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José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo
CERAWEEK 2010
                                    Petrobras’s CEO
Global Oil Plenary                   March 9th, 2010
1
DISCLAIMER




       The presentation may contain forecasts about future         CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR
       events. Such forecasts merely reflect the                   US INVESTORS
       expectations of the Company's management. Such
       terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast",     The United States Securities and Exchange
       "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with   Commission permits oil and gas companies, in
       similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify      their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved
       such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve         reserves that a company has demonstrated by
       risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by         actual production or conclusive formation tests to
       the Company. Therefore, the future results of               be economically and legally producible under
       operations may differ from current expectations, and        existing economic and operating conditions. We
       readers must not base their expectations exclusively        use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil
       on the information presented herein. The Company is         and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines
       not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts       strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the
       in light of new information or future developments.         SEC.




2
SCENARIOS FOR OIL DEMAND


                                                                     • Expansion of conventional
     1
     20                                                              resources in high potential regions
      10
       1      (MM bpd)                                                  Iraq, Saudi Arabia, West Africa,
                                                                     Caspian Sea
     1
     00
                                                                     • Expansion of conventional
      90                                                             resources in little-explored areas
                                                                     North Africa, Siberia, other areas in
      80
                                                                     the Middle East
      70                                            SUPPLY           • Expansion of production in
      60
                                                  CHALLENGES         Greenfield areas and/or
                                Observed                             environmentally sensitive areas
      50                                                             Pre-Salt, Arctic, Ultra deep water
                                 decline
      40                                                             (USA)

      30
                                                                     • Expansion of production of non
                                                                     conventional oils    Oil Sands
      20                                                             (Canada), Shale Oil (USA),Orinoco
      2000   2005        2010       2015   2020    2025   2030       Strip (Venezuela), Synthetic
                                                                     products (XTL)




                                                                 How to fulfill the gap of oil
                                                                  production in the future



3
NEW DEMANDS FOR SUPPLIERS


    Expansion of production in greenfield areas     Expansion of production of non
      and/or environmentally sensitive areas              conventional oils




                                                  Supply Challenges
                                                  • Rigs and equipments
                                                  • Human resources
                                                  • Environmental constraints
       New Barrels                                • Regulatory environment
                                                  • Geopolitics
       • Higher depth                             • Financial resources
       • Reservoir maturity
       • Non conventional resources
       • Extreme climate conditions


                                                  Demand Adjustment

                                                  •New engines
                                                  • Alternative energy sources
                                                  • Improvements in logistics
                                                  • Scale of operations




4
WORLD PRIMARY ENERGY DEMAND BY FUEL


                                                    2030                           Change 
                                                                                  per annum
                            +1.3% p.y.
                            +1.3% p.y.                685

                                                      6%            Biomass        +1.1% p.a.
                                                      1%
                    2008                                       1%
                                                      7%
                                                                    Solar, wind    +4.2% p.a.
                                                      6%            geothermal
                     515

         0,5%        7%                                             Biofuels       +5.3% p.a.
         0,4%        6%
                                                     29%
                     6%
                                                                    Hydro          +1.4% p.a.
Q BTUs




                    26%
                                                                    Nuclear        +1.2% p.a.
                                                     22%

                    22%                                             Coal           +1.8% p.a.


                                                                    Gas            +1.3% p.a.
                    33%                              29%

                                                                     Oil           +0.7% p.a.

                Source: Business as Usual Scenario Petrobras
                    2008                              2030



           o The demand for oil will continue to be predominant in 2030, however, biofuels will present the
             highest growth rate

5
DEVELOPMENT OF NEXT GENERATION ETHANOL PRODUCTION PROCESSES


                                                           Technology Evolution
               Steps
                                          2006 - 2010               2011 - 2015                 2016 - 2021
               Dissemination of
               technology
                                                                                                      Next Generation
               Deployment of                                                                          Ethanol
               technology
                                                                               Business Strategy
                                                                               Synergy with Distillery - Mill
               Prototype                      Economic efficiency
               (Demonstration)
               Research &
                                           Recombinant microorganism - C5 and C6 fermentation        • World
               Development                 Cellulose production                                      • Brazil
        Trends:
        o   On the short term: investment is concentrated on ethanol from 1st generation from sugar cane
        o   On the long term: increases in Research and Development will help to develop 2nd generation ethanol




6
SHARE OF LIGHT VEHICLES SALES BY ENGINE TECHNOLOGY




                 100%
                   90%
                   80%
                   70%
                   60%
                   50%
                   40%
                   30%
                   20%
                   10%
                     0%
                             2009      20      30   2009   20   30   2009   20    30



                                  ICE Gasoline       ICE Flexfuel    ICE Diesel
                                  Hybrid             Plug-in         Electric

7   Source: Business as Usual Scenario Petrobras
PETROBRAS’ PRODUCTION GROWTH

                                                                                                                              5,729
                                                                                                                                  223

