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BBVAFinance
“Transforming Business Models:Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges”
BBVA, a unique growth
proposition
2
BBVA, a unique growth proposition
Jaime Sáenz de Tejada, Chief Financial Officer
Morgan Stanley - 11th Annual European Financials Conference
“Transforming Business Models: Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges”
London, March 25th, 2015
3
Disclaimer
This document is only provided for information purposes and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell or exchange or acquire,
or an invitation for offers to buy securities issued by any of the aforementioned companies. Any decision to buy or invest in securities in relation to a
specific issue must be made solely and exclusively on the basis of the information set out in the pertinent prospectus filed by the company in relation to
such specific issue. Nobody who becomes aware of the information contained in this report must regard it as definitive, because it is subject to changes
and modifications.
This document contains or may contain forward looking statements (in the usual meaning and within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation
Act of 1995) regarding intentions, expectations or projections of BBVA or of its management on the date thereof, that refer to miscellaneous aspects,
including projections about the future earnings of the business. The statements contained herein are based on our current projections, although the said
earnings may be substantially modified in the future by certain risks, uncertainty and other factors relevant that may cause the results or final decisions to
differ from such intentions, projections or estimates. These factors include, without limitation, (1) the market situation, macroeconomic factors,
regulatory, political or government guidelines, (2) domestic and international stock market movements, exchange rates and interest rates, (3) competitive
pressures, (4) technological changes, (5) alterations in the financial situation, creditworthiness or solvency of our customers, debtors or counterparts.
These factors could condition and result in actual events differing from the information and intentions stated, projected or forecast in this document and
other past or future documents. BBVA does not undertake to publicly revise the contents of this or any other document, either if the events are not
exactly as described herein, or if such events lead to changes in the information of this document.
This document may contain summarised information or information that has not been audited, as well as information relative to solvency produced with
criteria that are still subject to definitive CRR regulatory interpretation, and its recipients are invited to consult the documentation and public information
filed by BBVA with stock market supervisory bodies, in particular, the prospectuses and periodical information filed with the Spanish Securities Exchange
Commission (CNMV) and the Annual Report on form 20-F and information on form 6-K that are disclosed to the US Securities and Exchange
Commission.
Distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely
responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. By accepting this document you agree to be bound by the foregoing
Restrictions.
4
Contents
3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation
2 Strong and high-quality capital
1 A growth footprint
4 Conclusions
55
Spain
USA
Mexico
South
America
Eurasia
BBVA has a well-diversified footprint …
USA
(1) Excluding Corporate Centre. (2) In constant €. Note: Investment grade countries: Spain, USA, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay, China, Turkey (except by S&P) and rest of
Europe; Non-investment grade countries: Portugal, Argentina, Paraguay and Venezuela.
BBVA Group’s 2014 Gross Income
Breakdown by business area (1)
~ 90% of gross income coming from investment grade countries
Emerging Developed
Weight
Y-o-Y chg.(2)
59% 41%
+7.5%+15.0%
7%
10%
24%
29%
30%
6
… that offers higher growth prospects
Real GDP growth
%, YoY
Source: BBVA Research estimates. (1) Mexico, South America, China and Turkey weighted average real GDP growth, based on their contribution to 2014 BBVA Group’s gross income. (2)
Spain, USA (Sunbelt) and rest of Europe weighted average real GDP growth, based on their contribution to 2014 BBVA Group’s gross income.
