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Seamus Sullivan 
(BKD)
The Company 
Recommendation: Buy 
Price Target - $53.00 
Current Price 
$35.40 
52-week range 
$35.54 – $24.42 
Shares outstanding 
125MM 
Market Cap 
$4,428MM 
P/E (2015) 
42.0x 
EV/EBITDA (2015) 
12.8x
•Company overview 
•Investment thesis & Drivers 
•Catalysts 
•Risks 
•Price Target and range 
•Summary 
•Appendix 
–IS, BS, CFS, WACC 
Presentation Overview
Company Profile 
•Founded 1978 
•Headquarters: Union, New Jersey 
•CEO: Steven H. Temares 
•Operates 1,496 stores in all 50 states 
•58,000 employees 
•Sector: Retail Home & Other 
Brookdale Senior Living communities have provided exceptional senior living since 1978. Today, Brookdale Senior Living Inc. is the nation’s largest owner and operator of senior living communities throughout the United States and a leading national provider of senior-related services. It owns and operates senior living communities in the United States and operates in six segments: 
•Retirement Centers 
•Assisted Living 
•CCRC – Rental 
•CCRCs – Fee 
•Ancillary Services 
The Retirement Centers segment owns or leases communities comprising independent living and assisted living units in a single community that are primarily designed for middle to upper income senior citizens. The Assisted Living segment owns or leases communities consisting of freestanding, multi-story communities, and freestanding single story communities, which offer housing and 24-hour assistance with activities of daily life to mid-acuity frail and elderly residents. This segment also operates memory care communities for residents with Alzheimer's disease and other dementias. The CCRCs-Rental segment owns or leases communities that offer various living arrangements and services to accommodate various levels of physical ability and health. The CCRCs-Entry Fee segment allows residents in the independent living apartment units to pay a one-time upfront entrance fee to use certain amenities and services. The Brookdale Ancillary Services segment provides outpatient therapy, home health, and hospice services to residents of its communities, as well as to other senior living communities. The Management Services segment operates communities under the management agreements.
Investment Thesis 
•Merger Synergies 
–Cost savings 
–Revenue growth 
•Industry Leader 
•Strong Sustained Growth in Customer Demographic 
•Differentiator – Continuum of Care 
•Durable Competitive Advantage 
•Occupancy Growth 
–Program Max 2.0 
•Moderate Capacity Growth 
•Resilient Pricing Power 
•Some of the Parts (SOTP)
Merger Synergies 
•Overhead cuts 
•Operating leverage G&A consolidation 
–Reduction in operating expenses by $45MM annually 
•Greater purchasing power 
Cost Savings 
•Expanding BKDs ancillary services 
•REIT HCP purchase options 
–$160 (~$.90 per share of incremental EV) if exercised 
•EF CCRC new revenue drivers 
•Program Max 2.0 
–Every $100MM CapEx spent on ESC facilities should yield $.04 to $.05 of incremental CFFO 
Revenue 
Management guided CFFO per share accretion of $.50 by year three
Merger Synergies
Industry Leader 
Source: ALFA and Senior Living Executive – March/April 2014 
BKD Business Mix by Property Type 
ESC Business Mix by Property Type 
BKD-ESC Combined Portfolio – Units by Type
Strong Sustained Customer Growth 
•Seniors are living longer and need care for longer periods of time 
•Children & grandchildren are increasingly unable to provide necessary care do to two-worker households 
•75+ of age is the fastest growing demographic 
•Little to no exposure to Medicaid cuts 
•Seniors are highly exposed to interest rate income 
Secular tail-winds in a favorable pricing power environment
Differentiator – Continuum of Care 
BKD is the only national player in the Sector
Durable Competitive Advantage 
•Nonresidential construction costs have been increasing 
•With the combination of BKD and ESC scale, it will be hard for builders to come into the market and match price as well as services 
–“the costs or the rent that the new developer needs to charge to justify the development risk that he or she has undertaken, generally speaking, is going to he higher than our rent, which ultimately gives us an opportunity to updraft our rent”1 
•Time to get something out of the ground for new competitions, get it entitled, licensed, and opened takes at least 2 years and for larger communities three plus years 
•Establishment of a strong brand name in senior care living will also grow the moat 
1: 2014-06-05 BKD Jefferies Global Health Care Conference
Occupancy Growth 
Stabilized Occupancy: Based on Top 31 MSAs (“Primary Markets”) 
Model Occupancy Assumptions 
Retirement CentersFY 2009FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2013FY 2014EFY 2015EFY 2016EFY 2017EOccupancy rate (weighted average)87.2%87.2%88.0%89.1%89.8%90.1%90.9%91.3%91.8% Average monthly revenue per unit$3,358$3,445$3,163$3,263$3,381$3,523$3,629$3,747$3,869YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit4.0%2.6%N/A3.2%3.6%4.2%3.0%3.3%3.3% Assisted LivingOccupancy rate (weighted average)86.8%88.4%88.2%88.9%89.7%90.2%90.9%91.3%91.8% Average monthly revenue per unit$4,401$4,573$4,275$4,390$4,510$4,625$4,763$4,918$5,078YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit17.7%3.9%N/A2.7%2.7%2.5%3.0%3.3%3.2% CCRCs - CombinedOccupancy rate (weighted average)85.1%84.3%84.8%85.1%85.6%86.0%86.2%86.4%86.6% Average monthly revenue per unit$5,168$5,517$5,838$5,323$5,411$5,514$5,620$5,760$5,904YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit8.6%6.8%N/A-8.8%1.7%1.9%1.9%2.5%2.5% Management ServicesOccupancy rate (weighted average)84.2%83.8%84.5%84.5%85.4%86.7%87.2%87.6%88.3% Average monthly revenue per unit$3,577$3,663$3,611$3,382$3,512$3,667$3,770$3,883$4,000YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit3.6%2.4%-1.4%-6.3%3.9%4.4%2.8%3.0%3.0%
Moderate Capacity Growth 
Annual Inventory and Absorption Growth: Based on Top 31 MSAs 
Not all new inventory is directly competing with BKD existing and new locations 
Source: NIC MAP® Data and Analysis Service
Resilient Pricing Power 
Annual Rent Growth: Based on Top 31 MSAs (“Primary Markets”) 
•BKD has had average rate growth in the low to mid 3%. However, as their marketing/branding campaign begins to take affect I believe rate growth could increase further 
Source: NIC MAP® Data and Analysis Service
SOTP Proforma 2015 Analysis 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $44 $33 $24 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include 
bargin purchase options 1,871,888 1,871,888 1,871,888 
Entry Fee Amortization (1,971) (1,971) (1,971) 
Expenses 1,272,884 1,272,884 1,272,884 
Facility Operating Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 
Gross Property NOI 597,033 597,033 597,033 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -93,594 -93,594 -93,594 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 503,439 503,439 503,439 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,153,432 8,055,020 7,191,982 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 9,245,932 8,132,915 7,259,255 
Gross Value Per Share $53.46 $47.03 $41.97 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 267,649 235,430 210,139 
Net R/E Per Share 31.72 25.28 20.23 
Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow 
Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,650,501 2,650,501 2,650,501 
Expenses 1,802,341 1,802,341 1,802,341 
Op Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 
NOI leased assets 848,160 848,160 848,160 
Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl 
rents on cap leases (400,292) (400,292) (400,292) 
Less G&A allocation (132,525) (132,525) (132,525) 
GAAP EF amortization - - - 
Net Cash EF - - - 
EBITDA 315,343 315,343 315,343 
EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 
Value Per Share $20.06 $17.32 $14.59 
PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 
PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.93 $0.87 $0.81 
PV/sh (at beg of 2015) of rent reduction 
in 2016 and 2017 $0.50 $0.32 $0.24 
Ancillary Business Value 
NOI 82,090 82,090 82,090 
Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 
Value Per Share 4.27 3.56 2.85 
Management Business 
(assumes real estate / opco split) 
Management Fee Revenue 161,853 161,853 161,853 
Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 
Net Management Income 56,649 48,556 40,463 
Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 
Value Per Share 2.29 1.68 1.17 
Construction in Progress 
Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 
Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 
Tangible Assets 
Cash - - 
Current Assets, incl cash 525,667 525,667 525,667 
Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 
Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 
Subtotal Assets $1,146,012 $1,146,012 $1,146,012 
Liabilities 
Mortgage Debt 3,760,391 3,760,391 3,760,391 
Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 
Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 
Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 
Deferred Lease Liability 
Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 
Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,665,830 $7,665,830 $7,665,830 
NAV Balance Sheet ($37.70) ($37.70) ($37.70) 
Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 172,945 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $44 $33 $24 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include 
bargin purchase options 1,871,888 1,871,888 1,871,888 
Entry Fee Amortization (1,971) (1,971) (1,971) 
Expenses 1,272,884 1,272,884 1,272,884 
Facility Operating Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 
Gross Property NOI 597,033 597,033 597,033 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -93,594 -93,594 -93,594 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 503,439 503,439 503,439 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,153,432 8,055,020 7,191,982 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 9,245,932 8,132,915 7,259,255 
Gross Value Per Share $53.46 $47.03 $41.97 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 267,649 235,430 210,139 
Net R/E Per Share 31.72 25.28 20.23 
$38.46 $28.91 $20.98 
Discounted back 1.75yrs, 8%
SOTP Proforma 2016 Analysis 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $56 $44 $34 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin 
purchase options 1,962,791 1,962,791 1,962,791 
Entry Fee Amortization (2,192) (2,192) (2,192) 
Expenses 1,315,070 1,315,070 1,315,070 
