Increasing tsunami preparedness

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Dr. Yong Chen's 2012-14 Oregon Sea Grant-supported project, "An Integrated Engineering-Economic Vulnerability Tool to Increase Tsunami Preparedness in rural Coastal Counties"

Technology

Yong Chen, Patrick Corcoran,
Daniel Cox, and Bruce Weber

 We are on the subduction
zone and vulnerable to
earthquake and tsunamis.

 Well within the window of
recurrence : 312 years since
the last M9.

 Probability: in the next 50
years, 10-14% chance of M9
and 37% chance of M8.

Figure 1. Cascadia Subduction Zone (Source: Wood 2007)

Q: What we wish we had done to prepare for the CSZ event?

Project components:

 Groat, C.G., 2005. Statement of C.G. Groat, Director, US Geological
Survey, US Department of the Interior, Before the Committee of
Science, US House of Representative, January 26,
http://www.usgs.gov/congressional/hearings/testimony_groat_012
62005.asp

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Tsunami 2004

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Increasing tsunami preparedness

1. Yong Chen, Patrick Corcoran, Daniel Cox, and Bruce Weber

2.  We are on the subduction zone and vulnerable to earthquake and tsunamis.  Well within the window of recurrence : 312 years since the last M9.  Probability: in the next 50 years, 10-14% chance of M9 and 37% chance of M8. Figure 1. Cascadia Subduction Zone (Source: Wood 2007)

3. Q: What we wish we had done to prepare for the CSZ event? Project components:

6. Q: What we wish we had done to prepare for the CSZ event? Project components:

7.  Thank you!

8.  Groat, C.G., 2005. Statement of C.G. Groat, Director, US Geological Survey, US Department of the Interior, Before the Committee of Science, US House of Representative, January 26, http://www.usgs.gov/congressional/hearings/testimony_groat_012 62005.asp

Editor's Notes

Japan’s March 11 earthquake in 2011 has the same magnitude.Richard A. Lovett (May 31, 2010), “Risk of giant quake off American west coast goes up”, NatureGoldfinger, C. et al. Turbidite Event History: Methods and Implications for Holocene Paleoseismicity of the CascadiaSubduction Zone. USGS Prof. Pap. 1661-F (USGS, Reston, Virginia, in the press).
We will work closely with Pat to identify local leaders and business owners to engage in this two-year process. We economists need the involvement of local business owners to help us calibrate and refine the economic Input-Output model. In turn, local folks will get an ongoing education about the current structure and flows of the Clatsop County economy. This information is useful in a variety of economic development applications outside of this project. Additionally, property owners in the inundation zone will learn about the relative vulnerability to tsunamis of their existing buildings and structures. The overall goal of the engagement piece is get people thinking now, before the event, about the kinds of things we can do to lessen the negative impact of a tsunami on the local economy, and thereby increase the overall resilience of coastal communities
We will work closely with Pat to identify local leaders and business owners to engage in this two-year process. We economists need the involvement of local business owners to help us calibrate and refine the economic Input-Output model. In turn, local folks will get an ongoing education about the current structure and flows of the Clatsop County economy. This information is useful in a variety of economic development applications outside of this project. Additionally, property owners in the inundation zone will learn about the relative vulnerability to tsunamis of their existing buildings and structures. The overall goal of the engagement piece is get people thinking now, before the event, about the kinds of things we can do to lessen the negative impact of a tsunami on the local economy, and thereby increase the overall resilience of coastal communities
Impact on car prices: http://www.dailyfinance.com/2011/05/16/car-prices-spike-as-japanese-model-shortages-grow/

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