 Recovery after a challenging 2014 …
 … although still below potential growth
 Growth boosted by Spain and the US
BBVA’s footprint
Emerging (1) Developed (2)
1,3
2,2
2,5
3,1
2,7
2,9
2015e 2016e 2015e 2016e 2015e 2016e
Emerging markets
Developed markets
EMU
7
BBVA continues to actively manage its business
portfolio
Reducing our stake in
CNCB and sale of CIFH
Capital allocation
Increasing our stake in
the best banking
franchise in Turkey
up to 39.9%
Investing for growth
Acquisition of a cleaned-up
institution in one of Spain’s
most dynamic regions
Strong synergy potential
Focusing on our core markets to further enhance our growth profile
8
Banking activity in Spain: P&L recovery to
continue
Towards cost of risk normalization
GDP growth acceleration Turnaround in activity
Real GDP growth
%, YoY
1,4
2,7 2,7
2014 2015e 2016e
Gross loans
evolution
+0.3% QoQ
Dec.14 vs. Sep.14
Cumulative cost of risk (bps)
Banking Activity + RE developers loans
265
155
103
Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14
- 162 bps
NII growth to continue
Cost control to continue thanks to digital transformation
Cost of risk expected to go down to 80 – 85 bps in 2015
2015e
Trends
Source: BBVA Research estimates
Strong P&L recovery
6,622Gross Income +9%
3,777Operating Income +22%
1,028Net Attrib. Profit +75%
2014, € Mn YoY (1)
(1) Figures for 2013 do not include the change in the accounting policy relating to contributions made to the Deposit Guarantee Fund, following the adoption of IFRIC 21
9
Real Estate: 2014, the turnaround year
Reduction of BBVA’s net exposure to REImproving market indicators
Residential housing demand
Housing transactions - in thousands
RE Net attributable profit
BBVA RE net attributable profit
€ Mn
306
366
2013 2014
Source: General Council of Spanish Notary Publics
+20%
Source: BBVA estimates based on Ministry of Public Works and Transport data.
BBVA net exposure to RE
Bank of Spain’s RE transparency scope - € Bn
18,0
15,6 14,6
12,5
2011 2012 2013 2014
-30%
- 1,252
- 876
12M13 12M14
Residential home prices
%, YoY
Limited negative P&L contribution in 2016Trend
-30%
-12%
-6%
0%
6%
12%
mar-06
dic-06
sep-07
jun-08
mar-09
dic-09
sep-10
jun-11
mar-12
dic-12
sep-13
jun-14
mar-15
dic-15
10
1,2
0,9
20 16
0
20
40
60
80
0
0,5
1
1,5
Dec.13 Dec.14
USA: a growing franchise
NPA Ratio (%)
Cost of Risk (bps)
Sound risk indicators
Limited impact from oil prices
Lending +12.2%
+12.2%Customer
Funds
Higher contribution to the Group
Activity dynamism(1)
Constant €, average balances, YoY
Dec.14 vs. Dec.13
Sunbelt: Real GDP growth
%, YoY 3,6
3,0
3,7
2014e 2015e 2016e
(1) Excluding NY business activity.
Source: BBVA Research estimates
2,137Gross Income +4%
640Operating Income +3%
428Net Attrib. Profit +9%
YoY
2015e
Trends
Activity growth to remain solid
Positive sensitivity to interest rates increases (expected start: 2H15)
Cost of risk to inch up towards more normalized levels (+10/15 bps)
2014, constant € Mn
11
3,6
2,9
355 345
200
250
300
350
400
2,5
4,5
6,5
Dec.13 Dec.14
Mexico: significant and recurrent contributor to
the Group
NPA Ratio (%)
Cost of Risk (bps)
Stable risk indicators
Growth acceleration and limited impact
from oil prices
Higher growth prospects for 2015e vs. 2014
Committed to maintaining positive jaws
Cost of risk to remain stable at around 350 bps
Lending +11.7%
+8.4%
Customer
Funds
Double-digit growth in all P&L lines
Activity dynamism
Constant €, average balances, YoY
Dec.14 vs. Dec.13
6,522Gross Income +10%
4,115Operating Income +11%
1,915Net Attrib. Profit +11%
2014, constant € Mn YoY
Real GDP growth
%, YoY
2,1
3,5 3,4
2014 2015e 2016e
~ 4%e in
2020
Source: BBVA Research estimates
2015e
Trends
12
2,1 2,1
150 146
0
50
100
150
200
1,8
2,3
2,8
3,3
Dec.13 Dec.14
South America: a well-diversified footprint in a
high-growth region
NPA Ratio (%)
Cost of Risk (bps)
Stable risk indicators
A two-gear region in terms of growth
The area will continue to be a relevant contributor to the Group
The Andean region as the main growth lever going forward
Venezuela: Limited contribution to P&L and no impact of FX on capital ratio
Lending +22.5%
(+13.8% ex Venezuela)
+24.4%
(+15.5% ex Venezuela)
Customer
Funds
Strong P&L growth
Activity dynamism
Constant €, average balances, YoY
Dec.14 vs. Dec.13
2014, constant € Mn YoY
Real GDP growth
%, YoY
0,6 0,9
2,2
3,3 3,8 4,4
2014 2015e 2016e
BBVA's footprint Andean countries (Chile, Colombia, Perú)
5,191Gross Income +23% +17%
2,875Operating Income +19% +18%
1,001Net Attrib. Profit +6% +13%
Ex Vz.
