Agriculture and Food Sector.pptx
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The document discusses the agriculture and food sector. It provides a biography of Paul Young, a senior data and AI thought leader, and his relevant experience. The remainder of the document consists of an agenda and slides covering topics like agricultural equipment sales, global food prices, the use of technology and data/AI in farming, partnerships between OEMs and technology companies, and using data/AI to streamline the accounting close process.
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Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - April 2023...
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis and Commentary – April 2023
Summary:
The Commerce Department released a report on Wednesday showing new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods surged by much more than expected in March amid a substantial rebound in orders for transportation equipment.
The report said durable goods orders spiked by 3.2 percent in March after tumbling by a revised 1.2 percent in February.
Economists had expected durable goods orders to climb by 0.8 percent compared to the 1.0 percent slump that had been reported for the previous month.
Excluding the jump in orders for transportation equipment, durable goods orders rose by 0.3 percent in March after falling by 0.3 percent in February. Ex-transportation orders were expected to dip by 0.2 percent.
Source – https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/u.s.-durable-goods-orders-surge-much-more-than-expected-in-march
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
Summary
Food costs will continue to be high
Food insecurity will continue to plague governments around the world
Farm equipment sales are expected to be 4.6% through 2027
More and more governments are looking at vertical farming as a possible solution for food supply and security issues
Expert farming through data and AI practices are helping to improve crop yields and food production
What is next for Agriculture Sector - August 2023.pptx
Summary:
Climate crisis could combine with water scarcity and poor farming practices to threaten global agriculture well before the world touches the 1.5*C temperature rise, as per a top United Nations (UN) expert.
Source: https://www.outlookindia.com/international/global-warming-could-cause-major-food-supplies-disruption-even-before-15-c-temperature-rise-top-un-expert-news-310163
Links and sources:
Crop yields - https://www.farmprogress.com/markets-and-quotes/afternoon-market-recap
Equipment - https://www.farm-equipment.com/articles/21584-2024-equipment-outlook-look-for-shallow-trough
Food bankruptcies - https://www.fooddive.com/news/food-bankruptcies-surging-as-companies-struggle-with-shift-in-consumer-habi/688664/
Ag tech - https://www.salon.com/2023/08/09/computer-science-can-help-farmers-explore-alternative-crops-and-sustainable-farming-methods_partner/
Indoor farming risks - https://igrownews.com/unbeleafable-a-sustainable-and-revolution-in-bagged-salads/
Sustainability - https://farmtario.com/news/farmers-show-success-in-marketing-sustainability/
Input costs - https://www.agriculture.com/after-run-up-farmland-prices-may-become-more-stable-7642352 or https://seekingalpha.com/article/4626431-will-the-convergence-between-artificial-intelligence-and-precision-agriculture-lower-farming-costs
Greenhouses - https://www.greenhousegrower.com/technology/an-update-on-protected-agriculture-technology-for-vegetable-growing/
Rice - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/rice-in-asia-soars-to-highest-level-since-2008-on-supply-risks-1.1956740
Farming practices - https://www.environmentalleader.com/2023/08/food-companies-turn-to-farming-practices-to-reduce-supply-chain-emissi ons/
Farming income and costs - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/zacks-industry-outlook-highlights-deere-agco-and-alamo-group
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - May 2023.pptx
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
The monthly increase in durable goods orders was $4.9 billion and was largely driven by transportation equipment that was up for the third consecutive month, the U.S. Census Bureau said in the report.
The core durable goods section, which excludes the volatile transportation sector, was up 0.6% in May versus the expected drop of 0.1%. Excluding defense, new orders rose 3%.
The government’s durables report covers items with an expected life of at least three years, such as kitchen appliances, computers, furniture, autos, and airplanes. Economists carefully watch the data for signs of where the economy might be heading.
Despite the stronger-than-expected report, analysts still see weakness in investment to come.
“The wider evidence still suggests that business equipment investment has further to fall,” said Capital Economics deputy chief U.S. economist Andrew Hunter. “While the drag from higher rates on residential investment appears to be fading, we still think the hit to business investment has further to run.”
Source: https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-06-27/U-S-durable-goods-beat-expectations-in-May-gold-price-keeps-its-daily-gains.html
Additional sources and links:
Economic outlook - https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2023/06/26/deduction-index-economic-and-market-swedroe?utm_source=articles_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=item_link
Equity Market - https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/insights/taking-stock-quarterly-outlook
Machine tools orders - https://www.amtonline.org/article/us-cutting-tool-orders-totaled-usd190-0-million-in-april-2023-bringing-year
Automation - https://techjury.net/blog/jobs-lost-to-automation-statistics/ or Blog – Top Six reasons to step up Business Automation - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_six-reasons-not-to-let-economic-uncertainty-activity-7079137391667515392-MV7v?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Construction costs - https://www.on-sitemag.com/construction/construction-costs-remain-problematic/1003979723/
Infrastructure - https://www.contractornews.com/673/government-infrastructure-spending-bolsters-construction-industry
Sustainable Financing - https://about.bankofamerica.com/en/making-an-impact/sustainable-finance
Mitigation - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/lack-funds-risks-europe-missing-climate-goals-auditors-say-2023-06-26/
What is next for Agriculture Sector - February 2023.pptx
The document provides an analysis of the agriculture output and equipment sector for February 2023. It includes summaries and data on topics like North American AG equipment sales, commodity prices, crop estimates, food prices, farm income, top farming states, food processors, technology/farming trends, government programs, debt levels, and rail car loading. The overall message is that farmers continue to struggle with high input costs while efforts are ongoing to improve crop yields and food production through private sector and government initiatives.
What is the Circular Economy and How can Data and AI drive Outcomes.pptx
This document discusses the circular economy and how data and AI can help drive better outcomes. It defines the circular economy as an economic system aimed at eliminating waste and the continual use of resources. The document outlines how ESG/sustainability reporting fits within the circular economy framework. It also discusses challenges facing the circular economy and how data and AI can help by streamlining data collection, forecasting costs, and facilitating reporting. Key metrics for measuring circularity are presented. The remainder of the document demonstrates IBM solutions for ESG reporting and analytics and addresses reporting challenges.
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - June 2023.pptx
Blog – Forestry Sector Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
Lumber prices continue to see wild swings in terms of prices.
Housing starts for Canada continue to show slow growth.
Biodiversity policies by various levels of government continue to put pressure on the forestry sector tree inventory management.
Forestry sector continues to look at ways to embrace automation and AI as part of their overall forestry operations.
Profitability and asset optimization are key focus areas by the forestry sector.