                                                                                                                                  409

                              Petrobras Total Production                                      7.7% p.y.
                                      (x 1000 boe/d)                                                                          1.177
                                                                                                           3,655
                                         5.6% p.y.                                                         131
                                                                                               9.7% p.y.    210
                                                                                      2,525                 634
                                                                           2,400        97
                                                2,217    2,297   2,301
                                                                                       141
                     1,810    2,037 2,020                 101      110       100
           1,635                                 96                          124       316
                        22     85      94                 142      126
            24                                   163                         321
                        35     161     168                277      273                                                        3.920
            44                                   274
                       252     251     265
            232                                                                                            2.680
                                                                             1.855    1,971                                             Pre-Salt
                                                1.684    1.778     1.792
                      1.500   1.540   1.493
           1.335                                                                                                              1,183

                                                                                                           152     Pre-Salt
          2001       2002 2003 2004             2005 2006         2007 2008 2009                .....      2013      ..... 2020


    Oil production - Brazil    Gas production - Brazil     Oil production - International        Gas production - International



      o Petrobras' production growth will contribute to supply the oil demand
8
THE PRE-SALT REGION


Total Area: 149,000 km2
Area Under Concession: 41,772 km2 (28%)
Area Not Under Concession: 107,228 km² (72%)
Area With Petrobras Interest: 35,739 km2 (24%)


Legend:

 Drilled wells (BR non operator)
 Drilled wells (BR operator)
 Pre-Salt reservoirs
 Production fields
 Exploratory blocks




 9
PRE-SALT CAPEX DISTRIBUTION




26%                 18%



                              20%
      36%




                       Gathering    Completion

                       Drilling     Units



10
MAJOR TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS UNDER EVALUATION


                      PLANSAL - Pre-Salt Development Master Plan


                                              Offshore
                                            logistical hub
                       Water-alternating-                       Offshore
                         gas (HC or CO2)                     produced fluid
                            injection                        handling hubs
                                                                            CO2 storage in
            Extended-reach                                                  saline aquifers,
             and deviated                                                 depleted fields, salt
              wells (salt)                                                       caves
                                              Pre-Salt
     Flow Assurance
                                             Definitive                                 Deepwater
      and formation
                                                                                        CALM buoy
     damage control                         Development
           Dry completion
           systems (SPAR,                                                         Reservoir
           TLP, FPDSO, …)                                                      Characterization
                                                              Offshore gas
                         Floating LNG                        storage in salt
                                                                  caves
                                         CO2 separation /
                                        capture technology



11
NEW REGULATORY MODEL




            Production                                                      Transfer
             Sharing                       Pre-salt                   of Rights with
            Agreement                        and                      compensation
                                       Strategic Areas
         Petrobras 100%


         Petrobras Operator
         Other companies
         trough Bidding
         Process



                                                                     Current
            Other Areas                                             Concession
                                                                      Model

     There will be no regulatory changes in the areas under concession, including the
     pre-salt area already granted


12
FINAL REMARKS




                 • Challenging
                 Environments
   New Barrels   • Higher Costs
                 • High level of
                 uncertainty

                                                • Existing stock of
                                                appliances x pace
                                                of substitution
                                    Demand
                                                • Technology
                                   Adjustment   Development
                                                • Policy Incentives
                                                and Regulation
Petrobras in the Gulf of Mexico
• First FPSO and Shuttle Tanker in the US GoM:
       Cascade and Chinook Fields operated by Petrobras
       1st oil in mid 2010

• Technologies that are new to the US GoM:
     FSHR - Free Standing Hybrid Risers
     STMZ - Single Trip Multi-Zone Fracturing of Wells

• Strong presence in Lower Tertiary Discoveries:
  Cascade, Chinook, St Malo, Stones and Tiber
Thank You




            15

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Apresentação do Presidente José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo no Ceraweek 2010 Global Oil Plenary em Houston - Texas (disponível somente em inglês)

