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By
Sushrut (11095)
  Vipin(11044)
  Rohit(11028)
Licence Raj
 As per Licence Raj, licenses and regulations were required to
 set up and run businesses in India between 1947 and 1990.


 The Licence Raj was India's decision to have a planned
 economy where all aspects of the economy are controlled by
 the state and licences are given to a select few.


 Up to 80 government agencies had to be satisfied before
 private companies could produce something and, if
 granted, the government would regulate production.
Consequences
India had started out in the 1950’s with:
 high growth rates

 openness to trade and investment

 a promotional state

 social expenditure awareness

 macro stability
Continued…
However, by the 1980’s, the country was left with:
 low growth rates

 closure to trade and investment

 a license-obsessed, restrictive state

 inability to sustain social expenditures

 macro instability, indeed crisis
What was the condition ?
   Two sources of revenue
  A) Tax
  B) PSU profit
But both of sources were not generating revenue

    Why?
1)   Inefficient management

2) Corruption

3) Excessive regulation
Continued…
5) Low productivity

6) Lack of infrastructure

7) Concentration of economic powers in few hands

8) Unbalanced development

9) Monopolistic tendency
Why Govt. requires money?
 To control
1) Unemployment
2) Poverty
3) Population

revenue generation?
Govt. expenditure > revenue

( Unsustainable growth)

 Govt. is borrowing money for development.
Consequences :
 Gross fiscal deficit for Govt. ( state & center)
 1980-81    9% of GDP
 1985-86    10.4% of GDP
 1990-91    12.4% of GDP

 For center Govt. alone
 1980-81    6.1% of GDP
 1985-86    8.1% of GDP
 1990-91    8.4% of GDP
continued…
 Exports were drastically reduced

 Forex were also reduced to such extent that India could
 barely manage 3 weeks of imports.

Almost reduced to $ 1.2 billion.

 India was very close to default.
Actions taken immediately?
 Emergency loan of $ 2.2 billion from IMF by pledging 67

  tons of India’s gold reserves.

 RBI had to airlift 47 tons of gold to Bank of England

 Also RBI had to airlift 20 tons of gold to Union bank of

  Switzerland to raise money of $ 500 million.
Continued…
 Devaluation of rupee:
1. Exports become cheaper
2. Imports were more costlier


    India had fixed exchange rate system with basket of
     currencies of major trading partners.
    Rupee devaluated between 18-19%
    Trade policy changed from restrictive to free tradable EXIM
     sc rips which allowed exporters to to import 30% value of
     their exports.
Industrial Policy
                                 1991


 Objective:                        Policy Initiatives

 Remove regulatory system
 Incentives for industries in     1.   Industrial Licensing Policy
    backward areas
   To Run the PSUs on business    2.   Public sector Policy
    lines
   Encourage Entrepreneurship     3.   Foreign Investment
   Link Indian economy to
    global market                  4.   Foreign          Technology
   Develop indigenous
    technology                          Agreements
   Promote productivity &
    employment generation
                                   5.   MRTP Act
Industrial Licensing Policy
 Industrial Licensing - It is required to establish, to manufacture
    goods at a specific location before 1991.
   In the new policy licensing requirement was abolished
    except for
          1. Distillation & Brewing of alcoholic drinks
          2. Manufacturing Cigarettes & Tobacco substitutes
          3. All types of electronic aerospace & Defence equipments
          4. Industrial Explosives
          5. Certain Hazardous chemicals
   Exempted factories have to furnish a memorandum to Industries
    department
   Location:
   In the new policy projects can be established at any location
    except cities . In a city of 1 million population it has to be
    established 25kms away from city.
Public Sector Policy

 Number of Industries reserved for public sector reduced to 8 and
    then to 2 ( Atomic energy & Railway )
   Growth of PSUs in the following Priority sectors
    1.Essential infrastructure Goods & Services
    2. Exploration & Exploitation of Oil & Mineral resources
    3. Strategic Defence equipments
    4. Technology development & building of manufacturing
    capabilities in areas which are crucial for economic development
   Autonomy through MOU – Navaratnas
   Bringing down government equity to 26 % in non-Priority sector
    PSUs
   Close down PSUs which can not be revived
   Fully protect the interest of workers
Foreign Investment

