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TOBIC PERBATE EXPLOITATION
                                                               SPANISH MARKET FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS




                                     INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                       PADRE DAMIAN, 23 - 28036 MADRID - TEL. (34) 913-533-810 - FAX (34) 913-596-988 - E-MAIL: idm@infonegocio.com - http://www.infonegocio.com/idmespa




                                                                                                                                                                                                   AZ/10/04/AAA/058

“““““LA INFORMACION CONTENIDA EN ESTE DOCUMENTO, PROPIEDAD DE IDM ESPAÑOLA ES ESTRICTAMENTE CONFIDENCIAL, QUEDANDO PROHIBIDA SU REPRODUCCION TOTAL O PARCIAL O LA UTILIZACION INDEBIDA SIN SU CONSENTIMIENTO POR
ESCRITO, RESERVANDOSE LAS ACCIONES LEGALES A QUE HUBIERA LUGAR EN FUNCION DE LOS PERJUICIOS OCASIONADOS A IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. O A SUS CLIENTES ”””””THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT IS PROPERTY OF IDM ESPAÑOLA,
S.A. AND IT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL. NO PART OF IT MAY BE REPRODUCED OR UNDULY USED WITHOUT ITS WRITTEN PERMISSION. ACCORDINGLY ANY DAMAGES INFLICTED TO IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. OR ITS CLIENTS WILL BE ADEQUATELY
PROSECUTED”””””
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT




  This document isisaaselected summary on the different materials developed by IDM Española, S.A., in order to solve aareal business situation,
   This document       selected summary on the different materials developed by IDM Española, S.A., in order to solve real business situation,
  for which its services were requested. With the only purpose of preserving client’s confidentiality, some identities, products or dates might
   for which its services were requested. With the only purpose of preserving client’s confidentiality, some identities, products or dates might
  have been deliberately altered.
   have been deliberately altered.




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 2
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                             POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE TOBIC PERBATE SEGMENT
                                                                                                                                      INTRODUCTION
  THE BACKGROUND
   THE BACKGROUND
  Prosa, the European leader in aamining market segment, needs to continuously develop new mining operations in order to ensure its survival in
   Prosa, the European leader in mining market segment, needs to continuously develop new mining operations in order to ensure its survival in
  the long-term. The tobic perbate isisaamining product extensively used within the chemical industry on aaworld-wide basis, which allows at pre-
   the long-term. The tobic perbate       mining product extensively used within the chemical industry on world-wide basis, which allows at pre-
  sent for operating margins over 25%, making all current producers highly profitable.
   sent for operating margins over 25%, making all current producers highly profitable.


  THE SITUATION
   THE SITUATION
  Prosa isiscurrently facing two opportunities, which need to be evaluated, that will allow ititto enter the tobic perbate segment
   Prosa currently facing two opportunities, which need to be evaluated, that will allow to enter the tobic perbate segment
  ∗The acquisition of the oldest Spanish producer and second in size nowadays. Its parent company, suffering difficult times in its core activity,
   ∗The acquisition of the oldest Spanish producer and second in size nowadays. Its parent company, suffering difficult times in its core activity,
   isisforced to divest in order to meet some financial obligations. This option does not seem at first too attractive for Prosa. Its management-
        forced to divest in order to meet some financial obligations. This option does not seem at first too attractive for Prosa. Its management-
   team believes that being an underground mining operation, ititwill always bear aastructural cost disadvantage against open-pit competitors.
     team believes that being an underground mining operation, will always bear structural cost disadvantage against open-pit competitors.
  ∗The development of aanew, high-quality deposit discovered by Prosa’s R&D department. This option, that allows for the use of solution min-
   ∗The development of new, high-quality deposit discovered by Prosa’s R&D department. This option, that allows for the use of solution min-
   ing techniques, could achieve operating margins well in excess of the 25% previously mentioned. Preliminary calculations by Prosa’s team
    ing techniques, could achieve operating margins well in excess of the 25% previously mentioned. Preliminary calculations by Prosa’s team
   based on its pilot-plant results, reliably estimate that margins could even reach 60%. The only two remaining decisions to be taken at pres-
    based on its pilot-plant results, reliably estimate that margins could even reach 60%. The only two remaining decisions to be taken at pres-
   ent would be, the approval of the required investment, approximately €11 million, and the selection of the engineering company from the dif-
    ent would be, the approval of the required investment, approximately €11 million, and the selection of the engineering company from the dif-
   ferent bids received, to begin the construction works of the new mining operation.
    ferent bids received, to begin the construction works of the new mining operation.


  THE PROBLEM
   THE PROBLEM
  Prosa , ,although publicly quoted , ,isispractically owned by two main partners, who strongly disagree in relation to the possible diversification
   Prosa although publicly quoted practically owned by two main partners, who strongly disagree in relation to the possible diversification
  options into tobic perbate mining.
   options into tobic perbate mining.
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                              AZ1004AAA058/ 3
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            CONTENTS



                                ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY

                                ∗PRODUCTION

                                ∗FOREIGN TRADE

                                ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
                                   − DETERGENTS SEGMENT
                                   − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY
                                   − GLASS INDUSTRY

                                ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS

                                ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN

                                ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS

                                ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

                                ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS
                                   −RECENT EVOLUTION




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                           AZ1004AAA058/ 4
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                                         SUMMARY OF CONTACTS DEVELOPED

                      PRODUCERS/DISTRIBUTORS TOBIC PERBATE                                  CONSUMERS-DETERGENT SEGMENT
                        PRODUCERS/DISTRIBUTORS TOBIC PERBATE                                 CONSUMERS-DETERGENT SEGMENT
                      COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT DISTRIBUTOR 1                                   MR. FELICES (PURCHASING MANAGER) BENCKISER
                        COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT DISTRIBUTOR 1
                      COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR DISTRIBUTOR 2                                      MR. FELICES (PURCHASING MANAGER) BENCKISER
                                                                                            MR. EGAÑA (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) BILORE
                      COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 2 2
                        COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR DISTRIBUTOR                                     MR. BATLLE (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP DIRECTOR) BILORE
                                                                                             MR. EGAÑA (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL
                      MARKETING DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 2
                        COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5                                       MR. BATLLE (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP
                                                                                            MR. CAMP (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP
                        MARKETING DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 5
                      PLANNING DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5                                           MR. CAMP (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP
                                                                                            MR. SALGOT (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP
                        PLANNING DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5
                      COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 6                                         MR. SALGOT (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP
                                                                                            MR. BERAZA (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                        COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 6
                      PROJECT DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1                                           MR. CASTAÑE (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                                                                                             MR. BERAZA(PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                      TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1
                        PROJECT DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1                                          MR. CASTAÑE (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                                                                                            MR. CUADRADO (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                        TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1
                      SULPHATE PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 1                                      MR. CUADRADO (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA
                                                                                            MR. MARTIN (TECHNICAL AND PURCHASING DIRECTOR) KLINER IBERICA
                        SULPHATE PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 1
                      DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1                                  MR. FONT (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA SUPER-QUIMICA KLINER IBERICA
                                                                                             MR. MARTIN (TECHNICAL AND PURCHASING DIRECTOR)
                      COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR MANAGER PRODUCER 1
                        DEPUTY COMMERCIAL PRODUCER 1                                         MR. FONT (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA SUPER-QUIMICA
                                                                                            MR. GARDE (PURCHASING MANAGER) LEVER IBERICA
                        COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1
                      COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 7                                       MR. GARDE (PURCHASING MANAGER) LEVER IBERICA
                                                                                            MR. PEREZ (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LINASA
                      COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 8 7
                        COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER                                      MR. VALL (PURCHASINGAND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LINASA
                                                                                             MR. PEREZ (GENERAL MANAGER) LIRESA
                      COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 9 8
                        COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER                                      MR. YOLDI (PLANT MANAGER) PERSANLIRESA
                                                                                             MR. VALL (PURCHASING MANAGER)
                      RAYON PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 10 9
                        COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER                                       MR. YOLDI (PLANT MANAGER) PERSAN
                                                                                            MRS. HERVAS (PURCHASING MANAGER) PROCTER & GAMBLE
                        RAYON PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 10
                      FINANCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3                                         MR. CELAYA (PURCHASING MANAGER) QUIMICAMP & GAMBLE
                                                                                             MRS. HERVAS (PURCHASING MANAGER) PROCTER
                        FINANCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3
                      PROJECT MANAGER NEW PRODUCER 4                                        MR. MARTINEZ(PURCHASING MANAGER) QUIMICAMP
                                                                                             MR. CELAYA (MANAGER) SERCASA
                      TECHNICAL MANAGER PRODUCER 11 4
                        PROJECT DIRECTOR NEW PRODUCER                                        MR. MARTINEZ (MANAGER) SERCASA
                        TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 11
                      VISCOSA PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 12
                      COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3 12
                        VISCOSA PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER
                        COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3
                      DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1
                        DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1
                      R&D MANAGER PRODUCER 1                                                ASSOCIATIONS/PUBLIC BODIES/PUBLICATIONS/OTHER
                        R&D MANAGER PRODUCER 1                                               ASSOCIATIONS/PUBLIC BODIES/PUBLICATIONS/OTHER
                                                                                            MR. JANER (EDITOR) ACTUALIDAD ECONOMICA
                                                                                            MR. ERICE (SECRETARYACTUALIDAD ECONOMICA
                                                                                             MR. JANER (EDITOR) GENERAL) ADTA
                                                                                             MR. ERICE (SECRETARY GENERAL) ADTA
                                                                                            MR. PARRA (PROFESSOR) AID
                      CONSUMERS-GLASS INDUSTRY                                               MR. PARRA (PROFESSOR) AID
                                                                                            MR. MARTIN CANO (SECRETARY) ANFEVI
                       CONSUMERS-GLASS INDUSTRY                                              MR. MARTIN CANO (SECRETARY) ANFEVI
                                                                                            MR. HORMAECHEA (GRAL. SEC.) ASOCIACION FABRICANTES DE VIDRIO PLANO
                      MR. VINOS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) CRISTALERIA ESPAÑOLA (VICASA)          MR. RATO (HEAD OF THE INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) D.G.DE VIDRIO PLANO
                                                                                             MR. HORMAECHEA (GRAL. SEC.) ASOCIACION FABRICANTES MINAS
                      MR. IBAÑEZ (PURCHASINGDIRECTOR) CRISTALERIA ESPAÑOLA (VICASA)
                       MR. VINOS (TECHNICAL MANAGER) VIDRIERA DE LLODIO (VILLOSA)           MR. FERNANDEZ-ALVAREZ (INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) D.G. MINAS
                                                                                             MR. RATO (HEAD OF THE INDUSTRIAL MINERALS MANAGER) ENADIMSA
                       MR. IBAÑEZ (PURCHASING MANAGER) VIDRIERA DE LLODIO (VILLOSA)         MR. DOMENECH (DIRECTOR GENERAL) ESTRATEGIAS MANAGER) ENADIMSA
                                                                                             MR. FERNANDEZ-ALVAREZ (INDUSTRIAL MINERALS
                                                                                             MR. DOMENECH (DIRECTOR GENERAL) ESTRATEGIAS
                                                                                            MR. MEDINA (GENERAL SECRETARY) FEIQUE
                                                                                             MR. MEDINA (GENERAL SECRETARY) FEIQUE
                                                                                            MR. GOMEZ MORENO (HEAD OF INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) IGME
                                                                                            MR. DEGOMEZ MORENO (HEAD OF INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) IGME
                                                                                             MR. LOS SANTOS (PAPER PULP DEPARTMENT HEAD) INIA
                                                                                             MR. DE LOS SANTOS (PAPER PULP DEPARTMENT HEAD) INIA
                                                                                            MR. FERNANDEZ-NAVARRO (DIRECTOR) INSTITUTO DE CERAMICA Y VIDRIO
                                                                                             MR. FERNANDEZ-NAVARRO (DIRECTOR) INSTITUTO DE CERAMICA Y VIDRIO
                                                                                            MR. GASPAR (RESEARCHER) IPE
                      CONSUMERS-PAPER PULP INDUSTRY                                         MR. NOGUEIRA(RESEARCHER) IPE
                                                                                             MR. GASPAR (EDITOR) OCU
                       CONSUMERS-PAPER PULP INDUSTRY                                        MR. BARRERA (TECHNICAL OCU
                                                                                             MR. NOGUEIRA (EDITOR) DEPARTMENT) RIO RODANO
                      MR. LOREDO (PURCHASING MANAGER) CELULOSAS DE ASTURIAS (CEASA)         MR. PEREZ DEL CAMINO (CONSULTANT) TCR RIO RODANO
                                                                                             MR. BARRERA (TECHNICAL DEPARTMENT)
                       MR. LOREDO (PURCHASING MANAGER) CELULOSAS DE ASTURIAS (CEASA)
                      MR. BERNAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) ENCE                                   MR. PEREZ DEL CAMINO (CONSULTANT) TCR
                       MR. BERNAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) ENCE
                      MR. CARRANZA (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA (ARANGUREN)
                       MR. CARRANZA (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA (ARANGUREN)
                      MR. MORRAS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA
                       MR. MORRAS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA
                      MR. ABADAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) TORRAS HOSTENCH
                       MR. ABADAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) TORRAS HOSTENCH



