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Alan M. Garber

STANFORD HEALTH POLICY
Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research/School of Medicine
Center for Health Policy/Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies




Royal Society of Medicine, London
20 July, 2011
I doubt the NHS will be able to deliver on all
these demands and expectations. At least on
the present lines of fiscal policy, there won’t be
enough money. There seems to be little
support for higher taxes and no easy source of
funds elsewhere in the budget to raise health
services spending to the level of other northern
European countries.


Alain Enthoven
The challenge health care
poses to the wealthy nations
of the world
The search for efficiency:
three key components
Competition: Accomplish allocative efficiency
with markets or alternatives

Integration: Gain economies of scope and
often scale

Incentives: Getting them right is necessary to
achieve internal and external efficiencies under
imperfect information
Equity and Excellence:
Liberating the NHS

Promote competition and choice
Raise quality
Eliminate layers of bureaucracy
Empower physicians (ie GPs)
Integrate services

Health and Social Care Bill introduced in
January of 2011
From Nuffield Trust, Snapshot Survey of Health Leaders on the Government’s NHS
Reforms, March 2011
Competition and integration
for greater efficiency

“…competition has often been interpreted as
the opposite of integrated services. However, it
is possible to have responsive, joined-up
services working in patients’ interests and
competing for their choice, and this is what we
are seeking to achieve.”


Section 5.3, Government response to the NHS future forum report
Competition
What is the definition of product or service, and
therefore market?

Levels of potential competition in NHS
  Commissioning
  GP services
  Specialist services
  Hospital services
  Community services
  Integrated services
“Competition” does not
always increase choice

Inadequate demand for some choices

Economies of scale
Welfare loss from monopoly
usually results from
increased prices
When more choice isn’t: Any
Willing Provider in U.S.
Is competition good?
Under idealized conditions, competitive markets lead to a
powerful form of optimality

But effects on quality are generally indeterminate

Literature: mixed results, but good studies suggest that
competitive pressures lead to better health outcomes

Competition brings political risk
The role of integration

Integration widely believed to be crucial to
good care

Evidence base heavily tilted toward specific
coordinated care programs

Rand Health Insurance Experiment: capitation
prevents hospitalization. Does result
generalize?
Integration requires scope
and may require scale

Can we tolerate the loss of competition?

Geographic limits on commissioning groups
limit competition
Pricing in an integrated
system is challenging
Incentives

Physician, commissioners as agents
Desire to increase quality
PbR, QOF designed to increase efficiency and
quality of care
“Tariffs based on best clinical practice”
(Government response, section 3.82)
Performance-based incentives
in medicine have had mixed
success
Premier Hospital Quality
Incentive Demonstration
Begun in 2003
Combined financial rewards and public
reporting
2% premium for achieving top decile, 1% for 2nd
decile
(Process) quality improvements maintained for
about first 4 years
Quality and Outcomes
Framework

Sizable incentives for GPs
Targets attained rapidly
Paying for performance    The UK context
                                                  The Quality and Outcomes Framework      The Framework
                                                                       US programmes      Quality of care under the QOF

Results for Years 1-6
Points scored and remuneration


                                           100%                                                                           $40,000
                                           90%
                                                                                                                          $35,000
       Percentage of total points scored




                                           80%
                                                                                                                          $30,000
                                           70%
                                                                                                                          $25,000




                                                                                                                                    Remuneration
                                           60%
                                           50%                                                                            $20,000                  Income

                                           40%                                                                                                     Points
                                                                                                                          $15,000
                                           30%
                                                                                                                          $10,000
                                           20%
                                           10%                                                                            $5,000

                                            0%                                                                            $0
                                                  2004/5     2005/6      2006/7      2007/8    2008/9       2009/10



   From Tim Doran, NHS Information Centre (www.qof.ic.nhs.uk)                            Paying Physicians for Quality
High performance
organizations use a mix of
incentives
Competition, integration,
and incentives: US and UK
approaches to health reform

Goal is better health, not simply more health
 services

Give physicians and hospitals more financial
  responsibility

Measure and reward quality
Competition

In US, competition among health insurers and
   among providers

In UK, competition among providers and
   limited competition among commissioners

Extensive regulatory controls in both nations

Challenges of setting prices
Integration

US: bundled payments and incentives for
creating integrated provider organizations
(ACOs)

UK: some change in payment, change in
commissioner organization
Incentives

Both nations are changing payment mechanisms
– do they go far enough?

