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Crop Modelling for Stress Situation
Term Paper Presentation
By: Sanjay Chetry
Ph.D. Scholar
ID: 2020632001
Dept. of Fruit Science
TNAU, Coimbatore
FSC
605:
Biotic
and
Abiotic
Stress
Management
in
Horticultural
Crops
(2+1)
Stress
Stress in plants refers to external conditions that adversely affect growth,
development or productivity of plants
Stresses trigger a wide range of plant responses like altered gene expression,
cellular metabolism, changes in growth rates, crop yields, etc.
Abiotic stresses such as drought,
excessive watering (water logging),
extreme temperatures (cold, frost
and heat), salinity and mineral
toxicity negatively impact growth,
development, yield and seed quality
of crop and other plants
Biotic stress in plants is caused by
living organisms, specially viruses,
bacteria, fungi, nematodes, insects,
arachnids and weeds. The agents
causing biotic stress directly
deprive their host of its nutrients
can lead to death of plants
High light
High temperature
Drought
Salinity
Cold Stress
Mechanical damage
Air pollution
Plants exposed to a variety of abiotic stresses
These stresses often occurs in combination
Abiotic Stress
Stress response
Resistance Susceptibility Avoidance
Acclimation Senescence Survival
Growth Death
Survival
Crop Modelling
Crop Crop is defined as an “aggregation of individual plant species grown in
a unit area for economic purpose”
Modeling is the use of equations or sets of equations to represent
the behaviour of a system Modelling
Crop models are a formal way to present quantitative
knowledge about how a crop grows in interaction with its
environment
Inputs and system approach of crop growth
models
Site data
Weather data
Crop data
Soil data
Pest data
Management data
M
O
D
E
L
Crop Yield
Concepts of Crop Modelling
contains quantitative information
about major processes involved in
the growth and development of the
crop.
imitates the behaviour of a real
crop
In the sixties, the first attempt to
model photosynthetic rates of crop
canopies was made
used to understand the effects of
climate change
Modelling represents a
better way of synthesizing
knowledge about different
components of a system,
summarizing data, and
transferring research
results to users
(France & Thornley,
1984)
 Research on Interaction of Plant, Soil, Weather and Management Practices
 Prediction of Crop Growth as well as Limiting factors
 On farm decision making and agronomic management
 Optimizing management using climatic predictions
 Precision Farming and Site Specific Experimentation
 Weather Based agro advisory services
 Yield analysis and Forecasting
 Introduction and Breeding of New Varieties
 Policy Management
Applications of Crop Models
Evaluate cultivar stability under long term weather conditions
Impact of Modelling on Agriculture
Evaluation of optimum management for
cultural practices in crop production
Evaluate weather risk via weather
forecasting
Proper crop surveillance with respect to pests,
diseases and deficiency & excess of nutrients
Yield prediction and forecasting
These are resource conserving tools Solve various practical problems in agriculture
Identification of the precise reasons for yield gap at farmer’s field
Forecasting crop yields
Hypothesis
Science is
concerned
with
prediction
Conceptual
model are
hypotheses
Models are logically
and quantitatively
constructed series
of beliefs about how
a system works
Research knowledge
synthesis and
crop system decision
management
Prediction Beliefs
Knowledge
Why Model?
Statistical Model
Phonological Model
Mechanistic Model
Deterministic Model
Stochastic Model
Dynamic Model
Static Model
Crop Simulation Models
Descriptive Model
Explanatory Model
Types of Models
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
9
1
0
8
Statistical Model
These models express
the relationship
between yield or yield
components and
weather parameters
Relationships are
measured in a system
using statistical
techniques
Statistical models of
crop responses to
climate change, based
on historical datasets
of crop and climate
variables have also
been used to address
impact of climatic
change on food security
in developing countries.
Phenological Model
These models predict the crop development from
one crop growth stage to another.
The Prediction is generally based on
accumulated Heat units
These models have the ability to mimic relevant
physical, chemical or biological processes and to
describe how and why a particular response occurs
Mechanistic Model
It explain not only the relationship between weather
parameters and yield, but also the mechanism of these
models (explains the relationship of influencing
dependent variables)
These models are based on physical selection
(Murthy, 2002)
When variation and uncertainty reaches a high level, it
becomes advisable to develop a stochastic model that gives an
expected mean value as well as the associated variance
In Stochastic models, a probability element is
attached to each output. For each set of inputs
different outputs are given along with probabilities
These models define yield or state of
dependent variable at a given rate
Time is included as a variable
Both dependent and independent variables
are having values which remain constant
over a given period of time
After which these variables changes due to
change in independent variable
Time is not included as a variable.
The dependent and independent
variable having values remain
constant
Static Model
Simulation models involve
Computer models with a
mathematical representn of
a real world system.
One of the main goals of
crop simulation models
is to estimate
agricultural production
as a function of weather
and soil conditions as
well as crop mgmt.
These form a group of
models that is designed for
the purpose of imitating the
behaviour of a system.
This model uses one or
more differential equation
over time normally from
planting until harvest
1 2
3
4
A descriptive model defines the behaviour of a
system in a simple manner.
