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Astronomy & Astrophysics manuscript no. pepe˙article                                                                              August 18, 2011
                                               (DOI: will be inserted by hand later)




                                                  The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone
                                                         I – Very low-mass planets around HD20794, HD85512 and HD192310

                                                         F. Pepe1 , C. Lovis1 , D. S´ gransan1 , W. Benz2 , F. Bouchy3,4 , X. Dumusque1 , M. Mayor1 , D. Queloz1 ,
                                                                                    e
                                                                                                 N. C. Santos5,6 , and S. Udry1

                                                     1
                                                         Observatoire de Gen` ve, Universit´ de Gen` ve, 51 ch. des Maillettes, CH–1290 Versoix, Switzerland
                                                                              e               e       e
                                                     2
                                                         Physikalisches Institut Universit¨ t Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, CH–3012 Bern, Switzerland
                                                                                          a
                                                     3
                                                         Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, UMR7095 CNRS, Universit´ Pierre & Marie Curie, 98bis Bd Arago, F–75014 Paris, France
                                                                                                                        e
arXiv:1108.3447v1 [astro-ph.EP] 17 Aug 2011




                                                     4
                                                         Observatoire de Haute-Provence/CNRS, F–04870 St.Michel l’Observatoire, France
                                                     5
                                                         Centro de Astrof´sica da Universidade do Porto, Rua das Estrelas, P–4150-762 Porto, Portugal
                                                                          ı
                                                     6
                                                         Departamento de F´sica e Astronomia, Faculdade de Ciˆ ncias, Universidade do Porto, Portugal
                                                                            ı                                      e

                                                     received; accepted

                                                     Abstract. In 2009 we started, within the dedicated HARPS-Upgrade GTO program, an intense radial-velocity monitoring of a
                                                     few nearby, slowly-rotating and quiet solar-type stars. The goal of this campaign is to gather, with high cadence and continuity,
                                                     very-precise radial-velocity data in order to detect tiny signatures of very-low-mass stars potentially in the habitable zone of their
                                                     parent stars. 10 stars have been selected among the most stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision program, uniformly
                                                     spread in hour angle, such that three to four of them are observable at any time of the year. For each star we record 50 data
                                                     points spread over the observing season. The data point consists of three nightly observations of a total integration time of 10
                                                     minutes each and separated by 2 hours. This is an observational strategy adopted to minimize stellar pulsation and granulation
                                                     noise. In this paper we present the first results of this ambitious program. The radial-velocity data and the orbital parameters of
                                                     five new and one confirmed low-mass planets around the stars HD 20794, HD 85512 and HD 192310, respectively, are reported
                                                     and discussed, among which a system of three super-Earths and one harboring a 3.6 M⊕ -planet at the inner edge of the habitable
                                                     zone. This result already confirms previous indications that low-mass planets seem to be very frequent around solar-type stars
                                                     and that this occurrence frequency may be higher than 30%.


                                              1. Introduction                                                            new planets will be discovered in a near future as the radial-
                                                                                                                         velocity (RV) precision improves and the various programs in-
                                              During the past years the field of extra-solar planets evolved              crease their effectiveness and their time basis.
                                              towards the exploration of very low-mass planets down to the
                                                                                                                              ESO’s HARPS instrument (Mayor et al. 2003) has certainly
                                              regime of super-Earths, i.e. to objects of only few times the
                                                                                                                         played a key role by delivering more than 100 new candidates
                                              Earth mass. Although finding Earth-like planets is probably the
                                                                                                                         in its first eight years of operation. The most important and im-
                                              main trigger for this searches, one has to consider the fact that
                                                                                                                         pressive contribution of this instrument lies more specifically
                                              their characterization contributes in a significant way to build-
                                                                                                                         in the field of super-Earths and Neptune-mass planets. Indeed,
                                              ing up a global picture of how exoplanets form and evolve. The
                                                                                                                         about 2/3 of the planets with mass below 18 M⊕ known to date
                                              frequency and nature of these planets may be able to discrim-
                                                                                                                         have been discovered by HARPS. This new era started in 2004
                                              inate between various theories and models, deliver new inputs
                                                                                                                         with the discovery of several Neptune-mass planets such as
                                              and constraints to them, and contribute to refining their param-
                                                                                                                         µ Ara c (Santos et al. (2004), see also Pepe et al. (2007) for
                                              eters. On the other hand, the models provide us with predic-
                                                                                                                         an update of the parameters), 55 Cnc (McArthur et al. 2004),
                                              tions which can be verified by observations. For instance, the
                                                                                                                         and GJ 436 (Butler et al. 2004). Many more followed, but the
                                              presently discovered low-mass planets are predicted to be only
                                                                                                                         detection of the planetary system HD 69830 containing three
                                              the tip of the iceberg of a huge, still undiscovered planetary
                                                                                                                         Neptune-mass planets (Lovis et al. 2006), and that of HD 40307
                                              population (Mordasini et al. 2009). If confirmed, hundreds of
                                                                                                                         with its three Super-Earths (Mayor et al. 2009b), best illustrate
                                              Send offprint requests to:                                                  the huge potential of HARPS. HARPS also revealed to us the
                                              F. Pepe, e-mail: Francesco.Pepe@unige.ch                                   system Gl 581, with two possibly rocky planets c and d having
                                                  Based on observations made with the HARPS instrument on                masses of 5 and 8 M-Earth, respectively, both lying at the edge
                                              ESO’s 3.6 m telescope at the La Silla Observatory in the frame of the      of the habitable zone (HZ) of their parent star (Udry et al. 2007;
                                              HARPS-Upgrade GTO program ID 69.A-0123(A)                                  Selsis et al. 2007), and the Gl 581 e of only 1.9 M⊕ (Mayor
2                              F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone

                                                                       2. Searching for Earth analogs around nearby
                                                                          stars
                                                                       The recent HARPS discoveries made us aware of the fact that
                                                                       discovering Earth-like exoplanets is already within the reach of
                                                                       HARPS, although important questions still remain open: How
                                                                       frequent are low-mass planets? At what level is the detection
                                                                       bias? Where is the precision limit set by stellar noise? Can we
                                                                       detect low-mass planets in the habitable zone of their parent
                                                                       star if sufficient observations on a high-precision instrument are
                                                                       invested? Driven by the very encouraging results of the HARPS
                                                                       High-Precision programme (Udry & Mayor 2008) and the hints
                                                                       for high planet occurrence announced by Lovis et al. (2009),
                                                                       we have decided to investigate these questions in further de-
                                                                       tail. For this purpose, we have defined a specific program on
Fig. 1. Histogram of companion masses. The dark area shows the com-
                                                                       HARPS for the search of rocky planets in the habitable zone
panions discovered with HARPS and includes the candidates which
                                                                       HZ based on Guaranteed Time Observations (GTO).
are in preparation for publication.
                                                                            We decided to observe 10 nearby stars with the highest pos-
                                                                       sible radial-velocity precision and sampling during a period of
                                                                       4 years. Our goal is to probe the presence of extra-solar planets
et al. 2009a). Last but not least, we should mention the sys-          as similar as possible to our Earth. Therefore, we have selected
tem around HD 10180, with 7 extra-solar planets of low mass,           targets with the following characteristics:
among which the lightest ever detected exoplanet HD 10180 b,
with m ∗ sin i of only 1.5 M⊕ (Lovis et al. 2011b).                     – The stellar magnitude must be such that we are not limited
                                                                          by photon noise within a 15-minutes exposure, i.e. ensure
    Figure 1 shows the mass distribution of companions around
                                                                          an RV-precision of better than 30 cm s−1 .
solar-type stars of all the published planets, including the
                                                                        – Stars should lie within 10 pc from the Sun.
HARPS candidates which are in preparation. The HARPS de-
                                                                        – The targets must have characteristics which guarantee the
tections (dark area) probe a mass range which suffered from
                                                                          best RV precision, i.e they should be of late-G to early-K
strong detection biases before. It must be noticed that the planet
                                                                          spectral type and have low rotational velocity (a rotational
frequency increases again below 20 M⊕ . This increase is highly
                                                                          velocity below what can be detected with HARPS, i. e.
significant, since higher-mass planets induce higher RV varia-
                                                                          v sin i < 1 km s−1 ) and low activity indicators (log(R’HK ) <
tions on their parent star and are therefore detected more easily.
                                                                          −4.85).
Moreover, a recent investigation of the HARPS high-precision
                                                                        – The RV scatter measured with HARPS over the first years
sample has shown that about 1/3 of all sample stars exhibit RV
                                                                          of operation must be lower than 2 m/s rms over several
variations indicating the presence of super-Earths or ice giants
                                                                          years and based on a minimum of 10 recorded data points.
(Lovis et al. 2009). Indeed, planet formation models (Ida & Lin
                                                                        – The ten targets must be evenly distributed in terms of right-
2008; Mordasini et al. 2009; Alibert et al. 2011) show that only
                                                                          ascension to allow the observation of at least 3 to 4 targets
a small fraction (of the order of 10%) of all existing embryos
                                                                          at any period of the year.
will be able to grow and become giant planets. Hence, we ex-
pect that the majority of solar-type stars will be surrounded              Combining all these criteria resulted actually in a strong
by low-mass planets. The inclusion of telluric planets can only        down-selection of the 400 possible candidates of the original
increase further the planet frequency and thus the probability         HARPS high-precision program. In particular the requirement
of detection. This implies that even a small sample of target          on the distance from the Sun resulted to be too limiting, when
stars is likely to reveal, if followed with high enough accuracy,      considering all the other requirements, such that we had to re-
several Earth-like planets. Pushing the measurement precision          lax this requirement and allow targets to enter the list with dis-
further should therefore naturally increase the probability of         tances up to 16 pc.
finding new planets, especially of very low mass and rocky,                 The 10 selected targets are given in Table1. The most
and possibly in the habitable zone of their host star.                 prominent member is Alpha Cen B (HD 128621). This star is
    In the following section we will describe our program for          of particular interest because of its brightness and its short dis-
the specific search for low-mass and rocky extra-solar planets          tance to the Sun. If planets were detected around Alpha Cen B
lying possibly in the habitable zone of their parent star. The ob-     they would be ideal candidates for further follow-up by spec-
servations of these targets is presented in Section 3. The three       troscopy, astrometry, photometry, etc. Furthermore, this star is
host stars of the program around which we have detected new            part of a triple system which makes the question even more
planets will be described in greater detail in Section 4. Section 5    interesting. However, what appears to be the greatest advan-
presents the three newly discovered planets as well as the con-        tage generates some observational challenge: On the one hand,
firmation of a recently announced planet. Finally, a short dis-         the bright magnitude of Alpha Cen B is a limiting factor for
cussion and an outlook on the occurrence frequency of low-             the telescope guiding system and may result in poorer RV pre-
mass planets is given in Section 6.                                    cision due to incomplete light scrambling across the spectro-
F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone                            3

