2. GLOBAL BLACK TEA PRODUCTION
• From the global perspective, World tea output has significantly
recovered from lower production trend occasioned by drought
experienced across the major tea producing countries in 2009 and
2008
• For the period up to May 2010, the three key producers of Black
tea (India, Kenya and Sri Lanka), which account for about two-
thirds of the world’s Black tea production, registered increased
production of 115 Million Kgs compared to the same period of last
year
• Kenya accounted for the highest increase of 61% (69 Million Kgs),
while Sri Lanka registered an increased production of 25% (26.9
Million kg)
3. 3
Major producing countries
( Jan to June’10 )
COUNTRY
2010 2009 [+/-] mkgs 2010 2009 [+/-] mkgs
Bangladesh 6.30 6.70 -0.40 13.81 14.34 -0.53
India 104.04 118.05 -14.01 338.97 333.90 5.07
Kenya 29.82 25.34 4.48 213.01 139.28 73.73
Sri Lanka 29.50 20.50 9.00 166.90 132.20 34.70
Combined 169.66 170.59 -0.93 732.69 619.72 112.97
COMPARATIVE GLOBAL CROP : JUNE
During June Upto June
World Crop
4. Auction Prices for tea Across Major Tea
Producers (USD/Kg)
Period To Date
2010
To Date
2009
% Variance
Kenya June 2.60 2.23 17 %
Sri-Lanka June 3.24 2.82 15%
India June 1.99 1.95 2 %
6. KENYA EXPORTS (Jan-June 10)
Destination Quantity in Million Kg
EGYPT 49 m Kg
UK 38 m Kg
PAKISTAN 31 m Kg
AFGHANSTAN 29 m Kg
SUDAN 13 m Kg
UAE 9.50m Kg
RUSSIA 7.4 m Kg
13. 13
Production comparison
( India crop Jan – June )
Crop
Variance %
Region 2010 2009 2008 2010/2009 + / (-)
North India 212.3 222.4 225.9 -10.1 -4.5
South India 126.7 111.4 119.7 15.3 13.7
All India 339.0 333.8 345.6 5.2 1.6
* Qnty. in mil. Kgs
0 50 100 150 200 250
2010
2009
2008
South India
North India
14. 14
2010 – Auction Prices
( North India )
Price outlook
Months * CTC leaf & all Dust
2010 2009 2008 2007
Jan 98.45 87.98 72.20 63.80
Feb 94.07 81.35 63.72 59.18
Mar 79.41 78.01 62.29 61.19
Apr 106.56 115.96 97.46 81.82
May 113.55 133.48 91.14 73.95
Jun 116.66 127.10 101.02 82.79
Jul 118.77 112.92 92.90 77.38
Aug 116.00 115.05 94.57 71.61
Sep 114.00 115.10 103.90 74.96
Oct 112.00 120.06 105.58 72.82
Nov 115.00 121.61 100.03 74.43
Dec 113.00 114.05 94.18 78.45 * Estimates for Aug to Dec'10
North India ( Auc.Avg. )
PRICE COMPARISION ( NORTH INDIA AUCTIONS )
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
Avg.(Rs/Kg)
2010
2009
2008
2007
15. 15
All India Exports
( A Comparison – Jan to June’10 )
Export outlook
2010 / 2009
2010 2009 2008 2007 Variance
Jan 17.0 12.0 16.9 13.7 5.0
Feb 12.2 12.1 16.1 11.1 0.1
Mar 18.0 14.2 17.9 19.2 3.8
Apr 12.7 11.3 11.9 9.0 1.4
May 11.2 9.8 13.0 9.3 1.4
June 12.8 15.0 14.8 13.6 -2.2
July 19.4 18.5 10.3
Aug 18.7 21.4 17.1
Sept 18.4 19.5 15.3
Oct 18.7 21.0 13.5
Nov 19.2 15.6 12.7
Dec 22.2 20.5 11.9
Total 83.9 191.0 207.1 156.7 9.6
INDIAN EXPORTS ( A Comparision )
5
10
15
20
25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Month
Qnty.(Mil.Kgs)
2010
2009
2008
2007
16. 16
Region wise exports from India
Export outlook
Jan to June Jan to June Variance Variance
Region 2010 2009 + / (-) %
North India 36 38.4 -2.4 -6.25
South India 47.9 36.2 11.7 32.32
All India 83.90 74.60 9.30 12.47
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2010
2009
Year
Qnty. (Mil. Kgs)
South India
North India
17. 17
Market review 2010
• Like the Previous 3 months August crop in
North India is expected to be down. Pest
attack has been contained but not eradicated
• Industry likely to see another year of buoyant
prices.
• Domestic demand expected to surge ahead.
• Exports have been good on higher Orthodox
production.
18. Market review 2010
• Excepting North India all others regions are
showing substantial increases globally
• If prices are at the current levels then a price
hike is expected in the fourth quarter.
• Global production is expected to be more by
135 m kg
• Sri Lanka and Kenya are showing much higher
crops but global demand is strong and prices
are moving up
