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Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 19www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
By Kent Richardson and Erik Oliver
At the end of last year, Intellectual
Ventures launched a public
database providing details of
33,000 patent assets that it
currently owns and manages,
allowing an in-depth analysis of its
portfolio for the first time
What’s inside IV’s
patent portfolio?
In December 2013 Intellectual Ventures (IV)
took a step towards transparency by publicly
listing about 33,000 of its patent assets,
representing 82% of its patent monetisation
portfolio (http://patents.intven.com/finder).
Analysing IV’s portfolio has now become
a tractable problem. This article examines
what is in the portfolio, what IV buys and
what IV did after the purchases.
After analysing the portfolio, we were
able to answer specific questions such as
the following:
•	When does 50% of the portfolio expire?
(2021)
•	What is the preferred priority date at
the time of IV’s purchases? (Between
eight and 14 years)
•	What percentage of IV’s portfolio are
continuations? (8%)
•	When did IV increase its litigation? (In
2011 and 2013)
We believe that companies can use
this knowledge to compare practices in
their own patent development and buying
programmes. We also believe that the
analysis can be used by companies to create
fact-based arguments for use in licensing
negotiations. Finally, the data suggests
that cross-licences, springing licences on
transfer to non-practising entities (NPEs)
and micro-pools may reduce the risk of
NPE assertions.
We kept our analysis targeted on
the facts presented in IV’s monetisation
portfolio and did not let it stray into
discussions about IV’s business model. We
used public information in the preparation
of this paper – IV was not consulted on the
data or the analysis.
IV was founded in 2000 with the stated
purpose of reducing patent risk for its
corporate investors and assisting companies
and individual inventors in monetising
its inventions. Since its founding, IV has
reportedly raised over $5.5 billion in capital,
a large portion of which has come from
corporate investors in the high-tech space,
such as Microsoft, Intel, Sony, Nokia, Apple,
Google, Yahoo, American Express, Adobe,
SAP, NVIDIA and eBay. Of note, Google did
not invest in IV’s second buying fund and it
has been reported that Apple and Intel are
not investing in IV’s third fund.
IV reports that it has spent about $2.3
billion buying and developing patents
through its patent purchasing programme
– the other $2.2 billion raised would have
been spent on operations and management
fees. The vast majority of IV’s revenue does
not come from making products or licensing
technology to enable the manufacture
of products comprising the inventions
captured in its patent portfolio. Rather, it
comes from licensing its portfolio to other
companies – IV is the quintessential NPE.
Which portfolio and what assumptions?
Figure 1 shows the relationship between
the 70,000 assets that IV reports it has
purchased or developed, IV’s current
40,000 asset monetisation portfolio and
the public list of 33,000 assets that IV
released in December 2013. To begin our
analysis, we first needed to understand what
www.iam-magazine.com20 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014
All eyes on IV
also affirmatively identified assignments to
IV’s holding companies. We used a mixture
of publicly available lists of shell companies
from Aaron Greenspan’s Plainsite and IP
Checkups, as well as our own analysis.
This process resulted in the identification
of about 17,000 US assets as part of IIF.
We were able to determine the relative
proportion of IIF to ISF and IDF within
the US monetisation portfolio. We then
scaled that portfolio back up to the entire
monetisation portfolio, compensating for
international assets within the portfolio.
Because of rounding, not all of the columns
in Figure 2 add up perfectly. Unless
otherwise noted, all analysis was done
using the identification and scaling method
described on the IIF assets.
For simplicity during the calculation of
expiration dates, we assumed 20 years of
life after the earliest priority date and did
not factor in term extensions or terminal
disclaimers. Additionally, as IV did not
list its expired assets, our data provides
a snapshot of the IV portfolio of live
assets as of December 2013. IV states that
70,000 patent assets have been bought
or developed – meaning that 30,000
assets are no longer in the monetisation
portfolio. Therefore, any per year analysis
reflects survivorship bias – only those
patents that are still alive are in IV’s public
monetisation portfolio. This survivorship
bias makes extrapolations about IV’s
buying activity in the early years more
difficult. Finally, IV published its list of
assets on December 13 2013 and, as such,
this list may not include assets purchased
beyond late 2013.
IV’s monetisation portfolio today
To begin our analysis, we examined the
current composition of assets in IV’s
monetisation portfolio. We considered
questions such as the following:
•	 When does the portfolio start to expire?
•	What does the international portfolio
look like?
•	 Which technologies are represented?
is in IV’s patent monetisation portfolio.
Put another way, how many of the 40,000
patent assets in IV’s current monetisation
portfolio should be allocated to its buying
activities, as opposed to its investment and
development activities?
Turning to Figure 2, IV’s monetisation
portfolio is spread across three different
fund categories. The Invention Investment
Funds (IIF 1 and IIF 2) primarily represent
IV’s purchased patent assets. For the
purposes of the analysis, we group IIF1
and IIF2 together as one fund, IIF. We have
also categorised patent assets to include
applications, pre-grant patent publications
and patents. IIF3 is currently being raised
and we believe that no IIF3 assets are
included in the public portfolio.
The Invention Science Fund (ISF)
contains patent assets that IV has
developed in-house. Finally, the Invention
Development Fund (IDF) contains patent
assets created through RD funded by
IV in exchange for the right to license
any resulting patent assets. Interestingly,
IDF assets tend to be university licensing
deals. These three fund groups make up
approximately 80%, 10% and 10% of
the monetisation portfolio respectively.
Although ISF and IDF are interesting in
their own right, for the purposes of our
analysis we chose to focus on IIF because
this is where IV spends the majority of
its time, money and effort. It is also the
portfolio that we believe poses the highest
potential infringement risk to other
companies.
To focus on IIF, we wanted to identify
the monetisation portfolio assets directly
attributable to the IIF portfolio. Referring
to Figure 2, we first started with IV’s public
list of 33,000 assets. We then identified
US assets in that list and removed any
duplicates. Focusing on US assets enabled
us to look at the current ownership and
history of ownership of the patents. Next
we removed assets assigned to laboratories
and universities (IDF) and to IV’s science
fund (ISF), a separately listed assignee. We
All of IV’s assets
• ~70K patents/apps
• Includes ~30K expired/sold
• Not public
IV’s current
monetisation portfolio
• ~40k patents/apps
• Not public
IV’s public list
monetisation portfolio
• ~33k patents/apps
• Publicly available
Figure 1. IV’s patent portfolio – what is
public and what is not
Figure 2. Filtering and scaling of IV’s public list
Fund Entire monetisation
portfolio
IV’s public list
monetisation
portfolio
US patents and pre-
grant publications
Assignment to IV
identified – IDF
removed
IIF US bought
portfolio – ISF
removed
IIF 1 and 2 (buying) 32.0K 25.8K 18.2K 17.4K 17.4K
ISF (in-house developed) 3.7K 3.7K 2.4K 2.4K 0K
IDF (university collaboration) ~4.3K ~3.5K 0.7K 0K 0K
Asset count (approx) 40K 33K 21.3K 19.8K 17.4K
Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 21www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
company’s perspective over time. For
example, seven years from now in 2021,
how many of IV’s patents would you need
to license? Similarly, if calculating a licence
fee for a capture licence, how many years
of revenue should be considered under the
licence and at what royalty levels?
International patents
Turning to the foreign asset profile of IIF,
we used the identified US patent assets
to locate the entire International Patent
Documentation Centre (INPADOC) family.
This methodology will overstate the size of
IV’s foreign IIF portfolio as a result of:
•	double counting – INPADOC counts a
patent publication and a patent grant as
two assets rather than a single asset; and
•	INPADOC listed assets having lapsed
before IV’s acquisition of the patents.
Nonetheless, this approach was used
because the IV-published lists could
not easily be used to analyse IIF directly
as opposed to ISF/IDF due to a lack of
international assignment data.
The data indicates that IIF has
approximately 10,000 foreign assets (Figure
4). Alternatively, looking at the foreign assets
and using the scaling-up approach described
in conjunction with Figure 2 results in a
number closer to 7,600 foreign assets for IIF.