Facility Operating Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% 
Gross Property NOI 645,529 645,529 645,529 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -98,140 -98,140 -98,140 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 547,389 547,389 547,389 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,952,531 8,758,227 7,819,846 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,045,031 8,836,122 7,887,118 
Gross Value Per Share $57.50 $50.58 $45.15 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 290,781 255,786 228,314 
Net R/E Per Share 37.85 30.93 25.50 
Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow 
Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,779,214 2,779,214 2,779,214 
Expenses 1,862,073 1,862,073 1,862,073 
Op Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% 
NOI leased assets 917,141 917,141 917,141 
Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl rents on 
cap leases (404,902) (404,902) (404,902) 
Less G&A allocation (138,961) (138,961) (138,961) 
GAAP EF amortization - - - 
Net Cash EF - - - 
EBITDA 373,277 373,277 373,277 
EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 
Value Per Share $23.51 $20.30 $17.09 
PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 
PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.92 $0.86 $0.80 
PV/sh of rent reduction in 2016 and 2017 
(calculation below) $0.56 $0.34 $0.25 
Ancillary Business Value 
NOI 89,540 89,540 89,540 
Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 
Value Per Share 4.61 3.84 3.08 
Management Business 
(assumes real estate / opco split) 
Management Fee Revenue 166,398 166,398 166,398 
Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 
Net Management Income 58,239 49,920 41,600 
Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 
Value Per Share 2.33 1.71 1.19 
Construction in Progress 
Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 
Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 
Tangible Assets 
Cash - - - 
Current Assets, incl cash 881,550 881,550 881,550 
Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 
Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 
Subtotal Assets $1,501,895 $1,501,895 $1,501,895 
Liabilities 
Mortgage Debt, assumes 2016 cash flow 
repays debt 3,432,394 3,432,394 3,432,394 
Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 
Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 
Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 
Deferred Lease Liability 
Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 
Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,337,833 $7,337,833 $7,337,833 
NAV Balance Sheet ($33.41) ($33.41) ($33.41) 
Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 174,685 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $56 $44 $34 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin 
purchase options 1,962,791 1,962,791 1,962,791 
Entry Fee Amortization (2,192) (2,192) (2,192) 
Expenses 1,315,070 1,315,070 1,315,070 
Facility Operating Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% 
Gross Property NOI 645,529 645,529 645,529 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -98,140 -98,140 -98,140 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 547,389 547,389 547,389 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,952,531 8,758,227 7,819,846 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,045,031 8,836,122 7,887,118 
Gross Value Per Share $57.50 $50.58 $45.15 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 290,781 255,786 228,314 
Net R/E Per Share 37.85 30.93 25.50 
$45.32 $35.61 $27.51 
Discounted back 2.75yrs, 8%
SOTP Proforma 2017 Analysis 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $69 $49 $38 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin 
purchase options 2,062,651 2,062,651 2,062,651 
Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) 
Expenses 1,361,349 1,361,349 1,361,349 
Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% 
Gross Property NOI 698,888 698,888 698,888 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -103,133 -103,133 -103,133 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 595,755 595,755 595,755 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 10,831,918 9,532,087 8,510,792 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,924,418 9,609,982 8,578,065 
Gross Value Per Share $61.92 $54.47 $48.62 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 316,237 278,187 248,316 
Net R/E Per Share 44.37 36.92 31.07 
Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow 
Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,920,611 2,920,611 2,920,611 
Expenses 1,927,603 1,927,603 1,927,603 
Op Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% 
NOI leased assets 993,008 993,008 993,008 
Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl rents 
on cap leases (407,318) (407,318) (407,318) 
Less G&A allocation (146,031) (146,031) (146,031) 
GAAP EF amortization - - - 
Net Cash EF - - - 
EBITDA 439,659 439,659 439,659 
EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 
Value Per Share $27.41 $23.67 $19.94 
PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 
PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.91 $0.85 $0.79 
PV/sh of rent reduction in 2016 and 2017 
(calculation below) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 
Ancillary Business Value 
NOI 95,693 95,693 95,693 
Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 
Value Per Share 4.88 4.07 3.25 
Management Business 
(assumes real estate / opco split) 
Management Fee Revenue 175,207 175,207 175,207 
Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 
Net Management Income 61,323 52,562 43,802 
Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 
Value Per Share 2.43 1.79 1.24 
Construction in Progress 
Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 
Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 
Tangible Assets 
Cash - - - 
Current Assets, incl cash 1,270,998 882 882 
Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 
Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 
Subtotal Assets $1,891,343 $621,227 $621,227 
Liabilities 
Mortgage Debt, assumes 2016 and 2017 
cash flow repay debt 3,095,721 3,095,721 3,095,721 
Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 
Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 
Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 
Deferred Lease Liability 
Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 
Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,001,160 $7,001,160 $7,001,160 
NAV Balance Sheet ($28.96) ($36.16) ($36.16) 
Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 176,425 
HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $69 $49 $38 
Value of Owned Properties 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin 
purchase options 2,062,651 2,062,651 2,062,651 
Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) 
Expenses 1,361,349 1,361,349 1,361,349 
Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% 
Gross Property NOI 698,888 698,888 698,888 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -103,133 -103,133 -103,133 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 595,755 595,755 595,755 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 10,831,918 9,532,087 8,510,792 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,924,418 9,609,982 8,578,065 
Gross Value Per Share $61.92 $54.47 $48.62 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 316,237 278,187 248,316 
Net R/E Per Share 44.37 36.92 31.07 
$51.40 $36.48 $28.24 
Discounted back 3.75yrs, 8%
SOTP Proforma 2018 Analysis 
Discounted back 4.75yrs, 8% 
Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $72 $52 $40 
Value of Owned Properties $53.92 $38.69 $30.20 
Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin 
purchase options 2,172,583 2,172,583 2,172,583 
Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) 
Expenses 1,433,905 1,433,905 1,433,905 
Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% 
Gross Property NOI 736,265 736,265 736,265 
Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 
Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -108,629 -108,629 -108,629 
Net Property NOI, pre-capex 627,636 627,636 627,636 
Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% 
Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 11,411,562 10,042,175 8,966,228 
Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 
Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% 
Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 
Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 11,504,062 10,120,070 9,033,500 
Gross Value Per Share $65.21 $57.36 $51.20 
Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 
Estimated Value Per Unit 333,017 292,953 261,500 
Net R/E Per Share 47.66 39.81 33.66 
$53.92 $38.69 $30.20
•Several bidders tends to result in a “winners curse” scenario 
Timeline of BKD-ESC deal 
Source: BKD-ESC S-4 filing 
BKD Paid Up For ESC
BofA ESC BKD CSU FVE Avg. Low High Low High 
2014E EV/EBITDA 11.8x 12.3x 15.2x NA 13.7x $14.75 $31.50 $24.50 $32.75 
2014E Price/adjusted CFFO 8.5x 10.9x 14.0x NA 12.4x $20.75 $27.00 $25.50 $33.00 
2014E Adj EV/GAAP EBITDAR 11.3x 11.6x 12.9x NA 12.2x $18.50 $41.75 $26.25 $38.25 
Cash EBITDA CAGR (2013E-2015) 17.9% 10.6% 21.1% NA 15.8% 
CSCA ESC BKD CSU FVE Avg. Low High Low High 
2014E EV/cash EBITDA 10.1x 13.1x 15.2x NA 13.0x 
9.5x 10.9x 14.0x NA 11.5x 
Average $22.21 $31.53 $22.05 $33.01 
BKD per share range 
ESC per share range BKD per share range 
ESC per share range 
Wells Fargo 
Avg. 
(ESC, BKD, 
CSU, FVE) 
Avg. 
(ESC selected 
comp only) 
Avg. 
(BKD selected 
comp only) Low High Low High 
2014E EV/EBITDAR 11.5x 11.6x 11.3x 
2014E EV/EBITDAR 11.8x 11.7x 11.4x 
2014E EV/cash EBITDA 10.7x 11.0x 10.1x 
2014E Price/CFFO 11.4x 12.6x 11.6x 
2015E EV/EBITDAR 10.9x 10.7x 10.9x 
2015E EV/EBITDAR 10.6x 10.2x 10.0x 
2015E EV/cash EBITDA 9.6x 9.7x 8.9x 
2015E Price/CFFO 10.2x 11.2x 10.2x 
Average $19.50 $27.00 $24.00 $28.75 
ESC per share range BKD per share range 
Moelis Low High Low High 
2013A EV adj EBITDA $21.80 $29.33 $26.97 $30.59 
2013A adj EV/adj EBITDAR $19.84 $30.17 $22.34 $27.71 
2013A Price/adj CFFO $20.94 $24.60 $26.57 $31.40 
2014A EV adj EBITDA $16.89 $25.11 $26.63 $30.70 
2014A adj EV/adj EBITDAR $16.43 $28.25 $21.92 $27.78 
2014A Price/adj CFFO 9.0x to 11.0x $20.20 $24.51 $24.27 $29.66 
13.0x to 14.0x 
12.0x to 13.0x 
11.0x to 13.0x 
11.5x to 12.5x 
11.0x to 12.0x 
ESC per share range BKD per share range 
Avg. 