Table 1. Targets of the HARPS’ search for Earth analogs around         atmospheric effects, etc. The photon noise is ’by design’ well
nearby stars program                                                   below this level and can be neglected. With 50 well-sampled
                                                                       data points we should then be able to detect a 50 cm s−1 RV
 Target         R.A.        DEC         Sp. type    VMag     Dist.     semi-amplitude at better than a 3-sigma level. This signal corre-
                [h:m:s]     [◦ :’:”]                         [pc]
                                                                       sponds to a 2.2 M⊕ on a 1-month orbit or a 4 M⊕ on a 6-months
 HD 1581        00:20:04    -64:52:29   F9V         4.23     8.59      orbit. When extended to 3 years, the same observational strat-
 HD 10700       01:44:04    -15:56:15   G8V         3.49     3.65
                                                                       egy will allow us to increase the number of data points and
 HD 20794       03:19:55    -43:04:11   G8V         4.26     6.06
                                                                       consequently reduce the detectable semi-amplitude to about
 HD 65907A      07:57:46    -60:18:11   G2V         5.59     16.19
 HD 85512       09:51:07    -43:30:10   K5V         7.67     11.15     30 cm s−1 or the equivalent of a 1.3 M⊕ planet on a 1-month
 HD 109200      12:33:31    -68:45:20   K0V         7.13     16.17     orbit, or a 2.3 M⊕ on a 6-months orbit. On the other hand, it is
 HD 128621      14:39:35    -60:50:14   K1V         1.35     1.35      interesting to note that such a planet would lie at the inner edge
 HD 154577      17:10:10    -60:43:43   K0V         7.38     13.69     of the habitable zone of Alpha Cen B or even inside the hab-
 HD 190248      20:08:44    -66:10:55   G5IV-V      3.55     6.11      itable zone of HD 85512 or HD 192310, which are later-type
 HD 192310      20:15:17    -27:01:58   K3V         5.73     8.82      stars.
                                                                           In the previous discussion it was assumed of course that
                                                                       no RV signal induced by stellar activity is present at the or-
graph’s entrance slit. On the other hand, Alpha Cen B being            bital period of investigation. In the opposite case, the detection
in a triple system, the RVs must be analyzed by considering a          limit will not decrease proportionally to the square-root of the
complete - and precise - orbital model, especially when looking        number of data points. Even worse, if the stellar activity sig-
at long-period planets.                                                nal has a coherence time similarly or longer than the obser-
     Another prominent candidate is τ Ceti (HD 10700). This            vational period, it becomes indistinguishable from a possible
star was already known to be a ’RV-standard’ star in the sense         radial-velocity signal of similar periodicity. However, other in-
that it is followed up by several groups and shows a very              dicators such as precise photometry of the star, line bisector or
low RV dispersion. Indeed, the RV dispersion measured with             stellar activity indicators can help to identify possible correla-
HARPS over a time span of more than 7 years and involving              tions with the radial-velocity signal and thus provide a tool to
157 data points is of 0.93 ms! Because of its magnitude, the           distinguish stellar noise from a planetary signal. Another pow-
spectral type, the RV stability and its low chromospheric ac-          erful tool is to verify that the RV signal is persistent and coher-
tivity level, τ Ceti is close to the perfect candidate for our pro-    ent over time.
gram.
     The remaining 8 candidates show similar characteristics.
They are all part of the original HARPS high-precision pro-            3. Observations
gram. As such, they have all been being observed since the
                                                                       3.1. HARPS-Upgrade GTO
very beginning of the HARPS operations, a fact that allowed
us to make a preliminary selection also on the basis of prelim-        All the observations presented in this paper have been carried
inary RV-dispersion and chromospheric activity indicator val-          out using HARPS on ESO’s 3.6-m telescope at the La Silla
ues. Since the start of our specific program on April 1st, 2009,        Observatory, Chile (Mayor et al. 2003). A total of 30 nights
the number of measurements has increased and the mentioned             per year over 4 years are allocated to this program on HARPS
values refined.                                                         within our Guaranteed-Time Observations (HARPS-Upgrade
     An important aspect to be pointed out, is that the presented      GTO). Our goal was to observe each target about 50 times per
program carries some ’risks’: By construction this program pre-        season. These constraints, together with the need of observing
selected only very stable stars in terms of radial velocities. In      each target several times per night in order to average stellar
other terms, we were sure that they would not harbor any known         noise, set the actual number of targets we are able to follow-up.
planet. Even worse, their raw RV dispersion does not leave             In the following we shall discuss the observational strategy. For
much room for ’large’ RV signals. Of course, we were con-              this purpose we have to distinguish different types of measure-
scious of this fact and that we might end up with no positive          ments and adopt following definitions: An exposure represents
result.                                                                the single integration (one open-close shutter cycle). The ob-
     There is no doubt that successful detections depend on the        servation is the average of all subsequent exposures. The data
observational precision, in particular when searching for sig-         point, finally, shall denominate the average of all the exposures
nals with semi-amplitudes below 1-2 m s−1 , as it is the case for      in a given night.
the presented program. Five years of observations have proved
that, on quiet and bright dwarf stars, a radial-velocity precision
                                                                       3.2. Observational strategy
well below 1 m s−1 can be achieved on both short-term (night)
and long-term (years) timescales. A direct confirmation is of-          Thanks to the experience issued from the HARPS high-
fered by the raw RV dispersions measured for the candidates of         precision program we have been able to define an optimum
our program and given in Table 2.                                      strategy of observation to reduce the effects of stellar noise
     In order to make a rough estimation of the detection limits       and its impact on the RV measurements. From the study by
we may expect, let us assume a precision of 0.7 m s−1 on each          Dumusque et al. (2011b) we have learned that stellar pulsa-
data point all included, i.e. stellar noise, instrumental errors,      tions are best averaged out by extending the measurement over
4                              F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone

a time longer than the typical stellar oscillation period. Since       Table 2. Observations of the targets with HARPS
our targets are mainly bright G and K dwarfs, we ended up
with exposure times of typically 15 minutes. In order to avoid          Target          Data points   Time span   RV scatter   log(RHK )
saturation on bright objects, the exposures where split in sev-                                       [days]      [ m s−1 ]
eral shorter exposures covering a total of 15 minutes, including        HD 1581         93            2566        1.26         −4.93 ± 0.003
overheads, leading to typical ’open-shutter’ time of about 10           HD 10700        141           2190        0.92         −4.96 ± 0.003
                                                                        HD 20794        187           2610        1.20         −4.98 ± 0.003
minutes. From the same study we can also deduce that super-
                                                                        HD 65907A       39            2306        1.45         −4.91 ± 0.006
granulation noise, being of longer time scale, is not averaged
                                                                        HD 85512        185           2745        1.05         −4.90 ± 0.043
out by the 15-minutes exposure. For this purpose, the daily time        HD 109200       77            2507        1.16         −4.95 ± 0.018
scale must be covered. This led us to observe each target at least      HD 128621       171           2776        NA           −4.96 ± 0.014
twice, if possible 3 times during the same night, but in any case       HD 154577       99            2289        1.05         −4.87 ± 0.026
with the single observations separated as far as possible in time.      HD 190248       86            2531        1.26         −5.09 ± 0.009
A total observation time per target of 35-45 minutes per night          HD 192310       139           2348        2.62         −4.99 ± 0.033
had to be considered. If we assume 10 hours per night in aver-
age, we end up with about 40 to 50 possible observations per
target and per year.                                                   3.4. The example of Tau Ceti
    Dumusque et al. (2011b) show that longer-period granula-
                                                                       In order to illustrate the kind of objects we are dealing with and
tion noise and RV-jitter due to spots and activity are best aver-
                                                                       the level of precision which can be obtained with HARPS, we
aged out by sampling evenly the observational season. If we fix
                                                                       shall focus a moment on HD 10700, also known as Tau Ceti.
the amount of available observation time, an equidistant time
                                                                       The dispersion over the RVs of the individual exposures (typ-
grid would be the best solution. However, the visitor-observing
                                                                       ically a few minutes) is of 1.5 m s−1 rms. As seen in Table 2,
scheme applied to ESO’s 3.6-m telescope does not allow us to
                                                                       the dispersion of the data points (nightly averages) is instead
obtain optimum sampling. Nevertheless, it has been possible to
                                                                       only 0.92 m s−1 , which proves that the strategy proposed by
join our GTO time with observations of other large programs.
                                                                       Dumusque et al. (2011b) provides good smoothing of the stel-
The result is that, during nights allocated to this joint program,
                                                                       lar contributions at the time scale of a night. HD 10700 results
about two to three targets are observed in average every night,
                                                                       to be part of the most quiet stars in our sample despite the large
while no data are obtained during other nights, leaving some
                                                                       number of data points spanning more than 6 years of obser-
observational gap with a typical period of one to few weeks.
                                                                       vations. What is even more remarkable it that none of the pa-
                                                                       rameters shown in Figure 2, i.e. the radial velocity, the chromo-
3.3. Obtained measurements                                             spheric activity indicator log(RHK ) , and the average line bisec-
                                                                       tor of the cross-correlation function BIS , show any trend over
Table 2 summarizes the measurements made with HARPS on                 the 6 years of observations. For instance, the activity indicator
each of the program’s targets, including measurements issued           shows a dispersion of only 0.003 dex rms. Finally, we shall un-
from the original high-precision program. The second col-              derline the stability of the line bisector, which has a dispersion
umn indicates the number of data points (nightly averages of           of about 0.5 m s−1 , confirming the high stability of HARPS’ in-
individual exposures) acquired to date. Thanks to the data-            strumental profile (IP).
points of the original high-precision program, most of the ob-             In the upper panel of Figure 3 we plotted the Generalized
servations span over more than 6 years for any of the ob-              Lomb-Scargle (GLS) periodogram of the radial velocity data of
jects. It must be noted however, that the first-years observa-          HD 10700. Note that none of the peaks reaches the 10% false-
tions on HARPS were not carried out using the optimum ob-              alarm probability (FAP) level. This demonstrates that there is
servational strategy, resulting in data points – actually single       not any significant planetary signal in the precise HARPS data
exposures – of poorer precision. Despite this, the RV scatter          available to date and we can set a higher limit for the masses
of all these data points is remarkably low, justifying our initial     of possible planets aroun Tau Ceti as a function of period. For
choice of the targets. The only target for which the RV scat-          a detailed analysis and discussion we refer to Lovis (2011).
ter exceeds 1.5 m s−1 is HD 192310. Interestingly, this star has           In the central and lower panel of Figure 3 we present the
been recently announced by Howard et al. (2010a) to harbor             GLS periodogram of the log(RHK ) and the line bisector BIS .
a Neptune-mass planet. The discovery is actually confirmed              The peaks are here significant, opposite to the RV data, and in-
by the HARPS data and will be described in further detail in           dicate that there is some ’signal’ which is clearly above the
Section 5. The RV scatter of Alpha Cen B (HD 128621) is not            noise. Periodograms of activity indicators like log(RHK ) and
indicated in the table, since it is affected by the long-term drift     line bisector BIS often exhibit a complicated pattern of sig-
caused by its stellar companion. A detailed discussion specific         nificant peaks around the stellar rotation period and at longer
to Alpha Cen B will be presented in a forthcoming paper. For           periods. This can probably be explained by the combination
all targets we give the value of the chromospheric activity indi-      of irregular sampling and the presence of signals with short
cator log(RHK ). As mentioned in previous sections, the targets        coherence times in the data, as expected from stellar activity
where selected to have log(RHK ) < −4.85. The long-term aver-          and spots. Indeed, solar-type stars are likely covered by a large
ages and the dispersion values given in the last column confirm         number of small active regions which rotate with the star and
that all the targets comply with this requirement.                     have lifetimes of the order of the rotation period or below. The
F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone
                                                                                            .                                                                                                     .5
 .                                                                                       .
                           HD10700                                        harpsclean                                 0.14
                       3
                                                                                                                     0.12




                                                                                                  Normalized power
                       2                                                                                             0.10
                                                                                                                     0.08
                       1                                                                                             0.06
     RV [m/s]




                                                                                                                     0.04
                       0
                                                                                                                     0.02
                                                                                              .                                                                                                   .
                                                                                                                     0.00
                     −1                                                                                                     2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
                                                                                                                     0.25
                                                                                              .                                                    Period [days]                                  .




                                                                                                  Normalized power
                     −2
                                                                                                                     0.20
 .                   −3                                                                  .                           0.15
                            HD10700                                       harpsclean
                           3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400
                                                                                                                     0.10
         −4.950                               JD − 2450000.0 [days]
 .                                                                                       .                           0.05
                                                                                              .                                                                                                   .
                                                                                                                     0.00
         −4.955                                                                                                             2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
     Log (R’HK)




                                                                                                                      0.5
                                                                                              .                                                    Period [days]                                  .




                                                                                                  Normalized power
                                                                                                                      0.4
         −4.960
                                                                                                                      0.3

         −4.965                                                                                                       0.2

                                                                                                                      0.1
 . −4.970                                                                                .                            0.0
                            HD10700                                       harpsclean
                           3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400                                      2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
                     −44
                                              JD − 2450000.0 [days]                           .                                                    Period [days]                                  .
 .                                                                                       .
                     −45                                                                     Fig. 3. GLS periodograms of the HD 10700 radial velocities (upper
                                                                                             panel), its log(RHK ) values (central panel) and line bisector BIS (lower
     CCF BIS [m/s]




                                                                                             panel. The false-alarm probability (FAP) thresholds of 10% is indi-
                     −46
                                                                                             cated by a dashed line.

