STEEL INDUSTRY ANALYSIS




                JOSNI JOSEPH
                AMIT SINGH
                TEJDIPSINH
AGENDA
   Industry Overview
   Industry Value chain & Structure
   Market size and Growth
   Industry Growth and segment
   Major players and Competition
   Technology
   Regulation
   Issue and Concerns
   Growth Drivers
   Outlook
Industry Overview

   Production wise India accounts 3.93% of total steel production
    globally.
   India is a 5th largest steel producer globally and china at first position.
   Steel industry contribution to GDP is 1.2%.
   Currently India has 59.58mt installation Capacity for 2008-09.
   The growth rate of 1.23% over last year with capacity utilisation at
    89%
   The exports decreased by 26% at 3.77mt while imports decline 18%
    at 5.77mt for 2008-09.
   The steel industry is expected to achieve a steel production Capacity
    of nearly 124mt by year 2011-12.
   Steel sector is expected to generate additional employment of
    around 4 million by 2020.
Global Scenario
                                                             World steel production
 Global crude steel production
  reached 1.33bnt in 2008.
                                               600
 China is the largest producer                500
  with 502mtn with 2.06%                       400
  growth.




                                  mn. tonnes
                                               300
 India may become second                      200
  largest steel producer in the                100

  world by 2015.                                 0




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                                                 www.steel.nic.in.
Steel making process

Iron ore                      Fluxes                      Coal



             Sinter plant                    Coke plant



                            Blast Furnace



                      LD1                         LD2


                    Slab caster          Continuous billet caster

                      Slabs


   Hot strip mill     Cold strip mill   Billets    Merchant mill    Wire mill
Market size and Growth
 Production of steel
  gradually increases
 The industry is 60%
                                                    Steel production and Growth rate
  organized.
                                         60000                                                     14
 Per Capita steel                                                                                 12
                                         50000
  consumption is 45 kgs,

                           '000 tonnes
                                         40000                                                     10
                                                                                                   8
  leaving scope for                      30000




                                                                                                        %
                                                                                                   6
                                         20000
  further increase in                    10000
                                                                                                   4
                                                                                                   2
  production.                               0                                                      0
                                                 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

                                                              Production    Growth rate




                                                             www.steel.nic.in
Segments of steel
   Technology:
       Basic oxygen furnace
       Electric arc furnace
       Induction furnace
   Products
       Flat iron
       Long iron
   Value chain
        Integrated steel producers
        Secondary steel producers
   Customers
        Construction
        Transport equipment
        others
Major Players
                                                         Sales of Top Ten Players For The Year 2008-09



• In India, Public Sector             600


  companies contributes 32%           400



  of total production.




                                  R
                                  n
                                  b
                                  s
                                  .
                                      200




• SAIL,Tata steel and JSW
                                        0
                                            Tata Steel       SAIL      JSW      RINL      ISPAT      Bhushan Steel Uttam Steel   Lloyds Steel Essar Steel   Mukand Ltd
                                                                                                         Ltd.          Ltd.


  steel are major three
  players.                                                                               Sales (Rs. Bn)




• The market leader as per
  installed capacity is SAIL
  with capacity of 15.2 Mt
• Tata steel is the 2nd largest
  player after SAIL.


                                            www.steel.nic.in
Herfindal Index
Company                             Net sales            Market share           Index value

TATA STEEL                                      253950                  55.03                 3027.828

SAIL                                            100391                  21.75                  473.172

ISPAT                                           20480                    4.44                   19.691

JSW                                             47565                   10.31                  106.221

BHUSHAN                                         12985                    2.81                    7.916

BSL LTD.                                         546.4                   0.12                    0.014

STEEL CO OF GUJRAT                              1142.8                   0.25                    0.061

JSPL                                            24453                    5.30                   28.073

TOTAL                                           461512                                   3662.976


It implies that the competition in the steel industry is medium to high and
with high concentration.
Michel Porter Analysis
   Threat of Entry: Low to moderate

   Bargaining power of Buyer: Moderate to high due to high
    competition

   Bargaining power of Supplier: Moderate to high

   Threat of substitute: Low

   Competitive Rivalry: Moderate to high but compared to
    other industry its still low
Technology
•   Two main Technology used: Basic
    Arc furnace and Electric Arc
    Furnace                              Crude steel production by Process Route
•   Cost competitiveness & quality
    improvement initiatives
                                                 Induction
•   Auto operation of blast furnace             Furnace(IF)
                                                                    Basic Oxygen
    charging conveyors resulting in                33%
                                                                    Furnace(BOF)
                                                                        47%
    downtime of conveyors& increase
                                                     Electric Arc
    in Hot metal production                         Furnace(EAF)
                                                        20%