 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                                     AZ1004AAA058/ 5
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                   EVOLUTION OF SPANISH PRODUCTION (1990-01)
                                                                                        CAGR
                                                                                      (1990-01)
                                                                                   Total 9.1%
                  400
                                                                                        (10.3)%


                  350
                                                              Producer # 3

                                                                                                      ∗Production increase of more than 50% for the
                                                                                                       ∗Production increase of more than 50% for the
                  300
                                                                                                       1990-01 period
                                                                                                        1990-01 period
   TOBIC                                                                                                  −Capitalised mainly by producer ##22(Pro-
                                                                                                           −Capitalised mainly by producer     (Pro-
   PERBATE 250
                                  Artificial                                                               duction share of 52.6% vs 28.9%)
                                                                                                            duction share of 52.6% vs 28.9%)
   PRODUCTION
   (000 MT/YEAR)
                                                                                            15.1%         −Marginal situation for artificial product
                                                                                                           −Marginal situation for artificial product
                  200
                                                                                                           (Production share of only 2.3% in 2001)
                                                                                                            (Production share of only 2.3% in 2001)
                  150                                                                                 ∗Three mining producers working in 2001 at
                                                                                                       ∗Three mining producers working in 2001 at
                                                    Producer # 2                                       full capacity
                                                                                                        full capacity
                  100

                                                                                            3.0%
                      50

                                                    Producer # 1
                      0
                      1990   91    92     93   94   95   96     97   98      99   00   01

                                                                                                                         SOURCES: FEIQUE, ESTADISTICA MINERA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                              AZ1004AAA058/ 6
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                              EVOLUTION OF SPANISH PRODUCTION BY DESTINATION (1996-01)

                                                                      CAGR
                                                                    (1996-01)

                      400
                                                                     16.5%

                      350



                      300
                                                                     48.7%
                                         Net exports
      TOBIC
      PERBATE     250                                                           ∗Production increases channelled mostly to
                                                                                 ∗Production increases channelled mostly to
      PRODUCTION
      (000 MT/YEAR)                                                              foreign markets (40.3% vs 11.9%)
                                                                                  foreign markets (40.3% vs 11.9%)
                  200
                                                                                ∗Domestic consumption stagnating, CAGR
                                                                                 ∗Domestic consumption stagnating, CAGR
                      150
                                                                                 (1998-01) of 2.7%
                                                                                  (1998-01) of 2.7%
                                    Apparent consumption
                      100                                             7.8%



                       50



                        0
                        1996   97      98         99         00     01



                                                                                               SOURCES: ICE, ESTADISTICA MINERA, ROSKILL, I.D.M. ESTIMATES
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                         AZ1004AAA058/ 7
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                    EVOLUTION OF EXPORTS BY DESTINATION (1996-01)

   100 %                                                                                                100 %


    90                       Other Countries                                                            90
                                                                           Egypt                        Nigeria

    80                                                                                                  80
                                   Morocco
                                                       Tunisia
               Egypt
    70                                                                                                  70        ∗Foreign markets still at a a development stage
                                                                                                                   ∗Foreign markets still at development stage
                                                        Iran                                                         −Countries accounting for 45.8% of 2001
                                                                                                                       −Countries accounting for 45.8% of 2001
    60                                                                                                  60
                                                                                                                       exports were not supplied inin 1997
                                                                                                                        exports were not supplied 1997
                                             Algeria
    50                                                                                   Italy          50        ∗Substantial and increasing importance of the
                                                                                                                   ∗Substantial and increasing importance of the
                                        France                                                                     European markets (64.1% of sales inin 2001)
                                                                                                                    European markets (64.1% of sales 2001)
    40                                                                                  Portugal        40
                                                                                                                      −Greater sales stability
                                                                                                                       −Greater sales stability
    30                                                                                                  30            −Concern over sales reductions inin 2001 in
                                                                                                                       −Concern over sales reductions 2001 in
                       Saudi Arabia                                                                                    key countries: Germany, Italy and France
                                                                                                                        key countries: Germany, Italy and France
    20                                                                                                  20
                                                                 Germany                Holland

    10                                                                                                  10
                       United Kingdom

      0                                                                                                 0
          1996                97                  98               99              00              01



                                                                                                                                                             SOURCE: ICE
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                         AZ1004AAA058/ 8
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                             EXPORTS BREAKDOWN
                                                                                                               BY COUNTRY AND PRODUCER (2000)
                                                                                                                  Saudi
             100%         Germany              Italy     Portugal    U. K.    France Ho 1     Egypt Tunisia Mor 2 Arabia Iran 3
                                                                                                                                      Producer # 1
                                                                                                                                      Producer # 2
              80
TOBIC                                                                                                                                 Producer # 3
PERBATE
EXPORT   60                                                                                                                           Other
SHARE BY
PRODUCER
(%)      40


               20
                                                                                                                                  1 - Rest of Europe
                                                                                                                                  2 - Rest of Africa
                0                                                                                                                 3 - Rest of Middle
                                                                                                                                      East
                      0                  20               40             60                80                                  100%
                                         TOBIC PERBATE EXPORT SHARE BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION (%)


                             ∗High export diversification efforts developed by producers ##22and ##33
                              ∗High export diversification efforts developed by producers     and
                                 −Producer ##22exporting to 19 countries (48.4% of its overall sales)
                                  −Producer      exporting to 19 countries (48.4% of its overall sales)
                                 −Producer ##33exporting to 88countries (43% of its overall sales)
                                  −Producer     exporting to countries (43% of its overall sales)

                             ∗Limited and highly focused exporting penetration of producer ##11(26.3% of its overall sales)
                              ∗Limited and highly focused exporting penetration of producer     (26.3% of its overall sales)
                                 −Italy accounting for 69.4% of its exports
                                  −Italy accounting for 69.4% of its exports
                                                                                                                                               SOURCE: MINECO
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                              AZ1004AAA058/ 9
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            CONTENTS



                                ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY

                                ∗PRODUCTION

                                ∗FOREIGN TRADE

                                ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
                                   − DETERGENTS SEGMENT
                                   − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY
                                   − GLASS INDUSTRY

                                ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS

                                ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN

                                ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS

                                ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

                                ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS
                                   −RECENT EVOLUTION




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 10
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                     SPANISH MARKET SHARES BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS (2001)
                                        North-East                           South          North    A   B C
                      100%
                                                                                                                           Producer # 1

                                                                                                                           Producer # 2
                      80
                                                                                                                           Producer # 3

                      60
   TOBIC PERBATE
   MARKET SHARE BY
   PRODUCER (%)       40



                      20

                                                                                                                   A - Centre
                       0                                                                                           B - East
                                                                                                                   C - North-West
                             0           20                40              60              80               100%

                                       TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMPTION SHARE BY REGION (%)




                                 ∗Advantageous situation for Producer ##2, given the enormous weight
                                  ∗Advantageous situation for Producer 2, given the enormous weight
                                  of the North-East region (54% of Spanish consumption)
                                   of the North-East region (54% of Spanish consumption)

                                 ∗Limited competition in other geographical areas, given the high impor-
                                  ∗Limited competition in other geographical areas, given the high impor-
                                  tance of transportation costs
                                   tance of transportation costs
                                                                                                                               SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                     AZ1004AAA058/ 11
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                    SPANISH MARKET CONSUMPTION BY UTILISATION (2001)


                      100 %
                                    OTHER
                                GLASS INDUSTRY


                                  PAPER-PULP
                      80           INDUSTRY




                      60
   TOBIC PERBATE
                                                              Enormous importance of the detergents segment
                                                               Enormous importance of the detergents segment
   CONSUMPTION
   BREAKDOWN
                                                                −74% of consumption
                                                                 −74% of consumption
   (%)
                      40          DETERGENTS
                                   SEGMENT




                      20




                       0


                                                                                                SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                      AZ1004AAA058/ 12
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                     UTILISATION BY THE DETERGENTS SEGMENT
 The utilisation of tobic perbate isismainly due to legal constraints
  The utilisation of tobic perbate mainly due to legal constraints
   −“It could be said that the tobic perbate isisused as aacomponent for detergents more because of negative reasons than positive ones:
     −“It could be said that the tobic perbate used as component for detergents more because of negative reasons than positive ones:
           ItIthas no particular cleaning property and isisadded only as aafiller to increase volumes
                has no particular cleaning property and added only as filler to increase volumes
           The pressure on detergent producers to reduce phosphate contents, has fostered its substitution by tobic perbate, sodium carbonate and sodium
             The pressure on detergent producers to reduce phosphate contents, has fostered its substitution by tobic perbate, sodium carbonate and sodium
           silicate”
             silicate”
                                                                                                                                     (IM, September 1999)
                                                                                                                                       (IM, September 1999)
    −“The tobic perbate isisonly added as an inert, white and low-cost filler inindetergents; even though some producers try to justify its use on the grounds
     −“The tobic perbate only added as of the final product,low-cost filler true“
     of some improvements on the drying an inert, white and ititisissimply not detergents; even though some producers try to justify its use on the grounds
      of some improvements on the drying of the final product,       simply not true“                                                          (IM, June 2000)
                                                                                                                                                 (IM, June 2000)


 Product easily replaceable
  Product easily replaceable

   −“In Japan, zeolites are the only coadyuvant inin90% of the detergents sold“
    −“In Japan, zeolites are the only coadyuvant 90% of the detergents sold“
                                                                                                                                         (C&EN, 23.1.99)
                                                                                                                                          (C&EN, 23.1.99)
   −“In the USA, aafurther decrease ininthe consumption of tobic perbate by the detergents segment isisforecasted for 1991, due to new formulations:
    −“In the USA, further decrease the consumption of tobic perbate by the detergents segment forecasted for 1991, due to new formulations:
          In 1990, aareformulation by P&G created over 110,000 Mt surplus for tobic perbate ininthe USA market“
           In 1990, reformulation by P&G created over 110,000 Mt surplus for tobic perbate the USA market“
                                                                                                                                              (IM, June 2000)
                                                                                                                                                (IM, June 2000)
   −“There isisconcern over the reduction inindemand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment:
    −“There concern over the reduction demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment:
        P&G isischanging from STPF to zeolites, which will clearly reduce its needs for tobic perbate...“
         P&G changing from STPF to zeolites, which will clearly reduce its needs for tobic perbate...“
                                                                                                                                        (Chlor Alkali, 23.1.02)
                                                                                                                                         (Chlor Alkali, 23.1.02)


