Strategies for Developing High-Quality
Survey Instruments
John F. McCauley
Associate Professor, University of Maryland
Pew Research Center
November 30, 2017
Focus:
Innovations in Survey Experimental Questionnaires
Overt Measures; Stated Support for VE:
1. “Violence against civilians to defend religion can
be justified.”
(2. Violence in the name of Islam can be justified)
(3. Violence can be justified to solve problems)
Covert Measures; True Support for VE:
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination. Would you say that you
are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s
leaders likely oppose. Would you say that
you are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
Advantages:
1. Causal Inference
Support for
Vaccination
Plan
Advantages:
1. Causal Inference
2. Exposes Social Desirability Bias
Advantages:
1. Causal Inference
2. Exposes Social Desirability Bias
3. Respondent Engagement
Challenges:
1. Basic Comprehension Levels
2. Multiple Local Languages
3. Consistency bias, order effects
4. Assuming the General from the Specific
5. Enumerator Fallibility
Strategies:
1. Short, simple questions
Covert Measures; True Support for VE:
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination. Would you say that you
are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s
leaders likely oppose. Would you say that
you are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
Alternative:
“The government is considering shutting
down schools in some areas of the North.
Would you say that you are in favor or
against this plan?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering shutting
down schools in some areas of the North,
which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely
support. Would you say that you are in
favor or against this plan?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
Alternative:
“The government is considering shutting
down schools in some areas of the North.
Would you say that you are in favor or
against this plan?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering shutting
down schools in some areas of the North,
which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely
support. Would you say that you are in
favor or against this plan?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
In favor of policy =
In favor of terrorist group
Strategies:
1. Short, simple questions
2. Include overt and experimental measures
Strategies:
1. Short, simple questions
2. Include overt and experimental measures
3. Include multiple measures and vary placement
Strategies:
1. Short, simple questions
2. Include overt and experimental measures
3. Include multiple measures and vary placement
4. Vary treatment (endorsement)
Covert Measures; True Support for VE:
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination. Would you say that you
are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s
leaders likely oppose. Would you say that
you are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
Alternative 2:
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination. Would you say that you
are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination, which Boko Haram’s
leaders likely oppose. Would you say that
you are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination. Would you say that you
are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
“The government is considering a national
polio vaccination, which Boko Haram’s
leaders likely oppose. Would you say that
you are in favor or against this initiative?”
In favor
Against
Don’t know/no answer
Control Treatment
Controls for specific
endorser effect
Alternative 2:
7. McCauley Presentation

7. McCauley Presentation

  • 1.
    Strategies for DevelopingHigh-Quality Survey Instruments John F. McCauley Associate Professor, University of Maryland Pew Research Center November 30, 2017
  • 3.
    Focus: Innovations in SurveyExperimental Questionnaires
  • 4.
    Overt Measures; StatedSupport for VE: 1. “Violence against civilians to defend religion can be justified.” (2. Violence in the name of Islam can be justified) (3. Violence can be justified to solve problems)
  • 5.
    Covert Measures; TrueSupport for VE: “The government is considering a national polio vaccination. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering a national polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely oppose. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
    Advantages: 1. Causal Inference 2.Exposes Social Desirability Bias
  • 10.
    Advantages: 1. Causal Inference 2.Exposes Social Desirability Bias 3. Respondent Engagement
  • 12.
    Challenges: 1. Basic ComprehensionLevels 2. Multiple Local Languages 3. Consistency bias, order effects 4. Assuming the General from the Specific 5. Enumerator Fallibility
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Covert Measures; TrueSupport for VE: “The government is considering a national polio vaccination. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering a national polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely oppose. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment
  • 15.
    Alternative: “The government isconsidering shutting down schools in some areas of the North. Would you say that you are in favor or against this plan?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering shutting down schools in some areas of the North, which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely support. Would you say that you are in favor or against this plan?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment
  • 16.
    Alternative: “The government isconsidering shutting down schools in some areas of the North. Would you say that you are in favor or against this plan?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering shutting down schools in some areas of the North, which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely support. Would you say that you are in favor or against this plan?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment In favor of policy = In favor of terrorist group
  • 17.
    Strategies: 1. Short, simplequestions 2. Include overt and experimental measures
  • 18.
    Strategies: 1. Short, simplequestions 2. Include overt and experimental measures 3. Include multiple measures and vary placement
  • 19.
    Strategies: 1. Short, simplequestions 2. Include overt and experimental measures 3. Include multiple measures and vary placement 4. Vary treatment (endorsement)
  • 20.
    Covert Measures; TrueSupport for VE: “The government is considering a national polio vaccination. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering a national polio vaccination, which Al Qaeda IM’s leaders likely oppose. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment
  • 21.
    Alternative 2: “The governmentis considering a national polio vaccination. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering a national polio vaccination, which Boko Haram’s leaders likely oppose. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment
  • 22.
    “The government isconsidering a national polio vaccination. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer “The government is considering a national polio vaccination, which Boko Haram’s leaders likely oppose. Would you say that you are in favor or against this initiative?” In favor Against Don’t know/no answer Control Treatment Controls for specific endorser effect Alternative 2: