Fundamental Equity Analysis - Hong Kong Hang Seng Index Components
1. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be
viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an
offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis &
Analyst Recommendations
Hang Seng Index - HSI Index
March 2012
Q M S Advisors
. .
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. 27.02.2013
AIA Group Ltd
AIA Group Ltd. offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes Price/Volume
life insurance for individuals and businesses, accident and health insurance,
35 2500.0 M
retirement planning, and wealth management services.
30
2000.0 M
25
20 1500.0 M
Valuation Analysis 15 1000.0 M
Latest Fiscal Year: 11/2012 10
LTM as of: 01/yy 500.0 M
5
52-Week High (27.02.2013) 32.95
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (04.06.2012) 24.05 m-11 a-11 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12
Daily Volume 94'653'532.00
Current Price (2/dd/yy) 32.85 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -0.30% Dividend Yield 1.04
52-Week Low % Change 36.59% Beta 0.84
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 88.76% Equity Float 12'039.65
Shares Out 30.11.2012 12'044.0 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 395'645.38 1 Yr Total Return 13.55%
Total Debt 1'229.00 YTD Return 8.60%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.835
Minority Interest 102.0 Analyst Recs 22
Cash and Equivalents 4'303.00 Consensus Rating 4.273
Enterprise Value 49'261.33 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 35'619'150
1299 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 39'421'770
1299 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 68'123'060
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
30.11.2008 30.11.2009 30.11.2010 30.11.2011 30.11.2012 01/yy 01/yy 11/13 Y 11/14 Y - -
Total Revenue #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 21'566.5 24'330.0 - -
TEV/Revenue #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - - 1.93x - -
EBITDA #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - - - - -
TEV/EBITDA#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - - - - -
Net Income#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 2'858.4 3'215.0 - -
P/E #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 17.72x 15.74x - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA - Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT - Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 15.24% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 15.07% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 1.47% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 7.84% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital 7.34% EBITDA/Interest Exp. -
Asset Turnover 0.12% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA -
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA -
EBITDA Margin - Reference
EBIT Margin - Total Debt/Equity 5.8%
Net Income Margin 14.8% Total Debt/Capital 5.4%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.12
Current Ratio - Net Fixed Asset Turnover -
Quick Ratio - Accounts receivable turnover-days -
Debt to Assets 1.07% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 5.77% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover - Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
120.00 20'000.0
18'000.0
100.00
16'000.0
14'000.0
80.00
12'000.0
60.00 10'000.0
8'000.0
40.00 6'000.0
4'000.0
20.00
2'000.0
0.00
0.0
05.12.2008 05.06.2009 05.12.2009 05.06.2010 05.12.2010 05.06.2011 05.12.2011 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. 27.02.2013
AIA Group Ltd
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
AIA AURORA LLC n/a Research 2'240'184'000 18.6 - 06.03.2012 Other
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 692'523'609 5.75 - 08.02.2012 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a EXCH 398'438'707 3.31 - 02.11.2010 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 316'662'500 2.63 7'325'000 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 302'221'000 2.51 - 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 192'143'000 1.6 13'958'600 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
ABERDEEN ASSET MANAG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 184'257'800 1.53 2'443'600 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
WADDELL & REED FINAN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 159'991'900 1.33 11'111'200 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 128'036'453 1.06 5'411'217 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 116'484'600 0.97 (127'000) 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a EXCH 112'935'375 0.94 - 02.11.2010 Investment Advisor
