1. Inside an economic turbulence – the way down or up? How large are the chances to live in the future in a de-globalized world. . . or is the New World Order approaching?

2. 4 world communication revolutions: 1st - Human speech: some 1-2 million years ago? 2nd- Writing: some 7 thousand years ago (Egypt) 3rd - Typographic method of printing books: Gutenberg / Fedorov – some 400-500 yeas ago 4th - Electronic transfer of data: radio – Morse /Popov, TV, PC (Apple, IBM), web, mobile phone etc. – starting from 1880th

4. Former (1990 th – 2000 th ) forecasts The assumed growth rates (2006), by decade, in per capita income were : 2007-2020 : 3.5% 2020-2030 : 3.5-4.0% 2030-2040 : 4.0-5.0% 2040-2050 : 5.0-6.0% Economic Growth is Exponential and Accelerating, v2.0

5. Nowadays vision The actual percent change outcome for world GDP growth from the IMF's April, 2009 World Economic Outlook . Contrast the outcome with former figure. In 2009 the worst case (in the 90% confidence interval) is a -1.4% percent change in 2010. In other words, the baseline forecast reflects official optimism, but the world economy could shrink again in 2010 in the worst case.

6. European and US real GDP 2001-2010

7. Why has it happened? Too high consumption, too small savings

8. What is in SEE and CIS (e.g. Checz Republic, Poland, Russia, Ukraine)

9. Baltic states as per Den Danske bank

10. Russian GDP index 1995-2009 The national games “To put oligarch on his knees” and “To work using obsolete equipment”

11. 6 months 2009 OECD outlook (1)

12. 6 months 2009 OECD outlook (2)

14. Australian export a share of GDP

15. The world trend is a decrease of a share of industry in GDP. This is the approach of the 20 th century.

16. US consumes and borrows more and produces less

17. Industrial production compared with the same month of 2005

18. ONLY 2 per cent of transactions in the world take place with real goods