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Are Baby Boomers Healthier than
                  their Parents?

11th Global Conference of the International Federation of Aging
                   28May to 1st June, 2012



                                            Dr Jennifer Buckley
                                               Dr Lisel O’Dwyer
                                        Professor Graeme Hugo


                                        University of Adelaide,
           Australian Population and Migration Research Centre
Overview


 Conceptual Framework

 Methods

 Impact of Social Change

 Health Differences

 Implications
Conceptual Framework
         Why Study Cohort Differences?

 Demographic Theories of Social Change
  − Generational Units (Mannheim)
  − Cohort Flow, Inter-cohort comparison (Ryder)
  − Ageing and Society Paradigm (Riley et al)

 Socio-cultural Theories of Social Change
  − Late Modernity (Giddens)
  − Risk (Beck)

 Non-biological factors which influence the ageing
  process

 Differences in ageing patterns between cohorts
Methods

Methods                      Comparing same age-group at
                             two different time points
• 1989-90 Australian NHS
  data 1989-90 (n=54 576)                     Age Range in
                                              Census Year *     *

                             Birth Cohort
                **                              **         **
• 2007-08 Australian NHS
                                              1989-90 2007-08
  data (n=20 788)
                *                                        *

                *                                          *

• Surveys use a stratified   1927-1936 –      53-62
                                                **  **     **
                             Pre-war Cohort   n=1458
  multistage area sample
                             1946-1955 –                 53-62
                             Baby Boomers                n=2498
Impact of Social Change
Key Changes to the Social Context

Factors related to changes in values and lifestyle
 Post World War II
      Economic Security
      Welfare State
      The Pill
      Feminism
      Communications technology


 Transformation of everyday institutions
      Education
      Religion
      Marriage
      Family
      Work
Educational Attainment
                      Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 45-54

                            50                                       46,1
                            45             43,4
                            40
                            35
             Percentage %




                            30
                                                            24,7
                            25
                            20                                                               18,5

                            15
                            10      6,2
                            5                                                          3,4
                            0
                                  Highest Year of       Post secondary quals     Bachelor or higher
                                 Secondary School
                                          Parents' of Baby Boomers      Baby Boomers


Source: ABS 1981; 2006
Registered Marital Status
                         Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59

                    90
                    80
                    70
                    60
     Percentage %




                    50
                    40
                    30
                    20
                    10
                     0
                           Married         Sep/Div        Never Married   Widowed
                                     Pre-war Generation   Baby Boomers


Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Household Structure
                  14

                  12

                  10
   Percentage %




                                                                                        *    *
                   8
                                      **                                      **        **
                   6
                                      *                                                 *
                   4
                                      *                                                 *
                   2
                                      **                                      **   **   **

                   0
                       Lone person households      Two and three family     Group Households
                                                       households
                                           Pre-war Cohort    Baby Boomers

Source: ABS Census, 1986; 2006
Employment Status
                   Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59

                         80

                         70

                         60
          Percentage %




                         50

                         40

                         30

                         20

                         10

                         0
                                Pre-war Generation                      Baby Boomers
                                Employed            Unemployed   Not in Labour Force


Source: ABS; National Health Survey, 1989-90; 2007-08
Employment Status by Gender
                        Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59
                   90

                   80

                   70

                   60
    Percentage %




                   50

                   40

                   30

                   20

                   10

                    0
                        Pre-war Generation     Baby Boomers                         Pre-war Generation   Baby Boomers
                                                   Male                                            Females


                                             Employed         Not in Labour Force       Unemployed

Source: ABS; National Health Survey, 1989-90; 2007-08
Children Ever Born
                           Females – Pre-war Cohort and Baby Boomers
                                           Age 50-59
                      70

                      60

                      50
       Percentage %




                      40

                      30

                      20

                      10

                       0
                            None           1               2       3 or more
                                   Pre-war Cohort   Baby Boomers


Source: ABS Census, 1986; 2006
Implications for Health

 Reduced social support
    Higher proportions divorced
    Fewer children
    Higher proportions living alone


 Multiple commitments extended over longer time
    The sandwich generation
    Women in paid work and caring

 More uncertainty in relation to work and relationships

 More diversity
      Education
      Family structures
      Experiences
      Marital status
Impact of Social Change
        - Lifestyle
Increased Food Variety & Food Availability
Changes to Physical Activity Levels
   Activity                 Calories Burned Activity               Calories Burned

                                            Walk to colleague’s
   Email Colleague 1 min           2                                      4
                                            office – 1 min