Thus, our methodology provides an upper
boundary of the largest potential scope of
the foreign IIF portfolio. We believe that a
more detailed picture could be constructed
through cross-referencing the IV-provided
list with the INPADOC data to identify the
IIF-specific patents.
Overall, the international component
of IIF represents 31% of the portfolio and
demonstrates a large investment in US
patents with INPADOC families having
Japanese patents and publications, followed
by Patent Cooperation Treaty publications,
and European patents and publications.
The next largest international country is
Australia, which we find surprising given
the relatively small size of that market.
One possible rationale is that during IV’s
buying, Australia had a judicial system more
favourable to patent holders and NPEs.
Other than China, there were few assets
from the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia,
India, and China) in the portfolio.
The technologies
Figures 5 and 6 show the technology sectors
and fields that we were able to determine
from the US assets and the International
Patent Classification (IPC) codes. Specifically,
each patent is assigned one or more IPC code
by the European Patent Office. IPC codes are
What is the portfolio’s lifespan?
Like many of our clients, we are
interested in understanding when the IIF
patent portfolio expires. This lifespan
information is helpful in understanding
the long-term risks that a company faces
when negotiating with IV. By knowing
when the IV portfolio expires, a company
can modify its negotiating position. For
example, knowing the lifespan of the
portfolio points to the length of time
for which a licence may be required, and
informs what a licence today versus a
licence three years from now might need
to cover and the magnitude of exposure to
potential back damages.
Figure 3 shows that more than 50% of
the IIF patents will expire by 2021 and more
than 80% by 2024. When evaluating your
company’s exposure to IV’s portfolio, we
think it important to analyse your specific
technology area and assess it against the
expiration dates of the relevant portion of
the IIF portfolio. See below for more on the
portfolio’s technology distribution.
Figure 3 is generated from the scaled-
up set of calculated expiration dates. Even
though term extensions and terminal
disclaimers are not accounted for, we
believe that this is a good approximation for
the purposes of our analysis.
Bear in mind that Figure 3 represents
the surviving patents in IV’s IIF portfolio:
30,000 assets have already expired or
been transferred out of IIF. Looking at
the expiration years, we can imagine
that the left side of the graph would look
substantially different if we had data on all
of the assets ever held by IIF.
From a practical standpoint, consider
where the distribution of patent value
is from IV’s perspective versus your
(Scaled IIF N=32k)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
2010
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2029
2028
2030
2032
2031
0
Not public:
expired
patents
Figure 3. IIF assets by expiration year
www.iam-magazine.com22 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014
All eyes on IV
hierarchical codes that can be used to classify
patents based on different technologies to
which the patents relate. We focused on
the use of IPC codes because the World
Intellectual Property Office has standardised
a taxonomy of the tens of thousands of
IPC codes, using 754 unique IPC roots, into
five technology sectors which contain 35
technology fields (see Ulrich Schmoh, Concept
of a Technology Classification for Country
Comparison: Final Report to the WIPO, 2008).
We analysed the patents on a per sector and
per field basis, removing duplicates for a given
patent. For example, a patent with three IPC
codes might fall into electrical engineering/
audiovisual technology (two IPC codes) and
electrical engineering/basic communication
processes (one IPC code). For our analysis,
despite having three IPC codes, this patent
is treated as belonging to two distinct fields
and one distinct sector. Another patent may
belong to more than one sector. For this
reason, the graphs total more than 100%.
Starting at the sector level of the
taxonomy, as shown in Figure 5, the vast
majority of assets are, unsurprisingly,
focused in the electrical engineering sector.
This covers significant ground and includes
a mix of semiconductor, hardware and
computer software innovation. Additionally,
several fields of interest also lie within the
instruments sector. For this reason it was
helpful to consider the top fields across all
of the sectors as shown by Figure 6.
Figure 6 shows that high-tech
represents more than 80% of IVs portfolio
based on the corresponding technology
fields, with computer technology
representing over 40% of the portfolio.
This is unsurprising given the significant
technology backgrounds of IV’s founders,
the first corporate investors being high-tech
focused and the generally high number of
patents per product in high-tech fields. This
technology weighting is also consistent
with IV’s initial vision of reducing NPE risk
for its early corporate investors.
When we examine the high-tech
sectors in more detail, we see more
buying in software over hardware. From
discussions with past IV buyers, IV
specifically pursued higher-visibility
technology areas where infringement is
often more easily detected.
Admittedly, IPC codes have granularity
and classification limits for understanding
IV’s portfolio, but they form a useful
starting point for evaluating the impact of its
portfolio on the marketplace. For example, a
particular set of IPC codes relevant to one’s
business can be used to determine when
the patents associated with those IPC codes
Estimated foreign asset profile (monetised IIF N=10k)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
JP
W
O
EP
AU
DE
C
N
KR
C
A
G
B
AT
O
ther
TW
FI
FR
IL
ES
SE
BR
N
O
H
K
M
X
DK
0
% of assets appearing in sector (N=17441) (sum  100%)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Electrical
engineering
Mechanical
engineering
Chemistry Other fieldsInstruments
% of assets by field (N=17441) (sum  100%)
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Sem
iconductors
O
ptics
C
ontrol
Basic
com
m
unication
processesM
easurem
ent
C
om
putertechnology
Digitalcom
m
unication
Telecom
m
unications
Audio-visualtechnology
IT
m
ethods
form
anagem
ent
Electricalm
achinery,apparatus,energy
O
therfields
Not high tech
Figure 4. International assets in IIF
Figure 5. Assets by sector
Figure 6. IIF assets by technology field
Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 23www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
brokered open market transactions over
the last four years (18%). We find this
significant because the top-ranked results
are generally more interesting patents.
Survivorship bias may explain some of
IV’s distribution. Specifically, over time,
IV would have an incentive to eliminate
lower-ranked assets. However, even in 2012
and 2013 (averaging 28% in the highest
rank), IV appears to have bought more top-
ranked patents than the average for open
market buyers (18%).
One would expect that an organisation
focused on buying and developing patents
would have more higher-ranking patents.
We would also expect informed open
market buyers to make similar decisions.
However, it is clear that open market buying
is either less selective than IV or being
carried out using additional factors not
built into our ranking system.
Figure 8 shows IV’s rankings by purchase
year. Given survivorship bias in IV’s public
list of assets, we would expect to see patents
bought early on to have a higher ranking. We
see this in a few cases (eg, 2002), but there
does not appear to be a trend. It appears
that between 2004 and 2009, IV bought
patents using other factors, such as quantity
versus price. In 2010 there was a marked
improvement in the higher-ranking patents,
with nearly 50% of those patents falling into
the top rank. Assuming that these deals would
have been structured in late 2009, it appears
that IV took advantage of the economic
downturn and bought more interesting
assets in 2010. Between 2011 and 2013 the
numbers returned to historical percentages.
IV’s buying
Figure 9 shows IV’s acquisitions by year. We
determined an acquisition year for each IIF
US patent asset and then scaled up to the
broader IIF portfolio.
When we overlay the resulting portfolio
with the economic turmoil of 2008, we see
IV purchases stepping up substantially during
relatively bad economic times. Between
2008 and 2010, IV probably found a lot of
great deals. That said, it did pull back from
its 2008 high. In 2009 one of the authors
interviewed Don Merino, who was just
completing his term as head of acquisitions
for IV. Merino asked what the author thought
would happen if IV pulled back from buying.
It is certain that IV fuelled the growth of the
brokered patent market and IV’s reduced
spending had a significant impact on those
brokers. However as the authors’other papers
on the brokered patent market in IAM (eg,
“Good things in small packages: the brokered
patent market in 2013”, IAM 63, January/
will expire. Additionally, IPC codes that are
clearly outside of a particular technology area
of interest can eliminate a large number of
patents from deeper consideration.
We also believe that IPC code clustering
– common sets of IPC codes assigned to
one patent – might be beneficial as a further
analytical step. For example, looking at the
overlap of IPC code clusters relevant to one’s
business compared to those common within
the IV portfolio can allow a more refined
view of the overlap to be identified.
How do IV’s patents rank?
