SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 17
Download to read offline
Micro…nance and Disaster Management:
How does Micro…nance help coping with ‡oods?
Evidence from Northern India
Kristina Czura Sarah Linders
Goethe University Frankfurt University of Heidelberg
UMM Workshop Groningen
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 1 / 17
Motivation
Credit as Coping Mechanism
Insurance and credit have been identi…ed as coping mechanisms for
risk to smooth consumption (Morduch (1995), Townsend (1994))
Both formal and informal credit have been identi…ed as important
mechanisms in dealing with idiosyncratic shocks (Eswaran & Kotwal
(1989), Udry (1990), Udry (1994), Gertler et.al. (2002), and Skou…as
(2003))
Further, access to credit has been identi…ed to reduce the use of other
coping mechanisms like child labor and reduction of educational
attainment in face of negative income shocks (e.g. Jacoby & Skou…as
(1997), Beegle et.al. (2006), Guarcelllo et.al.(2009))
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 2 / 17
Motivation
There is, however, little research on how households cope with large
aggregate shocks, like natural disasters
I A few studies elicit a substitution e¤ect of other coping mechanisms for
credit constrained households (e.g. Jacoby & Skou…as (1997), Gitter &
Bradford (2007)).
I Sawada (2008) …nds direct evidence for consumption smoothing after
the Kobe earthquake for households having access to credit
I Shoji (2010) shows that households with access to credit can keep their
pre-‡ood consumption level and level of nutritional intake after the
1998 ‡ood in Bangladesh
Nevertheless, there is little evidence on the direct use of credit as
insurance against aggregate shocks in the literature
I Del Ninno et.al. (2003) and Khandker (2007) …nd that informal credit
and micro credit played a major role for consumption smoothing in the
1998 ‡ood in Bangladesh
I Czura & Klonner (2010) show that demand for funds provided by
Roscas did increase as a consequence of the Indian Ocean Tsunami
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 3 / 17
Research Idea
1 Phase: Short run research question (current research project)
I What adverse income shocks do households face and how do they cope
with them? In particular, how do households cope with ‡ood?
I How do households …nance the consequences of adverse income shocks
and what role can Micro…nance potentially play?
2 Phase: Long run research question (future research project)
I Develop a disaster-loan-product and pilot test it in a randomized …eld
experiment setting
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 4 / 17
Research Partner - Gramyasheel Micro…nance
Gramyasheel NGO is working since over 15 years in the districts of
Supaul, Madhepura and Saharsa on di¤erent projects in water and
natural resource management and is promoting various forms of
livelihood activities.
Further, Gramyasheel NGO was a partner of NABARD and formed
SHGs in the SHG-linkage program
Gramyasheel Micro…nance has been established by the NGO
Gramyasheel in 2009
I Group lending methodology: lending to joint liability groups (JLGs) of
female clients
I Loan products o¤ered: standard loan (increasing loan amount with loan
cycle), emergency loan, short term business loan
I Loan purpose: working capital needs and asset acquisition needs for
standard and short term business loan, hospitalization costs for
emergency loans
As Gramyasheel MFI is operating in a ‡ood ravaged area they would
like to extend their loan portfolio by a Disaster Loan Product
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 5 / 17
Area of Operation - Flood situation
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 6 / 17
Area of Operation - Flood Situation
Kosi river
I the river moved its riverbed westward over the last 100 years
I the river is carrying silt from Nepal, hence elevating the river bed such
that monsoon rain cannot be absorbed properly causing ‡oods
Flood management
I Embankments were build to keep river Kosi in its river bed. The
‡oodplains were reduced, leading to higher ‡oods inside the
embankment
I Villages still exist inside the embankments
I Embankment creates waterlogged areas in former ‡oodplains so that
even outside the embankments water levels rise with higher water levels
of Kosi
Disastrous ‡ood caused by breach in embankment in 2008
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 7 / 17
Empirical Strategy
For empirical identi…cation in this cross-section setting we study
households from three di¤erent locations within Supaul district that
are di¤erently a¤ected by ‡oods
1 Urban and rural micro…nance clients who live close to, but outside the
embankment borders
F not directly a¤ected by the ‡ooding, but indirectly a¤ected by rising
ground water levels in times of ‡ooding and through agricultural
activities inside the embankment area
2 Households living inside the embankment
F villages inside the embankment face yearly recurring ‡ooding after the
monsoon
3 Households in the ‡ood zone of the 2008 ‡ood
F area has not been a¤ected by ‡oods ever since the establishment of the
embankment in the 1950s
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 8 / 17
Characteristics of Household Head
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 9 / 17
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 10 / 17
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 11 / 17
Consequences of Shock for Household
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 12 / 17
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 13 / 17
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 14 / 17
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 15 / 17
Financing Constraints after Shock
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 16 / 17
Conclusion
Households are exposed to severe negative income shocks with
average amounts lost due to shocks comparable to average annual
income of households
Most households only relied on informal …nancing sources such as
family, friends, neighbors and other relatives
Indication of lack of access to …nancing sources especially after
adverse income shocks
In the next steps of the analysis, we will take a closer look at
di¤erences in shocks and coping mechanisms applied across the three
distinct groups of households interviewed
There seems to be a lack of …nancing sources especially in face of
shocks and there is a huge potential for micro…nance to close this gap
Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 17 / 17