   Ride Elevator – 2 mins          3        Take stairs – 2 min           19


   Order take-out – 1 min          1        Cook meal                     70

   Load dishwasher – 10
                                  23        Wash dishes                   80
   min

   Watch TV -                     35        Play cards                    52

   Go to car wash                 35        Wash car at home             104

   Play video game                53        Play basketball              280
   Mow lawn/ride-on
                                  88        Mow lawn/power mower         280
   mower
Source: OECD ......
Changes in Lifestyle Patterns

Loss of predictable routine
Demise of the 1950s meal system
Variables

• Self report data
   – Have you ever been told by a doctor or nurse that
     you have ... ?
   – Do you have any other long term health conditions?
                                                     * *

                **                           **        **
• Multiple Conditions variable
             *                                         *
   –   Arthritis
                 *                                     *
   –   Kidney disease
   –   Diabetes **                           **   **   **

   –   Depression
   –   COPD
   –   Asthma
Comparison of Risk Factors
                   80

                   70

                   60
    Percentage %




                   50                                                                        *    *

                   40
                                       **                                       **           **
                   30
                                       *    **                                                *
                   20                                                **
                                       *                                        **            * **
                   10
                                       **                                       **   **      **
                   0
                        Insufficient Obesity (BMI High Blood    Current   Alcohol Risk      High
                          Exercise      ≥30)       Pressure     Smoking                   Cholesterol
                                            Pre-war Cohort     Baby Boomers

**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Comparison of Chronic Conditions
                   35        **

                   30

                   25
    Percentage %




                                       **
                   20                                                                             *    *
                                                    **        **         **
                   15                       **                                      **   **       **
                                                                                              *
                   10                                                                             *
                                            *
                    5
                                            *                                                     *
                    0
                        Arthritis        **
                                    Hearing      Asthma   Diabetes      Back    Migraine COPD ** Kidney
                                                                                        ** **
                                     Loss                            problems -                 Disease
                                                                        Disc
                                                 Pre-war Cohort      Baby Boomers


**p=<.001; *p=<.05
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Multiple Chronic Conditions by Cohort


                          Pre-War Cohort                              Baby Boomers
                                4,7 .5                                       4,0
                                                                  9,1
                                                                              **
                                                                        **                       *    *

              30,3
                                        **                                         **            **
                                                                                   **
                                                                                               53,7
                                                                                                  *
                                         *
                                                           33,2
                                                    64,5
                                        *                                                        *

                                        **                                         **   **       **

                      0     1       2        3 or more            0     1      2   3 or more




**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Self-rated Health by Cohort
                  90
                                                                                   **
                  80
                  70
                  60
   Percentage %




                                                                                             *    *
                  50
                                      **                                      **             **
                  40
                                      *                                                      *
                  30
                                      *      **                                              *
                  20
                  10                  **                                                **   **
                                                                              **
                   0
                                    Poor-Fair                          Good-Excellent
                                           Pre-war Cohort   Baby Boomers

**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Gender Differences – Asthma and Migraine
                  14
                           **
                  12

                  10
                                                                           *
   Percentage %




                                                                                            *    *
                   8
                                    **                                         **           **
                   6
                                    *                                                       *
                   4
                                    *                                                       *
                   2
                                    **                                         **   **      **
                   0
                       Females           Males                        Females              Males
                                         Asthma                                 Migraine
                                          Pre-war cohort   Baby Boomers
**p=<.001; *p=<.05
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Gender Differences – High Cholesterol

                    16
                                            **

                    14

                    12
     Percentage %




                    10

                     8

                     6

                     4

                     2

                     0
                                    Males                              Females
                                        Pre-war Chort   Baby Boomers
**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Gender Differences – Alcohol Risk
                  70

                  60

                  50
   Percentage %




                  40       **                                                         *    *


                  30                **                                      **        **

                  20                *                                                 *

                                                   *
                  10                *                                                 *

                   0                **                                      **   **   **
                       No Risk   Low Risk Med-High               No Risk   Low Risk Med-High
                                            Risk                                      Risk
                                         Females                            Males
                                          Pre-war Cohort   Baby Boomers
**p=<.001; *p=<.05
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Gender Differences - Smoking

                     70

                     60
                                                     **
                     50
      Percentage %




                                                                                     **
                     40                                                                        *    *
                                                                                                    **

                     30               ** **                                     **             **

                     20                *                                                        *
                                                                         **
                     10               *                                                         *