(ESC, BKD, CSU, FVE) 
BKD Paid Up For ESC
Balance Sheet 
Brookdale - Debt Schedule - assumes debt maturity extensions, includes capital leases 
Per 1Q14 Supplement 
Mortgage Debt + Line Rate % debt Capital Lease Rate Total Debt Rate % debt 
2014 24,630 3.85% 1.1% 24,906 7.99% 49,536 5.9% 1.9% 
2015 28,176 4.09% 1.2% 34,491 8.08% 62,667 6.3% 2.4% 
2016 60,124 4.60% 2.6% 29,861 8.32% 89,985 5.8% 3.4% 
2017 359,729 5.30% 15.5% 61,256 8.15% 420,985 5.7% 16.1% 
2018 785,062 3.41% 33.9% 24,172 8.48% 809,234 3.6% 31.0% 
Thereafter 1,058,659 3.95% 45.7% 118,341 7.98% 1,177,000 4.4% 45.1% 
2,316,380 3.99% 100.0% 293,027 8.10% 2,609,407 4.5% 100.0% 
• ~40% of BKD debt is floating rate 
– Most is capped, some swapped 
Interest Coverage 
Memo Items: Interest expense $159.6 $149.9 $134.5 $209.2 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 
Capital expenditures 160.1 208.4 257.5 243.6 344.8 361.1 378.9 398.3 
EBIT / Interest expense 0.7x 0.7x 1.1x 1.1x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x 
EBITDA / Interest expense 2.3x 2.3x 3.1x 2.7x 2.4x 2.7x 2.9x 3.0x 
EBITDA - Capital expenditures / Interest expense 1.3x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x 2.0x 
Capitalization* 
Total debt $2,536.1 $2,758.4 $2,723.4 $6,674.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 
Total stockholders' equity 1,040.2 1,002.7 1,040.0 2,638.5 2,850.1 3,114.0 3,391.8 3,650.8 
Total capitalization 3,576.3 3,761.1 3,763.4 9,312.6 9,505.3 9,769.2 10,046.9 10,306.0 
Return on Invested Capital 3.0% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 
Brookdale – Debt Schedule – includes capital leases 
Leverage* 
Total debt / Total capitalization 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x 
Total debt / EBITDA 6.8x 7.8x 6.6x 12.0x 6.7x 6.0x 5.6x 5.5x 
*all recorded at book value
•Management synergy targets are on the conservative side and could exceed the guided $.50 
•Program Max 2.0 
–Longer time horizon but may produce better CFFO results than forecasted 
•Demand continues to outstrip supply 
•Brand awareness campaign yields better than expected results 
•Any hint that management may return to paying a dividend in the future 
Catalysts Adjusted EBITDA557.9991.71,101.01,186.31,208.9Less: Recurring capital expenditures, net(45.4)(72.0)(76.0)(80.0)(84.0) Less: Interest expense, net(209.2)(409.3)(409.3)(409.3)(409.3) Less: Lease financing debt amortization with fair market value or no purchase options(15.8)(15.8)(15.8)(15.8)(15.8) Less: Distributions from unconsolidated ventures from cumulative share of net earnings0.00.00.00.00.0Add: Cash from Facility Operations from unconsolidated ventures9.010.014.018.020.0Less: Other0.50.50.50.50.5Less taxes(2.4)8.9(28.6)(78.6)(96.5) Reported CFFO294.5514.0585.8621.1623.9Add: integration and transaction-related costs24.013.013.013.013.0Adjusted CFFO318.5527.0598.8634.1636.9Adjusted CFFO/share$2.33$3.05$3.43$3.63$3.65
• Integration of ESC 
– Potential cultural fit for the new ESC 
employees 
– Largest integration BKD has 
undertaken 
– ESC DOJ investigation 
Risks 
• Reduction in occupancy 
– Low in 2009 was 86.2% for BKD 
• Significant increase in new 
construction/capacity 
• Increased competition and 
reduction in pricing power 
• Significant rise in interest rates 
Supply-Demand in Top 10 Majority Assisted Living Markets 
vs. Senior Living Operators’ Share
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35 
40 
45 
50 
55 
60 
65 
70 
7/22/2010 
7/22/2011 
7/22/2012 
7/22/2013 
7/22/2014 
7/22/2015 
Stock Price 
BKD Risk Reward 
Close 
Price Target 
$65.00 (+86%) 
$25.00 (-28.0%) 
$53.00 (+51.4%)
Summary 
•Merger Synergies 
–Cost savings 
–Revenue growth 
•Industry Leader 
•Strong Sustained Growth in Customer Demographic 
•Differentiator – Continuum of Care 
•Durable Competitive Advantage 
•Occupancy Growth 
–Program Max 2.0 
•Moderate Capacity Growth 
•Resilient Pricing Power 
•Some of the Parts (SOTP)
Appendix
Income Statement Income Statement for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per share2013 - 2018Historical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,CAGR20112012201320142015201620172018Sales Retirement Centers$473.8$503.9$526.3$542.1$569.2$597.6$627.5$658.9 Assisted Living964.61,013.31,051.91,451.62,903.23,019.33,146.13,284.5 CCRCs -rental (combined with enry fee before Q1'2011)364.1385.5397.0416.8479.3498.5518.5539.2 CCRCs - entry fee283.5287.0297.8303.760.765.674.187.5 ISC and other Ancillary services205.8224.5242.2314.8510.0561.0617.1678.8Resident Fees2,291.82,414.32,515.03,029.04,522.44,742.04,983.35,248.915.9% Management Fees13.631.331.139.864.567.169.872.6Reimbursed Costs incured on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8442.6717.1745.8775.6806.618.5% Total Revenue$2,457.9$2,770.6$2,892.0$3,511.5$5,304.0$5,554.9$5,828.6$6,128.116.2% Cost of sales Retirement centers275.4298.3304.0309.0313.0328.1338.9355.1 Assisted Living624.7652.2662.2914.51,727.41,781.41,840.51,970.7 CCRCs - rental (combined with entry fee before Q1'2011)247.2279.4287.9302.2335.5344.0352.6361.3 CCRCs - entry fee213.5224.3221.4228.743.146.652.662.1 ISC & other ancillary services147.8176.7196.4258.1397.8415.1456.6502.3Facility operating expense1,508.61,630.91,671.92,012.52,816.92,915.13,041.13,251.5General & administrative expense148.3178.8184.5214.2291.7300.0308.9318.7Facility lease expense/Rent274.9284.0276.7305.5403.1422.2443.0465.7Depreciation & Amortization268.5252.3268.8328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9Asset Impairment16.927.712.90.00.00.00.00.0Loss (gain) on acquisition(2.0)0.60.00.00.00.00.00.0Costs incurred on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8421.4800.6816.6849.3883.312.0% Facility Lease termination expense0.0(11.6)0.00.00.00.00.00.0Other expenses0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Total operating expenses$2,367.7$2,687.8$2,760.7$3,282.4$4,746.7$4,908.9$5,119.7$5,421.114.4% Income from Operations90.282.8131.3229.1557.3646.0709.0707.0General & administrative expense148.3178.8184.5214.2291.7300.0308.9318.7Costs incurred on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8421.4800.6816.6849.3883.3EBITDAR648.5635.8689.7863.41,394.81,523.11,629.31,674.6Facility lease expense/Rent274.9284.0276.7305.5403.1422.2443.0465.7EBITDA373.6351.8412.9557.9991.71,101.01,186.31,208.924.0% Depreciation & Amortization268.5252.3268.8328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9EBIT 105.199.5144.2229.1557.3646.0709.0707.037.4% Interest expense (5)159.6149.9134.5209.2409.3409.3409.3409.3Interest (income)(3.5)(4.0)(1.3)(0.3)(0.7)(1.8)(2.7)(3.8) Pretax Income(65.8)(63.1)(1.8)20.2148.7238.5302.4301.5Income taxes (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)(2.3)(2.0)(1.8)2.4(8.9)28.678.696.5Net Income($68.1)($65.2)($3.6)$17.8$157.6$209.9$223.8$205.0Diluted weighted average shares (in millions)121.160121.991123.671136.945172.945174.685174.685174.6857.2% Earnings Per Share($0.56)($0.53)($0.03)$0.13$0.91$1.20$1.28$1.172014 Consensus EPS $.17
Income Statement Assumptions Ratios & AssumptionsSales growth rate12.7%4.4%21.4%51.0%4.7%4.9%5.1% Gross margin61.4%58.9%57.8%57.3%53.1%52.5%52.2%53.1% SG&A expenses (as a % of sales)6.0%6.5%6.4%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0% Other operating (income) / expense (amount)$648.5$635.8$689.7$863.4$1,394.8$1,523.1$1,629.3$1,674.6Effective tax rate3.5%3.2%96.1%12.0%(6.0%)12.0%26.0%32.0% Income statement ratios (as a % of reveune) Retirement Centers (as a % of retirement center revenue)58.1%59.2%57.8%57.0%55.0%54.9%54.0%53.9% Assisted Living (as a % of assisted living revenue)64.8%64.4%63.0%63.0%59.5%59.0%58.5%60.0% CCRCs - rental (as a % of CCRCs-rental revenue)67.9%72.5%72.5%72.5%70.0%69.0%68.0%67.0% CCRCs - entry fee (as a % of CCRCs-entyr fee revnue)75.3%78.1%74.3%75.3%71.0%71.0%71.0%71.0% ISC and other ancillary services (as a % of ISC - revenue)71.8%78.7%81.1%82.0%78.0%74.0%74.0%74.0% Facility operating expense (as % of revenue)61.4%58.9%57.8%57.3%53.1%52.5%52.2%53.1% General and admisistrative expense (as a % of revenue)6.0%6.5%6.4%6.1%5.5%5.4%5.3%5.2% Facility lease expense (as a % of revenue)11.2%10.3%9.6%8.7%7.6%7.6%7.6%7.6% Depreciation and amortization ( as % of reveune)10.9%9.1%9.3%9.4%8.2%8.2%8.2%8.2% (Provision) benefit for income taxes3.5%3.2%96.1%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5% Ratios (as a % of sales) Retirement Centers19.3%18.2%18.2%15.4%10.7%10.8%10.8%10.8% YOY Growth3.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0% Assisted Living39.2%36.6%36.4%41.3%54.7%54.4%54.0%53.6% YOY Growth38.0%100.0%4.0%4.2%4.4% CCRCs -rental (combined with enry fee before Q1'2011)14.8%13.9%13.7%11.9%9.0%9.0%8.9%8.8% YOY Growth5.0%15.