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2018 Community Data Book – Part 2
Data Produced in Partnership with:
Index
• Geography 3
• Income 10
• Demography 23
• Population Growth 33
• Migration 44
• Population Projecting 55
• Employment & Commuting 65
• Retail Sales and Economy 121
• Cost of Living 147
• Visitor Spending 152
• Education 162
• Housing 231
• Orange County Land Value 265
• Crime 274
• Property Taxes 280
• Health Indicators 284
• Poverty 307
• Water Sales 331
• Summary 335
Education: Public Schools
Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$8,588
$8,742
$10,180
$10,641
$11,012
$11,601
$12,017
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Asheville City Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
#CHCSOTC
Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$1,826
$2,537
$3,463
$3,556
$4,281
$4,880
$6,151
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Asheville City Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure
Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$4,461
$4,619
$4,637
$5,010
$5,195
$5,240
$4,831
$4,768
$4,971
$4,891
$4,883
$5,170
$5,249
$5,343
$464
$460
$446
$427
$477
$507
$840
$1,019
$503
$502
$475
$560
$535
$524
$4,180
$4,092
$4,107
$4,495
$4,907
$5,214
$4,934
$4,779
$5,075
$5,341
$5,514
$5,618
$5,879
$6,151
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
State PPE Federal PPE Local PPE
#CHCSOTC
Local School Dropout Rate Declines
2000 through 2017
Source: NC DPI
1.9%
CHCCS
0.8%
5.2%
Orange
2.0%
5.7% NC
2.3%
CHCCS Orange NC
#CHCSOTC
Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year
Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCS
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
CHCCS
Orange
Chatham
NC
Wake
Durham
Alamance-
Burlington
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly
Equal to CHCCS
Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
CHCCS
90%
90%
Orange
67%
89%
Chatham
67%
88%
NC
68% 87%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year of Graduation
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC
Average SAT Evidence Based Reading and Writing (ERW)
Score 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
568
573
621
522
539
520
542
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
Average SAT Math Score 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
562
559
611
505
524
521
532
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
#CHCSOTC
Average SAT Total Scores 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
1,130
1,133 1,231
1,027
1,063
1,041
1,074
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
60%
50%
70%
38%
58%
47%
52%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
48% 48%
66%
28%
45%
38% 40%
Wake County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17
Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
63%
55%
72%
41%
57%
47%
54%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17
Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
67%
56%
74%
45%
60%
53%
58%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
#CHCSOTC
Grades 3-8 Math EOG "College and Career Ready", 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
28%
23% 26% 23%
28% 26% 30%
60%
56%
65%
72%
66%
83%
74%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-2016 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
80
47
39
92
77
55
43
89
Asian Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Subgroups
Grade 3 Reading EOG "Grade Level Proficient"
44
52 49
26
52
56 58
36
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2016 2017
Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-16 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
44
34
71
35
29
74
Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-16 vs. 2016-17 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
39 36
72
35
42
78
Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"
2014-2017
79.1 77.4
34
54.5
43.6 42.8
91.5 88.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017
Asian Black Hispanic White
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient“
2014-2017
34
54.5
43.6 42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic
Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between
White and Black Student Performance
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
27.1
29.8
27.4
39.1
2014 2015 2016 2017
Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between
White and Black Student Performance
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
37.7
29.2
33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017
CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black
Student Performance
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.4
44.9
34
2014 2015 2016 2017
EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
69%
65%
76%
49%
71%
57%
64%
60%
50%
70%
38%
58%
47%
52%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
67%
56%
74%
45%
60%
53%
58%57%
46%
67%
35%
49%
43% 46%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
53% 55%
72%
33%
52%
43% 46%48% 48%
66%
28%
45%
38% 40%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
63%
55%
72%
41%
57%
47%
54%51%
43%
64%
31%
43%
37%
42%
Wake County Schools Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
City Schools
Durham Public
Schools
Chatham County
Schools
Alamance-Burlington
Schools
North Carolina (All
Students)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Graduation Rates Increasing
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
2%
17%
10%
23%
12%
29%
16%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-
Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
28%
34%
13%
34%
28%
42%
31%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-
Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
17%
90%
17%
43% 46%
89%
76%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-
Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate
Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
26%
33%
8%
38% 40%
57%
30%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-
Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
13%
7%
12%
24%
33%
3%
32%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-
Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)
47 48
54
68
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2016-17 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
48%
42%
52%
35%
53%
69%
57%
33% 29%
34%
22%
33%
28% 29%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
All Students EDS
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
43%
33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%
76%
67%
75%
81% 82%
91%
83%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
Black vs. White Students Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College
and Career Ready” by County
2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 or 5)
43%
33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%
76%
67%
75%
81% 82%
91%
83%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
76
60
73
81
27
21
2825
38
33
4138
596265
82
State of North CarolinaChatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Schools
Asian Black Hispanic White
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
82
68
8285
44
31
38
47
53
30
5352
7571
76
92
State of North CarolinaChatham County
Schools
Orange County SchoolsChapel Hill-Carrboro
Schools
Asian Black Hispanic White
Orange County Subgroups Grade 8 Science EOG "College and
Career Ready"
2016 vs. 2017
44
52 49
26
52
56 58
36
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2016 2017
Black Students Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career
Ready"
2014 - 2017
59.3
46.5
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
Hispanic Students Grade 8 EOG "College and Career Ready"
60.7
57.4
0
20
40
60
80
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
EDS Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
Economically Disadvantaged Students 2014-2017
52.2%
49.4%
0
20
40
60
80
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
SWD Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
2014-2017
25.6
35.6
39.4 39.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
Orange County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"
2014-2017
46
35
37 29
73 74
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic White
Chatham County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level
Proficient"
2014-2017
38.3 35.2
43.8 41.8
76 78
0
20
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic White
Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between
White and Black Student
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.4
44.9
34
27.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.7
29.2
33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between
White and Black Students