                     0                **                                                  **   **
                                                                                **
                          Smoker   Ex-smoker      Never              Smoker   Ex-smoker         Never
                                                 smoked                                        smoked
                                           Females                             Males
                                              Pre-war Cohort   Baby Boomers
**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Use of Other Health Practitioners

                    12


                    10          **



                     8                                                                         *      *
     Percentage %




                     6                  **                                      **             **
                                                   **
                                        *                                                       *
                                                               **
                     4
                                        *                                                       *
                                                                                                 **
                     2
                                        **                                      **     **      **

                     0
                         Chiropractor        Dietitian    Naturopath   Acupuncturist        Osteopath
                                              Pre-war Cohort   Baby Boomers

**p=<.001
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Private Health Insurance
                 60

                 50

                 40
  Percentage %




                                                                                            *    *

                 30
                                     **                                        **           **

                 20                  *                                                      *


                 10                  *                                                      *

                                     **                                        **     **    **
                  0
                       No private                    Hospital cover   Both hospital    Ancillary cover
                      health cover                       only         and ancillary         only
                                                                         cover
                                          Pre-war Cohort    Baby Boomers

Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Private Health Insurance
                                   – Gender Differences
                  60

                                      *
                  50

                  40
   Percentage %




                           *                                                                        *    *
                  30
                                     **                                          **                 **
                  20
                                      *                                                              *

                  10                                *
                                     *                                                               *

                  0
                                     **                                           **      **        **
                         No      Hospital    Hospital Ancillary          No      Hospital      Hospital Ancillary
                       Private      &         only      only           Private       &          only      only
                       Health    ancillary                             Health    ancillary
                       Cover                                           Cover
                                         Females                                  Males

                                                   Pre-War Gen    Baby Boomers
*p=<.05
Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
Conclusion

 Chronic conditions – worse health

 Self-reported health – better health
                                                     *    *

 Gender differences                         **      **

                *                                     *

 Policy       *                                      *
   – Strategies for obesity and physical activity
   – Equitable access to health care and services ** **
                **                              **

   – Effective integration of private and public health
     provision
Wittert 2006
Acknowledgements and Contact Details

Acknowledgements
• This research was funded through an Australian
  Research Council Linkage grant

• To Graeme Tucker and Rhiannon Pilkington for
  their assistance with the National Health Survey
  data

Contact Details
Jennifer Buckley
Email: jennifer.buckley@adelaide.edu.au
Limitations re Equivalence of Variables

• SRH – extra category in 2008
• Diabetes - Diagnostic criteria
  – In 1989-90 - ≥7.8 mmol L                     *    *


  – In 2007-08 –≥ 7.0 mmol L
               **                       **       **


  – We have not adjusted for this difference
             *                                   *

            *                                    *

            **                         **   **   **
Notes on Multi Stage Area Sampling and
               weights used in the NHS
•   Multistage sampling is a complex form of cluster sampling. Instead of using all the
    elements contained in the selected clusters you randomly selects elements from each
    cluster. Constructing the clusters is the first stage. Deciding what elements within the
    cluster to use is the second stage.
•   How the ABS does it: household surveys conducted by the Australian Bureau of
    Statistics begin by dividing metropolitan regions into 'collection districts', and
    selecting some of these collection districts (first stage). The selected collection districts
    are then divided into blocks, and blocks are chosen from within each selected
    collection district (second stage). Next, dwellings are listed within each selected
    block, and some of these dwellings are selected (third stage). This method means that
    it is not necessary to create a list of every dwelling in the region, only for selected
    blocks. In remote areas,
•   Stratified multi-stage area sampling frame of private dwellings – therefore does not
    allow statistical treatment as a simple random sample. This dealt with by using
    replication methods to estimate variances for the complex sample design and
    weighting procedure used in the NHS. The replicate weights are a series of variables
    that contain the information on the primary sampling unit and the strata used in the
    sampling design that allows correct calculation of the standard errors when
    analysing complex survey data.
•   Weighting

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2 j.buckley ifa are b bs healthier than parents_may12_v4

