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MICECON_01 Imagining the Future of Travel by Prof Ian Yeoman
This document summarizes a presentation on the future of travel by Dr. Ian Yeoman. It identifies several key drivers of change including wealth, resources, technology, and demographics. It discusses how populations are aging in developed countries while youth populations are growing rapidly in developing countries. It also explores how life courses and identities are changing. New types of tourists are emerging who seek new experiences and simplicity. The document outlines several potential futures for various industries including transportation, food, architecture, science, meetings, visitor information centers, sports, and more. Emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, augmented reality, haptics, and brain-computer interfaces are also discussed.
MICECON_01 Imagining the Future of Travel by Prof Ian Yeoman
- 1. Imagining the Futureof Travel Dr. Ian Yeoman Victoria Business School, New Zealand European Tourism Futures Institute, Netherlands
- 2. Key Drivers ofChange Wealth Resources Technology
- 3. Wealth 3
- 4. Net Gen byPopulation % of total Growth in under-25 Country population under population since 1980 25 India 52 46 China 38 -9 United States 35 11 Brazil 47 22 Mexico 49 14 Russia 32 -15 Japan 25 -27 Germany 26 -20 France 31 -7 UK 31 -10 Spain 27 -27 Canada 31 -4 Source: UN 2009 4
- 5. % of total Growth in under-25 Country population under population since 1980 25 India 52 46 China 38 -9 United States 35 11 Brazil 47 22 Mexico 49 14 Russia 32 -15 Japan 25 -27 Germany 26 -20 France 31 -7 UK 31 -10 Spain 27 -27 Canada 31 -4 Source: UN 2009 5
- 6. Changing Life Courses Early Life: Adult Older Age Growth and Development Maintaining highest Maintaining independence and possible level of function Preventing disability Functionality of capacity Rang eo in ind f function ividu s als Disability threshold Rehabilitation and ensuring the quality of life Age Source: Yeoman & Butterfield 2010 6
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- 10. The transition ofchanging values
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- 12. Simplicity Flatters & Wilmott 2009
- 13. Thomas Malthus hasbecome widely known for his theories concerning population and its increase or decrease in response to various factors. The six editions of his An Essay on the Principle of Population, published from 1798 to 1826, observed that sooner or later population gets checked by famine and disease. 13
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- 17. Future of Transport Tesla Roadster Robotic Power Suites 17
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- 19. Sustainable architecture seeks to minimize the negative environmental impact of buildings by enhancing efficiency and moderation in the use of materials, energy, and development space. Photo: Songjiang Inter Continental, Shangai 19
- 20. Space is Scarce Futuris 20
- 21. New Sciences: ProgrammableMatter 21
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- 23. What’s new inhousekeeping? 23
- 24. Future of theMeetings Industry Events 5000 4500 4000 3500 Absolute figures Medical science 3000 Technology 2500 Science Industry 2000 Other 1500 1000 500 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Meetings by Sector (Source: ICCA) 24
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- 26. In Japan 30%of online travel agents report 30% of hotel bookings coming via mobile phones on the day of arrival (Hatton 2009) Augmented audio and visual recognition technology means that a smartphone with a camera can recognise the environment and provide information
- 28. Scientists at theUniversity of Washington have been developing a contact lens containing one built-in LED, powered wirelessly with radio frequency waves, facial recognition systems etc (Nelson 2008)
- 29. Future of SportingEvents 29
- 30. What will thefan experience be? Real or virtual
- 31. What is theFuture of Visitor Information Centres? 31
- 32. Artificial Intelligence Google’s cross-language search can retrieve results in another by providing Adaptive Inc, is an artificial automatic translation general intelligence system services that can conduct smart intelligence conservations with you. SmartActionIVR monitors the conversation for mood, degree of certainty, learns how to respond and even ask you on a date 32
- 33. Artificial Intelligence Google’s cross-language search can retrieve results Adaptive Inc, is an artificial in another by providing general intelligence system automatic translation that can conduct smart services intelligence conservations with you. SmartActionIVR monitors the conversation for mood, degree of certainty, learns how to respond and even ask you on a date 33
- 34. Can I readyour mind? DAPRA’s Silent Talk. The goal is to “allow user-to-user communication on the battlefield without the use of vocalized speech through analysis of neural signals.” This is were telepathy becomes real. 34
- 35. Haptic Technologies The concept of haptic technology builds on the users’ sense of touch, allowing them to touch and feel objects within the virtual real. (Yeoman 2011) 35
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- 37. The Future According toCharles Duell of the US Patent Office, everything that can be invented has been invented. That’s the end of innovation and technological change then! 37
- 38. The Future It wasThomas Watson of IBM that said “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers”. 38
- 40. Yeoman I (2012)2050: Tomorrows Schanzel H. Yeoman, I. & Backer, E Tourism. Channelview, Bristol (2012) Family Tourism, Channelview,
Editor's Notes
- #2 Drivers explained: What will the world look like in 2050? The key drivers are wealth , which is linked to demography and measured as GDP and wealth per capita; technology which manifests itself as the pace of change and resources which is shaped by climate change and the subsequent impact on landscapes, access to water and food..and nearly everything else. In addition this presentation concludes with a number of risks .
- #3 Drivers explained: What will the world look like in 2050? The key drivers are wealth , which is linked to demography and measured as GDP and wealth per capita; technology which manifests itself as the pace of change and resources which is shaped by climate change and the subsequent impact on landscapes, access to water and food..and nearly everything else. In addition this presentation concludes with a number of risks .