More Related Content

Similar to 110815

Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community survey
Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community surveyLiving behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community survey
Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community surveyNeil Dufty
 
Urban Land Institute Mn Nate Garvis Fall 2009 Newsletter
Urban Land Institute Mn  Nate Garvis Fall 2009 NewsletterUrban Land Institute Mn  Nate Garvis Fall 2009 Newsletter
Urban Land Institute Mn Nate Garvis Fall 2009 NewsletterNate Garvis
 
Final presentation raza[1]
Final presentation raza[1]Final presentation raza[1]
Final presentation raza[1]Sadia Razzaq
 
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...Piet Filet
 
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its Effects
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its EffectsA Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its Effects
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its EffectsLindsey Rivera
 
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014innovationoecd
 
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...Prabhakar SVRK
 
Unsgsa munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)
Unsgsa   munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)Unsgsa   munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)
Unsgsa munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)Dr Lendy Spires
 
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation Challenge
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation ChallengeDr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation Challenge
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation ChallengeCommunicate
 
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docx
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docxI believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docx
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docxbillylewis37150
 
Northern River Case Study
Northern River Case StudyNorthern River Case Study
Northern River Case StudyBeth Hall
 
UNEP Report: State of Finance for Nature
UNEP Report: State of Finance for NatureUNEP Report: State of Finance for Nature
UNEP Report: State of Finance for NatureEnergy for One World
 

Similar to 110815 (15)

Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community survey
Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community surveyLiving behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community survey
Living behind the Launceston levee: insights from a community survey
 
Sprawl Essay
Sprawl EssaySprawl Essay
Sprawl Essay
 
Urban Land Institute Mn Nate Garvis Fall 2009 Newsletter
Urban Land Institute Mn  Nate Garvis Fall 2009 NewsletterUrban Land Institute Mn  Nate Garvis Fall 2009 Newsletter
Urban Land Institute Mn Nate Garvis Fall 2009 Newsletter
 
Final presentation raza[1]
Final presentation raza[1]Final presentation raza[1]
Final presentation raza[1]
 
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...
Impressions on flood risk management in Queensland - Visiting Fellow Herman v...
 
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its Effects
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its EffectsA Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its Effects
A Brief Note On Marine Pollution And Its Effects
 
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014
Dr Alanna Simpson gfke 2014
 
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...
Experiences From The Tohoku Disaster In Japan And Stakeholder Perceptions On ...
 