Source: BBVA Research estimates
2015e
Trends
13
2,1 2,4
114
89
-40
10
60
110
Dec.13 Dec.14
Turkey: Garanti boosts BBVA’s long-term growth
NPA Ratio (%)
Cost of Risk(2) (bps)
Sound asset quality
Turkish Lira loans growing at ~15%
NIM expansion to continue
Stable cost or risk vs. 2014
Performing
Loans
+13%
+13%Customer
Deposits
Increasing contribution to BBVA Group’s P&L
Activity dynamism
944Gross Income +17%
550Operating Income +21%
310Net Attrib. Profit +35%
2014(1), constant € Mn YoY
Real GDP growth
%, YoY
2,6
3,7
4,5
2014e 2015e 2016e
Note: Garanti BRSA bank-only financials for fair comparison with Garanti´s Operating Plan guidance. (1) Stake of 25.01% in Garanti, as of end-Dec.2014; (2) Net cost of risk, including recoveries.
Source: BBVA Research estimates
Growth acceleration despite
geopolitical volatility
Local figures in Turkish Lira, year-end, YoY growth
Dec.14 vs. Dec.13
2015e
Trends
14
Contents
3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation
2 Strong and high-quality capital
1 A growth footprint
4 Conclusions
15
Σ = 10.4%
CET1 CRD IV Fully- Loaded
BBVA Group – Dec.14
(1) BBVA Group CBR (Combined Buffer Requirement) is currently expected to consist of 2.5% Capital Conservation Buffer (CCB) and 1.0% G-SIB Buffer. (2) Including €1.5 Bn AT1 issued
on Feb.15. (3) MDA: Maximum Distributable Amount.
Commitment to maintain a CET1 fully loaded of 10%
4,5%
1,2%
0,3%
3,0%
3,5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
4,5%
1,5%
2,0%
3,5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Total
CET1
AT1
T2
CBR (1)
11.5%
BUFFER TO
MDA(3) LIMIT
€7.2 Bn
2.1%
Available internal
buffer
AT1
T2
14.6%
CRDIV Total Capital
Requirement (fully loaded)
BBVA Group’s Dec. 14
CRDIV fully-loaded ratios (2)
Strong and resilient regulatory capital ratios
16
In a context of capital requirements harmonization…
and …
Unrealized gains on the
AFS sovereign portfolio:
not included in
Core Capital
Not benefiting
from the
“Danish compromise”
Limited impact from
guaranteed DTAs
54%
32%
BBVA European Peer
Group Average
5,9%
4,0%
BBVA European Peer
Group Average
RWAs / Total Assets (%) Leverage Ratio (%)
(1)
European Peer Group: BARC, BNPP, CASA, CS, CMZ, DB, HSBC, ISP, LBG, RBS, SAN, SG, UBS, UCG. (1) CRDIV Fully-Loaded.
Dec.14 Dec.14
  
#1 #1
… BBVA stands out for the quality of its capital
17
TLAC expected to have a manageable impact on
BBVA …
Estimated 2019 TLAC Walk-down for BBVA(1)
(Fully-Loaded CET1 at a consolidated level)
Estimated Additional TLAC needs
… due to its strong capital position, maturity profile and
demonstrated ability to access the market
BBVA
G- SIB
peers avg.
TLAC
Considerations
 BBVA’s requirement expected to be based on RWAs, not on leverage
 BBVA’s structure predisposes MPE as preferred resolution strategy
 Expect MREL implementation consistent and converging to TLAC
 Assuming 2019 compliance, annual TLAC issuance of ~ €3-4 Bn per annum
(1) BBVA fully-loaded capital as of 4Q14, pro-forma, including €1.5 Bn AT1 as of Feb.15. TLAC requirement calculated: 16% + 2.5% Capital Conservation Buffer + 1% GSIB Buffer.
