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A Commercial Space Market?
A BALANCED APPROACH
TOPICS
1. Balance1. Balance
2. Market2. Market
3. Aircraft3. Aircraft
4. Spaceport4. Spaceport
Balance
When considering opportunities
• Three basic options:
1. Do nothing
2. Do something
3. Do everything
• Specific to business markets
1. Outsource everything
2. Outsource something
3. Outsource nothing
Commercial Space-Joyrides
Virgin Galactic (airline) and Scaled Composites
(aircraft): innovators & current market share
holders - SUBORBITAL
– 34,000 have registered for flights
– $190,000 a ticket per flight for a total of $950,000 in
per-flight revenue (estimated in 2004)
– Initial ticket price of $200,000 (estimated in 2007)
– 50,000 customers to space in the first ten years of
operation (estimated in December 2005)
– The Virgin group consists of more than 200
companies around the world with expected annual
revenues of $10.7 billion in fiscal year 2005/6
– Other market entrants to include Rocketplane
(currently taking reservations at $250,000)
Commercial Space-Payloads
UP Aerospace at New Mexico’s spaceport
provides payload launches:
– All launch packages include: Professional
payload and launch support, Government and
Spaceport approvals, and conscientious
technical advice and assistance throughout
the entire project
– The flight in March was sold out. Commercial
and educational sectors represented 11
customer payloads flown onboard the
suborbital rocket
The NEXT Market
Orbital flights
– NASA’s new effort to purchase Commercial Orbital
Transportation Services—called COTS
– COTS funds available spread out over several years
is some $500 million
– NASA received over 90 proposals
Aircraft
• Suborbital:
– Human payload like Spaceship Two or
Rocketplane
– Nonhuman payload like UP Aerospace
• Orbital:
– Human payload like envisioned by NASA
COTS
– Nonhuman payload like envisioned by NASA
COTS
Spaceports
• New Mexico, United States of America
• Oklahoma Spaceport (Rocketplane)
• Ras Al-Khaimah, United Arab Emirates
• Spaceport Singapore
• Spaceport Sweden, Kiruna
• Baikonur Cosmodrome, Kazakhstan
• Woomera Range, Australia
• More in development…to include Dutch
colonies;-)
KLM
Markets
SUBORBIT
HUMAN
SUBORBIT
NONHUMAN
ORBIT
NONHUMAN
ORBIT
HUMAN
Summary
• Current markets are suborbital for human and
nonhuman payloads
– Immediate entrance with few competitors
– Relative low cost of market entrance
– Spaceship Two quote from Burt Rutan:
“I’m getting a commercial system going
for one reason: I don’t think anybody else will”.
“I think it’s really important for me to build a lot
of them,” he added, not just a few for Sir
Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic, “but a lot of
them.”
Advice for Developing a civilian space
enterprise: Follow the leaders
• Hire the right front office team
• Choose your sales force carefully
• Know your potential customers
• Create a unique product
• Design great marketing materials
• Pay attention to the legal paperwork
• Plan for the worst case
• Make customer service a priority
• Pick your agents and partners carefully
• Don’t make promises you aren’t sure you can keep
• State it over and over again that everything is going to be inherently
risky
Quoted from Derek Webber, Director of Spaceport Associates in
Rockville, Maryland

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A_Commercial_Space_Market

  • 1. A Commercial Space Market? A BALANCED APPROACH
  • 2. TOPICS 1. Balance1. Balance 2. Market2. Market 3. Aircraft3. Aircraft 4. Spaceport4. Spaceport
  • 3. Balance When considering opportunities • Three basic options: 1. Do nothing 2. Do something 3. Do everything • Specific to business markets 1. Outsource everything 2. Outsource something 3. Outsource nothing
  • 4. Commercial Space-Joyrides Virgin Galactic (airline) and Scaled Composites (aircraft): innovators & current market share holders - SUBORBITAL – 34,000 have registered for flights – $190,000 a ticket per flight for a total of $950,000 in per-flight revenue (estimated in 2004) – Initial ticket price of $200,000 (estimated in 2007) – 50,000 customers to space in the first ten years of operation (estimated in December 2005) – The Virgin group consists of more than 200 companies around the world with expected annual revenues of $10.7 billion in fiscal year 2005/6 – Other market entrants to include Rocketplane (currently taking reservations at $250,000)
  • 5. Commercial Space-Payloads UP Aerospace at New Mexico’s spaceport provides payload launches: – All launch packages include: Professional payload and launch support, Government and Spaceport approvals, and conscientious technical advice and assistance throughout the entire project – The flight in March was sold out. Commercial and educational sectors represented 11 customer payloads flown onboard the suborbital rocket
  • 6. The NEXT Market Orbital flights – NASA’s new effort to purchase Commercial Orbital Transportation Services—called COTS – COTS funds available spread out over several years is some $500 million – NASA received over 90 proposals
  • 7. Aircraft • Suborbital: – Human payload like Spaceship Two or Rocketplane – Nonhuman payload like UP Aerospace • Orbital: – Human payload like envisioned by NASA COTS – Nonhuman payload like envisioned by NASA COTS
  • 8. Spaceports • New Mexico, United States of America • Oklahoma Spaceport (Rocketplane) • Ras Al-Khaimah, United Arab Emirates • Spaceport Singapore • Spaceport Sweden, Kiruna • Baikonur Cosmodrome, Kazakhstan • Woomera Range, Australia • More in development…to include Dutch colonies;-)
  • 10. Summary • Current markets are suborbital for human and nonhuman payloads – Immediate entrance with few competitors – Relative low cost of market entrance – Spaceship Two quote from Burt Rutan: “I’m getting a commercial system going for one reason: I don’t think anybody else will”. “I think it’s really important for me to build a lot of them,” he added, not just a few for Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic, “but a lot of them.”
  • 11. Advice for Developing a civilian space enterprise: Follow the leaders • Hire the right front office team • Choose your sales force carefully • Know your potential customers • Create a unique product • Design great marketing materials • Pay attention to the legal paperwork • Plan for the worst case • Make customer service a priority • Pick your agents and partners carefully • Don’t make promises you aren’t sure you can keep • State it over and over again that everything is going to be inherently risky Quoted from Derek Webber, Director of Spaceport Associates in Rockville, Maryland