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True Fit Skin Care 
Chang Liu 
Fellow at Insight Data Science 2014
So 
many 
products… 
So 
many 
reviews… 
Time 
spent 
Money 
wasted 
Happiness 
What 
makes 
it 
so 
hard? 
Overwhelming 
informa<on 
Reviews 
can 
be 
so 
long… 
So 
many 
ingredients… 
TRIETHOXYCAPRYLYLSILANE
115k 
Reviewers 
• 32k 
Reviewers 
• w/ 
2+ 
reviews 
1177 
Products 
• 77 
brands 
• 
8 
categories 
184k 
Reviews 
• Ra<ng 
[1-­‐5] 
• Review 
text 
• Quick 
take 
Data: 
User 
Reviews 
Scraped 
from 
Sephora.com 
Reviewers 
Product 
X 
Y 
… 
1 
… 
2 
… 
3 
… 
… … 
… … 
N 
… 
Algorithm: 
• Item-­‐centric 
collabora<ve 
filter 
• Pearson’s 
correla<on 
coefficients 
weighted 
ra<ng 
Cross 
Valida;on 
• 5-­‐fold 
for 
reviewers 
• Leave-­‐one-­‐out 
for 
products 
• Accuracy 
= 
86.3% 
± 
1%
Visualize 
the 
similarity 
matrix 
On 
both 
axes: 
1177 
products 
sorted 
by 
77 
brands 
White 
= 
high 
similarity 
Black 
= 
low 
similarity
On 
both 
axes: 
1177 
products 
sorted 
by 
77 
brands 
White 
= 
high 
similarity 
Black 
= 
low 
similarity 
White 
in 
a 
square 
= 
User 
has 
similar 
reviews 
for 
different 
products 
from 
a 
brand 
= 
Strong 
customer 
loyalty 
There 
are 
structures!
Expensive! 
“Organic 
& 
Natural” 
High 
Cost-­‐Performance 
There 
are 
structures! 
For 
example…
• For 
Ac;onable 
Insights 
customer 
Data 
tells 
you 
your 
true 
fit! 
• For 
brands 
Uniqueness 
helps 
enhance 
customer 
loyalty! 
• For 
Sephora.com 
Send 
marke<ng 
emails 
to 
new 
customers 
of 
brands 
with 
stronger 
customer 
loyalty!
My 
name 
is 
Chang 
Liu
Is 
the 
ra<ng 
a 
good 
measure 
of 
reviewers’ 
perspec<ve? 
• Trained 
a 
NaïveBaysian 
classifier 
for 
sen<ment 
analysis 
• W/ 
250 
thousand 
reviews 
from 
Birchbox.com 
• A 
website 
that 
sends 
out 
free 
samples 
from 
smaller 
brands 
and 
gathers 
massive 
user 
reviews 
Most 
common 
words 
Most 
informa;ve 
feature 
Word 
Count 
Nega;ve 
Posi;ve 
skin 
91349 
re-­‐wash 
Penny 
product 
82481 
garbage 
hook 
use 
64044 
mediocre 
gorgeous 
love 
55691 
ketchup 
perk 
feel 
47879 
trash 
stock 
face 
42615 
unimpressive 
glowing 
like 
41427 
survey 
splurge 
great 
34155 
ineffec<ve 
effortless 
really 
31672 
gag 
Christmas 
smell 
27621 
worthless 
happily 
text 
quick 
take 
Precision 
95.3% 
85.4% 
Recall 
89.8% 
93.1% 
Worth 
every 
penny! 
Another 
Valida;on
Another 
Valida;on 
Is 
the 
ra<ng 
a 
good 
measure 
of 
reviewers’ 
perspec<ve?
Product 
X 
Algorithm: 
Item-­‐centric 
collabora<ve 
filter 
similarity 
87.4% 
Product 
Y 
Product 
X 
Product 
Y 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
1 
nΣ 
nΣ 
nΣ 
5-­‐fold 
+ 
leave-­‐one-­‐out 
CV: 
accuracy 
= 
86.3% 
± 
1% 
Reviewers 
Product 
X 
Y 
… 
1 
… 
2 
… 
3 
… 
… … 
… … 
N 
… 
Pairwise similarities are measured 
by Pearson's correlation coefficients: 
cXY = 
(Xi − X)(Yi −Y ) 
i=1 
(Xi − X)2 
i=1 
(Yi −Y )2 
i=1 
Then weight the ratings 
based on the correlation coefficients: 
Scorei = 
cijr j∈N uj Σ 
cijr j∈N uj Σ

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0926

  • 1. True Fit Skin Care Chang Liu Fellow at Insight Data Science 2014
  • 2. So many products… So many reviews… Time spent Money wasted Happiness What makes it so hard? Overwhelming informa<on Reviews can be so long… So many ingredients… TRIETHOXYCAPRYLYLSILANE
  • 3. 115k Reviewers • 32k Reviewers • w/ 2+ reviews 1177 Products • 77 brands • 8 categories 184k Reviews • Ra<ng [1-­‐5] • Review text • Quick take Data: User Reviews Scraped from Sephora.com Reviewers Product X Y … 1 … 2 … 3 … … … … … N … Algorithm: • Item-­‐centric collabora<ve filter • Pearson’s correla<on coefficients weighted ra<ng Cross Valida;on • 5-­‐fold for reviewers • Leave-­‐one-­‐out for products • Accuracy = 86.3% ± 1%
  • 4. Visualize the similarity matrix On both axes: 1177 products sorted by 77 brands White = high similarity Black = low similarity
  • 5. On both axes: 1177 products sorted by 77 brands White = high similarity Black = low similarity White in a square = User has similar reviews for different products from a brand = Strong customer loyalty There are structures!
  • 6. Expensive! “Organic & Natural” High Cost-­‐Performance There are structures! For example…
  • 7. • For Ac;onable Insights customer Data tells you your true fit! • For brands Uniqueness helps enhance customer loyalty! • For Sephora.com Send marke<ng emails to new customers of brands with stronger customer loyalty!
  • 8. My name is Chang Liu
  • 9. Is the ra<ng a good measure of reviewers’ perspec<ve? • Trained a NaïveBaysian classifier for sen<ment analysis • W/ 250 thousand reviews from Birchbox.com • A website that sends out free samples from smaller brands and gathers massive user reviews Most common words Most informa;ve feature Word Count Nega;ve Posi;ve skin 91349 re-­‐wash Penny product 82481 garbage hook use 64044 mediocre gorgeous love 55691 ketchup perk feel 47879 trash stock face 42615 unimpressive glowing like 41427 survey splurge great 34155 ineffec<ve effortless really 31672 gag Christmas smell 27621 worthless happily text quick take Precision 95.3% 85.4% Recall 89.8% 93.1% Worth every penny! Another Valida;on
  • 10. Another Valida;on Is the ra<ng a good measure of reviewers’ perspec<ve?
  • 11. Product X Algorithm: Item-­‐centric collabora<ve filter similarity 87.4% Product Y Product X Product Y 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 nΣ nΣ nΣ 5-­‐fold + leave-­‐one-­‐out CV: accuracy = 86.3% ± 1% Reviewers Product X Y … 1 … 2 … 3 … … … … … N … Pairwise similarities are measured by Pearson's correlation coefficients: cXY = (Xi − X)(Yi −Y ) i=1 (Xi − X)2 i=1 (Yi −Y )2 i=1 Then weight the ratings based on the correlation coefficients: Scorei = cijr j∈N uj Σ cijr j∈N uj Σ