 €10 Bn
 €20 Bn
19,5%
~ 5%
~ 250 bps
10,4%
1,2%
3,0%
2,5%
TLAC est.
Potential
Req.
CET1 AT1 T2 Elegible
senior
Additional
TLAC
needs
18
Contents
3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation
2 Strong and high-quality capital
1 A growth footprint
4 Conclusions
19
A digital transformation based on 5 fundamental
levers …
Organizational &
Culture change
5
Products &
processes
Infrastructure
development
Distribution model
New digital businesses
 Customer experience
 Optimizing servicing
 Digital channels
 Lean structure
 Cost control
4 3
2
1
20
Client base growth
Higher client engagement/loyalty
Higher commercial productivity
Lower operating costs
Better risk indicators
… to deliver the best banking customer
experience …
Main goals of
BBVA’s digital
transformation
… while lowering the cost to acquire and serve our clients
21
5,0
6,2
7,5
12.4
9.2
Dec.11 Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14
Our customers are increasingly digital …
… and digital behavior correlates with value
26
321
Non-digital
customer
Digital customer
Average number of annual transactions per
customer
BBVA Spain
Note: Non-digital customers are those that only use branches and ATMs.
Including
Garanti in 2014
X12
Active digital customers
BBVA Group – million
CAGR
+22%
0,3
1,3
2,4
5.8
4.4
Dec.11 Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14
Including
Garanti in 2014
Mobile active customers
BBVA Group - million
CAGR
+145%
Digital customers
represent a huge
opportunity
22
Contents
3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation
2 Strong and high-quality capital
1 A growth footprint
4 Conclusions
23
Conclusions
Higher
growth potential
Competitive
advantage vs. peers
Solid solvency position
 Digital Transformation plan

Attractive and unmatchable
footprint
BBVA, a unique growth proposition
24
BBVA, a unique growth proposition
Jaime Sáenz de Tejada, Chief Financial Officer
Morgan Stanley - 11th Annual European Financials Conference
“Transforming Business Models: Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges”
London, March 25th, 2015

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BBVA, a unique growth proposition

  • 1. BBVAFinance “Transforming Business Models:Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges” BBVA, a unique growth proposition
  • 2. 2 BBVA, a unique growth proposition Jaime Sáenz de Tejada, Chief Financial Officer Morgan Stanley - 11th Annual European Financials Conference “Transforming Business Models: Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges” London, March 25th, 2015
  • 3. 3 Disclaimer This document is only provided for information purposes and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell or exchange or acquire, or an invitation for offers to buy securities issued by any of the aforementioned companies. Any decision to buy or invest in securities in relation to a specific issue must be made solely and exclusively on the basis of the information set out in the pertinent prospectus filed by the company in relation to such specific issue. Nobody who becomes aware of the information contained in this report must regard it as definitive, because it is subject to changes and modifications. This document contains or may contain forward looking statements (in the usual meaning and within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995) regarding intentions, expectations or projections of BBVA or of its management on the date thereof, that refer to miscellaneous aspects, including projections about the future earnings of the business. The statements contained herein are based on our current projections, although the said earnings may be substantially modified in the future by certain risks, uncertainty and other factors relevant that may cause the results or final decisions to differ from such intentions, projections or estimates. These factors include, without limitation, (1) the market situation, macroeconomic factors, regulatory, political or government guidelines, (2) domestic and international stock market movements, exchange rates and interest rates, (3) competitive pressures, (4) technological changes, (5) alterations in the financial situation, creditworthiness or solvency of our customers, debtors or counterparts. These factors could condition and result in actual events differing from the information and intentions stated, projected or forecast in this document and other past or future documents. BBVA does not undertake to publicly revise the contents of this or any other document, either if the events are not exactly as described herein, or if such events lead to changes in the information of this document. This document may contain summarised information or information that has not been audited, as well as information relative to solvency produced with criteria that are still subject to definitive CRR regulatory interpretation, and its recipients are invited to consult the documentation and public information filed by BBVA with stock market supervisory bodies, in particular, the prospectuses and periodical information filed with the Spanish Securities Exchange Commission (CNMV) and the Annual Report on form 20-F and information on form 6-K that are disclosed to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. By accepting this document you agree to be bound by the foregoing Restrictions.