 Foreign Investment allowed up to 51 % of Equity
  capital in FERA companies
 Foreign Investment allowed up to 26 % of Equity
  capital in Defence productions sector.
 Up to 100 % in certain sectors ( real estate )
 Stock market opened for foreign investment
 EXIM Policy liberalised , tariffs reduced , lifted import
  restrictions
 Foreign exchange rate policy liberalised , Rupee was
  made fully convertible on current account and then
  recently partly on capital account.
Foreign Technology Agreement

 Government will provide automatic approval for technological
  agreements related to high priority industries within specified
  parameters.
 Priority sectors are -Infrastructure , Exploration , Defence
  products
 Indian companies will be free to negotiate the terms for
  technology transfer with their foreign counterparts according to
  their own commercial judgement.
 No permission is necessary for hiring of foreign technicians
  and foreign testing of indigenously developed technologies.
  Government will encourage foreign trading companies to assist
  in our export activities
MRTP Act
Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act
 The government will not scrutiny the investment
  decisions of MRTP companies
 Prior approval of MRTP companies for expansion not
  required
 Restrictions on merger, acquisition and transfer of shares
  will be replaced
 MRTP commission will be strengthened to take action
  against restrictive & unfair trade practice. MRTP
  commission will be empowered to enquire into the
  complaints of customers
 MRTP Act is replaced by Competition Law
LIBERALIZATION
Structural Change in GDP Composition
                           Com pos ition of GDP (1991 v/s 2011)


                                                   Agriculture, 16.6%




             2011                                     34.0%
                           42.7%       1991


         Services, 57.7%

                                                                   Industry, 25.7%

                                              23.2%




 • GDP has undergone a marked structural change over a span of two
   decades
       • Agriculture contribution has shrunk to 16.6% in 2011 from 34.0% in
         1991
       • Share of tertiary sector has increased commendably, in fact is
         becoming engine of growth
       • Flat growth in Secondary sector is however, a cause of worry given
         the reducing employment elasticity of agricultural sector
FDI INFLOWS




                                                                                                                                                                             157.8%
                  40000                                                                                                                                                                               180.0%




                                                                                                                                                                                                               FDI as % of Total Foreign Inflows
                  35000                                                                                                                                                                               160.0%




                                                                                            102.5%
                  30000                                                                                                                                                                               140.0%




                                  97.0%
                          94.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      120.0%




                                                                                                                             83.7%
    US$ Million




                  25000




                                                                                                                                                             76.5%
                                                                                                                     75.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      100.0%




                                                                                    66.1%




                                                                                                             59.3%
                  20000

                                          56.4%




                                                                                                                                                                     56.1%




                                                                                                                                                                                      53.8%

                                                                                                                                                                                              49.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      80.0%




                                                                          46.0%
                                                                  43.8%




                                                                                                     41.6%




                                                                                                                                                     41.8%
                                                                                                                                             39.4%
                  15000
                                                                                                                                                                                                      60.0%




                                                                                                                                     27.5%
                                                          25.6%
                                                  14.1%
                  10000                                                                                                                                                                               40.0%
                  5000                                                                                                                                                                                20.0%

                     0                                                                                                                                                                                0.0%
                          1991

                                  1992

                                          1993

                                                  1994

                                                          1995

                                                                  1996

                                                                          1997

                                                                                    1998

                                                                                            1999

                                                                                                     2000

                                                                                                             2001

                                                                                                                     2002

                                                                                                                             2003

                                                                                                                                     2004

                                                                                                                                             2005

                                                                                                                                                     2006

                                                                                                                                                             2007

                                                                                                                                                                     2008

                                                                                                                                                                             2009

                                                                                                                                                                                      2010

                                                                                                                                                                                              2011
                                                                                  FDI Inflow s               As % of Total foreign Investment Inflow s




•      FDI inflows have grown multiple fold from just US$ 97 mn in 1991 to US$
       30.4 bn with an average annual compound growth rate of 33.3%

•      FDI inflows as a proportion of total foreign investment inflows has fallen
       from 157.8% in 2008-09 to 49.1% in 2011 due to faster rise in portfolio
       investment

•      Indian companies have made an outward investment totaling US$80
       billion in the first decade of the century mostly in developed economies
Social indicators
                                                                  40.0%       35.6%                                     37.0%
                                                                                                35.0%
100.0%                                                            35.0%
                                    82.1%
                  74.0%                                                               27.5%              28.3%
80.0%                                                 65.5%       30.0%                                                         25.7%
                            64.1%
            52.2%                                                 25.0%
60.0%
                                              39.3%               20.0%
40.0%                                                             15.0%