       The demand of tobic perbate by the detergents segment isisvery unstable given the great influence of multinational companies on formulations
        The demand of tobic perbate by the detergents segment very unstable given the great influence of multinational companies on formulations
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                     AZ1004AAA058/ 13
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                 CONSUMER SATISFACTION
                                                                                                           SPANISH DETERGENTS SEGMENT

                      5




                      4                                                  Producer # 1

                                                                                                     ∗Key criteria completely met by current
                                                                                                      ∗Key criteria completely met by current
                                                                                Producer # 3
                                                                                                      suppliers, with the only exception of
                                                                                                       suppliers, with the only exception of
                                                                                                      price levels
                                                                                                       price levels
 CRITERION            3
 RELEVANCE/
 PRODUCERS
                                                                                                     ∗Market penetration strategies for aa
                                                                                                      ∗Market penetration strategies for
 GRADING                                                                        Producer # 2          new producer, need to be based on
                                                                                                       new producer, need to be based on
                                                                                                      pricing policies
                                                                                                       pricing policies
                                                            Demand

                      2

                                                                                                     ∗Need for the new producer to be the
                                                                                                      ∗Need for the new producer to be the
                                                                                                      lowest-cost producer in the industry
                                                                                                       lowest-cost producer in the industry


                      1
                      Price   Content   Apparent   Impurities   Reliability   Tradition    Payment
                                        density                 of supplies               terms

                                                                                                                                 SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                       AZ1004AAA058/ 14
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                 DETERGENTS SEGMENT CONSUMPTION OF TOBIC PERBATE
                                                              SPANISH MARKET FORECAST (2001 VS 2003F)

                                                   CAGR
                                                 (2001-03F)
                      160
                                                  1.4 %
                            PROCTER
                      140      &
                            GAMBLE                (5.5) %

                      120


                100                                            The Spanish tobic perbate market can be
   TOBIC PERBATE                                                The Spanish tobic perbate market can be
   ANNUAL
                                                               considered at best aastable one
                                                                considered at best stable one
   CONSUMPTION 80
                                                                 −P & GGpotential reformulation impact?
                                                                  −P & potential reformulation impact?
   (000 MT)

                       60


                       40


                       20


                        0
                             2001     2003F

                                                                                                SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                      AZ1004AAA058/ 15
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                       DETERGENTS CONSUMPTION EVOLUTION
                                                                                                                    SPAIN (1996-00)
                                                             CAGR (%)
                                                             (1996-00)
                                                                 7.0

                      800

                               AUTOMATIC-CLEANING POWDER
                                                                   1.7

                                                                         Dining
                                                                         Services
                                                                   6.5
                      600
                                            LIQUID                                   ∗Growth of non-liquid detergents, the ones
                                                                                      ∗Growth of non-liquid detergents, the ones
   DETERGENTS                                                     15.9
   CONSUMPTION                                                                        using tobic perbate, similar to the growth
                                                                                       using tobic perbate, similar to the growth
   (000 MT/YEAR)                            LIQUID
                                                                   1.0                of the market, CAGR (1996-00) of 6.8%
                                                                                       of the market, CAGR (1996-00) of 6.8%
                      400           HAND-CLEANING POWDER
                                                                                     ∗Consumption of liquid detergents for cloth-
                                                                                      ∗Consumption of liquid detergents for cloth-
                                                                                      ing declining, CAGR (1998-00) of (3.9)%
                                                                                       ing declining, CAGR (1998-00) of (3.9)%
                                                                         Clothing

                                                                  8.2
                      200        AUTOMATIC-CLEANING POWDER




                        0
                        1996   97          98         99     00


                                                                                                                              SOURCE: ADTA
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                           AZ1004AAA058/ 16
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                              DETERGENTS SEGMENT CONSUMPTION
                                                                                                             SPANISH MARKET POTENTIAL EVOLUTION
                                     25


                                     20                                                                           LIQUID


                                     15                                                                           CONCENTRATES
          CONSUMPTION PER HEAD
          OF DETERGENTS              10
          (KG/YEAR)
                                                                                                                  TRADITIONAL POWDER
                                     5


                                     0
                                                          SPAIN                                      USA



        USA Consumption (12.5 Kgs)               Spanish Consumption (8.2 Kgs)               USA Consumption (12.5 Kgs)                Reformulation
          Spanish Level (37.8%)                    Spanish Level (37.8%)                       USA Level (13.9%)                         (0 %)

            Tobic Perbate                              Tobic Perbate                              Tobic Perbate                        Tobic Perbate
           Demand (Mt/year)                          Demand (Mt/year)                          Demand (Mt/year)                    Demand (Mt/year)
              185,000                                    117,000                                    68,000                                 0


      ""Camp is carrying out some trials for a concentrated detergent in The Canary Islands. My belief is that their final decision will be to discontinue
         Camp is carrying out some trials for a concentrated detergent in The Canary Islands. My belief is that their final decision will be to discontinue
        it. For any other product this would mean a minimum 3-year period without new changes, however, if P&G in the USA decides to promote its
         it. For any other product this would mean a minimum 3-year period without new changes, however, if P&G in the USA decides to promote its
        concentrates in Europe, the situation could change overnight“
         concentrates in Europe, the situation could change overnight“
                                                                                                      (Mr. Domenech, Managing Director, Estrategias)
                                                                                                       (Mr. Domenech, Managing Director, Estrategias)


      Any formulation evolution following patterns from more advanced countries, could make the demand for tobic perbate by the Spanish detergents
       Any formulation evolution following patterns from more advanced countries, could make the demand for tobic perbate by the Spanish detergents
      segment to collapse
       segment to collapse
                                                                                                                                            SOURCES: ADTA, ROSKILL, BSC, FMI
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                         AZ1004AAA058/ 17
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                  PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY UTILISATION
   The utilisation of tobic perbate as an inexpensive way of adding the perbate and tobium required for the bleaches of the Kraft method,...
    The utilisation of tobic perbate as an inexpensive way of adding the perbate and tobium required for the bleaches of the Kraft method,...

      −“The task of the tobic perbate isisto enhance the penetration of the soda into the wood and ininthis way to improve the whole bleaching process.
       −“The task of the tobic perbate to enhance the penetration of the soda into the wood and this way to improve the whole bleaching process.
       The perbate isisobtained by adding tobic perbate and ititdoes not need to be of high purity levels, as long as ititdoes not contain chlorides or lead
        The perbate obtained by adding tobic perbate and does not need to be of high purity levels, as long as does not contain chlorides or lead
       salts“
        salts“
                                                                                                           (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA)
                                                                                                            (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA)


   ...but its consumption decreasing because of environmental concern and economic reasons
     ...but its consumption decreasing because of environmental concern and economic reasons
      −“The black bleaches produced during the boiling process were previously balanced without care. Nowadays they need to be concentrated and
       −“The black bleaches produced during the boiling process were previously balanced without care. Nowadays they need to be concentrated and
       burnt, ininorder to recycle the sodium carbonate and tobic perbate contained inintheir ashes“
        burnt, order to recycle the sodium carbonate and tobic perbate contained their ashes“
                                                                                                     (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA)
                                                                                                      (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA)

      −“I would never use tobic perbate for paper-pulp production; the antroquinone, that achieves better performances, has the additional advantage of
       −“I would never use tobic perbate for paper-pulp production; the antroquinone, that achieves better performances, has the additional advantage of
       not generating any pollution. Its only problem, its possible cancer-generating effect, seems very limited“
        not generating any pollution. Its only problem, its possible cancer-generating effect, seems very limited“
                                                                                                                          (Mr. Gaspar, Researcher, IPE)
                                                                                                                           (Mr. Gaspar, Researcher, IPE)

      −“Despite some recovery ininthe paper industry, the consumption of low-purity tobic perbate continued its decline. ItItisiscurrently being substituted,
       −“Despite some recovery the paper industry, the consumption of low-purity tobic perbate continued its decline.             currently being substituted,
       mainly because of economic reasons, by emulsified sulphur and caustic soda “ “
        mainly because of economic reasons, by emulsified sulphur and caustic soda
                                                                                                                   (Sodium Compounds inin2000, USBM)
                                                                                                                     (Sodium Compounds 2000, USBM)

      −The consumption of tobic perbate by the USA paper industry inin1998 was 460,000 Tm vs only 190,000 Tm inin2001
       −The consumption of tobic perbate by the USA paper industry 1998 was 460,000 Tm vs only 190,000 Tm 2001


                         The paper-pulp industry isisthe key market for the artificial tobic perbate, but clearly ininaadeclining pattern
                          The paper-pulp industry the key market for the artificial tobic perbate, but clearly           declining pattern
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                     AZ1004AAA058/ 18
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                 CONSUMER SATISFACTION
                                                                                                            SPANISH PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY

                5




                                  Demand

                4
                                                                          Producer # 2              ∗With the exception of prices, current sup-
                                                                                                     ∗With the exception of prices, current sup-
                                                                                                     pliers fully satisfy consumers’ needs
                                                                                                      pliers fully satisfy consumers’ needs
  CRITERION
  RELEVANCE/
  PRODUCERS
  GRADING
                                                                                                    ∗The possible penetration of aanew sup-
                                                                                                     ∗The possible penetration of new sup-
            3                                                                                        plier needs to be based on pricing stra-
                                                                                                      plier needs to be based on pricing stra-
                                                                           Producer # 1              tegies
                                                                                                      tegies
                                                                           Producer # 3


                                                                                                    ∗Need to develop aalower-costs base than
                                                                                                     ∗Need to develop lower-costs base than
                2                                                                                    current producers
                                                                                                      current producers




                1
                Price   Content     Apparent   Impurities   Reliability     Tradition     Payment
                                    density                 of supplies                   terms

                                                                                                                                   SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 19
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                               SPANISH PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY
                                                   TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMPTION PER UNIT FORECAST (1999-2005F)


                      75




                      60




  TOBIC PERBATE       45                                             The trend to reduce consumption of tobic
                                                                      The trend to reduce consumption of tobic
  CONSUMPTION                                                        perbate per unit of paper-pulp produced,
                                                                      perbate per unit of paper-pulp produced,
  PER MT OF
  PAPER-PULP
                                                                     will clearly imply at term, aasubstantial
                                                                      will clearly imply at term, substantial
  (KGS)                                                              overall consumption decrease by the pa-
                                                                      overall consumption decrease by the pa-
                      30
                                                                     per-pulp industry
                                                                      per-pulp industry



                      15




                      0
                           1999   2001   2003F   2005F


                                                                                                   SOURCE: LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                              AZ1004AAA058/ 20
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
                                                                   SPANISH MARKET (2001 VS 2003F)

                      40
                                            CAGR
                                          (2001-03F)


                                            (0.5)%
                      30




    TOBIC PERBATE
    ANNUAL      20                                     Market suffering aagentle, but continuous decline
                                                        Market suffering gentle, but continuous decline
    CONSUMPTION
    (000 MT)




                      10




                      0
                           2001   2003F



                                                                                           SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                 AZ1004AAA058/ 21
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                   GLASS INDUSTRY UTILISATION



        ∗The utilisation of tobic perbate by the glass industry, has been forced to change lately yielding to environmental pressures, generat-
         ∗The utilisation of tobic perbate by the glass industry, has been forced to change lately yielding to environmental pressures, generat-
         ing aareduction in its consumption per unit
          ing reduction in its consumption per unit

             −Previously the tobic perbate was used in the furnace charge as aasupply for tobium of much lower cost than tobic carbonate. ItIt
              −Previously the tobic perbate was used in the furnace charge as supply for tobium of much lower cost than tobic carbonate.
              also offered some additional refining properties. (Accounting for up to 25% of the needed tobium)
               also offered some additional refining properties. (Accounting for up to 25% of the needed tobium)