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.4
44.9
34
27.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.7
29.2 33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black
Students
Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.4
44.9
34
27.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.7
29.2
33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Education: Durham Tech
Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance
2017
Source: Durham Tech
84.50%
97%
76%
95% 100% 94%
Transfer
Performance
(2015-2016)
Practical
Nursing
Registered
Nursing
EMT EMT-P Esthetician
#CHCSOTC
49%
of CHCCS or OCS graduates
received financial aid from
Durham Tech (2013-2018)
Source: Durham Tech
#CHCSOTC
Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
Total Seats Offered and Total Seats Filled at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
Source: Durham Tech
3,207
3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 3406
2,552 2,731
2,420 2,360 2,368 2,322
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled
#CHCSOTC
Credit Classes Offered and Total Seats Used At Durham Tech
Orange County Campus, 2011-12 - 2017-18
Source: Durham Tech
83 150 153 138 140 141 143
1,418
2,582
2,789
2,459 2,401 2,403 2,344
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Classes Offered Total Seats Used
#CHCSOTC
Continuing Education Offered and Total Seats Used
Durham Tech Orange County Campus, 2011-12 through 2017-18
Source: Durham Tech
269 245 215 188 213 204 237
4,063
3,623
3,087
2,686
3,071 3,274
3,686
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Classes Offered Total Seats Used
#CHCSOTC
Education: UNC Chapel Hill
State Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill
Source: OIRA
$500 million
$543 million
in 2008
$107,782,727$
108 million$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980 - 2017
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat
Source: OIRA
$3.2 billion
$500 million
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
Revenues Appropriations
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 20 Million square feet
Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus
Source: OIRA
20.1 million17.8 million
in 2008
7.8 million
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
#CHCSOTC
UNC Annual Research Funding nears $900 million
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$898 million
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
Millions
#CHCSOTC
Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980 - 2017
Source: OIRA
$2.95
billion
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
Billions
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Nearing 30,000
Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2017
29,911
28,567 in 2008
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981
#CHCSOTC
UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
Source: UNC Fact Book, Office of Institutional Research & Assessment (OIRA)
Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017
N % N % N % N % N %
Resident Student
Housing 8,614 30% 8,520 29% 8,113 28% 8,033 27% 8,076 27%
Married Student
Housing 366 1% 321 1% 374 1% 465 2% 485 2%
Off-Campus
18,091 62% 18,238 63% 18,541 64% 18,927 64% 19,300 65%
Fraternity &
Sorority 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 834 3%
Other University
Affiliated Housing
(Granville Towers) 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,203 4% 1,216 4%
Total 29,127 100% 29,135 100% 209,084 100% 29,469 100% 29,911 100%
2017 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
Resident
Student
Housing,
8,076, 27%
Married Student Housing,
485, 2%
Off-Campus,
19,300, 64%
Fraternity & Sorority,
834, 3%
Other University Affiliated Housing
(Granville Towers), 1,216, 4%
46%
of UNC’s employees
Live in Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC
Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,652 Employees (2017)
By county of home address
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
5,806
2,515
1,659
1,142
672
593
74
73
66
27
25
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Other
Chatham
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
#CHCSOTC
Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake, Durham
Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2017
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
157
193
335
55
-42
-57
-1
3
7
2
17
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Other
Chatham
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
#CHCSOTC
More than 12,652 Work for UNC Chapel Hill
UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2017
Source: OIRA
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981
SPA Employees EPA Faculty/Non-Faculty
#CHCSOTC
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC
UNC Research Startups
Housing: Home Ownership
Homes Sold in 2017 Decline From 2016 Peak
Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007 through 2017
Source: Triangle MLS
1,751
1,815
1782
1,008 1,037
1323
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
Homes Sold in 2017 Declines
Number of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-17
Source: Triangle MLS
1,751
1,275
1,143 1,143 1,128
1,277
1,630
1,433
1,650
1,815 1,782
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others
2017 Median Residential Closing Price
Source: Triangle MLS
$230,750
$285,000
$369,000
$316,245
$360,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
$260,000
$255,000
$258,000
$275,000
$262,250
$265,000
$274,450
$267,000
$290,000
$300,000
$316,245
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Orange Median Home Prices Rise
9% since 2015 and 15% since 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Median Home Prices Rise
10% since 2015 and 22% since 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
$282,500
$270,000
$250,703
$263,930
$274,990
$277,700
$303,350
$317,373
$335,000
$352,140
$369,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Home Prices Have Risen Across the Region
Change in median residential sales price, 2017 vs 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
34%
28%
22%
15%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
Change in Median Home Sale Price 2017 vs 2015
2017 vs. 2015
20%
14%
10%
9%
6%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
CHCCS District
New Construction Activity Concentrated in Wake
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2017
Source: Triangle MLS
1,346
2,575
5,514
28,629
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
New Construction as a Percent of Total Sales
11%
40%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
2.4%
9.0%
4.6%
7.7%
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Chatham New Housing Stock Growing the Fastest
New construction (2010-2017) as percent of 2010 housing stock
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2017
Source: Triangle MLS
253 194
313
532
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
Steady Growth in Regional Home Prices
Median residential closing price, 2007-2017
Orange
Chatham
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
$282,500 $277,700
Chatham
$369,000
$260,000 $265,000
Orange
$316,245
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Chatham Orange
$123
$144 $149 $151
$166
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
Price Per Square Foot
Median Price Per Square Foot, 2017
Source: Triangle MLS
38% of Homes in CHCCS District and 47% of All
Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K
2016 Orange County home sales by price
25%
21%
28%
22%
17%
26%
18%
19%
14%
21%
25%
14%
13%
18%
18%
Orange County (All)
(1,782 Sales)
CHCCS District
(1,049 Sales)
Not CHCCS
(686 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999
$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
Source: Triangle MLS
2017 Orange County Homes Sales by Price
454
224
230
395
178
217
316
197
119
378
258
120
239
192
147
-200 300 800 1,300 1,800
Orange County (All)
(1,782 Sales)
CHCCS District
(1,049 Sales)
Not CHCCS
(686 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999
$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
Median Age of Home and Median Year of Move In
Median Year
Structure Built
Median Year Householder Moved into Unit by Ownership Status
All Households Owner Occupied Renter Occupied
Orange County 1986 2008 2003 2012
Carrboro 1986 2011 2005 2012
Chapel Hill 1985 2011 2004 2012
Hillsborough 1980 2007 2003
Chatham County 1991 2005 2003 2011
Durham County 1986 2010 2003 2012
Wake County 1994 2008 2004 2012
Alamance County 1981 2006 2001 2012
North Carolina 1986 2006 2002 2012
1986
1986
1985
1980
1991
1986
1994
1981
1986
Orange County
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Hillsborough
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Alamance County