FRANKLIN RESOURCES I Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 89'970'263 0.75 1'810'776 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 89'544'200 0.74 (5'450'600) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 86'553'200 0.72 3'395'600 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FIRST STATE INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 82'193'600 0.68 - 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 81'169'270 0.67 2'500'838 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY INTERNATION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 80'476'655 0.67 72'426'065 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 75'648'400 0.63 3'913'400 29.12.2011 Investment Advisor
STATE STREET GLOBAL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 75'157'642 0.62 75'157'642 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 68'617'560 0.57 5'382'600 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
JPMorgan CHAN BAO LING overweight 5 M 34 12 month 09.03.2012
Credit Suisse ARJAN VAN VEEN neutral 3 M 30 Not Provided 06.03.2012
BOCOM International Holdings LI WENBING long-term buy 5 M 34 12 month 06.03.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 D #N/A N/A Not Provided 05.03.2012
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods STANLEY TSAI outperform 5 M 33 12 month 29.02.2012
Mizuho Securities THOMAS J MONACO buy 5 M 34 12 month 28.02.2012
Deutsche Bank ESTHER CHWEI buy 5 M 32 12 month 27.02.2012
Morgan Stanley BEN LIN Overwt/Attractive 5 M 32 12 month 27.02.2012
Yuanta Securities Investment Consulting
BARON NIE buy 5 M 33 Not Provided 27.02.2012
Macquarie SCOTT G RUSSELL restricted #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 27.02.2012
CIMB BERTRAM LAI outperform 5 M 34 12 month 27.02.2012
Citic Securities Co., Ltd FRANCIS CHAN sell 1 M 25 6 month 27.02.2012
HSBC MICHAEL P CHANG overweight 5 M 35 Not Provided 26.02.2012
CLSA Asia Pacific Markets PATRICIA CHENG underperform 1 M 28 Not Provided 26.02.2012
CCB International Securities Ltd KENNETH YUE neutral 3 M 30 Not Provided 26.02.2012
Standard Chartered PETER O'BRIEN outperform 5 M 35 12 month 24.02.2012
Societe Generale WILLIAM ELDERKIN hold 3 M 26 12 month 24.02.2012
Citi DARWIN LAM buy 5 M 34 Not Provided 24.02.2012
China International Capital Corp SALLY NG accumulate 4 M 35 12 month 24.02.2012
Nomura DAVID CHUNG buy 5 M 35 Not Provided 24.02.2012
Barclays Capital MARK KELLOCK equalwt/positive 3 M 32 Not Provided 24.02.2012
ICBC International Securities PIUS CHENG buy 5 M 33 Not Provided 24.02.2012
AMTD Financial Planning Limited KENNY TANG SING HING buy 5 M 30 Not Provided 24.02.2012
Goldman Sachs MANCY SUN Buy/Neutral 5 M 36 12 month 08.02.2012
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. JENNIFER LAW buy 5 M 31 Not Provided 30.01.2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
6. 27.02.2013
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Aluminum Corporation of China Limited, also known as Chalco, is a producer of Price/Volume
alumina and primary aluminum in China. The Company refines bauxite into
9 120.0 M
alumina and smelts aluminato to produce primary aluminum. 8
100.0 M
7
6 80.0 M
5
60.0 M
Valuation Analysis 4
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011 3 40.0 M
2
LTM as of: 01/yy 20.0 M
1
52-Week High (27.02.2012) 4.41
0 .0 M
52-Week Low (05.09.2012) 2.86 m-11 a-11 m-11 j-11 j-11 a-11 s-11 o-11 n-11 d-11 j-12 f-12
Daily Volume 15'842'870.00
Current Price (2/dd/yy) 3.3 Market Data
52-Week High % Change -25.17% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 15.38% Beta 1.46
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 30.32% Equity Float 3'943.97
Shares Out 30.09.2012 3'944.0 Short Int -
Market Capitalization 70'783.45 1 Yr Total Return -20.86%
Total Debt 74'375.05 YTD Return -7.04%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.457
Minority Interest 6'301.3 Analyst Recs 22
Cash and Equivalents 11'644.74 Consensus Rating 1.500
Enterprise Value 149'629.23 Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance Average Volume 5 Day 16'284'240
2600 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 20'196'900
2600 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 23'679'940
Fiscal Year Ended LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2007 31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 01/yy 01/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 12/12 Q4 03/13 Q1
Total Revenue
#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 145'071.2 150'924.2 34'679.0 36'105.0
TEV/Revenue#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 1.03x 1.03x - -
EBITDA #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 3'410.8 6'986.8 1'621.0 -
TEV/EBITDA#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - 43.87x 21.42x - -
Net Income#N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - (5'212.4) (2'689.7) (841.5) (627.0)
P/E #N/A Requesting #N/A Requesting#N/A Requesting Data...
Data... Data... #N/A Requesting Data...