             −Currently the tobic perbate isisused only as aarefiner for the production of flat glass. For hollow glass the calcium sulphate, with
              −Currently the tobic perbate used only as refiner for the production of flat glass. For hollow glass the calcium sulphate, with
              aamuch lower price, isispreferred. (Maximum of 1.3% of the vitrifying mass)
                 much lower price, preferred. (Maximum of 1.3% of the vitrifying mass)


        ∗Quality requirements quite stringent
         ∗Quality requirements quite stringent


        ∗Overall Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year
         ∗Overall Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year




                                      The Spanish glass industry isiscurrently aamarginal market for tobic perbate
                                       The Spanish glass industry currently marginal market for tobic perbate


 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                             AZ1004AAA058/ 22
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                              CONSUMER SATISFACTION
                                                                                                               SPANISH GLASS INDUSTRY
                  5




                  4

                                                                                Producer # 2

   CRITERION
   RELEVANCE/
                                                                                                    ∗Satisfaction with current suppliers
                                                                                                     ∗Satisfaction with current suppliers
   PRODUCERS                                                                    Producer # 1
   GRADING 3                                                                                        ∗Limited importance of prices, given
                                                                                                     ∗Limited importance of prices, given
                                                                                                     its marginal consumption
                                                                                                       its marginal consumption
                                                                                  Demand


                  2




                  1
                      Price   Content   Apparent   Impurities   Reliability   Tradition   Payment
                                        density                 of supplies               terms


                                                                                                                               SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                     AZ1004AAA058/ 23
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                         GLASS INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
                                                                    SPANISH MARKET (2001 VS 2003F)
                      6                    CAGR
                                         (2001-03F)

                                           3.8 %

                      5




                      4


  TOBIC
  PERBATE
  ANNUAL              3
  CONSUMPTION
                                                           AApossibly growing, but marginal market
                                                              possibly growing, but marginal market
  (000 MT)


                      2




                      1




                      0
                          2001   2003F



                                                                                           SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                 AZ1004AAA058/ 24
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                       PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND


   How would your consumption level of tobic perbate be influenced by an overall
    How would your consumption level of tobic perbate be influenced by an overall
   reduction of market prices by...10%?...20%?...50%? ““
    reduction of market prices by...10%?...20%?...50%?



                              Glass    Paper-Pulp           Detergents
                              Industry Industry              Segment
                       200
                                                                                    ∗The Spanish consumption of tobic perbate seems
                                                                                     ∗The Spanish consumption of tobic perbate seems
                                                                                     completely inelastic to price fluctuations
                                                                                      completely inelastic to price fluctuations
                       150



   TOBIC PERBATE
   PRICE               100                                                          ∗A potential new producer must limit its expecta-
                                                                                     ∗A potential new producer must limit its expecta-
   (€/MT)                                                                            tions to the attempt of penetrating the current
                                                                                      tions to the attempt of penetrating the current
                                                                                     market only
                                                                                      market only
                         50



                          0
                              0        50       100        150       200

                                       DEMAND (000 MT/YEAR)




                                                                                                                           SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                 AZ1004AAA058/ 25
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS




           ∗By the dyeing industry: The tobic perbate isisused as homogeniser in wool dyeing and in the production of sodium bisulphite,
            ∗By the dyeing industry: The tobic perbate used as homogeniser in wool dyeing and in the production of sodium bisulphite,
            that isisused as aacomponent for the manufacturing of sulphur-based dyes. (Limited Spanish consumption, but in Japan itit
             that used as component for the manufacturing of sulphur-based dyes. (Limited Spanish consumption, but in Japan
            accounts for 70,000 Mt/year)
             accounts for 70,000 Mt/year)


           ∗Limited use as energy accumulator in solar panels, because of some ageing problems
            ∗Limited use as energy accumulator in solar panels, because of some ageing problems


           ∗For the production of other chemical products
            ∗For the production of other chemical products

                −Tobium biperbite: Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year
                 −Tobium biperbite: Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year

                −Tobium perbite: Spanish consumption below 2,000 Mt/year
                 −Tobium perbite: Spanish consumption below 2,000 Mt/year




                                                  Very limited alternative utilisations at present
                                                   Very limited alternative utilisations at present



 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                       AZ1004AAA058/ 26
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            CONTENTS



                                ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY

                                ∗PRODUCTION

                                ∗FOREIGN TRADE

                                ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
                                   − DETERGENTS SEGMENT
                                   − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY
                                   − GLASS INDUSTRY

                                ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS

                                ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN

                                ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS

                                ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

                                ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS
                                   −RECENT EVOLUTION




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 27
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                               ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN
                                                                                          SPANISH 2001 CONSUMPTION AS BASE-YEAR
  "" Whatpercentage of your purchases could retain aanew supplier of tobic perbate
   What percentage of your purchases could retain new supplier of tobic perbate
   meeting your needs?“
     meeting your needs?“

  "" Ifaasupplier reduced prices unilaterally, which percentage of your purchases would
   If supplier reduced prices unilaterally, which percentage of your purchases would
   you redirect to this supplier, ififthe reduction was...10%?...20%?...50%? ““
     you redirect to this supplier, the reduction was...10%?...20%?...50%?

                 120       CURRENT PRICE   (10%)   (20%)        (50%)
                                                                                           The diversification by consumers of supply
                                                                                            The diversification by consumers of supply
                                                                            GLASS
                                                                                           sources being critical
                                                                                            sources being critical
                 100                                                        INDUSTRY
                                                                                             −Achievable penetration for aanew supplier
                                                                                              −Achievable penetration for new supplier
                                                                            PAPER PULP        at current prices, estimated at 31,000
                                                                                               at current prices, estimated at 31,000
                                                                            INDUSTRY
                      80                                                                      Mt/year
                                                                                               Mt/year
  TOBIC PERBATE                                                                              −Maximum possible penetration aasupplier
                                                                                              −Maximum possible penetration supplier
  ACHIEVABLE                                                                                  can achieve, estimated at 55% of the over-
                                                                                               can achieve, estimated at 55% of the over-
  VOLUMES       60
  (000 MT/YEAR)                                                                               all market
                                                                                               all market
                                                                           DETERGENTS
                      40                                                   SEGMENT




                      20




                       0

                                                                                                                              SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                    AZ1004AAA058/ 28
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                       ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN
                                                                                                                                  SUMMARY
       ∗The Spanish natural tobic perbate segment has experienced an annual growth rate of 11.0% since 1990; the reasons being mainly
        ∗The Spanish natural tobic perbate segment has experienced an annual growth rate of 11.0% since 1990; the reasons being mainly
        the following:
         the following:
           −Domestic demand growth due to its increased utilisation in the formulation of detergents
            −Domestic demand growth due to its increased utilisation in the formulation of detergents
            −Development of foreign markets
             −Development of foreign markets
            −Decrease in the production of tobic perbate as aachemical by-product
             −Decrease in the production of tobic perbate as chemical by-product
       ∗The demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment isishighly unstable, for the very reason of its utilisation
        ∗The demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment highly unstable, for the very reason of its utilisation
       ∗The demand by the paper-pulp industry isisdeclining because of environmental concern and economic reasons
        ∗The demand by the paper-pulp industry declining because of environmental concern and economic reasons
       ∗The demand by the glass industry being very limited in absolute terms and decreasing on aaper unit basis owing to environmental
        ∗The demand by the glass industry being very limited in absolute terms and decreasing on per unit basis owing to environmental
        pressure
         pressure
       ∗Totally inelastic demand at present, with very limited alternative uses
        ∗Totally inelastic demand at present, with very limited alternative uses



      Under present conditions the highest volume achievable by aanew producer of tobic perbate in the domestic market isis31,000 Mt/year
       Under present conditions the highest volume achievable by new producer of tobic perbate in the domestic market 31,000 Mt/year




      Possible interest in involving, giving the current demand unstability, relevant consumers that would ensure the purchase of aa substan-
       Possible interest in involving, giving the current demand unstability, relevant consumers that would ensure the purchase of substan-
      tial share of our potential output
       tial share of our potential output
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                        AZ1004AAA058/ 29
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            CONTENTS



                                ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY

                                ∗PRODUCTION

                                ∗FOREIGN TRADE

                                ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
                                   − DETERGENTS SEGMENT
                                   − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY
                                   − GLASS INDUSTRY

                                ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS

                                ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN

                                ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS

                                ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

                                ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS
                                   −RECENT EVOLUTION




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 30
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                           OPERATING COSTS
                                                                                             SPANISH PRODUCERS 2001



                      100

                                                               € 90.15
                                                             FOB PRICE



                       75
                                                             69.24       ∗Current prices not based on current cost levels
                                                                          ∗Current prices not based on current cost levels
    TOBIC PERBATE
    COSTS/PRICE                                                              −Installed capacity below potential demand/
                                                                              −Installed capacity below potential demand/
    (€/MT)                                                                    cartel
                                                                               cartel
                       50                     48.56


                               37.86



                       25                                                ∗Current price levels unstable at term
                                                                          ∗Current price levels unstable at term




                        0
                            PRODUCER # 3   PRODUCER # 2   PRODUCER # 1




                                                                                             SOURCE: ESTADISTICA MINERA, PROSA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                               AZ1004AAA058/ 31
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            EXPORT PRICES EVOLUTION (1996-01)


                      250



                      225



                      200



                      175


    TOBIC PERBATE                                          CAGR (%)    Export prices above domestic ones and deterio-
                                                                        Export prices above domestic ones and deterio-
                  150                                      (1996-01)   rating overtime with the only exception of Italy
    PRICE                                                               rating overtime with the only exception of Italy
    (€ 2001/MT)                                                        (FOB vs CIF?)
                                                                        (FOB vs CIF?)
                                                   Tunisia (10.1)
                      125                          Saudi     (5.7)
                                                   Arabia
                                                   Portugal (5.7)
                                                   France    (2.8)
                      100                          UK         (5.9)
                                                   Spain      (0.7)
                                                   Italy       1.4
                      75



                      50
                       1996   97   98   99   00   01


                                                                                                        SOURCES: ICE, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                    AZ1004AAA058/ 32
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                             USA PRICE EVOLUTION


                      150




                      125
                                   FOB Price East-Coast USA


                      100

   TOBIC PERBATE                                                   The reduction in prices since 1999, CAGR (99-01)
                                                                    The reduction in prices since 1999, CAGR (99-01)
   PRICE                                                           of (5.9)%, currently accelerating
                                                                    of (5.9)%, currently accelerating
   ($ 2001/MT) 75
                                                                     −USA tobic perbate consumption decrease of
                                                                      −USA tobic perbate consumption decrease of
                                                                      8.6% in 2001
                                                                       8.6% in 2001
                      50




                      25




                       0
                       1996   97       98      99       00    01


                                                                                             SOURCES: US BUREAU OF MINES, CHLOR ALKALI
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                    AZ1004AAA058/ 33
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            PRICES EVOLUTION (1996-02)
                                                                                                         SPAIN VS USA

                      200



                      175

                                        USA
                      150


                                                          ∗USA prices evolution independent of European
                                                           ∗USA prices evolution independent of European
                      125                                  price levels
                                                            price levels
  TOBIC PERBATE
  PRICE       100
                                        Spain
  (€ 2001/MT)                                             ∗Prices in Europe at the beginning of 2002, for
                                                           ∗Prices in Europe at the beginning of 2002, for
                                                           the first time in 55years, slightly higher
                                                            the first time in years, slightly higher
                      75

                                                              −Some excess tobic perbate being already
                                                               −Some excess tobic perbate being already
                      50
                                                               shipped to Europe (4,000 Mt)
                                                                shipped to Europe (4,000 Mt)


                      25



                       0
                       1996   97   98    99     00   01


                                                                           SOURCES: US BUREAU OF MINES, CHLOR ALKALI, IMF STATISTICS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                  AZ1004AAA058/ 34
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                 SPANISH PRODUCERS DEVELOPMENT PLANS