                     −47
                                                                                             quantities is plotted. We deduce that in the specific case of Tau
                                                                                             Ceti, the radial velocity is not affected by stellar activity.
                     −48                                                                          HD 10700 is thus a star that shows no detectable coherent
                           3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400
                                                                                             signal in the RV data, while activity indicators exhibit some
                                                                                             non-random, low-amplitude patterns that likely convey infor-
                                              JD − 2450000.0 [days]
 .                                                                                       .   mation on small active regions at the stellar surface. In this
                                                                                             sense, these indicators are more sensitive to activity than RV
Fig. 2. Radial velocities, chromospheric activity indicator log(RHK ) ,
                                                                                             data, which make them useful tools to better understand stellar
and line bisector CCFBIS of HD 10700 versus time
                                                                                             jitter on quiet solar-type stars. Work is going on to simulate and
                                                                                             model these auxiliary data, which may then allow us to eventu-
aspect to be pointed out here, however, is that these peaks do                               ally correct the RV data themselves from activity effects.
not have any correspondence in the RV GLS periodogram. As
remarked previously, the (low but significant) activity signal is
                                                                                             4. Parameters of the planet-hosting stars
not correlated to any RV variation.
     One may also wonder how strongly stellar activity may                                   Of the ten targets presented in the previous section, three
influence the radial-velocities. We refer to Dumusque et al.                                  of them presently show planetary signatures. The stars are
(2011a) and Lovis et al. (2011a) for a detailed discussion. In the                           HD 20794, HD 85512 and HD 192310. The target HD 192310
specific case of Tau Ceti we observe only little RV jitter despite                            was already announced recently by Howard et al. (2010a) to
the fact that the log(RHK ) seems to vary during some seasons,                               harbor a Neptune-mass planet on a 74 days orbit. In the fol-
while it remains stable over others. As an example, Figure 4                                 lowing we will confirm this detection and show that a second
shows the radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS over a single sea-                              planet orbits this star on a much longer orbit.
son. Error bars on log(R’HK) values have been calculated from                                    The photometric and astrometric parameters of the three
the expected photon statistics, but in order to take into account                            targets are presented in the first part of Table 3. They are all ob-
the effective noise floor (determined on the most stable stars) an                             tained from the HIPPARCOS catalog (ESA 1997). Given the
uncertainty of 0.001 was quadratically added. This noise floor                                fact that all targets are nearby stars, also the astrometric param-
is likely due to residual instrumental systematics. The varia-                               eters are very precise.
tion in log(RHK ) is larger than the expected error, but does not                                The spectroscopic parameters presented in the second part
seem to follow the radial velocity, and vice-versa. This is better                           of Table 3 have been collected from Sousa et al. (2008), who
illustrated in Figure 5 where the correlation between the two                                did a in-depth spectroscopic analysis of all stars of the HARPS
6                                                  F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone
 .                                                                                           .
                                                                                                 .                                                                                     .
                          HD10700                                        harpsclean


                      2


                      1
                                                                                                                                       HD10700                        harpsmean
     RV [m/s]




                      0                                                                                                            2




                                                                                                      where <RV>=−16.529 [km/s]
                     −1




                                                                                                           RV −<RV>[m/s]
                     −2

 .                                                                                           .                                     0
                     −3
                          HD10700                                         harpsclean
                          5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190
         −4.950
                                             JD − 2450000.0 [days]
 .                                                                                           .
                                                                                                 .                                −2                                                   .
         −4.955
     Log (R’HK)




                                                                                                                                            −4.97             −4.96            −4.95
         −4.960
                                                                                                                                                        Log (R’HK)


         −4.965                                                                                                                   3500           4000         4500      5000
 .                                                                                           .
                                                                                                                                                 BJD−2450000 [day]
                          HD10700                                         harpsmean
                          5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190

                                             JD − 2450000.0 [days]                               Fig. 5. Correlation plot of radial velocity versus chromospheric activ-
 . −45.5                                                                                     .   ity indicator log(RHK ) for HD 10700. The color scale represents the
                                                                                                 observation date.
               −46.0
     CCF BIS [m/s]




               −46.5


               −47.0


               −47.5


               −48.0                                                                             tion of Torres et al. (2010). In this procedure we fixed the stel-
                          5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190       lar metallicity to −0.32 and the gravity to 4.39, while attribut-
                                             JD − 2450000.0 [days]                               ing reasonable (though conservative) uncertainties of 0.1 and
 .                                                                                           .   0.2 dex to [Fe/H] and log g, respectively. The error in effective
Fig. 4. Radial velocitiy, chromospheric activity indicator log(RHK ) and                         temperature was considered to be 100 K in each case. After a
line bisector BIS of HD 10700 over a single season                                               series of 10’000 Monte Carlo trials, using values of Teff , log g,
                                                                                                 and [Fe/H] taken from a Gaussian distribution around the cen-
                                                                                                 tral value and a dispersion of 1-sigma (error), we obtained mass
high-precision program. We report them here without any fur-                                     values of 0.73 and 0.65 M for input temperatures of 4715 and
ther analysis. We shall only comment that for the K5V dwarf                                      4419 K, respectively (the uncertainly is 0.08 M , taking into ac-
HD85512 the stellar parameters derived in Sousa et al. may be                                    count the scatter of the individual mass values and the disper-
affected by systematic errors (see e.g. Neves et al. 2009), given                                 sion of the Torres et al. calibration). Both values are compatible
the late spectral type of the star. In fact, Sousa et al. (2008)                                 within the error bars. The former value is close to the 0.74 M
derived an effective temperature of 4715±102 K for this star,                                     derived by Sousa et al. through isochrone fitting. We thus con-
in disagreement with the value of 4419 K obtained using the                                      clude that both [Fe/H] and mass values are not strongly sensi-
IRFM calibration of Casagrande et al. (2006).                                                    tive to the choice of the effective temperature scale. We decided
    To check if this difference could significantly change the                                     to adopt in the remaining of the paper the average value of the
derived stellar metallicity and estimated stellar mass, we pro-                                  two: −0.33 for [Fe/H] and 0.69 M for the mass of HD85512.
ceeded with a series of tests. First, fixing the effective temper-
ature to 4419 K and the gravity and microturbulence values de-                                       The third part of Table 3 shows eventually a series of other
rived by Sousa et al. (4.39 dex and 0.23 km s−1 , typical for late                               stellar parameters: The projected stellar rotation velocity is
K-dwarfs), we derived a new value for the stellar metallicity                                    issued from the instrumental calibration presented by Santos
based on the list of Fe i lines (and their equivalent widths) mea-                               et al. (2002). The chromospheric activity indicator. log(RHK )
sured by Sousa et al. The resulting [Fe/H] is −0.34, very close                                  has been computed in accordance with Lovis (2011). Finally,
to the original value of Sousa et al. Finally, we estimated the                                  the stellar rotation period Prot (R vHK ) and the estimated stellar
stellar mass using both effective temperature values mentioned                                    age are both computed from log(RHK ) following the prescrip-
above, and making use of the Mass–Teff –log g–[Fe/H] calibra-                                     tion given in Mamajek & Hillenbrand (2008).
F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone                               7

Table 3. Observed and inferred stellar parameters for the observed targets.

                               Parameter                    HD 20794            HD 85512         HD 192310
                               Spectral Type                   G8V                 K5V              K3V
                               V                               4.26                 7.67             5.73
                               B−V                            0.711                1.156            0.878
                               V variability                 < 0.005              < 0.016          < 0.005
                               π             [mas]       165.02 ± 0.55         89.67 ± 0.82    113.33 ± 0.82
                               Distance      [pc]              6.06                11.15             8.82
                               pmRA          [mas/yr]     39.21 ± 0.44        461.28 ± 0.56    1241.35 ± 0.78
                               pmDEC         [mas/yr]     27.57 ± 0.45        −472.87 ± 0.57   -181.46 ± 0.51
                               MV                              5.35                 7.43             6.00
                               L             [L ]         0.656 ± 0.003       0.126 ± 0.008     0.385 ± 0.007
                               [Fe/H]        [dex]        −0.40 ± 0.01         −0.33 ± 0.03     −0.04 ± 0.03
                               M             [M ]              0.70                 0.69             0.80
                               T eff          [K]            5401 ± 17           4715 ± 102        5166 ± 49
                               log g         [cgs]         4.22 ± 0.11          4.39 ± 0.28      4.51 ± 0.09
                               v sin i       [km s−1 ]         <3                   <3               <3
                               log(RHK )     [dex]       −4.976 ± 0.003       −4.903 ± 0.043   −4.994 ± 0.027
                               Prot (R vHK ) [days]        33.19 ± 3.61        47.13 ± 6.98     47.67 ± 4.88
                               age(RHK )     [Gyr]         5.76 ± 0.66         5.61 ± 0.61       7.81 ± 0.90


5. Results and orbital solutions                                              Based on the clear P = 18 days signal issued from the
                                                                         periodogram, and reassured by the non-coincidence of the
5.1. The planetary system of HD 20794                                    log(RHK ) and BIS peaks with the radial-velocity peak, we have
                                                                         fitted a single Keplerian to the radial velocities while letting all
The raw radial-velocity data of the star HD 20794 are shown in           the parameters free. The period of the obtained solution con-
Figure 6. As it can be seen from these raw data the star belongs         verges very rapidly and unambiguously towards a period of
to the most stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision            about 18 days, a semi amplitude around 1 m s−1 , and an eccen-
sample. The dispersion of the 173 radial-velocity data points is         tricity of 0.25. However, since the eccentricity error is of the
of only 1.2 m s−1 rms over the 7-years time span. The typical in-        same order as its value, and since the residuals almost do not
ternal noise on the radial velocity data points, which takes into        depend on the eccentricity, we have decided to fix it to zero. For
account photon and calibration noise, is of 0.2 to 0.3 m s−1 . For       the N = 187 data points we obtain a residual dispersion around
the analysis, and in order to take into account any possible ex-         the proposed solution of 1.03 m s−1 . The reduced χ2 is thus of
ternal noise such as instrumental, atmospheric and stellar con-          2.06, indicating that some excess dispersion exists and must
taminants, as well as stellar jitter, we add quadratically a sys-        be due to an additional signal or an external noise source, e.g.
tematic noise of 0.7 m s−1 to the RV data. This value considers          additional stellar noise, as suggested by the excess power in
the typical dispersion obtained for the most stable stars of the         the log(RHK ) and line-bisector spectra. The GLS periodogram
program and prevents that some high SNR data are erroneously             of the residuals to the one-Keplerian fit (center of Figure 8) in-
over-weighted with respect to others in the fitting process.              deed indicates excess power around 90 days with a false-alarm
                                                                         probability well below 1%. This signal is not correlated with
    Although low, the dispersion largely exceeds the estimated           log(RHK ) or BIS and the fact is confirmed when computing the
total error. The GLS periodogram shows indeed a signal well              Pearson’s correlation coefficients which is in both cases close
above the noise level at about 18 days period (see Figure 7).            to zero.
The dashed line indicates a false-alarm probability level of 1%
but the P = 18 days signal exceeds this level by far. In the                  Encouraged by the significance of the two signals at 18
same figure we plot for comparison the GLS periodogram of                 and 90 days and the absence of any correlation with the ac-
the activity indicator logRHK and of the line bisector BIS . None        tivity indicator and the line bisector, we have decided to try a
of them reveal any significant power at the period indicated              two-Keplerian model to fit our data. For the first run we left
by the radial velocity. The log(RHK ) indicator and the bisector,        all the parameters free. The obtained solution is quite convinc-
instead, show an excess of power at periods around 30 days,              ing but the eccentricities are not significantly different from
which points towards the rotational period of this star. Since           zero. Therefore, we have fixed them to zero in the second run.
the periods are significantly different from the radial-velocity           The two-Keplerian model with zero eccentricities delivers two
period, we conclude that the two signals are de-correlated.              planets with a period of 18 and 90 days, both having a semi-
Nevertheless, it must be noted that log(RHK ) has a significant           amplitude of about 0.8 m s−1 . The residual dispersion of the
peak at P = 32 days, which we suppose reflecting the stellar ro-          data points around the fit is 0.90 m s−1 and χ2 is equal to 1.61. It
tational period. Remarkably, this value perfectly corresponds to         is interesting to note that the residuals to this solution still con-
the value directly computed from log(RHK ) using the Mamajek             tain significant power at P = 40 days. This fact is illustrated by
& Hillenbrand (2008) prescriptions.                                      the presence of a significant peak in the third plot of Figure 8,
8                                                      F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone
                                                                                               .                                                                                                             .
 .                                                                                                  .
                           HD20794                                               harpsclean
                                                                                                                                0.25




                                                                                                             Normalized power
                       4                                                                                                        0.20

                                                                                                                                0.15
                       2
                                                                                                                                0.10
     RV [m/s]




                                                                                                                                0.05
                       0                                                                                 .                                                                                                   .
                                                                                                                                0.00
                                                                                                                                       2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
                     −2                                                                                                         0.30
                                                                                                         .                                                    Period [days]                                  .




                                                                                                             Normalized power
                                                                                                                                0.25
                     −4                                                                                                         0.20
 .                                                                                                  .
                           HD20794 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200clean 5600
                                                                              harps 5400                                        0.15
                            3000 3200
                                                                                                                                0.10
                                                 JD − 2450000.0 [days]
 . −4.970                                                                                           .                           0.05
                                                                                                         .                                                                                                   .
         −4.975                                                                                                                 0.00
                                                                                                                                0.35   2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
     Log (R’HK)




         −4.980                                                                                          .                                                    Period [days]                                  .




                                                                                                             Normalized power
                                                                                                                                0.30
                                                                                                                                0.25
         −4.985
                                                                                                                                0.20

         −4.990                                                                                                                 0.15
                                                                                                                                0.10
         −4.995                                                                                                                 0.05
 .                                                                                                  .                           0.00
                           HD20794 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200clean 5600
                            3000 3200                                         harps 5400                                               2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.