                                      Sail.nic.in
Regulation
   Currently 100% FDI allowed.
   Trade policy has been liberalized
   Excise duty cuts to 8 %, Import duty cuts to 5%
   Full utilization of ppp(public, private, partnership) in development of
    infrastructure
   Govt. policy allows private capital in port development so that steel
    producers would be encouraged to develop port and berth facilities
    so as to improve steel productivity
National Steel Policy 2005
   To enhance the indigenous steel production to 110 MT per annum by 2019-20 from
    the 04-05 level of 38MT, implying a compounded annual growth rate of 7.3%.

   To boost steel consumption in the rural areas.

    Developing of risk-hedging instruments like futures and derivatives to contain price
    volatility in the steel market.

    To strengthen the existing training and research facilities available to the domestic
    steel industry.

   Protection of industry from unfair trade practices resulting in integration of the Indian
    and global industry especially in periods of downturn.

   To boost exports govt. will support all efforts to make available export credit, provide
    trade information, and cut transaction costs in general.
Issues and Concerns
 Unscientific Mining
 Coking coal import dependence
 Low R&D investment
 High cost of Debt
 Inadequate Infrastructure
 Low productivity
 China becoming the net exporter
Growth Drivers
   Key Growth Drivers: Construction, Automobiles, Infrastructure,
    Consumer durable, oil and Gas.
   Huge source iron ore, Cheap Labour, quality man power.
   Mostly Steel plants are located near the Raw material Sources.
   Reduction in custom duty in respect of non-alloy steel production.
   The Counter Vailing Duty on the TMT roads and bars reduced from
    14% to Nil.
   The ministry of steel has approved 59 R&D projects costing Rs.408
    crores, which work on:
   Merger and Acquisition has evolved to be one of the major growth
    drivers in the industry leading to economic of scale.
OUTLOOK
   Indian Steel Co. acquiring stakes in the foreign firms to become
    global leaders.
   Target to achieve an export ratio of around 25% of total production.
   Target of 110mT by 2020.
   Demand in automobile and infrastructure will lead to growth in steel
    industry
    Per capita consumption is 40 kg compare to 150kg globally, which
    has potential ahead.
   Shortage of Cocking coal will be huge challenge.
     World steel demand to double in next 25 years, a huge opporunities
       for the steel industry.
   Upcoming Budget certainly will have great impact on steel industry
    future.
Thank