        ∗∗Technical Director Producer ##11
           Technical Director Producer
            "We plan to expand our production capacity, but not as much as to 800,000 Mt/year. Our policy has always been to grow step
             "We plan to expand our production capacity, but not as much as to 800,000 Mt/year. Our policy has always been to grow step
             by step... I Ibelieve ititwould be very difficult for us to apply solution mining techniques, because of the existing sodium chloride
              by step... believe would be very difficult for us to apply solution mining techniques, because of the existing sodium chloride
             layer of our deposit“
              layer of our deposit“

        ∗Commercial Director Producer ##33
         ∗Commercial Director Producer
           "We have just hired some consultant engineers to expand our capacity to 150,000 Mt/year ““
            "We have just hired some consultant engineers to expand our capacity to 150,000 Mt/year

        ∗Commercial Director Producer ##22
         ∗Commercial Director Producer
           "We are currently expanding our capacity by 100,000 Mt/year in two phases. This will allow us to produce 270,000 Mt/year
            "We are currently expanding our capacity by 100,000 Mt/year in two phases. This will allow us to produce 270,000 Mt/year
            by the end of 2002 ““
             by the end of 2002

        ∗Project Director New Producer ##44
         ∗Project Director New Producer
           "At the end of February we will submit our project for aa100,000 Mt/year plant to our Board of Directors. I Ibelieve ititwill be ap-
             "At the end of February we will submit our project for 100,000 Mt/year plant to our Board of Directors. believe will be ap-
             proved“
              proved“




        The potential production capacity increase in Spain of 275,000 Mt/year, could accelerate the price collapse process that seems to
         The potential production capacity increase in Spain of 275,000 Mt/year, could accelerate the price collapse process that seems to
        be boiling
         be boiling

 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                              AZ1004AAA058/ 35
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                                       COST STRUCTURES
                                                                                                                    PROSA VS CURRENT PRODUCERS


                  100


                                                                 CURRENT PRICE
                      90
                                                                    € 90.15


                      80


                                                         69.24
                      70
                                                                                 68.58                   ∗Prosa’s project feasible at current price le-
                                                                                                          ∗Prosa’s project feasible at current price le-
                                                                                                          vels, but at aadisadvantage vis-a-vis the
                                                                                                           vels, but at disadvantage vis-a-vis the
TOBIC PERBATE
COSTS/PRICE
                      60                                                                                  other competitors on an opportunity-costs
                                                                                                           other competitors on an opportunity-costs
                                                                                          Financial
(€/MT)
                                                                                 55.05    costs
                                                                                                          basis
                                                                                                           basis
                                            48.56
                      50

                                                                                                         ∗Prosa’s operating costs estimated at 37.9%
                                                                                                          ∗Prosa’s operating costs estimated at 37.9%
                      40
                              37.86
                                                                                                          lower than those of the most efficient com-
                                                                                                           lower than those of the most efficient com-
                                                                                                          petitor
                                                                                                           petitor
                                                                                 Depreciation
                      30
                                                                         23.50 Commercialisation,
                                                                               Structure/Other
                      20
                                                                                 Maintenance/Materials

                                                                                 Mine operation
                      10
                                                                                 Energy
                                                                                 Labour
                      0
                           PRODUCER # 3 PRODUCER # 2 PRODUCER # 1       PROSA


                                                                                                                         SOURCES: ESTADISTICA MINERA, PROSA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS
 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                            AZ1004AAA058/ 36
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                            CONTENTS



                                ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY

                                ∗PRODUCTION

                                ∗FOREIGN TRADE

                                ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
                                   − DETERGENTS SEGMENT
                                   − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY
                                   − GLASS INDUSTRY

                                ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS

                                ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN

                                ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS

                                ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS

                                ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS
                                   −RECENT EVOLUTION




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                          AZ1004AAA058/ 37
PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT                                                                                                                  PROSA ALONE
                                                                                                                                    PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS

                                                      PROSA SALES (000 MT/YEAR)
                           0         20             40           60            80            100            120
                      3
                                                                                                            FC

                      2

     PBFC                                                                                                                 ∗Prosa’s project isisnot economically
                                                                                                                           ∗Prosa’s project not economically
     (MM €)
                      1                                                                                                    feasible on an independent basis fo-
                                                                                                                            feasible on an independent basis fo-
                                                                                                                           cusing exclusively on the Spanish
                                                                                                                            cusing exclusively on the Spanish
                                                                                                                           market
                                                                                                                            market
                      0



                      -1
                               ALL PRODUCERS OPERATING        PRODUCER # 1 PRODUCERS # 1 & # 2
                                                                STOPPED        STOPPED
                                                                                                                          ∗Need to explore foreign markets po-
                                                                                                                           ∗Need to explore foreign markets po-
                                                                                                                           tential
                                                                                                                            tential
                                          All Producers Operating    Producer # 1 Stopped          Producers # 1 & # 2
                                                                                                         Stopped

           Market price
           (€/MT)                          90.15        69.24        69.24          48.56          48.56          37.86


          RCE (%)                           (3.4)        (10.5)        7.9           (6.2)            4.0         (6.7)




 IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A.
                                                                                                                                                      AZ1004AAA058/ 38
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10aaa058