                                                 JD − 2450000.0 [days]                                   .                                                    Period [days]                                  .
 .                   −39                                                                            .
                                                                                                        Fig. 7. GLS periodogram of the HD 20794 radial-velocity data with
                     −40                                                                                FAP levels at 10% and 1% level, respectively (top), the activity in-
     CCF BIS [m/s]




                                                                                                        dicator log(RHK ) (center) and the line bisector BIS (bottom). While a
                     −41                                                                                very clear peak appears at P = 18 days for the radial velocities, no
                                                                                                        such signal is seen in the two other observables.
                     −42

                     −43
                                                                                                            We studied the distribution of the RV residuals to both mod-
                     −44
                                                                                                        els (eccentric 2-planet and circular 3-planet) as a possible way
                            3000 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600
                                                                                                        to discriminate between them (see e.g. Andrae et al. (2010)).
                                                 JD − 2450000.0 [days]                                  Unfortunately, both models yield distributions of normalized
 .                                                                                                  .
                                                                                                        residuals close to Gaussian, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
Fig. 6. Radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS of HD 20794 as a function                                    gives similarly high probabilities that the residuals are drawn
of time. The RV dispersion is of 1.23 m s−1 rms.                                                        from a normal distribution (97% and 80% for the 3-planet and
                                                                                                        2-planet models, respectively). Note that this result depends on
                                                                                                        the assumed level of jitter, and that reducing the error bars in-
which dominates with an FAP of 0.7%. It must be said, how-                                              creases the difference between the models in favor of the 3-
ever, that the peak is strongly attenuated if the eccentricities of                                     planet model. However, it is hardly possible to choose between
the two planets are let free, probably because the eccentricity                                         the models on this basis. Gathering more data may be the only
of the two Keplerians ’absorb’ part of the 40 days-period sig-                                          way to confirm the existence of the third planet.
nal. Opposite, one could argue that a real non-zero eccentric-                                              All these considerations lead us to adopt a three-Keplerian
ity of the longer-period planet, if not taken into account in the                                       model. The resulting orbital parameters are presented in
fitted model, would rather produce harmonics. We would ex-                                               Table 4. The corresponding phase-folded radial-velocity curves
pect a signal around half the longer period, i.e. 45 days. The                                          are shown in Figure 10. As mentioned before, the eccentricities
period of the peak in the residuals is significantly different,                                           were fixed to zero, but only after searching for generic solu-
however. We conclude therefore that some additional contri-                                             tions and verifying that the eccentricity values were not signifi-
bution at P = 40 days may still be present in the data, which                                           cant. The semi-amplitudes of the induced radial-velocity varia-
has not been taken into account by the two-Keplerian model.                                             tion are all lower than 1 m s−1 . The orbital periods of the three
Furthermore, the 40 days peak in the GLS periodogram does                                               components are at 18, 40, and 90 days.
not appear to have a corresponding peaks neither in the activ-                                              The shortest and longest-period signal are very significant,
ity indicator nor in the line bisector. This is well confirmed by                                        while the P = 40 days period is well detected in the peri-
the correlation plots in Figure 9 showing a Pearson correlation                                         odogram but is less apparent in the phase-folded RV plot. Given
coefficients of only 0.06 between RV and activity indicator and                                           the low amplitude, which would be the lowest ever detected
of 0.15 between RV and line bisector.                                                                   radial-velocity variation induced by a planet, and the fact that
.                                                     F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone
                                                                                         .                                                                                       9
                                                                                                                                 HD20794                            harpsclean
     Normalized power   0.25

                        0.20                                                                                                 4

                        0.15

                        0.10                                                                                                 2




                                                                                                                O−C [m/s]
                        0.05
 .                                                                                                   .
                        0.00
                               2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.                           0

 .                      0.20                          Period [days]                                  .
     Normalized power




                        0.15                                                                                                −2
                                                                                                         .                                                                       .
                                                                                                         .                                                                       .
                        0.10

                        0.05                                                                                                           −44           −42      −40      −38
 .                                                                                                   .
                        0.00                                                                                                                       CCF BIS [m/s]
                        0.15   2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.
                                                                                                                                 HD20794                            harpsclean
 .                                                    Period [days]                                  .
     Normalized power




                                                                                                                3000         4                4000                  5000
                        0.10
                                                                                                                                             BJD−2450000 [day]

                        0.05                                                                                                 2




                                                                                                                O−C [m/s]
 .                                                                                                   .
                        0.00
                               2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.                           0
                        0.10
 .                                                    Period [days]                                  .
     Normalized power




                        0.08

                        0.06                                                                             .                  −2                                                   .
                        0.04

                        0.02                                                                                                               −4.99           −4.98         −4.97

                        0.00                                                                                                                        Log (R’HK)
                               2.   5.   10.0   20.      50.   100.0   200.   500.   1000.   2000.

 .                                                    Period [days]                                  .
                                                                                                         Fig. 9. Correlation plot of 4000 residual of the two-Keplerian model to
                                                                                                                 3000
                                                                                                                                     the                   5000
Fig. 8. Successive GLS periodograms of the HD 20794 time series,                                         the radial velocity of HD 20794 versus the line bisector and the activity
                                                                                                                                   BJD−2450000 [day]
                                                                                                         indicator log(RHK ) , respectively
where the main signal is subtracted at each step by adding one more
planet in the multi-Keplerian model from top to bottom, starting from
the GLS of the raw data and following with the residuals to the one-
Keplerian and the two-Keplerian fit. Eccentricities have been set to
                                                                                                         5.2. The planetary system around HD 85512
zero. False-alarm probability thresholds of 10% and 1% are indicated.                                    The raw radial-velocity data of the star HD 85512 are shown
The lowest GLS periodogram of the residuals to the three-Keplerian                                       in Figure 11. By initial choice this star is among the most
model shows only the 10% FAP level.
                                                                                                         stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision sample.
                                                                                                         The dispersion of the 185 radial-velocity data points is, with
                                                                                                         1.05 m s−1 rms over the 7.5-years time span, below that of
the orbital period is close to the supposed rotational period of                                         HD 20794. The typical internal error on the radial velocity
the parent star, we remain prudent with this third candidate. In                                         data points is of 0.3 m s−1 , to which 0.7 m s−1 have been added
the frame of our program we will continue observing this star                                            quadratically in order to take into account possible instrumen-
to possibly confirm the planetary nature of the c component.                                              tal and stellar noise.
     The semi-major axis of the planetary orbits are 0.12 AU,                                                 The GLS periodogram shows several peaks well above
0.20 AU and 0.35 AU. For the minimum mass of the plan-                                                   noise at periods around 60 - 70 days (see Figure 12). The
ets we obtain mb sin i = 2.68[M⊕ ], mc sin i = 2.38[M⊕ ] and                                             dashed and the dotted lines indicate a false-alarm probability
md sin i = 4.72[M⊕ ]. We end up with three Super-Earths in the                                           of 1% and 10%, respectively. The mentioned peaks clearly ex-
same system. The error on the mass due to only the fit uncer-                                             ceed this level. The three highest peaks are found at 58, 69
tainties is of the order of 10% and 15%, respectively, very sim-                                         and 85 days period, which are the yearly alias of each other.
ilar to the error set by the uncertainty on the stellar mass. It is                                      The peak at 58 days is the strongest of the series, however.
worth noting that this system is of exactly the nature we were                                           Furthermore, there is significant excess power around 300 days
looking for, i.e. low-mass (possibly rocky) planets on not too                                           period at above. In the same figure we plot for comparison the
close orbits. However, even for the furthermost planet d, the                                            GLS periodogram of the activity indicator logRHK and of the
equilibrium temperature defined by a Bond albedo of 0.3 is of                                             line bisector BIS . The former does not show any excess power
the order of 388 K (see Selsis et al. (2007) for details on the                                          at periods between 50 and 100 days. Instead, the excess power
definition and estimation of equilibrium temperature).                                                    observed at periods above 300 days in the radial velocities seem
10                              F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone

Table 4. Orbital and physical parameters of the planets orbiting HD 20794, as obtained from a three-Keplerian fit to the data. Error bars are
derived from the covariance matrix. λ is the mean longitude (λ = M + ω) at the given epoch.

                                   Parameter     [unit]      HD 20794 b      HD 20794 c      HD 20794 d
                                   Epoch         [BJD]                    2’454’783.40362208
                                   i             [deg]                         90 (fixed)
                                   V             [km s−1 ]                 87.9525 (±0.0001)
                                   P             [days]         18.315          40.114          90.309
                                                               (±0.008)        (±0.053)        (±0.184)
                                   λ             [deg]            169.0          149.4            16.2
                                                                 (±6.7)         (±10.0)          (±6.8)
                                   e                               0.0              0.0             0.0
                                                                 (fixed)         ( f ixed)       ( f ixed)
                                   ω             [deg]             0.0              0.0             0.0
                                                                 (fixed)         ( f ixed)       ( f ixed)
                                   K             [m s−1 ]         0.83            0.56            0.85
                                                                (±0.09)         (±0.10)         (±0.10)
                                   m sin i       [M⊕ ]            2.7            2.4              4.8
                                                                (±0.3)          (±0.4)           (±0.6)
                                   a             [AU]           0.1207         0.2036           0.3499
                                                              (±0.0020)       (±0.0034)        (±0.0059)
                                   T eq          [K]              660            508              388
                                   Nmeas                                         187
                                   Span          [days]                          2610
                                   rms           [m s−1 ]                        0.82
                                   χ2
                                    r                                            1.39



to follow the same pattern. The reason for this patter can be           of the fit we have preferred to leave it as free parameter. The ob-
observed directly in the time domain (see Figure 11). In both           tained value is of 0.11, but it must be recalled that setting it to
logRHK and line bisector BIS a long-term trend is observed              zero would not at all change the quality of the solution. For the
most probably reflecting the magnetic cycle of the star. A simi-         semi-amplitude we obtain the value of 0.77 m s−1 . The residual
lar trend, although with opposite sign and smaller amplitude, is        dispersion of the N = 185 data points around the fitted solution
observed in the radial-velocity data. From this fact we deduce          is of only 0.77 m s−1 . The reduced χ2 is thus close to 1, indicat-
that the power observed in the radial velocity at long periods is       ing that the 0.7 m s−1 systematic error we added quadratically to
most probably caused by the stellar activity. We refer to Lovis         the error bars may be a good estimate.
et al. (2011a) for a general discussion in which also the specific           Using the previously determined parameters we can set the
case of HD 85512 is treated.                                            semi-major axis of the planetary orbit to 0.26 AU. For the mini-
     Given the absence of corresponding peaks in the activity           mum mass of the planet we obtain m sin i = 3.6[M⊕ ]. The error
indicator and the line bisector, we assume that the radial veloc-       on the mass due to only the fit uncertainties is of the order of
ity signals at periods around 60 days are induced by a planetary        15%, despite the very low semi-amplitude. As in the case of
companion. We have therefore fitted a single Keplerian to the            the planets around HD 20794, this planet is possibly a super
radial-velocity data, but added also a second-degree polyno-            Earth, i.e a planet consisting to high degree by rocky material.
mial to take into account the long-term variation induced by            Opposite to HD 20794, however, its parent star is much less
the stellar activity. The solution converges very rapidly and           luminous. The computed equilibrium temperature is of only
unambiguously towards a 58.4 days orbit. The activity signal            298 K, if we assume again an albedo of 0.3. This sets this pos-
is well fitted by a linear component of 0.5 m s−1 per year and           sibly rocky planet at the inner edge of the habitable zone of its
a quadratic component of 0.14 m s−1 per year2 . The GLS peri-           parent star.
odogram of the residuals is very clean, as shown in Figure 14,              In order to illustrate the cleanliness of the planetary radial-
since none of the peaks reaches the 10% false-alarm probabil-           velocity signal and its poor correlation with the activity indi-
ity indicated by the dashed line. It must be noted all the original     cator we have detrended both series from the respective long-
side peaks have disappeared and that our assumption them to             period signals. The results are best represented by the GLS pe-
be alias must have be correct.                                          riodogram in Figure 15. The top panel shows the radial-velocity
     The eventually obtained orbital parameters of HD 85512 b           signal, which, after detrending, appears even more clearly. The
are given in Table 5 and the corresponding phase-folded radial-         peak at 58 days is by far the strongest and the aliases show up
velocity curve is shown in Figure 13. The adopted period is             at the expected periods with decreasing amplitude the further
P = 58.4 days. The eccentricity is clearly not significant, but          away from the main peak. Opposite, no such ’coherent’ signal
given the large number of data points and the good convergence          is observed in the log(RHK ) at the mentioned periods, although
F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone                                                              11
                                                                                                             .                                                                                    .
      .                   HD20794                                                    harpsclean         .
                                                                                                                                      HD85512                                         harpsmean
                      3
                                                                                                                                  4
                      2