At the risk of igniting a patent quality
debate, we attempted to generate some
gauge of how IV’s portfolio might rank
against other portfolios so that one
might start to make overall quality/value
estimates. We use our own automated
ranking system, which focuses on the
patent’s structure, claims, remaining life
and citations (for more details see http://
richardsonoliver.com). This allows us to
determine which portion of any given
portfolio we should look to first for
potentially valuable patents. The ranking
is not an absolute determination of the
value or quality of the portfolio, but it is
helpful in pointing to where to look first.
Importantly, the ranking is done on a per
US patent basis, so excludes publications
and international patents.
So how did IV do? Unsurprisingly,
IV had a higher percentage of patents
in the top rank than we see in typical
portfolios – 28% of IV’s portfolio is
in the highest rank. We compared IV’s
purchases against our proprietary database
of over 1,000 open market brokered patent
deals. Figure 7 shows IV’s top-ranking
assets (28%) compared to the top-ranking
assets we have seen purchased (2,516) in
Distribution of ranks
(N=17441) (sum  100%)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
IV database
(17441)
Open market purchases
by others (2516)
H
M
L
Scaled asset rank by assignment year (monetised IIF N=32k)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
H
M
L
Figure 7. Comparison of IV rankings
versus other open market purchases
Figure 8. Ranking by purchase year
www.iam-magazine.com24 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014
All eyes on IV
chose the general shape of the histogram
in Figure 11, but chose a centre at around
10 years based on the 2012 and 2013 data.
Note that because of rounding, some
assets will show as having zero years of
remaining life.
February 2014) have shown, the market
remains robust and healthy independent of
IV’s buying activities.
More recently, we see a substantial
decrease in IV purchasing. Figure 9 shows
an aggressive pre-2013 buying pattern.
However, Figure 10 shows 2012 and 2013 in
detail with a remarkable fall-off in buying.
Excluding February 2013, IV bought only 564
patents in 2013. It seems reasonable from
this data to assume that 2013 represented
the end of purchasing for IIF2 and that IIF3
had not yet been funded – although it is
also possible that some purchases in late
2013 have not yet been listed by IV.
Remaining asset life
In Figures 11 and 12 we look at the remaining
asset life at the time of the assignment to
IV. This is one of the key characteristics that
our buyers consider when deciding whether
to buy assets. Note that survivorship bias
shifts Figure 11 to the right – suggesting that
the purchases had a longer life than they
did in actuality (the green line shows what
the expected curve shape would be without
the survivorship bias). We see a distinct
preference for assets with between eight
and 14 years of life remaining. By buying
assets of this kind, we see that IV practises
what we have found to be true and has also
been reported in academic papers – that
is, the value of a patent begins to show at
around 12 years of remaining life (eight years
from the priority date). Eight years after
filing, the technology has had a chance for
significant market adoption, has proven itself
as being compelling against alternatives and
is mature enough to stand a good chance of
withstanding a prior art challenge.
Figure 12 shows the distribution of asset
life remaining for patents purchased in 2013.
With an average of 10 years remaining, but
a distinct preference for between six and 12
years remaining, IV continues to practise
buying patents that have had a chance to
prove their value. Figure 12 also shows that
IV is willing to buy patents with a relatively
short remaining life. Closer analysis might
uncover deal-level linkages (eg, the shorter
remaining life patents came along as part of
a deal that got longer remaining life patents).
To calculate the scaled remaining asset
life, we used the calculated expiration date
of each asset in the US IIF asset computed
by adding 20 years to the earliest priority
date. We took the difference between that
date and the assignment date to IV. These
assets were then distributed by years of
life remaining and the distribution was
scaled up to the size of the IIF portfolio.
To estimate the shape of the green line, we
(IIF N=32K)
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013
30k expired/sold assets
Figure 9. Acquisitions by year
2012-2013 assets assigned by assignment month (monetised IIF)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
Jan-12Feb-12M
ar-12Apr-12M
ay-12Jun-12Jul-12Aug-12Sep-12O
ct-12N
ov-12Dec-12Jan-13Feb-13M
ar-13Apr-13M
ay-13Jun-13Jul-13Aug-13Sep-13
N
ov-13
O
ct-13
Dec-13
0
Figure 10. Acquisitions by month (2012-2013)
Scaled remaining asset life at IV assignment (monetised IIF N=32k)
3500
3000
2500
1500
2000
1000
500
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Figure 11. Remaining asset life at assignment to IV (green line shows estimated shape
of 70,000 assets)
Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 25www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
assets. If we further scaled up IIF to include
a proportional number of expired and sold
assets, we would expect $1.6 billion for 62,000
total IIF assets. However, if we were instead to
use the US patent data together with per US
patent price, we would estimate an IIF spend
of $2.6 billion for 62,000 IIF assets.
Our bottoms-up estimate – between
$1.6 billion and $2.6 billion – brackets
$2.1 billion in reported spend for IIF. The
$2.1 billion is derived from IV’s recent
presentation at the 2014 USC Gould
IP Institute. Specifically, IV presented
spending of $2.3 billion on 70,000 assets
with $110 million for ISF identified. We
estimated IDF spending as comparable to
ISF, based on a similarly sized portfolio,
thus: $2.3 billion – $0.2 billion = $2.1B.
One interesting aspect of IV’s purchasing
is that it appears that the 2011 purchases
were more cost effective, in that IV spent
substantially less money for a larger number
of assets. This conflicts with the authors’
intuitions that the 2008 downturn would
have provided the best opportunities to
obtain assets at a lower price.
Who were the sellers?
Since we see a lot of coverage in the press
about NPE activity and we hear many
companies complaining about IV’s practices,
we decided that it would be interesting to
look at who is selling patents to IV. Figure 14
shows the distribution of assets per assignor.
IV clearly buys many small lots of patents –
approximately 1,350 assignors have sold IV
fewer than 10 assets. However, these small
lots represent only 25% of IV’s total assets.
Approximately 100 companies represent 60%
of the asset sales to IV – with a surprising
list of the top 20 sellers of patents to IV:
1.	 Kodak
2.	 Digimarc
3.	 NXP
4.	 Raytheon
5.	 Mangachip
6.	 Telcordia
7.	 Transmeta
8.	 Spyder Navigations
9.	 Amex
10.	Polaroid
11.	 Cypress Semi
12.	 Daimler
13.	 France Telecom
14.	Primax Electronics
15.	 Conexant
16.	BAE
17.	 Sanyo
18.	 Nokia
19.	Bellsouth
20.	Entorian
IV spending by year
Based on the current portfolio, and
information presented by IV in 2011 about
IV’s per asset spending, we estimated how
much money IV had spent per year on the
current IIF monetisation portfolio. This
analysis excludes the 30,000 assets no
longer in the IIF monetisation portfolio.
We calculated IV’s spend using the
per asset purchase price listed in an IV
presentation by Merino for a Licensing
Executives Society meeting from 2011. Only
the per asset purchase price data from 2003
through 2010 was listed and we therefore
used the average of these annual prices for
the periods 2000-2002 and 2011-2013. We
first used the acquisitions per year analysis
above combined with the per year pricing
on both a per asset basis and a per US
patent basis to calculate the spend on the
32,000 IIF assets in monetisation.
Adding all the years together, we found
about $810 million of spend for 32,000
(Excludes continuations) (N=1514)
200
150
100
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 2017
Spend per year ($M) (monetised IIF N=32K)
180
140
80
40
160
100
120
60
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Figure 12. 2013 asset purchases, remaining life at time of purchase
Figure 13. Spending on assets in IIF
www.iam-magazine.com26 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014
All eyes on IV
on the size of the entire IIF portfolio. IV filed
65% of these reissues. By any measure, 386
reissued patents is a large number – a typical
portfolio may have only a few.
Figure 17 shows reissues by IV by filing
Looking at this list, we see a number of
companies in financial crisis or bankruptcy.
As a long-term strategy, it seems to us
that early cross-licences can prevent many
of the problems that companies later face
with NPEs which have acquired assets.
Along with industry practices of cross-
licensing, new models for reducing the
risk of NPEs are evolving. For example,
Google is promoting a ‘licence on transfer’,
where licensees receive a springing licence
when the patents transfer to an NPE. Other
options include Unified Patents Inc’s ‘sale
to an NPE’ option, which helps to keep
patents out of NPE hands. Other defensive
aggregators such as AST, OIN and RPX also
provide helpful strategies.