Additional links and sources:
Mitigating forest fires - https://news.northeastern.edu/2023/06/02/forest-fire-risk-prediction/
Geospatial - https://www.gim-international.com/content/news/harnessing-geospatial-ai-for-forest-conservation
Reforestration - https://eos.com/blog/reforestation/
Investment Funds - https://www.globalaginvesting.com/folium-launches-regenerative-natural-resource-fund-folium-fund-iii/
Lumber Production - https://www.lesprom.com/en/news/Canadian_lumber_production_rises_in_March_107994/
Price of Lumber - https://www.rockethomes.com/blog/housing-market/lumber-prices
Biodiversity - https://www.business.hsbc.com/en-gb/insights/sustainability/the-evolution-of-corporate-behaviour-to-tackle-biodiversity-challenges
Automation - https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/resources-agriculture/robots-the-wave-of-a-digitized-forest-industry-future-7004653
Vegetation - https://www.euronews.com/green/2023/05/25/utrechts-new-vertical-forest-will-be-home-to-10000-plants-and-trees-how-will-residents-ben
Tree Planting - https://www.upworthy.com/this-is-really-cool-u-s-announces-they-are-quadrupling-the-number-of-new-trees-to-be-planted
Forestry and AI - https://www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com/potential-of-ai-in-the-wood-processing-industry/
Housing Starts - https://globalrubbermarkets.com/2023/06/03/canadas-slowing-home-building-is-bad-news-for-buyers-and-trudeau-2/
Commodities - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/weekly-pricing-pulse-commodity-selloff-data-disapoint.html
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 14 2023.pptx
Blog – Stock Market Analysis for Week-Ending April 14, 2023
Summary:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Friday, but notched a positive week, as investors assessed a weak retail sales report that dented enthusiasm around a stronger-than-expected start to corporate earnings.
The 30-stock Dow
dropped 143.22 points, or about 0.42%, to 33,886.47. The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 4,137.64. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite
slid 0.35% to 12,123.47.
The Dow, however, notched its fourth-straight positive week, rising 1.2%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, meanwhile, nabbed their fourth positive week in five. The broad-market index added 0.79% for the week, while the Nasdaq ticked higher by 0.29%.
Source - https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
Additional Sources:
Lithium price and supply - https://www.investorsobserver.com/news/qm-news/4619971545111386
Oil Production - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-import-prices-fall-more-130519523.html
LNG Production - https://www.investorsobserver.com/news/qm-pr/8458744909354243
GDP Growth - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/04/imf-global-growth-weakest-in-30-years-top-economics-news-2023/
Sustainability and ESG - https://www.pionline.com/esg/sustainable-development-goals-are-slipping-our-grasp-un-official-warns
Food security and costs - https://www.vision.org/global-problems-global-solutions-part-3-what-shall-we-eat-and-drink-9418 or https://www.arabnews.com/node/2286996/business-economy
Housing - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-04-15/australia-economic-problems-inflation-housing-recession-solution/102225108
Technology trends - https://www.entrepreneur.com/leadership/the-top-5-challenges-for-tech-leaders-in-2023/449118 or https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/ai-labor-market-linkedin-economist-jobs-unemployment-chatgpt-fed-interest-2023-4
Global Debt - https://newsus.cgtn.com/news/2023-04-15/IMF-and-the-World-Bank-address-world-debt-issues--1j0EmFTZ4oU/index.html
Supply chain - https://www.scmr.com/article/dhl_supply_chain_facility_is_showcasing_how_automation_humans_can_coexist
Innovation - https://www.geekwire.com/2023/heres-how-startups-can-position-themselves-against-big-tech-in-the-generative-ai-race/
Recommended
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - April 2023...
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis and Commentary – April 2023
Summary:
The Commerce Department released a report on Wednesday showing new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods surged by much more than expected in March amid a substantial rebound in orders for transportation equipment.
The report said durable goods orders spiked by 3.2 percent in March after tumbling by a revised 1.2 percent in February.
Economists had expected durable goods orders to climb by 0.8 percent compared to the 1.0 percent slump that had been reported for the previous month.
Excluding the jump in orders for transportation equipment, durable goods orders rose by 0.3 percent in March after falling by 0.3 percent in February. Ex-transportation orders were expected to dip by 0.2 percent.
Source – https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/u.s.-durable-goods-orders-surge-much-more-than-expected-in-march
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
Summary
Food costs will continue to be high
Food insecurity will continue to plague governments around the world
Farm equipment sales are expected to be 4.6% through 2027
More and more governments are looking at vertical farming as a possible solution for food supply and security issues
Expert farming through data and AI practices are helping to improve crop yields and food production
What is next for Agriculture Sector - August 2023.pptx
Summary:
Climate crisis could combine with water scarcity and poor farming practices to threaten global agriculture well before the world touches the 1.5*C temperature rise, as per a top United Nations (UN) expert.
Source: https://www.outlookindia.com/international/global-warming-could-cause-major-food-supplies-disruption-even-before-15-c-temperature-rise-top-un-expert-news-310163
Links and sources:
Crop yields - https://www.farmprogress.com/markets-and-quotes/afternoon-market-recap
Equipment - https://www.farm-equipment.com/articles/21584-2024-equipment-outlook-look-for-shallow-trough
Food bankruptcies - https://www.fooddive.com/news/food-bankruptcies-surging-as-companies-struggle-with-shift-in-consumer-habi/688664/
Ag tech - https://www.salon.com/2023/08/09/computer-science-can-help-farmers-explore-alternative-crops-and-sustainable-farming-methods_partner/
Indoor farming risks - https://igrownews.com/unbeleafable-a-sustainable-and-revolution-in-bagged-salads/
Sustainability - https://farmtario.com/news/farmers-show-success-in-marketing-sustainability/
Input costs - https://www.agriculture.com/after-run-up-farmland-prices-may-become-more-stable-7642352 or https://seekingalpha.com/article/4626431-will-the-convergence-between-artificial-intelligence-and-precision-agriculture-lower-farming-costs
Greenhouses - https://www.greenhousegrower.com/technology/an-update-on-protected-agriculture-technology-for-vegetable-growing/
Rice - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/rice-in-asia-soars-to-highest-level-since-2008-on-supply-risks-1.1956740
Farming practices - https://www.environmentalleader.com/2023/08/food-companies-turn-to-farming-practices-to-reduce-supply-chain-emissi ons/
Farming income and costs - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/zacks-industry-outlook-highlights-deere-agco-and-alamo-group
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - May 2023.pptx
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
The monthly increase in durable goods orders was $4.9 billion and was largely driven by transportation equipment that was up for the third consecutive month, the U.S. Census Bureau said in the report.
The core durable goods section, which excludes the volatile transportation sector, was up 0.6% in May versus the expected drop of 0.1%. Excluding defense, new orders rose 3%.
The government’s durables report covers items with an expected life of at least three years, such as kitchen appliances, computers, furniture, autos, and airplanes. Economists carefully watch the data for signs of where the economy might be heading.
Despite the stronger-than-expected report, analysts still see weakness in investment to come.
“The wider evidence still suggests that business equipment investment has further to fall,” said Capital Economics deputy chief U.S. economist Andrew Hunter. “While the drag from higher rates on residential investment appears to be fading, we still think the hit to business investment has further to run.”
