The document provides an earnings summary and outlook for Bladex for 4Q16 and full year 2016. Key highlights include:
- Net interest income grew 7% in 2016 due to higher net lending rates despite lower average portfolio balances.
- Provisions increased due to higher expected credit losses on certain exposures.
- Operating expenses declined due to lower variable compensation and cost savings.
- Bladex expects portfolio growth of around 10% in 2017 with continued diversification and cost control remaining priorities.
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2. “This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions established
by the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties.
The forward-looking statements in this presentation reflect the expectations of the Bank’s management and are based on currently
available data; however, actual experience with respect to these factors is subject to future events and uncertainties, which could
materially impact the Bank’s expectations. A number of factors could cause actual performance and results to differ materially from
those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the anticipated growth of the Bank’s
credit portfolio, including its trade finance portfolio; the continuation of the Bank’s preferred creditor status; the impact of increasing
interest rates and of the macroeconomic environment in the Region on the Bank’s financial condition; the execution of the Bank’s
strategies and initiatives, including its revenue diversification strategy; the adequacy of the Bank’s allowance for credit losses; the
need for additional provisions for credit losses; the Bank’s ability to achieve future growth, the Bank’s ability to reduce its liquidity
levels and increase its leverage; the Bank’s ability to maintain its investment-grade credit ratings; the availability and mix of future
sources of funding for the Bank’s lending operations; potential trading losses; the possibility of fraud; and the adequacy of the
Bank’s sources of liquidity to replace large deposit withdrawals.”
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3. 2016 Highlights
- Bladex reinforced core competencies in portfolio focus on short-term trade finance
- Unexpected economic events globally and a downturn in Latin-American
economies increased volatility and credit risk in the Region
- Greater diversification and lower concentration risk in our portfolio
• More diversified book of business
• Strong syndication and loan structuring
franchise in a dismal year for LatAm debt
capital markets
• Higher net revenues as the result of
disciplined pricing and very focused
asset & liability management
• Declining expenses (variable
compensation and other expenses) while
investing in technology
• Strong liquidity and funding mix with
increased capitalization levels
ACHIEVEMENTS
• Overall portfolio growth below
expectations, with selective retreat from
certain exposures
• Problem exposures identified over the
2015/2016 economic down-cycle have
risen YoY, but stay relatively confined to
specific countries, industries and clients
• Level of complexity of the restructuring
efforts, time to resolution and associated
loss expectations greater than expected
• Provisions for expected credit losses
(“ECL”) impacting the P&L, resulting in
strengthened reserve coverage
CHALLENGES
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4. • Remain positive on expected portfolio growth (circa 10% YoY), with emphasis on
short term trade
• Continued diversification of exposures (Countries, Sectors and Clients)
• Fees and commissions growth based on L/Cs demand recovery and more
constructive debt capital markets
• Cost control focus remains with efficiency ratio <30%
• Expect lower pressure from provisions subject to NPL decline, but maintain
conservative reserve approach based on continually updated, forward-looking
expected loss
• Target double-digit RoE as capitalization stays robust
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2017 Outlook
Cautiously optimistic for 2017 as Latin America shows improving economic
conditions across countries, but alert for the challenges arising from a
potentially more protectionist developed world
Determined to continue to build on Bladex’s fundamental strengths and
resilience to achieve higher levels of profitability and performance in 2017
5. 2016 Achievements:
• NII growth despite lower average earning assets driven by higher net lending rates and
focused asset & liability management
• Decreased operating expenses mostly from:
- Lower performance-based variable compensation expense
- Other cost savings from process improvements
2016 Challenges:
• Higher provisions for ECL on certain exposures
• Lower fees and commissions in L/Cs business as issuances partially compensated
reduction in confirmation activity
5
Full Year Business Profit Evolution
(*) Business Profit: Profit before «Non-core» items
* *
6. • Higher provisions for ECL on certain exposures
• NII flat YoY, -5% QoQ reflecting portfolio mix shift towards shorter
