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Turning Post-secondary Students
  into a Business Opportunity
                  Ryan Kam

    UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO ROTMAN COMMERCE
Entering the E-Wallet/P2P space ensures first-mover
      advantage in a $14b market growing at 62% annually

                                  •Develop business with university/college students
           Challenge
                                  •Retain customers post-graduation


                                  •Low disposable income and time
          Complication            •High price sensitivity
                                  •High brand loyalty

                                  How can banks acquire and retain customers with low
            Question                disposable income, low disposable time, and high
                                                    price sensitivity?


                                  •Exploit growing smartphone segment
                                        •Develop and market E-Wallet/P2P and remote
                                        check deposit solutions
            Answer
                                        •Pursue NFC/Contactless POS with caution
                                        •Customer acquisition leading to services
                                        cross-sell




RECOMMENDATION   |     ANALYSIS    |    IMPLEMENTATION     |    RISK   |    CONCLUSION
194,455 students will graduate from 45 post-secondary
      institutions in Ontario this year

                     Universities                                      Colleges




                                                                                   Universities
                                                                                   Colleges
     0%          20%            40%           60%          80%         100%

RECOMMENDATION   |   ANALYSIS   |     IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK   |   CONCLUSION
Convenience, pricing, and scalability with smartphone
      technology are key considerations for successful strategy

                                                                           Technology junkies

                                                                       Own/use mobile phone Smartphone share
                                                           All                           83%             58%

                                                           18-29                          86%               83%
                                                           30-44                          89%               71%
                                                           45-64                          79%               44%
                                                           65+                            78%               34%

                                                           Source: Packaged Facts August 2012 proprietary
                                                           consumer survey


                                                                           Convenience driven

                                                            •Classes, commutes, homework, and
                                                            studying monopolize disposable time

                                                                             Money minders

                                                            •Low disposable income
                                                            •High price elasticity of demand


RECOMMENDATION   |   ANALYSIS   |   IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK      |     CONCLUSION
A line extension is necessary to achieve substantial growth


                                                                           Market                Technology
                 Payment methods              Other                                     Growth
                                                                         penetration               scaling

                 •Debit                 •Mobile banking
                 •Credit                •Mobile bill
                 •Visa payWave          payment
     Existing                           •Wealth
     product                            management
                                        •Lending
                                        •Deposit taking


                 •NFC (Near Field       •Remote check
                 Communication)/        deposit
                 Contactless POS        •Mobile financial &
      New        •E-Wallet/P2P          promotional
     product     •E-commerce/           organization tools
                 Online payments




RECOMMENDATION     |    ANALYSIS    |    IMPLEMENTATION       |   RISK     |    CONCLUSION
P2P, remote check deposit, and financial & promotional tools
      show the greatest growth potential

                                              NFC/Contactless      Remote check      Mobile financial
                             E-Wallet/P2P
                                                   POS               deposit         & promotional


      Market adoption



      Growth



      Convenience


      Services cross-
      sell


      •Choice of products with low current market adoption, high growth potential,
      and high convenience factor

RECOMMENDATION      |   ANALYSIS   |   IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK    |   CONCLUSION
E-Wallet/P2P combines high growth and high projected
       uptake among post-secondary students

           By the numbers                     Cross-sell with existing products                      Applications

                                                                Used mobile banking in

   $13.5b                                  Mobile phone users
                                           All
                                                                   last 12 months
                                                                                  21%

   Total transaction value,
                                           18-29                                  40%
   2012
                                           30-44                                  24%
                                           45-64                                  15%


   +62%                                    65+


                                                   Mobile Bill Payment,
                                                                                     7%



   CAGR, 2012-2015                                        2012



   2.5                                                             42%
   Mobile payments
   made/month by mobile
   payers, 2012

   Source: Packaged Facts Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada, December 2012

RECOMMENDATION         |     ANALYSIS     |      IMPLEMENTATION          |    RISK        |   CONCLUSION
Pent up demand for remote check deposits limited by
       regulatory barriers




                                                                                           Heavy adoption in
   55%                                          57%                                        the U.S.
                                                                                           However,
   Percentage of Canadians who                  Percentage of 18-34s open to
   deposit at least one check per               doing traditional banking                  Not legal in Canada…
   month                                        functions with their smartphone            yet.

