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GOOD TIMES, BAD TIMES
OVERVIEW2
 History American economy
 The Bretton Woods system
 Financial Crisis
 Recession
 IMF
 Current situation
 Latest news
 Conclusion
 Sources
HISTORY
 1944: Bretton Woods agreement
 Debtor countries
 Solution:
 Eliminate imbalances
 Creditor & debtor
 PROBLEMS! The world's biggest debtor nation?
 2007: Financial crisis
3
HISTORY:
SERIOUS GLOBAL DOWNTURN
4
HISTORY
 2008-2009: Recession
 The theory:
 Debtor
 Creditor
 IMF = International Monetary Fund
 Raison
 Imports and exports back into balance
5
CURRENT SITUATION
 The downside of the system
 Little traction?
 “go nuclear”
 Impose trade barriers
 Fear:
 High unemployment
 Crippled housing market
 Social & political headache
6
CURRENT SITUATION
 Revaluation of the Yuan
 Magic bullet?
 US manufacturing base
 Difficulty?
 Private sector
 Government
7
LATEST NEWS
 So what happens now?
 China
 A medium-term plan
 A five- or 10-year period
 During the meeting of the IMF (October):
 More balanced pattern of global growth
 Recognising the responsibilities of surplus
 Deficit countries
8
LATEST NEWS
 After the meeting of the IMF
 Closer to pushing the nuclear button
 Jobs figures  fragility of the economy
 Meeting  impotence of the multilateral system
 US house prices
 Consumer confidence
9
CONCLUSION
 Uncertain
 Housing market
 IMF
Towards an economy that can handle the future!
10
THANK YOU FOR WATCHING
THIS SLIDECAST!
SOURCES
 Guardian
 http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/oct/11/imf
-talks-currency-wars
 BBC news
 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-11598053
 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-11628871
12

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