North Carolina
Median Year Structure Built
Source: Triangle MLS
1986median year house built in Orange County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2003median year Orange County
homeowner moved into unit
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
vs. 2012 for renters
59%of Orange 2017 home sales
were in CHCCS District
Was 68% in 2016
Housing: Rental Market
Most People Renting
(2012-2016 ACS)
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
39%
59%
52%
37%
23%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham
Most People Renting, Though Percentage of Residents
Renting Declines
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
40%
65%
51%
45%
20%
39%
59%
52%
37%
23%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
Median Rent
2007-2011 vs 2012-2016 American Community Survey
$887 $846
$934
$870
$824
$872
$970 $945
$1,061
$831 $803
$921
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
What People are Paying for Rent
Orange County Gross Rent Paid (2012-2016 ACS)
5%
49%
31%
15%
Less than $500
$500 to $999
$1,000 tp $1,499
$1,500 or more
Changes in % Paying $1,000 or More in Rent
34%
25%
42%
30% 31% 33%
46%
43%
56%
24% 24%
40%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
46%of county renters spent $1,000 or more
on rent in 2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
25%
25%
50%
21%
25%
54%
Less than 20%
20-29%
30% or more
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines
Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
19%
-1%
-7%
Less than 20%
20-29%
30% or more
Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines
Percent Change 2007-2010 to 2012-2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2018 Fair Market Rent
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $658 $731 $587 $741
One Bedroom $708 $847 $601 $893
Two Bedroom $850 $990 $754 $1,026
Three Bedroom $1,144 $1,356 $1,029 $1,327
Four Bedroom $1,389 $1,512 $1,142 $1,656
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
Local Housing Wage is $16.29 for a 1 Bedroom Apt
Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $12.66 $14.06 $11.29 $14.25
One Bedroom $13.61 $16.29 $11.56 $17.17
Two Bedroom $16.35 $19.04 $14.50 $19.73
Three Bedroom $22.01 $26.08 $19.79 $25.52
Four Bedroom $26.72 $29.08 $21.96 $31.85
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
$33,880 Needed for 1 Bedroom Fair Market Rent
Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $26,339 $29,240 $23,480 $29,640
One Bedroom $28,313 $33,880 $24,040 $35,720
Two Bedroom $34,004 $39,600 $30,160 $41,040
Three Bedroom $45,776 $54,240 $41,160 $53,080
Four Bedroom $55,576 $60,480 $45,680 $66,240
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
90 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to
Afford Local 1 Bedroom Rental
Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom 70 78 62 79
One Bedroom 75 90 64 95
Two Bedroom 90 105 80 109
Three Bedroom 121 144 109 141
Four Bedroom 147 160 121 176
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
Orange County Land Value
Orange County
Total Value Per
Acre
Source: Urban3
Assessed Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3
Orange County 2018 Total Assessed Value
Chapel Hill,
$7B (44%)
Carrboro,
$2.1B (13%)
Hillsborough,
$886 M (5.5%)
Rest of
County, $6B
(37.3%)
Total = $16 billion
2018 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value (millions)
Chapel Hill,
$1.3 Billion
(63%)
Carrboro,
$229
million
(11%)
Hillsborough,
$296 million
(14%)
Rest of County,
$234 million
(11%)
Total = $2.06 billion
2018 Orange County Residential Assessed Value
Chapel Hill,
$5 billion
(39%)
Carrboro,
$1.6 billion
(13%)
Hillsborough,
$516 million (4%)
Rest of
County,
$5.7 billion
(44%)
Total = $13 billion
2018 Orange County Apartment Assessed Value (millions)
Chapel Hill,
$654 million
(64%)
Carrboro,
$260 million
(25%)
Hillsborough,
$74 million (7%)
Rest of Orange County,
$34 million (3%)
Total = $1 billion
72.1% 77.1%
58.2%
95.5%
80.7%
18.5% 10.7%
33.4%
3.9%
12.9%
9.3% 12.2% 8.4%
0.6% 6.4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of Orange
County
Total County
Residential Commercial Apartment
2018 Orange County Assessed Value
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Assessed Value (millions)
$5,058
$1,650
$516
$5,696
$1,300
$229
$296
$234
$654
$260
$74
$34
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of Orange
County
Residential Commercial Apartment
#CHCSOTC
Crime
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
232.0
158
371.5
173
2001 2006 2011 2016
Chatham Orange
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
397
158
773
173
240
2001 2006 2011 2016
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
#CHCSOTC
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County, 2001 - 2016
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
3318.6
1,511
4,887
2,051
2001 2006 2011 2016
Chatham Orange
#CHCSOTC
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County, 2001 - 2016
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
2,405
1,511
3,7154,887
2,051
1,885
2001 2006 2011 2016
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime per 100,000
150
396
174
613
245 210
372
231 277 299 264
435
363
Property Taxes
2017-18 City and Town Property Tax Rates
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Cary, 0.3500
Apex, 0.3800
Raleigh, 0.4253
Chapel Hill, 0.508
Durham, 0.5786
Carrboro, 0.5894
Salisbury, 0.7096
Huntersville
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Charlotte
Concord
Wilmington
Fayetteville
Chapel Hill
Greenville
Gastonia
Wilson
Hickory
Durham
Monroe
Carrboro
Burlington
Winston-Salem
Kannapolis
Greensboro
Jacksonville
High Point
Goldsboro
Rocky Mount
Salisbury
Cary, 0.965
Apex, 0.995
Raleigh, 1.0403
Chapel Hill, 1.3457
Durham, 1.3465
Carrboro, 1.4271
Cary
Asheville
Apex
Raleigh
Wilmington
Huntersville
Hickory
Burlington
Concord
Greenville
Wilson
Charlotte
Fayetteville
Goldsboro
Jacksonville
Winston-Salem
Kannapolis
Rocky Mount
Chapel Hill
Durham
Greensboro
Monroe
Salisbury
High Point
Gastonia
Carrboro
2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Burlington, $1,246
Raleigh, $2,720
Durham, $2,841
Apex, $3,388
Cary, $3,449
Carrboro, $3,873
Chapel Hill, $4,979
Goldsboro
Rocky Mount
Burlington
Fayetteville
Greenville
Hickory
High Point
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Winston-Salem
Wilson
Salisbury
Greensboro
Gastonia
Concord
Monroe
Wilmington
Asheville
Raleigh
Charlotte
Durham
Huntersville
Apex
Cary
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
2017-18 Tax Assessed on Median Home Value
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow 5/2018
Health Indicators
2018 Health Indicators
Health Indicator
Orange
County
Chatham
County
Who is #1
Length of Life #1 #9 Orange
Quality of Life #4 #19 Dare
Health Behaviors #2 #3 Wake
Clinical Care #1 #17 Orange
Social and Economic
Factors #2 #13 Union
Physical Environment #33 #19 Hyde
Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Children Faring Better
Source: NC Child
*2015
2011 2016
Low Birthweight 8.2% 8.9%
3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%*
Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 28.7%
Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2
Too small to
measure
Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5
Uninsured Children 9% 5.1%
Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 39.5
#CHCSOTC
Adult Smoking Rates
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
14%
19%
15% 16%
14%
11%
22%
13%
19%
13%
10%
16% 16%
#CHCSOTC
Adult Obesity
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
23%
33%
26% 26%
23%
14%
26% 24% 23% 24%
21%
29%
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime Rate per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
150
396
174
613
245 210
372
231
277 299 264
435
363
#CHCSOTC
Disconnected Youth
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
4%
13%
20%
13%
8%
6% 5% 6% 6%
4%
10%
13%
#CHCSOTC
9
12
6
9 10
13
17 18
11
17
15
18
Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
21%
16% 16% 17%
20%
24%
17%
29%
21%
25%
20% 19%
Excessive Drinking
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
Access to Exercise Opportunities
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
86% 86%
65%
92% 92% 97%
87%
95%
83%
94% 96%
88%
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease
Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17
Source: NC Health and Human Services
26.1
9.1
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Too few to
calculate rates
#CHCSOTC
Health Care Costs
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
$7,579
$9,125
$8,214
$8,572
$8,986
$8,554
$7,616
$9,338
$8,691
$7,816
$9,440
$8,614
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Boulder County (CO)