To calculate the frequency distribution
of the number of assets per assignor, we
looked at every assignment, found a list of
unique assignors and then counted the assets
assigned by each of these unique assignors.
What did IV do after the purchase?
We next turn to the analysis of how
IV managed the patents after they
were purchased. We look at IV’s patent
development work, as well as its litigation.
Continuations
Even when we look at issues around
survivorship bias, we see that IV files a large
number of continuations. Specifically, of the
17,000 asset in the IIF US-bought portfolio,
1,400 – or 8% – are continuations. Nearly
50% of those continuations are filed within
one year of the asset being bought.
Figure 15 shows when IV is most likely
to file continuations. Almost all of the
continuations are filed within four years of
purchase. Additionally, we looked at when
those continuations were filed relative to
the priority date, and a clear preference
exists from between four and 10 years (see
Figure 16). We believe that this further
illustrates IV’s preference for developing
patents of high value between eight and 12
years from the priority date.
Continuations can be difficult to
track. An asset was determined to be a
continuation if the USPTO application date
was later than the date of first assignment
record to a company we determined to be
IV. This definition also includes divisional
and continuation-in-part applications.
IV’s reissue practice – 5% to 8% of all US
reissue applications
IV has demonstrated a pronounced interest in
reissued patents. Figure 16 shows that IV has
386 reissued patents in its published list. We
have not scaled up the reissued patents based
2013 asset purchases, remaining life at purchase (excludes continuations) (N=1514)
1600
1400
1200
800
600
400
1000
200
0
Freq
100+
22
90-99
3
80-89
2
70-79
1
60-69
8
50-59
14
40-49
16
30-39
33
20-29
57
10-19
139
10
1348
~300 total companies
~75% of assets
~100 total companies
~60% of assets
~1350 individuals but only
25% of total assets
Figure 14. Frequency distribution of assets per assignor
(Years) (IIF N=1361)
450
300
200
100
350
400
250
150
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 212017
Figure 15. Time from purchase to continuation filing
(IIF N=1361)
250
200
150
100
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 2017
Figure 16. Years from priority date at IV continuation filing
Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 27www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
bought in litigation in, 56 separate patent
suits as of March 2014. Eleven of those
cases are in the name of one of IV’s holding
companies.
Figure 19 shows the number of US
patent litigations filed per year for the IIF
portfolio. With almost no litigation before
2010, one wonders whether IV decided
that litigation was the only way forward in
many negotiations. Notably, IV initiated 33
distinct lawsuits in 2013 – by far the largest
number to date.
We then looked at how often IV
purchased patents that had been litigated
and how quickly after the purchase IV
initiated litigation (Figure 20). We also
changed perspective from focusing on
the number of cases to the number and
identity of the specific patents in cases.
Figure 20 shows that IV bought many
patents that were in litigation or had been
recently litigated – 242 US patents had
been asserted before assignment to IV. The
majority of these patents had been litigated
in the five years prior to the assignment
to IV. One open question is whether these
purchases by IV reduced litigation risk from
these patents for their corporate investors.
Of the 352 patents in litigation after
the assignment to IV, there is a clear
preference for litigating immediately after
the assignment – 40% were litigated within
one year of assignment. There could be a
number of reasons for litigating so quickly
after assignment:
•	IV may have had an option on the patents;
•	There are a significant number of
litigated patents between three and nine
years from assignment; and
•	The early litigation may be a statistical
anomaly.
In order to determine the litigation
year. From 2005 to 2009 it appears that IV
included filing reissues after acquisitions
heavily in its buying strategy. This is
supported by our analysis showing that IV
filed 87% of its reissues within the first two
years of assignment – the implication being
that IV planned to file the reissue when IV
bought the patents.
It is unclear whether IV reduced filing
reissues beginning in 2010 or whether the
long pendency of reissues is affecting the
data from 2010 to 2012.
Figure 18 shows IV’s percentage of all
reissue grants in the United States. Between
2009 and 2012 IV represented anywhere
between 5% and 8% of all reissues in the
United States. By any metric, this is an
extraordinary percentage of reissues.
We determined a reissued patent to
be purchased by IV if the application date
for the reissue was before the date of
first assignment record to a company we
determined to be IV. If the assignment
to IV was before the application date, we
concluded that IV filed the reissuance. We
used the year of the application date for the
reissue as the year in which it was reissued
by IV. This allows insight into IV’s post-
purchase strategy without the data being
skewed by possible delays at the USPTO.
IV’s litigation
Although IV’s monetisation portfolio does
not tell us who the company has been
contacting to take licences, we can see with
whom it has been litigating. IV states that
it does not enter into litigation lightly and
only after terms cannot be reached with the
other party (see www.intellectualventures.
com/insights/tag/litigation/). We looked
at all the US patents in IIF to determine
that IV had either filed, or the patent been
Who reissued USRE* (N=386)
450%
400%
350%
300%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
IV
Before IV
(N=250)
70
60
40
20
50
30
10
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 16. Who filed the reissue? Figure 17. IV reissues by filing year
www.iam-magazine.com28 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014
All eyes on IV
(N=250)
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Figure 18. IV reissues by filing year
(N=17441)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
20012000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Other name
IV in name
Figure 19. Number of litigations filed by year
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Other name
IV in name
Not IV
Figure 20. Litigated patents - assignment date to litigation filing date (years)
history for IV, we started with the US
patents in IIF and searched for cases in
the Lex Machina database for litigation
involving these patents. The litigation filing
dates were then compared to our calculated
date of assignment to IV. IV filed cases
were then split into those in which IV was
a named party in the case and those in
which a holding company was named. For
any holding company, we also did a manual
review of the cases to ensure that the case
actually involved IV. Through the manual
review, we saw three instances of patent
assets that were assigned to IV, then sold to
another company, asserted by that company
and then sold back to IV.
Practices and preferences
IV’s release of its, to date, private patent
portfolio provides important insight into
how it has deployed $5.5 billion to buy and
develop patents.
The concentration of sellers in IV’s
portfolio struck us as significant because
some of that risk could have been avoided
by long-term planning. A few dozen
companies represented a large portion
of IV’s portfolio – many of those were
struggling or bankrupt. Combining cross-
licensing and springing licences could have
reduced the long-term NPE risk.
IV’s post-acquisition patent
development practices also suggest that
companies should consider increased use
of continuation and reissue practices as
tools to obtain patents with claims having
interesting scope.
The public list also gives companies
an opportunity to better assess their
exposure and risk from IV’s portfolio. The
standardised taxonomy can be analysed
against the company’s revenue sources and
the IV portfolio expiration dates to assess
the company’s exposure over time and by
IV patent portfolio: executive summary
Published assets	 33,000
Total size of IV portfolio	 40,000
Total size of monetised Invention Investment Fund (IIF) 32,000
Total size of monetised Invention Science Fund 3,700
Total size of monetised Invention Development Fund 4,300
Public monetised US IIF assets 18,200
Year at which 50% of IIF patents expire 2021
Percentage of assets in high-tech 80%
Average remaining life of asset at IV purchase 10 years
Average asset purchases per year 2008-2013 3,972
Average spend per year on purchases 2008-2013 $107 million
Highest spend in 2008 $154 million
Percentage of assets purchased from IV’s top 100 sellers (at least 30 assets) 60%
Percentage of assets for which IV filed continuations 8%
Reissued patent assets in published IV portfolio 386
IV’s percentage of total reissues granted by the US Patent and Trademark
Office 2008-2013
5%
Number of patents litigated by IV 352
Percentage of litigations filed within one year of assignment to IV 40%
Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 29www.iam-magazine.com
All eyes on IV
product segments. That in turn can inform
a company’s negotiations with IV.
The data reveals some of IV’s important
practices and preferences. From preferred
buying criteria to post-purchase patent
development to substantially increased
litigation, the data allows us to ask and
answer many questions, and we have had
a chance to present only a portion of our
analysis in this article. Areas for future
discussion include what is inside the ISF and
IDF portfolios, deeper international analysis
and deeper analysis of technology fields.