  • 4. 4 Contents 3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation 2 Strong and high-quality capital 1 A growth footprint 4 Conclusions
  • 5. 55 Spain USA Mexico South America Eurasia BBVA has a well-diversified footprint … USA (1) Excluding Corporate Centre. (2) In constant €. Note: Investment grade countries: Spain, USA, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay, China, Turkey (except by S&P) and rest of Europe; Non-investment grade countries: Portugal, Argentina, Paraguay and Venezuela. BBVA Group’s 2014 Gross Income Breakdown by business area (1) ~ 90% of gross income coming from investment grade countries Emerging Developed Weight Y-o-Y chg.(2) 59% 41% +7.5%+15.0% 7% 10% 24% 29% 30%
  • 6. 6 … that offers higher growth prospects Real GDP growth %, YoY Source: BBVA Research estimates. (1) Mexico, South America, China and Turkey weighted average real GDP growth, based on their contribution to 2014 BBVA Group’s gross income. (2) Spain, USA (Sunbelt) and rest of Europe weighted average real GDP growth, based on their contribution to 2014 BBVA Group’s gross income.  Recovery after a challenging 2014 …  … although still below potential growth  Growth boosted by Spain and the US BBVA’s footprint Emerging (1) Developed (2) 1,3 2,2 2,5 3,1 2,7 2,9 2015e 2016e 2015e 2016e 2015e 2016e Emerging markets Developed markets EMU
  • 7. 7 BBVA continues to actively manage its business portfolio Reducing our stake in CNCB and sale of CIFH Capital allocation Increasing our stake in the best banking franchise in Turkey up to 39.9% Investing for growth Acquisition of a cleaned-up institution in one of Spain’s most dynamic regions Strong synergy potential Focusing on our core markets to further enhance our growth profile
  • 8. 8 Banking activity in Spain: P&L recovery to continue Towards cost of risk normalization GDP growth acceleration Turnaround in activity Real GDP growth %, YoY 1,4 2,7 2,7 2014 2015e 2016e Gross loans evolution +0.3% QoQ Dec.14 vs. Sep.14 Cumulative cost of risk (bps) Banking Activity + RE developers loans 265 155 103 Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14 - 162 bps NII growth to continue Cost control to continue thanks to digital transformation Cost of risk expected to go down to 80 – 85 bps in 2015 2015e Trends Source: BBVA Research estimates Strong P&L recovery 6,622Gross Income +9% 3,777Operating Income +22% 1,028Net Attrib. Profit +75% 2014, € Mn YoY (1) (1) Figures for 2013 do not include the change in the accounting policy relating to contributions made to the Deposit Guarantee Fund, following the adoption of IFRIC 21
  • 9. 9 Real Estate: 2014, the turnaround year Reduction of BBVA’s net exposure to REImproving market indicators Residential housing demand Housing transactions - in thousands RE Net attributable profit BBVA RE net attributable profit € Mn 306 366 2013 2014 Source: General Council of Spanish Notary Publics +20% Source: BBVA estimates based on Ministry of Public Works and Transport data. BBVA net exposure to RE Bank of Spain’s RE transparency scope - € Bn 18,0 15,6 14,6 12,5 2011 2012 2013 2014 -30% - 1,252 - 876 12M13 12M14 Residential home prices %, YoY Limited negative P&L contribution in 2016Trend -30% -12% -6% 0% 6% 12% mar-06 dic-06 sep-07 jun-08 mar-09 dic-09 sep-10 jun-11 mar-12 dic-12 sep-13 jun-14 mar-15 dic-15