Before The Flood
Before The FloodBefore The Flood
Before The Flood
 
Unsgsa munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)
Unsgsa   munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)Unsgsa   munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)
Unsgsa munich re foundation from knowledge to action 2012 report (full report)
 
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation Challenge
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation ChallengeDr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation Challenge
Dr Molly Anderson: The Adaptation Challenge
 
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docx
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docxI believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docx
I believe that rebuilding the lives of an established community help.docx
 
Northern River Case Study
Northern River Case StudyNorthern River Case Study
Northern River Case Study
 
UNEP Report: State of Finance for Nature
UNEP Report: State of Finance for NatureUNEP Report: State of Finance for Nature
UNEP Report: State of Finance for Nature
 
United Nations_ State of Finance for Nature in 2022.pdf
United Nations_ State of Finance for Nature in 2022.pdfUnited Nations_ State of Finance for Nature in 2022.pdf
United Nations_ State of Finance for Nature in 2022.pdf
 

Recently uploaded

Slack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 SlidesSlack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 Slidespraypatel2
 
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...gurkirankumar98700
 
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...Igalia
 
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityBoost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityPrincipled Technologies
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘RTylerCroy
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreternaman860154
 
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)Gabriella Davis
 
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps ScriptAutomating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Scriptwesley chun
 
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEarley Information Science
 
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen Frames
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen FramesUnblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen Frames
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen FramesSinan KOZAK
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxMalak Abu Hammad
 
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law DevelopmentsTrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law DevelopmentsTrustArc
 
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt RobisonData Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt RobisonAnna Loughnan Colquhoun
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerThousandEyes
 
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptx
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptxFactors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptx
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptxKatpro Technologies
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...Martijn de Jong
 
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure servicePooja Nehwal
 
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Paola De la Torre
 
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of Brazil
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of BrazilDeveloping An App To Navigate The Roads of Brazil
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of BrazilV3cube
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Slack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 SlidesSlack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 Slides
 
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
 
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
Raspberry Pi 5: Challenges and Solutions in Bringing up an OpenGL/Vulkan Driv...
 
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityBoost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
 
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
A Domino Admins Adventures (Engage 2024)
 
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps ScriptAutomating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
Automating Google Workspace (GWS) & more with Apps Script
 
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptxEIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
EIS-Webinar-Prompt-Knowledge-Eng-2024-04-08.pptx
 
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen Frames
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen FramesUnblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen Frames
Unblocking The Main Thread Solving ANRs and Frozen Frames
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
 
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law DevelopmentsTrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
TrustArc Webinar - Stay Ahead of US State Data Privacy Law Developments
 
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt RobisonData Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
Data Cloud, More than a CDP by Matt Robison
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
 
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptx
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptxFactors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptx
Factors to Consider When Choosing Accounts Payable Services Providers.pptx
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
 
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
 
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 9892124323 ✓Call Girls In Kalyan ( Mumbai ) secure service
 
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
 
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of Brazil
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of BrazilDeveloping An App To Navigate The Roads of Brazil
Developing An App To Navigate The Roads of Brazil
 