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% CCRCs - entry fee11.5%10.4%10.3%8.6%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4% YOY Growth2.0%(80.0%)8.0%13.0%18.0% ISC and other Ancillary services8.4%8.1%8.4%9.0%9.6%10.1%10.6%11.1% YOY Growth30.0%62.0%10.0%10.0%10.0% Resident Fees93.2%87.1%87.0%86.3%85.3%85.4%85.5%85.7% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% Management Fees0.6%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% Reimbursed Costs incured on behalf of managed communities6.2%11.7%12.0%12.6%13.5%13.4%13.3%13.2% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Balance Sheet Balance Sheet for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareHistorical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,20112012201320142015201620172018Cash$76.7$112.3$96.7$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3Accounts receivables, net98.7100.4104.3136.6206.3216.0226.7238.3Inventories0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets105.496.393.987.8132.6138.9145.7153.2Total Current Assets:280.9309.0294.9274.3856.91,251.41,674.72,115.8PP&E, net3,694.13,880.03,895.59,309.69,220.09,126.19,027.68,924.0Ristricted cash & investments84.762.857.657.657.657.657.657.6Indefinite life intangibles0.00.00.08.524.630.331.614.9Goodwill263.7269.5268.3442.0442.0442.0442.0442.0Other long-term assets142.7144.7221.5221.5221.5221.5221.5221.5Total Assets:$4,466.1$4,666.0$4,737.8$10,313.6$10,822.6$11,128.8$11,455.0$11,775.9Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Accrued liabilities183.6200.9209.5221.4309.9320.7334.5357.7Other current liabilities7.76.55.20.0201.1229.4259.7291.4Refund. Entry Fees & Deferred Rev.327.8361.4388.4407.4407.4407.4407.4407.4Total Current Liabilities:573.3612.0668.9695.91,012.31,054.61,103.01,164.9Long-term debt deferred entry fee revenue72.579.086.919.00.00.00.00.0Long-term debt 2,463.62,679.42,636.66,655.16,655.16,655.16,655.16,655.1Other long-term liabilities316.4292.9305.5305.0305.0305.0305.0305.0Total Liabilities:3,425.93,663.33,697.87,675.07,972.58,014.88,063.28,125.0Total equity1,040.21,002.71,040.02,638.52,850.13,114.03,391.83,650.8Total Liabilities and Equity:$4,466.1$4,666.0$4,737.8$10,313.6$10,822.6$11,128.8$11,455.0$11,775.9Parity check (A = L+E)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash Flow Projected Cash Flow Statement for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareProjected Year Ending December 31,20142015201620172018Operating ActivitiesNet Income$17.8$157.6$209.9$223.8$205.0Stock-based compensation expense36.154.054.054.054.0Depreciation328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9Amortization0.00.00.00.00.0(Increase)/decrease in working capital56.3185.820.729.559.4(Increase)/decrease in other long-term assets and liabilities(174.1)0.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Operating Activities:264.9831.8739.5784.7820.3Investing ActivitiesCapital expenditures(243.6)(344.8)(361.1)(378.9)(398.3) Acquisition(4,018.6)0.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Investing Activities:(4,262.2)(344.8)(361.1)(378.9)(398.3) CASH FLOW AVAILABLE FOR FINANCING ACTIVITIES(3,997.4)487.0378.4405.8422.0Financing ActivitiesIssuance / (repayment) of revolver(67.9)(19.0)0.00.00.0Issuance of long-term debt4,018.60.00.00.00.0(Repayment) of long-term debt0.00.00.00.00.0Repurchase of equity0.00.00.00.00.0Dividends0.00.00.00.00.0Option proceeds0.00.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Financing Activities:3,950.7(19.0)0.00.00.0Net Change in Cash(46.7)468.1378.4405.8422.0Beginning cash balance96.750.0518.1896.51,302.3Ending cash balance$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3
NWC Working Capital Schedule for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareHistorical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,20112012201320142015201620172018Sales$2,457.9$2,770.6$2,892.0$3,511.5$5,304.0$5,554.9$5,828.6$6,128.1Cost of sales 1,508.61,630.91,671.92,012.52,816.92,915.13,041.13,251.5Working Capital BalancesAccounts receivables, net$98.7$100.4$104.3$136.6$206.3$216.0$226.7$238.3Inventories0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets105.496.393.987.8132.6138.9145.7153.2Total Non-Cash Current Assets:$204.1$196.7$198.2$224.3$338.9$354.9$372.4$391.5Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Accrued liabilities183.6200.9209.5221.4309.9320.7334.5357.7Other current liabilities335.5367.9393.6462.9647.9670.5699.5747.8Total Non-Debt Current Liabilities:$573.3$612.0$668.9$751.3$1,051.6$1,088.3$1,135.4$1,213.9NET WORKING CAPITAL / (DEFICIT)($369.2)($415.3)($470.7)($527.0)($712.8)($733.4)($763.0)($822.4) (Increase)/Decrease in Working Capital$46.1$55.5$56.3$185.8$20.7$29.5$59.4Ratios and AssumptionsNumbers of days in the period360 cell is named "Days" Accounts receivables, net (collection period in days)14.513.013.014.014.014.014.014.0Inventories (days outstanding)0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets (as % of sales)4.3%3.5%3.2%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5% Accounts payable (days outstanding)12.99.514.212.012.012.012.012.0Accrued liabilities (as % of cost of sales)12.2%12.3%12.5%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0% Other current liabilities (as % of cost of sales)22.2%22.6%23.5%23.0%23.0%23.0%23.0%23.0%
Brookdale Senior Living Inc 
Dollars in millions, except per share 
Historical Year Ending December 31, Projected Year Ending December 31, 2013 - 2018 
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR 
Profitability Ratios 
Sales $2,457.9 $2,770.6 $2,892.0 $3,511.5 $5,304.0 $5,554.9 $5,828.6 $6,128.1 16.2% 
% growth 12.7% 4.4% 21.4% 51.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 
Gross profit $949.3 $1,139.6 $1,220.0 $1,499.0 $2,487.1 $2,639.7 $2,787.5 $2,876.5 18.7% 
% margin 38.6% 41.1% 42.2% 42.7% 46.9% 47.5% 47.8% 46.9% 
EBITDA $373.6 $351.8 $412.9 $557.9 $991.7 $1,101.0 $1,186.3 $1,208.9 24.0% 
% margin 15.2% 12.7% 14.3% 15.9% 18.7% 19.8% 20.4% 19.7% 
% growth (5.8%) 17.4% 35.1% 77.8% 11.0% 7.8% 1.9% 
EBIT $105.1 $99.5 $144.2 $229.1 $557.3 $646.0 $709.0 $707.0 37.4% 
% margin 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 10.5% 11.6% 12.2% 11.5% 
% growth (5.3%) 44.9% 58.9% 143.3% 15.9% 9.7% (0.3%) 
Net income ($68.1) ($65.2) ($3.6) $17.8 $157.6 $209.9 $223.8 $205.0 #NUM! 
% margin (2.8%) (2.4%) (0.1%) 0.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.3% 
% growth (4.4%) (94.5%) (596.4%) 785.9% 33.2% 6.6% (8.4%) 
Interest Coverage 
Memo Items: Interest expense $159.6 $149.9 $134.5 $209.2 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 
Capital expenditures 160.1 208.4 257.5 243.6 344.8 361.1 378.9 398.3 
EBIT / Interest expense 0.7x 0.7x 1.1x 1.1x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x 
EBITDA / Interest expense 2.3x 2.3x 3.1x 2.7x 2.4x 2.7x 2.9x 3.0x 
EBITDA - Capital expenditures / Interest expense 1.3x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x 2.0x 
Capitalization* 
Total debt $2,536.1 $2,758.4 $2,723.4 $6,674.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 
Total stockholders' equity 1,040.2 1,002.7 1,040.0 2,638.5 2,850.1 3,114.0 3,391.8 3,650.8 
Total capitalization 3,576.3 3,761.1 3,763.4 9,312.6 9,505.3 9,769.2 10,046.9 10,306.0 
Return on Invested Capital 3.0% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 
Profitability Ratio & Interest Coverage
Liquidity & DuPont Analysis 
LiquidityMemo Items:Cash$76.7$112.3$96.7$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3Accounts receivable98.7100.4104.3136.6206.3216.0226.7238.3Quick assets175.4212.7201.0186.6724.31,112.51,529.01,962.6Inventory$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0Current assets280.9309.0294.9274.3856.91,251.41,674.72,115.8PP&E, net$3,694.1$3,880.0$3,895.5$9,309.6$9,220.0$9,126.1$9,027.6$8,924.0Total assets4,466.14,666.04,737.810,313.610,822.611,128.811,455.011,775.9Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Current liabilities573.3612.0668.9695.91,012.31,054.61,103.01,164.9Working capital($292.4)($302.9)($374.0)($421.6)($155.4)$196.7$571.7$951.0Current ratio0.5x0.5x0.4x0.4x0.8x1.2x1.5x1.8xQuick ratio0.3x0.3x0.3x0.3x0.7x1.1x1.4x1.7xActivityAccounts receivable (collection period)14.513.013.014.014.014.014.014.0Inventories (days outstanding)0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Accounts payable (days outstanding)12.99.514.212.012.012.012.012.0Net fixed asset turnover0.7x0.7x0.7x0.4x0.6x0.6x0.6x0.7xAsset turnover0.6x0.6x0.6x0.3x0.5x0.5x0.5x0.5xDuPont AnalysisReturn on sales(2.8%)(2.4%)(0.1%)0.5%3.0%3.8%3.8%3.3% Asset turnover0.6x0.6x0.6x0.3x0.5x0.5x0.5x0.5xAsset leverage4.3x4.7x4.6x3.9x3.8x3.6x3.4x3.2xReturn on equity(6.6%)(6.5%)(0.3%)0.7%5.5%6.7%6.6%5.6%

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BKD presentation 7 21-2014 2

  • 2. The Company Recommendation: Buy Price Target - $53.00 Current Price $35.40 52-week range $35.54 – $24.42 Shares outstanding 125MM Market Cap $4,428MM P/E (2015) 42.0x EV/EBITDA (2015) 12.8x
  • 3. •Company overview •Investment thesis & Drivers •Catalysts •Risks •Price Target and range •Summary •Appendix –IS, BS, CFS, WACC Presentation Overview
  • 4. Company Profile •Founded 1978 •Headquarters: Union, New Jersey •CEO: Steven H. Temares •Operates 1,496 stores in all 50 states •58,000 employees •Sector: Retail Home & Other Brookdale Senior Living communities have provided exceptional senior living since 1978. Today, Brookdale Senior Living Inc. is the nation’s largest owner and operator of senior living communities throughout the United States and a leading national provider of senior-related services. It owns and operates senior living communities in the United States and operates in six segments: •Retirement Centers •Assisted Living •CCRC – Rental •CCRCs – Fee •Ancillary Services The Retirement Centers segment owns or leases communities comprising independent living and assisted living units in a single community that are primarily designed for middle to upper income senior citizens. The Assisted Living segment owns or leases communities consisting of freestanding, multi-story communities, and freestanding single story communities, which offer housing and 24-hour assistance with activities of daily life to mid-acuity frail and elderly residents. This segment also operates memory care communities for residents with Alzheimer's disease and other dementias. The CCRCs-Rental segment owns or leases communities that offer various living arrangements and services to accommodate various levels of physical ability and health. The CCRCs-Entry Fee segment allows residents in the independent living apartment units to pay a one-time upfront entrance fee to use certain amenities and services. The Brookdale Ancillary Services segment provides outpatient therapy, home health, and hospice services to residents of its communities, as well as to other senior living communities. The Management Services segment operates communities under the management agreements.
