This weekly market report provides an analysis of the Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector performances, FII/DII investments, crude oil and gold prices. Some key points: - The Nifty closed slightly lower at 12,174.65 and is at a precarious level, with further weakness expected if it closes below 12,126. - Most sectors declined over the week except tech and pharma. Banking sector underperformed the broader market. - FIIs were net sellers over most of the past week while DIIs were mixed. - Crude oil prices are rising on expectations of upcoming OPEC production cuts while gold prices stabilized after recent declines.

1. MARKET OUTLOOK
FEBRUARY 2020

2. Weekly Report
NIFTY BANKNIFTY
R2 12250 31953
R1 12200 31460
CERRENT 12126 31201
S1 12000 30627
S2 11900 30111
•The domestic stock market snapped a two-day rally, as weekly options expiry
dominated the session on Thursday. NSE Nifty opened in the red and traded in a
sideways trajectory for most part of the session. After witnsessing a mild recocery
towards the fag end, the index settled with a loss of 26.55 points or 0.22 per cent at
12,174.65. The headline index is at a precarious juncture. If it fails to move past the
12,230 level, then it will create a lower top on the daily chart. However, in the same
breath, the index has managed to keep head above the 50-DMA, which is at 12,126.
Therefore, going ahead, any slip below 12,126 on a closing basis will bring in further
weakness
NIFTY WEEKLY
SECTORIAL PERFORMANCE
SECTOR CLOSING WoW
BSE IT 16332.89 -39.26
BSE FMCG 11531.89 -146.2
BSE Cap
Goods 16781.76 -41.02
BSE Cons
Durbl 26962.31 -2.18
BSE
Healthcare 14415 -31.76
BSE Teck 8200.36 18.26
BSE PSU 6457.89 -121.55
BSE Auto 17589.4 -211.1
BSE Dollex
300 4805.25 1.32%
BSE IT 15778.24 1.01%
FII / DII (DAILY)
Date FII DII
14-Feb-20 -704.92 219.54
13-Feb-20 1061.39 -960.48
12-Feb-20 48.81 339.19
11-Feb-20 -209.39 344.63
10-Feb-20 -184.58 -735.79
07-Feb-20 161.93 -178.59
06-Feb-20 -560.36 304.01
05-Feb-20 248.94 262.75
04-Feb-20 366.21 601.86
RESEARCH DESK
H.O.D Research - SOHAN RAI
PAWAN PATIL
Technical Analyst
• The recent crack dragged the index towards Rs 29,600, which was very close to its
head-and-shoulders breakdown target of Rs 29,500.
• Now, the index is back above Rs 31,000 mark. Since the last couple of months, the index
has been underperforming the benchmark index Nifty, which indicates a lack of strength.
• The overall monthly and weekly structure has turned feeble for the medium-term. At this
juncture, the index is hovering between its 61.8 percent and 78.6 percent Fibonacci
retracement levels of the previous fall.
• Moreover, we are witnessing a bearish candlestick pattern on the daily chart, which
indicates further selling.
• Traders are advised to sell the index near Rs 31,300.
BANK NIFTY WEEKLY
Date :15 FEB 2020

3. • The FTSE 100 is a stock index representing the performance of the largest 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange
(LSE) by market capitalization. The FTSE 100 stock index offers traders high liquidity and a reliable picture of UK economic health.
Follow the FTSE 100 live with the chart and read our latest news and analysis. Plan your trades with the FTSE forecast, the economic
calendar and learn about relevant events to assist your fundamental analysis.
Weekly Report
FTSE
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the performance of 30 of the biggest companies in the US and is
often used as a barometer for the overall performance of the country’s equity markets. The Dow chart is a useful
measure of US economic health. Follow the Dow Jones live with the real-time chart and view the latest Dow
forecasts, news and analysis. Key pivot points and support and resistance will help you trade the Dow Jones today
and into the future.
DOW
Date : 15 FEBRUARY 2020