  • 1. TOBIC PERBATE EXPLOITATION SPANISH MARKET FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT ESPAÑOLA, S.A. PADRE DAMIAN, 23 - 28036 MADRID - TEL. (34) 913-533-810 - FAX (34) 913-596-988 - E-MAIL: idm@infonegocio.com - http://www.infonegocio.com/idmespa AZ/10/04/AAA/058 “““““LA INFORMACION CONTENIDA EN ESTE DOCUMENTO, PROPIEDAD DE IDM ESPAÑOLA ES ESTRICTAMENTE CONFIDENCIAL, QUEDANDO PROHIBIDA SU REPRODUCCION TOTAL O PARCIAL O LA UTILIZACION INDEBIDA SIN SU CONSENTIMIENTO POR ESCRITO, RESERVANDOSE LAS ACCIONES LEGALES A QUE HUBIERA LUGAR EN FUNCION DE LOS PERJUICIOS OCASIONADOS A IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. O A SUS CLIENTES ”””””THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT IS PROPERTY OF IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AND IT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL. NO PART OF IT MAY BE REPRODUCED OR UNDULY USED WITHOUT ITS WRITTEN PERMISSION. ACCORDINGLY ANY DAMAGES INFLICTED TO IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. OR ITS CLIENTS WILL BE ADEQUATELY PROSECUTED”””””
  • 2. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT This document isisaaselected summary on the different materials developed by IDM Española, S.A., in order to solve aareal business situation, This document selected summary on the different materials developed by IDM Española, S.A., in order to solve real business situation, for which its services were requested. With the only purpose of preserving client’s confidentiality, some identities, products or dates might for which its services were requested. With the only purpose of preserving client’s confidentiality, some identities, products or dates might have been deliberately altered. have been deliberately altered. IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 2
  • 3. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT POTENTIAL INVESTMENT IN THE TOBIC PERBATE SEGMENT INTRODUCTION THE BACKGROUND THE BACKGROUND Prosa, the European leader in aamining market segment, needs to continuously develop new mining operations in order to ensure its survival in Prosa, the European leader in mining market segment, needs to continuously develop new mining operations in order to ensure its survival in the long-term. The tobic perbate isisaamining product extensively used within the chemical industry on aaworld-wide basis, which allows at pre- the long-term. The tobic perbate mining product extensively used within the chemical industry on world-wide basis, which allows at pre- sent for operating margins over 25%, making all current producers highly profitable. sent for operating margins over 25%, making all current producers highly profitable. THE SITUATION THE SITUATION Prosa isiscurrently facing two opportunities, which need to be evaluated, that will allow ititto enter the tobic perbate segment Prosa currently facing two opportunities, which need to be evaluated, that will allow to enter the tobic perbate segment ∗The acquisition of the oldest Spanish producer and second in size nowadays. Its parent company, suffering difficult times in its core activity, ∗The acquisition of the oldest Spanish producer and second in size nowadays. Its parent company, suffering difficult times in its core activity, isisforced to divest in order to meet some financial obligations. This option does not seem at first too attractive for Prosa. Its management- forced to divest in order to meet some financial obligations. This option does not seem at first too attractive for Prosa. Its management- team believes that being an underground mining operation, ititwill always bear aastructural cost disadvantage against open-pit competitors. team believes that being an underground mining operation, will always bear structural cost disadvantage against open-pit competitors. ∗The development of aanew, high-quality deposit discovered by Prosa’s R&D department. This option, that allows for the use of solution min- ∗The development of new, high-quality deposit discovered by Prosa’s R&D department. This option, that allows for the use of solution min- ing techniques, could achieve operating margins well in excess of the 25% previously mentioned. Preliminary calculations by Prosa’s team ing techniques, could achieve operating margins well in excess of the 25% previously mentioned. Preliminary calculations by Prosa’s team based on its pilot-plant results, reliably estimate that margins could even reach 60%. The only two remaining decisions to be taken at pres- based on its pilot-plant results, reliably estimate that margins could even reach 60%. The only two remaining decisions to be taken at pres- ent would be, the approval of the required investment, approximately €11 million, and the selection of the engineering company from the dif- ent would be, the approval of the required investment, approximately €11 million, and the selection of the engineering company from the dif- ferent bids received, to begin the construction works of the new mining operation. ferent bids received, to begin the construction works of the new mining operation. THE PROBLEM THE PROBLEM Prosa , ,although publicly quoted , ,isispractically owned by two main partners, who strongly disagree in relation to the possible diversification Prosa although publicly quoted practically owned by two main partners, who strongly disagree in relation to the possible diversification options into tobic perbate mining. options into tobic perbate mining. IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 3
  • 4. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONTENTS ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY ∗PRODUCTION ∗FOREIGN TRADE ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION − DETERGENTS SEGMENT − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY − GLASS INDUSTRY ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS −RECENT EVOLUTION IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 4
  • 5. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT SUMMARY OF CONTACTS DEVELOPED PRODUCERS/DISTRIBUTORS TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMERS-DETERGENT SEGMENT PRODUCERS/DISTRIBUTORS TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMERS-DETERGENT SEGMENT COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT DISTRIBUTOR 1 MR. FELICES (PURCHASING MANAGER) BENCKISER COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT DISTRIBUTOR 1 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR DISTRIBUTOR 2 MR. FELICES (PURCHASING MANAGER) BENCKISER MR. EGAÑA (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) BILORE COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 2 2 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR DISTRIBUTOR MR. BATLLE (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP DIRECTOR) BILORE MR. EGAÑA (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL MARKETING DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 2 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5 MR. BATLLE (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP MR. CAMP (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP MARKETING DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 5 PLANNING DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5 MR. CAMP (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP MR. SALGOT (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP PLANNING DIRECTOR PRODUCER 5 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 6 MR. SALGOT (PURCHASING DEPT.) CAMP MR. BERAZA (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 6 PROJECT DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1 MR. CASTAÑE (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA MR. BERAZA(PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1 PROJECT DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1 MR. CASTAÑE (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA MR. CUADRADO (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1 SULPHATE PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 1 MR. CUADRADO (PURCHASING DEPT.) HENKEL IBERICA MR. MARTIN (TECHNICAL AND PURCHASING DIRECTOR) KLINER IBERICA SULPHATE PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 1 DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1 MR. FONT (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA SUPER-QUIMICA KLINER IBERICA MR. MARTIN (TECHNICAL AND PURCHASING DIRECTOR) COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR MANAGER PRODUCER 1 DEPUTY COMMERCIAL PRODUCER 1 MR. FONT (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA SUPER-QUIMICA MR. GARDE (PURCHASING MANAGER) LEVER IBERICA COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 1 COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 7 MR. GARDE (PURCHASING MANAGER) LEVER IBERICA MR. PEREZ (GENERAL AND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LINASA COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 8 7 COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER MR. VALL (PURCHASINGAND TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LINASA MR. PEREZ (GENERAL MANAGER) LIRESA COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER 9 8 COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER MR. YOLDI (PLANT MANAGER) PERSANLIRESA MR. VALL (PURCHASING MANAGER) RAYON PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 10 9 COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT PRODUCER MR. YOLDI (PLANT MANAGER) PERSAN MRS. HERVAS (PURCHASING MANAGER) PROCTER & GAMBLE RAYON PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 10 FINANCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3 MR. CELAYA (PURCHASING MANAGER) QUIMICAMP & GAMBLE MRS. HERVAS (PURCHASING MANAGER) PROCTER FINANCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3 PROJECT MANAGER NEW PRODUCER 4 MR. MARTINEZ(PURCHASING MANAGER) QUIMICAMP MR. CELAYA (MANAGER) SERCASA TECHNICAL MANAGER PRODUCER 11 4 PROJECT DIRECTOR NEW PRODUCER MR. MARTINEZ (MANAGER) SERCASA TECHNICAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 11 VISCOSA PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER 12 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3 12 VISCOSA PLANT MANAGER PRODUCER COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR PRODUCER 3 DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1 DEPUTY COMMERCIAL MANAGER PRODUCER 1 R&D MANAGER PRODUCER 1 ASSOCIATIONS/PUBLIC BODIES/PUBLICATIONS/OTHER R&D MANAGER PRODUCER 1 ASSOCIATIONS/PUBLIC BODIES/PUBLICATIONS/OTHER MR. JANER (EDITOR) ACTUALIDAD ECONOMICA MR. ERICE (SECRETARYACTUALIDAD ECONOMICA MR. JANER (EDITOR) GENERAL) ADTA MR. ERICE (SECRETARY GENERAL) ADTA MR. PARRA (PROFESSOR) AID CONSUMERS-GLASS INDUSTRY MR. PARRA (PROFESSOR) AID MR. MARTIN CANO (SECRETARY) ANFEVI CONSUMERS-GLASS INDUSTRY MR. MARTIN CANO (SECRETARY) ANFEVI MR. HORMAECHEA (GRAL. SEC.) ASOCIACION FABRICANTES DE VIDRIO PLANO MR. VINOS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) CRISTALERIA ESPAÑOLA (VICASA) MR. RATO (HEAD OF THE INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) D.G.DE VIDRIO PLANO MR. HORMAECHEA (GRAL. SEC.) ASOCIACION FABRICANTES MINAS MR. IBAÑEZ (PURCHASINGDIRECTOR) CRISTALERIA ESPAÑOLA (VICASA) MR. VINOS (TECHNICAL MANAGER) VIDRIERA DE LLODIO (VILLOSA) MR. FERNANDEZ-ALVAREZ (INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) D.G. MINAS MR. RATO (HEAD OF THE INDUSTRIAL MINERALS MANAGER) ENADIMSA MR. IBAÑEZ (PURCHASING MANAGER) VIDRIERA DE LLODIO (VILLOSA) MR. DOMENECH (DIRECTOR GENERAL) ESTRATEGIAS MANAGER) ENADIMSA MR. FERNANDEZ-ALVAREZ (INDUSTRIAL MINERALS MR. DOMENECH (DIRECTOR GENERAL) ESTRATEGIAS MR. MEDINA (GENERAL SECRETARY) FEIQUE MR. MEDINA (GENERAL SECRETARY) FEIQUE MR. GOMEZ MORENO (HEAD OF INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) IGME MR. DEGOMEZ MORENO (HEAD OF INDUSTRIAL MINERALS SERVICE) IGME MR. LOS SANTOS (PAPER PULP DEPARTMENT HEAD) INIA MR. DE LOS SANTOS (PAPER PULP DEPARTMENT HEAD) INIA MR. FERNANDEZ-NAVARRO (DIRECTOR) INSTITUTO DE CERAMICA Y VIDRIO MR. FERNANDEZ-NAVARRO (DIRECTOR) INSTITUTO DE CERAMICA Y VIDRIO MR. GASPAR (RESEARCHER) IPE CONSUMERS-PAPER PULP INDUSTRY MR. NOGUEIRA(RESEARCHER) IPE MR. GASPAR (EDITOR) OCU CONSUMERS-PAPER PULP INDUSTRY MR. BARRERA (TECHNICAL OCU MR. NOGUEIRA (EDITOR) DEPARTMENT) RIO RODANO MR. LOREDO (PURCHASING MANAGER) CELULOSAS DE ASTURIAS (CEASA) MR. PEREZ DEL CAMINO (CONSULTANT) TCR RIO RODANO MR. BARRERA (TECHNICAL DEPARTMENT) MR. LOREDO (PURCHASING MANAGER) CELULOSAS DE ASTURIAS (CEASA) MR. BERNAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) ENCE MR. PEREZ DEL CAMINO (CONSULTANT) TCR MR. BERNAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) ENCE MR. CARRANZA (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA (ARANGUREN) MR. CARRANZA (PURCHASING MANAGER) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA (ARANGUREN) MR. MORRAS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA MR. MORRAS (TECHNICAL DIRECTOR) LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA MR. ABADAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) TORRAS HOSTENCH MR. ABADAL (PURCHASING MANAGER) TORRAS HOSTENCH IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 5
  • 6. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT EVOLUTION OF SPANISH PRODUCTION (1990-01) CAGR (1990-01) Total 9.1% 400 (10.3)% 350 Producer # 3 ∗Production increase of more than 50% for the ∗Production increase of more than 50% for the 300 1990-01 period 1990-01 period TOBIC −Capitalised mainly by producer ##22(Pro- −Capitalised mainly by producer (Pro- PERBATE 250 Artificial duction share of 52.6% vs 28.9%) duction share of 52.6% vs 28.9%) PRODUCTION (000 MT/YEAR) 15.1% −Marginal situation for artificial product −Marginal situation for artificial product 200 (Production share of only 2.3% in 2001) (Production share of only 2.3% in 2001) 150 ∗Three mining producers working in 2001 at ∗Three mining producers working in 2001 at Producer # 2 full capacity full capacity 100 3.0% 50 Producer # 1 0 1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCES: FEIQUE, ESTADISTICA MINERA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 6
  • 7. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT EVOLUTION OF SPANISH PRODUCTION BY DESTINATION (1996-01) CAGR (1996-01) 400 16.5% 350 300 48.7% Net exports TOBIC PERBATE 250 ∗Production increases channelled mostly to ∗Production increases channelled mostly to PRODUCTION (000 MT/YEAR) foreign markets (40.3% vs 11.9%) foreign markets (40.3% vs 11.9%) 200 ∗Domestic consumption stagnating, CAGR ∗Domestic consumption stagnating, CAGR 150 (1998-01) of 2.7% (1998-01) of 2.7% Apparent consumption 100 7.8% 50 0 1996 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCES: ICE, ESTADISTICA MINERA, ROSKILL, I.D.M. ESTIMATES IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 7
  • 8. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT EVOLUTION OF EXPORTS BY DESTINATION (1996-01) 100 % 100 % 90 Other Countries 90 Egypt Nigeria 80 80 Morocco Tunisia Egypt 70 70 ∗Foreign markets still at a a development stage ∗Foreign markets still at development stage Iran −Countries accounting for 45.8% of 2001 −Countries accounting for 45.8% of 2001 60 60 exports were not supplied inin 1997 exports were not supplied 1997 Algeria 50 Italy 50 ∗Substantial and increasing importance of the ∗Substantial and increasing importance of the France European markets (64.1% of sales inin 2001) European markets (64.1% of sales 2001) 40 Portugal 40 −Greater sales stability −Greater sales stability 30 30 −Concern over sales reductions inin 2001 in −Concern over sales reductions 2001 in Saudi Arabia key countries: Germany, Italy and France key countries: Germany, Italy and France 20 20 Germany Holland 10 10 United Kingdom 0 0 1996 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCE: ICE IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 8