20.0%                                                             10.0%
                                                                  5.0%
 0.0%                                                             0.0%
            Overall          Males            Females                         Total              Rural                  Urban


                          1991         2011                                                   1991               2005




    •    Overall literacy rate has gone up from just          •   Overall, poverty has declined by eight
         over half to almost three-quarters during                percentage points from as high as 35.6%
         1991 and 2011                                            in 1991 to 27.5% in 2005
               • Literacy level among female folk                         •   Decline was more pronounced in
                 which constitutes about half of the                          urban areas as compared to rural
                 population has nearly doubled                                areas
                                                                          •   Urban poverty fell by double digits.
    •    Among young people, the rates are higher                             Rural poverty came down by seven
         as the Right to Education law kicks in                               percentage points

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The Impact of Licence Raj in India

  • 1. By Sushrut (11095) Vipin(11044) Rohit(11028)
  • 2. Licence Raj  As per Licence Raj, licenses and regulations were required to set up and run businesses in India between 1947 and 1990.  The Licence Raj was India's decision to have a planned economy where all aspects of the economy are controlled by the state and licences are given to a select few.  Up to 80 government agencies had to be satisfied before private companies could produce something and, if granted, the government would regulate production.
  • 3. Consequences India had started out in the 1950’s with:  high growth rates  openness to trade and investment  a promotional state  social expenditure awareness  macro stability
  • 4. Continued… However, by the 1980’s, the country was left with:  low growth rates  closure to trade and investment  a license-obsessed, restrictive state  inability to sustain social expenditures  macro instability, indeed crisis
  • 5. What was the condition ?  Two sources of revenue A) Tax B) PSU profit But both of sources were not generating revenue  Why? 1) Inefficient management 2) Corruption 3) Excessive regulation
  • 6. Continued… 5) Low productivity 6) Lack of infrastructure 7) Concentration of economic powers in few hands 8) Unbalanced development 9) Monopolistic tendency
  • 7. Why Govt. requires money?  To control 1) Unemployment 2) Poverty 3) Population revenue generation? Govt. expenditure > revenue ( Unsustainable growth)  Govt. is borrowing money for development.
  • 8. Consequences :  Gross fiscal deficit for Govt. ( state & center)  1980-81 9% of GDP  1985-86 10.4% of GDP  1990-91 12.4% of GDP  For center Govt. alone  1980-81 6.1% of GDP  1985-86 8.1% of GDP  1990-91 8.4% of GDP
  • 9. continued…  Exports were drastically reduced  Forex were also reduced to such extent that India could barely manage 3 weeks of imports. Almost reduced to $ 1.2 billion.  India was very close to default.
  • 10. Actions taken immediately?  Emergency loan of $ 2.2 billion from IMF by pledging 67 tons of India’s gold reserves.  RBI had to airlift 47 tons of gold to Bank of England  Also RBI had to airlift 20 tons of gold to Union bank of Switzerland to raise money of $ 500 million.
  • 11. Continued…  Devaluation of rupee: 1. Exports become cheaper 2. Imports were more costlier  India had fixed exchange rate system with basket of currencies of major trading partners.  Rupee devaluated between 18-19%  Trade policy changed from restrictive to free tradable EXIM sc rips which allowed exporters to to import 30% value of their exports.
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  • 15. Industrial Policy 1991  Objective:  Policy Initiatives  Remove regulatory system  Incentives for industries in 1. Industrial Licensing Policy backward areas  To Run the PSUs on business 2. Public sector Policy lines  Encourage Entrepreneurship 3. Foreign Investment  Link Indian economy to global market 4. Foreign Technology  Develop indigenous technology Agreements  Promote productivity & employment generation 5. MRTP Act