  • 5. Investment Thesis •Merger Synergies –Cost savings –Revenue growth •Industry Leader •Strong Sustained Growth in Customer Demographic •Differentiator – Continuum of Care •Durable Competitive Advantage •Occupancy Growth –Program Max 2.0 •Moderate Capacity Growth •Resilient Pricing Power •Some of the Parts (SOTP)
  • 6. Merger Synergies •Overhead cuts •Operating leverage G&A consolidation –Reduction in operating expenses by $45MM annually •Greater purchasing power Cost Savings •Expanding BKDs ancillary services •REIT HCP purchase options –$160 (~$.90 per share of incremental EV) if exercised •EF CCRC new revenue drivers •Program Max 2.0 –Every $100MM CapEx spent on ESC facilities should yield $.04 to $.05 of incremental CFFO Revenue Management guided CFFO per share accretion of $.50 by year three
  • 8. Industry Leader Source: ALFA and Senior Living Executive – March/April 2014 BKD Business Mix by Property Type ESC Business Mix by Property Type BKD-ESC Combined Portfolio – Units by Type
  • 9. Strong Sustained Customer Growth •Seniors are living longer and need care for longer periods of time •Children & grandchildren are increasingly unable to provide necessary care do to two-worker households •75+ of age is the fastest growing demographic •Little to no exposure to Medicaid cuts •Seniors are highly exposed to interest rate income Secular tail-winds in a favorable pricing power environment
  • 10. Differentiator – Continuum of Care BKD is the only national player in the Sector
  • 11. Durable Competitive Advantage •Nonresidential construction costs have been increasing •With the combination of BKD and ESC scale, it will be hard for builders to come into the market and match price as well as services –“the costs or the rent that the new developer needs to charge to justify the development risk that he or she has undertaken, generally speaking, is going to he higher than our rent, which ultimately gives us an opportunity to updraft our rent”1 •Time to get something out of the ground for new competitions, get it entitled, licensed, and opened takes at least 2 years and for larger communities three plus years •Establishment of a strong brand name in senior care living will also grow the moat 1: 2014-06-05 BKD Jefferies Global Health Care Conference
  • 12. Occupancy Growth Stabilized Occupancy: Based on Top 31 MSAs (“Primary Markets”) Model Occupancy Assumptions Retirement CentersFY 2009FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2013FY 2014EFY 2015EFY 2016EFY 2017EOccupancy rate (weighted average)87.2%87.2%88.0%89.1%89.8%90.1%90.9%91.3%91.8% Average monthly revenue per unit$3,358$3,445$3,163$3,263$3,381$3,523$3,629$3,747$3,869YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit4.0%2.6%N/A3.2%3.6%4.2%3.0%3.3%3.3% Assisted LivingOccupancy rate (weighted average)86.8%88.4%88.2%88.9%89.7%90.2%90.9%91.3%91.8% Average monthly revenue per unit$4,401$4,573$4,275$4,390$4,510$4,625$4,763$4,918$5,078YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit17.7%3.9%N/A2.7%2.7%2.5%3.0%3.3%3.2% CCRCs - CombinedOccupancy rate (weighted average)85.1%84.3%84.8%85.1%85.6%86.0%86.2%86.4%86.6% Average monthly revenue per unit$5,168$5,517$5,838$5,323$5,411$5,514$5,620$5,760$5,904YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit8.6%6.8%N/A-8.8%1.7%1.9%1.9%2.5%2.5% Management ServicesOccupancy rate (weighted average)84.2%83.8%84.5%84.5%85.4%86.7%87.2%87.6%88.3% Average monthly revenue per unit$3,577$3,663$3,611$3,382$3,512$3,667$3,770$3,883$4,000YoY % change in average monthly rev per unit3.6%2.4%-1.4%-6.3%3.9%4.4%2.8%3.0%3.0%
  • 13. Moderate Capacity Growth Annual Inventory and Absorption Growth: Based on Top 31 MSAs Not all new inventory is directly competing with BKD existing and new locations Source: NIC MAP® Data and Analysis Service
  • 14. Resilient Pricing Power Annual Rent Growth: Based on Top 31 MSAs (“Primary Markets”) •BKD has had average rate growth in the low to mid 3%. However, as their marketing/branding campaign begins to take affect I believe rate growth could increase further Source: NIC MAP® Data and Analysis Service
  • 15. SOTP Proforma 2015 Analysis HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $44 $33 $24 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 1,871,888 1,871,888 1,871,888 Entry Fee Amortization (1,971) (1,971) (1,971) Expenses 1,272,884 1,272,884 1,272,884 Facility Operating Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% Gross Property NOI 597,033 597,033 597,033 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -93,594 -93,594 -93,594 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 503,439 503,439 503,439 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,153,432 8,055,020 7,191,982 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 9,245,932 8,132,915 7,259,255 Gross Value Per Share $53.46 $47.03 $41.97 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 267,649 235,430 210,139 Net R/E Per Share 31.72 25.28 20.23 Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,650,501 2,650,501 2,650,501 Expenses 1,802,341 1,802,341 1,802,341 Op Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% NOI leased assets 848,160 848,160 848,160 Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl rents on cap leases (400,292) (400,292) (400,292) Less G&A allocation (132,525) (132,525) (132,525) GAAP EF amortization - - - Net Cash EF - - - EBITDA 315,343 315,343 315,343 EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 Value Per Share $20.06 $17.32 $14.59 PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.93 $0.87 $0.81 PV/sh (at beg of 2015) of rent reduction in 2016 and 2017 $0.50 $0.32 $0.24 Ancillary Business Value NOI 82,090 82,090 82,090 Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 Value Per Share 4.27 3.56 2.85 Management Business (assumes real estate / opco split) Management Fee Revenue 161,853 161,853 161,853 Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% Net Management Income 56,649 48,556 40,463 Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 Value Per Share 2.29 1.68 1.17 Construction in Progress Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Tangible Assets Cash - - Current Assets, incl cash 525,667 525,667 525,667 Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 Subtotal Assets $1,146,012 $1,146,012 $1,146,012 Liabilities Mortgage Debt 3,760,391 3,760,391 3,760,391 Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 Deferred Lease Liability Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,665,830 $7,665,830 $7,665,830 NAV Balance Sheet ($37.70) ($37.70) ($37.70) Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 172,945 HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $44 $33 $24 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 1,871,888 1,871,888 1,871,888 Entry Fee Amortization (1,971) (1,971) (1,971) Expenses 1,272,884 1,272,884 1,272,884 Facility Operating Margin 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% Gross Property NOI 597,033 597,033 597,033 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -93,594 -93,594 -93,594 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 503,439 503,439 503,439 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,153,432 8,055,020 7,191,982 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 9,245,932 8,132,915 7,259,255 Gross Value Per Share $53.46 $47.03 $41.97 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 267,649 235,430 210,139 Net R/E Per Share 31.72 25.28 20.23 $38.46 $28.91 $20.98 Discounted back 1.75yrs, 8%