Kent Richardson and Erik Oliver are
partners at Richardson Oliver Law Group,
Los Altos, California
The authors gratefully acknowledge the
considerable efforts of Michael Costa,
intellectual asset analyst at the firm, to
organise the mounds of data needed to
write this paper
The publication of IV’s patent assets allows
companies to take a number of steps in
terms of avoiding disputes with the firm and
leveraging the services it offers, including
the following:
•	Reducing future NPE risks – enter into
cross-licences or licences that spring
when a transfer to an NPE occurs. Look
both within your space and in adjacent
and complementary market spaces.
Consider using springing licences
that focus on NPE risk (eg, licence on
transfer) as well. Defensive aggregators
such as AST, OIN, RPX and Unified
Patents can also help to reduce risk.
•	Patent buying – refine the buying
programme criteria to favour patents
between eight and 12 years from
the priority date and also favour the
availability of open continuations.
Post-acquisition, implement a patent
development plan for acquired assets.
•	Patent portfolio development – consider
increasing continuation practice (and
reissues) to a more substantial portion
of your portfolio (eg, more than 5%).
•	Analyse IV exposure – determine what
your initial exposure to IV looks like
and find out when that portion of the
portfolio expires.
Action plan A
We support
clients worldwide
to get the best
out of their
intellectual
property

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IV Patent Portfolio Analysis Reveals Expiration Trends

  • 1. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 19www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV By Kent Richardson and Erik Oliver At the end of last year, Intellectual Ventures launched a public database providing details of 33,000 patent assets that it currently owns and manages, allowing an in-depth analysis of its portfolio for the first time What’s inside IV’s patent portfolio? In December 2013 Intellectual Ventures (IV) took a step towards transparency by publicly listing about 33,000 of its patent assets, representing 82% of its patent monetisation portfolio (http://patents.intven.com/finder). Analysing IV’s portfolio has now become a tractable problem. This article examines what is in the portfolio, what IV buys and what IV did after the purchases. After analysing the portfolio, we were able to answer specific questions such as the following: • When does 50% of the portfolio expire? (2021) • What is the preferred priority date at the time of IV’s purchases? (Between eight and 14 years) • What percentage of IV’s portfolio are continuations? (8%) • When did IV increase its litigation? (In 2011 and 2013) We believe that companies can use this knowledge to compare practices in their own patent development and buying programmes. We also believe that the analysis can be used by companies to create fact-based arguments for use in licensing negotiations. Finally, the data suggests that cross-licences, springing licences on transfer to non-practising entities (NPEs) and micro-pools may reduce the risk of NPE assertions. We kept our analysis targeted on the facts presented in IV’s monetisation portfolio and did not let it stray into discussions about IV’s business model. We used public information in the preparation of this paper – IV was not consulted on the data or the analysis. IV was founded in 2000 with the stated purpose of reducing patent risk for its corporate investors and assisting companies and individual inventors in monetising its inventions. Since its founding, IV has reportedly raised over $5.5 billion in capital, a large portion of which has come from corporate investors in the high-tech space, such as Microsoft, Intel, Sony, Nokia, Apple, Google, Yahoo, American Express, Adobe, SAP, NVIDIA and eBay. Of note, Google did not invest in IV’s second buying fund and it has been reported that Apple and Intel are not investing in IV’s third fund. IV reports that it has spent about $2.3 billion buying and developing patents through its patent purchasing programme – the other $2.2 billion raised would have been spent on operations and management fees. The vast majority of IV’s revenue does not come from making products or licensing technology to enable the manufacture of products comprising the inventions captured in its patent portfolio. Rather, it comes from licensing its portfolio to other companies – IV is the quintessential NPE. Which portfolio and what assumptions? Figure 1 shows the relationship between the 70,000 assets that IV reports it has purchased or developed, IV’s current 40,000 asset monetisation portfolio and the public list of 33,000 assets that IV released in December 2013. To begin our analysis, we first needed to understand what
  • 2. www.iam-magazine.com20 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 All eyes on IV also affirmatively identified assignments to IV’s holding companies. We used a mixture of publicly available lists of shell companies from Aaron Greenspan’s Plainsite and IP Checkups, as well as our own analysis. This process resulted in the identification of about 17,000 US assets as part of IIF. We were able to determine the relative proportion of IIF to ISF and IDF within the US monetisation portfolio. We then scaled that portfolio back up to the entire monetisation portfolio, compensating for international assets within the portfolio. Because of rounding, not all of the columns in Figure 2 add up perfectly. Unless otherwise noted, all analysis was done using the identification and scaling method described on the IIF assets. For simplicity during the calculation of expiration dates, we assumed 20 years of life after the earliest priority date and did not factor in term extensions or terminal disclaimers. Additionally, as IV did not list its expired assets, our data provides a snapshot of the IV portfolio of live assets as of December 2013. IV states that 70,000 patent assets have been bought or developed – meaning that 30,000 assets are no longer in the monetisation portfolio. Therefore, any per year analysis reflects survivorship bias – only those patents that are still alive are in IV’s public monetisation portfolio. This survivorship bias makes extrapolations about IV’s buying activity in the early years more difficult. Finally, IV published its list of assets on December 13 2013 and, as such, this list may not include assets purchased beyond late 2013. IV’s monetisation portfolio today To begin our analysis, we examined the current composition of assets in IV’s monetisation portfolio. We considered questions such as the following: • When does the portfolio start to expire? • What does the international portfolio look like? • Which technologies are represented? is in IV’s patent monetisation portfolio. Put another way, how many of the 40,000 patent assets in IV’s current monetisation portfolio should be allocated to its buying activities, as opposed to its investment and development activities? Turning to Figure 2, IV’s monetisation portfolio is spread across three different fund categories. The Invention Investment Funds (IIF 1 and IIF 2) primarily represent IV’s purchased patent assets. For the purposes of the analysis, we group IIF1 and IIF2 together as one fund, IIF. We have also categorised patent assets to include applications, pre-grant patent publications and patents. IIF3 is currently being raised and we believe that no IIF3 assets are included in the public portfolio. The Invention Science Fund (ISF) contains patent assets that IV has developed in-house. Finally, the Invention Development Fund (IDF) contains patent assets created through RD funded by IV in exchange for the right to license any resulting patent assets. Interestingly, IDF assets tend to be university licensing deals. These three fund groups make up approximately 80%, 10% and 10% of the monetisation portfolio respectively. Although ISF and IDF are interesting in their own right, for the purposes of our analysis we chose to focus on IIF because this is where IV spends the majority of its time, money and effort. It is also the portfolio that we believe poses the highest potential infringement risk to other companies. To focus on IIF, we wanted to identify the monetisation portfolio assets directly attributable to the IIF portfolio. Referring to Figure 2, we first started with IV’s public list of 33,000 assets. We then identified US assets in that list and removed any duplicates. Focusing on US assets enabled us to look at the current ownership and history of ownership of the patents. Next we removed assets assigned to laboratories and universities (IDF) and to IV’s science fund (ISF), a separately listed assignee. We All of IV’s assets • ~70K patents/apps • Includes ~30K expired/sold • Not public IV’s current monetisation portfolio • ~40k patents/apps • Not public IV’s public list monetisation portfolio • ~33k patents/apps • Publicly available Figure 1. IV’s patent portfolio – what is public and what is not Figure 2. Filtering and scaling of IV’s public list Fund Entire monetisation portfolio IV’s public list monetisation portfolio US patents and pre- grant publications Assignment to IV identified – IDF removed IIF US bought portfolio – ISF removed IIF 1 and 2 (buying) 32.0K 25.8K 18.2K 17.4K 17.4K ISF (in-house developed) 3.7K 3.7K 2.4K 2.4K 0K IDF (university collaboration) ~4.3K ~3.5K 0.7K 0K 0K Asset count (approx) 40K 33K 21.3K 19.8K 17.4K