Clarke County (GA)
Dane County (WI)
Monroe County (IN)
Washtenaw County (MI)
Fairfield County (CT)
Spokane County (WA)
#CHCSOTC
Leading Causes of Death in 2016
Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC
1. Cancer (24.9%) 1. Cancer (23.5%)
2. Heart diseases (18.7%) 2. Heart diseases (20.3%)
3. Cerebrovascular diseases (6.5%) 3. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.8%)
4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 4. All other unintentional injuries (4.2%)
5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%) 5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%)
6. Diabetes mellitus (3.3%) 6. Cerebrovascular diseases (3.9%)
7. All other unintentional injuries (2.8%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)
8. Parkinson's disease (1.9%) 8. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis (2.4%)
9. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.8%)
10. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.6%) 10. Parkinson's disease (1.6%)
Source: NC Center for Health Statistics
#CHCSOTC
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
154.9
167.6
134.2
160.9
142.8
178.5
109.4 108.3
96.9 101.8
84.1
118.3
NORTH
CAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000
2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
159.2
166.0
181.0
173.0
170.6 169.5
157.5
181.2
169.4
174.6
177.0
168.0
NORTH
CAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
All Cancers Rate per 100,000
2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
505
524
497 497 482 497
465
495
450 447 447 463
NORTH
CAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-11 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000
2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
42.0 41.0 41.2 39.8
34.3 36.436.1 35.6
32.4 31.5 32.2 32.3
NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000
2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
73.9 76.2
58.8
68.9
60.0 58.7
66.3 69.3
47.3 51.1 54.1 52.4
NORTH
CAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
Per 1,000 live births
Source: NC Health and Human Services
12.0
5.1
8.8
7.2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange County North Carolina
#CHCSOTC
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
72.7
47.7
135.7
115.1
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Ages Ages (0-14)
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
48 50.9 50
72.7
57.3
50.3
55.2
62.8
55.2
51.5
45.6 47.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis
of Asthma by County
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary
Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
Poverty
Orange County SNAP Individuals Decline from Peak
Monthly Participants Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
9,898
11,779
6,111
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
#CHCSOTC
Number of Children in Poverty Decreasing
1998 through 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
2,773
4,822
3,229
1,848
2,952
2,462
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Orange County Chatham County
#CHCSOTC
Food Insecurity Rate by County (2016)
Source: Feeding America
15.4%
13.2%
14.7%
10.9%
17.3%
12.7%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
#CHCSOTC
Food Insecure People by County (2016)
Source: Feeding America
#CHCSOTC
18,460
22,930
7,480
50,890
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham
Percent of People in Poverty
2000 2006 2011 2016
Orange County 10% 14% 17% 13%
Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%
Durham County 11% 16% 20% 16%
Wake County 7% 9% 12% 9%
North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 15%
United States 11% 13% 16% 14%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
#CHCSOTC
Orange County SNAP Households and Individuals
Decline from Peak
Monthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
5,054
6,279
2,925
9,898
11,779
6,111
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
Orange Cases Orange Participants
#CHCSOTC
Chatham County SNAP Households and Individuals
Decline
Monthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
2,503
3,221
1,345
5,249
6,632
2,948
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
Chatham Cases Chatham Participants
#CHCSOTC
-2.9%
-2.2%
-2.0%
-1.1%
-0.9%
-1.7%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Percentage Point Change in Food Insecurity Rate
2013 to 2016
Source: Feeding America
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch
2016-17 School Year
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
61.5%
52.5%
65.6%
47.0%
29.3%
34.5%
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange
County
CHCCS Wake
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch
2007 through 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
44.0% 52.5%
32.6%
47.0%
21.7%
29.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Chatham Orange County CHCCS
Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch
from 2009-10 to 2015-16
3.8%
7.5%
-2.1%
8.7%
15.9%
19.4%
-3.2%
Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange:
OCS
Orange:
CHCCS
Wake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Children in Poverty
1998 through 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
#CHCSOTC
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Orange County Chatham County Durham County Wake County
Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
11%
24%
17%
24%
12%
9%
30%
10%
18%
12% 10%
16%
ELI = Extremely Low Income
30% or Less of Area Median Income
Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household
Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income
26
39 40 36
49
28
34
68
27
62
Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance
2005-09 2010-14
Source: Urban Institute
Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available
Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
5,891
7,504
5,821
2,251
1,927
1,616
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI households
Source: Urban Institute
Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available
Units Decreases by Nearly 50%
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
764
1,443
1,773
453
576
1,197
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI households
Source: Urban Institute
Total Homeless
2010 - 2018
135
136
110
123
108
129
80
127
152
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Orange Chronically Homeless Remains Low
Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
38
50
29
28
23
25
16
14
19
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Percentage of Chronically Homeless as Share of all Homeless
28%
37%
26%
23%
21%
19%
20%
11%
13%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
19 Homeless Children in Families in Orange
Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
15
17
15
16
17
19
6
18
19
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Percentage of Unsheltered as Share of all Homeless
13%
24%
25%
24%
8%
16%
19%
29%
26%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
People Living Unsheltered
17
33
28
30
9
20
15
37
39
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Water Sales
Water Sales and Accounts
6.03
21,385
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
CustomerAccounts
WaterSales(MillionGallons
PerDayAverage)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
Reclaimed Water to UNC
begins 2009
Source: OWASA
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
RateIncrease
AverageMonthlyBillBasedon4,000
gallonspermonth
Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)
Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)
Source: OWASA
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
CustomerAccounts
WaterSales(MillionGallonsPer
DayAverage)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
OWASA Water Sales
Summary
Summary
• We are growing, but slowly, and we are less dense
than peer communities.
• Young workers working in Orange, and driving into
Orange, is increasing.
• Household income is out-pacing inflation.
• Orange is number 1 in per capita income but lags in
per capita sales.
• Retail gap remains wide with additional retail
opportunity on the horizon.
Summary
• CHCCS continues to out perform peers.
• Minority student reading is improving in CHCCS and
the achievement gap is closing there.
• Health Indicators show Orange and Chatham lead
neighbors and peers.
• Rent is getting more expensive, but wage growth is
outpacing it.
Summary
• Housing prices are increasing, though rate of growth
in Orange is slowest
• Orange and Chatham properties are valuable and
have a strong and growing tax bases.
• Poverty, and children in poverty, are declining.
• Crime is down.
• We remain one the best places in the world to live,
work, shop, play, learn, and raise a family.