#N/A Requesting Data... - - - - - -
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
EBITDA 9'088.54 Long-Term Rating Date 12.09.2012
EBIT 3'228.38 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 2.22% Long-Term Outlook NEG
Pretax Margin 0.56% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets -3.03% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity -10.11% Credit Ratios
Return on Capital - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 2.17
Asset Turnover 0.88% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 0.06
Margin Analysis Net Debt/EBITDA -
Gross Margin 5.1% Total Debt/EBITDA -
EBITDA Margin - Reference
EBIT Margin -1.9% Total Debt/Equity 143.4%
Net Income Margin 0.2% Total Debt/Capital 56.1%
Structure Asset Turnover 0.88
Current Ratio 0.80 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.57
Quick Ratio 0.28 Accounts receivable turnover-days 17.29
Debt to Assets 47.33% Inventory Days 62.35
Tot Debt to Common Equity 143.43% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 15.22
Accounts Receivable Turnover 21.17 Cash Conversion Cycle 57.72
Inventory Turnover 5.87
Price/ Cash Flow Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00 140'000.0
120'000.0
20.00
100'000.0
15.00 80'000.0
60'000.0
10.00
40'000.0
5.00
20'000.0
0.00
0.0
04.01.2008 04.07.2008 04.01.2009 04.07.2009 04.01.2010 04.07.2010 04.01.2011 04.07.2011 04.01.2012 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7. 27.02.2013
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Holdings By: All
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
FRANKLIN RESOURCES I n/a EXCH 869'414'800 22.04 - 04.01.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a EXCH 271'043'717 6.87 - 28.12.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 186'643'700 4.73 - 16.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 173'336'000 4.39 (184'000) 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a Short (169'930'860) -4.31 - 09.01.2012 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE n/a EXCH 161'136'834 4.09 - 28.07.2011 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a EXCH 156'702'435 3.97 - 09.01.2012 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 144'357'584 3.66 196'000 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE n/a Short (130'059'394) -3.3 - 28.07.2011 Investment Advisor
TEMPLETON INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 77'176'800 1.96 - 31.03.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a Short (44'124'781) -1.12 - 16.12.2011 Investment Advisor
STATE STREET GLOBAL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 35'257'848 0.89 410'190 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 33'122'300 0.84 (24'000) 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
CHINA INTERNATIONAL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 22'566'000 0.57 22'566'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a Short (18'838'621) -0.48 - 28.12.2011 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE ASSET Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 10'126'000 0.26 (144'000) 26.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
JF ASSET MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 9'502'000 0.24 9'502'000 30.06.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
STATE STREET CORP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'514'304 0.22 - 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
KB ASSET MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 7'652'000 0.19 212'000 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
JP MORGAN ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'324'000 0.11 (2'378'000) 26.10.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Morgan Stanley RACHEL L ZHANG Underwt/In-Line 1 M 3 12 month 09.03.2012
Goldman Sachs JULIAN ZHU neutral/neutral 3 M 4 12 month 09.03.2012
Bank of China International ROBIN TSUI hold 3 M 4 Not Provided 08.03.2012
JPMorgan DANIEL KANG neutral 3 M 4 12 month 05.03.2012
BOCOM International Holdings RONGJIN LUO neutral 3 M 4 12 month 02.03.2012
Citi AARON GE sell 1 M 3 Not Provided 01.03.2012
ICBC International Securities DUNCAN CHAN hold 3 M 4 Not Provided 03.02.2012
Mizuho Securities KELVIN NG underperform 1 M 3 12 month 31.01.2012
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. ALEXANDER LATZER underperform 1 M 3 Not Provided 31.01.2012
Macquarie CHRISTINA LEE underperform 1 M 3 12 month 19.01.2012
Barclays Capital EPHREM RAVI underwt/positive 1 M 4 Not Provided 19.01.2012
CLSA Asia Pacific Markets ANDREW DRISCOLL sell 1 M 4 Not Provided 17.01.2012
RBS JEANNETTE SIM sell 1 M 3 12 month 12.01.2012
First Global Stockbroking ADITYA WELEKAR underperform 1 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 24.12.2011
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 06.12.2011
Religare Capital Markets CATHERINE WANG sell 1 M 4 12 month 02.11.2011
Credit Suisse TRINA CHEN underperform 1 M 2 Not Provided 26.10.2011
Standard Chartered CHEN YAN underperform 1 M 4 12 month 25.10.2011
China International Capital Corp CAI HONGYU hold 3 M 6 12 month 29.08.2011
Masterlink Securities SARAH WANG buy 5 U 8 Not Provided 22.06.2011
UOB Kay Hian HELEN LAU buy 5 M 11 Not Provided 15.03.2011
HSBC SARAH MAK overweight 5 M 10 Not Provided 02.03.2011
SWS Research Co Ltd ZHENG DI buy 5 M 12 Not Provided 08.11.2010
Deutsche Bank NAM NGUYEN not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 17.09.2010
Phillip Securities FAN GUOHE hold 3 D 10 12 month 29.11.2009
China Merchants Securities WEI XIAOSHUANG neutral 3 D 4 Not Provided 13.02.2009
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |