL STANDPOINT) •TO CONTROL OIL PRODUCTION (TRADE STANDPOINT) •TO ELIMINATE MUAMMAR GHADAFI (HISTORICAL STANDPOINT) •TO IMPLEMENT THE DEMOCRACY (POLITICAL STANDPOINT) WHY A WAR IN LIBYA ?
  • 12. Month Value Sept - 2010 75.93 $ Oct - 2010 76.14 Nov - 2010 84.56 Dec - 2010 90.1 Jan - 2011 92.6 March - 2011 104.42 WHAT HAPPEN TO OIL PRICES ?
  • 13. • PARALYSIS OF LIBYAN SOVEREIGN FUNDS’ INVESTMENT IN EU AND USA COUNTRIES • HIKES OF OIL PRICE • HIKES OF GLOBAL FOOD PRICES • LOSS OF INVESTMENT IN ITALY WHAT WERE THE IMPACTS AROUND THE WORLD ?
  • 14. • TERMINATION OF TREATY OF FRIENDSHIP SIGNED IN 2008 • TERMINATION OF TRADE RELATIONS • DECREASE IN OIL SUPPLY • WITHDRAWAL OF SHARES BY LYBIAN SOVEREIGN FUND IN ITALIAN COMPANIES HOW THE WAR IMPACTS ITALY ?
  • 15. • POLITICAL UNCERTAINITY • GEOPOLITICAL INSTABILITY (ANARCHY) • SHORTAGE IN THE OIL’ SUPPLY • HIKES OF OIL’S PRICE • WHO WILL RULE THE COUNTRY? WHAT COMES NEXT ?