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New Product Pacesetters:
Driving Lasting Disruptive
Innovation
LARRY LEVIN
Executive Vice President of
Mid-Market Industry Insights, IRI
Larry Levin has spent his entire career in market research, leading
engagements for many of the world’s largest manufacturers and
retailers. Larry joined IRI in February 2010 and was promoted to his
new role as executive vice president of Mid-Market Industry Insights in
2013.
UNLOCKING THE SWEET
SMELL OF SUCCESS
Larry Levin
EVP, Industry Insights
April 28, 2015
7 Reasons New Items Fail
+80%
Underperform
“3 of 4 Start-ups Fail and 90% Never Earn
Their “Projected Return”
Source: Elevation Forum Insights
Types of Innovation
BIG
I
“Doing the Work” “Challenge Norms”
Little
I
Is
a Peanut Butter Pop-Tart an
Innovation?
Why
Products Fail
7 Deadly Sins
Forecast
Assortment
Incremental
Languish
Unclear
Retread
Elusive
“Is Your Team Open for Review?”
Forecast
No reality
Blocked by retailers
Don’t spend; don’t know
Underwhelming acceptance
You got scooped!
Assortment
Underserved shoppers
No reinvention
Competition delivers
differentiation
Incremental
Me-too
Starves imagination to motivate
Languish
No disruption
Literally “spoils” on the shelf
Inconsequential, Nothing new
Nothing special, replaceable
Unclear
No differentiating point
Lacks simplicity
Prove it will “make my life better”
Retreads
Been there/done that!
Same product/so what?
It’s the same product, but it’s not!
Elusive
Out of site; out of mind!
No distribution; no motivation
Doesn’t serve multiple needs
MANUFACTURERS & RETAILERS
ARE BALANCING EMERGING
TRENDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
& ACROSS THE AISLES
SEARCH FOR
VALUE
MANUFACTURERS & RETAILERS
ARE BALANCING EMERGING
TRENDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
& ACROSS THE AISLES
CHANNEL
SHIFTING
GROCERY
MANUFACTURERS & RETAILERS
ARE BALANCING EMERGING
TRENDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
& ACROSS THE AISLES
CHANNEL
SHIFTING
GROCERY
VALUE
MANUFACTURERS & RETAILERS
ARE BALANCING EMERGING
TRENDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
& ACROSS THE AISLES
SHOPPER-
CENTRIC
TARGETING &
ACTIVATION
The Ultimate Personalization!
Will…
You…
Still…
Love Me Tomorrow?…
NEW PRODUCT
INNOVATION
28
New Product Innovations Are
Only A Quarter Of New Launches,
But More Than A Third Of Revenue
29
Research has
helped find the
failures before
they’re disasters
Even
products
that test
well can fail
In Concept it
may sound great,
but the product
doesn’t deliver
The product
is great and
is not well
positioned
Understand how
long you can
own a niche in
the market
Don’t Drive
Blindly:
Test Your Ideas
To Verify Their
Stickiness!
From concept to reality!
Category review;
what’s worked &
why
Concept
developed and
refinement
First stage
forecasting
Product testing &
concept/product
fit
Forecasting
refinement
In-market testing
Final forecast
From the launch forward!
Plan evaluation
Source of
Volume
New Trier
Interviews
Media
evaluation
Pricing &
merchandising
refinement
Planning for
year two
SKU
rationalization
Media &
Merchandising
Planning
The appetite for new products remains strong…
80%
Of self-proclaimed early adopters want to try
new products because they
Love them and want to tell the
world
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES:
DAUNTING AT BEST
ROUGHLY
1 MILLION UPCs
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES:
DAUNTING AT BEST
ROUGHLY
1 MILLION UPCs
300,000
NEW UPCs
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES:
DAUNTING AT BEST
ROUGHLY
1 MILLION UPCs
300,000
NEW UPCs
NEARLY
1,900 BRAND NEW
PRODUCTS
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES:
DAUNTING AT BEST
ROUGHLY
1 MILLION UPCs
300,000
NEW UPCs
NEARLY
1,900 BRAND NEW
PRODUCTS
LESS THAN
500 HIT
$10 MILLION
NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES:
DAUNTING AT BEST
ROUGHLY
1 MILLION UPCs
300,000
NEW UPCs
NEARLY
1,900 BRAND NEW
PRODUCTS
LESS THAN
500 HIT
$10 MILLION
7
SCORE MORE
THAN $100
MILLION
New CPG Product Launch
by Sector
53%47%
Non-Food
Food &
Beverage
Innovation is slowing
% Change in # of New
CPG Product Introductions
Brand Level
3.0%
2012 2013 2014
-4.2% -4.6%
39
INNOVATION THAT WORKS
DELIVERS ON 3 KEY TRENDS
SIMPLICITY
WELLNESS
INNOVATION THAT WORKS
DELIVERS ON 3 KEY TRENDS
EXPLORATION
SIMPLICITY MAKES LIFE
MORE MANAGABLE
MAKE IT
FAST
MAKE IT
EASY
DON’T
MAKE ME
SLOW
DOWN!
EXCITEMENT MAKES LIFE
MORE FUN & TAKES ME AWAY!
