A presentation we gave at University of Reading's Corporate Real Estate & Facilities Management conference on the future of work. We present our analysis of the a new situation in work by highlighting some changing trends - including the rise of low end and high end work resulting in a hollowing out of the middle and increasing polarisation in occupations and that history has shown that in times of uncertainty, start up behaviour increases - well over half of the forture 500 companies from 2009 were established in recession times. We then make the case for a start up nation infrastructure - want to know what it looks like, then watch the presentation. Would be great to know what you think...

1. FUTURE OF WORK
READING | 10.12.09
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2. // FUTURE OF WORK
DEBATE SO FAR...
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3. CAPPUCCINO
KNOWLEDGE
WORKERS
// DEBATE SO FAR 00: /
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4. 100%
RESOURCES FOCUSED ON 2%
VALUE
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5. LOW SKILLS LOW WAGE
RANDMG164-3.8
30
Advanced degree
“occupational
projections for the UK
Real median hourly wage (2001 dollars)
25
tend to point towards a
College degree
continuing polarisation
20 in the occupational
structure, with growth
in many top and bottom
Some degree
15 end occupational groups
School graduate and a relative ‘hollowing
Less than school graduate out’ of the overall
10
proportion of middle
tier occupations”
5 Dickerson and Vignoles, 2007
0
1973 1983 1993 2001
Year
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6. LOW SKILLS LOW WAGE
HIGH END
“high paying, high skill jobs £££
and low paid, low skilled
work are both becoming
more concentrated in certain
localities” H O LLO WI NG O U T
O F M I D D LE T I E R
Local Futures, 2006
£
LOW END
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7. SKILLS BASE WITHIN ECONOMY (U.S)
RANDMG164-3.7
0.6
Nonroutine cognitive/interactive
0.4
Level relative to 1959 (1959 = 0)
Nonroutine cognitive/analytic
0.2
0 Routine manual
–0.2 Nonroutine manual
–0.4 Routine cognitive
–0.6
1959 1969 1979 1989 1998
Year
SOURCE: Autor, Levy, and Murnane (2002)
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8. RISE OF VOLUNTARY & INVOLUNTARY START UPS
Involuntary entrepreneurship is now creating
10,000’s of small businesses
and a huge market of contract and freelance labor. Many will
take full-time jobs again once they become available, but
many others will choose not to. The crisis may have turned our
economy into small pieces, loosely joined, but it will be the
collective action of millions of workers hungry for change that
keeps it that way.
Chris Anderson, Wired
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9. JOB CREATION, ENTIRE ECONOMY AND FROM STARTUPS
5,000,000
3,750,000 Startups
Job
Creation
2,500,000 Net
Job
Creation
1,250,000
0
RECESSION
RECESSION
RECESSION
RECESSION
-1,250,000
-2,500,000
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Source : Census Bureau, Business Dynamics Statistics,
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10. SELF EMPLOYMENT ON THE RISE
0,15
0,14
New Zealand
0,13 Spain
0,12
Belgium
0,11 The Netherlands
United Kingdom
0,10
0,09
Germany
0,08
0,07
0,06
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
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11. START UP BEHAVIOUR
“we’ll see the same pattern we always
see intimes like these: While the big
guys run scared and retreat to safety,
the smaller players will think boldly,
push frontiers, and chart our way out of
this mess.”
Daniel H. Pink, author of Free Agent Nation
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12. THE ROLE OF SME’S
“there are 4.7
99% million SMEs in the
businesses in the UK UK, constituting
99.9 percent of all
businesses. They
employ 59 percent
59% of the private sector
workforce and are
private sector workforce responsible for 52
percent of business
turnover”
52% Recent findings of a Government
Advisory Committee led by Anne
Glover
business turnover
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13. “Well-over half of the
companies on the 2009
FORTUNE Fortune 500 list, and just
under half of the 2008
500 Inc. list, began during a
recession or bear market.
stable We also find that the general
period pattern of founding years
250 250 and decades can help tell a
story about larger economic
recession
trends.”
Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
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14. 01 / DIVERSITY OF URBAN
GRAIN & BUILDING
TYPOLOGY
02 / GEOGRAPHICAL
CONNECTIVITY
BUILDING
= Σ
03 / SOCIAL NETWORKS
SCOPE & DIVERSITY
RESILIENT
PLACES 04 / BRIDGES OF TRUST
05 / DEMOCRATISATION OF
AGENCY (KNOWLEDGE &
CAPITAL)
06 / PLACE CAPITAL
// THE NEED FOR START UP NATION 00: /
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15. // BUILDING A
START UP NATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
// KEY INFRASTRUCTURE 00: /
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16. BEYOND THE
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY...