  • 9. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT EXPORTS BREAKDOWN BY COUNTRY AND PRODUCER (2000) Saudi 100% Germany Italy Portugal U. K. France Ho 1 Egypt Tunisia Mor 2 Arabia Iran 3 Producer # 1 Producer # 2 80 TOBIC Producer # 3 PERBATE EXPORT 60 Other SHARE BY PRODUCER (%) 40 20 1 - Rest of Europe 2 - Rest of Africa 0 3 - Rest of Middle East 0 20 40 60 80 100% TOBIC PERBATE EXPORT SHARE BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION (%) ∗High export diversification efforts developed by producers ##22and ##33 ∗High export diversification efforts developed by producers and −Producer ##22exporting to 19 countries (48.4% of its overall sales) −Producer exporting to 19 countries (48.4% of its overall sales) −Producer ##33exporting to 88countries (43% of its overall sales) −Producer exporting to countries (43% of its overall sales) ∗Limited and highly focused exporting penetration of producer ##11(26.3% of its overall sales) ∗Limited and highly focused exporting penetration of producer (26.3% of its overall sales) −Italy accounting for 69.4% of its exports −Italy accounting for 69.4% of its exports SOURCE: MINECO IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 9
  • 10. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONTENTS ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY ∗PRODUCTION ∗FOREIGN TRADE ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION − DETERGENTS SEGMENT − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY − GLASS INDUSTRY ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS −RECENT EVOLUTION IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 10
  • 11. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT SPANISH MARKET SHARES BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS (2001) North-East South North A B C 100% Producer # 1 Producer # 2 80 Producer # 3 60 TOBIC PERBATE MARKET SHARE BY PRODUCER (%) 40 20 A - Centre 0 B - East C - North-West 0 20 40 60 80 100% TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMPTION SHARE BY REGION (%) ∗Advantageous situation for Producer ##2, given the enormous weight ∗Advantageous situation for Producer 2, given the enormous weight of the North-East region (54% of Spanish consumption) of the North-East region (54% of Spanish consumption) ∗Limited competition in other geographical areas, given the high impor- ∗Limited competition in other geographical areas, given the high impor- tance of transportation costs tance of transportation costs SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 11
  • 12. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT SPANISH MARKET CONSUMPTION BY UTILISATION (2001) 100 % OTHER GLASS INDUSTRY PAPER-PULP 80 INDUSTRY 60 TOBIC PERBATE Enormous importance of the detergents segment Enormous importance of the detergents segment CONSUMPTION BREAKDOWN −74% of consumption −74% of consumption (%) 40 DETERGENTS SEGMENT 20 0 SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 12
  • 13. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT UTILISATION BY THE DETERGENTS SEGMENT The utilisation of tobic perbate isismainly due to legal constraints The utilisation of tobic perbate mainly due to legal constraints −“It could be said that the tobic perbate isisused as aacomponent for detergents more because of negative reasons than positive ones: −“It could be said that the tobic perbate used as component for detergents more because of negative reasons than positive ones: ItIthas no particular cleaning property and isisadded only as aafiller to increase volumes has no particular cleaning property and added only as filler to increase volumes The pressure on detergent producers to reduce phosphate contents, has fostered its substitution by tobic perbate, sodium carbonate and sodium The pressure on detergent producers to reduce phosphate contents, has fostered its substitution by tobic perbate, sodium carbonate and sodium silicate” silicate” (IM, September 1999) (IM, September 1999) −“The tobic perbate isisonly added as an inert, white and low-cost filler inindetergents; even though some producers try to justify its use on the grounds −“The tobic perbate only added as of the final product,low-cost filler true“ of some improvements on the drying an inert, white and ititisissimply not detergents; even though some producers try to justify its use on the grounds of some improvements on the drying of the final product, simply not true“ (IM, June 2000) (IM, June 2000) Product easily replaceable Product easily replaceable −“In Japan, zeolites are the only coadyuvant inin90% of the detergents sold“ −“In Japan, zeolites are the only coadyuvant 90% of the detergents sold“ (C&EN, 23.1.99) (C&EN, 23.1.99) −“In the USA, aafurther decrease ininthe consumption of tobic perbate by the detergents segment isisforecasted for 1991, due to new formulations: −“In the USA, further decrease the consumption of tobic perbate by the detergents segment forecasted for 1991, due to new formulations: In 1990, aareformulation by P&G created over 110,000 Mt surplus for tobic perbate ininthe USA market“ In 1990, reformulation by P&G created over 110,000 Mt surplus for tobic perbate the USA market“ (IM, June 2000) (IM, June 2000) −“There isisconcern over the reduction inindemand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment: −“There concern over the reduction demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment: P&G isischanging from STPF to zeolites, which will clearly reduce its needs for tobic perbate...“ P&G changing from STPF to zeolites, which will clearly reduce its needs for tobic perbate...“ (Chlor Alkali, 23.1.02) (Chlor Alkali, 23.1.02) The demand of tobic perbate by the detergents segment isisvery unstable given the great influence of multinational companies on formulations The demand of tobic perbate by the detergents segment very unstable given the great influence of multinational companies on formulations IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 13
  • 14. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONSUMER SATISFACTION SPANISH DETERGENTS SEGMENT 5 4 Producer # 1 ∗Key criteria completely met by current ∗Key criteria completely met by current Producer # 3 suppliers, with the only exception of suppliers, with the only exception of price levels price levels CRITERION 3 RELEVANCE/ PRODUCERS ∗Market penetration strategies for aa ∗Market penetration strategies for GRADING Producer # 2 new producer, need to be based on new producer, need to be based on pricing policies pricing policies Demand 2 ∗Need for the new producer to be the ∗Need for the new producer to be the lowest-cost producer in the industry lowest-cost producer in the industry 1 Price Content Apparent Impurities Reliability Tradition Payment density of supplies terms SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 14
  • 15. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT DETERGENTS SEGMENT CONSUMPTION OF TOBIC PERBATE SPANISH MARKET FORECAST (2001 VS 2003F) CAGR (2001-03F) 160 1.4 % PROCTER 140 & GAMBLE (5.5) % 120 100 The Spanish tobic perbate market can be TOBIC PERBATE The Spanish tobic perbate market can be ANNUAL considered at best aastable one considered at best stable one CONSUMPTION 80 −P & GGpotential reformulation impact? −P & potential reformulation impact? (000 MT) 60 40 20 0 2001 2003F SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 15
  • 16. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT DETERGENTS CONSUMPTION EVOLUTION SPAIN (1996-00) CAGR (%) (1996-00) 7.0 800 AUTOMATIC-CLEANING POWDER 1.7 Dining Services 6.5 600 LIQUID ∗Growth of non-liquid detergents, the ones ∗Growth of non-liquid detergents, the ones DETERGENTS 15.9 CONSUMPTION using tobic perbate, similar to the growth using tobic perbate, similar to the growth (000 MT/YEAR) LIQUID 1.0 of the market, CAGR (1996-00) of 6.8% of the market, CAGR (1996-00) of 6.8% 400 HAND-CLEANING POWDER ∗Consumption of liquid detergents for cloth- ∗Consumption of liquid detergents for cloth- ing declining, CAGR (1998-00) of (3.9)% ing declining, CAGR (1998-00) of (3.9)% Clothing 8.2 200 AUTOMATIC-CLEANING POWDER 0 1996 97 98 99 00 SOURCE: ADTA IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 16
  • 17. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT DETERGENTS SEGMENT CONSUMPTION SPANISH MARKET POTENTIAL EVOLUTION 25 20 LIQUID 15 CONCENTRATES CONSUMPTION PER HEAD OF DETERGENTS 10 (KG/YEAR) TRADITIONAL POWDER 5 0 SPAIN USA USA Consumption (12.5 Kgs) Spanish Consumption (8.2 Kgs) USA Consumption (12.5 Kgs) Reformulation Spanish Level (37.8%) Spanish Level (37.8%) USA Level (13.9%) (0 %) Tobic Perbate Tobic Perbate Tobic Perbate Tobic Perbate Demand (Mt/year) Demand (Mt/year) Demand (Mt/year) Demand (Mt/year) 185,000 117,000 68,000 0 ""Camp is carrying out some trials for a concentrated detergent in The Canary Islands. My belief is that their final decision will be to discontinue Camp is carrying out some trials for a concentrated detergent in The Canary Islands. My belief is that their final decision will be to discontinue it. For any other product this would mean a minimum 3-year period without new changes, however, if P&G in the USA decides to promote its it. For any other product this would mean a minimum 3-year period without new changes, however, if P&G in the USA decides to promote its concentrates in Europe, the situation could change overnight“ concentrates in Europe, the situation could change overnight“ (Mr. Domenech, Managing Director, Estrategias) (Mr. Domenech, Managing Director, Estrategias) Any formulation evolution following patterns from more advanced countries, could make the demand for tobic perbate by the Spanish detergents Any formulation evolution following patterns from more advanced countries, could make the demand for tobic perbate by the Spanish detergents segment to collapse segment to collapse SOURCES: ADTA, ROSKILL, BSC, FMI IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 17
  • 18. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY UTILISATION The utilisation of tobic perbate as an inexpensive way of adding the perbate and tobium required for the bleaches of the Kraft method,... The utilisation of tobic perbate as an inexpensive way of adding the perbate and tobium required for the bleaches of the Kraft method,... −“The task of the tobic perbate isisto enhance the penetration of the soda into the wood and ininthis way to improve the whole bleaching process. −“The task of the tobic perbate to enhance the penetration of the soda into the wood and this way to improve the whole bleaching process. The perbate isisobtained by adding tobic perbate and ititdoes not need to be of high purity levels, as long as ititdoes not contain chlorides or lead The perbate obtained by adding tobic perbate and does not need to be of high purity levels, as long as does not contain chlorides or lead salts“ salts“ (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA) (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA) ...but its consumption decreasing because of environmental concern and economic reasons ...but its consumption decreasing because of environmental concern and economic reasons −“The black bleaches produced during the boiling process were previously balanced without care. Nowadays they need to be concentrated and −“The black bleaches produced during the boiling process were previously balanced without care. Nowadays they need to be concentrated and burnt, ininorder to recycle the sodium carbonate and tobic perbate contained inintheir ashes“ burnt, order to recycle the sodium carbonate and tobic perbate contained their ashes“ (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA) (Mr. de los Santos, Paper-Pulp Department, INIA) −“I would never use tobic perbate for paper-pulp production; the antroquinone, that achieves better performances, has the additional advantage of −“I would never use tobic perbate for paper-pulp production; the antroquinone, that achieves better performances, has the additional advantage of not generating any pollution. Its only problem, its possible cancer-generating effect, seems very limited“ not generating any pollution. Its only problem, its possible cancer-generating effect, seems very limited“ (Mr. Gaspar, Researcher, IPE) (Mr. Gaspar, Researcher, IPE) −“Despite some recovery ininthe paper industry, the consumption of low-purity tobic perbate continued its decline. ItItisiscurrently being substituted, −“Despite some recovery the paper industry, the consumption of low-purity tobic perbate continued its decline. currently being substituted, mainly because of economic reasons, by emulsified sulphur and caustic soda “ “ mainly because of economic reasons, by emulsified sulphur and caustic soda (Sodium Compounds inin2000, USBM) (Sodium Compounds 2000, USBM) −The consumption of tobic perbate by the USA paper industry inin1998 was 460,000 Tm vs only 190,000 Tm inin2001 −The consumption of tobic perbate by the USA paper industry 1998 was 460,000 Tm vs only 190,000 Tm 2001 The paper-pulp industry isisthe key market for the artificial tobic perbate, but clearly ininaadeclining pattern The paper-pulp industry the key market for the artificial tobic perbate, but clearly declining pattern IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 18
  • 19. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONSUMER SATISFACTION SPANISH PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY 5 Demand 4 Producer # 2 ∗With the exception of prices, current sup- ∗With the exception of prices, current sup- pliers fully satisfy consumers’ needs pliers fully satisfy consumers’ needs CRITERION RELEVANCE/ PRODUCERS GRADING ∗The possible penetration of aanew sup- ∗The possible penetration of new sup- 3 plier needs to be based on pricing stra- plier needs to be based on pricing stra- Producer # 1 tegies tegies Producer # 3 ∗Need to develop aalower-costs base than ∗Need to develop lower-costs base than 2 current producers current producers 1 Price Content Apparent Impurities Reliability Tradition Payment density of supplies terms SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 19
  • 20. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT SPANISH PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY TOBIC PERBATE CONSUMPTION PER UNIT FORECAST (1999-2005F) 75 60 TOBIC PERBATE 45 The trend to reduce consumption of tobic The trend to reduce consumption of tobic CONSUMPTION perbate per unit of paper-pulp produced, perbate per unit of paper-pulp produced, PER MT OF PAPER-PULP will clearly imply at term, aasubstantial will clearly imply at term, substantial (KGS) overall consumption decrease by the pa- overall consumption decrease by the pa- 30 per-pulp industry per-pulp industry 15 0 1999 2001 2003F 2005F SOURCE: LA PAPELERA ESPAÑOLA IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 20
  • 21. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT PAPER-PULP INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION FORECASTS SPANISH MARKET (2001 VS 2003F) 40 CAGR (2001-03F) (0.5)% 30 TOBIC PERBATE ANNUAL 20 Market suffering aagentle, but continuous decline Market suffering gentle, but continuous decline CONSUMPTION (000 MT) 10 0 2001 2003F SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 21