  • 1. Are Baby Boomers Healthier than their Parents? 11th Global Conference of the International Federation of Aging 28May to 1st June, 2012 Dr Jennifer Buckley Dr Lisel O’Dwyer Professor Graeme Hugo University of Adelaide, Australian Population and Migration Research Centre
  • 2. Overview  Conceptual Framework  Methods  Impact of Social Change  Health Differences  Implications
  • 3. Conceptual Framework Why Study Cohort Differences?  Demographic Theories of Social Change − Generational Units (Mannheim) − Cohort Flow, Inter-cohort comparison (Ryder) − Ageing and Society Paradigm (Riley et al)  Socio-cultural Theories of Social Change − Late Modernity (Giddens) − Risk (Beck)  Non-biological factors which influence the ageing process  Differences in ageing patterns between cohorts
  • 4. Methods Methods Comparing same age-group at two different time points • 1989-90 Australian NHS data 1989-90 (n=54 576) Age Range in Census Year * * Birth Cohort ** ** ** • 2007-08 Australian NHS 1989-90 2007-08 data (n=20 788) * * * * • Surveys use a stratified 1927-1936 – 53-62 ** ** ** Pre-war Cohort n=1458 multistage area sample 1946-1955 – 53-62 Baby Boomers n=2498
  • 6. Key Changes to the Social Context Factors related to changes in values and lifestyle  Post World War II  Economic Security  Welfare State  The Pill  Feminism  Communications technology  Transformation of everyday institutions  Education  Religion  Marriage  Family  Work
  • 7. Educational Attainment Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 45-54 50 46,1 45 43,4 40 35 Percentage % 30 24,7 25 20 18,5 15 10 6,2 5 3,4 0 Highest Year of Post secondary quals Bachelor or higher Secondary School Parents' of Baby Boomers Baby Boomers Source: ABS 1981; 2006
  • 8. Registered Marital Status Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59 90 80 70 60 Percentage % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Married Sep/Div Never Married Widowed Pre-war Generation Baby Boomers Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 9. Household Structure 14 12 10 Percentage % * * 8 ** ** ** 6 * * 4 * * 2 ** ** ** ** 0 Lone person households Two and three family Group Households households Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers Source: ABS Census, 1986; 2006
  • 10. Employment Status Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59 80 70 60 Percentage % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-war Generation Baby Boomers Employed Unemployed Not in Labour Force Source: ABS; National Health Survey, 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 11. Employment Status by Gender Baby Boomers and their Parents at Age 50-59 90 80 70 60 Percentage % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-war Generation Baby Boomers Pre-war Generation Baby Boomers Male Females Employed Not in Labour Force Unemployed Source: ABS; National Health Survey, 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 12. Children Ever Born Females – Pre-war Cohort and Baby Boomers Age 50-59 70 60 50 Percentage % 40 30 20 10 0 None 1 2 3 or more Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers Source: ABS Census, 1986; 2006
  • 13. Implications for Health  Reduced social support  Higher proportions divorced  Fewer children  Higher proportions living alone  Multiple commitments extended over longer time  The sandwich generation  Women in paid work and caring  More uncertainty in relation to work and relationships  More diversity  Education  Family structures  Experiences  Marital status
  • 14. Impact of Social Change - Lifestyle
  • 15. Increased Food Variety & Food Availability
  • 16. Changes to Physical Activity Levels Activity Calories Burned Activity Calories Burned Walk to colleague’s Email Colleague 1 min 2 4 office – 1 min Ride Elevator – 2 mins 3 Take stairs – 2 min 19 Order take-out – 1 min 1 Cook meal 70 Load dishwasher – 10 23 Wash dishes 80 min Watch TV - 35 Play cards 52 Go to car wash 35 Wash car at home 104 Play video game 53 Play basketball 280 Mow lawn/ride-on 88 Mow lawn/power mower 280 mower Source: OECD ......
  • 17. Changes in Lifestyle Patterns Loss of predictable routine Demise of the 1950s meal system
  • 18.
  • 19. Variables • Self report data – Have you ever been told by a doctor or nurse that you have ... ? – Do you have any other long term health conditions? * * ** ** ** • Multiple Conditions variable * * – Arthritis * * – Kidney disease – Diabetes ** ** ** ** – Depression – COPD – Asthma