                      1
          RV [m/s]


                                                                                                                                  2
                      0




                                                                                                                 RV [m/s]
                     −1
                                                                                                                                  0
                     −2

      .              −3                                                                                 .
                          HD20794                                                    harpsclean
                                                                                                                                 −2
                          −0.1 0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8    0.9   1.0   1.1
                      3
                                                             φ
      .               2                                                                                 .    .                                                                                    .
                                                                                                                                      HD85512
                                                                                                                                       3000     3500    4000      4500         5000 harps5500
                                                                                                                                                                                         mean
                      1
          RV [m/s]




                                                                                                                           −4.80
                                                                                                                                                       JD − 2450000.0 [days]
                      0                                                                                      .                                                                                    .
                     −1                                                                                                    −4.85




                                                                                                                 Log (R’HK)
                     −2

      .                                                                                                 .                  −4.90
                     −3 HD20794                                                      harpsclean
                        −0.1 0.0 0.1       0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8    0.9   1.0   1.1
                      3                                      φ
                                                                                                                           −4.95
      .                                                                                                 .
                      2
          RV [m/s]




                      1                                                                                                    −5.00
                                                                                                             .                                                                                    .
                      0
                                                                                                                                      HD85512
                                                                                                                                       3000     3500    4000      4500         5000 harps5500
                                                                                                                                                                                         mean
                     −1                                                                                                                                JD − 2450000.0 [days]
                                                                                                                                 32
                                                                                                             .                                                                                    .
                     −2
                                                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                 CCF BIS [m/s]




                          −0.1 0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8    0.9   1.0   1.1
                                                             φ                                                                   28
      .                                                                                                 .
Fig. 10. Phase-folded RV data and fitted Keplerian solution for the                                                               26
three planetary components b, c and d of HD 20794 with P = 18 days,
P = 40 days and P = 90 days, respectively. The dispersion of the                                                                 24
residuals is of 0.82 m s−1 rms.
                                                                                                                                 22


                                                                                                                                       3000     3500    4000      4500         5000        5500

significant power is still present at various (shorter) periods.                                                                                        JD − 2450000.0 [days]
                                                                                                             .                                                                                    .
This excess power is actually also seen in the time series of
log(RHK ) , but the signal’s amplitude, frequency and its phase                                             Fig. 11. Radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS of HD 85512 as a function
is varying as a function of the observation epoch. We conclude                                              of time. The dispersion of the 185 data points is of only 1.05 m s−1 rms.
that this signal is the expression of stellar rotation coupled with
appearing and disappearing spots and plages, but that it cannot                                                 The dispersion clearly exceeds the internal error and the
explain the presence of a a strong and coherent radial-velocity.                                            stellar jitter expected for this quiet K3 dwarf. Even by eye one
This latter is therefore most likely due to a planetary compan-                                             can recognize a rapid radial-velocity variation. The GLS peri-
ion.                                                                                                        odogram (Figure 17) confirms the presence of a strong signal
                                                                                                            at about 74 days, which is exactly the period of the planet an-
5.3. The planetary system around HD 192310                                                                  nounced by Howard et al. (2010a). The dashed line indicates a
                                                                                                            false-alarm probability level of 1% but the P = 74 days signal
Recently, Howard et al. (2010a) have announced the discovery                                                exceeds this level by far. In the same figure we plot for compar-
of a Neptune-mass planet around HD 192310. Being part of the                                                ison the GLS periodogram of the activity indicator logRHK and
original HARPS GTO program and of our program, we have                                                      of the line bisector BIS . None of them reveals any significant
been observing this star for several seasons. The raw radial-                                               power at the period indicated by the radial velocity.
velocity data of HD 192310 are shown in Figure 16. What                                                         The highest peak in the GLS periodogram for
strikes immediately is that, opposite to the previous objects pre-                                          log(RHK ) would be observed at very long periods (> 1000 days)
sented in this paper, the dispersion of the 139 radial-velocity                                             and is produced by the stellar magnetic cycle. We have there-
data points is of 2.6 m s−1 rms over the 6.5-years time span.                                               fore de-trended the data to better make appear short-period
The typical photon noise on the radial velocity data points is                                              variations. Some excess power becomes then visible around
of 0.25 m s−1 , to which, for the analysis, we add quadratically a                                          40 days. A closer look to the last observational season indeed
noise of 0.7 m s−1 in order to account for possible instrumental                                            reveals in the log(RHK ) time series a well established periodic-
and stellar noise.                                                                                          ity (Figure 18, top). The GLS periodogram of only these two
Eso1134a
Eso1134a
Eso1134a
Eso1134a
Eso1134a
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Eso1134a