  • 1. José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo CERAWEEK 2010 Petrobras’s CEO Global Oil Plenary March 9th, 2010 1
  • 2. DISCLAIMER The presentation may contain forecasts about future CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR events. Such forecasts merely reflect the US INVESTORS expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", The United States Securities and Exchange "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with Commission permits oil and gas companies, in similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve reserves that a company has demonstrated by risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by actual production or conclusive formation tests to the Company. Therefore, the future results of be economically and legally producible under operations may differ from current expectations, and existing economic and operating conditions. We readers must not base their expectations exclusively use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil on the information presented herein. The Company is and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the in light of new information or future developments. SEC. 2
  • 3. SCENARIOS FOR OIL DEMAND • Expansion of conventional 1 20 resources in high potential regions 10 1 (MM bpd) Iraq, Saudi Arabia, West Africa, Caspian Sea 1 00 • Expansion of conventional 90 resources in little-explored areas North Africa, Siberia, other areas in 80 the Middle East 70 SUPPLY • Expansion of production in 60 CHALLENGES Greenfield areas and/or Observed environmentally sensitive areas 50 Pre-Salt, Arctic, Ultra deep water decline 40 (USA) 30 • Expansion of production of non conventional oils Oil Sands 20 (Canada), Shale Oil (USA),Orinoco 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Strip (Venezuela), Synthetic products (XTL) How to fulfill the gap of oil production in the future 3
  • 4. NEW DEMANDS FOR SUPPLIERS Expansion of production in greenfield areas Expansion of production of non and/or environmentally sensitive areas conventional oils Supply Challenges • Rigs and equipments • Human resources • Environmental constraints New Barrels • Regulatory environment • Geopolitics • Higher depth • Financial resources • Reservoir maturity • Non conventional resources • Extreme climate conditions Demand Adjustment •New engines • Alternative energy sources • Improvements in logistics • Scale of operations 4
  • 5. WORLD PRIMARY ENERGY DEMAND BY FUEL 2030 Change  per annum +1.3% p.y. +1.3% p.y. 685 6% Biomass +1.1% p.a. 1% 2008 1% 7% Solar, wind +4.2% p.a. 6% geothermal 515 0,5% 7% Biofuels +5.3% p.a. 0,4% 6% 29% 6% Hydro +1.4% p.a. Q BTUs 26% Nuclear +1.2% p.a. 22% 22% Coal +1.8% p.a. Gas +1.3% p.a. 33% 29% Oil +0.7% p.a. Source: Business as Usual Scenario Petrobras 2008 2030 o The demand for oil will continue to be predominant in 2030, however, biofuels will present the highest growth rate 5
  • 6. DEVELOPMENT OF NEXT GENERATION ETHANOL PRODUCTION PROCESSES Technology Evolution Steps 2006 - 2010 2011 - 2015 2016 - 2021 Dissemination of technology Next Generation Deployment of Ethanol technology Business Strategy Synergy with Distillery - Mill Prototype Economic efficiency (Demonstration) Research & Recombinant microorganism - C5 and C6 fermentation • World Development Cellulose production • Brazil Trends: o On the short term: investment is concentrated on ethanol from 1st generation from sugar cane o On the long term: increases in Research and Development will help to develop 2nd generation ethanol 6
  • 7. SHARE OF LIGHT VEHICLES SALES BY ENGINE TECHNOLOGY 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2009 20 30 2009 20 30 2009 20 30 ICE Gasoline ICE Flexfuel ICE Diesel Hybrid Plug-in Electric 7 Source: Business as Usual Scenario Petrobras
  • 8. PETROBRAS’ PRODUCTION GROWTH 5,729 223 409 Petrobras Total Production 7.7% p.y. (x 1000 boe/d) 1.177 3,655 5.6% p.y. 131 9.7% p.y. 210 2,525 634 2,400 97 2,217 2,297 2,301 141 1,810 2,037 2,020 101 110 100 1,635 96 124 316 22 85 94 142 126 24 163 321 35 161 168 277 273 3.920 44 274 252 251 265 232 2.680 1.855 1,971 Pre-Salt 1.684 1.778 1.792 1.500 1.540 1.493 1.335 1,183 152 Pre-Salt 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ..... 2013 ..... 2020 Oil production - Brazil Gas production - Brazil Oil production - International Gas production - International o Petrobras' production growth will contribute to supply the oil demand 8
  • 9. THE PRE-SALT REGION Total Area: 149,000 km2 Area Under Concession: 41,772 km2 (28%) Area Not Under Concession: 107,228 km² (72%) Area With Petrobras Interest: 35,739 km2 (24%) Legend: Drilled wells (BR non operator) Drilled wells (BR operator) Pre-Salt reservoirs Production fields Exploratory blocks 9
  • 10. PRE-SALT CAPEX DISTRIBUTION 26% 18% 20% 36% Gathering Completion Drilling Units 10
  • 11. MAJOR TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS UNDER EVALUATION PLANSAL - Pre-Salt Development Master Plan Offshore logistical hub Water-alternating- Offshore gas (HC or CO2) produced fluid injection handling hubs CO2 storage in Extended-reach saline aquifers, and deviated depleted fields, salt wells (salt) caves Pre-Salt Flow Assurance Definitive Deepwater and formation CALM buoy damage control Development Dry completion systems (SPAR, Reservoir TLP, FPDSO, …) Characterization Offshore gas Floating LNG storage in salt caves CO2 separation / capture technology 11
  • 12. NEW REGULATORY MODEL Production Transfer Sharing Pre-salt of Rights with Agreement and compensation Strategic Areas Petrobras 100% Petrobras Operator Other companies trough Bidding Process Current Other Areas Concession Model There will be no regulatory changes in the areas under concession, including the pre-salt area already granted 12
  • 13. FINAL REMARKS • Challenging Environments New Barrels • Higher Costs • High level of uncertainty • Existing stock of appliances x pace of substitution Demand • Technology Adjustment Development • Policy Incentives and Regulation
  • 14. Petrobras in the Gulf of Mexico • First FPSO and Shuttle Tanker in the US GoM: Cascade and Chinook Fields operated by Petrobras 1st oil in mid 2010 • Technologies that are new to the US GoM: FSHR - Free Standing Hybrid Risers STMZ - Single Trip Multi-Zone Fracturing of Wells • Strong presence in Lower Tertiary Discoveries: Cascade, Chinook, St Malo, Stones and Tiber
  • 15. Thank You 15