The model reflects little or none of the
mechanisms that are the causes of
phenomena
It consists of one or more
mathematical equations
This consists of quantitative description of
the mechanisms and processes that cause
the behaviour of the system such as leaf
area expansion, flowering, fruiting etc. as
crop growth is a consequence of these
processes
Popular Crop Models Used Extensively in India
and Worldwide
Developed by IARI, India
1. WTGROWS
2. ORYZA1N
3. InfoCrop
4. InfoSoil
Acquired by India
1. DSSAT
2. ORYZA1N, ORYZAW
3. WOFOST
4. DNDC
01
05
04
03
02
Crop
growth
and yield
Key Component of INFOCROP
Weather
Crop/Variety
Agronomic
inputs
Soil
Pest
Crop models are not able to give accurate projections because of inadequate
understanding of natural processes and computer power limitation (It is based on
estimations)
Unreliable and unrealistic projection of
changes in climate variability
Crop models are not universal (no site
specific)
A particular limitation for fruit tree crop models is the limited and incomplete
database of good quantitative data for modelling
The best data and knowledge bases generally are for
1. Phenology
2. Leaf photosynthesis (light and temp. responses)
3. Shoot growth and leaf area development
4. Fruit growth and respiration.
Major
Gaps
Respiration rates in general-available
data is almost all short term
measurements; responses to
temperature done in short term, not
long-term
Root growth patterns, respiration,
root turnover rates and its
implications
The seasonal demands for carbon
of different organs
Detailed understanding of fruit
abscission processes
Model performance is limited to the quality of
input data
Future aspects
Globalization of markets has increased competitiveness, highlighting the need for
products of high quality
(Dimokas et al., 2009)
Fruit breeders must satisfy two requests concurrently: the production of high
quality fruits and the use of sustainable practices
(Li et al., 2009; Quilot et al., 2005; Kropff and Struik, 2002)
Recent advances in genetics and molecular plant biology can play a key role in crop
modelling by improving crop responses to environmental conditions and
management factors
(Bannayan et al., 2007)
For the two last decades, crop modelling has become one of the major research tools in
horticulture.
Identifying gaps in our knowledge, thus enabling more efficient and targeted research
planning
Concerning fruit quality, this new generation is really needed to accompany the advances
in fruit genomics
The adoption of standard units, formation of inputs and outputs, selection of variables,
the production of proper documentation, limitations and the use of procedures of
software quality assurance would increase the portability of models and lower the risk of
error or misuse
An intensely calibrated and evaluated model can be used to effectively conduct research
that would in the end save time and money and significantly contribute to developing
sustainable agriculture that meets the world’s needs for food
Conclusion
Crop modelling for stress situation (Sanjay Chetry).pptx

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Crop modelling for stress situation (Sanjay Chetry).pptx

  • 1. Crop Modelling for Stress Situation Term Paper Presentation By: Sanjay Chetry Ph.D. Scholar ID: 2020632001 Dept. of Fruit Science TNAU, Coimbatore FSC 605: Biotic and Abiotic Stress Management in Horticultural Crops (2+1)
  • 2. Stress Stress in plants refers to external conditions that adversely affect growth, development or productivity of plants Stresses trigger a wide range of plant responses like altered gene expression, cellular metabolism, changes in growth rates, crop yields, etc. Abiotic stresses such as drought, excessive watering (water logging), extreme temperatures (cold, frost and heat), salinity and mineral toxicity negatively impact growth, development, yield and seed quality of crop and other plants Biotic stress in plants is caused by living organisms, specially viruses, bacteria, fungi, nematodes, insects, arachnids and weeds. The agents causing biotic stress directly deprive their host of its nutrients can lead to death of plants
  • 3. High light High temperature Drought Salinity Cold Stress Mechanical damage Air pollution Plants exposed to a variety of abiotic stresses These stresses often occurs in combination
  • 4. Abiotic Stress Stress response Resistance Susceptibility Avoidance Acclimation Senescence Survival Growth Death Survival
  • 5. Crop Modelling Crop Crop is defined as an “aggregation of individual plant species grown in a unit area for economic purpose” Modeling is the use of equations or sets of equations to represent the behaviour of a system Modelling Crop models are a formal way to present quantitative knowledge about how a crop grows in interaction with its environment
  • 6.
  • 7. Inputs and system approach of crop growth models Site data Weather data Crop data Soil data Pest data Management data M O D E L Crop Yield
  • 8. Concepts of Crop Modelling contains quantitative information about major processes involved in the growth and development of the crop. imitates the behaviour of a real crop In the sixties, the first attempt to model photosynthetic rates of crop canopies was made used to understand the effects of climate change Modelling represents a better way of synthesizing knowledge about different components of a system, summarizing data, and transferring research results to users (France & Thornley, 1984)
  • 9.  Research on Interaction of Plant, Soil, Weather and Management Practices  Prediction of Crop Growth as well as Limiting factors  On farm decision making and agronomic management  Optimizing management using climatic predictions  Precision Farming and Site Specific Experimentation  Weather Based agro advisory services  Yield analysis and Forecasting  Introduction and Breeding of New Varieties  Policy Management Applications of Crop Models
  • 10. Evaluate cultivar stability under long term weather conditions Impact of Modelling on Agriculture Evaluation of optimum management for cultural practices in crop production Evaluate weather risk via weather forecasting Proper crop surveillance with respect to pests, diseases and deficiency & excess of nutrients Yield prediction and forecasting These are resource conserving tools Solve various practical problems in agriculture Identification of the precise reasons for yield gap at farmer’s field Forecasting crop yields
  • 11. Hypothesis Science is concerned with prediction Conceptual model are hypotheses Models are logically and quantitatively constructed series of beliefs about how a system works Research knowledge synthesis and crop system decision management Prediction Beliefs Knowledge Why Model?