  • 10. 10 1,2 0,9 20 16 0 20 40 60 80 0 0,5 1 1,5 Dec.13 Dec.14 USA: a growing franchise NPA Ratio (%) Cost of Risk (bps) Sound risk indicators Limited impact from oil prices Lending +12.2% +12.2%Customer Funds Higher contribution to the Group Activity dynamism(1) Constant €, average balances, YoY Dec.14 vs. Dec.13 Sunbelt: Real GDP growth %, YoY 3,6 3,0 3,7 2014e 2015e 2016e (1) Excluding NY business activity. Source: BBVA Research estimates 2,137Gross Income +4% 640Operating Income +3% 428Net Attrib. Profit +9% YoY 2015e Trends Activity growth to remain solid Positive sensitivity to interest rates increases (expected start: 2H15) Cost of risk to inch up towards more normalized levels (+10/15 bps) 2014, constant € Mn
  • 11. 11 3,6 2,9 355 345 200 250 300 350 400 2,5 4,5 6,5 Dec.13 Dec.14 Mexico: significant and recurrent contributor to the Group NPA Ratio (%) Cost of Risk (bps) Stable risk indicators Growth acceleration and limited impact from oil prices Higher growth prospects for 2015e vs. 2014 Committed to maintaining positive jaws Cost of risk to remain stable at around 350 bps Lending +11.7% +8.4% Customer Funds Double-digit growth in all P&L lines Activity dynamism Constant €, average balances, YoY Dec.14 vs. Dec.13 6,522Gross Income +10% 4,115Operating Income +11% 1,915Net Attrib. Profit +11% 2014, constant € Mn YoY Real GDP growth %, YoY 2,1 3,5 3,4 2014 2015e 2016e ~ 4%e in 2020 Source: BBVA Research estimates 2015e Trends
  • 12. 12 2,1 2,1 150 146 0 50 100 150 200 1,8 2,3 2,8 3,3 Dec.13 Dec.14 South America: a well-diversified footprint in a high-growth region NPA Ratio (%) Cost of Risk (bps) Stable risk indicators A two-gear region in terms of growth The area will continue to be a relevant contributor to the Group The Andean region as the main growth lever going forward Venezuela: Limited contribution to P&L and no impact of FX on capital ratio Lending +22.5% (+13.8% ex Venezuela) +24.4% (+15.5% ex Venezuela) Customer Funds Strong P&L growth Activity dynamism Constant €, average balances, YoY Dec.14 vs. Dec.13 2014, constant € Mn YoY Real GDP growth %, YoY 0,6 0,9 2,2 3,3 3,8 4,4 2014 2015e 2016e BBVA's footprint Andean countries (Chile, Colombia, Perú) 5,191Gross Income +23% +17% 2,875Operating Income +19% +18% 1,001Net Attrib. Profit +6% +13% Ex Vz. Source: BBVA Research estimates 2015e Trends
  • 13. 13 2,1 2,4 114 89 -40 10 60 110 Dec.13 Dec.14 Turkey: Garanti boosts BBVA’s long-term growth NPA Ratio (%) Cost of Risk(2) (bps) Sound asset quality Turkish Lira loans growing at ~15% NIM expansion to continue Stable cost or risk vs. 2014 Performing Loans +13% +13%Customer Deposits Increasing contribution to BBVA Group’s P&L Activity dynamism 944Gross Income +17% 550Operating Income +21% 310Net Attrib. Profit +35% 2014(1), constant € Mn YoY Real GDP growth %, YoY 2,6 3,7 4,5 2014e 2015e 2016e Note: Garanti BRSA bank-only financials for fair comparison with Garanti´s Operating Plan guidance. (1) Stake of 25.01% in Garanti, as of end-Dec.2014; (2) Net cost of risk, including recoveries. Source: BBVA Research estimates Growth acceleration despite geopolitical volatility Local figures in Turkish Lira, year-end, YoY growth Dec.14 vs. Dec.13 2015e Trends
  • 14. 14 Contents 3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation 2 Strong and high-quality capital 1 A growth footprint 4 Conclusions
  • 15. 15 Σ = 10.4% CET1 CRD IV Fully- Loaded BBVA Group – Dec.14 (1) BBVA Group CBR (Combined Buffer Requirement) is currently expected to consist of 2.5% Capital Conservation Buffer (CCB) and 1.0% G-SIB Buffer. (2) Including €1.5 Bn AT1 issued on Feb.15. (3) MDA: Maximum Distributable Amount. Commitment to maintain a CET1 fully loaded of 10% 4,5% 1,2% 0,3% 3,0% 3,5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 4,5% 1,5% 2,0% 3,5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Total CET1 AT1 T2 CBR (1) 11.5% BUFFER TO MDA(3) LIMIT €7.2 Bn 2.1% Available internal buffer AT1 T2 14.6% CRDIV Total Capital Requirement (fully loaded) BBVA Group’s Dec. 14 CRDIV fully-loaded ratios (2) Strong and resilient regulatory capital ratios
