The BG Financial Modelling Primer is a useful resource for anyone managing juniors who are developing their modelling and valuation skills. The primer describes:
1. What is a financial model?
2. Why modelling is an essential part of a banker's technical toolkit
3. The stages involved in learning efficient financial modelling
4. A skills map for juniors from 1 to 6 years into their roles
5. A typical 12-18 month learning pathway
6. Types of financial models
7. Modelling glossary
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Financial Modelling Primer from BG Consulting Financial Training
1. A hi i E ll
A Primer for L&D
Achieving Excellence
in Financial Modelling
Experts in Financial Training
2. What is a Financial Model?
A financial model, in its most simple form, is a spreadsheet (typically in Excel)A financial model, in its most simple form, is a spreadsheet (typically in Excel)
created to lay out the financial statements of companies or projects and build
forecasts (known as “financials”)
The use of a spreadsheet makes it easier to arrange the financials in an The use of a spreadsheet makes it easier to arrange the financials in an
organised format that can be divided and manipulated as needed
The outputs of a financial model can be used to interpret and evaluate the
fi i l d id th bilit t d l i b t j tfinancials and provide the ability to draw conclusions about a company, project
or transaction (“financial analysis”)
Outputs include growth rates, credit ratios or returnsp g
Examples of interpretation include assessing the company’s profitability, the
level of indebtedness, the right value of a business (how much to pay for a
business)business)
Financial models can vary in type and complexity depending on the
requirements of the client/transaction
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3. An Essential Toolkit for Bankers
Financial models are an essential part
of a banker’s technical toolkit
They make it easier to undertake
Build a
Financial
ModelThey make it easier to undertake
financial analysis in a more accurate,
efficient and speedy fashion
This in turn facilitates better decision Financial This, in turn, facilitates better decision
making internally when assessing the
type of product (including quantity
and pricing) or the advice offered to
Interpretation
and
Analysis
a d p c g) o t e ad ce o e ed to
clients
It also improves the quality of advice
provided to clients by the banker
and
Conclusions
provided to clients by the banker
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4. Financial Model Learning Stagesg g
Beginner
(0 – 3 years)
Intermediate
(2 - 5 years)
Advanced
(3 – 8 years)
Financing models,
e.g. leveraged
buyouts (“LBOs”)
Develop scenarios
Construct debt
schedules
Organise the model
and construct
formulae in Excel
Modelling
transactions, e.g.
merger modelling
schedules
Develop model for
credit analysis
D l d l f
Build 3 statement
financial models
(Balance Sheet,
Project finance
modelling
Develop model for
valuation purposes,
e.g. comparables or
discounted cashflow
P&L and Cashflow
Statements)
Project financials
discounted cashflow
analysis (“DCF”) Error checking and
Excel proficiency
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5. Skills Map Through the Yearsp g
0-3 years 3 6 years 6 years onwards0-3 years 3- 6 years 6 years - onwards
Mastery of financing models,
e.g. leveraged buyouts
(“LBOs”)
Develop scenarios
Confidence in building a model
Learning functionalities of
excel
O i th d l d ( LBOs )
Mastery of modelling
transactions, e.g. merger
modelling
Project finance modelling (for
from scratch
Interpretation of numbers
Explanation of model and why
Identifying and checking errors
Organise the model and
construct formulae in Excel
Build 3 statement financial
models (Balance Sheet, P&L
and Cashflow Statements)
infrastructure bankers)
Focus on origination and deal
flow
Idea generation
At li t ti
Construct debt schedules
Develop model for credit
analysis
Develop model for valuation
purposes e g comparables or
Project financials
Knowing how to check for
errors
Being able to explain the
model At client meetings
Confidence in presenting
and substantiating the
numbers
purposes, e.g. comparables or
discounted cashflow analysis
(“DCF”)
Financing models, e.g.
leveraged buyouts (“LBOs”)
model
Understanding the different
models
Understanding the why and
attention to detail
Modelling transactions, e.g.