BRING
ME THE
UNEXPECTED
STIMULATE
…OR
SOOTH MY
SENSES
LET ME
CUSTOMIZE
IT
WELLNESS PROMOTES LIFE
TO THE FULLEST
RAISE
THE BAR
ON
WELLNESS
MAKE IT
LAST
INTRODUCE
NEW WAYS
TO BE
HEALTHY
$35.6 $33.3
$30.0
$33.6
Food & Beverage Non-Food
Average Year One Sales
New Product Pacesetters
2014 ($M)
Brand extensions are most prevalent
Extension
Net New
New Brands vs. Brand Extensions
% New Product Pacesetters
Food & Beverage, Non-Food Combined
Innovators big & small are making a mark
Nature’s
Pillows, Inc.
NACP
37% 37%
41% 38%
8% 14%
6%
6%
5% 3%
4% 4%
1 2
$100> Million
$80-$99 Million
$60-$79 Million
$40-$59 Million
$20-$39 Million
<$20 Million
2013 2014
Realistic Year One Expectations are Critical
NEW PRODUCT PACESETTER YEAR-ONE SALES
Powerful launches are hitting it big
DESPITE MARKET CHALLENGES
F&B
Non-F&B
On average, this year’s NPPs
earned $34.4 M in year one
F&B earned higher year one
than non-F&B during
the past few years
Average Number of Benefits/Year (2009-2014)
Food & Beverage Non-Food
2009 20092014 2014
+32% +45%
CPGs ARE responding to consumer demands…
…AND THE BENEFITS ARE EXPLODING
New or Extended Brand, or Existing Brand
in a New Category
30% Distribution Starts the Clock on Year 1
Top 100 Brand Launches in
Food & Beverage and Non-Food
New Products that Completed
their First Year
in Calendar Year 2014
secrets to accelerating along the path to growth
IRI’S NEW PRODUCT PACESETTERS REVEAL GROWTH CRITERIA
extended
xxx
$143.2
xxx
$128.6
xxx
$120.9
xxx
$76.4
xxx
$75.1
xxx
$69.4
xxx
$90.2
xxx
$86.5
xxx
$83.2
xxx
$82.9
Food & beverage:
excite and enliven
xxx
$238.9
xxx
$220.6
xxx
$159.9
xxx
$70.2
xxx
$55.4
xxx
$48.3
xxx
$156.0
xxx
$120.7
xxx
$90.0
xxx
$72.6
C-store:
every indulgence
+5.4%
+8.4%
+5.1%
+5.5%
High innovation sectors are SEEING strong growth
Food Sector
Growth: +4.7%
+10.2%
+9.0%
Beverage Sector
Growth: +4.1%
HEALTHY
IS A 360
$4.6 BILLION
BOOSTNUTRITIONAL VALUE
& TRIM BACK
LESS DESIRABLE
ATTRIBUTESACROSS FOOD AND
BEVERAGE AISLES
Fiber/Multi-Grain
Natural/Organic
Real Fruit/ Benefits
Vitamins/Calcium
Real Vegetables/ Benefits
42%
39%
36%
22%
14%
% Pacesetters Offering More
BOOSTNUTRITIONAL VALUE
& TRIM BACK
LESS DESIRABLE
ATTRIBUTESACROSS FOOD AND
BEVERAGE AISLES
Sugar/Calories
Fat
Smart Snack/Portion
Weight Management
Ingredients
57%
23%
23%
11%
7%
% Pacesetters Offering Less
IT’S NOT
GREEK TO
ME…
IT’S GREEK
EVERYWHERE
!
WILL YOU STILL LOVE ME
TOMORROW?
PROTECT THE 2ND YEAR
BEING A PACESETTER DOESN’T INSURE
LONG TERM SUCCESS…
76%
Decreased Media in Year 2
4%
New Products
Achieve $20MM in US Food and Maintain ACV in Year 2
71%
Sales Increased
29%
Sales Decreased
24%
Maint/Increased Media in Year 2
36%
Sales Increased
64%
Sales Decreased
Support in Year Two Drives Disproportionate Success, while unsupported
products truly had trouble finding their way
Maintained ACV: Year 2 ACV +/- 10% Year 1 ACV
Maintained Media: Year 2 media spend was greater than -5% Year 1
media spend
of top 2013
NPP brands
experienced
year 2 sales
GROWTH
Year 2 growth is doable, but requires work
25% of top 2013 NPPs did not hit $100M until year 2
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
WINNING
IN THE FUTURE:
SHOPPER
TARGETING IS
MORE CRITICAL
THAN EVER
WINNING
IN THE FUTURE:
NICHE
INNOVATION
TO DRIVE
PRODUCT
DEVELOPMENT
WINNING
IN THE FUTURE:
FOLLOWING THE
CONTINUED
“GREEK CRUSADE”
FOR ALL THINGS
GREEK
WINNING
IN THE FUTURE:
SUCCESSFUL
INNOVATION IS
DAUNTING
LONGER TERM
SUPPORT IS A
MUST FOR
SUCCESS
WINNING
IN THE FUTURE:
DRIVING TOWARD
VALUE CHANNELS
THAT STRETCH
DOLLARS AND
DELIVER
QUALITY
THANK
YOU
Coming
up next
LARRY LEVIN
New Product Pacesetters:
Driving Lasting Disruptive
Innovation
Engaging Strategic Thinking
When Navigating Trends
larry.levin@iriworldwide.com
818-450-7614

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