  • 1. Astronomy & Astrophysics manuscript no. pepe˙article August 18, 2011 (DOI: will be inserted by hand later) The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone I – Very low-mass planets around HD20794, HD85512 and HD192310 F. Pepe1 , C. Lovis1 , D. S´ gransan1 , W. Benz2 , F. Bouchy3,4 , X. Dumusque1 , M. Mayor1 , D. Queloz1 , e N. C. Santos5,6 , and S. Udry1 1 Observatoire de Gen` ve, Universit´ de Gen` ve, 51 ch. des Maillettes, CH–1290 Versoix, Switzerland e e e 2 Physikalisches Institut Universit¨ t Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, CH–3012 Bern, Switzerland a 3 Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, UMR7095 CNRS, Universit´ Pierre & Marie Curie, 98bis Bd Arago, F–75014 Paris, France e arXiv:1108.3447v1 [astro-ph.EP] 17 Aug 2011 4 Observatoire de Haute-Provence/CNRS, F–04870 St.Michel l’Observatoire, France 5 Centro de Astrof´sica da Universidade do Porto, Rua das Estrelas, P–4150-762 Porto, Portugal ı 6 Departamento de F´sica e Astronomia, Faculdade de Ciˆ ncias, Universidade do Porto, Portugal ı e received; accepted Abstract. In 2009 we started, within the dedicated HARPS-Upgrade GTO program, an intense radial-velocity monitoring of a few nearby, slowly-rotating and quiet solar-type stars. The goal of this campaign is to gather, with high cadence and continuity, very-precise radial-velocity data in order to detect tiny signatures of very-low-mass stars potentially in the habitable zone of their parent stars. 10 stars have been selected among the most stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision program, uniformly spread in hour angle, such that three to four of them are observable at any time of the year. For each star we record 50 data points spread over the observing season. The data point consists of three nightly observations of a total integration time of 10 minutes each and separated by 2 hours. This is an observational strategy adopted to minimize stellar pulsation and granulation noise. In this paper we present the first results of this ambitious program. The radial-velocity data and the orbital parameters of five new and one confirmed low-mass planets around the stars HD 20794, HD 85512 and HD 192310, respectively, are reported and discussed, among which a system of three super-Earths and one harboring a 3.6 M⊕ -planet at the inner edge of the habitable zone. This result already confirms previous indications that low-mass planets seem to be very frequent around solar-type stars and that this occurrence frequency may be higher than 30%. 1. Introduction new planets will be discovered in a near future as the radial- velocity (RV) precision improves and the various programs in- During the past years the field of extra-solar planets evolved crease their effectiveness and their time basis. towards the exploration of very low-mass planets down to the ESO’s HARPS instrument (Mayor et al. 2003) has certainly regime of super-Earths, i.e. to objects of only few times the played a key role by delivering more than 100 new candidates Earth mass. Although finding Earth-like planets is probably the in its first eight years of operation. The most important and im- main trigger for this searches, one has to consider the fact that pressive contribution of this instrument lies more specifically their characterization contributes in a significant way to build- in the field of super-Earths and Neptune-mass planets. Indeed, ing up a global picture of how exoplanets form and evolve. The about 2/3 of the planets with mass below 18 M⊕ known to date frequency and nature of these planets may be able to discrim- have been discovered by HARPS. This new era started in 2004 inate between various theories and models, deliver new inputs with the discovery of several Neptune-mass planets such as and constraints to them, and contribute to refining their param- µ Ara c (Santos et al. (2004), see also Pepe et al. (2007) for eters. On the other hand, the models provide us with predic- an update of the parameters), 55 Cnc (McArthur et al. 2004), tions which can be verified by observations. For instance, the and GJ 436 (Butler et al. 2004). Many more followed, but the presently discovered low-mass planets are predicted to be only detection of the planetary system HD 69830 containing three the tip of the iceberg of a huge, still undiscovered planetary Neptune-mass planets (Lovis et al. 2006), and that of HD 40307 population (Mordasini et al. 2009). If confirmed, hundreds of with its three Super-Earths (Mayor et al. 2009b), best illustrate Send offprint requests to: the huge potential of HARPS. HARPS also revealed to us the F. Pepe, e-mail: Francesco.Pepe@unige.ch system Gl 581, with two possibly rocky planets c and d having Based on observations made with the HARPS instrument on masses of 5 and 8 M-Earth, respectively, both lying at the edge ESO’s 3.6 m telescope at the La Silla Observatory in the frame of the of the habitable zone (HZ) of their parent star (Udry et al. 2007; HARPS-Upgrade GTO program ID 69.A-0123(A) Selsis et al. 2007), and the Gl 581 e of only 1.9 M⊕ (Mayor
  • 2. 2 F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone 2. Searching for Earth analogs around nearby stars The recent HARPS discoveries made us aware of the fact that discovering Earth-like exoplanets is already within the reach of HARPS, although important questions still remain open: How frequent are low-mass planets? At what level is the detection bias? Where is the precision limit set by stellar noise? Can we detect low-mass planets in the habitable zone of their parent star if sufficient observations on a high-precision instrument are invested? Driven by the very encouraging results of the HARPS High-Precision programme (Udry & Mayor 2008) and the hints for high planet occurrence announced by Lovis et al. (2009), we have decided to investigate these questions in further de- tail. For this purpose, we have defined a specific program on Fig. 1. Histogram of companion masses. The dark area shows the com- HARPS for the search of rocky planets in the habitable zone panions discovered with HARPS and includes the candidates which HZ based on Guaranteed Time Observations (GTO). are in preparation for publication. We decided to observe 10 nearby stars with the highest pos- sible radial-velocity precision and sampling during a period of 4 years. Our goal is to probe the presence of extra-solar planets et al. 2009a). Last but not least, we should mention the sys- as similar as possible to our Earth. Therefore, we have selected tem around HD 10180, with 7 extra-solar planets of low mass, targets with the following characteristics: among which the lightest ever detected exoplanet HD 10180 b, with m ∗ sin i of only 1.5 M⊕ (Lovis et al. 2011b). – The stellar magnitude must be such that we are not limited by photon noise within a 15-minutes exposure, i.e. ensure Figure 1 shows the mass distribution of companions around an RV-precision of better than 30 cm s−1 . solar-type stars of all the published planets, including the – Stars should lie within 10 pc from the Sun. HARPS candidates which are in preparation. The HARPS de- – The targets must have characteristics which guarantee the tections (dark area) probe a mass range which suffered from best RV precision, i.e they should be of late-G to early-K strong detection biases before. It must be noticed that the planet spectral type and have low rotational velocity (a rotational frequency increases again below 20 M⊕ . This increase is highly velocity below what can be detected with HARPS, i. e. significant, since higher-mass planets induce higher RV varia- v sin i < 1 km s−1 ) and low activity indicators (log(R’HK ) < tions on their parent star and are therefore detected more easily. −4.85). Moreover, a recent investigation of the HARPS high-precision – The RV scatter measured with HARPS over the first years sample has shown that about 1/3 of all sample stars exhibit RV of operation must be lower than 2 m/s rms over several variations indicating the presence of super-Earths or ice giants years and based on a minimum of 10 recorded data points. (Lovis et al. 2009). Indeed, planet formation models (Ida & Lin – The ten targets must be evenly distributed in terms of right- 2008; Mordasini et al. 2009; Alibert et al. 2011) show that only ascension to allow the observation of at least 3 to 4 targets a small fraction (of the order of 10%) of all existing embryos at any period of the year. will be able to grow and become giant planets. Hence, we ex- pect that the majority of solar-type stars will be surrounded Combining all these criteria resulted actually in a strong by low-mass planets. The inclusion of telluric planets can only down-selection of the 400 possible candidates of the original increase further the planet frequency and thus the probability HARPS high-precision program. In particular the requirement of detection. This implies that even a small sample of target on the distance from the Sun resulted to be too limiting, when stars is likely to reveal, if followed with high enough accuracy, considering all the other requirements, such that we had to re- several Earth-like planets. Pushing the measurement precision lax this requirement and allow targets to enter the list with dis- further should therefore naturally increase the probability of tances up to 16 pc. finding new planets, especially of very low mass and rocky, The 10 selected targets are given in Table1. The most and possibly in the habitable zone of their host star. prominent member is Alpha Cen B (HD 128621). This star is In the following section we will describe our program for of particular interest because of its brightness and its short dis- the specific search for low-mass and rocky extra-solar planets tance to the Sun. If planets were detected around Alpha Cen B lying possibly in the habitable zone of their parent star. The ob- they would be ideal candidates for further follow-up by spec- servations of these targets is presented in Section 3. The three troscopy, astrometry, photometry, etc. Furthermore, this star is host stars of the program around which we have detected new part of a triple system which makes the question even more planets will be described in greater detail in Section 4. Section 5 interesting. However, what appears to be the greatest advan- presents the three newly discovered planets as well as the con- tage generates some observational challenge: On the one hand, firmation of a recently announced planet. Finally, a short dis- the bright magnitude of Alpha Cen B is a limiting factor for cussion and an outlook on the occurrence frequency of low- the telescope guiding system and may result in poorer RV pre- mass planets is given in Section 6. cision due to incomplete light scrambling across the spectro-
  • 3. F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone 3 Table 1. Targets of the HARPS’ search for Earth analogs around atmospheric effects, etc. The photon noise is ’by design’ well nearby stars program below this level and can be neglected. With 50 well-sampled data points we should then be able to detect a 50 cm s−1 RV Target R.A. DEC Sp. type VMag Dist. semi-amplitude at better than a 3-sigma level. This signal corre- [h:m:s] [◦ :’:”] [pc] sponds to a 2.2 M⊕ on a 1-month orbit or a 4 M⊕ on a 6-months HD 1581 00:20:04 -64:52:29 F9V 4.23 8.59 orbit. When extended to 3 years, the same observational strat- HD 10700 01:44:04 -15:56:15 G8V 3.49 3.65 egy will allow us to increase the number of data points and HD 20794 03:19:55 -43:04:11 G8V 4.26 6.06 consequently reduce the detectable semi-amplitude to about HD 65907A 07:57:46 -60:18:11 G2V 5.59 16.19 HD 85512 09:51:07 -43:30:10 K5V 7.67 11.15 30 cm s−1 or the equivalent of a 1.3 M⊕ planet on a 1-month HD 109200 12:33:31 -68:45:20 K0V 7.13 16.17 orbit, or a 2.3 M⊕ on a 6-months orbit. On the other hand, it is HD 128621 14:39:35 -60:50:14 K1V 1.35 1.35 interesting to note that such a planet would lie at the inner edge HD 154577 17:10:10 -60:43:43 K0V 7.38 13.69 of the habitable zone of Alpha Cen B or even inside the hab- HD 190248 20:08:44 -66:10:55 G5IV-V 3.55 6.11 itable zone of HD 85512 or HD 192310, which are later-type HD 192310 20:15:17 -27:01:58 K3V 5.73 8.82 stars. In the previous discussion it was assumed of course that no RV signal induced by stellar activity is present at the or- graph’s entrance slit. On the other hand, Alpha Cen B being bital period of investigation. In the opposite case, the detection in a triple system, the RVs must be analyzed by considering a limit will not decrease proportionally to the square-root of the complete - and precise - orbital model, especially when looking number of data points. Even worse, if the stellar activity sig- at long-period planets. nal has a coherence time similarly or longer than the obser- Another prominent candidate is τ Ceti (HD 10700). This vational period, it becomes indistinguishable from a possible star was already known to be a ’RV-standard’ star in the sense radial-velocity signal of similar periodicity. However, other in- that it is followed up by several groups and shows a very dicators such as precise photometry of the star, line bisector or low RV dispersion. Indeed, the RV dispersion measured with stellar activity indicators can help to identify possible correla- HARPS over a time span of more than 7 years and involving tions with the radial-velocity signal and thus provide a tool to 157 data points is of 0.93 ms! Because of its magnitude, the distinguish stellar noise from a planetary signal. Another pow- spectral type, the RV stability and its low chromospheric ac- erful tool is to verify that the RV signal is persistent and coher- tivity level, τ Ceti is close to the perfect candidate for our pro- ent over time. gram. The remaining 8 candidates show similar characteristics. They are all part of the original HARPS high-precision pro- 3. Observations gram. As such, they have all been being observed since the 3.1. HARPS-Upgrade GTO very beginning of the HARPS operations, a fact that allowed us to make a preliminary selection also on the basis of prelim- All the observations presented in this paper have been carried inary RV-dispersion and chromospheric activity indicator val- out using HARPS on ESO’s 3.6-m telescope at the La Silla ues. Since the start of our specific program on April 1st, 2009, Observatory, Chile (Mayor et al. 2003). A total of 30 nights the number of measurements has increased and the mentioned per year over 4 years are allocated to this program on HARPS values refined. within our Guaranteed-Time Observations (HARPS-Upgrade An important aspect to be pointed out, is that the presented GTO). Our goal was to observe each target about 50 times per program carries some ’risks’: By construction this program pre- season. These constraints, together with the need of observing selected only very stable stars in terms of radial velocities. In each target several times per night in order to average stellar other terms, we were sure that they would not harbor any known noise, set the actual number of targets we are able to follow-up. planet. Even worse, their raw RV dispersion does not leave In the following we shall discuss the observational strategy. For much room for ’large’ RV signals. Of course, we were con- this purpose we have to distinguish different types of measure- scious of this fact and that we might end up with no positive ments and adopt following definitions: An exposure represents result. the single integration (one open-close shutter cycle). The ob- There is no doubt that successful detections depend on the servation is the average of all subsequent exposures. The data observational precision, in particular when searching for sig- point, finally, shall denominate the average of all the exposures nals with semi-amplitudes below 1-2 m s−1 , as it is the case for in a given night. the presented program. Five years of observations have proved that, on quiet and bright dwarf stars, a radial-velocity precision 3.2. Observational strategy well below 1 m s−1 can be achieved on both short-term (night) and long-term (years) timescales. A direct confirmation is of- Thanks to the experience issued from the HARPS high- fered by the raw RV dispersions measured for the candidates of precision program we have been able to define an optimum our program and given in Table 2. strategy of observation to reduce the effects of stellar noise In order to make a rough estimation of the detection limits and its impact on the RV measurements. From the study by we may expect, let us assume a precision of 0.7 m s−1 on each Dumusque et al. (2011b) we have learned that stellar pulsa- data point all included, i.e. stellar noise, instrumental errors, tions are best averaged out by extending the measurement over