   Source: Packaged Facts Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada, December 2012

RECOMMENDATION         |     ANALYSIS     |     IMPLEMENTATION         |     RISK    |   CONCLUSION
Risks associated with these products can be mitigated with
      minimal effort


                      Risk                       Severity                           Mitigation


                                                                   1.       Competitive analysis
                    Strategic
                                                                   2.       Customer demand planning
      •Slow adoption among consumers
                                                                   3.       Focus groups/product testing
      •Competitors and substitutes
                                                                            (read: ING Direct Cheque-In)


                    Financial                                      1.       Software implementation best
      •Budget and schedule overruns                                         practices
      •Scope creep                                                 2.       Work breakdown structure (WBS)


                   Technological
                                                                   1.       Talent acquisition from industry
      •Software/hardware performance
                                                                            leaders
      issues
                                                                   2.       Software quality assurance (SQA)
      •Integration problems




RECOMMENDATION    |   ANALYSIS   |     IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK        |      CONCLUSION
Thank you!

                                Questions?


RECOMMENDATION   |   ANALYSIS   |   IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK   |   CONCLUSION
APPENDIX

   Ontario universities - graduates                           Ontario universities - graduation rate
                                                                       Degrees        Graduation Average
Year                      Enrollment           Year        Enrollment awarded         rate         Graduation rate
2000-01                       274696           2000-01       274696.00 67,690              24.64%
2001-02                       289078           2001-02       289078.00 70,096              24.25%
2002-03                       313220           2002-03       313220.00 75,531              24.11%
2003-04                       348314           2003-04       348314.00 79,854              22.93%
2004-05                       365292           2004-05       365292.00 82,147              22.49%      24.18%
2005-06                       380326           2005-06       380326.00 88,930              23.38%
2006-07                       390710           2006-07       390710.00 101,836             26.06%
2007-08                       394595           2007-08       394595.00 99,653              25.25%
2008-09                       401314           2008-09       401314.00 98,378              24.51%
2009-10                       418565
2010-2011                     434441
2011-2012*                    454819
2012-2013*                    476153           Source: Enrolment, Table 1: Summary of
                                               Enrolments in Ontario Universities, 2000-01 –
* = projected                                  2010-11, Council of Ontario Universities

2012-2013 University
graduates                      115141
RECOMMENDATION       |   ANALYSIS     |   IMPLEMENTATION    |    RISK   |    CONCLUSION
APPENDIX


             Ontario colleges - graduates

Year                                        Graduates
2001-02                                           46820                                   * = projected
2002-03                                           49717
2003-04                                           52265
2004-05                                           56761
2005-06                                           59419                   Source: Student and Graduate
                                                                            Profiles: Environmental Scan
2006-07                                           59029                           2012, Colleges Ontario
2007-08                                           60406
2008-09                                           59012
2009-10                                           62842
2010-11                                           72066
2011-12*                                          75603
2012-13*                                          79314



RECOMMENDATION     |    ANALYSIS   |    IMPLEMENTATION    |   RISK   |   CONCLUSION
APPENDIX




RECOMMENDATION   |   ANALYSIS   |   IMPLEMENTATION   |   RISK   |   CONCLUSION

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Investor Economics - "How should banks develop business with post-secondary students?"