4. • A week ago, at an emergency meeting of the OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee, Russia refused to agree to the cartel’s proposal to
reduce production by an additional 600 000 barrels per day (bpd). Explaining Russia’s position, Energy Minister Alexander
Novak said that in order to make such a decision, it takes time to evaluate the effect of coronavirus on the oil market.
• Play Video
• It is really not yet clear how much the coronavirus will reduce global demand for crude oil. In February, amid the unfolding epidemic,
OPEC lowered its demand growth forecast for 2020 by 230 000 bpd to 0.99 million bpd. The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies is
more pessimistic: according to its estimates, in China alone, demand in Q1 2020 will decrease by at least 500 000 bpd. Russian
Energy Minister Novak, on the other hand, retains moderate optimism, believing that the global decline will not exceed 200 000 bpd.
• With the number of new coronavirus cases slowing, gold prices are focusing on an economic fallout from the virus as
traders keep the gold bid alive.
• Gold surprised the markets on Friday as traders bought the dip and prices climbed above $1,570 an ounce level. At the
time of writing, April Comex gold futures were trading at $1,571.50, up 0.10% on the day, but down 1% on the week.
• The big news this week, aside from the coronavirus updates, was the U.S. employment report, which surprised on the
upside with 225,000 new jobs created in January. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.6% on an increased
participation rate.
Weekly Report
CRUDE OIL
GOLD
Date :15 FEBRUARY 2020

5. Date : 17 January 2020
Above scanners will showcase a list of stock within the NSE 500 universe which have qualified
post a through process of scanning via technical based queries on a combination of various
technical indicators. The query models have been designed with an intension to gauge the
existing trend or expected momentum or a likely reversal. The objective of the process is to equip
short term traders with a watch list for the week. One can use this information to immediately view
the stock chart and see if there is any opportunity to trade. Since the stocks have been evaluated
based on EOD analysis it is advisable to consult with your advisor or a qualified analyst for a
trading positional opportunity. Regardless for your approach, this additional information could help
you eliminate and help you better trading decisions.
NEWS
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION
Weekly Report
STOCK NEWS POLITICAL NEWS ECONOMIC NEWS GLOBAL NEWS
-The Indian stock market
is trading at the low point
of the day with Sensex
falling 220.33 points, or
0.53 percent, to
41239.46, and the Nifty
shedding 69.50 points at
12105.20.
-Jindal Poly Films share
price gained 9 percent
intraday on February 14
after the company
approved the expansion
plan and reported good
numbers for the quarter
ended December 2019.
-Shares of the sugar
refiner and ethanol
producer Shree Renuka
Sugars tanked over 7
percent intraday on
February 14 after the
company reported a
consolidated net loss of
Rs 208.6 crore in the
quarter ending
December 2019 against
a net profit of Rs 311.1
crore in the year-ago
period.
The Odisha government
has placed 83 people who
have returned from novel
Coronavirus (nCoV)
affected countries since
January 15 under home
quarantine as a
precautionary measure,
officials said on Friday.
The World Health
Organization on Friday
defended China following
US claims of a lack of
transparency in Beijing's
response to the new
coronavirus outbreak.
Larry Kudlow, head of the
US National Economic
Council, had said on
Thursday:Bank accounts
of more than 200
employees of New Delhi
Municipal Corporation
(NDMC) were allegedly
hacked and money
siphoned off in the first
week of February, police
said on Friday. Though
police have received only
two complaints of online
fraud from the employees,
NDMC employees union
says more than 200
employees have lost their
money after being
cheated online.
Goldman Sachs has
invested Rs 610 crore in
Gurgaon-based real estate
firm Vatika Group to
expedite construction in a
commercial project and to
enable prepayment to
Piramal Enterprises for the
hospitality arm of the group.
The investment is a debt
instrument structured as a
project finance facilitating a
partial refinance to Piramal
Enterprises and the
balance towards
construction.
The global financial
services giant has invested
Rs 245 crore to help
expedite the construction of
first phase of a commercial
project located on NH-8.
The project will be
developed in three phases.
U.S. West Texas
Intermediate and
international-benchmark
Brent crude oil futures
are edging higher on
Friday as investors
continue to increase bets
that OPEC and its allies
will come through with
the production cuts a
technical committee
recommended the week-
ending February 7.
The price action also
suggests that traders are
a little more optimistic
that the coronavirus
outbreak has reached a
peak and that the
demand crisis may be
ending. The markets are
also on track for their
first weekly gain since
early January.
OPEC Cuts Forecast for
Oil Demand Growth This
Year

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