  • 20. Comparison of Risk Factors 80 70 60 Percentage % 50 * * 40 ** ** ** 30 * ** * 20 ** * ** * ** 10 ** ** ** ** 0 Insufficient Obesity (BMI High Blood Current Alcohol Risk High Exercise ≥30) Pressure Smoking Cholesterol Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 21. Comparison of Chronic Conditions 35 ** 30 25 Percentage % ** 20 * * ** ** ** 15 ** ** ** ** * 10 * * 5 * * 0 Arthritis ** Hearing Asthma Diabetes Back Migraine COPD ** Kidney ** ** Loss problems - Disease Disc Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001; *p=<.05 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 22. Multiple Chronic Conditions by Cohort Pre-War Cohort Baby Boomers 4,7 .5 4,0 9,1 ** ** * * 30,3 ** ** ** ** 53,7 * * 33,2 64,5 * * ** ** ** ** 0 1 2 3 or more 0 1 2 3 or more **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 23. Self-rated Health by Cohort 90 ** 80 70 60 Percentage % * * 50 ** ** ** 40 * * 30 * ** * 20 10 ** ** ** ** 0 Poor-Fair Good-Excellent Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 24. Gender Differences – Asthma and Migraine 14 ** 12 10 * Percentage % * * 8 ** ** ** 6 * * 4 * * 2 ** ** ** ** 0 Females Males Females Males Asthma Migraine Pre-war cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001; *p=<.05 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 25. Gender Differences – High Cholesterol 16 ** 14 12 Percentage % 10 8 6 4 2 0 Males Females Pre-war Chort Baby Boomers **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 26. Gender Differences – Alcohol Risk 70 60 50 Percentage % 40 ** * * 30 ** ** ** 20 * * * 10 * * 0 ** ** ** ** No Risk Low Risk Med-High No Risk Low Risk Med-High Risk Risk Females Males Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001; *p=<.05 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 27. Gender Differences - Smoking 70 60 ** 50 Percentage % ** 40 * * ** 30 ** ** ** ** 20 * * ** 10 * * 0 ** ** ** ** Smoker Ex-smoker Never Smoker Ex-smoker Never smoked smoked Females Males Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 28. Use of Other Health Practitioners 12 10 ** 8 * * Percentage % 6 ** ** ** ** * * ** 4 * * ** 2 ** ** ** ** 0 Chiropractor Dietitian Naturopath Acupuncturist Osteopath Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers **p=<.001 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 29. Private Health Insurance 60 50 40 Percentage % * * 30 ** ** ** 20 * * 10 * * ** ** ** ** 0 No private Hospital cover Both hospital Ancillary cover health cover only and ancillary only cover Pre-war Cohort Baby Boomers Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 30. Private Health Insurance – Gender Differences 60 * 50 40 Percentage % * * * 30 ** ** ** 20 * * 10 * * * 0 ** ** ** ** No Hospital Hospital Ancillary No Hospital Hospital Ancillary Private & only only Private & only only Health ancillary Health ancillary Cover Cover Females Males Pre-War Gen Baby Boomers *p=<.05 Source: ABS; NHS 1989-90; 2007-08
  • 31. Conclusion  Chronic conditions – worse health  Self-reported health – better health * *  Gender differences ** ** * *  Policy * * – Strategies for obesity and physical activity – Equitable access to health care and services ** ** ** ** – Effective integration of private and public health provision
  • 33. Acknowledgements and Contact Details Acknowledgements • This research was funded through an Australian Research Council Linkage grant • To Graeme Tucker and Rhiannon Pilkington for their assistance with the National Health Survey data Contact Details Jennifer Buckley Email: jennifer.buckley@adelaide.edu.au
  • 34. Limitations re Equivalence of Variables • SRH – extra category in 2008 • Diabetes - Diagnostic criteria – In 1989-90 - ≥7.8 mmol L * * – In 2007-08 –≥ 7.0 mmol L ** ** ** – We have not adjusted for this difference * * * * ** ** ** **
  • 35. Notes on Multi Stage Area Sampling and weights used in the NHS • Multistage sampling is a complex form of cluster sampling. Instead of using all the elements contained in the selected clusters you randomly selects elements from each cluster. Constructing the clusters is the first stage. Deciding what elements within the cluster to use is the second stage. • How the ABS does it: household surveys conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics begin by dividing metropolitan regions into 'collection districts', and selecting some of these collection districts (first stage). The selected collection districts are then divided into blocks, and blocks are chosen from within each selected collection district (second stage). Next, dwellings are listed within each selected block, and some of these dwellings are selected (third stage). This method means that it is not necessary to create a list of every dwelling in the region, only for selected blocks. In remote areas, • Stratified multi-stage area sampling frame of private dwellings – therefore does not allow statistical treatment as a simple random sample. This dealt with by using replication methods to estimate variances for the complex sample design and weighting procedure used in the NHS. The replicate weights are a series of variables that contain the information on the primary sampling unit and the strata used in the sampling design that allows correct calculation of the standard errors when analysing complex survey data. • Weighting