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2018 community data book part 2

  • 1. 2018 Community Data Book – Part 2 Data Produced in Partnership with:
  • 2. Index • Geography 3 • Income 10 • Demography 23 • Population Growth 33 • Migration 44 • Population Projecting 55 • Employment & Commuting 65 • Retail Sales and Economy 121 • Cost of Living 147 • Visitor Spending 152 • Education 162 • Housing 231 • Orange County Land Value 265 • Crime 274 • Property Taxes 280 • Health Indicators 284 • Poverty 307 • Water Sales 331 • Summary 335
  • 4. Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $8,588 $8,742 $10,180 $10,641 $11,012 $11,601 $12,017 Alamance-Burlington Schools Wake County Schools Chatham County Schools Durham County Schools Orange County Schools Asheville City Schools Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools #CHCSOTC
  • 5. Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $1,826 $2,537 $3,463 $3,556 $4,281 $4,880 $6,151 Alamance-Burlington Schools Wake County Schools Chatham County Schools Durham County Schools Orange County Schools Asheville City Schools Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools #CHCSOTC
  • 6. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $4,461 $4,619 $4,637 $5,010 $5,195 $5,240 $4,831 $4,768 $4,971 $4,891 $4,883 $5,170 $5,249 $5,343 $464 $460 $446 $427 $477 $507 $840 $1,019 $503 $502 $475 $560 $535 $524 $4,180 $4,092 $4,107 $4,495 $4,907 $5,214 $4,934 $4,779 $5,075 $5,341 $5,514 $5,618 $5,879 $6,151 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 State PPE Federal PPE Local PPE #CHCSOTC
  • 7. Local School Dropout Rate Declines 2000 through 2017 Source: NC DPI 1.9% CHCCS 0.8% 5.2% Orange 2.0% 5.7% NC 2.3% CHCCS Orange NC #CHCSOTC
  • 8. Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCS Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
  • 9. Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCS Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC CHCCS 90% 90% Orange 67% 89% Chatham 67% 88% NC 68% 87% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Year of Graduation CHCCS Orange Chatham NC
  • 10. Average SAT Evidence Based Reading and Writing (ERW) Score 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 568 573 621 522 539 520 542 Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students)
  • 11. Average SAT Math Score 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 562 559 611 505 524 521 532 Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) #CHCSOTC
  • 12. Average SAT Total Scores 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 1,130 1,133 1,231 1,027 1,063 1,041 1,074 Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) #CHCSOTC
  • 13. EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 60% 50% 70% 38% 58% 47% 52% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students)
  • 14. EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 48% 48% 66% 28% 45% 38% 40% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) #CHCSOTC
  • 15. EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 63% 55% 72% 41% 57% 47% 54% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students)
  • 16. EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17 Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 67% 56% 74% 45% 60% 53% 58% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) #CHCSOTC
  • 17. Grades 3-8 Math EOG "College and Career Ready", 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 28% 23% 26% 23% 28% 26% 30% 60% 56% 65% 72% 66% 83% 74% NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake Black White
  • 18. CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-2016 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 80 47 39 92 77 55 43 89 Asian Black Hispanic White 2016 2017 #CHCSOTC
  • 19. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Subgroups Grade 3 Reading EOG "Grade Level Proficient" 44 52 49 26 52 56 58 36 Black Hispanic EDS SWD 2016 2017
  • 20. Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-16 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 44 34 71 35 29 74 Black Hispanic White 2016 2017 #CHCSOTC
  • 21. Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-16 vs. 2016-17 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) 39 36 72 35 42 78 Black Hispanic White 2016 2017 #CHCSOTC
  • 22. CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient" 2014-2017 79.1 77.4 34 54.5 43.6 42.8 91.5 88.5 0 20 40 60 80 100 2014 2015 2016 2017 Asian Black Hispanic White
  • 23. CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient“ 2014-2017 34 54.5 43.6 42.8 2014 2015 2016 2017 Black Hispanic
  • 24. Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student Performance Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 27.1 29.8 27.4 39.1 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 25. Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student Performance Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 37.7 29.2 33.1 42.8 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 26. CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student Performance Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 57.5 37.4 44.9 34 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 27. EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 69% 65% 76% 49% 71% 57% 64% 60% 50% 70% 38% 58% 47% 52% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) % Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
  • 28. EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 67% 56% 74% 45% 60% 53% 58%57% 46% 67% 35% 49% 43% 46% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) % Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) #CHCSOTC
  • 29. EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 53% 55% 72% 33% 52% 43% 46%48% 48% 66% 28% 45% 38% 40% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) % Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) #CHCSOTC
  • 30. EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 63% 55% 72% 41% 57% 47% 54%51% 43% 64% 31% 43% 37% 42% Wake County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Durham Public Schools Chatham County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools North Carolina (All Students) % Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
  • 31. Graduation Rates Increasing Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 2% 17% 10% 23% 12% 29% 16% CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington #CHCSOTC
  • 32. Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 28% 34% 13% 34% 28% 42% 31% CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington #CHCSOTC
  • 33. Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 17% 90% 17% 43% 46% 89% 76% CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington #CHCSOTC
  • 34. Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 26% 33% 8% 38% 40% 57% 30% CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington #CHCSOTC
  • 35. Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 13% 7% 12% 24% 33% 3% 32% CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance- Burlington #CHCSOTC
  • 36. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5) 47 48 54 68 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 37. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2016-17 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 48% 42% 52% 35% 53% 69% 57% 33% 29% 34% 22% 33% 28% 29% NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake All Students EDS
  • 38. Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 43% 33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43% 76% 67% 75% 81% 82% 91% 83% NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake Black White
  • 39. Black vs. White Students Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready” by County 2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 or 5) 43% 33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43% 76% 67% 75% 81% 82% 91% 83% NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake Black White
  • 40. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 76 60 73 81 27 21 2825 38 33 4138 596265 82 State of North CarolinaChatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Asian Black Hispanic White
  • 41. Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 82 68 8285 44 31 38 47 53 30 5352 7571 76 92 State of North CarolinaChatham County Schools Orange County SchoolsChapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Asian Black Hispanic White
  • 42. Orange County Subgroups Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2016 vs. 2017 44 52 49 26 52 56 58 36 Black Hispanic EDS SWD 2016 2017
  • 43. Black Students Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2014 - 2017 59.3 46.5 2014 2015 2016 2017 NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
  • 44. Hispanic Students Grade 8 EOG "College and Career Ready" 60.7 57.4 0 20 40 60 80 2014 2015 2016 2017 NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
  • 45. EDS Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" Economically Disadvantaged Students 2014-2017 52.2% 49.4% 0 20 40 60 80 2014 2015 2016 2017 NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
