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University of St Thomas – MBA  Naren Herat and Grant Seipkes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cost Savings: 1% SG&A   3% SG&A 5% SG&A 1% COGS 1.5% COGS 2% COGS Worst  $36.5 Middle $39.5 Best $42.5  EV/EBITDA Multiples 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x EV $328.5 $365 $401.5 $355.5 $395 $434.5 $382.5 $425 $467.5 IRR 14.77% 17.21% 19.46% 16.59% 19.08% 21.37% 18.31% 20.83% 23.16% MOIC 1.99 2.21 2.43 2.15 2.39 2.63 2.32 2.58 2.83 NPV ($32.99) ($18.31) ($3.65) ($22.13) ($6.26) $9.62 ($11.28) $5.80 $22.88
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
% financed  with debt Debt/Equity After-tax  cost of debt Estimated beta Cost of equity WACC 25% 33% 4.80% 0.79 11.74% 10.01% 30% 43% 4.80% 0.83 11.98% 9.83% 35% 54% 4.80% 0.87 12.24% 9.64% 40% 67% 4.80% 0.92 12.54% 9.45% 45% 82% 4.80% 0.98 12.91% 9.26% 50% 100% 5.40% 1.06 13.34% 9.37% 55% 120% 6.00% 1.14 13.81% 9.52% 60% 150% 6.60% 1.25 14.52% 9.77%
% financed  with debt Debt/Equity After-tax  cost of debt Estimated beta Cost of equity WACC 45% 82% 4.80% 0.98 12.91% 9.26% CombinedCo EV 718 Debt 371 Equity 347 D/E 107% Percent financed with debt 52% Optimal after IPO 824 Debt 371 Equity 453 D/E 82% Percent financed with debt 45%
[object Object],CombinedCo EV 718 Debt 371 Equity 347 D/E 107% Percent financed with debt 52% Optimal after IPO 824 Debt 371 Equity 453 D/E 82% Percent financed with debt 45%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
*20% IRR  EV = 1440 EV/EBITDA multiple = 7.89x, 8.28x Best $182.59 Worst $173.89 EBITDA 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x EV 1643.31 1825.9 2008.49 1565.01 1738.9 1912.79 IRR 23.24% 25.87% 28.29% 22.04% 24.64% 27.04% MOIC 2.84 3.16 3.47 2.71 3.01 3.31 NPV $  82.41  $  155.79  $  229.17  $  50.94  $  120.82  $  190.71
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],9x $333   10x $370 11x $407 9x $369   10x $410 11x $451 9x $405   10x $450 11x $495
[object Object],*20% IRR  EV = 342 EV/EBITDA multiple = 7.60 @49% $198.5 $220.5 $242.5 IRR 23.67% 26.30% 28.73% MOIC 2.89x 3.21x 3.54x NPV $11.15 $20.01 $28.88
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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ACG Case Competition

  • 1. University of St Thomas – MBA Naren Herat and Grant Seipkes
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Cost Savings: 1% SG&A 3% SG&A 5% SG&A 1% COGS 1.5% COGS 2% COGS Worst $36.5 Middle $39.5 Best $42.5 EV/EBITDA Multiples 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x EV $328.5 $365 $401.5 $355.5 $395 $434.5 $382.5 $425 $467.5 IRR 14.77% 17.21% 19.46% 16.59% 19.08% 21.37% 18.31% 20.83% 23.16% MOIC 1.99 2.21 2.43 2.15 2.39 2.63 2.32 2.58 2.83 NPV ($32.99) ($18.31) ($3.65) ($22.13) ($6.26) $9.62 ($11.28) $5.80 $22.88
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. % financed with debt Debt/Equity After-tax cost of debt Estimated beta Cost of equity WACC 25% 33% 4.80% 0.79 11.74% 10.01% 30% 43% 4.80% 0.83 11.98% 9.83% 35% 54% 4.80% 0.87 12.24% 9.64% 40% 67% 4.80% 0.92 12.54% 9.45% 45% 82% 4.80% 0.98 12.91% 9.26% 50% 100% 5.40% 1.06 13.34% 9.37% 55% 120% 6.00% 1.14 13.81% 9.52% 60% 150% 6.60% 1.25 14.52% 9.77%
  • 10. % financed with debt Debt/Equity After-tax cost of debt Estimated beta Cost of equity WACC 45% 82% 4.80% 0.98 12.91% 9.26% CombinedCo EV 718 Debt 371 Equity 347 D/E 107% Percent financed with debt 52% Optimal after IPO 824 Debt 371 Equity 453 D/E 82% Percent financed with debt 45%
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. *20% IRR EV = 1440 EV/EBITDA multiple = 7.89x, 8.28x Best $182.59 Worst $173.89 EBITDA 9x 10x 11x 9x 10x 11x EV 1643.31 1825.9 2008.49 1565.01 1738.9 1912.79 IRR 23.24% 25.87% 28.29% 22.04% 24.64% 27.04% MOIC 2.84 3.16 3.47 2.71 3.01 3.31 NPV $ 82.41 $ 155.79 $ 229.17 $ 50.94 $ 120.82 $ 190.71
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.

Editor's Notes

  1. $40 million puts us over bank debt/ebitda threshold