Source: https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-06-27/U-S-durable-goods-beat-expectations-in-May-gold-price-keeps-its-daily-gains.html
Additional sources and links:
Economic outlook - https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2023/06/26/deduction-index-economic-and-market-swedroe?utm_source=articles_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=item_link
Equity Market - https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/insights/taking-stock-quarterly-outlook
Machine tools orders - https://www.amtonline.org/article/us-cutting-tool-orders-totaled-usd190-0-million-in-april-2023-bringing-year
Automation - https://techjury.net/blog/jobs-lost-to-automation-statistics/ or Blog – Top Six reasons to step up Business Automation - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_six-reasons-not-to-let-economic-uncertainty-activity-7079137391667515392-MV7v?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Construction costs - https://www.on-sitemag.com/construction/construction-costs-remain-problematic/1003979723/
Infrastructure - https://www.contractornews.com/673/government-infrastructure-spending-bolsters-construction-industry
Sustainable Financing - https://about.bankofamerica.com/en/making-an-impact/sustainable-finance
Mitigation - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/lack-funds-risks-europe-missing-climate-goals-auditors-say-2023-06-26/
What is next for Agriculture Sector - February 2023.pptx
The document provides an analysis of the agriculture output and equipment sector for February 2023. It includes summaries and data on topics like North American AG equipment sales, commodity prices, crop estimates, food prices, farm income, top farming states, food processors, technology/farming trends, government programs, debt levels, and rail car loading. The overall message is that farmers continue to struggle with high input costs while efforts are ongoing to improve crop yields and food production through private sector and government initiatives.
What is the Circular Economy and How can Data and AI drive Outcomes.pptx
This document discusses the circular economy and how data and AI can help drive better outcomes. It defines the circular economy as an economic system aimed at eliminating waste and the continual use of resources. The document outlines how ESG/sustainability reporting fits within the circular economy framework. It also discusses challenges facing the circular economy and how data and AI can help by streamlining data collection, forecasting costs, and facilitating reporting. Key metrics for measuring circularity are presented. The remainder of the document demonstrates IBM solutions for ESG reporting and analytics and addresses reporting challenges.
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - June 2023.pptx
Blog – Forestry Sector Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
Lumber prices continue to see wild swings in terms of prices.
Housing starts for Canada continue to show slow growth.
Biodiversity policies by various levels of government continue to put pressure on the forestry sector tree inventory management.
Forestry sector continues to look at ways to embrace automation and AI as part of their overall forestry operations.
Profitability and asset optimization are key focus areas by the forestry sector.
Additional links and sources:
Mitigating forest fires - https://news.northeastern.edu/2023/06/02/forest-fire-risk-prediction/
Geospatial - https://www.gim-international.com/content/news/harnessing-geospatial-ai-for-forest-conservation
Reforestration - https://eos.com/blog/reforestation/
Investment Funds - https://www.globalaginvesting.com/folium-launches-regenerative-natural-resource-fund-folium-fund-iii/
Lumber Production - https://www.lesprom.com/en/news/Canadian_lumber_production_rises_in_March_107994/
Price of Lumber - https://www.rockethomes.com/blog/housing-market/lumber-prices
Biodiversity - https://www.business.hsbc.com/en-gb/insights/sustainability/the-evolution-of-corporate-behaviour-to-tackle-biodiversity-challenges
Automation - https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/resources-agriculture/robots-the-wave-of-a-digitized-forest-industry-future-7004653
Vegetation - https://www.euronews.com/green/2023/05/25/utrechts-new-vertical-forest-will-be-home-to-10000-plants-and-trees-how-will-residents-ben
Tree Planting - https://www.upworthy.com/this-is-really-cool-u-s-announces-they-are-quadrupling-the-number-of-new-trees-to-be-planted
Forestry and AI - https://www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com/potential-of-ai-in-the-wood-processing-industry/
Housing Starts - https://globalrubbermarkets.com/2023/06/03/canadas-slowing-home-building-is-bad-news-for-buyers-and-trudeau-2/
Commodities - https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/weekly-pricing-pulse-commodity-selloff-data-disapoint.html
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 14 2023.pptx
Blog – Stock Market Analysis for Week-Ending April 14, 2023
Summary:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Friday, but notched a positive week, as investors assessed a weak retail sales report that dented enthusiasm around a stronger-than-expected start to corporate earnings.
The 30-stock Dow
dropped 143.22 points, or about 0.42%, to 33,886.47. The S&P 500 fell 0.21% to 4,137.64. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite
slid 0.35% to 12,123.47.
The Dow, however, notched its fourth-straight positive week, rising 1.2%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, meanwhile, nabbed their fourth positive week in five. The broad-market index added 0.79% for the week, while the Nasdaq ticked higher by 0.29%.
Source - https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
Additional Sources:
Lithium price and supply - https://www.investorsobserver.com/news/qm-news/4619971545111386
Oil Production - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-import-prices-fall-more-130519523.html
LNG Production - https://www.investorsobserver.com/news/qm-pr/8458744909354243
GDP Growth - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/04/imf-global-growth-weakest-in-30-years-top-economics-news-2023/
Sustainability and ESG - https://www.pionline.com/esg/sustainable-development-goals-are-slipping-our-grasp-un-official-warns
Food security and costs - https://www.vision.org/global-problems-global-solutions-part-3-what-shall-we-eat-and-drink-9418 or https://www.arabnews.com/node/2286996/business-economy
Housing - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-04-15/australia-economic-problems-inflation-housing-recession-solution/102225108
Technology trends - https://www.entrepreneur.com/leadership/the-top-5-challenges-for-tech-leaders-in-2023/449118 or https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/ai-labor-market-linkedin-economist-jobs-unemployment-chatgpt-fed-interest-2023-4
Global Debt - https://newsus.cgtn.com/news/2023-04-15/IMF-and-the-World-Bank-address-world-debt-issues--1j0EmFTZ4oU/index.html
Supply chain - https://www.scmr.com/article/dhl_supply_chain_facility_is_showcasing_how_automation_humans_can_coexist
Innovation - https://www.geekwire.com/2023/heres-how-startups-can-position-themselves-against-big-tech-in-the-generative-ai-race/
Transportation Sector (Warehousing Logistics Distribution and Trucking) - Sep...
Paul Young is a senior data and AI expert at IBM with extensive experience in financial planning and analysis, data integration, modeling, and risk and compliance. The document discusses transportation sector trends in September 2023, including declining class 8 truck sales, increasing freight shipments and expenditures leading to higher inferred freight rates. It also covers topics like rising diesel costs, ESG surcharges, automation, optimizing reporting cycles, and using analytics to improve profitability. The sector is focusing on cost savings as supply chains face challenges like port capacity and rising rail traffic.
What is next for Agriculture Sector - May 2023.pptx
Blog – Manufacturing – Agriculture and Food Sector Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
Efficient management of scarce water.
Adoption of technology in areas like vertical farming, expert farming, weather, and vegetation analytics.
Adjusting farming practices as part of getting to net zero.
Urban planning strategy that provides affordable housing while protecting arable land.