  • 22. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT GLASS INDUSTRY UTILISATION ∗The utilisation of tobic perbate by the glass industry, has been forced to change lately yielding to environmental pressures, generat- ∗The utilisation of tobic perbate by the glass industry, has been forced to change lately yielding to environmental pressures, generat- ing aareduction in its consumption per unit ing reduction in its consumption per unit −Previously the tobic perbate was used in the furnace charge as aasupply for tobium of much lower cost than tobic carbonate. ItIt −Previously the tobic perbate was used in the furnace charge as supply for tobium of much lower cost than tobic carbonate. also offered some additional refining properties. (Accounting for up to 25% of the needed tobium) also offered some additional refining properties. (Accounting for up to 25% of the needed tobium) −Currently the tobic perbate isisused only as aarefiner for the production of flat glass. For hollow glass the calcium sulphate, with −Currently the tobic perbate used only as refiner for the production of flat glass. For hollow glass the calcium sulphate, with aamuch lower price, isispreferred. (Maximum of 1.3% of the vitrifying mass) much lower price, preferred. (Maximum of 1.3% of the vitrifying mass) ∗Quality requirements quite stringent ∗Quality requirements quite stringent ∗Overall Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year ∗Overall Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year The Spanish glass industry isiscurrently aamarginal market for tobic perbate The Spanish glass industry currently marginal market for tobic perbate IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 22
  • 23. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONSUMER SATISFACTION SPANISH GLASS INDUSTRY 5 4 Producer # 2 CRITERION RELEVANCE/ ∗Satisfaction with current suppliers ∗Satisfaction with current suppliers PRODUCERS Producer # 1 GRADING 3 ∗Limited importance of prices, given ∗Limited importance of prices, given its marginal consumption its marginal consumption Demand 2 1 Price Content Apparent Impurities Reliability Tradition Payment density of supplies terms SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 23
  • 24. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT GLASS INDUSTRY CONSUMPTION FORECASTS SPANISH MARKET (2001 VS 2003F) 6 CAGR (2001-03F) 3.8 % 5 4 TOBIC PERBATE ANNUAL 3 CONSUMPTION AApossibly growing, but marginal market possibly growing, but marginal market (000 MT) 2 1 0 2001 2003F SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 24
  • 25. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND How would your consumption level of tobic perbate be influenced by an overall How would your consumption level of tobic perbate be influenced by an overall reduction of market prices by...10%?...20%?...50%? ““ reduction of market prices by...10%?...20%?...50%? Glass Paper-Pulp Detergents Industry Industry Segment 200 ∗The Spanish consumption of tobic perbate seems ∗The Spanish consumption of tobic perbate seems completely inelastic to price fluctuations completely inelastic to price fluctuations 150 TOBIC PERBATE PRICE 100 ∗A potential new producer must limit its expecta- ∗A potential new producer must limit its expecta- (€/MT) tions to the attempt of penetrating the current tions to the attempt of penetrating the current market only market only 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 DEMAND (000 MT/YEAR) SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 25
  • 26. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗By the dyeing industry: The tobic perbate isisused as homogeniser in wool dyeing and in the production of sodium bisulphite, ∗By the dyeing industry: The tobic perbate used as homogeniser in wool dyeing and in the production of sodium bisulphite, that isisused as aacomponent for the manufacturing of sulphur-based dyes. (Limited Spanish consumption, but in Japan itit that used as component for the manufacturing of sulphur-based dyes. (Limited Spanish consumption, but in Japan accounts for 70,000 Mt/year) accounts for 70,000 Mt/year) ∗Limited use as energy accumulator in solar panels, because of some ageing problems ∗Limited use as energy accumulator in solar panels, because of some ageing problems ∗For the production of other chemical products ∗For the production of other chemical products −Tobium biperbite: Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year −Tobium biperbite: Spanish consumption below 10,000 Mt/year −Tobium perbite: Spanish consumption below 2,000 Mt/year −Tobium perbite: Spanish consumption below 2,000 Mt/year Very limited alternative utilisations at present Very limited alternative utilisations at present IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 26
  • 27. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONTENTS ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY ∗PRODUCTION ∗FOREIGN TRADE ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION − DETERGENTS SEGMENT − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY − GLASS INDUSTRY ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS −RECENT EVOLUTION IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 27
  • 28. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN SPANISH 2001 CONSUMPTION AS BASE-YEAR "" Whatpercentage of your purchases could retain aanew supplier of tobic perbate What percentage of your purchases could retain new supplier of tobic perbate meeting your needs?“ meeting your needs?“ "" Ifaasupplier reduced prices unilaterally, which percentage of your purchases would If supplier reduced prices unilaterally, which percentage of your purchases would you redirect to this supplier, ififthe reduction was...10%?...20%?...50%? ““ you redirect to this supplier, the reduction was...10%?...20%?...50%? 120 CURRENT PRICE (10%) (20%) (50%) The diversification by consumers of supply The diversification by consumers of supply GLASS sources being critical sources being critical 100 INDUSTRY −Achievable penetration for aanew supplier −Achievable penetration for new supplier PAPER PULP at current prices, estimated at 31,000 at current prices, estimated at 31,000 INDUSTRY 80 Mt/year Mt/year TOBIC PERBATE −Maximum possible penetration aasupplier −Maximum possible penetration supplier ACHIEVABLE can achieve, estimated at 55% of the over- can achieve, estimated at 55% of the over- VOLUMES 60 (000 MT/YEAR) all market all market DETERGENTS 40 SEGMENT 20 0 SOURCE: I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 28
  • 29. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN SUMMARY ∗The Spanish natural tobic perbate segment has experienced an annual growth rate of 11.0% since 1990; the reasons being mainly ∗The Spanish natural tobic perbate segment has experienced an annual growth rate of 11.0% since 1990; the reasons being mainly the following: the following: −Domestic demand growth due to its increased utilisation in the formulation of detergents −Domestic demand growth due to its increased utilisation in the formulation of detergents −Development of foreign markets −Development of foreign markets −Decrease in the production of tobic perbate as aachemical by-product −Decrease in the production of tobic perbate as chemical by-product ∗The demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment isishighly unstable, for the very reason of its utilisation ∗The demand for tobic perbate by the detergents segment highly unstable, for the very reason of its utilisation ∗The demand by the paper-pulp industry isisdeclining because of environmental concern and economic reasons ∗The demand by the paper-pulp industry declining because of environmental concern and economic reasons ∗The demand by the glass industry being very limited in absolute terms and decreasing on aaper unit basis owing to environmental ∗The demand by the glass industry being very limited in absolute terms and decreasing on per unit basis owing to environmental pressure pressure ∗Totally inelastic demand at present, with very limited alternative uses ∗Totally inelastic demand at present, with very limited alternative uses Under present conditions the highest volume achievable by aanew producer of tobic perbate in the domestic market isis31,000 Mt/year Under present conditions the highest volume achievable by new producer of tobic perbate in the domestic market 31,000 Mt/year Possible interest in involving, giving the current demand unstability, relevant consumers that would ensure the purchase of aa substan- Possible interest in involving, giving the current demand unstability, relevant consumers that would ensure the purchase of substan- tial share of our potential output tial share of our potential output IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 29
  • 30. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONTENTS ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY ∗PRODUCTION ∗FOREIGN TRADE ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION − DETERGENTS SEGMENT − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY − GLASS INDUSTRY ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS −RECENT EVOLUTION IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 30
  • 31. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT OPERATING COSTS SPANISH PRODUCERS 2001 100 € 90.15 FOB PRICE 75 69.24 ∗Current prices not based on current cost levels ∗Current prices not based on current cost levels TOBIC PERBATE COSTS/PRICE −Installed capacity below potential demand/ −Installed capacity below potential demand/ (€/MT) cartel cartel 50 48.56 37.86 25 ∗Current price levels unstable at term ∗Current price levels unstable at term 0 PRODUCER # 3 PRODUCER # 2 PRODUCER # 1 SOURCE: ESTADISTICA MINERA, PROSA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 31
  • 32. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT EXPORT PRICES EVOLUTION (1996-01) 250 225 200 175 TOBIC PERBATE CAGR (%) Export prices above domestic ones and deterio- Export prices above domestic ones and deterio- 150 (1996-01) rating overtime with the only exception of Italy PRICE rating overtime with the only exception of Italy (€ 2001/MT) (FOB vs CIF?) (FOB vs CIF?) Tunisia (10.1) 125 Saudi (5.7) Arabia Portugal (5.7) France (2.8) 100 UK (5.9) Spain (0.7) Italy 1.4 75 50 1996 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCES: ICE, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 32
  • 33. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT USA PRICE EVOLUTION 150 125 FOB Price East-Coast USA 100 TOBIC PERBATE The reduction in prices since 1999, CAGR (99-01) The reduction in prices since 1999, CAGR (99-01) PRICE of (5.9)%, currently accelerating of (5.9)%, currently accelerating ($ 2001/MT) 75 −USA tobic perbate consumption decrease of −USA tobic perbate consumption decrease of 8.6% in 2001 8.6% in 2001 50 25 0 1996 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCES: US BUREAU OF MINES, CHLOR ALKALI IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 33
  • 34. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT PRICES EVOLUTION (1996-02) SPAIN VS USA 200 175 USA 150 ∗USA prices evolution independent of European ∗USA prices evolution independent of European 125 price levels price levels TOBIC PERBATE PRICE 100 Spain (€ 2001/MT) ∗Prices in Europe at the beginning of 2002, for ∗Prices in Europe at the beginning of 2002, for the first time in 55years, slightly higher the first time in years, slightly higher 75 −Some excess tobic perbate being already −Some excess tobic perbate being already 50 shipped to Europe (4,000 Mt) shipped to Europe (4,000 Mt) 25 0 1996 97 98 99 00 01 SOURCES: US BUREAU OF MINES, CHLOR ALKALI, IMF STATISTICS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 34
  • 35. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT SPANISH PRODUCERS DEVELOPMENT PLANS ∗∗Technical Director Producer ##11 Technical Director Producer "We plan to expand our production capacity, but not as much as to 800,000 Mt/year. Our policy has always been to grow step "We plan to expand our production capacity, but not as much as to 800,000 Mt/year. Our policy has always been to grow step by step... I Ibelieve ititwould be very difficult for us to apply solution mining techniques, because of the existing sodium chloride by step... believe would be very difficult for us to apply solution mining techniques, because of the existing sodium chloride layer of our deposit“ layer of our deposit“ ∗Commercial Director Producer ##33 ∗Commercial Director Producer "We have just hired some consultant engineers to expand our capacity to 150,000 Mt/year ““ "We have just hired some consultant engineers to expand our capacity to 150,000 Mt/year ∗Commercial Director Producer ##22 ∗Commercial Director Producer "We are currently expanding our capacity by 100,000 Mt/year in two phases. This will allow us to produce 270,000 Mt/year "We are currently expanding our capacity by 100,000 Mt/year in two phases. This will allow us to produce 270,000 Mt/year by the end of 2002 ““ by the end of 2002 ∗Project Director New Producer ##44 ∗Project Director New Producer "At the end of February we will submit our project for aa100,000 Mt/year plant to our Board of Directors. I Ibelieve ititwill be ap- "At the end of February we will submit our project for 100,000 Mt/year plant to our Board of Directors. believe will be ap- proved“ proved“ The potential production capacity increase in Spain of 275,000 Mt/year, could accelerate the price collapse process that seems to The potential production capacity increase in Spain of 275,000 Mt/year, could accelerate the price collapse process that seems to be boiling be boiling IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 35
  • 36. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT COST STRUCTURES PROSA VS CURRENT PRODUCERS 100 CURRENT PRICE 90 € 90.15 80 69.24 70 68.58 ∗Prosa’s project feasible at current price le- ∗Prosa’s project feasible at current price le- vels, but at aadisadvantage vis-a-vis the vels, but at disadvantage vis-a-vis the TOBIC PERBATE COSTS/PRICE 60 other competitors on an opportunity-costs other competitors on an opportunity-costs Financial (€/MT) 55.05 costs basis basis 48.56 50 ∗Prosa’s operating costs estimated at 37.9% ∗Prosa’s operating costs estimated at 37.9% 40 37.86 lower than those of the most efficient com- lower than those of the most efficient com- petitor petitor Depreciation 30 23.50 Commercialisation, Structure/Other 20 Maintenance/Materials Mine operation 10 Energy Labour 0 PRODUCER # 3 PRODUCER # 2 PRODUCER # 1 PROSA SOURCES: ESTADISTICA MINERA, PROSA, I.D.M. INTERVIEWS IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 36
  • 37. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT CONTENTS ∗CONTACTS SUMMARY ∗PRODUCTION ∗FOREIGN TRADE ∗DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION − DETERGENTS SEGMENT − PAPER PULP INDUSTRY − GLASS INDUSTRY ∗ ALTERNATIVE UTILISATIONS ∗ ACHIEVABLE VOLUMES WITHIN SPAIN ∗ PRICE LEVELS ANALYSIS ∗ PROSA’S PROJECT FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS ∗ SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS −RECENT EVOLUTION IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 37
  • 38. PROSA’S TOBIC PERBATE PROJECT PROSA ALONE PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS PROSA SALES (000 MT/YEAR) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 3 FC 2 PBFC ∗Prosa’s project isisnot economically ∗Prosa’s project not economically (MM €) 1 feasible on an independent basis fo- feasible on an independent basis fo- cusing exclusively on the Spanish cusing exclusively on the Spanish market market 0 -1 ALL PRODUCERS OPERATING PRODUCER # 1 PRODUCERS # 1 & # 2 STOPPED STOPPED ∗Need to explore foreign markets po- ∗Need to explore foreign markets po- tential tential All Producers Operating Producer # 1 Stopped Producers # 1 & # 2 Stopped Market price (€/MT) 90.15 69.24 69.24 48.56 48.56 37.86 RCE (%) (3.4) (10.5) 7.9 (6.2) 4.0 (6.7) IDM ESPAÑOLA, S.A. AZ1004AAA058/ 38