  • 16. 16 In a context of capital requirements harmonization… and … Unrealized gains on the AFS sovereign portfolio: not included in Core Capital Not benefiting from the “Danish compromise” Limited impact from guaranteed DTAs 54% 32% BBVA European Peer Group Average 5,9% 4,0% BBVA European Peer Group Average RWAs / Total Assets (%) Leverage Ratio (%) (1) European Peer Group: BARC, BNPP, CASA, CS, CMZ, DB, HSBC, ISP, LBG, RBS, SAN, SG, UBS, UCG. (1) CRDIV Fully-Loaded. Dec.14 Dec.14    #1 #1 … BBVA stands out for the quality of its capital
  • 17. 17 TLAC expected to have a manageable impact on BBVA … Estimated 2019 TLAC Walk-down for BBVA(1) (Fully-Loaded CET1 at a consolidated level) Estimated Additional TLAC needs … due to its strong capital position, maturity profile and demonstrated ability to access the market BBVA G- SIB peers avg. TLAC Considerations  BBVA’s requirement expected to be based on RWAs, not on leverage  BBVA’s structure predisposes MPE as preferred resolution strategy  Expect MREL implementation consistent and converging to TLAC  Assuming 2019 compliance, annual TLAC issuance of ~ €3-4 Bn per annum (1) BBVA fully-loaded capital as of 4Q14, pro-forma, including €1.5 Bn AT1 as of Feb.15. TLAC requirement calculated: 16% + 2.5% Capital Conservation Buffer + 1% GSIB Buffer.  €10 Bn  €20 Bn 19,5% ~ 5% ~ 250 bps 10,4% 1,2% 3,0% 2,5% TLAC est. Potential Req. CET1 AT1 T2 Elegible senior Additional TLAC needs
  • 18. 18 Contents 3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation 2 Strong and high-quality capital 1 A growth footprint 4 Conclusions
  • 19. 19 A digital transformation based on 5 fundamental levers … Organizational & Culture change 5 Products & processes Infrastructure development Distribution model New digital businesses  Customer experience  Optimizing servicing  Digital channels  Lean structure  Cost control 4 3 2 1
  • 20. 20 Client base growth Higher client engagement/loyalty Higher commercial productivity Lower operating costs Better risk indicators … to deliver the best banking customer experience … Main goals of BBVA’s digital transformation … while lowering the cost to acquire and serve our clients
  • 21. 21 5,0 6,2 7,5 12.4 9.2 Dec.11 Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14 Our customers are increasingly digital … … and digital behavior correlates with value 26 321 Non-digital customer Digital customer Average number of annual transactions per customer BBVA Spain Note: Non-digital customers are those that only use branches and ATMs. Including Garanti in 2014 X12 Active digital customers BBVA Group – million CAGR +22% 0,3 1,3 2,4 5.8 4.4 Dec.11 Dec.12 Dec.13 Dec.14 Including Garanti in 2014 Mobile active customers BBVA Group - million CAGR +145% Digital customers represent a huge opportunity
  • 22. 22 Contents 3 Leading the industry’s digital transformation 2 Strong and high-quality capital 1 A growth footprint 4 Conclusions
  • 23. 23 Conclusions Higher growth potential Competitive advantage vs. peers Solid solvency position  Digital Transformation plan  Attractive and unmatchable footprint BBVA, a unique growth proposition
  • 24. 24 BBVA, a unique growth proposition Jaime Sáenz de Tejada, Chief Financial Officer Morgan Stanley - 11th Annual European Financials Conference “Transforming Business Models: Digital, Regulation and Macro Challenges” London, March 25th, 2015