  • 16. Industrial Licensing Policy  Industrial Licensing - It is required to establish, to manufacture goods at a specific location before 1991.  In the new policy licensing requirement was abolished except for 1. Distillation & Brewing of alcoholic drinks 2. Manufacturing Cigarettes & Tobacco substitutes 3. All types of electronic aerospace & Defence equipments 4. Industrial Explosives 5. Certain Hazardous chemicals  Exempted factories have to furnish a memorandum to Industries department  Location:  In the new policy projects can be established at any location except cities . In a city of 1 million population it has to be established 25kms away from city.
  • 17. Public Sector Policy  Number of Industries reserved for public sector reduced to 8 and then to 2 ( Atomic energy & Railway )  Growth of PSUs in the following Priority sectors 1.Essential infrastructure Goods & Services 2. Exploration & Exploitation of Oil & Mineral resources 3. Strategic Defence equipments 4. Technology development & building of manufacturing capabilities in areas which are crucial for economic development  Autonomy through MOU – Navaratnas  Bringing down government equity to 26 % in non-Priority sector PSUs  Close down PSUs which can not be revived  Fully protect the interest of workers
  • 18. Foreign Investment  Foreign Investment allowed up to 51 % of Equity capital in FERA companies  Foreign Investment allowed up to 26 % of Equity capital in Defence productions sector.  Up to 100 % in certain sectors ( real estate )  Stock market opened for foreign investment  EXIM Policy liberalised , tariffs reduced , lifted import restrictions  Foreign exchange rate policy liberalised , Rupee was made fully convertible on current account and then recently partly on capital account.
  • 19. Foreign Technology Agreement  Government will provide automatic approval for technological agreements related to high priority industries within specified parameters.  Priority sectors are -Infrastructure , Exploration , Defence products  Indian companies will be free to negotiate the terms for technology transfer with their foreign counterparts according to their own commercial judgement.  No permission is necessary for hiring of foreign technicians and foreign testing of indigenously developed technologies. Government will encourage foreign trading companies to assist in our export activities
  • 20. MRTP Act Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act  The government will not scrutiny the investment decisions of MRTP companies  Prior approval of MRTP companies for expansion not required  Restrictions on merger, acquisition and transfer of shares will be replaced  MRTP commission will be strengthened to take action against restrictive & unfair trade practice. MRTP commission will be empowered to enquire into the complaints of customers  MRTP Act is replaced by Competition Law
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  • 26. Structural Change in GDP Composition Com pos ition of GDP (1991 v/s 2011) Agriculture, 16.6% 2011 34.0% 42.7% 1991 Services, 57.7% Industry, 25.7% 23.2% • GDP has undergone a marked structural change over a span of two decades • Agriculture contribution has shrunk to 16.6% in 2011 from 34.0% in 1991 • Share of tertiary sector has increased commendably, in fact is becoming engine of growth • Flat growth in Secondary sector is however, a cause of worry given the reducing employment elasticity of agricultural sector
  • 27. FDI INFLOWS 157.8% 40000 180.0% FDI as % of Total Foreign Inflows 35000 160.0% 102.5% 30000 140.0% 97.0% 94.2% 120.0% 83.7% US$ Million 25000 76.5% 75.2% 100.0% 66.1% 59.3% 20000 56.4% 56.1% 53.8% 49.1% 80.0% 46.0% 43.8% 41.6% 41.8% 39.4% 15000 60.0% 27.5% 25.6% 14.1% 10000 40.0% 5000 20.0% 0 0.0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 FDI Inflow s As % of Total foreign Investment Inflow s • FDI inflows have grown multiple fold from just US$ 97 mn in 1991 to US$ 30.4 bn with an average annual compound growth rate of 33.3% • FDI inflows as a proportion of total foreign investment inflows has fallen from 157.8% in 2008-09 to 49.1% in 2011 due to faster rise in portfolio investment • Indian companies have made an outward investment totaling US$80 billion in the first decade of the century mostly in developed economies
  • 28. Social indicators 40.0% 35.6% 37.0% 35.0% 100.0% 35.0% 82.1% 74.0% 27.5% 28.3% 80.0% 65.5% 30.0% 25.7% 64.1% 52.2% 25.0% 60.0% 39.3% 20.0% 40.0% 15.0% 20.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% Overall Males Females Total Rural Urban 1991 2011 1991 2005 • Overall literacy rate has gone up from just • Overall, poverty has declined by eight over half to almost three-quarters during percentage points from as high as 35.6% 1991 and 2011 in 1991 to 27.5% in 2005 • Literacy level among female folk • Decline was more pronounced in which constitutes about half of the urban areas as compared to rural population has nearly doubled areas • Urban poverty fell by double digits. • Among young people, the rates are higher Rural poverty came down by seven as the Right to Education law kicks in percentage points