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: /
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17. // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
THE HUB KINGS CROSS
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: /
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18. // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
BIRKBECK CHAMBERS
01 INCUBATION
STAGE 02 WORKING
ECOLOGY
HUB PROVIDE HUB NETWORK HUB ENTREPRENEURS HUB ATTRACTS
03 LIVING
ECOLOGY
HUB PROVIDE NATURAL HOME
EXISTING HUB ENTREPRENEURIAL PROVIDES PROVIDE DIVERSITY OF AS NEXT STEP FOR ALUMNI &
MEMBERSHIP USED PRACTICE KNOWLEDGE TO SPEAKERS & MENTORSHIP & FUNDING POTENTIAL MENTORSHIP AFTER
GUIDE PROGRAMME GUESTS & GET PRACTICE FROM PRACTICE GRADUATION
TO CATALYSE CONTENT & GET ACCESS TO ACCESS TO KNOWLEDGE & GET SHARED ACCESS & GET ACCESS TO GRADUATE TO
KNOWLEDGE
RS KNOWLEDGE RESOURCES LECTURE SERIES TO IP DEVELOPMENT GROW MEMBER COMMUNITY
NETWORK BE DEVELOPED
GET GET GET
M
GET GET
GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE
A
HUB CH
A RESOURCE &
+ MIXING CHAMBER
FOR
ENTREPRENEURS,
INNOVATORS &
STUDENTS
CK
BIRKBECK COLLEGE
GET GET GET GET GET
ENTREPRENEURSHIP BE
PHD STUDENT BIRK GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE
with ENTERPRISE PROJECT
BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK ATTRACTS BIRKBECK GRADUATES
INFRASTRUCTURE FOR LECTURE PROGRAMME PHD STUDENTS TO FUNDING TO SUPPORT BECOME ALUMNI & CONTINUE
LEARNING INRFASTRUCTURE & RESEARCH & CHAMBERS PROJECTS TO ENGAGE WITH CHAMBER
PROGRAMMES GET ACCESS TO WIDE GET TO ITERATE & INITIATIVES & GET COMMUNITY TO GROW
& GET PROGRAMME NETWORK OF CURRENT MARKET PRACTICE KNOWLEDGE ACCESSIBLE KNOWLEDGE
BIRKBECK PROVIDES CONTENT ENTREPRENEURS TO IDEAS RESOURCE & GET TO
INNOVATION SPACES INFORM CONTENT MAINTAIN MEANINGFUL
RELATIONSHIP WITH ALUMNI
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: /
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19. // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
SOMERSET HOUSE EXCHANGE
SOMERSET EXCHANGE : MAKE BRITAIN
E IN THE HEA
LU RT
VA ST MARTIN’S
COLLEGE OF
AL
ROAD
OF
ART LD’S
THEOBA
SOMERSET EXCHANGE
MICRO
LOCATION
HIGH HOLBORN
VC FUND READILY
LON
GETTY IMAGE
VC FUND
GALLERY
KINGS
AVAILABLE TO INVEST
CHARING
WAY
LSE
CROSS
IN ENTERPRISES
ROAD
CITY
YCH
OF MICRO ENTERPRISE INCUBATOR SPACE
ALDW
DON
REGEN
ND
KING’S
T STREE
STRA
COLLEGE
T
BLACKFRIARS BRIDGE
X10
Southwar
ROYAL
NATIONAL
WATER
ACADEMY
GALLERY RSA
k Bridge
ILLY
LOO
PICAD TRAFALGAR
BRIDG
SQUARE
E
NATIONAL
THEATRE
SOUTH
BANK
EMBANKMENT
WHITEHALL
VICTORIA
WESTMINSTER
WESTMINSTER BRIDGE
RE-INVESTMENT ENGINE
INTO THE “MAKE BRITAIN”
AGENDA
PROJECT ROOMS
SHORT TERM TEAMS MADE UP OF INNOVATORS FROM
COMMUNITY OF EXCELLENCE TO TACKLE PROJECTS
UNDER ONE ROOF,
WORLD CLASS ENTERPRISE FACILITIES SHARING KNOWLEDGE &
1 COMMUNITY OF EXCELLENCE RESOURCES
1 RICH SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE ENTREPRENEURS
TO CREATE A COMPLETE INNOVATION ECOLOGY MATERIALS 100% SUSTAINABLY SOURCED
SUPPORTING ENTREPRENEURS TO TAKE INNOVATION & SOMERSET EXCHANGE CONNECTS
CREATIVITY FROM CONCEPT TO MARKET COMPLEMENTARY ORGANISATIONS,
SIGNPOSTING KNOWLEDGE & RESOURCES
WITHIN THE MEMBERSHIP
THOUGHT DINNERS HOSTED BY A
GRADUATE SHOWS EVERY 18
MENTOR MONTHS TO PROMOTE NEXT
MEMBER ON THE FUTURE OF LOW
CARBON DESIGN TO DRAW
SPONSORED WORKSHOPS
GENERATION TALENT TO THE IN PARTNERSHIP WITH INDUSTRY TO FORM NEW
SUPPORT KNOWLEDGE FROM A COMMUNITY OF
MARKET & THE PUBLIC COLLABORATIONS & DISSEMINATE LEARNING
EXCELLENCE
COURTYARD SERVES AS LAUNCHPAD OF BRITISH INNOVATION, CREATIVE &
EXPO ADVOCATES THE NEXT GENERATION OF ENTREPRENEURS & CULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AS A GLOBAL STAGE FOR INNOVATION & ENTERPRISE.