Provider acceptance key to changes in payment
What the reforms can tell us




Many unknowns about how to organize and pay
for care – the reforms in both nations will lead
to new information
Competition creates variation – we must learn
from it
Thank you

To the many people who generously gave of
their time and thoughts about the NHS and
NICE, and especially Jennifer Dixon and her
colleagues at Nuffield Trust

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Alan Garber: The quest for efficiency in the English NHS

  • 1. Alan M. Garber STANFORD HEALTH POLICY Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research/School of Medicine Center for Health Policy/Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies Royal Society of Medicine, London 20 July, 2011
  • 2. I doubt the NHS will be able to deliver on all these demands and expectations. At least on the present lines of fiscal policy, there won’t be enough money. There seems to be little support for higher taxes and no easy source of funds elsewhere in the budget to raise health services spending to the level of other northern European countries. Alain Enthoven
  • 3. The challenge health care poses to the wealthy nations of the world
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. The search for efficiency: three key components Competition: Accomplish allocative efficiency with markets or alternatives Integration: Gain economies of scope and often scale Incentives: Getting them right is necessary to achieve internal and external efficiencies under imperfect information
  • 7. Equity and Excellence: Liberating the NHS Promote competition and choice Raise quality Eliminate layers of bureaucracy Empower physicians (ie GPs) Integrate services Health and Social Care Bill introduced in January of 2011
  • 8. From Nuffield Trust, Snapshot Survey of Health Leaders on the Government’s NHS Reforms, March 2011
  • 9.
  • 10. Competition and integration for greater efficiency “…competition has often been interpreted as the opposite of integrated services. However, it is possible to have responsive, joined-up services working in patients’ interests and competing for their choice, and this is what we are seeking to achieve.” Section 5.3, Government response to the NHS future forum report
  • 11. Competition What is the definition of product or service, and therefore market? Levels of potential competition in NHS Commissioning GP services Specialist services Hospital services Community services Integrated services
  • 12. “Competition” does not always increase choice Inadequate demand for some choices Economies of scale
  • 13. Welfare loss from monopoly usually results from increased prices
  • 14. When more choice isn’t: Any Willing Provider in U.S.
  • 15. Is competition good? Under idealized conditions, competitive markets lead to a powerful form of optimality But effects on quality are generally indeterminate Literature: mixed results, but good studies suggest that competitive pressures lead to better health outcomes Competition brings political risk
  • 16. The role of integration Integration widely believed to be crucial to good care Evidence base heavily tilted toward specific coordinated care programs Rand Health Insurance Experiment: capitation prevents hospitalization. Does result generalize?
  • 17. Integration requires scope and may require scale Can we tolerate the loss of competition? Geographic limits on commissioning groups limit competition
  • 18. Pricing in an integrated system is challenging
  • 19. Incentives Physician, commissioners as agents Desire to increase quality PbR, QOF designed to increase efficiency and quality of care “Tariffs based on best clinical practice” (Government response, section 3.82)
  • 21. Premier Hospital Quality Incentive Demonstration Begun in 2003 Combined financial rewards and public reporting 2% premium for achieving top decile, 1% for 2nd decile (Process) quality improvements maintained for about first 4 years
  • 22. Quality and Outcomes Framework Sizable incentives for GPs Targets attained rapidly
  • 23. Paying for performance The UK context The Quality and Outcomes Framework The Framework US programmes Quality of care under the QOF Results for Years 1-6 Points scored and remuneration 100% $40,000 90% $35,000 Percentage of total points scored 80% $30,000 70% $25,000 Remuneration 60% 50% $20,000 Income 40% Points $15,000 30% $10,000 20% 10% $5,000 0% $0 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 From Tim Doran, NHS Information Centre (www.qof.ic.nhs.uk) Paying Physicians for Quality
  • 24. High performance organizations use a mix of incentives
  • 25. Competition, integration, and incentives: US and UK approaches to health reform Goal is better health, not simply more health services Give physicians and hospitals more financial responsibility Measure and reward quality
  • 26. Competition In US, competition among health insurers and among providers In UK, competition among providers and limited competition among commissioners Extensive regulatory controls in both nations Challenges of setting prices
  • 27. Integration US: bundled payments and incentives for creating integrated provider organizations (ACOs) UK: some change in payment, change in commissioner organization
  • 28. Incentives Both nations are changing payment mechanisms – do they go far enough? Provider acceptance key to changes in payment
  • 29. What the reforms can tell us Many unknowns about how to organize and pay for care – the reforms in both nations will lead to new information Competition creates variation – we must learn from it
  • 30. Thank you To the many people who generously gave of their time and thoughts about the NHS and NICE, and especially Jennifer Dixon and her colleagues at Nuffield Trust