  • 3. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 21www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV company’s perspective over time. For example, seven years from now in 2021, how many of IV’s patents would you need to license? Similarly, if calculating a licence fee for a capture licence, how many years of revenue should be considered under the licence and at what royalty levels? International patents Turning to the foreign asset profile of IIF, we used the identified US patent assets to locate the entire International Patent Documentation Centre (INPADOC) family. This methodology will overstate the size of IV’s foreign IIF portfolio as a result of: • double counting – INPADOC counts a patent publication and a patent grant as two assets rather than a single asset; and • INPADOC listed assets having lapsed before IV’s acquisition of the patents. Nonetheless, this approach was used because the IV-published lists could not easily be used to analyse IIF directly as opposed to ISF/IDF due to a lack of international assignment data. The data indicates that IIF has approximately 10,000 foreign assets (Figure 4). Alternatively, looking at the foreign assets and using the scaling-up approach described in conjunction with Figure 2 results in a number closer to 7,600 foreign assets for IIF. Thus, our methodology provides an upper boundary of the largest potential scope of the foreign IIF portfolio. We believe that a more detailed picture could be constructed through cross-referencing the IV-provided list with the INPADOC data to identify the IIF-specific patents. Overall, the international component of IIF represents 31% of the portfolio and demonstrates a large investment in US patents with INPADOC families having Japanese patents and publications, followed by Patent Cooperation Treaty publications, and European patents and publications. The next largest international country is Australia, which we find surprising given the relatively small size of that market. One possible rationale is that during IV’s buying, Australia had a judicial system more favourable to patent holders and NPEs. Other than China, there were few assets from the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) in the portfolio. The technologies Figures 5 and 6 show the technology sectors and fields that we were able to determine from the US assets and the International Patent Classification (IPC) codes. Specifically, each patent is assigned one or more IPC code by the European Patent Office. IPC codes are What is the portfolio’s lifespan? Like many of our clients, we are interested in understanding when the IIF patent portfolio expires. This lifespan information is helpful in understanding the long-term risks that a company faces when negotiating with IV. By knowing when the IV portfolio expires, a company can modify its negotiating position. For example, knowing the lifespan of the portfolio points to the length of time for which a licence may be required, and informs what a licence today versus a licence three years from now might need to cover and the magnitude of exposure to potential back damages. Figure 3 shows that more than 50% of the IIF patents will expire by 2021 and more than 80% by 2024. When evaluating your company’s exposure to IV’s portfolio, we think it important to analyse your specific technology area and assess it against the expiration dates of the relevant portion of the IIF portfolio. See below for more on the portfolio’s technology distribution. Figure 3 is generated from the scaled- up set of calculated expiration dates. Even though term extensions and terminal disclaimers are not accounted for, we believe that this is a good approximation for the purposes of our analysis. Bear in mind that Figure 3 represents the surviving patents in IV’s IIF portfolio: 30,000 assets have already expired or been transferred out of IIF. Looking at the expiration years, we can imagine that the left side of the graph would look substantially different if we had data on all of the assets ever held by IIF. From a practical standpoint, consider where the distribution of patent value is from IV’s perspective versus your (Scaled IIF N=32k) 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 2028 2030 2032 2031 0 Not public: expired patents Figure 3. IIF assets by expiration year
  • 4. www.iam-magazine.com22 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 All eyes on IV hierarchical codes that can be used to classify patents based on different technologies to which the patents relate. We focused on the use of IPC codes because the World Intellectual Property Office has standardised a taxonomy of the tens of thousands of IPC codes, using 754 unique IPC roots, into five technology sectors which contain 35 technology fields (see Ulrich Schmoh, Concept of a Technology Classification for Country Comparison: Final Report to the WIPO, 2008). We analysed the patents on a per sector and per field basis, removing duplicates for a given patent. For example, a patent with three IPC codes might fall into electrical engineering/ audiovisual technology (two IPC codes) and electrical engineering/basic communication processes (one IPC code). For our analysis, despite having three IPC codes, this patent is treated as belonging to two distinct fields and one distinct sector. Another patent may belong to more than one sector. For this reason, the graphs total more than 100%. Starting at the sector level of the taxonomy, as shown in Figure 5, the vast majority of assets are, unsurprisingly, focused in the electrical engineering sector. This covers significant ground and includes a mix of semiconductor, hardware and computer software innovation. Additionally, several fields of interest also lie within the instruments sector. For this reason it was helpful to consider the top fields across all of the sectors as shown by Figure 6. Figure 6 shows that high-tech represents more than 80% of IVs portfolio based on the corresponding technology fields, with computer technology representing over 40% of the portfolio. This is unsurprising given the significant technology backgrounds of IV’s founders, the first corporate investors being high-tech focused and the generally high number of patents per product in high-tech fields. This technology weighting is also consistent with IV’s initial vision of reducing NPE risk for its early corporate investors. When we examine the high-tech sectors in more detail, we see more buying in software over hardware. From discussions with past IV buyers, IV specifically pursued higher-visibility technology areas where infringement is often more easily detected. Admittedly, IPC codes have granularity and classification limits for understanding IV’s portfolio, but they form a useful starting point for evaluating the impact of its portfolio on the marketplace. For example, a particular set of IPC codes relevant to one’s business can be used to determine when the patents associated with those IPC codes Estimated foreign asset profile (monetised IIF N=10k) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 JP W O EP AU DE C N KR C A G B AT O ther TW FI FR IL ES SE BR N O H K M X DK 0 % of assets appearing in sector (N=17441) (sum 100%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Electrical engineering Mechanical engineering Chemistry Other fieldsInstruments % of assets by field (N=17441) (sum 100%) 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Sem iconductors O ptics C ontrol Basic com m unication processesM easurem ent C om putertechnology Digitalcom m unication Telecom m unications Audio-visualtechnology IT m ethods form anagem ent Electricalm achinery,apparatus,energy O therfields Not high tech Figure 4. International assets in IIF Figure 5. Assets by sector Figure 6. IIF assets by technology field
  • 5. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 23www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV brokered open market transactions over the last four years (18%). We find this significant because the top-ranked results are generally more interesting patents. Survivorship bias may explain some of IV’s distribution. Specifically, over time, IV would have an incentive to eliminate lower-ranked assets. However, even in 2012 and 2013 (averaging 28% in the highest rank), IV appears to have bought more top- ranked patents than the average for open market buyers (18%). One would expect that an organisation focused on buying and developing patents would have more higher-ranking patents. We would also expect informed open market buyers to make similar decisions. However, it is clear that open market buying is either less selective than IV or being carried out using additional factors not built into our ranking system. Figure 8 shows IV’s rankings by purchase year. Given survivorship bias in IV’s public list of assets, we would expect to see patents bought early on to have a higher ranking. We see this in a few cases (eg, 2002), but there does not appear to be a trend. It appears that between 2004 and 2009, IV bought patents using other factors, such as quantity versus price. In 2010 there was a marked improvement in the higher-ranking patents, with nearly 50% of those patents falling into the top rank. Assuming that these deals would have been structured in late 2009, it appears that IV took advantage of the economic downturn and bought more interesting assets in 2010. Between 2011 and 2013 the numbers returned to historical percentages. IV’s buying Figure 9 shows IV’s acquisitions by year. We determined an acquisition year for each IIF US patent asset and then scaled up to the broader IIF portfolio. When we overlay the resulting portfolio with the economic turmoil of 2008, we see IV purchases stepping up substantially during relatively bad economic times. Between 2008 and 2010, IV probably found a lot of great deals. That said, it did pull back from its 2008 high. In 2009 one of the authors interviewed Don Merino, who was just completing his term as head of acquisitions for IV. Merino asked what the author thought would happen if IV pulled back from buying. It is certain that IV fuelled the growth of the brokered patent market and IV’s reduced spending had a significant impact on those brokers. However as the authors’other papers on the brokered patent market in IAM (eg, “Good things in small packages: the brokered patent market in 2013”, IAM 63, January/ will expire. Additionally, IPC codes that are clearly outside of a particular technology area of interest can eliminate a large number of patents from deeper consideration. We also believe that IPC code clustering – common sets of IPC codes assigned to one patent – might be beneficial as a further analytical step. For example, looking at the overlap of IPC code clusters relevant to one’s business compared to those common within the IV portfolio can allow a more refined view of the overlap to be identified. How do IV’s patents rank? At the risk of igniting a patent quality debate, we attempted to generate some gauge of how IV’s portfolio might rank against other portfolios so that one might start to make overall quality/value estimates. We use our own automated ranking system, which focuses on the patent’s structure, claims, remaining life and citations (for more details see http:// richardsonoliver.com). This allows us to determine which portion of any given portfolio we should look to first for potentially valuable patents. The ranking is not an absolute determination of the value or quality of the portfolio, but it is helpful in pointing to where to look first. Importantly, the ranking is done on a per US patent basis, so excludes publications and international patents. So how did IV do? Unsurprisingly, IV had a higher percentage of patents in the top rank than we see in typical portfolios – 28% of IV’s portfolio is in the highest rank. We compared IV’s purchases against our proprietary database of over 1,000 open market brokered patent deals. Figure 7 shows IV’s top-ranking assets (28%) compared to the top-ranking assets we have seen purchased (2,516) in Distribution of ranks (N=17441) (sum 100%) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% IV database (17441) Open market purchases by others (2516) H M L Scaled asset rank by assignment year (monetised IIF N=32k) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 H M L Figure 7. Comparison of IV rankings versus other open market purchases Figure 8. Ranking by purchase year