How best to efficient use fertilizer as part of supporting crop yields
Additional links and sources
Potash - https://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---45923.htm
Carbon tax and Farming - https://london.ctvnews.ca/commercial-grain-dryers-cry-foul-over-lack-of-carbon-tax-exemption-1.6434979 or https://www.manitobacooperator.ca/news-opinion/news/with-crop-in-the-ground-keep-an-eagle-eye-on-cost-of-production-management-specialist/
Food prices - https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/2023/06/12/food-prices-are-squeezing-europe-italians-are-urging-a-pasta-protest/70313364007/
Farm input costs - https://www.teagasc.ie/news--events/news/2023/increase-in-farm-incomes.php
Food and technology - https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2023/06/12/digitalisation-the-key-to-unlocking-growth-potential-in-outsourced-food-production?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS
Vertical farming - https://www.investmentmonitor.ai/sponsored/vertical-farming-is-booming-in-the-gulf-heres-why/
Geospatial / farming - https://www.ibm.com/blog/the-benefits-of-sustainable-agriculture-and-how-we-get-there/
Dairy - https://www.agproud.com/articles/57690-dairy-farmers-of-canada-un-declares-milk-products-a-vital-part-of-healthy-diets
Crop yields - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1203721/abstract
Water crisis - https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/13/water-scarcity-china-and-india-look-the-most-threatened-from-shortages.html
Fertilizer - https://www.corporateknights.com/category-food/farmers-can-break-free-synthetic-fertilizer-addiction-nitrogen/
AG Tech - https://blog.gitnux.com/agtech-trends/
Retail Sales - Analysis - Australia - February 2022.pptx
Summary
The total value of retail sales in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 1.8 percent on month in February, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday - coming in at A$33.085 billion.
That beat expectations for an increase of 1.0 percent following the downwardly revised 1.6 percent increase in January (originally 1.8 percent).
Individually, sales were up for household goods, clothing, department stores and restaurants; sales were down for food retailing and other retailing.
On a yearly basis, retail sales climbed 9.1 percent.
Source - https://www.rttnews.com/3272355/australia-retail-sales-jump-1-8-in-february.aspx
How to fix the Governance model for Government (Public Sector).pptx
Summary:
I have written many presentations and blogs over the years on transforming the public sector. The public sector needs to reform its model including stronger crisis and risk management planning and analysis, creating new a compliance group that ensures all oversight agencies are free from partisan policies, governments need to learn to live within its means, all program spending should undertake a program review, taxation focus should be on tax fairness, policies should address issues like wage reform or pension reform or other reforms.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
Summary:
Farmers continue to struggle with both drought conditions and higher food costs.
Technology continues to transform the ag sector as more vertical and expert farming solutions are coming to market.
Food costs continue to plague many household
High inflation is here to stay for the near term
What is next for Agriculture Sector - July 2023.pptx
Blog – Sector – Agriculture Equipment and Farming – Agriculture and Farming Sector Analysis and Commentary for July 2023 - https://ts2.space/en/iot-in-agriculture-the-key-to-climate-resilient-farming/
1. Soybean Futures Jump in Overnight Trading - Soybeans surged in overnight trading ahead of today's supply and demand reports from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
2. Winter Wheat Production Forecast Seen Slightly Higher Winter wheat output likely will be forecast modestly higher month-to-month in today's reports from USDA, according to a survey from Reuters.
3. Severe Storms Expected This Morning in Nebraska, Iowa - Severe weather is forecast much of eastern Nebraska, western Iowa, and northern Missouri this morning and is already hitting some areas, according to data from the National Weather Service.
Source - https://www.agriculture.com/3-big-things-today-july-12-2023-7559533
Additional sources and links:
Food - https://illuminem.com/illuminemvoices/how-business-innovation-can-turn-the-food-crisis-into-a-new-green-revolution
Technology and farming - https://ts2.space/en/iot-in-agriculture-the-key-to-climate-resilient-farming/
Technology and Agritask - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_a-resilient-food-supply-chain-powered-by-activity-7084907525812191232-N5Ya?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Vertical farming - https://www.hortibiz.com/newsitem/news/tips/building-a-business-case-for-vertical-farming/
Commodities - https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/futures/agriculture
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - March 2023.pptx
Blog – Forestry Sector and Lumber Production Analysis and Commentary – April 2023
Summary:
Lumber production continues to face many challenges including cost of housing.
Forestry management practices need to continue focus on how best to manage the overall health of forests across the globe.
Green building practices continue to expand. The key will be how government regulations are streamline as part of adopting green building practices.
Additional links and sources:
Lumber demand has dropped over the past few months. Housing starts continued to face many hurdles.
https://www.lesprom.com/en/news/Demand_for_lumber_declines_worldwide_pushing_prices_for_sawlogs_down_from_record_highs_106983/
Mitigating forest fires and climate change on forest ecosystem is very important for all levels of government - https://www.news24.com/citypress/news/many-countries-make-efforts-to-stop-destroying-forests-20230402
Sustainable forestry practices - https://www.paperadvance.com/news/sustainability/what-is-sustainable-forestry-and-why-is-it-critical-in-mitigating-against-climate-change.html
Addressing non-residential and residential construction through green building practices - https://wellfound.com/startups/industry/green-building or
Housing Costs - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/rising-housing-costs-top-contributor-110000524.html
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - June 2023....
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis – June 2023
Summary:
New orders for durable goods rose a strong 4.7% (8.9% y/y) in June, following a 2.0% (5.7% y/y) monthly gain in May, (initially up 1.7% m/m). June represents a fourth consecutive monthly gain. The Action Economics Forecast Survey had looked for a smaller monthly advance of 1.8%. Shipments of durable goods rose 0.3% (3.8% y/y) in June, up three of the last four months and following a 2.0% (3.6% y/y) rise in May (initially up 1.7% m/m).
Transportation orders made another significant contribution to the rise in overall orders in June. They were up 12.1% m/m (26.0% y/y) after a 4.3% rise (18.1% y/y) in May (initially up 3.9% m/m). A whopping 57.1% m/m gain in orders for aircraft and parts provided a major boost to overall transportation orders, following a 12.5% rise in May. The June increase reflected a 69.4% m/m jump in nondefense aircraft orders and a 5.5% m/m gain in defense aircraft orders. Orders excluding transportation increased 0.6% m/m in May, after a 0.7% rise in May (revised up from a 0.6% m/m gain).
Across other sectors, the June rise in orders reflected increases in major categories except for defense orders. Both orders for computers and electronic products and for electrical equipment posted monthly gains of 1.5%. Total defense orders contracted 17.1% in June, following a decline of 12.7% m/m in May. Excluding those, the remaining orders rose a robust 6.2% m/m in June, after a 3.2% rise in May.
Shipments of all manufactured goods edged up 0.2% m/m (-2.6% y/y) in June, following a 0.4% m/m (-1.8% y/y) in May (initially reported as up 0.2% m/m). Shipments of durable goods rose 0.3% m/m in June, while shipments of nondurable goods edged up 0.1% m/m. Transportation shipments rose a mere 0.2% m/m in June and excluding transportation, other shipments of durable goods increased 0.3% m/m.