  • 4. 4 F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone a time longer than the typical stellar oscillation period. Since Table 2. Observations of the targets with HARPS our targets are mainly bright G and K dwarfs, we ended up with exposure times of typically 15 minutes. In order to avoid Target Data points Time span RV scatter log(RHK ) saturation on bright objects, the exposures where split in sev- [days] [ m s−1 ] eral shorter exposures covering a total of 15 minutes, including HD 1581 93 2566 1.26 −4.93 ± 0.003 overheads, leading to typical ’open-shutter’ time of about 10 HD 10700 141 2190 0.92 −4.96 ± 0.003 HD 20794 187 2610 1.20 −4.98 ± 0.003 minutes. From the same study we can also deduce that super- HD 65907A 39 2306 1.45 −4.91 ± 0.006 granulation noise, being of longer time scale, is not averaged HD 85512 185 2745 1.05 −4.90 ± 0.043 out by the 15-minutes exposure. For this purpose, the daily time HD 109200 77 2507 1.16 −4.95 ± 0.018 scale must be covered. This led us to observe each target at least HD 128621 171 2776 NA −4.96 ± 0.014 twice, if possible 3 times during the same night, but in any case HD 154577 99 2289 1.05 −4.87 ± 0.026 with the single observations separated as far as possible in time. HD 190248 86 2531 1.26 −5.09 ± 0.009 A total observation time per target of 35-45 minutes per night HD 192310 139 2348 2.62 −4.99 ± 0.033 had to be considered. If we assume 10 hours per night in aver- age, we end up with about 40 to 50 possible observations per target and per year. 3.4. The example of Tau Ceti Dumusque et al. (2011b) show that longer-period granula- In order to illustrate the kind of objects we are dealing with and tion noise and RV-jitter due to spots and activity are best aver- the level of precision which can be obtained with HARPS, we aged out by sampling evenly the observational season. If we fix shall focus a moment on HD 10700, also known as Tau Ceti. the amount of available observation time, an equidistant time The dispersion over the RVs of the individual exposures (typ- grid would be the best solution. However, the visitor-observing ically a few minutes) is of 1.5 m s−1 rms. As seen in Table 2, scheme applied to ESO’s 3.6-m telescope does not allow us to the dispersion of the data points (nightly averages) is instead obtain optimum sampling. Nevertheless, it has been possible to only 0.92 m s−1 , which proves that the strategy proposed by join our GTO time with observations of other large programs. Dumusque et al. (2011b) provides good smoothing of the stel- The result is that, during nights allocated to this joint program, lar contributions at the time scale of a night. HD 10700 results about two to three targets are observed in average every night, to be part of the most quiet stars in our sample despite the large while no data are obtained during other nights, leaving some number of data points spanning more than 6 years of obser- observational gap with a typical period of one to few weeks. vations. What is even more remarkable it that none of the pa- rameters shown in Figure 2, i.e. the radial velocity, the chromo- 3.3. Obtained measurements spheric activity indicator log(RHK ) , and the average line bisec- tor of the cross-correlation function BIS , show any trend over Table 2 summarizes the measurements made with HARPS on the 6 years of observations. For instance, the activity indicator each of the program’s targets, including measurements issued shows a dispersion of only 0.003 dex rms. Finally, we shall un- from the original high-precision program. The second col- derline the stability of the line bisector, which has a dispersion umn indicates the number of data points (nightly averages of of about 0.5 m s−1 , confirming the high stability of HARPS’ in- individual exposures) acquired to date. Thanks to the data- strumental profile (IP). points of the original high-precision program, most of the ob- In the upper panel of Figure 3 we plotted the Generalized servations span over more than 6 years for any of the ob- Lomb-Scargle (GLS) periodogram of the radial velocity data of jects. It must be noted however, that the first-years observa- HD 10700. Note that none of the peaks reaches the 10% false- tions on HARPS were not carried out using the optimum ob- alarm probability (FAP) level. This demonstrates that there is servational strategy, resulting in data points – actually single not any significant planetary signal in the precise HARPS data exposures – of poorer precision. Despite this, the RV scatter available to date and we can set a higher limit for the masses of all these data points is remarkably low, justifying our initial of possible planets aroun Tau Ceti as a function of period. For choice of the targets. The only target for which the RV scat- a detailed analysis and discussion we refer to Lovis (2011). ter exceeds 1.5 m s−1 is HD 192310. Interestingly, this star has In the central and lower panel of Figure 3 we present the been recently announced by Howard et al. (2010a) to harbor GLS periodogram of the log(RHK ) and the line bisector BIS . a Neptune-mass planet. The discovery is actually confirmed The peaks are here significant, opposite to the RV data, and in- by the HARPS data and will be described in further detail in dicate that there is some ’signal’ which is clearly above the Section 5. The RV scatter of Alpha Cen B (HD 128621) is not noise. Periodograms of activity indicators like log(RHK ) and indicated in the table, since it is affected by the long-term drift line bisector BIS often exhibit a complicated pattern of sig- caused by its stellar companion. A detailed discussion specific nificant peaks around the stellar rotation period and at longer to Alpha Cen B will be presented in a forthcoming paper. For periods. This can probably be explained by the combination all targets we give the value of the chromospheric activity indi- of irregular sampling and the presence of signals with short cator log(RHK ). As mentioned in previous sections, the targets coherence times in the data, as expected from stellar activity where selected to have log(RHK ) < −4.85. The long-term aver- and spots. Indeed, solar-type stars are likely covered by a large ages and the dispersion values given in the last column confirm number of small active regions which rotate with the star and that all the targets comply with this requirement. have lifetimes of the order of the rotation period or below. The
  • 5. F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone . .5 . . HD10700 harpsclean 0.14 3 0.12 Normalized power 2 0.10 0.08 1 0.06 RV [m/s] 0.04 0 0.02 . . 0.00 −1 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. 0.25 . Period [days] . Normalized power −2 0.20 . −3 . 0.15 HD10700 harpsclean 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 0.10 −4.950 JD − 2450000.0 [days] . . 0.05 . . 0.00 −4.955 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. Log (R’HK) 0.5 . Period [days] . Normalized power 0.4 −4.960 0.3 −4.965 0.2 0.1 . −4.970 . 0.0 HD10700 harpsclean 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. −44 JD − 2450000.0 [days] . Period [days] . . . −45 Fig. 3. GLS periodograms of the HD 10700 radial velocities (upper panel), its log(RHK ) values (central panel) and line bisector BIS (lower CCF BIS [m/s] panel. The false-alarm probability (FAP) thresholds of 10% is indi- −46 cated by a dashed line. −47 quantities is plotted. We deduce that in the specific case of Tau Ceti, the radial velocity is not affected by stellar activity. −48 HD 10700 is thus a star that shows no detectable coherent 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 signal in the RV data, while activity indicators exhibit some non-random, low-amplitude patterns that likely convey infor- JD − 2450000.0 [days] . . mation on small active regions at the stellar surface. In this sense, these indicators are more sensitive to activity than RV Fig. 2. Radial velocities, chromospheric activity indicator log(RHK ) , data, which make them useful tools to better understand stellar and line bisector CCFBIS of HD 10700 versus time jitter on quiet solar-type stars. Work is going on to simulate and model these auxiliary data, which may then allow us to eventu- aspect to be pointed out here, however, is that these peaks do ally correct the RV data themselves from activity effects. not have any correspondence in the RV GLS periodogram. As remarked previously, the (low but significant) activity signal is 4. Parameters of the planet-hosting stars not correlated to any RV variation. One may also wonder how strongly stellar activity may Of the ten targets presented in the previous section, three influence the radial-velocities. We refer to Dumusque et al. of them presently show planetary signatures. The stars are (2011a) and Lovis et al. (2011a) for a detailed discussion. In the HD 20794, HD 85512 and HD 192310. The target HD 192310 specific case of Tau Ceti we observe only little RV jitter despite was already announced recently by Howard et al. (2010a) to the fact that the log(RHK ) seems to vary during some seasons, harbor a Neptune-mass planet on a 74 days orbit. In the fol- while it remains stable over others. As an example, Figure 4 lowing we will confirm this detection and show that a second shows the radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS over a single sea- planet orbits this star on a much longer orbit. son. Error bars on log(R’HK) values have been calculated from The photometric and astrometric parameters of the three the expected photon statistics, but in order to take into account targets are presented in the first part of Table 3. They are all ob- the effective noise floor (determined on the most stable stars) an tained from the HIPPARCOS catalog (ESA 1997). Given the uncertainty of 0.001 was quadratically added. This noise floor fact that all targets are nearby stars, also the astrometric param- is likely due to residual instrumental systematics. The varia- eters are very precise. tion in log(RHK ) is larger than the expected error, but does not The spectroscopic parameters presented in the second part seem to follow the radial velocity, and vice-versa. This is better of Table 3 have been collected from Sousa et al. (2008), who illustrated in Figure 5 where the correlation between the two did a in-depth spectroscopic analysis of all stars of the HARPS
  • 6. 6 F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone . . . . HD10700 harpsclean 2 1 HD10700 harpsmean RV [m/s] 0 2 where <RV>=−16.529 [km/s] −1 RV −<RV>[m/s] −2 . . 0 −3 HD10700 harpsclean 5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190 −4.950 JD − 2450000.0 [days] . . . −2 . −4.955 Log (R’HK) −4.97 −4.96 −4.95 −4.960 Log (R’HK) −4.965 3500 4000 4500 5000 . . BJD−2450000 [day] HD10700 harpsmean 5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190 JD − 2450000.0 [days] Fig. 5. Correlation plot of radial velocity versus chromospheric activ- . −45.5 . ity indicator log(RHK ) for HD 10700. The color scale represents the observation date. −46.0 CCF BIS [m/s] −46.5 −47.0 −47.5 −48.0 tion of Torres et al. (2010). In this procedure we fixed the stel- 5070 5080 5090 5100 5110 5120 5130 5140 5150 5160 5170 5180 5190 lar metallicity to −0.32 and the gravity to 4.39, while attribut- JD − 2450000.0 [days] ing reasonable (though conservative) uncertainties of 0.1 and . . 0.2 dex to [Fe/H] and log g, respectively. The error in effective Fig. 4. Radial velocitiy, chromospheric activity indicator log(RHK ) and temperature was considered to be 100 K in each case. After a line bisector BIS of HD 10700 over a single season series of 10’000 Monte Carlo trials, using values of Teff , log g, and [Fe/H] taken from a Gaussian distribution around the cen- tral value and a dispersion of 1-sigma (error), we obtained mass high-precision program. We report them here without any fur- values of 0.73 and 0.65 M for input temperatures of 4715 and ther analysis. We shall only comment that for the K5V dwarf 4419 K, respectively (the uncertainly is 0.08 M , taking into ac- HD85512 the stellar parameters derived in Sousa et al. may be count the scatter of the individual mass values and the disper- affected by systematic errors (see e.g. Neves et al. 2009), given sion of the Torres et al. calibration). Both values are compatible the late spectral type of the star. In fact, Sousa et al. (2008) within the error bars. The former value is close to the 0.74 M derived an effective temperature of 4715±102 K for this star, derived by Sousa et al. through isochrone fitting. We thus con- in disagreement with the value of 4419 K obtained using the clude that both [Fe/H] and mass values are not strongly sensi- IRFM calibration of Casagrande et al. (2006). tive to the choice of the effective temperature scale. We decided To check if this difference could significantly change the to adopt in the remaining of the paper the average value of the derived stellar metallicity and estimated stellar mass, we pro- two: −0.33 for [Fe/H] and 0.69 M for the mass of HD85512. ceeded with a series of tests. First, fixing the effective temper- ature to 4419 K and the gravity and microturbulence values de- The third part of Table 3 shows eventually a series of other rived by Sousa et al. (4.39 dex and 0.23 km s−1 , typical for late stellar parameters: The projected stellar rotation velocity is K-dwarfs), we derived a new value for the stellar metallicity issued from the instrumental calibration presented by Santos based on the list of Fe i lines (and their equivalent widths) mea- et al. (2002). The chromospheric activity indicator. log(RHK ) sured by Sousa et al. The resulting [Fe/H] is −0.34, very close has been computed in accordance with Lovis (2011). Finally, to the original value of Sousa et al. Finally, we estimated the the stellar rotation period Prot (R vHK ) and the estimated stellar stellar mass using both effective temperature values mentioned age are both computed from log(RHK ) following the prescrip- above, and making use of the Mass–Teff –log g–[Fe/H] calibra- tion given in Mamajek & Hillenbrand (2008).
  • 7. F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone 7 Table 3. Observed and inferred stellar parameters for the observed targets. Parameter HD 20794 HD 85512 HD 192310 Spectral Type G8V K5V K3V V 4.26 7.67 5.73 B−V 0.711 1.156 0.878 V variability < 0.005 < 0.016 < 0.005 π [mas] 165.02 ± 0.55 89.67 ± 0.82 113.33 ± 0.82 Distance [pc] 6.06 11.15 8.82 pmRA [mas/yr] 39.21 ± 0.44 461.28 ± 0.56 1241.35 ± 0.78 pmDEC [mas/yr] 27.57 ± 0.45 −472.87 ± 0.57 -181.46 ± 0.51 MV 5.35 7.43 6.00 L [L ] 0.656 ± 0.003 0.126 ± 0.008 0.385 ± 0.007 [Fe/H] [dex] −0.40 ± 0.01 −0.33 ± 0.03 −0.04 ± 0.03 M [M ] 0.70 0.69 0.80 T eff [K] 5401 ± 17 4715 ± 102 5166 ± 49 log g [cgs] 4.22 ± 0.11 4.39 ± 0.28 4.51 ± 0.09 v sin i [km s−1 ] <3 <3 <3 log(RHK ) [dex] −4.976 ± 0.003 −4.903 ± 0.043 −4.994 ± 0.027 Prot (R vHK ) [days] 33.19 ± 3.61 47.13 ± 6.98 47.67 ± 4.88 age(RHK ) [Gyr] 5.76 ± 0.66 5.61 ± 0.61 7.81 ± 0.90 5. Results and orbital solutions Based on the clear P = 18 days signal issued from the periodogram, and reassured by the non-coincidence of the 5.1. The planetary system of HD 20794 log(RHK ) and BIS peaks with the radial-velocity peak, we have fitted a single Keplerian to the radial velocities while letting all The raw radial-velocity data of the star HD 20794 are shown in the parameters free. The period of the obtained solution con- Figure 6. As it can be seen from these raw data the star belongs verges very rapidly and unambiguously towards a period of to the most stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision about 18 days, a semi amplitude around 1 m s−1 , and an eccen- sample. The dispersion of the 173 radial-velocity data points is tricity of 0.25. However, since the eccentricity error is of the of only 1.2 m s−1 rms over the 7-years time span. The typical in- same order as its value, and since the residuals almost do not ternal noise on the radial velocity data points, which takes into depend on the eccentricity, we have decided to fix it to zero. For account photon and calibration noise, is of 0.2 to 0.3 m s−1 . For the N = 187 data points we obtain a residual dispersion around the analysis, and in order to take into account any possible ex- the proposed solution of 1.03 m s−1 . The reduced χ2 is thus of ternal noise such as instrumental, atmospheric and stellar con- 2.06, indicating that some excess dispersion exists and must taminants, as well as stellar jitter, we add quadratically a sys- be due to an additional signal or an external noise source, e.g. tematic noise of 0.7 m s−1 to the RV data. This value considers additional stellar noise, as suggested by the excess power in the typical dispersion obtained for the most stable stars of the the log(RHK ) and line-bisector spectra. The GLS periodogram program and prevents that some high SNR data are erroneously of the residuals to the one-Keplerian fit (center of Figure 8) in- over-weighted with respect to others in the fitting process. deed indicates excess power around 90 days with a false-alarm probability well below 1%. This signal is not correlated with Although low, the dispersion largely exceeds the estimated log(RHK ) or BIS and the fact is confirmed when computing the total error. The GLS periodogram shows indeed a signal well Pearson’s correlation coefficients which is in both cases close above the noise level at about 18 days period (see Figure 7). to zero. The dashed line indicates a false-alarm probability level of 1% but the P = 18 days signal exceeds this level by far. In the Encouraged by the significance of the two signals at 18 same figure we plot for comparison the GLS periodogram of and 90 days and the absence of any correlation with the ac- the activity indicator logRHK and of the line bisector BIS . None tivity indicator and the line bisector, we have decided to try a of them reveal any significant power at the period indicated two-Keplerian model to fit our data. For the first run we left by the radial velocity. The log(RHK ) indicator and the bisector, all the parameters free. The obtained solution is quite convinc- instead, show an excess of power at periods around 30 days, ing but the eccentricities are not significantly different from which points towards the rotational period of this star. Since zero. Therefore, we have fixed them to zero in the second run. the periods are significantly different from the radial-velocity The two-Keplerian model with zero eccentricities delivers two period, we conclude that the two signals are de-correlated. planets with a period of 18 and 90 days, both having a semi- Nevertheless, it must be noted that log(RHK ) has a significant amplitude of about 0.8 m s−1 . The residual dispersion of the peak at P = 32 days, which we suppose reflecting the stellar ro- data points around the fit is 0.90 m s−1 and χ2 is equal to 1.61. It tational period. Remarkably, this value perfectly corresponds to is interesting to note that the residuals to this solution still con- the value directly computed from log(RHK ) using the Mamajek tain significant power at P = 40 days. This fact is illustrated by & Hillenbrand (2008) prescriptions. the presence of a significant peak in the third plot of Figure 8,