  • 6. www.iam-magazine.com24 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 All eyes on IV chose the general shape of the histogram in Figure 11, but chose a centre at around 10 years based on the 2012 and 2013 data. Note that because of rounding, some assets will show as having zero years of remaining life. February 2014) have shown, the market remains robust and healthy independent of IV’s buying activities. More recently, we see a substantial decrease in IV purchasing. Figure 9 shows an aggressive pre-2013 buying pattern. However, Figure 10 shows 2012 and 2013 in detail with a remarkable fall-off in buying. Excluding February 2013, IV bought only 564 patents in 2013. It seems reasonable from this data to assume that 2013 represented the end of purchasing for IIF2 and that IIF3 had not yet been funded – although it is also possible that some purchases in late 2013 have not yet been listed by IV. Remaining asset life In Figures 11 and 12 we look at the remaining asset life at the time of the assignment to IV. This is one of the key characteristics that our buyers consider when deciding whether to buy assets. Note that survivorship bias shifts Figure 11 to the right – suggesting that the purchases had a longer life than they did in actuality (the green line shows what the expected curve shape would be without the survivorship bias). We see a distinct preference for assets with between eight and 14 years of life remaining. By buying assets of this kind, we see that IV practises what we have found to be true and has also been reported in academic papers – that is, the value of a patent begins to show at around 12 years of remaining life (eight years from the priority date). Eight years after filing, the technology has had a chance for significant market adoption, has proven itself as being compelling against alternatives and is mature enough to stand a good chance of withstanding a prior art challenge. Figure 12 shows the distribution of asset life remaining for patents purchased in 2013. With an average of 10 years remaining, but a distinct preference for between six and 12 years remaining, IV continues to practise buying patents that have had a chance to prove their value. Figure 12 also shows that IV is willing to buy patents with a relatively short remaining life. Closer analysis might uncover deal-level linkages (eg, the shorter remaining life patents came along as part of a deal that got longer remaining life patents). To calculate the scaled remaining asset life, we used the calculated expiration date of each asset in the US IIF asset computed by adding 20 years to the earliest priority date. We took the difference between that date and the assignment date to IV. These assets were then distributed by years of life remaining and the distribution was scaled up to the size of the IIF portfolio. To estimate the shape of the green line, we (IIF N=32K) 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 30k expired/sold assets Figure 9. Acquisitions by year 2012-2013 assets assigned by assignment month (monetised IIF) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 Jan-12Feb-12M ar-12Apr-12M ay-12Jun-12Jul-12Aug-12Sep-12O ct-12N ov-12Dec-12Jan-13Feb-13M ar-13Apr-13M ay-13Jun-13Jul-13Aug-13Sep-13 N ov-13 O ct-13 Dec-13 0 Figure 10. Acquisitions by month (2012-2013) Scaled remaining asset life at IV assignment (monetised IIF N=32k) 3500 3000 2500 1500 2000 1000 500 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Figure 11. Remaining asset life at assignment to IV (green line shows estimated shape of 70,000 assets)
  • 7. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 25www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV assets. If we further scaled up IIF to include a proportional number of expired and sold assets, we would expect $1.6 billion for 62,000 total IIF assets. However, if we were instead to use the US patent data together with per US patent price, we would estimate an IIF spend of $2.6 billion for 62,000 IIF assets. Our bottoms-up estimate – between $1.6 billion and $2.6 billion – brackets $2.1 billion in reported spend for IIF. The $2.1 billion is derived from IV’s recent presentation at the 2014 USC Gould IP Institute. Specifically, IV presented spending of $2.3 billion on 70,000 assets with $110 million for ISF identified. We estimated IDF spending as comparable to ISF, based on a similarly sized portfolio, thus: $2.3 billion – $0.2 billion = $2.1B. One interesting aspect of IV’s purchasing is that it appears that the 2011 purchases were more cost effective, in that IV spent substantially less money for a larger number of assets. This conflicts with the authors’ intuitions that the 2008 downturn would have provided the best opportunities to obtain assets at a lower price. Who were the sellers? Since we see a lot of coverage in the press about NPE activity and we hear many companies complaining about IV’s practices, we decided that it would be interesting to look at who is selling patents to IV. Figure 14 shows the distribution of assets per assignor. IV clearly buys many small lots of patents – approximately 1,350 assignors have sold IV fewer than 10 assets. However, these small lots represent only 25% of IV’s total assets. Approximately 100 companies represent 60% of the asset sales to IV – with a surprising list of the top 20 sellers of patents to IV: 1. Kodak 2. Digimarc 3. NXP 4. Raytheon 5. Mangachip 6. Telcordia 7. Transmeta 8. Spyder Navigations 9. Amex 10. Polaroid 11. Cypress Semi 12. Daimler 13. France Telecom 14. Primax Electronics 15. Conexant 16. BAE 17. Sanyo 18. Nokia 19. Bellsouth 20. Entorian IV spending by year Based on the current portfolio, and information presented by IV in 2011 about IV’s per asset spending, we estimated how much money IV had spent per year on the current IIF monetisation portfolio. This analysis excludes the 30,000 assets no longer in the IIF monetisation portfolio. We calculated IV’s spend using the per asset purchase price listed in an IV presentation by Merino for a Licensing Executives Society meeting from 2011. Only the per asset purchase price data from 2003 through 2010 was listed and we therefore used the average of these annual prices for the periods 2000-2002 and 2011-2013. We first used the acquisitions per year analysis above combined with the per year pricing on both a per asset basis and a per US patent basis to calculate the spend on the 32,000 IIF assets in monetisation. Adding all the years together, we found about $810 million of spend for 32,000 (Excludes continuations) (N=1514) 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 2017 Spend per year ($M) (monetised IIF N=32K) 180 140 80 40 160 100 120 60 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Figure 12. 2013 asset purchases, remaining life at time of purchase Figure 13. Spending on assets in IIF
  • 8. www.iam-magazine.com26 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 All eyes on IV on the size of the entire IIF portfolio. IV filed 65% of these reissues. By any measure, 386 reissued patents is a large number – a typical portfolio may have only a few. Figure 17 shows reissues by IV by filing Looking at this list, we see a number of companies in financial crisis or bankruptcy. As a long-term strategy, it seems to us that early cross-licences can prevent many of the problems that companies later face with NPEs which have acquired assets. Along with industry practices of cross- licensing, new models for reducing the risk of NPEs are evolving. For example, Google is promoting a ‘licence on transfer’, where licensees receive a springing licence when the patents transfer to an NPE. Other options include Unified Patents Inc’s ‘sale to an NPE’ option, which helps to keep patents out of NPE hands. Other defensive aggregators such as AST, OIN and RPX also provide helpful strategies. To calculate the frequency distribution of the number of assets per assignor, we looked at every assignment, found a list of unique assignors and then counted the assets assigned by each of these unique assignors. What did IV do after the purchase? We next turn to the analysis of how IV managed the patents after they were purchased. We look at IV’s patent development work, as well as its litigation. Continuations Even when we look at issues around survivorship bias, we see that IV files a large number of continuations. Specifically, of the 17,000 asset in the IIF US-bought portfolio, 1,400 – or 8% – are continuations. Nearly 50% of those continuations are filed within one year of the asset being bought. Figure 15 shows when IV is most likely to file continuations. Almost all of the continuations are filed within four years of purchase. Additionally, we looked at when those continuations were filed relative to the priority date, and a clear preference exists from between four and 10 years (see Figure 16). We believe that this further illustrates IV’s preference for developing patents of high value between eight and 12 years from the priority date. Continuations can be difficult to track. An asset was determined to be a continuation if the USPTO application date was later than the date of first assignment record to a company we determined to be IV. This definition also includes divisional and continuation-in-part applications. IV’s reissue practice – 5% to 8% of all US reissue applications IV has demonstrated a pronounced interest in reissued patents. Figure 16 shows that IV has 386 reissued patents in its published list. We have not scaled up the reissued patents based 2013 asset purchases, remaining life at purchase (excludes continuations) (N=1514) 1600 1400 1200 800 600 400 1000 200 0 Freq 100+ 22 90-99 3 80-89 2 70-79 1 60-69 8 50-59 14 40-49 16 30-39 33 20-29 57 10-19 139 10 1348 ~300 total companies ~75% of assets ~100 total companies ~60% of assets ~1350 individuals but only 25% of total assets Figure 14. Frequency distribution of assets per assignor (Years) (IIF N=1361) 450 300 200 100 350 400 250 150 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 212017 Figure 15. Time from purchase to continuation filing (IIF N=1361) 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 2017 Figure 16. Years from priority date at IV continuation filing