Capital goods orders contained in this report provide important information concerning business spending on equipment. Orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft (core capital goods) increased 0.2% m/m (1.9% y/y) in June, following a downwardly revised 0.5% m/m rise in May (initially up 0.7% m/m). Core capital goods shipments were barely changed in June (+3.3% y/y) following a 0.3% rise in May (revised from up rose 0.2% m/m). These data leave Q2 core capital shipments up an annualized 1.9%, down from 2.3% in Q1.
Source – https://www.haver.com/articles/u-s-durable-goods-orders-surprised-again-on-the-upside-in-june
Additional links and sources:
Capital spending outlook - https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/capital-spending-shows-surprising-rise-during-period-of-all-time-operating-lows-fitch-says.html
GDP - https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2023/weekly-market-outlook-second-quarter-gdp-impresses.pdf
Capital Spending - https://www.alliancebernstein.com/americas/en/financial-professional/insights/investment-insights/2023-multi-asset-midyear-outlo
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 22, 2023.pptx
Blog - Blog - Stock Market Analysis for the WE April 21 2023
Summary:
Stocks closed slightly higher on Friday afternoon as investors digested a final slate of corporate earnings and fresh economic data to close out the week.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 23.99 points, or 0.07%. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.11%.
All three major averages closed the week lower. The Dow had its worst week in six weeks, snapping a 4-week win streak
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/20/stock-market-today-live-updates.html or https://finance.yahoo.com/stocks-end-week-lower-amid-earnings-strong-economic-data-stock-market-news-today-180717344.html or https://finance.yahoo.com/stocks-end-week-lower-amid-earnings-strong-economic-data-stock-market-news-today-180717344.html
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - May 12 2023.pptx
Blog – Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for the WE May 12, 2023
Summary:
U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday dragged down by Disney as the company reported a sharp decline in subscribers, while concerns around regional banks once again grew, denting investors’ confidence. The S&P 500 and Dow ended in negative territory but the Nasdaq closed in the green.
How Did The Benchmarks Perform?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 0.7% or 221.82 points to finish at 33,309.51 points.
The S&P 500 declined 0.2% or 7.02 points to end at 4,130.82 points. Energy, utilities and materials stocks were the worst performers.
]The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) declined 1.2% and 1%, respectively. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) and Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) also lost 1% each. Eight of the 11 sectors of the benchmark index ended in negative territory.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.2% or 22.06 points to close at 12,328.50 points.
The fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.06% to 16.93. Decliners outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.27-to-1 ratio. On Nasdaq, a 1.67-to-1 ratio favored declining issues. A total of 10.05 billion shares were traded on Thursday, lower than the last 20-session average of 10.69 billion.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-may-12-133001363.html
What is next for Agriculture Sector - November 2022.pptx
Blog – Agriculture Equipment and Farming Income – Analysis and Commentary – November 2022
Farmers continue to face many challenges including labor shortages along with higher input costs related to fuel, feed, electricity, etc.
Grocery store profits continue to be a focal point. Little has been said about the product mix area as well as how profits are shared with pension funds and capital investment.
Farmers have no issue with adopting technology if that technology is dependable.
Vertical farming is being promoted as solution. Vertical farming requires access to adequate water as well has issues with electricity and capital needed to build out a vertical farming infrastructure.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptx
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptx
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - September ...
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending – United States and the World – September 2022
Capital spending appears to be heading downward as part of recession fears in 2023
R&D appears to also face cuts due to the fear of a recession in 2023
Ports and intermodal capital spending is required to address issues with port capacity
2023 will be challenging year for both the private and public sectors
Power grid needs to make major capital investments as part of net zero plans as well as supporting power demands.
Cash reserves by corporation has decline over the past year.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
This document provides an analysis of the agriculture equipment sector and commentary on related topics. It includes summaries of North American equipment sales, commodity prices, Canadian agriculture prices, preliminary Canadian crop estimates, oilseed and energy prices, the carbon tax, food prices, the hospitality sector, farming income, top farming states, food processors, technology and farming, the role of government in farming, and debt. It also provides contact information for Paul Young, the author, and an agenda of topics covered in the analysis.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - AG Prices.pptx
Here is my look at agriculture sector including food costs along with what challenges are facing farmers.
What is up with Stock Marklet| December 10, 2021
The presentation provides an overview of recent stock market performance globally and in various countries/regions. It discusses factors influencing the markets such as inflation, economic growth rates, geopolitical risks, supply chain issues, and monetary policies. The presentation also covers topics like automation/robotics, ESG reporting, audit/corporate reporting challenges, and using data/AI in various business functions. It includes links to additional resources on these topics.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
The document provides an analysis of the agriculture equipment sector and commentary on related topics. It includes a bio of the author, Paul Young, and an agenda covering issues like commodity prices, crop estimates, food prices, farm income, technology and farming, government programs, and debt. The summary highlights struggles farmers are facing with high input costs, the need for government coordination on housing and land use policies, and rising farm debt levels which may be exacerbated by interest rate hikes.
Manufacturing Tips and Tricks on Implementing ESG policies.pptx
- Paul Young is a CPA and CGA with expertise in various areas including customer success management, risk management, ESG and sustainability policies, reporting, emerging technology, and supply chain management.
- The presentation discusses ESG and manufacturing, including energy management solutions and reporting on Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions. It provides tips on conducting energy audits, updating equipment and insulation, and transitioning to renewable energy to reduce costs.
- Scope 3 emissions reporting challenges are addressed, such as partnering with vendors to establish and track metrics throughout the supply chain.
Public Sector| Canada
Blog – Public Sector – Fiscal Performance – Canada
Ontario Finances
Next week’s Ontario budget is a critical one for the Ford government. It will have to balance another six months of COVID costs with a plan to transition government finances back to pre-pandemic normality. Any difficult spending decisions should be included in this budget, because the 2022 one will be all about winning re-election.
Source - https://nationalpost.com/opinion/randall-denley-upcoming-ontario-budget-is-bound-to-agitate-both-pc-supporters-and-the-public-sector
Canada has one highest debt loads for a developed country –
That theory has its doubters, starting with the Bank of Canada, which has previously said it isn’t counting on the built-up savings to be unleashed quickly. Canadians may instead hang onto the money or use it to pay down their own sizable debts, the bank says. That wouldn’t be a trivial outcome, either.
Frances Donald, global chief economist and head of macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management, said it’s misleading to use short-term economic data to measure the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/trudeau-s-debt-binge-shows-limits-in-canada-s-sharp-contraction-1.1571174
@JustinTrudeau took $1B surpluses to a deficit within a few months of taking office. Trudeau's growth has been the worse of any PM since the great depression.
2016 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-domestic-product-canada
Oct/19 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-growth-and-the-major-issues-facing-global-gdp
Dec/20 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scorecard-and-gdp-canada-december-2020-and-november-2020
Fitch downgrade - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/fitch-s-downgrade-a-blow-but-better-than-negative-outlook-former-pbo~1983621
Competitiveness - https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/competitiveness-rank
Provinces are asking more for healthcare - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/premiers-release-report-confirming-the-federal-government-s-financial-ability-to-increase-the-canada-health-transfer-805210659.html
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What is next for Agriculture Sector - May 2023.pptx
Blog – Manufacturing – Agriculture and Food Sector Analysis and Commentary – June 2023
Summary:
Efficient management of scarce water.
Adoption of technology in areas like vertical farming, expert farming, weather, and vegetation analytics.
Adjusting farming practices as part of getting to net zero.
Urban planning strategy that provides affordable housing while protecting arable land.
How best to efficient use fertilizer as part of supporting crop yields
Additional links and sources
Potash - https://news.agropages.com/News/NewsDetail---45923.htm
Carbon tax and Farming - https://london.ctvnews.ca/commercial-grain-dryers-cry-foul-over-lack-of-carbon-tax-exemption-1.6434979 or https://www.manitobacooperator.ca/news-opinion/news/with-crop-in-the-ground-keep-an-eagle-eye-on-cost-of-production-management-specialist/
Food prices - https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/2023/06/12/food-prices-are-squeezing-europe-italians-are-urging-a-pasta-protest/70313364007/
Farm input costs - https://www.teagasc.ie/news--events/news/2023/increase-in-farm-incomes.php
Food and technology - https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2023/06/12/digitalisation-the-key-to-unlocking-growth-potential-in-outsourced-food-production?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS
Vertical farming - https://www.investmentmonitor.ai/sponsored/vertical-farming-is-booming-in-the-gulf-heres-why/
Geospatial / farming - https://www.ibm.com/blog/the-benefits-of-sustainable-agriculture-and-how-we-get-there/
Dairy - https://www.agproud.com/articles/57690-dairy-farmers-of-canada-un-declares-milk-products-a-vital-part-of-healthy-diets
Crop yields - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1203721/abstract
Water crisis - https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/13/water-scarcity-china-and-india-look-the-most-threatened-from-shortages.html
Fertilizer - https://www.corporateknights.com/category-food/farmers-can-break-free-synthetic-fertilizer-addiction-nitrogen/
AG Tech - https://blog.gitnux.com/agtech-trends/
Retail Sales - Analysis - Australia - February 2022.pptx
Summary
The total value of retail sales in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 1.8 percent on month in February, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday - coming in at A$33.085 billion.
That beat expectations for an increase of 1.0 percent following the downwardly revised 1.6 percent increase in January (originally 1.8 percent).
Individually, sales were up for household goods, clothing, department stores and restaurants; sales were down for food retailing and other retailing.
On a yearly basis, retail sales climbed 9.1 percent.
Source - https://www.rttnews.com/3272355/australia-retail-sales-jump-1-8-in-february.aspx
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I have written many presentations and blogs over the years on transforming the public sector. The public sector needs to reform its model including stronger crisis and risk management planning and analysis, creating new a compliance group that ensures all oversight agencies are free from partisan policies, governments need to learn to live within its means, all program spending should undertake a program review, taxation focus should be on tax fairness, policies should address issues like wage reform or pension reform or other reforms.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
Summary:
Farmers continue to struggle with both drought conditions and higher food costs.
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Food costs continue to plague many household
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What is next for Agriculture Sector - July 2023.pptx
Blog – Sector – Agriculture Equipment and Farming – Agriculture and Farming Sector Analysis and Commentary for July 2023 - https://ts2.space/en/iot-in-agriculture-the-key-to-climate-resilient-farming/
1. Soybean Futures Jump in Overnight Trading - Soybeans surged in overnight trading ahead of today's supply and demand reports from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
2. Winter Wheat Production Forecast Seen Slightly Higher Winter wheat output likely will be forecast modestly higher month-to-month in today's reports from USDA, according to a survey from Reuters.
3. Severe Storms Expected This Morning in Nebraska, Iowa - Severe weather is forecast much of eastern Nebraska, western Iowa, and northern Missouri this morning and is already hitting some areas, according to data from the National Weather Service.
Source - https://www.agriculture.com/3-big-things-today-july-12-2023-7559533
Additional sources and links:
Food - https://illuminem.com/illuminemvoices/how-business-innovation-can-turn-the-food-crisis-into-a-new-green-revolution
Technology and farming - https://ts2.space/en/iot-in-agriculture-the-key-to-climate-resilient-farming/
Technology and Agritask - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_a-resilient-food-supply-chain-powered-by-activity-7084907525812191232-N5Ya?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
Vertical farming - https://www.hortibiz.com/newsitem/news/tips/building-a-business-case-for-vertical-farming/
Commodities - https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/futures/agriculture
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - March 2023.pptx
Blog – Forestry Sector and Lumber Production Analysis and Commentary – April 2023
Summary:
Lumber production continues to face many challenges including cost of housing.
Forestry management practices need to continue focus on how best to manage the overall health of forests across the globe.
Green building practices continue to expand. The key will be how government regulations are streamline as part of adopting green building practices.
Additional links and sources:
Lumber demand has dropped over the past few months. Housing starts continued to face many hurdles.
https://www.lesprom.com/en/news/Demand_for_lumber_declines_worldwide_pushing_prices_for_sawlogs_down_from_record_highs_106983/
Mitigating forest fires and climate change on forest ecosystem is very important for all levels of government - https://www.news24.com/citypress/news/many-countries-make-efforts-to-stop-destroying-forests-20230402
Sustainable forestry practices - https://www.paperadvance.com/news/sustainability/what-is-sustainable-forestry-and-why-is-it-critical-in-mitigating-against-climate-change.html
Addressing non-residential and residential construction through green building practices - https://wellfound.com/startups/industry/green-building or
Housing Costs - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/rising-housing-costs-top-contributor-110000524.html
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - June 2023....
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending Analysis – June 2023
Summary:
New orders for durable goods rose a strong 4.7% (8.9% y/y) in June, following a 2.0% (5.7% y/y) monthly gain in May, (initially up 1.7% m/m). June represents a fourth consecutive monthly gain. The Action Economics Forecast Survey had looked for a smaller monthly advance of 1.8%. Shipments of durable goods rose 0.3% (3.8% y/y) in June, up three of the last four months and following a 2.0% (3.6% y/y) rise in May (initially up 1.7% m/m).
Transportation orders made another significant contribution to the rise in overall orders in June. They were up 12.1% m/m (26.0% y/y) after a 4.3% rise (18.1% y/y) in May (initially up 3.9% m/m). A whopping 57.1% m/m gain in orders for aircraft and parts provided a major boost to overall transportation orders, following a 12.5% rise in May. The June increase reflected a 69.4% m/m jump in nondefense aircraft orders and a 5.5% m/m gain in defense aircraft orders. Orders excluding transportation increased 0.6% m/m in May, after a 0.7% rise in May (revised up from a 0.6% m/m gain).
Across other sectors, the June rise in orders reflected increases in major categories except for defense orders. Both orders for computers and electronic products and for electrical equipment posted monthly gains of 1.5%. Total defense orders contracted 17.1% in June, following a decline of 12.7% m/m in May. Excluding those, the remaining orders rose a robust 6.2% m/m in June, after a 3.2% rise in May.
Shipments of all manufactured goods edged up 0.2% m/m (-2.6% y/y) in June, following a 0.4% m/m (-1.8% y/y) in May (initially reported as up 0.2% m/m). Shipments of durable goods rose 0.3% m/m in June, while shipments of nondurable goods edged up 0.1% m/m. Transportation shipments rose a mere 0.2% m/m in June and excluding transportation, other shipments of durable goods increased 0.3% m/m.
Capital goods orders contained in this report provide important information concerning business spending on equipment. Orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft (core capital goods) increased 0.2% m/m (1.9% y/y) in June, following a downwardly revised 0.5% m/m rise in May (initially up 0.7% m/m). Core capital goods shipments were barely changed in June (+3.3% y/y) following a 0.3% rise in May (revised from up rose 0.2% m/m). These data leave Q2 core capital shipments up an annualized 1.9%, down from 2.3% in Q1.
Source – https://www.haver.com/articles/u-s-durable-goods-orders-surprised-again-on-the-upside-in-june
Additional links and sources:
Capital spending outlook - https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/capital-spending-shows-surprising-rise-during-period-of-all-time-operating-lows-fitch-says.html
GDP - https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2023/weekly-market-outlook-second-quarter-gdp-impresses.pdf
Capital Spending - https://www.alliancebernstein.com/americas/en/financial-professional/insights/investment-insights/2023-multi-asset-midyear-outlo
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 22, 2023.pptx
Blog - Blog - Stock Market Analysis for the WE April 21 2023
Summary:
Stocks closed slightly higher on Friday afternoon as investors digested a final slate of corporate earnings and fresh economic data to close out the week.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.09%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 23.99 points, or 0.07%. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.11%.
All three major averages closed the week lower. The Dow had its worst week in six weeks, snapping a 4-week win streak
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/20/stock-market-today-live-updates.html or https://finance.yahoo.com/stocks-end-week-lower-amid-earnings-strong-economic-data-stock-market-news-today-180717344.html or https://finance.yahoo.com/stocks-end-week-lower-amid-earnings-strong-economic-data-stock-market-news-today-180717344.html
What is up with the Stock Market for WE - May 12 2023.pptx
Blog – Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for the WE May 12, 2023
Summary:
U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday dragged down by Disney as the company reported a sharp decline in subscribers, while concerns around regional banks once again grew, denting investors’ confidence. The S&P 500 and Dow ended in negative territory but the Nasdaq closed in the green.
How Did The Benchmarks Perform?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 0.7% or 221.82 points to finish at 33,309.51 points.
The S&P 500 declined 0.2% or 7.02 points to end at 4,130.82 points. Energy, utilities and materials stocks were the worst performers.
]The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) declined 1.2% and 1%, respectively. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) and Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) also lost 1% each. Eight of the 11 sectors of the benchmark index ended in negative territory.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.2% or 22.06 points to close at 12,328.50 points.
The fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) was down 0.06% to 16.93. Decliners outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.27-to-1 ratio. On Nasdaq, a 1.67-to-1 ratio favored declining issues. A total of 10.05 billion shares were traded on Thursday, lower than the last 20-session average of 10.69 billion.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-may-12-133001363.html
What is next for Agriculture Sector - November 2022.pptx
Blog – Agriculture Equipment and Farming Income – Analysis and Commentary – November 2022
Farmers continue to face many challenges including labor shortages along with higher input costs related to fuel, feed, electricity, etc.
Grocery store profits continue to be a focal point. Little has been said about the product mix area as well as how profits are shared with pension funds and capital investment.
Farmers have no issue with adopting technology if that technology is dependable.
Vertical farming is being promoted as solution. Vertical farming requires access to adequate water as well has issues with electricity and capital needed to build out a vertical farming infrastructure.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptx
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptx
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Durable Goods and Capital Spending - United States and the World - September ...
Blog – Durable Goods and Capital Spending – United States and the World – September 2022
Capital spending appears to be heading downward as part of recession fears in 2023
R&D appears to also face cuts due to the fear of a recession in 2023
Ports and intermodal capital spending is required to address issues with port capacity
2023 will be challenging year for both the private and public sectors
Power grid needs to make major capital investments as part of net zero plans as well as supporting power demands.
Cash reserves by corporation has decline over the past year.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
This document provides an analysis of the agriculture equipment sector and commentary on related topics. It includes summaries of North American equipment sales, commodity prices, Canadian agriculture prices, preliminary Canadian crop estimates, oilseed and energy prices, the carbon tax, food prices, the hospitality sector, farming income, top farming states, food processors, technology and farming, the role of government in farming, and debt. It also provides contact information for Paul Young, the author, and an agenda of topics covered in the analysis.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - AG Prices.pptx
Here is my look at agriculture sector including food costs along with what challenges are facing farmers.
What is up with Stock Marklet| December 10, 2021
The presentation provides an overview of recent stock market performance globally and in various countries/regions. It discusses factors influencing the markets such as inflation, economic growth rates, geopolitical risks, supply chain issues, and monetary policies. The presentation also covers topics like automation/robotics, ESG reporting, audit/corporate reporting challenges, and using data/AI in various business functions. It includes links to additional resources on these topics.
Agriculture Equipment Sector - Analysis and Commentary - Farming.pptx
The document provides an analysis of the agriculture equipment sector and commentary on related topics. It includes a bio of the author, Paul Young, and an agenda covering issues like commodity prices, crop estimates, food prices, farm income, technology and farming, government programs, and debt. The summary highlights struggles farmers are facing with high input costs, the need for government coordination on housing and land use policies, and rising farm debt levels which may be exacerbated by interest rate hikes.
Manufacturing Tips and Tricks on Implementing ESG policies.pptx
- Paul Young is a CPA and CGA with expertise in various areas including customer success management, risk management, ESG and sustainability policies, reporting, emerging technology, and supply chain management.
- The presentation discusses ESG and manufacturing, including energy management solutions and reporting on Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions. It provides tips on conducting energy audits, updating equipment and insulation, and transitioning to renewable energy to reduce costs.
- Scope 3 emissions reporting challenges are addressed, such as partnering with vendors to establish and track metrics throughout the supply chain.
Public Sector| Canada
Blog – Public Sector – Fiscal Performance – Canada
Ontario Finances
Next week’s Ontario budget is a critical one for the Ford government. It will have to balance another six months of COVID costs with a plan to transition government finances back to pre-pandemic normality. Any difficult spending decisions should be included in this budget, because the 2022 one will be all about winning re-election.
Source - https://nationalpost.com/opinion/randall-denley-upcoming-ontario-budget-is-bound-to-agitate-both-pc-supporters-and-the-public-sector
Canada has one highest debt loads for a developed country –
That theory has its doubters, starting with the Bank of Canada, which has previously said it isn’t counting on the built-up savings to be unleashed quickly. Canadians may instead hang onto the money or use it to pay down their own sizable debts, the bank says. That wouldn’t be a trivial outcome, either.
Frances Donald, global chief economist and head of macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management, said it’s misleading to use short-term economic data to measure the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/trudeau-s-debt-binge-shows-limits-in-canada-s-sharp-contraction-1.1571174
@JustinTrudeau took $1B surpluses to a deficit within a few months of taking office. Trudeau's growth has been the worse of any PM since the great depression.
2016 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-domestic-product-canada
Oct/19 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-growth-and-the-major-issues-facing-global-gdp
Dec/20 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scorecard-and-gdp-canada-december-2020-and-november-2020
Fitch downgrade - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/fitch-s-downgrade-a-blow-but-better-than-negative-outlook-former-pbo~1983621
Competitiveness - https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/competitiveness-rank
Provinces are asking more for healthcare - https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/premiers-release-report-confirming-the-federal-government-s-financial-ability-to-increase-the-canada-health-transfer-805210659.html
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- 1. Agriculture and Food Sector Paul Young CPA CGA Senior Data and AI Thought Leader – Financial Planning and Analysis Date: October 12 , 2023
- 2. Paul Young CPA CGA Bio • Subject Matter Expert – Close, Consolidate and Reporting Cycle • Subject Matter Expert – Public Governance and Reporting • Subject Matter Expert – Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Policy Development and Reporting • Subject Matter Expert – Data Integration and Data Management • Subject Matter Expert – Financial Planning and Analysis (FPA) • Subject Matter Expert – Customer Success Management (Data, AI, Platform, and Security • Subject Matter Expert – Risk and Compliance (Emergency, Risk, and Crisis Planning and Reporting) • Senior Matter Expert – Integrated Planning and Reporting • Subject Matter Expert – Profitability Modelling and Supply Chain Management Work Experience • IBM - Various positions (December 2006 to March 2023) • Deloitte Inc - Senior Consultant – Data and AI (June 2005 to November 20006) • Transforce (formerly Dynamex) – Financial Analyst – August 2002 to June 2005) • Linde (formerly Praxair) – Senior Accountant and Financial Analyst (January 1995 to November 2001 • Diamant Boart – Junior Accountant / Costing Clerk (July 1991 to December 1994) Skills: Data and AI (Cognos Controller, Planning Analytics (TM1), Cognos Analytics, OpenPages, Cloudpak for Data, Envisi, and WatsonX Modeling: Microsoft Excel Key engagements: Graphic Packaging, KLA, Mark Anthony, Werner, Irving Oil, Algoma Central Marine, Carhartt, AECOM, Dole Fresh Vegetables Ancestry.com, Golden Enterprises, Apria Healthcare, Century Communities, K Hovnanian Homes, Snap on Credit, Jones Lang Lasalle (JLL), A.W. Chesterton, and many others. Strong Partner Relationships: QueBit, eCapital, Revelwood, Intito, Cortell, Breakaway, Cubewise, 1Direction, Aramar , Converge Technology, BMA Group, and many others Email: Paul_Young_CPA@outlook.com
- 3. Agenda 1. Agricultural Sales (Units) 2. Global Food Prices 3. Technology and Farming - Weed Killing Drone 4. Technology and Farming – Using Data and AI to feed the world 5. OEM Equipment and Partnerships 6. Using Data and AI to streamline the closing period for both the public and private sector organizations 7. Summary
- 4. Agricultural Equipment Sales (Units) – September 2023 Source – Association of Equipment Manufacturers
- 5. Global Food Prices – September 2023 Source – FAO - https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/ foodpricesindex/en/
- 8. OEM AG Equipment and Technology Partners • Blog – Sector - Agriculture - John Deer acquires Smart Tech Company - AG Tech and ESG - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_john-deere-acquires-precision-agtech-startup-activity- 7087431004692369408-cPHK?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop (John Deere and Smart Apply®, Inc.) • Blog – Agco and Trimble – Precisions Farming - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_agco-to- buy-trimble-assets-for-2-billion-activity-7113871606216630272- kIVl?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop **** There is an issue with my LinkedIn at the time I made this presentation.
- 9. Streamlining the Accounting Close Period Amazing article by Horváth and Tony Klimas https://www.cfodive.com/news/leveraging-ai-in-your-monthly-close- process/695683/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign= Issue:%202023-10- 10%20CFO%20Dive:%20Tech%20%5Bissue:55319%5D&utm_term=CFO% 20Dive:%20Tech IBM Planning Analytics Community: https://community.ibm.com/community/user/businessanalytics/discussion/blog -leveraging-ai-in-your-monthly-close-process#bmb90047e5-f431-414b-846a- c7ea58813aef I can add a bit more colour as I am SME - Close, Consolidate, and Reporting: a) State of the organization can play a role, i.e. high acquisition/divestiture or geographically disperse or ownership/investments b) Changing the culture to data driven culture. c) Working with Microsoft Excel and not trying to replace it. Adopting Microsoft Excel add-ins that leverage OLAP data. d) Having a close, consolidate, reporting control blueprint. e) Eliminating data silos through a data modernization Here is my presentation: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to- streamline-the-close-consolidate-and-reporting-cyclepptx *** My linked in account is having issues at the time of this presentation.
- 10. Blog – Agriculture, Farming and Food Production Sector 1. John Deer results paint a challenging next few months for farmers, AG OEM, and all those associated with the AG sector - https://www.barrons.com/articles/deere-earnings-stock-friday-bf70ec38 2. Producer Price Index rose in September 2023 - https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/11/economy/ppi-wholesale-inflation-september/index.html 3. Generative AI and Farming - https://www.agritechfuture.com/smart-farming/editors-view-how-ai-could-cultivate-the-next-green-revolution-in-uk- agriculture/ 4. Food and Beverage manufacturers continue to work with farmers, OEM Farming Equipment, etc., on generative AI - https://www.diageo.com/en/news-and- media/press-releases/2023/diageo-announces-regenerative-agriculture-programmes-across-scotch-whisky-and-tequila 5. Biodiversity continues to play a key role with shaping of ESG policies - https://www.green.earth/news/biodiversity-takes-the-spotlight-in-corporate-esg- strategies 6. Diesel costs continue to see wild shift in terms of prices - https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/global-diesel-prices-soften-inventories-edge- upward-kemp-2023-10-11/ 7. Government policies are required to drive innovation with farmers - https://medium.com/@usamarafiqdmt/how-agriculture-farming-practices-are- redefining-access-to-produce-2b50df6ba1e4 8. Net Zero and Farming - https://sustainablebiz.ca/new-canadian-org-promotes-netzero-agrifood-economy 9. Food prices have come down but are still an issue - https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/business/499996/food-inflation-slows-to-lowest-level-in-over-a-year 10. Farm Methane - https://www.porkbusiness.com/news/industry/anaerobic-digesters-transform-proverbial-sows-ear-silk-purse The above highlights key areas that are impacting farming. The key for the food producing sector starts with right government policies that support expert and vertical farming. The big challenge for farmers is cost and skills to adopt new technology. If I can assist food manufacturers, AG OEM, Farmers, distributors, and food retailers with their data and AI journey, then reach out to me: Paul_Young_CGA@outlook.com