29015646 steel-industry-analysis-2010

  • 1.
    STEEL INDUSTRY ANALYSIS  JOSNI JOSEPH  AMIT SINGH  TEJDIPSINH
  • 2.
    AGENDA  Industry Overview  Industry Value chain & Structure  Market size and Growth  Industry Growth and segment  Major players and Competition  Technology  Regulation  Issue and Concerns  Growth Drivers  Outlook
  • 3.
    Industry Overview  Production wise India accounts 3.93% of total steel production globally.  India is a 5th largest steel producer globally and china at first position.  Steel industry contribution to GDP is 1.2%.  Currently India has 59.58mt installation Capacity for 2008-09.  The growth rate of 1.23% over last year with capacity utilisation at 89%  The exports decreased by 26% at 3.77mt while imports decline 18% at 5.77mt for 2008-09.  The steel industry is expected to achieve a steel production Capacity of nearly 124mt by year 2011-12.  Steel sector is expected to generate additional employment of around 4 million by 2020.
  • 4.
    Global Scenario World steel production  Global crude steel production reached 1.33bnt in 2008. 600  China is the largest producer 500 with 502mtn with 2.06% 400 growth. mn. tonnes 300  India may become second 200 largest steel producer in the 100 world by 2015. 0 US ia ly ina n il ia ne az y pa Ind Ita ss an Ge a Ch rai Br Ja re Ru rm Uk Ko uth So www.steel.nic.in.
  • 5.
    Steel making process Ironore Fluxes Coal Sinter plant Coke plant Blast Furnace LD1 LD2 Slab caster Continuous billet caster Slabs Hot strip mill Cold strip mill Billets Merchant mill Wire mill
  • 6.
    Market size andGrowth  Production of steel gradually increases  The industry is 60% Steel production and Growth rate organized. 60000 14  Per Capita steel 12 50000 consumption is 45 kgs, '000 tonnes 40000 10 8 leaving scope for 30000 % 6 20000 further increase in 10000 4 2 production. 0 0 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 Production Growth rate www.steel.nic.in
  • 7.
    Segments of steel  Technology:  Basic oxygen furnace  Electric arc furnace  Induction furnace  Products  Flat iron  Long iron  Value chain  Integrated steel producers  Secondary steel producers  Customers  Construction  Transport equipment  others
  • 8.
    Major Players Sales of Top Ten Players For The Year 2008-09 • In India, Public Sector 600 companies contributes 32% 400 of total production. R n b s . 200 • SAIL,Tata steel and JSW 0 Tata Steel SAIL JSW RINL ISPAT Bhushan Steel Uttam Steel Lloyds Steel Essar Steel Mukand Ltd Ltd. Ltd. steel are major three players. Sales (Rs. Bn) • The market leader as per installed capacity is SAIL with capacity of 15.2 Mt • Tata steel is the 2nd largest player after SAIL. www.steel.nic.in
  • 9.
    Herfindal Index Company Net sales Market share Index value TATA STEEL 253950 55.03 3027.828 SAIL 100391 21.75 473.172 ISPAT 20480 4.44 19.691 JSW 47565 10.31 106.221 BHUSHAN 12985 2.81 7.916 BSL LTD. 546.4 0.12 0.014 STEEL CO OF GUJRAT 1142.8 0.25 0.061 JSPL 24453 5.30 28.073 TOTAL 461512 3662.976 It implies that the competition in the steel industry is medium to high and with high concentration.
  • 10.
    Michel Porter Analysis  Threat of Entry: Low to moderate  Bargaining power of Buyer: Moderate to high due to high competition  Bargaining power of Supplier: Moderate to high   Threat of substitute: Low  Competitive Rivalry: Moderate to high but compared to other industry its still low
  • 11.
    Technology • Two main Technology used: Basic Arc furnace and Electric Arc Furnace Crude steel production by Process Route • Cost competitiveness & quality improvement initiatives Induction • Auto operation of blast furnace Furnace(IF) Basic Oxygen charging conveyors resulting in 33% Furnace(BOF) 47% downtime of conveyors& increase Electric Arc in Hot metal production Furnace(EAF) 20% Sail.nic.in
  • 12.
    Regulation  Currently 100% FDI allowed.  Trade policy has been liberalized  Excise duty cuts to 8 %, Import duty cuts to 5%  Full utilization of ppp(public, private, partnership) in development of infrastructure  Govt. policy allows private capital in port development so that steel producers would be encouraged to develop port and berth facilities so as to improve steel productivity
  • 13.
    National Steel Policy2005  To enhance the indigenous steel production to 110 MT per annum by 2019-20 from the 04-05 level of 38MT, implying a compounded annual growth rate of 7.3%.  To boost steel consumption in the rural areas.  Developing of risk-hedging instruments like futures and derivatives to contain price volatility in the steel market.  To strengthen the existing training and research facilities available to the domestic steel industry.  Protection of industry from unfair trade practices resulting in integration of the Indian and global industry especially in periods of downturn.  To boost exports govt. will support all efforts to make available export credit, provide trade information, and cut transaction costs in general.
  • 14.
    Issues and Concerns Unscientific Mining  Coking coal import dependence  Low R&D investment  High cost of Debt  Inadequate Infrastructure  Low productivity  China becoming the net exporter
  • 15.
    Growth Drivers  Key Growth Drivers: Construction, Automobiles, Infrastructure, Consumer durable, oil and Gas.  Huge source iron ore, Cheap Labour, quality man power.  Mostly Steel plants are located near the Raw material Sources.  Reduction in custom duty in respect of non-alloy steel production.  The Counter Vailing Duty on the TMT roads and bars reduced from 14% to Nil.  The ministry of steel has approved 59 R&D projects costing Rs.408 crores, which work on:  Merger and Acquisition has evolved to be one of the major growth drivers in the industry leading to economic of scale.
  • 16.
    OUTLOOK  Indian Steel Co. acquiring stakes in the foreign firms to become global leaders.  Target to achieve an export ratio of around 25% of total production.  Target of 110mT by 2020.  Demand in automobile and infrastructure will lead to growth in steel industry  Per capita consumption is 40 kg compare to 150kg globally, which has potential ahead.  Shortage of Cocking coal will be huge challenge.  World steel demand to double in next 25 years, a huge opporunities for the steel industry.  Upcoming Budget certainly will have great impact on steel industry future.
  • 17.