  • 9. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 27www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV bought in litigation in, 56 separate patent suits as of March 2014. Eleven of those cases are in the name of one of IV’s holding companies. Figure 19 shows the number of US patent litigations filed per year for the IIF portfolio. With almost no litigation before 2010, one wonders whether IV decided that litigation was the only way forward in many negotiations. Notably, IV initiated 33 distinct lawsuits in 2013 – by far the largest number to date. We then looked at how often IV purchased patents that had been litigated and how quickly after the purchase IV initiated litigation (Figure 20). We also changed perspective from focusing on the number of cases to the number and identity of the specific patents in cases. Figure 20 shows that IV bought many patents that were in litigation or had been recently litigated – 242 US patents had been asserted before assignment to IV. The majority of these patents had been litigated in the five years prior to the assignment to IV. One open question is whether these purchases by IV reduced litigation risk from these patents for their corporate investors. Of the 352 patents in litigation after the assignment to IV, there is a clear preference for litigating immediately after the assignment – 40% were litigated within one year of assignment. There could be a number of reasons for litigating so quickly after assignment: • IV may have had an option on the patents; • There are a significant number of litigated patents between three and nine years from assignment; and • The early litigation may be a statistical anomaly. In order to determine the litigation year. From 2005 to 2009 it appears that IV included filing reissues after acquisitions heavily in its buying strategy. This is supported by our analysis showing that IV filed 87% of its reissues within the first two years of assignment – the implication being that IV planned to file the reissue when IV bought the patents. It is unclear whether IV reduced filing reissues beginning in 2010 or whether the long pendency of reissues is affecting the data from 2010 to 2012. Figure 18 shows IV’s percentage of all reissue grants in the United States. Between 2009 and 2012 IV represented anywhere between 5% and 8% of all reissues in the United States. By any metric, this is an extraordinary percentage of reissues. We determined a reissued patent to be purchased by IV if the application date for the reissue was before the date of first assignment record to a company we determined to be IV. If the assignment to IV was before the application date, we concluded that IV filed the reissuance. We used the year of the application date for the reissue as the year in which it was reissued by IV. This allows insight into IV’s post- purchase strategy without the data being skewed by possible delays at the USPTO. IV’s litigation Although IV’s monetisation portfolio does not tell us who the company has been contacting to take licences, we can see with whom it has been litigating. IV states that it does not enter into litigation lightly and only after terms cannot be reached with the other party (see www.intellectualventures. com/insights/tag/litigation/). We looked at all the US patents in IIF to determine that IV had either filed, or the patent been Who reissued USRE* (N=386) 450% 400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% IV Before IV (N=250) 70 60 40 20 50 30 10 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Figure 16. Who filed the reissue? Figure 17. IV reissues by filing year
  • 10. www.iam-magazine.com28 Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 All eyes on IV (N=250) 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Figure 18. IV reissues by filing year (N=17441) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20012000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Other name IV in name Figure 19. Number of litigations filed by year 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Other name IV in name Not IV Figure 20. Litigated patents - assignment date to litigation filing date (years) history for IV, we started with the US patents in IIF and searched for cases in the Lex Machina database for litigation involving these patents. The litigation filing dates were then compared to our calculated date of assignment to IV. IV filed cases were then split into those in which IV was a named party in the case and those in which a holding company was named. For any holding company, we also did a manual review of the cases to ensure that the case actually involved IV. Through the manual review, we saw three instances of patent assets that were assigned to IV, then sold to another company, asserted by that company and then sold back to IV. Practices and preferences IV’s release of its, to date, private patent portfolio provides important insight into how it has deployed $5.5 billion to buy and develop patents. The concentration of sellers in IV’s portfolio struck us as significant because some of that risk could have been avoided by long-term planning. A few dozen companies represented a large portion of IV’s portfolio – many of those were struggling or bankrupt. Combining cross- licensing and springing licences could have reduced the long-term NPE risk. IV’s post-acquisition patent development practices also suggest that companies should consider increased use of continuation and reissue practices as tools to obtain patents with claims having interesting scope. The public list also gives companies an opportunity to better assess their exposure and risk from IV’s portfolio. The standardised taxonomy can be analysed against the company’s revenue sources and the IV portfolio expiration dates to assess the company’s exposure over time and by IV patent portfolio: executive summary Published assets 33,000 Total size of IV portfolio 40,000 Total size of monetised Invention Investment Fund (IIF) 32,000 Total size of monetised Invention Science Fund 3,700 Total size of monetised Invention Development Fund 4,300 Public monetised US IIF assets 18,200 Year at which 50% of IIF patents expire 2021 Percentage of assets in high-tech 80% Average remaining life of asset at IV purchase 10 years Average asset purchases per year 2008-2013 3,972 Average spend per year on purchases 2008-2013 $107 million Highest spend in 2008 $154 million Percentage of assets purchased from IV’s top 100 sellers (at least 30 assets) 60% Percentage of assets for which IV filed continuations 8% Reissued patent assets in published IV portfolio 386 IV’s percentage of total reissues granted by the US Patent and Trademark Office 2008-2013 5% Number of patents litigated by IV 352 Percentage of litigations filed within one year of assignment to IV 40%
  • 11. Intellectual Asset Management July/August 2014 29www.iam-magazine.com All eyes on IV product segments. That in turn can inform a company’s negotiations with IV. The data reveals some of IV’s important practices and preferences. From preferred buying criteria to post-purchase patent development to substantially increased litigation, the data allows us to ask and answer many questions, and we have had a chance to present only a portion of our analysis in this article. Areas for future discussion include what is inside the ISF and IDF portfolios, deeper international analysis and deeper analysis of technology fields. Kent Richardson and Erik Oliver are partners at Richardson Oliver Law Group, Los Altos, California The authors gratefully acknowledge the considerable efforts of Michael Costa, intellectual asset analyst at the firm, to organise the mounds of data needed to write this paper The publication of IV’s patent assets allows companies to take a number of steps in terms of avoiding disputes with the firm and leveraging the services it offers, including the following: • Reducing future NPE risks – enter into cross-licences or licences that spring when a transfer to an NPE occurs. Look both within your space and in adjacent and complementary market spaces. Consider using springing licences that focus on NPE risk (eg, licence on transfer) as well. Defensive aggregators such as AST, OIN, RPX and Unified Patents can also help to reduce risk. • Patent buying – refine the buying programme criteria to favour patents between eight and 12 years from the priority date and also favour the availability of open continuations. Post-acquisition, implement a patent development plan for acquired assets. • Patent portfolio development – consider increasing continuation practice (and reissues) to a more substantial portion of your portfolio (eg, more than 5%). • Analyse IV exposure – determine what your initial exposure to IV looks like and find out when that portion of the portfolio expires. Action plan A We support clients worldwide to get the best out of their intellectual property