  • 1. Turning Post-secondary Students into a Business Opportunity Ryan Kam UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO ROTMAN COMMERCE
  • 2. Entering the E-Wallet/P2P space ensures first-mover advantage in a $14b market growing at 62% annually •Develop business with university/college students Challenge •Retain customers post-graduation •Low disposable income and time Complication •High price sensitivity •High brand loyalty How can banks acquire and retain customers with low Question disposable income, low disposable time, and high price sensitivity? •Exploit growing smartphone segment •Develop and market E-Wallet/P2P and remote check deposit solutions Answer •Pursue NFC/Contactless POS with caution •Customer acquisition leading to services cross-sell RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 3. 194,455 students will graduate from 45 post-secondary institutions in Ontario this year Universities Colleges Universities Colleges 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 4. Convenience, pricing, and scalability with smartphone technology are key considerations for successful strategy Technology junkies Own/use mobile phone Smartphone share All 83% 58% 18-29 86% 83% 30-44 89% 71% 45-64 79% 44% 65+ 78% 34% Source: Packaged Facts August 2012 proprietary consumer survey Convenience driven •Classes, commutes, homework, and studying monopolize disposable time Money minders •Low disposable income •High price elasticity of demand RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 5. A line extension is necessary to achieve substantial growth Market Technology Payment methods Other Growth penetration scaling •Debit •Mobile banking •Credit •Mobile bill •Visa payWave payment Existing •Wealth product management •Lending •Deposit taking •NFC (Near Field •Remote check Communication)/ deposit Contactless POS •Mobile financial & New •E-Wallet/P2P promotional product •E-commerce/ organization tools Online payments RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 6. P2P, remote check deposit, and financial & promotional tools show the greatest growth potential NFC/Contactless Remote check Mobile financial E-Wallet/P2P POS deposit & promotional Market adoption Growth Convenience Services cross- sell •Choice of products with low current market adoption, high growth potential, and high convenience factor RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 7. E-Wallet/P2P combines high growth and high projected uptake among post-secondary students By the numbers Cross-sell with existing products Applications Used mobile banking in $13.5b Mobile phone users All last 12 months 21% Total transaction value, 18-29 40% 2012 30-44 24% 45-64 15% +62% 65+ Mobile Bill Payment, 7% CAGR, 2012-2015 2012 2.5 42% Mobile payments made/month by mobile payers, 2012 Source: Packaged Facts Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada, December 2012 RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 8. Pent up demand for remote check deposits limited by regulatory barriers Heavy adoption in 55% 57% the U.S. However, Percentage of Canadians who Percentage of 18-34s open to deposit at least one check per doing traditional banking Not legal in Canada… month functions with their smartphone yet. Source: Packaged Facts Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada, December 2012 RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 9. Risks associated with these products can be mitigated with minimal effort Risk Severity Mitigation 1. Competitive analysis Strategic 2. Customer demand planning •Slow adoption among consumers 3. Focus groups/product testing •Competitors and substitutes (read: ING Direct Cheque-In) Financial 1. Software implementation best •Budget and schedule overruns practices •Scope creep 2. Work breakdown structure (WBS) Technological 1. Talent acquisition from industry •Software/hardware performance leaders issues 2. Software quality assurance (SQA) •Integration problems RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 10. Thank you! Questions? RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 11. APPENDIX Ontario universities - graduates Ontario universities - graduation rate Degrees Graduation Average Year Enrollment Year Enrollment awarded rate Graduation rate 2000-01 274696 2000-01 274696.00 67,690 24.64% 2001-02 289078 2001-02 289078.00 70,096 24.25% 2002-03 313220 2002-03 313220.00 75,531 24.11% 2003-04 348314 2003-04 348314.00 79,854 22.93% 2004-05 365292 2004-05 365292.00 82,147 22.49% 24.18% 2005-06 380326 2005-06 380326.00 88,930 23.38% 2006-07 390710 2006-07 390710.00 101,836 26.06% 2007-08 394595 2007-08 394595.00 99,653 25.25% 2008-09 401314 2008-09 401314.00 98,378 24.51% 2009-10 418565 2010-2011 434441 2011-2012* 454819 2012-2013* 476153 Source: Enrolment, Table 1: Summary of Enrolments in Ontario Universities, 2000-01 – * = projected 2010-11, Council of Ontario Universities 2012-2013 University graduates 115141 RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 12. APPENDIX Ontario colleges - graduates Year Graduates 2001-02 46820 * = projected 2002-03 49717 2003-04 52265 2004-05 56761 2005-06 59419 Source: Student and Graduate Profiles: Environmental Scan 2006-07 59029 2012, Colleges Ontario 2007-08 60406 2008-09 59012 2009-10 62842 2010-11 72066 2011-12* 75603 2012-13* 79314 RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION
  • 13. APPENDIX RECOMMENDATION | ANALYSIS | IMPLEMENTATION | RISK | CONCLUSION