tenors and lower average portfolio balances
• Fees and Other Income rebound QoQ as L/Cs business strengthened,
lower YoY on spike in 4Q15 closings in syndication business
• Operating expenses increased QoQ on seasonal effects, but 7% lower
YoY
6
Quarterly Business Profit Evolution
(*) Business Profit: Profit before «Non-core» items
* * * *
7. • Full Year Net Interest Income up 7% YoY as higher margins help offset lower
portfolio balances; QoQ variation reflecting lower average portfolio and mix shift
• Strong NIM growth, surpassing 2% level on improved lending spreads, despite
tenor mix shift towards short term trade, along with the favorable positioning of
assets and liabilities in a rising interest rate environment
7
Net Interest Income & Financial Margins
8. • Cost effective funding mix with average CoF
rising at slower pace than underlying base rate
• Deposits up to 46% in overall funding mix from
39% as of December 31, 2015
• Executed first Tokyo Pro-Bond market issuance
Funding Sources and Cost of Funds
Deposits by Type of Client
(As of December 31, 2016)
Funding Sources by Geography
(As of December 31, 2016)
Funding Sources
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+28 pbs +3 pbs
+28 pbs
+5 pbs
9. • Continued re-balancing of portfolio
profile for greater diversification
and lower concentration risk
• Short-term and trade mix both
increased +10 ppts. YoY to 60%,
66% respectively
• Brazil exposure stabilized at 18%,
down from 23% in YE’15
• Country/sector/client
concentrations dialed down 9
Commercial Portfolio Highlights
* Matures within one year
10. • Overall well balanced sector exposure
• Focus on key trade oriented sectors with
favorable terms-of-trade
• Oil & Gas exposure shift to Integrated;
Upstream exposures at multi-year lows
• Commercial portfolio remaining maturity of
269 days from 330 days at YE’15
Regional Exposure by Industry as of December 31, 2016
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Commercial Portfolio Exposure by Industry
11. • Multi-year de-concentration trend
• Brazil’s portfolio focused on large FIs
and export-oriented industries enjoying
favorable terms-of-trade 11
Commercial Portfolio – Brazil Exposure Update
(As of December 31, 2016)
12. • Problem exposures identified over the 2015/2016 economic down-cycle
have risen YoY, giving rise to NPL and provisions for ECL, but stay
relatively confined to specific countries, industries and clients
• NPL down to $65MM (1.09%) in 4Q from $84MM (1.31%) in 3Q,
mainly from charge-off of Upstream Oil & Gas exposure following
completed restructuring
- Charge-off in line with specific reserve established in 2015 for
ECL
• Brazil represents 3/4 of all NPL exposure (from 59% in 3Q)
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Credit Quality - NPL
13. IFRS Rule 9 - Stage 1: Collectively assessed performing exposures based on 12-month ECL; IFRS Rule 9 - Stage 2: Performing exposures assessed based on lifetime ECL; IFRS Rule 9 - Stage 3: Credit-impaired financial assets (“NPL”) based on
lifetime ECL
• Total allowance for ECL of $111.8MM, +$16.4MM YoY, flat vs. 3Q16:
- (+) Higher provision for NPL (Stage 3) reflecting sluggish restructuring progress
- (+) Higher provision for performing Stage 2 loans on lifetime expected losses
- (-) Lower requirement for performing Stage 1 loans on 12-month expected losses
- (-) Charge-off of Upstream Oil & Gas exposure following completed restructuring 13
Credit Quality - Allowances
14. • YoY Variation:
- Bladex Syndications franchise grew transacted volumes and # of closed deals (+76%
and +43% respectively) in depressed LatAm debt capital markets
- Structuring fees declined YoY on lower average fee per transaction
- Lower fees and commissions in L/Cs business as issuances partially compensated
reduction in confirmation activity
• QoQ Variation:
- 2 syndicated transactions in 4Q16 vs. 3 in 3Q16
- L/Cs business rebound on improved demand and client diversification 14
Fees & Other Income
15. • Full Year Business Efficiency ratio improves to 26% on higher
business income and lower operating expenses:
- Lower variable performance-based compensation expense
- Cost take-out from process improvements
15
Operating Expenses and Efficiency Ratios
16. • Business ROAE down 2016 vs. 2015 on increased provision for ECL and higher
capital base
• Tier 1 Basel III ratio strengthens to 17.9% on increased capital base (+3% YoY) and
lower RWAs (-7% YoY) reflecting lower portfolio balances
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ROAE and Capitalization
17. • Bladex shares offered a 2016
Total Rate of Return of 21%,
including dividend yield of
5.9%
• Annual dividend per share
unchanged at $1.54/share
• $0.385/share declared for
4Q16 (5.4% annualized yield)
• Valuations remain very
attractive at consensus 10.5x
forward 12-month P/E, and
1.1x (P/BV) as of December
31, 2016
Source: SNL Financial, based on 23 Latin American peers of Argentina,
Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Panama
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Shareholder Returns
Source: Bloomberg Financial L.P.