  • 16. SOTP Proforma 2016 Analysis HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $56 $44 $34 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 1,962,791 1,962,791 1,962,791 Entry Fee Amortization (2,192) (2,192) (2,192) Expenses 1,315,070 1,315,070 1,315,070 Facility Operating Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% Gross Property NOI 645,529 645,529 645,529 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -98,140 -98,140 -98,140 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 547,389 547,389 547,389 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,952,531 8,758,227 7,819,846 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,045,031 8,836,122 7,887,118 Gross Value Per Share $57.50 $50.58 $45.15 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 290,781 255,786 228,314 Net R/E Per Share 37.85 30.93 25.50 Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,779,214 2,779,214 2,779,214 Expenses 1,862,073 1,862,073 1,862,073 Op Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% NOI leased assets 917,141 917,141 917,141 Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl rents on cap leases (404,902) (404,902) (404,902) Less G&A allocation (138,961) (138,961) (138,961) GAAP EF amortization - - - Net Cash EF - - - EBITDA 373,277 373,277 373,277 EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 Value Per Share $23.51 $20.30 $17.09 PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.92 $0.86 $0.80 PV/sh of rent reduction in 2016 and 2017 (calculation below) $0.56 $0.34 $0.25 Ancillary Business Value NOI 89,540 89,540 89,540 Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 Value Per Share 4.61 3.84 3.08 Management Business (assumes real estate / opco split) Management Fee Revenue 166,398 166,398 166,398 Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% Net Management Income 58,239 49,920 41,600 Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 Value Per Share 2.33 1.71 1.19 Construction in Progress Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Tangible Assets Cash - - - Current Assets, incl cash 881,550 881,550 881,550 Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 Subtotal Assets $1,501,895 $1,501,895 $1,501,895 Liabilities Mortgage Debt, assumes 2016 cash flow repays debt 3,432,394 3,432,394 3,432,394 Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 Deferred Lease Liability Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,337,833 $7,337,833 $7,337,833 NAV Balance Sheet ($33.41) ($33.41) ($33.41) Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 174,685 HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $56 $44 $34 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 1,962,791 1,962,791 1,962,791 Entry Fee Amortization (2,192) (2,192) (2,192) Expenses 1,315,070 1,315,070 1,315,070 Facility Operating Margin 33.0% 33.0% 33.0% Gross Property NOI 645,529 645,529 645,529 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -98,140 -98,140 -98,140 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 547,389 547,389 547,389 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 9,952,531 8,758,227 7,819,846 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,045,031 8,836,122 7,887,118 Gross Value Per Share $57.50 $50.58 $45.15 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 290,781 255,786 228,314 Net R/E Per Share 37.85 30.93 25.50 $45.32 $35.61 $27.51 Discounted back 2.75yrs, 8%
  • 17. SOTP Proforma 2017 Analysis HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $69 $49 $38 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 2,062,651 2,062,651 2,062,651 Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) Expenses 1,361,349 1,361,349 1,361,349 Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% Gross Property NOI 698,888 698,888 698,888 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -103,133 -103,133 -103,133 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 595,755 595,755 595,755 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 10,831,918 9,532,087 8,510,792 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,924,418 9,609,982 8,578,065 Gross Value Per Share $61.92 $54.47 $48.62 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 316,237 278,187 248,316 Net R/E Per Share 44.37 36.92 31.07 Valued of Leased Property Cash Flow Lease revs, incl bargain purchase options 2,920,611 2,920,611 2,920,611 Expenses 1,927,603 1,927,603 1,927,603 Op Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% NOI leased assets 993,008 993,008 993,008 Less Cash Lease Rents, does not incl rents on cap leases (407,318) (407,318) (407,318) Less G&A allocation (146,031) (146,031) (146,031) GAAP EF amortization - - - Net Cash EF - - - EBITDA 439,659 439,659 439,659 EBITDA Multiple 11.0 9.50 8.0 Value Per Share $27.41 $23.67 $19.94 PV of bargin purchase options $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 PV/sh of bargain purchase options $0.91 $0.85 $0.79 PV/sh of rent reduction in 2016 and 2017 (calculation below) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Ancillary Business Value NOI 95,693 95,693 95,693 Multiple 9.0 7.5 6 Value Per Share 4.88 4.07 3.25 Management Business (assumes real estate / opco split) Management Fee Revenue 175,207 175,207 175,207 Estimated Operating Margin, incl. G&A 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% Net Management Income 61,323 52,562 43,802 Assumed Multiple 7.0 6.0 5.0 Value Per Share 2.43 1.79 1.24 Construction in Progress Assumed Value $0 $0 $0 Value Per Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Tangible Assets Cash - - - Current Assets, incl cash 1,270,998 882 882 Investments in Unconsolidated JV 326,991 326,991 326,991 Other tangible assets 293,354 293,354 293,354 Subtotal Assets $1,891,343 $621,227 $621,227 Liabilities Mortgage Debt, assumes 2016 and 2017 cash flow repay debt 3,095,721 3,095,721 3,095,721 Capital lease obligations 2,567,316 2,567,316 2,567,316 Credit Line draws 90,550 90,550 90,550 Current Liabilities, excluding debt 398,367 398,367 398,367 Deferred Lease Liability Other tangible liabilities 849,206 849,206 849,206 Subtotal Adjusted Liabilities $7,001,160 $7,001,160 $7,001,160 NAV Balance Sheet ($28.96) ($36.16) ($36.16) Average Diluted Shares Outstanding 176,425 HI (marketed sale of company) Mid (REIT/opco split) Low (interest / cap rates rise) Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $69 $49 $38 Value of Owned Properties Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 2,062,651 2,062,651 2,062,651 Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) Expenses 1,361,349 1,361,349 1,361,349 Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% Gross Property NOI 698,888 698,888 698,888 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -103,133 -103,133 -103,133 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 595,755 595,755 595,755 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 10,831,918 9,532,087 8,510,792 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 10,924,418 9,609,982 8,578,065 Gross Value Per Share $61.92 $54.47 $48.62 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 316,237 278,187 248,316 Net R/E Per Share 44.37 36.92 31.07 $51.40 $36.48 $28.24 Discounted back 3.75yrs, 8%
  • 18. SOTP Proforma 2018 Analysis Discounted back 4.75yrs, 8% Net SOTP per share, ex corporate G&A $72 $52 $40 Value of Owned Properties $53.92 $38.69 $30.20 Owned Lease Revs, does not include bargin purchase options 2,172,583 2,172,583 2,172,583 Entry Fee Amortization (2,413) (2,413) (2,413) Expenses 1,433,905 1,433,905 1,433,905 Facility Operating Margin 34.0% 34.0% 34.0% Gross Property NOI 736,265 736,265 736,265 Subtract 1st Generation EF 0 0 0 Less imputed revenue mgmt fee -108,629 -108,629 -108,629 Net Property NOI, pre-capex 627,636 627,636 627,636 Capitalization Rate 5.50% 6.25% 7.00% Gross Real Estate bf entrance fee value 11,411,562 10,042,175 8,966,228 Net Entrance Fees 7,400 7,400 7,400 Cap Rate 8.00% 9.50% 11.00% Gross Value EF Cash Flows 92,500 77,895 67,273 Gross Value of Real Estate incl EF Value 11,504,062 10,120,070 9,033,500 Gross Value Per Share $65.21 $57.36 $51.20 Owned units 34,545 34,545 34,545 Estimated Value Per Unit 333,017 292,953 261,500 Net R/E Per Share 47.66 39.81 33.66 $53.92 $38.69 $30.20
  • 19. •Several bidders tends to result in a “winners curse” scenario Timeline of BKD-ESC deal Source: BKD-ESC S-4 filing BKD Paid Up For ESC
  • 20. BofA ESC BKD CSU FVE Avg. Low High Low High 2014E EV/EBITDA 11.8x 12.3x 15.2x NA 13.7x $14.75 $31.50 $24.50 $32.75 2014E Price/adjusted CFFO 8.5x 10.9x 14.0x NA 12.4x $20.75 $27.00 $25.50 $33.00 2014E Adj EV/GAAP EBITDAR 11.3x 11.6x 12.9x NA 12.2x $18.50 $41.75 $26.25 $38.25 Cash EBITDA CAGR (2013E-2015) 17.9% 10.6% 21.1% NA 15.8% CSCA ESC BKD CSU FVE Avg. Low High Low High 2014E EV/cash EBITDA 10.1x 13.1x 15.2x NA 13.0x 9.5x 10.9x 14.0x NA 11.5x Average $22.21 $31.53 $22.05 $33.01 BKD per share range ESC per share range BKD per share range ESC per share range Wells Fargo Avg. (ESC, BKD, CSU, FVE) Avg. (ESC selected comp only) Avg. (BKD selected comp only) Low High Low High 2014E EV/EBITDAR 11.5x 11.6x 11.3x 2014E EV/EBITDAR 11.8x 11.7x 11.4x 2014E EV/cash EBITDA 10.7x 11.0x 10.1x 2014E Price/CFFO 11.4x 12.6x 11.6x 2015E EV/EBITDAR 10.9x 10.7x 10.9x 2015E EV/EBITDAR 10.6x 10.2x 10.0x 2015E EV/cash EBITDA 9.6x 9.7x 8.9x 2015E Price/CFFO 10.2x 11.2x 10.2x Average $19.50 $27.00 $24.00 $28.75 ESC per share range BKD per share range Moelis Low High Low High 2013A EV adj EBITDA $21.80 $29.33 $26.97 $30.59 2013A adj EV/adj EBITDAR $19.84 $30.17 $22.34 $27.71 2013A Price/adj CFFO $20.94 $24.60 $26.57 $31.40 2014A EV adj EBITDA $16.89 $25.11 $26.63 $30.70 2014A adj EV/adj EBITDAR $16.43 $28.25 $21.92 $27.78 2014A Price/adj CFFO 9.0x to 11.0x $20.20 $24.51 $24.27 $29.66 13.0x to 14.0x 12.0x to 13.0x 11.0x to 13.0x 11.5x to 12.5x 11.0x to 12.0x ESC per share range BKD per share range Avg. (ESC, BKD, CSU, FVE) BKD Paid Up For ESC
  • 21. Balance Sheet Brookdale - Debt Schedule - assumes debt maturity extensions, includes capital leases Per 1Q14 Supplement Mortgage Debt + Line Rate % debt Capital Lease Rate Total Debt Rate % debt 2014 24,630 3.85% 1.1% 24,906 7.99% 49,536 5.9% 1.9% 2015 28,176 4.09% 1.2% 34,491 8.08% 62,667 6.3% 2.4% 2016 60,124 4.60% 2.6% 29,861 8.32% 89,985 5.8% 3.4% 2017 359,729 5.30% 15.5% 61,256 8.15% 420,985 5.7% 16.1% 2018 785,062 3.41% 33.9% 24,172 8.48% 809,234 3.6% 31.0% Thereafter 1,058,659 3.95% 45.7% 118,341 7.98% 1,177,000 4.4% 45.1% 2,316,380 3.99% 100.0% 293,027 8.10% 2,609,407 4.5% 100.0% • ~40% of BKD debt is floating rate – Most is capped, some swapped Interest Coverage Memo Items: Interest expense $159.6 $149.9 $134.5 $209.2 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 Capital expenditures 160.1 208.4 257.5 243.6 344.8 361.1 378.9 398.3 EBIT / Interest expense 0.7x 0.7x 1.1x 1.1x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x EBITDA / Interest expense 2.3x 2.3x 3.1x 2.7x 2.4x 2.7x 2.9x 3.0x EBITDA - Capital expenditures / Interest expense 1.3x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x 2.0x Capitalization* Total debt $2,536.1 $2,758.4 $2,723.4 $6,674.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 Total stockholders' equity 1,040.2 1,002.7 1,040.0 2,638.5 2,850.1 3,114.0 3,391.8 3,650.8 Total capitalization 3,576.3 3,761.1 3,763.4 9,312.6 9,505.3 9,769.2 10,046.9 10,306.0 Return on Invested Capital 3.0% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% Brookdale – Debt Schedule – includes capital leases Leverage* Total debt / Total capitalization 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x Total debt / EBITDA 6.8x 7.8x 6.6x 12.0x 6.7x 6.0x 5.6x 5.5x *all recorded at book value
  • 22. •Management synergy targets are on the conservative side and could exceed the guided $.50 •Program Max 2.0 –Longer time horizon but may produce better CFFO results than forecasted •Demand continues to outstrip supply •Brand awareness campaign yields better than expected results •Any hint that management may return to paying a dividend in the future Catalysts Adjusted EBITDA557.9991.71,101.01,186.31,208.9Less: Recurring capital expenditures, net(45.4)(72.0)(76.0)(80.0)(84.0) Less: Interest expense, net(209.2)(409.3)(409.3)(409.3)(409.3) Less: Lease financing debt amortization with fair market value or no purchase options(15.8)(15.8)(15.8)(15.8)(15.8) Less: Distributions from unconsolidated ventures from cumulative share of net earnings0.00.00.00.00.0Add: Cash from Facility Operations from unconsolidated ventures9.010.014.018.020.0Less: Other0.50.50.50.50.5Less taxes(2.4)8.9(28.6)(78.6)(96.5) Reported CFFO294.5514.0585.8621.1623.9Add: integration and transaction-related costs24.013.013.013.013.0Adjusted CFFO318.5527.0598.8634.1636.9Adjusted CFFO/share$2.33$3.05$3.43$3.63$3.65
  • 23. • Integration of ESC – Potential cultural fit for the new ESC employees – Largest integration BKD has undertaken – ESC DOJ investigation Risks • Reduction in occupancy – Low in 2009 was 86.2% for BKD • Significant increase in new construction/capacity • Increased competition and reduction in pricing power • Significant rise in interest rates Supply-Demand in Top 10 Majority Assisted Living Markets vs. Senior Living Operators’ Share
  • 24. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 7/22/2010 7/22/2011 7/22/2012 7/22/2013 7/22/2014 7/22/2015 Stock Price BKD Risk Reward Close Price Target $65.00 (+86%) $25.00 (-28.0%) $53.00 (+51.4%)
  • 25. Summary •Merger Synergies –Cost savings –Revenue growth •Industry Leader •Strong Sustained Growth in Customer Demographic •Differentiator – Continuum of Care •Durable Competitive Advantage •Occupancy Growth –Program Max 2.0 •Moderate Capacity Growth •Resilient Pricing Power •Some of the Parts (SOTP)
  • 27. Income Statement Income Statement for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per share2013 - 2018Historical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,CAGR20112012201320142015201620172018Sales Retirement Centers$473.8$503.9$526.3$542.1$569.2$597.6$627.5$658.9 Assisted Living964.61,013.31,051.91,451.62,903.23,019.33,146.13,284.5 CCRCs -rental (combined with enry fee before Q1'2011)364.1385.5397.0416.8479.3498.5518.5539.2 CCRCs - entry fee283.5287.0297.8303.760.765.674.187.5 ISC and other Ancillary services205.8224.5242.2314.8510.0561.0617.1678.8Resident Fees2,291.82,414.32,515.03,029.04,522.44,742.04,983.35,248.915.9% Management Fees13.631.331.139.864.567.169.872.6Reimbursed Costs incured on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8442.6717.1745.8775.6806.618.5% Total Revenue$2,457.9$2,770.6$2,892.0$3,511.5$5,304.0$5,554.9$5,828.6$6,128.116.2% Cost of sales Retirement centers275.4298.3304.0309.0313.0328.1338.9355.1 Assisted Living624.7652.2662.2914.51,727.41,781.41,840.51,970.7 CCRCs - rental (combined with entry fee before Q1'2011)247.2279.4287.9302.2335.5344.0352.6361.3 CCRCs - entry fee213.5224.3221.4228.743.146.652.662.1 ISC & other ancillary services147.8176.7196.4258.1397.8415.1456.6502.3Facility operating expense1,508.61,630.91,671.92,012.52,816.92,915.13,041.13,251.5General & administrative expense148.3178.8184.5214.2291.7300.0308.9318.7Facility lease expense/Rent274.9284.0276.7305.5403.1422.2443.0465.7Depreciation & Amortization268.5252.3268.8328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9Asset Impairment16.927.712.90.00.00.00.00.0Loss (gain) on acquisition(2.0)0.60.00.00.00.00.00.0Costs incurred on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8421.4800.6816.6849.3883.312.0% Facility Lease termination expense0.0(11.6)0.00.00.00.00.00.0Other expenses0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Total operating expenses$2,367.7$2,687.8$2,760.7$3,282.4$4,746.7$4,908.9$5,119.7$5,421.114.4% Income from Operations90.282.8131.3229.1557.3646.0709.0707.0General & administrative expense148.3178.8184.5214.2291.7300.0308.9318.7Costs incurred on behalf of managed communities152.6325.0345.8421.4800.6816.6849.3883.3EBITDAR648.5635.8689.7863.41,394.81,523.11,629.31,674.6Facility lease expense/Rent274.9284.0276.7305.5403.1422.2443.0465.7EBITDA373.6351.8412.9557.9991.71,101.01,186.31,208.924.0% Depreciation & Amortization268.5252.3268.8328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9EBIT 105.199.5144.2229.1557.3646.0709.0707.037.4% Interest expense (5)159.6149.9134.5209.2409.3409.3409.3409.3Interest (income)(3.5)(4.0)(1.3)(0.3)(0.7)(1.8)(2.7)(3.8) Pretax Income(65.8)(63.1)(1.8)20.2148.7238.5302.4301.5Income taxes (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)(2.3)(2.0)(1.8)2.4(8.9)28.678.696.5Net Income($68.1)($65.2)($3.6)$17.8$157.6$209.9$223.8$205.0Diluted weighted average shares (in millions)121.160121.991123.671136.945172.945174.685174.685174.6857.2% Earnings Per Share($0.56)($0.53)($0.03)$0.13$0.91$1.20$1.28$1.172014 Consensus EPS $.17
  • 28. Income Statement Assumptions Ratios & AssumptionsSales growth rate12.7%4.4%21.4%51.0%4.7%4.9%5.1% Gross margin61.4%58.9%57.8%57.3%53.1%52.5%52.2%53.1% SG&A expenses (as a % of sales)6.0%6.5%6.4%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0% Other operating (income) / expense (amount)$648.5$635.8$689.7$863.4$1,394.8$1,523.1$1,629.3$1,674.6Effective tax rate3.5%3.2%96.1%12.0%(6.0%)12.0%26.0%32.0% Income statement ratios (as a % of reveune) Retirement Centers (as a % of retirement center revenue)58.1%59.2%57.8%57.0%55.0%54.9%54.0%53.9% Assisted Living (as a % of assisted living revenue)64.8%64.4%63.0%63.0%59.5%59.0%58.5%60.0% CCRCs - rental (as a % of CCRCs-rental revenue)67.9%72.5%72.5%72.5%70.0%69.0%68.0%67.0% CCRCs - entry fee (as a % of CCRCs-entyr fee revnue)75.3%78.1%74.3%75.3%71.0%71.0%71.0%71.0% ISC and other ancillary services (as a % of ISC - revenue)71.8%78.7%81.1%82.0%78.0%74.0%74.0%74.0% Facility operating expense (as % of revenue)61.4%58.9%57.8%57.3%53.1%52.5%52.2%53.1% General and admisistrative expense (as a % of revenue)6.0%6.5%6.4%6.1%5.5%5.4%5.3%5.2% Facility lease expense (as a % of revenue)11.2%10.3%9.6%8.7%7.6%7.6%7.6%7.6% Depreciation and amortization ( as % of reveune)10.9%9.1%9.3%9.4%8.2%8.2%8.2%8.2% (Provision) benefit for income taxes3.5%3.2%96.1%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%7.5% Ratios (as a % of sales) Retirement Centers19.3%18.2%18.2%15.4%10.7%10.8%10.8%10.8% YOY Growth3.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%5.0% Assisted Living39.2%36.6%36.4%41.3%54.7%54.4%54.0%53.6% YOY Growth38.0%100.0%4.0%4.2%4.4% CCRCs -rental (combined with enry fee before Q1'2011)14.8%13.9%13.7%11.9%9.0%9.0%8.9%8.8% YOY Growth5.0%15.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% CCRCs - entry fee11.5%10.4%10.3%8.6%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.4% YOY Growth2.0%(80.0%)8.0%13.0%18.0% ISC and other Ancillary services8.4%8.1%8.4%9.0%9.6%10.1%10.6%11.1% YOY Growth30.0%62.0%10.0%10.0%10.0% Resident Fees93.2%87.1%87.0%86.3%85.3%85.4%85.5%85.7% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% Management Fees0.6%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%1.2%1.2%1.2% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0% Reimbursed Costs incured on behalf of managed communities6.2%11.7%12.0%12.6%13.5%13.4%13.3%13.2% YOY Growth28.0%62.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