  • 12. Statistical Model Phonological Model Mechanistic Model Deterministic Model Stochastic Model Dynamic Model Static Model Crop Simulation Models Descriptive Model Explanatory Model Types of Models 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 1 0 8
  • 13. Statistical Model These models express the relationship between yield or yield components and weather parameters Relationships are measured in a system using statistical techniques Statistical models of crop responses to climate change, based on historical datasets of crop and climate variables have also been used to address impact of climatic change on food security in developing countries.
  • 14. Phenological Model These models predict the crop development from one crop growth stage to another. The Prediction is generally based on accumulated Heat units
  • 15. These models have the ability to mimic relevant physical, chemical or biological processes and to describe how and why a particular response occurs Mechanistic Model It explain not only the relationship between weather parameters and yield, but also the mechanism of these models (explains the relationship of influencing dependent variables) These models are based on physical selection (Murthy, 2002)
  • 16.
  • 17. When variation and uncertainty reaches a high level, it becomes advisable to develop a stochastic model that gives an expected mean value as well as the associated variance In Stochastic models, a probability element is attached to each output. For each set of inputs different outputs are given along with probabilities These models define yield or state of dependent variable at a given rate
  • 18. Time is included as a variable Both dependent and independent variables are having values which remain constant over a given period of time After which these variables changes due to change in independent variable
  • 19. Time is not included as a variable. The dependent and independent variable having values remain constant Static Model
  • 20. Simulation models involve Computer models with a mathematical representn of a real world system. One of the main goals of crop simulation models is to estimate agricultural production as a function of weather and soil conditions as well as crop mgmt. These form a group of models that is designed for the purpose of imitating the behaviour of a system. This model uses one or more differential equation over time normally from planting until harvest 1 2 3 4
  • 21. A descriptive model defines the behaviour of a system in a simple manner. The model reflects little or none of the mechanisms that are the causes of phenomena It consists of one or more mathematical equations This consists of quantitative description of the mechanisms and processes that cause the behaviour of the system such as leaf area expansion, flowering, fruiting etc. as crop growth is a consequence of these processes
  • 22. Popular Crop Models Used Extensively in India and Worldwide Developed by IARI, India 1. WTGROWS 2. ORYZA1N 3. InfoCrop 4. InfoSoil Acquired by India 1. DSSAT 2. ORYZA1N, ORYZAW 3. WOFOST 4. DNDC 01 05 04 03 02 Crop growth and yield Key Component of INFOCROP Weather Crop/Variety Agronomic inputs Soil Pest
  • 23. Crop models are not able to give accurate projections because of inadequate understanding of natural processes and computer power limitation (It is based on estimations) Unreliable and unrealistic projection of changes in climate variability Crop models are not universal (no site specific) A particular limitation for fruit tree crop models is the limited and incomplete database of good quantitative data for modelling The best data and knowledge bases generally are for 1. Phenology 2. Leaf photosynthesis (light and temp. responses) 3. Shoot growth and leaf area development 4. Fruit growth and respiration.
  • 24. Major Gaps Respiration rates in general-available data is almost all short term measurements; responses to temperature done in short term, not long-term Root growth patterns, respiration, root turnover rates and its implications The seasonal demands for carbon of different organs Detailed understanding of fruit abscission processes Model performance is limited to the quality of input data
  • 25. Future aspects Globalization of markets has increased competitiveness, highlighting the need for products of high quality (Dimokas et al., 2009) Fruit breeders must satisfy two requests concurrently: the production of high quality fruits and the use of sustainable practices (Li et al., 2009; Quilot et al., 2005; Kropff and Struik, 2002) Recent advances in genetics and molecular plant biology can play a key role in crop modelling by improving crop responses to environmental conditions and management factors (Bannayan et al., 2007)
  • 26. For the two last decades, crop modelling has become one of the major research tools in horticulture. Identifying gaps in our knowledge, thus enabling more efficient and targeted research planning Concerning fruit quality, this new generation is really needed to accompany the advances in fruit genomics The adoption of standard units, formation of inputs and outputs, selection of variables, the production of proper documentation, limitations and the use of procedures of software quality assurance would increase the portability of models and lower the risk of error or misuse An intensely calibrated and evaluated model can be used to effectively conduct research that would in the end save time and money and significantly contribute to developing sustainable agriculture that meets the world’s needs for food Conclusion