DESIGNERS; SHOWCASING NEXT GENERATION TALENT AFTER 100 SPECIALIST RESOURCES LOCATED ON SITE
TO SUPPORT PROTOTYPING (3D PRINTERS,
OPEN CALL COMPETITIONS; PROVIDING A MARKETPLACE TO TEST DIGITAL SOFTWARE) MADE ACCESSIBLE TO
PRODUCTS; HOLDING PUBLIC WORKSHOPS FOR THE MEMBERSHIP & WIDER TO ATTRACT
ENTREPRENEURS OF THE FUTURE
T U RE
THEATRE
SOMERSET HOUSE KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY
KINGS COLLEGE LABS L EC ICONIC LECTURE SERIES
PUBLIC INNOVATION LECTURE PROGRAMME GIVEN BY FELLOWS,
DISSEMINATING KNOWLEDGE TO AN INTERNATIONAL AUDIENCE
PROJECT LABS
WEALTH OF TALENT &
SUPPORTING THE BEST INVITED FROM THE
COMMUNITY OF INVITED TO HOST WORKSHOPS AND
OF INNOVATION FROM MOST INNOVATIVE PROTOTYPE PROJECTS WITHIN A
EXCELLENCE
IDEA TO MARKET INDIVIDUALS & KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY
ATTRACT INVESTORS
ORGANISATIONS
OPEN INNOVATION COMPETITIONS GLOBAL FELLOWS BLACK BOOK INVESTMENT FUND “EXPERT IN RESIDENCE”
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? : /
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20. // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY
THE MANOR
Community Kitchen
Community Lounge
Community Shed
Community Rooms
The Building
SHARED CIRCULATION
/ WORKSPACE
TOILET SHARED / COMMUNAL
KITCHEN AND TOILET
KITCHEN FACILITIES
ESS ADMIN / DESKSPACE ESS ADMIN / DESKSPACE
ACC ACC
WORKSHOP / STORAGE / WORKSPACE WORKSHOP / STORAGE / WORKSPACE
!!" !
ISSUE / THE BUILDING
TYPICAL WORKSHOP /
WORKSPACE CONFIGURATION
DISTRIBUTED WORKSHOP /
WORKSPACE CONFIGURATION + ‘SHARED
RESOURCES’
Friday, 12 June 2009
Friday, 12 June 2009
WORK SPACE CONFIGURATIONS
WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES TO INCREASE SOCIABILITY AND PRODUCTIVITY IN
BETWEEN NEW START-UP ENTERPRISES? CAN COMMUNAL FACILITIES AND SHARED
RESOURCES INCREASE VALUABLE INTER-BUSINESS CONNECTIONS, OR ALLOW FOR
NEW TYPES OF ENTERPRISE OPPORTUNITIES?
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: /
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21. // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY
SOAR WORKS
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22. // RETAIL ECONOMY
MY HOME TOWN
a Clubcard for a
town that ploughs
its profits back into
the community
// WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: /
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23. // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY
MICRO STOCK EXCHANGE
THE POTENTIAL
60 MILLION CITIZENS 60 MILLION CITIZENS 60 MILLION CITIZENS
X 30 MINUTES EACH X £25 EACH X 1 IDEA EACH
= 30 MILLION HOURS OF TIME = £1.5 BILLION CAPITAL = 60 MILLION IDEAS
opening up pathways for ...everyday micro scales of
social capital building investment & exchange
MSX
/ SKILLS / MICRO STOCK EXCHANGE
/ x 60 MILLION / NEIGHBOURHOOD / TIME
TOWN / CITY / REGION CAPITAL
ITIZENS INVESTING INTO RIDGES WITHIN A LOCAL CHANGE AT AN EVERYDAY SCALE
THEIR COMMUNITY AREA
unlocking the collective capabilities of BIRMINGHAM everyday public need ; made & delivered by the
local citizens citizens of a local area
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24. OBSERVATIONS FROM A 00:/ HORIZON
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25. // SHARING ECONOMY
u
r cl b
ca
£c25
h
ea
nt
ohm
// SUMMARY 00: /
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26. // MICRO MASSIVE
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27. // “REAL” ESTATE
COMMUNIT Y
VA L U E
B O R R O W E D , A S S O C I AT I O N A L
O R B U I LT
SYMBOLIC REAL
VA L U E E S TAT E
S PA C E BUILDING & LAND
INHABITECTURE BASED ASSETS
SOCIAL RECOGNITION
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28. THANK YOU
indy@architecture00.net
00: /
00:/
81 Leonard Street
ec2a 4qs
london
tel : +44 (0)20 7739 2230
info@architecture00.net
www.architecture00.net
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