  • 46. SWD Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2014-2017 25.6 35.6 39.4 39.6 0 10 20 30 40 50 2014 2015 2016 2017 NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
  • 47. Orange County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient" 2014-2017 46 35 37 29 73 74 2014 2015 2016 2017 Black Hispanic White
  • 48. Chatham County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient" 2014-2017 38.3 35.2 43.8 41.8 76 78 0 20 40 60 80 100 2014 2015 2016 2017 Black Hispanic White
  • 49. Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 57.5 37.4 44.9 34 27.1 29.8 27.4 39.1 37.7 29.2 33.1 42.8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 50. Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Students Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 57.5 37.4 44.9 34 27.1 29.8 27.4 39.1 37.7 29.2 33.1 42.8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 51. CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Students Grade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores 57.5 37.4 44.9 34 27.1 29.8 27.4 39.1 37.7 29.2 33.1 42.8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 53. Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2017 Source: Durham Tech 84.50% 97% 76% 95% 100% 94% Transfer Performance (2015-2016) Practical Nursing Registered Nursing EMT EMT-P Esthetician #CHCSOTC
  • 54. 49% of CHCCS or OCS graduates received financial aid from Durham Tech (2013-2018) Source: Durham Tech #CHCSOTC
  • 55. Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus Total Seats Offered and Total Seats Filled at Durham Tech Orange County Campus Source: Durham Tech 3,207 3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 3406 2,552 2,731 2,420 2,360 2,368 2,322 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled #CHCSOTC
  • 56. Credit Classes Offered and Total Seats Used At Durham Tech Orange County Campus, 2011-12 - 2017-18 Source: Durham Tech 83 150 153 138 140 141 143 1,418 2,582 2,789 2,459 2,401 2,403 2,344 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Classes Offered Total Seats Used #CHCSOTC
  • 57. Continuing Education Offered and Total Seats Used Durham Tech Orange County Campus, 2011-12 through 2017-18 Source: Durham Tech 269 245 215 188 213 204 237 4,063 3,623 3,087 2,686 3,071 3,274 3,686 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Classes Offered Total Seats Used #CHCSOTC
  • 59. State Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill Source: OIRA $500 million $543 million in 2008 $107,782,727$ 108 million$0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 1980 - 2017 #CHCSOTC
  • 60. UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat Source: OIRA $3.2 billion $500 million $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 Revenues Appropriations #CHCSOTC
  • 61. UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 20 Million square feet Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus Source: OIRA 20.1 million17.8 million in 2008 7.8 million 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 #CHCSOTC
  • 62. UNC Annual Research Funding nears $900 million Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research $898 million $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 Millions #CHCSOTC
  • 63. Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980 - 2017 Source: OIRA $2.95 billion $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 Billions #CHCSOTC
  • 64. UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Nearing 30,000 Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2017 29,911 28,567 in 2008 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981 #CHCSOTC
  • 65. UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type Source: UNC Fact Book, Office of Institutional Research & Assessment (OIRA) Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017 N % N % N % N % N % Resident Student Housing 8,614 30% 8,520 29% 8,113 28% 8,033 27% 8,076 27% Married Student Housing 366 1% 321 1% 374 1% 465 2% 485 2% Off-Campus 18,091 62% 18,238 63% 18,541 64% 18,927 64% 19,300 65% Fraternity & Sorority 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 834 3% Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,203 4% 1,216 4% Total 29,127 100% 29,135 100% 209,084 100% 29,469 100% 29,911 100%
  • 66. 2017 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA Resident Student Housing, 8,076, 27% Married Student Housing, 485, 2% Off-Campus, 19,300, 64% Fraternity & Sorority, 834, 3% Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers), 1,216, 4%
  • 67. 46% of UNC’s employees Live in Orange County Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research #CHCSOTC
  • 68. Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,652 Employees (2017) By county of home address Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research 5,806 2,515 1,659 1,142 672 593 74 73 66 27 25 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Other Chatham Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville #CHCSOTC
  • 69. Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake, Durham Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2017 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research 157 193 335 55 -42 -57 -1 3 7 2 17 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Other Chatham Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville #CHCSOTC
  • 70. More than 12,652 Work for UNC Chapel Hill UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2017 Source: OIRA 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981 SPA Employees EPA Faculty/Non-Faculty #CHCSOTC
  • 71. Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research #CHCSOTC UNC Research Startups
  • 73. Homes Sold in 2017 Decline From 2016 Peak Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007 through 2017 Source: Triangle MLS 1,751 1,815 1782 1,008 1,037 1323 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Orange Chatham
  • 74. Homes Sold in 2017 Declines Number of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-17 Source: Triangle MLS 1,751 1,275 1,143 1,143 1,128 1,277 1,630 1,433 1,650 1,815 1,782 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 75. Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others 2017 Median Residential Closing Price Source: Triangle MLS $230,750 $285,000 $369,000 $316,245 $360,000 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
  • 77. Chatham Median Home Prices Rise 10% since 2015 and 22% since 2013 Source: Triangle MLS $282,500 $270,000 $250,703 $263,930 $274,990 $277,700 $303,350 $317,373 $335,000 $352,140 $369,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 78. Home Prices Have Risen Across the Region Change in median residential sales price, 2017 vs 2013 Source: Triangle MLS 34% 28% 22% 15% Durham Wake Chatham Orange
  • 79. Change in Median Home Sale Price 2017 vs 2015 2017 vs. 2015 20% 14% 10% 9% 6% Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
  • 80. New Construction Activity Concentrated in Wake Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2017 Source: Triangle MLS 1,346 2,575 5,514 28,629 Orange Chatham Durham Wake
  • 81. New Construction as a Percent of Total Sales 11% 40% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Orange Chatham
  • 82. 2.4% 9.0% 4.6% 7.7% Orange Chatham Durham Wake Chatham New Housing Stock Growing the Fastest New construction (2010-2017) as percent of 2010 housing stock Source: Triangle MLS
  • 83. Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2017 Source: Triangle MLS 253 194 313 532 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Orange Chatham
  • 84. Steady Growth in Regional Home Prices Median residential closing price, 2007-2017 Orange Chatham Chatham Orange Source: Triangle MLS $282,500 $277,700 Chatham $369,000 $260,000 $265,000 Orange $316,245 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Chatham Orange
  • 85. $123 $144 $149 $151 $166 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District Price Per Square Foot Median Price Per Square Foot, 2017 Source: Triangle MLS
  • 86. 38% of Homes in CHCCS District and 47% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K 2016 Orange County home sales by price 25% 21% 28% 22% 17% 26% 18% 19% 14% 21% 25% 14% 13% 18% 18% Orange County (All) (1,782 Sales) CHCCS District (1,049 Sales) Not CHCCS (686 Sales) <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more Source: Triangle MLS
  • 87. 2017 Orange County Homes Sales by Price 454 224 230 395 178 217 316 197 119 378 258 120 239 192 147 -200 300 800 1,300 1,800 Orange County (All) (1,782 Sales) CHCCS District (1,049 Sales) Not CHCCS (686 Sales) <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
  • 88. Median Age of Home and Median Year of Move In Median Year Structure Built Median Year Householder Moved into Unit by Ownership Status All Households Owner Occupied Renter Occupied Orange County 1986 2008 2003 2012 Carrboro 1986 2011 2005 2012 Chapel Hill 1985 2011 2004 2012 Hillsborough 1980 2007 2003 Chatham County 1991 2005 2003 2011 Durham County 1986 2010 2003 2012 Wake County 1994 2008 2004 2012 Alamance County 1981 2006 2001 2012 North Carolina 1986 2006 2002 2012