  • 29. Balance Sheet Balance Sheet for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareHistorical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,20112012201320142015201620172018Cash$76.7$112.3$96.7$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3Accounts receivables, net98.7100.4104.3136.6206.3216.0226.7238.3Inventories0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets105.496.393.987.8132.6138.9145.7153.2Total Current Assets:280.9309.0294.9274.3856.91,251.41,674.72,115.8PP&E, net3,694.13,880.03,895.59,309.69,220.09,126.19,027.68,924.0Ristricted cash & investments84.762.857.657.657.657.657.657.6Indefinite life intangibles0.00.00.08.524.630.331.614.9Goodwill263.7269.5268.3442.0442.0442.0442.0442.0Other long-term assets142.7144.7221.5221.5221.5221.5221.5221.5Total Assets:$4,466.1$4,666.0$4,737.8$10,313.6$10,822.6$11,128.8$11,455.0$11,775.9Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Accrued liabilities183.6200.9209.5221.4309.9320.7334.5357.7Other current liabilities7.76.55.20.0201.1229.4259.7291.4Refund. Entry Fees & Deferred Rev.327.8361.4388.4407.4407.4407.4407.4407.4Total Current Liabilities:573.3612.0668.9695.91,012.31,054.61,103.01,164.9Long-term debt deferred entry fee revenue72.579.086.919.00.00.00.00.0Long-term debt 2,463.62,679.42,636.66,655.16,655.16,655.16,655.16,655.1Other long-term liabilities316.4292.9305.5305.0305.0305.0305.0305.0Total Liabilities:3,425.93,663.33,697.87,675.07,972.58,014.88,063.28,125.0Total equity1,040.21,002.71,040.02,638.52,850.13,114.03,391.83,650.8Total Liabilities and Equity:$4,466.1$4,666.0$4,737.8$10,313.6$10,822.6$11,128.8$11,455.0$11,775.9Parity check (A = L+E)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
  • 30. Cash Flow Projected Cash Flow Statement for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareProjected Year Ending December 31,20142015201620172018Operating ActivitiesNet Income$17.8$157.6$209.9$223.8$205.0Stock-based compensation expense36.154.054.054.054.0Depreciation328.8434.4454.9477.4501.9Amortization0.00.00.00.00.0(Increase)/decrease in working capital56.3185.820.729.559.4(Increase)/decrease in other long-term assets and liabilities(174.1)0.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Operating Activities:264.9831.8739.5784.7820.3Investing ActivitiesCapital expenditures(243.6)(344.8)(361.1)(378.9)(398.3) Acquisition(4,018.6)0.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Investing Activities:(4,262.2)(344.8)(361.1)(378.9)(398.3) CASH FLOW AVAILABLE FOR FINANCING ACTIVITIES(3,997.4)487.0378.4405.8422.0Financing ActivitiesIssuance / (repayment) of revolver(67.9)(19.0)0.00.00.0Issuance of long-term debt4,018.60.00.00.00.0(Repayment) of long-term debt0.00.00.00.00.0Repurchase of equity0.00.00.00.00.0Dividends0.00.00.00.00.0Option proceeds0.00.00.00.00.0Cash Flow from Financing Activities:3,950.7(19.0)0.00.00.0Net Change in Cash(46.7)468.1378.4405.8422.0Beginning cash balance96.750.0518.1896.51,302.3Ending cash balance$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3
  • 31. NWC Working Capital Schedule for Brookdale Senior Living IncDollars in millions, except per shareHistorical Year Ending December 31,Projected Year Ending December 31,20112012201320142015201620172018Sales$2,457.9$2,770.6$2,892.0$3,511.5$5,304.0$5,554.9$5,828.6$6,128.1Cost of sales 1,508.61,630.91,671.92,012.52,816.92,915.13,041.13,251.5Working Capital BalancesAccounts receivables, net$98.7$100.4$104.3$136.6$206.3$216.0$226.7$238.3Inventories0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets105.496.393.987.8132.6138.9145.7153.2Total Non-Cash Current Assets:$204.1$196.7$198.2$224.3$338.9$354.9$372.4$391.5Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Accrued liabilities183.6200.9209.5221.4309.9320.7334.5357.7Other current liabilities335.5367.9393.6462.9647.9670.5699.5747.8Total Non-Debt Current Liabilities:$573.3$612.0$668.9$751.3$1,051.6$1,088.3$1,135.4$1,213.9NET WORKING CAPITAL / (DEFICIT)($369.2)($415.3)($470.7)($527.0)($712.8)($733.4)($763.0)($822.4) (Increase)/Decrease in Working Capital$46.1$55.5$56.3$185.8$20.7$29.5$59.4Ratios and AssumptionsNumbers of days in the period360 cell is named "Days" Accounts receivables, net (collection period in days)14.513.013.014.014.014.014.014.0Inventories (days outstanding)0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Other current assets (as % of sales)4.3%3.5%3.2%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5% Accounts payable (days outstanding)12.99.514.212.012.012.012.012.0Accrued liabilities (as % of cost of sales)12.2%12.3%12.5%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0% Other current liabilities (as % of cost of sales)22.2%22.6%23.5%23.0%23.0%23.0%23.0%23.0%
  • 32. Brookdale Senior Living Inc Dollars in millions, except per share Historical Year Ending December 31, Projected Year Ending December 31, 2013 - 2018 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAGR Profitability Ratios Sales $2,457.9 $2,770.6 $2,892.0 $3,511.5 $5,304.0 $5,554.9 $5,828.6 $6,128.1 16.2% % growth 12.7% 4.4% 21.4% 51.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% Gross profit $949.3 $1,139.6 $1,220.0 $1,499.0 $2,487.1 $2,639.7 $2,787.5 $2,876.5 18.7% % margin 38.6% 41.1% 42.2% 42.7% 46.9% 47.5% 47.8% 46.9% EBITDA $373.6 $351.8 $412.9 $557.9 $991.7 $1,101.0 $1,186.3 $1,208.9 24.0% % margin 15.2% 12.7% 14.3% 15.9% 18.7% 19.8% 20.4% 19.7% % growth (5.8%) 17.4% 35.1% 77.8% 11.0% 7.8% 1.9% EBIT $105.1 $99.5 $144.2 $229.1 $557.3 $646.0 $709.0 $707.0 37.4% % margin 4.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 10.5% 11.6% 12.2% 11.5% % growth (5.3%) 44.9% 58.9% 143.3% 15.9% 9.7% (0.3%) Net income ($68.1) ($65.2) ($3.6) $17.8 $157.6 $209.9 $223.8 $205.0 #NUM! % margin (2.8%) (2.4%) (0.1%) 0.5% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.3% % growth (4.4%) (94.5%) (596.4%) 785.9% 33.2% 6.6% (8.4%) Interest Coverage Memo Items: Interest expense $159.6 $149.9 $134.5 $209.2 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 $409.3 Capital expenditures 160.1 208.4 257.5 243.6 344.8 361.1 378.9 398.3 EBIT / Interest expense 0.7x 0.7x 1.1x 1.1x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x EBITDA / Interest expense 2.3x 2.3x 3.1x 2.7x 2.4x 2.7x 2.9x 3.0x EBITDA - Capital expenditures / Interest expense 1.3x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.6x 1.8x 2.0x 2.0x Capitalization* Total debt $2,536.1 $2,758.4 $2,723.4 $6,674.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 $6,655.1 Total stockholders' equity 1,040.2 1,002.7 1,040.0 2,638.5 2,850.1 3,114.0 3,391.8 3,650.8 Total capitalization 3,576.3 3,761.1 3,763.4 9,312.6 9,505.3 9,769.2 10,046.9 10,306.0 Return on Invested Capital 3.0% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% Profitability Ratio & Interest Coverage
  • 33. Liquidity & DuPont Analysis LiquidityMemo Items:Cash$76.7$112.3$96.7$50.0$518.1$896.5$1,302.3$1,724.3Accounts receivable98.7100.4104.3136.6206.3216.0226.7238.3Quick assets175.4212.7201.0186.6724.31,112.51,529.01,962.6Inventory$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.0Current assets280.9309.0294.9274.3856.91,251.41,674.72,115.8PP&E, net$3,694.1$3,880.0$3,895.5$9,309.6$9,220.0$9,126.1$9,027.6$8,924.0Total assets4,466.14,666.04,737.810,313.610,822.611,128.811,455.011,775.9Accounts payable$54.1$43.2$65.8$67.1$93.9$97.2$101.4$108.4Current liabilities573.3612.0668.9695.91,012.31,054.61,103.01,164.9Working capital($292.4)($302.9)($374.0)($421.6)($155.4)$196.7$571.7$951.0Current ratio0.5x0.5x0.4x0.4x0.8x1.2x1.5x1.8xQuick ratio0.3x0.3x0.3x0.3x0.7x1.1x1.4x1.7xActivityAccounts receivable (collection period)14.513.013.014.014.014.014.014.0Inventories (days outstanding)0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Accounts payable (days outstanding)12.99.514.212.012.012.012.012.0Net fixed asset turnover0.7x0.7x0.7x0.4x0.6x0.6x0.6x0.7xAsset turnover0.6x0.6x0.6x0.3x0.5x0.5x0.5x0.5xDuPont AnalysisReturn on sales(2.8%)(2.4%)(0.1%)0.5%3.0%3.8%3.8%3.3% Asset turnover0.6x0.6x0.6x0.3x0.5x0.5x0.5x0.5xAsset leverage4.3x4.7x4.6x3.9x3.8x3.6x3.4x3.2xReturn on equity(6.6%)(6.5%)(0.3%)0.7%5.5%6.7%6.6%5.6%