110815

  • 1. Micro…nance and Disaster Management: How does Micro…nance help coping with ‡oods? Evidence from Northern India Kristina Czura Sarah Linders Goethe University Frankfurt University of Heidelberg UMM Workshop Groningen Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 1 / 17
  • 2. Motivation Credit as Coping Mechanism Insurance and credit have been identi…ed as coping mechanisms for risk to smooth consumption (Morduch (1995), Townsend (1994)) Both formal and informal credit have been identi…ed as important mechanisms in dealing with idiosyncratic shocks (Eswaran & Kotwal (1989), Udry (1990), Udry (1994), Gertler et.al. (2002), and Skou…as (2003)) Further, access to credit has been identi…ed to reduce the use of other coping mechanisms like child labor and reduction of educational attainment in face of negative income shocks (e.g. Jacoby & Skou…as (1997), Beegle et.al. (2006), Guarcelllo et.al.(2009)) Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 2 / 17
  • 3. Motivation There is, however, little research on how households cope with large aggregate shocks, like natural disasters I A few studies elicit a substitution e¤ect of other coping mechanisms for credit constrained households (e.g. Jacoby & Skou…as (1997), Gitter & Bradford (2007)). I Sawada (2008) …nds direct evidence for consumption smoothing after the Kobe earthquake for households having access to credit I Shoji (2010) shows that households with access to credit can keep their pre-‡ood consumption level and level of nutritional intake after the 1998 ‡ood in Bangladesh Nevertheless, there is little evidence on the direct use of credit as insurance against aggregate shocks in the literature I Del Ninno et.al. (2003) and Khandker (2007) …nd that informal credit and micro credit played a major role for consumption smoothing in the 1998 ‡ood in Bangladesh I Czura & Klonner (2010) show that demand for funds provided by Roscas did increase as a consequence of the Indian Ocean Tsunami Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 3 / 17
  • 4. Research Idea 1 Phase: Short run research question (current research project) I What adverse income shocks do households face and how do they cope with them? In particular, how do households cope with ‡ood? I How do households …nance the consequences of adverse income shocks and what role can Micro…nance potentially play? 2 Phase: Long run research question (future research project) I Develop a disaster-loan-product and pilot test it in a randomized …eld experiment setting Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 4 / 17
  • 5. Research Partner - Gramyasheel Micro…nance Gramyasheel NGO is working since over 15 years in the districts of Supaul, Madhepura and Saharsa on di¤erent projects in water and natural resource management and is promoting various forms of livelihood activities. Further, Gramyasheel NGO was a partner of NABARD and formed SHGs in the SHG-linkage program Gramyasheel Micro…nance has been established by the NGO Gramyasheel in 2009 I Group lending methodology: lending to joint liability groups (JLGs) of female clients I Loan products o¤ered: standard loan (increasing loan amount with loan cycle), emergency loan, short term business loan I Loan purpose: working capital needs and asset acquisition needs for standard and short term business loan, hospitalization costs for emergency loans As Gramyasheel MFI is operating in a ‡ood ravaged area they would like to extend their loan portfolio by a Disaster Loan Product Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 5 / 17
  • 6. Area of Operation - Flood situation Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 6 / 17
  • 7. Area of Operation - Flood Situation Kosi river I the river moved its riverbed westward over the last 100 years I the river is carrying silt from Nepal, hence elevating the river bed such that monsoon rain cannot be absorbed properly causing ‡oods Flood management I Embankments were build to keep river Kosi in its river bed. The ‡oodplains were reduced, leading to higher ‡oods inside the embankment I Villages still exist inside the embankments I Embankment creates waterlogged areas in former ‡oodplains so that even outside the embankments water levels rise with higher water levels of Kosi Disastrous ‡ood caused by breach in embankment in 2008 Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 7 / 17
  • 8. Empirical Strategy For empirical identi…cation in this cross-section setting we study households from three di¤erent locations within Supaul district that are di¤erently a¤ected by ‡oods 1 Urban and rural micro…nance clients who live close to, but outside the embankment borders F not directly a¤ected by the ‡ooding, but indirectly a¤ected by rising ground water levels in times of ‡ooding and through agricultural activities inside the embankment area 2 Households living inside the embankment F villages inside the embankment face yearly recurring ‡ooding after the monsoon 3 Households in the ‡ood zone of the 2008 ‡ood F area has not been a¤ected by ‡oods ever since the establishment of the embankment in the 1950s Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 8 / 17
  • 9. Characteristics of Household Head Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 9 / 17
  • 10. Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 10 / 17
  • 11. Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 11 / 17
  • 12. Consequences of Shock for Household Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 12 / 17
  • 13. Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 13 / 17
  • 14. Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 14 / 17
  • 15. Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 15 / 17
  • 16. Financing Constraints after Shock Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 16 / 17
  • 17. Conclusion Households are exposed to severe negative income shocks with average amounts lost due to shocks comparable to average annual income of households Most households only relied on informal …nancing sources such as family, friends, neighbors and other relatives Indication of lack of access to …nancing sources especially after adverse income shocks In the next steps of the analysis, we will take a closer look at di¤erences in shocks and coping mechanisms applied across the three distinct groups of households interviewed There seems to be a lack of …nancing sources especially in face of shocks and there is a huge potential for micro…nance to close this gap Czura & Linders (Uni Frankfurt) Micro…nance & Disaster Management Jun ‘11 17 / 17