The document discusses projections for population growth in Saratoga County from 2000 to 2030 across various scenarios, including status quo, concentrated growth, and hyper-growth. It highlights the fiscal impact of these growth scenarios on infrastructure costs, noting that dispersed development patterns lead to higher costs, particularly for education. Additionally, the document addresses the challenges of managing growth to ensure adequate public services, especially in fast-growing areas that rely on volunteer staffing for emergency services.

1. Start End Saratoga P.L.A.N. Rocco A. Ferraro, AICP, Executive Director Capital District Regional Planning Commission

2. Commission End CDRPC Commissioners Albany County Willard A. Bruce, Secretary John Graziano, Jr. Lucille M. McKnight Michael B. Whalen, Jr. {Vacant} Rensselaer County Judy Breselor Stan Brownell Leon Fiacco James D. Shaughnessy, Treasurer Mike Stammel Saratoga County Fred Acunto Philip Barrett, Chair Jason Kemper John Murray Paul Sausville Schenectady County Robert J. Godlewski Gary Hughes Barbara Mauro, Vice Chair Michael Petta David Vincent

3. Pop50C End

4. Pop60C End

5. Pop70C End

6. Pop80C End

7. Pop90C End

8. Pop00C End

9. Pop50 End

10. Pop60 End

11. Pop70 End

12. Pop80 End

13. Pop90 End

14. Pop00 End

15. BP2 End

16. PopProj End

17. Age Cohort Proj End Saratoga County Age Cohort Projections

18. HH by Type End Saratoga County Households by Type

19. Fam HH by Type End Saratoga County Family Households by Type

20. Persons/HH End Saratoga County Avg. Persons/Household

21. HH Proj End Saratoga County Household Projections

22. HH Proj Chart End

23. Map-S1 End Development Scenario 1 2000-2030 Status Quo Trend 72,707 net persons 1 dot = 50 people CDRPC Projections Current Policies

24. Map-S2 End Development Scenario 2 2000-2030 Concentrated Growth 72,707 net persons 1 dot = 50 people CDRPC Projections Higher Density Urban Policy Initiatives

25. Map-S3 End Development Scenario 3 2000-2030 Trend Hyper-Growth 229,341 net persons 1 dot = 50 people Average U.S. Growth Rate (1%/year) Current Policies

26. Map-S4 End Development Scenario 4 2000-2030 Concentrated Hyper-Growth 229,340 net persons 1 dot = 50 people Average U.S. Growth Rate (1%/year) Higher Density Urban Policy Initiatives

27. CDR Fiscal Impact End Critical Points The faster the Region grows, the more critical it is to manage growth to avoid escalating infrastructure costs. More dispersed development patterns means higher infrastructure costs, in particular for education. Under the trend scenarios the costs to maintain existing infrastructure will be borne by a smaller and less wealthy population. Private costs for Water and Wastewater would be less under the concentrated versus the trend growth scenarios. Mutual aid assistance agreements for fire and emergency services may not ensure adequate personnel and property protection in fast growing suburban and rural areas dependent on volunteer staffing, accelerating the need to professionalize some currently volunteer districts. Capital Region Fiscal Impacts of Growth to 2030 $1,698.3 M $1,620.7 M $4,796.0 M $3,789.7 M Fire/EMS Education Wastewater Water Status Quo Trend Concentrated Hyper-Growth Trend Hyper-Growth Concentrated Growth $340.9 M $1,087.6 M $151.0 M $118.8 M $346.9 M $1,015.1 M $155.4 M $103.3 M $868.6 M $3,329.6 M $356.6 M $241.1 M $881.7 M $2,203.8 M $463.0 M $241.2 M

28. Sar Fiscal Impact End Saratoga County Fiscal Impacts of Growth to 2030

29. End End Capital District Regional Planning Commission One Park Place, Suite 102, Albany, New York 12205 518-453-0850 Fax 453-0856 cdrpc@cdrpc.org http://cdrpc.org

30. CDR Migration End Capital District Migration of Taxpayers & Dependents

31. Sar Migration End Saratoga County Migration of Taxpayers & Dependents