  • 8. 8 F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone . . . . HD20794 harpsclean 0.25 Normalized power 4 0.20 0.15 2 0.10 RV [m/s] 0.05 0 . . 0.00 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. −2 0.30 . Period [days] . Normalized power 0.25 −4 0.20 . . HD20794 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200clean 5600 harps 5400 0.15 3000 3200 0.10 JD − 2450000.0 [days] . −4.970 . 0.05 . . −4.975 0.00 0.35 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. Log (R’HK) −4.980 . Period [days] . Normalized power 0.30 0.25 −4.985 0.20 −4.990 0.15 0.10 −4.995 0.05 . . 0.00 HD20794 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200clean 5600 3000 3200 harps 5400 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. JD − 2450000.0 [days] . Period [days] . . −39 . Fig. 7. GLS periodogram of the HD 20794 radial-velocity data with −40 FAP levels at 10% and 1% level, respectively (top), the activity in- CCF BIS [m/s] dicator log(RHK ) (center) and the line bisector BIS (bottom). While a −41 very clear peak appears at P = 18 days for the radial velocities, no such signal is seen in the two other observables. −42 −43 We studied the distribution of the RV residuals to both mod- −44 els (eccentric 2-planet and circular 3-planet) as a possible way 3000 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 to discriminate between them (see e.g. Andrae et al. (2010)). JD − 2450000.0 [days] Unfortunately, both models yield distributions of normalized . . residuals close to Gaussian, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test Fig. 6. Radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS of HD 20794 as a function gives similarly high probabilities that the residuals are drawn of time. The RV dispersion is of 1.23 m s−1 rms. from a normal distribution (97% and 80% for the 3-planet and 2-planet models, respectively). Note that this result depends on the assumed level of jitter, and that reducing the error bars in- which dominates with an FAP of 0.7%. It must be said, how- creases the difference between the models in favor of the 3- ever, that the peak is strongly attenuated if the eccentricities of planet model. However, it is hardly possible to choose between the two planets are let free, probably because the eccentricity the models on this basis. Gathering more data may be the only of the two Keplerians ’absorb’ part of the 40 days-period sig- way to confirm the existence of the third planet. nal. Opposite, one could argue that a real non-zero eccentric- All these considerations lead us to adopt a three-Keplerian ity of the longer-period planet, if not taken into account in the model. The resulting orbital parameters are presented in fitted model, would rather produce harmonics. We would ex- Table 4. The corresponding phase-folded radial-velocity curves pect a signal around half the longer period, i.e. 45 days. The are shown in Figure 10. As mentioned before, the eccentricities period of the peak in the residuals is significantly different, were fixed to zero, but only after searching for generic solu- however. We conclude therefore that some additional contri- tions and verifying that the eccentricity values were not signifi- bution at P = 40 days may still be present in the data, which cant. The semi-amplitudes of the induced radial-velocity varia- has not been taken into account by the two-Keplerian model. tion are all lower than 1 m s−1 . The orbital periods of the three Furthermore, the 40 days peak in the GLS periodogram does components are at 18, 40, and 90 days. not appear to have a corresponding peaks neither in the activ- The shortest and longest-period signal are very significant, ity indicator nor in the line bisector. This is well confirmed by while the P = 40 days period is well detected in the peri- the correlation plots in Figure 9 showing a Pearson correlation odogram but is less apparent in the phase-folded RV plot. Given coefficients of only 0.06 between RV and activity indicator and the low amplitude, which would be the lowest ever detected of 0.15 between RV and line bisector. radial-velocity variation induced by a planet, and the fact that
  • 9. . F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone . 9 HD20794 harpsclean Normalized power 0.25 0.20 4 0.15 0.10 2 O−C [m/s] 0.05 . . 0.00 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. 0 . 0.20 Period [days] . Normalized power 0.15 −2 . . . . 0.10 0.05 −44 −42 −40 −38 . . 0.00 CCF BIS [m/s] 0.15 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. HD20794 harpsclean . Period [days] . Normalized power 3000 4 4000 5000 0.10 BJD−2450000 [day] 0.05 2 O−C [m/s] . . 0.00 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. 0 0.10 . Period [days] . Normalized power 0.08 0.06 . −2 . 0.04 0.02 −4.99 −4.98 −4.97 0.00 Log (R’HK) 2. 5. 10.0 20. 50. 100.0 200. 500. 1000. 2000. . Period [days] . Fig. 9. Correlation plot of 4000 residual of the two-Keplerian model to 3000 the 5000 Fig. 8. Successive GLS periodograms of the HD 20794 time series, the radial velocity of HD 20794 versus the line bisector and the activity BJD−2450000 [day] indicator log(RHK ) , respectively where the main signal is subtracted at each step by adding one more planet in the multi-Keplerian model from top to bottom, starting from the GLS of the raw data and following with the residuals to the one- Keplerian and the two-Keplerian fit. Eccentricities have been set to 5.2. The planetary system around HD 85512 zero. False-alarm probability thresholds of 10% and 1% are indicated. The raw radial-velocity data of the star HD 85512 are shown The lowest GLS periodogram of the residuals to the three-Keplerian in Figure 11. By initial choice this star is among the most model shows only the 10% FAP level. stable stars of the original HARPS high-precision sample. The dispersion of the 185 radial-velocity data points is, with 1.05 m s−1 rms over the 7.5-years time span, below that of the orbital period is close to the supposed rotational period of HD 20794. The typical internal error on the radial velocity the parent star, we remain prudent with this third candidate. In data points is of 0.3 m s−1 , to which 0.7 m s−1 have been added the frame of our program we will continue observing this star quadratically in order to take into account possible instrumen- to possibly confirm the planetary nature of the c component. tal and stellar noise. The semi-major axis of the planetary orbits are 0.12 AU, The GLS periodogram shows several peaks well above 0.20 AU and 0.35 AU. For the minimum mass of the plan- noise at periods around 60 - 70 days (see Figure 12). The ets we obtain mb sin i = 2.68[M⊕ ], mc sin i = 2.38[M⊕ ] and dashed and the dotted lines indicate a false-alarm probability md sin i = 4.72[M⊕ ]. We end up with three Super-Earths in the of 1% and 10%, respectively. The mentioned peaks clearly ex- same system. The error on the mass due to only the fit uncer- ceed this level. The three highest peaks are found at 58, 69 tainties is of the order of 10% and 15%, respectively, very sim- and 85 days period, which are the yearly alias of each other. ilar to the error set by the uncertainty on the stellar mass. It is The peak at 58 days is the strongest of the series, however. worth noting that this system is of exactly the nature we were Furthermore, there is significant excess power around 300 days looking for, i.e. low-mass (possibly rocky) planets on not too period at above. In the same figure we plot for comparison the close orbits. However, even for the furthermost planet d, the GLS periodogram of the activity indicator logRHK and of the equilibrium temperature defined by a Bond albedo of 0.3 is of line bisector BIS . The former does not show any excess power the order of 388 K (see Selsis et al. (2007) for details on the at periods between 50 and 100 days. Instead, the excess power definition and estimation of equilibrium temperature). observed at periods above 300 days in the radial velocities seem
  • 10. 10 F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone Table 4. Orbital and physical parameters of the planets orbiting HD 20794, as obtained from a three-Keplerian fit to the data. Error bars are derived from the covariance matrix. λ is the mean longitude (λ = M + ω) at the given epoch. Parameter [unit] HD 20794 b HD 20794 c HD 20794 d Epoch [BJD] 2’454’783.40362208 i [deg] 90 (fixed) V [km s−1 ] 87.9525 (±0.0001) P [days] 18.315 40.114 90.309 (±0.008) (±0.053) (±0.184) λ [deg] 169.0 149.4 16.2 (±6.7) (±10.0) (±6.8) e 0.0 0.0 0.0 (fixed) ( f ixed) ( f ixed) ω [deg] 0.0 0.0 0.0 (fixed) ( f ixed) ( f ixed) K [m s−1 ] 0.83 0.56 0.85 (±0.09) (±0.10) (±0.10) m sin i [M⊕ ] 2.7 2.4 4.8 (±0.3) (±0.4) (±0.6) a [AU] 0.1207 0.2036 0.3499 (±0.0020) (±0.0034) (±0.0059) T eq [K] 660 508 388 Nmeas 187 Span [days] 2610 rms [m s−1 ] 0.82 χ2 r 1.39 to follow the same pattern. The reason for this patter can be of the fit we have preferred to leave it as free parameter. The ob- observed directly in the time domain (see Figure 11). In both tained value is of 0.11, but it must be recalled that setting it to logRHK and line bisector BIS a long-term trend is observed zero would not at all change the quality of the solution. For the most probably reflecting the magnetic cycle of the star. A simi- semi-amplitude we obtain the value of 0.77 m s−1 . The residual lar trend, although with opposite sign and smaller amplitude, is dispersion of the N = 185 data points around the fitted solution observed in the radial-velocity data. From this fact we deduce is of only 0.77 m s−1 . The reduced χ2 is thus close to 1, indicat- that the power observed in the radial velocity at long periods is ing that the 0.7 m s−1 systematic error we added quadratically to most probably caused by the stellar activity. We refer to Lovis the error bars may be a good estimate. et al. (2011a) for a general discussion in which also the specific Using the previously determined parameters we can set the case of HD 85512 is treated. semi-major axis of the planetary orbit to 0.26 AU. For the mini- Given the absence of corresponding peaks in the activity mum mass of the planet we obtain m sin i = 3.6[M⊕ ]. The error indicator and the line bisector, we assume that the radial veloc- on the mass due to only the fit uncertainties is of the order of ity signals at periods around 60 days are induced by a planetary 15%, despite the very low semi-amplitude. As in the case of companion. We have therefore fitted a single Keplerian to the the planets around HD 20794, this planet is possibly a super radial-velocity data, but added also a second-degree polyno- Earth, i.e a planet consisting to high degree by rocky material. mial to take into account the long-term variation induced by Opposite to HD 20794, however, its parent star is much less the stellar activity. The solution converges very rapidly and luminous. The computed equilibrium temperature is of only unambiguously towards a 58.4 days orbit. The activity signal 298 K, if we assume again an albedo of 0.3. This sets this pos- is well fitted by a linear component of 0.5 m s−1 per year and sibly rocky planet at the inner edge of the habitable zone of its a quadratic component of 0.14 m s−1 per year2 . The GLS peri- parent star. odogram of the residuals is very clean, as shown in Figure 14, In order to illustrate the cleanliness of the planetary radial- since none of the peaks reaches the 10% false-alarm probabil- velocity signal and its poor correlation with the activity indi- ity indicated by the dashed line. It must be noted all the original cator we have detrended both series from the respective long- side peaks have disappeared and that our assumption them to period signals. The results are best represented by the GLS pe- be alias must have be correct. riodogram in Figure 15. The top panel shows the radial-velocity The eventually obtained orbital parameters of HD 85512 b signal, which, after detrending, appears even more clearly. The are given in Table 5 and the corresponding phase-folded radial- peak at 58 days is by far the strongest and the aliases show up velocity curve is shown in Figure 13. The adopted period is at the expected periods with decreasing amplitude the further P = 58.4 days. The eccentricity is clearly not significant, but away from the main peak. Opposite, no such ’coherent’ signal given the large number of data points and the good convergence is observed in the log(RHK ) at the mentioned periods, although
  • 11. F. Pepe et al.: The HARPS search for Earth-like planets in the habitable zone 11 . . . HD20794 harpsclean . HD85512 harpsmean 3 4 2 1 RV [m/s] 2 0 RV [m/s] −1 0 −2 . −3 . HD20794 harpsclean −2 −0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 3 φ . 2 . . . HD85512 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 harps5500 mean 1 RV [m/s] −4.80 JD − 2450000.0 [days] 0 . . −1 −4.85 Log (R’HK) −2 . . −4.90 −3 HD20794 harpsclean −0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 3 φ −4.95 . . 2 RV [m/s] 1 −5.00 . . 0 HD85512 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 harps5500 mean −1 JD − 2450000.0 [days] 32 . . −2 30 CCF BIS [m/s] −0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 φ 28 . . Fig. 10. Phase-folded RV data and fitted Keplerian solution for the 26 three planetary components b, c and d of HD 20794 with P = 18 days, P = 40 days and P = 90 days, respectively. The dispersion of the 24 residuals is of 0.82 m s−1 rms. 22 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 significant power is still present at various (shorter) periods. JD − 2450000.0 [days] . . This excess power is actually also seen in the time series of log(RHK ) , but the signal’s amplitude, frequency and its phase Fig. 11. Radial velocity, log(RHK ) and BIS of HD 85512 as a function is varying as a function of the observation epoch. We conclude of time. The dispersion of the 185 data points is of only 1.05 m s−1 rms. that this signal is the expression of stellar rotation coupled with appearing and disappearing spots and plages, but that it cannot The dispersion clearly exceeds the internal error and the explain the presence of a a strong and coherent radial-velocity. stellar jitter expected for this quiet K3 dwarf. Even by eye one This latter is therefore most likely due to a planetary compan- can recognize a rapid radial-velocity variation. The GLS peri- ion. odogram (Figure 17) confirms the presence of a strong signal at about 74 days, which is exactly the period of the planet an- 5.3. The planetary system around HD 192310 nounced by Howard et al. (2010a). The dashed line indicates a false-alarm probability level of 1% but the P = 74 days signal Recently, Howard et al. (2010a) have announced the discovery exceeds this level by far. In the same figure we plot for compar- of a Neptune-mass planet around HD 192310. Being part of the ison the GLS periodogram of the activity indicator logRHK and original HARPS GTO program and of our program, we have of the line bisector BIS . None of them reveals any significant been observing this star for several seasons. The raw radial- power at the period indicated by the radial velocity. velocity data of HD 192310 are shown in Figure 16. What The highest peak in the GLS periodogram for strikes immediately is that, opposite to the previous objects pre- log(RHK ) would be observed at very long periods (> 1000 days) sented in this paper, the dispersion of the 139 radial-velocity and is produced by the stellar magnetic cycle. We have there- data points is of 2.6 m s−1 rms over the 6.5-years time span. fore de-trended the data to better make appear short-period The typical photon noise on the radial velocity data points is variations. Some excess power becomes then visible around of 0.25 m s−1 , to which, for the analysis, we add quadratically a 40 days. A closer look to the last observational season indeed noise of 0.7 m s−1 in order to account for possible instrumental reveals in the log(RHK ) time series a well established periodic- and stellar noise. ity (Figure 18, top). The GLS periodogram of only these two