  • 89. 1986 1986 1985 1980 1991 1986 1994 1981 1986 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County Durham County Wake County Alamance County North Carolina Median Year Structure Built Source: Triangle MLS
  • 90. 1986median year house built in Orange County Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 91. 2003median year Orange County homeowner moved into unit Source: U.S. Census Bureau vs. 2012 for renters
  • 92. 59%of Orange 2017 home sales were in CHCCS District Was 68% in 2016
  • 94. Most People Renting (2012-2016 ACS) Source: 5-Year American Community Survey 39% 59% 52% 37% 23% Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham
  • 95. Most People Renting, Though Percentage of Residents Renting Declines Source: 5-Year American Community Survey 40% 65% 51% 45% 20% 39% 59% 52% 37% 23% Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham 2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
  • 96. Median Rent 2007-2011 vs 2012-2016 American Community Survey $887 $846 $934 $870 $824 $872 $970 $945 $1,061 $831 $803 $921 Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham 2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
  • 97. What People are Paying for Rent Orange County Gross Rent Paid (2012-2016 ACS) 5% 49% 31% 15% Less than $500 $500 to $999 $1,000 tp $1,499 $1,500 or more
  • 98. Changes in % Paying $1,000 or More in Rent 34% 25% 42% 30% 31% 33% 46% 43% 56% 24% 24% 40% Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham 2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
  • 99. 46%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 100. 25% 25% 50% 21% 25% 54% Less than 20% 20-29% 30% or more 2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 101. 19% -1% -7% Less than 20% 20-29% 30% or more Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Percent Change 2007-2010 to 2012-2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 102. 2018 Fair Market Rent North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $658 $731 $587 $741 One Bedroom $708 $847 $601 $893 Two Bedroom $850 $990 $754 $1,026 Three Bedroom $1,144 $1,356 $1,029 $1,327 Four Bedroom $1,389 $1,512 $1,142 $1,656 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 103. Local Housing Wage is $16.29 for a 1 Bedroom Apt Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018 North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $12.66 $14.06 $11.29 $14.25 One Bedroom $13.61 $16.29 $11.56 $17.17 Two Bedroom $16.35 $19.04 $14.50 $19.73 Three Bedroom $22.01 $26.08 $19.79 $25.52 Four Bedroom $26.72 $29.08 $21.96 $31.85 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 104. $33,880 Needed for 1 Bedroom Fair Market Rent Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018 North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $26,339 $29,240 $23,480 $29,640 One Bedroom $28,313 $33,880 $24,040 $35,720 Two Bedroom $34,004 $39,600 $30,160 $41,040 Three Bedroom $45,776 $54,240 $41,160 $53,080 Four Bedroom $55,576 $60,480 $45,680 $66,240 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 105. 90 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 1 Bedroom Rental Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018 North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom 70 78 62 79 One Bedroom 75 90 64 95 Two Bedroom 90 105 80 109 Three Bedroom 121 144 109 141 Four Bedroom 147 160 121 176 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 107. Orange County Total Value Per Acre Source: Urban3
  • 108. Assessed Value Per Acre Source: Urban3
  • 109. Orange County 2018 Total Assessed Value Chapel Hill, $7B (44%) Carrboro, $2.1B (13%) Hillsborough, $886 M (5.5%) Rest of County, $6B (37.3%) Total = $16 billion
  • 110. 2018 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value (millions) Chapel Hill, $1.3 Billion (63%) Carrboro, $229 million (11%) Hillsborough, $296 million (14%) Rest of County, $234 million (11%) Total = $2.06 billion
  • 111. 2018 Orange County Residential Assessed Value Chapel Hill, $5 billion (39%) Carrboro, $1.6 billion (13%) Hillsborough, $516 million (4%) Rest of County, $5.7 billion (44%) Total = $13 billion
  • 112. 2018 Orange County Apartment Assessed Value (millions) Chapel Hill, $654 million (64%) Carrboro, $260 million (25%) Hillsborough, $74 million (7%) Rest of Orange County, $34 million (3%) Total = $1 billion
  • 113. 72.1% 77.1% 58.2% 95.5% 80.7% 18.5% 10.7% 33.4% 3.9% 12.9% 9.3% 12.2% 8.4% 0.6% 6.4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of Orange County Total County Residential Commercial Apartment 2018 Orange County Assessed Value #CHCSOTC
  • 114. Orange County Assessed Value (millions) $5,058 $1,650 $516 $5,696 $1,300 $229 $296 $234 $654 $260 $74 $34 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of Orange County Residential Commercial Apartment #CHCSOTC
  • 115. Crime
  • 116. Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 232.0 158 371.5 173 2001 2006 2011 2016 Chatham Orange #CHCSOTC
  • 117. Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 397 158 773 173 240 2001 2006 2011 2016 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake #CHCSOTC
  • 118. Property Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County, 2001 - 2016 Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 3318.6 1,511 4,887 2,051 2001 2006 2011 2016 Chatham Orange #CHCSOTC
  • 119. Property Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County, 2001 - 2016 Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 2,405 1,511 3,7154,887 2,051 1,885 2001 2006 2011 2016 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake #CHCSOTC
  • 120. Violent Crime per 100,000 150 396 174 613 245 210 372 231 277 299 264 435 363
  • 122. 2017-18 City and Town Property Tax Rates Source: NC Department of Revenue Cary, 0.3500 Apex, 0.3800 Raleigh, 0.4253 Chapel Hill, 0.508 Durham, 0.5786 Carrboro, 0.5894 Salisbury, 0.7096 Huntersville Cary Apex Raleigh Asheville Charlotte Concord Wilmington Fayetteville Chapel Hill Greenville Gastonia Wilson Hickory Durham Monroe Carrboro Burlington Winston-Salem Kannapolis Greensboro Jacksonville High Point Goldsboro Rocky Mount Salisbury
  • 123. Cary, 0.965 Apex, 0.995 Raleigh, 1.0403 Chapel Hill, 1.3457 Durham, 1.3465 Carrboro, 1.4271 Cary Asheville Apex Raleigh Wilmington Huntersville Hickory Burlington Concord Greenville Wilson Charlotte Fayetteville Goldsboro Jacksonville Winston-Salem Kannapolis Rocky Mount Chapel Hill Durham Greensboro Monroe Salisbury High Point Gastonia Carrboro 2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates Source: NC Department of Revenue
  • 124. Burlington, $1,246 Raleigh, $2,720 Durham, $2,841 Apex, $3,388 Cary, $3,449 Carrboro, $3,873 Chapel Hill, $4,979 Goldsboro Rocky Mount Burlington Fayetteville Greenville Hickory High Point Jacksonville Kannapolis Winston-Salem Wilson Salisbury Greensboro Gastonia Concord Monroe Wilmington Asheville Raleigh Charlotte Durham Huntersville Apex Cary Carrboro Chapel Hill 2017-18 Tax Assessed on Median Home Value Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow 5/2018
  • 126. 2018 Health Indicators Health Indicator Orange County Chatham County Who is #1 Length of Life #1 #9 Orange Quality of Life #4 #19 Dare Health Behaviors #2 #3 Wake Clinical Care #1 #17 Orange Social and Economic Factors #2 #13 Union Physical Environment #33 #19 Hyde Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation #CHCSOTC
  • 127. Orange County Children Faring Better Source: NC Child *2015 2011 2016 Low Birthweight 8.2% 8.9% 3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%* Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 28.7% Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2 Too small to measure Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5 Uninsured Children 9% 5.1% Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 39.5 #CHCSOTC
  • 128. Adult Smoking Rates Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 14% 19% 15% 16% 14% 11% 22% 13% 19% 13% 10% 16% 16% #CHCSOTC
  • 129. Adult Obesity Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 23% 33% 26% 26% 23% 14% 26% 24% 23% 24% 21% 29% #CHCSOTC
  • 130. Violent Crime Rate per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 150 396 174 613 245 210 372 231 277 299 264 435 363 #CHCSOTC
  • 131. Disconnected Youth Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 4% 13% 20% 13% 8% 6% 5% 6% 6% 4% 10% 13% #CHCSOTC
  • 132. 9 12 6 9 10 13 17 18 11 17 15 18 Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation #CHCSOTC
  • 133. 21% 16% 16% 17% 20% 24% 17% 29% 21% 25% 20% 19% Excessive Drinking Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation #CHCSOTC
  • 134. Access to Exercise Opportunities Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 86% 86% 65% 92% 92% 97% 87% 95% 83% 94% 96% 88% #CHCSOTC
  • 135. Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17 Source: NC Health and Human Services 26.1 9.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Too few to calculate rates #CHCSOTC