merger modelling
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Financial modelling is underpinned by ongoing mastery of financial analysis and accounting
6. Typical 12-18 Month Learning Pathwayyp g y
Month 1Month 1
Graduate Programme
6 - 8 months 12 - 18 months
Advanced accounting
Leasing & pensions
Transaction
d lli
Intermediate accounting
Intermediate valuation
Modelling
Accounting
Fundamentals
Valuation
M d lli modelling
Advanced valuation
Advanced modelling
Intermediate –
advanced
Error checking
Modelling
Basic –
Intermediate
Reasonable knowledge Interpreting the numbers
Advanced topics on other
products:
D i ti
Build upon foundation of:
Merger modelling
DCF
Reasonable knowledge
of the following topics:
DCF
LBO Derivatives
Convertibles
LBO
LBO
Merger modelling
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Technical class room training is combined with practical on the job learning, learning from others
and doing by experience
7. Types of Financial Models (I / II)yp ( )
There are different types of financial models that are used by corporate There are different types of financial models that are used by corporate
and investment bankers, serving different purposes
Model Type OverviewModel Type Overview
Three Statement
Cashflow
Includes three financial statements (P&L, Balance Sheet
and Cashflow)
Used as a basis for developing projections
Discounted Cashflow
(DCF)
A model that is derived from the cashflow projections
above (unlevered) to value a company
Comparable Company
or Comparable
Transaction Analysis
A model that calculates the value of a company by
applying its financial metrics to valuation ratios of similar
listed companies or similar transactionsTransaction Analysis
(“Comps”)
listed companies or similar transactions
Transaction Models that assess the financial impact of the
combination of two businesses including merger models
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combination of two businesses, including merger models
and accretion / dilution
8. Types of Financial Models (II / II)yp ( )
Model Type Overview
Credit Analysis Uses the 3 statement model to derive key (credit) ratios that
measure the amount of debt and the ability to repaymeasure the amount of debt and the ability to repay
Leveraged Buyout
(“LBO”)
Builds on the three statement financial model to determine
th t f d bt t d th t(“LBO”) the amount of debt a company can support and the return on
investment achieved at a particular valuation
Typical for highly levered (indebted) transactions
Project Finance A long term cashflow model for a project (e g building of aProject Finance A long term cashflow model for a project (e.g. building of a
road or power station), that typically involves construction
(though not always) of an infrastructure asset
Used to assess the amount of leverage it can support and the
returns
Are typically more complex than LBOs due to the type of data
available and level of detail required
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9. Types of Models for Bankersyp
Investment
Banking
- DCF
- Comps
- Transaction
LBO
Banking
- LBO
Corporate
Banking / Lev.
Finance
Three Statement
Model –
underpins all
other financial
models Structured /
- Credit
- LBO
Project
Finance –
they use their
own specific
models as the
Project Finance
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detail and
information is
specific
10. Glossary of Terms (I / II)y ( )
Term Description
Financials Actual or forecast financial data of the company, upto and
including the three financial statements of a company (profitg p y (p
and loss account, balance sheet and cashflow statements)
Financial Analysis The evaluation of financial data to interpret / draw conclusions
using different methodologies. An example includes
determining how indebted it is by looking at ratios, i.e. debt /
operating profit
Cashflow The cash generated by a business from its operating, investing
and financing activities
Comparables
(“Comps”) /
Multiples
A valuation multiple is a ratio between a valuation metric and a
financial or operating metric, i.e. price per share / earnings per
share (P/E multiple) for a company. Comps are valuation
multiples prepared for companies that are similar to the target
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multiples prepared for companies that are similar to the target
company in question
11. Glossary of Terms (II / II)y ( )
Term Description
Leverage /
Indebtedness
Amount of debt in the company or project, sometimes gross
(excluding) or net (after deducting) of cash( g) ( g)
Financial Metric A financial number provided or derived from a set of accounts,
i.e. Revenues, Operating Profit, EBITDA, etc
EBITDA Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation
Convertibles A type of financial debt that converts into equity (shares) under
certain conditions
Derivatives A complex financial instrument that provides the recipient withDerivatives A complex financial instrument that provides the recipient with
the option to undertake an action
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