Agent Based Modeling & Roman Resource ExtractionAn exploratory labShawn Graham, Carleton Universityshawn_graham@carleton.ca@electricarchaeo
The problem with Roman resourcesEvidenceGrowth and the extractive economy?
Harold Innis & the intellectual foundations for growth
Agent modelingNecessary simplificationsSimulation: not of the past, but of our thinking about the pastBill Murray & Groundhog Day
The modelEconomyEnvironmentPatronage....in a resource economy, patronage enables  effective exploitation...
An Example of Model Code
Set up the basics:1. create a world with a resource.2. harvest3. movement = consumes resource.4. consumption > resource = death.
Add patronage:5. can ask for help (become a client)6. can help others; can improve the world7. compete & support
In practice, one cycle looks like this:
Model ResultsFour different resource settingsModel stops at 50 generations# of cycles it takes to reach that end point: stability, instabilityGenerated social networks: Network growthNetwork reach (participation rate)EmbeddednessCompare with real-world social networks
Correspondence with observed brick networks in first & second centuriesOther patterns‘strong’ network growth implications Occurs for particular settings for forest, mineral, and clayembeddedness
Lab conclusionsPatterns of inequalityWhat kind of growth?
From the lab to the real world: an agendaA framework for understanding... BUTNeed more & better network data from antiquityEpigraphy, prosopography, archaeometry, regional distribution studies, etc can provide thisA model is just a tool for sharpening thoughts. Model shortcomings & desiderata

Agent based modeling & roman resource extraction

  • 1.
    Agent Based Modeling& Roman Resource ExtractionAn exploratory labShawn Graham, Carleton Universityshawn_graham@carleton.ca@electricarchaeo
  • 2.
    The problem withRoman resourcesEvidenceGrowth and the extractive economy?
  • 3.
    Harold Innis &the intellectual foundations for growth
  • 5.
    Agent modelingNecessary simplificationsSimulation:not of the past, but of our thinking about the pastBill Murray & Groundhog Day
  • 6.
    The modelEconomyEnvironmentPatronage....in aresource economy, patronage enables effective exploitation...
  • 7.
    An Example ofModel Code
  • 8.
    Set up thebasics:1. create a world with a resource.2. harvest3. movement = consumes resource.4. consumption > resource = death.
  • 9.
    Add patronage:5. canask for help (become a client)6. can help others; can improve the world7. compete & support
  • 10.
    In practice, onecycle looks like this:
  • 11.
    Model ResultsFour differentresource settingsModel stops at 50 generations# of cycles it takes to reach that end point: stability, instabilityGenerated social networks: Network growthNetwork reach (participation rate)EmbeddednessCompare with real-world social networks
  • 12.
    Correspondence with observedbrick networks in first & second centuriesOther patterns‘strong’ network growth implications Occurs for particular settings for forest, mineral, and clayembeddedness
  • 13.
    Lab conclusionsPatterns ofinequalityWhat kind of growth?
  • 14.
    From the labto the real world: an agendaA framework for understanding... BUTNeed more & better network data from antiquityEpigraphy, prosopography, archaeometry, regional distribution studies, etc can provide thisA model is just a tool for sharpening thoughts. Model shortcomings & desiderata

Editor's Notes

  • #4 http://www.collectionscanada.gc.ca/innis-mcluhan/index-e.html Harold Innis, 1920s, photograph by H. James
  • #5 Prince of Wales (later Edward VII), Sept 1901http://www.forestryforum.com/board/index.php?action=printpage%3Btopic=18781.0%3Bimageshttp://www.theprovince.com/Vancouver+1880s/4563695/story.htmlhttp://www.unbf.ca/forestry/centers/cwru/soe/timeline.htmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timber_slide
  • #9 . create a world with a resource.2. allow agents to harvest that resource (they can see a certain distance within the world).3. movement in the world consumes the resource (they all have differing metabolisms).4. if agents consume more resource than they have on hand, they die.
  • #10 . agents could ask for help from those in their local neighborhood (thus becoming clients).6. helping other agents (ie, being a patron) increases prestige, which translates back into an enhanced ability to extract resources (a routine for euergetism).7. agents with high prestige compete against each other for even more prestige, drawing on the resources of those who owe them for their earlier help.http://www.history.com/photos/chester-a-arthur/photo4
  • #15 If we can encode our beliefs about the past, we can explore the unintended & emergent outcomes of those beliefs via modelling.