  • 136. Health Care Costs Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation $7,579 $9,125 $8,214 $8,572 $8,986 $8,554 $7,616 $9,338 $8,691 $7,816 $9,440 $8,614 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Boulder County (CO) Clarke County (GA) Dane County (WI) Monroe County (IN) Washtenaw County (MI) Fairfield County (CT) Spokane County (WA) #CHCSOTC
  • 137. Leading Causes of Death in 2016 Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC 1. Cancer (24.9%) 1. Cancer (23.5%) 2. Heart diseases (18.7%) 2. Heart diseases (20.3%) 3. Cerebrovascular diseases (6.5%) 3. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.8%) 4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 4. All other unintentional injuries (4.2%) 5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%) 5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%) 6. Diabetes mellitus (3.3%) 6. Cerebrovascular diseases (3.9%) 7. All other unintentional injuries (2.8%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%) 8. Parkinson's disease (1.9%) 8. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis (2.4%) 9. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.8%) 10. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.6%) 10. Parkinson's disease (1.6%) Source: NC Center for Health Statistics #CHCSOTC
  • 138. Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 154.9 167.6 134.2 160.9 142.8 178.5 109.4 108.3 96.9 101.8 84.1 118.3 NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2007-2011 2012-2016 #CHCSOTC
  • 139. Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 159.2 166.0 181.0 173.0 170.6 169.5 157.5 181.2 169.4 174.6 177.0 168.0 NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2007-2011 2012-2016 #CHCSOTC
  • 140. All Cancers Rate per 100,000 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 505 524 497 497 482 497 465 495 450 447 447 463 NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2007-11 2012-2016 #CHCSOTC
  • 141. Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 42.0 41.0 41.2 39.8 34.3 36.436.1 35.6 32.4 31.5 32.2 32.3 NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2007-2011 2012-2016 #CHCSOTC
  • 142. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000 2007-2011 vs. 2012-2016 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 73.9 76.2 58.8 68.9 60.0 58.7 66.3 69.3 47.3 51.1 54.1 52.4 NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2007-2011 2012-2016 #CHCSOTC
  • 143. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate Per 1,000 live births Source: NC Health and Human Services 12.0 5.1 8.8 7.2 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Orange County North Carolina #CHCSOTC
  • 144. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 72.7 47.7 135.7 115.1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 All Ages Ages (0-14) Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data #CHCSOTC
  • 145. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 48 50.9 50 72.7 57.3 50.3 55.2 62.8 55.2 51.5 45.6 47.7 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data #CHCSOTC
  • 146. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data #CHCSOTC
  • 147. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data #CHCSOTC
  • 149. Orange County SNAP Individuals Decline from Peak Monthly Participants Over Time Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 9,898 11,779 6,111 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07 #CHCSOTC
  • 150. Number of Children in Poverty Decreasing 1998 through 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 2,773 4,822 3,229 1,848 2,952 2,462 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Orange County Chatham County #CHCSOTC
  • 151. Food Insecurity Rate by County (2016) Source: Feeding America 15.4% 13.2% 14.7% 10.9% 17.3% 12.7% North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake #CHCSOTC
  • 152. Food Insecure People by County (2016) Source: Feeding America #CHCSOTC 18,460 22,930 7,480 50,890 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham
  • 153. Percent of People in Poverty 2000 2006 2011 2016 Orange County 10% 14% 17% 13% Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12% Durham County 11% 16% 20% 16% Wake County 7% 9% 12% 9% North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 15% United States 11% 13% 16% 14% Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) #CHCSOTC
  • 154. Orange County SNAP Households and Individuals Decline from Peak Monthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 5,054 6,279 2,925 9,898 11,779 6,111 Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07 Orange Cases Orange Participants #CHCSOTC
  • 155. Chatham County SNAP Households and Individuals Decline Monthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 2,503 3,221 1,345 5,249 6,632 2,948 Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07 Chatham Cases Chatham Participants #CHCSOTC
  • 156. -2.9% -2.2% -2.0% -1.1% -0.9% -1.7% North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Percentage Point Change in Food Insecurity Rate 2013 to 2016 Source: Feeding America #CHCSOTC
  • 157. Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch 2016-17 School Year Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 61.5% 52.5% 65.6% 47.0% 29.3% 34.5% Alamance Chatham Durham Orange County CHCCS Wake #CHCSOTC
  • 158. Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch 2007 through 2017 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC 44.0% 52.5% 32.6% 47.0% 21.7% 29.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Chatham Orange County CHCCS
  • 159. Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-10 to 2015-16 3.8% 7.5% -2.1% 8.7% 15.9% 19.4% -3.2% Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake Source: NC Department of Public Instruction #CHCSOTC
  • 160. Percent of Children in Poverty 1998 through 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) #CHCSOTC 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Orange County Chatham County Durham County Wake County
  • 161. Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 11% 24% 17% 24% 12% 9% 30% 10% 18% 12% 10% 16%
  • 162. ELI = Extremely Low Income 30% or Less of Area Median Income
  • 163. Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income 26 39 40 36 49 28 34 68 27 62 Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance 2005-09 2010-14 Source: Urban Institute
  • 164. Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units 5,891 7,504 5,821 2,251 1,927 1,616 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI households Source: Urban Institute
  • 165. Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50% Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units 764 1,443 1,773 453 576 1,197 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI households Source: Urban Institute
  • 166. Total Homeless 2010 - 2018 135 136 110 123 108 129 80 127 152 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 167. Orange Chronically Homeless Remains Low Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness 38 50 29 28 23 25 16 14 19 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 168. Percentage of Chronically Homeless as Share of all Homeless 28% 37% 26% 23% 21% 19% 20% 11% 13% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 169. 19 Homeless Children in Families in Orange Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness 15 17 15 16 17 19 6 18 19 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 170. Percentage of Unsheltered as Share of all Homeless 13% 24% 25% 24% 8% 16% 19% 29% 26% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 173. Water Sales and Accounts 6.03 21,385 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 CustomerAccounts WaterSales(MillionGallons PerDayAverage) Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009 Source: OWASA
  • 174. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 RateIncrease AverageMonthlyBillBasedon4,000 gallonspermonth Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected) Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected) Source: OWASA
  • 177. Summary • We are growing, but slowly, and we are less dense than peer communities. • Young workers working in Orange, and driving into Orange, is increasing. • Household income is out-pacing inflation. • Orange is number 1 in per capita income but lags in per capita sales. • Retail gap remains wide with additional retail opportunity on the horizon.
  • 178. Summary • CHCCS continues to out perform peers. • Minority student reading is improving in CHCCS and the achievement gap is closing there. • Health Indicators show Orange and Chatham lead neighbors and peers. • Rent is getting more expensive, but wage growth is outpacing it.
  • 179. Summary • Housing prices are increasing, though rate of growth in Orange is slowest • Orange and Chatham properties are valuable and have a strong and growing tax bases. • Poverty, and children in poverty, are declining. • Crime is down. • We remain one the best places in the world to live, work, shop, play, learn, and raise a family.