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Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand
Dr. Hooman Rezaei
IAEA Founder & President
China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China
@IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association
www.turbineengine.org
Commercial Engine Industry Overview
World Regions
Africa 2,045 4%
Asia Pacific 6,634 15%
China 3,599 8%
Eastern Europe 2,115 5%
India 770 2%
South America 2,965 7%
Middle East 2,456 5%
North America 14,951 33%
Western Europe 9,728 21%
Total (2012) 45,263
Total (2022) 62,544 +38%
OEMs 2012 2022
CFMI 16,658 26,951
GE Aviation 9,860 13,085
Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775
Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638
IAE 4,118 5,405
EA = GE + P&W 120 824
Power Jet 8 592
Honeywell 924 276
ACAE - TBD
CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15
RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022
Source Fleet Data: Ascend
$22bn+ Industry, 120,000+ Professionals
www.turbineengine.org2
Association’s Vision
Founded Jan 2012 Based on 6500+ Social Media Professional Members
Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among:
Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers
Operators Maintenance Providers
Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions
Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As:
Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident
Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry
Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums
Provide Professional Opinions & Industry Voice – CAA, Forensic, Assessment
Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally
www.turbineengine.org3
Board of Directors
Lease & Finance
Board of Advisors
Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS
Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA
Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC
Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance
Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing
Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
MRO
Board of Advisors
Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL
Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics
Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines
Team Leader: Kevin Kearns, P&W
OEM
Board of Advisors
Bob Keady - SVP P&W
TBD
TBD
Team Leader: TBD
Consulting
Board of Advisors
Academia
Board of Advisors
Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle
TBD
TBD
Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
Media & Events
Board of Advisors
Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA
TBD
TBD
Team Leader: TBD
Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation
TBD
TBD
Team Leader: TBD
Association’s Boards
www.turbineengine.org4
Supply Chain
Board of Advisors
Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site
Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD
http://career.turbineengine.org
Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based
Manpower solution across spectrums
C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics
Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain
Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management
Collaboration with Embry Riddle
Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum
Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum
Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers
Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars
Collaboration with Airfinance Journal
Update community with latest development in the industry
www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule
Phase I Execution
www.turbineengine.org5
Fan Size trend
FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear
FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost
www.turbineengine.org6
Fan Drive System
Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture?Open Rotor?
www.turbineengine.org7
Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl
www.turbineengine.org8
Manufacturing Technology:
Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS)
• Cobalt Chromium
• Inconel 718
• Inconel 625
• Titanium-6Al-4V
• Titanium-6Al-4V ELI
• Aluminum 6061-T6
• Stainless 316L
• Stainless 17-4PH
• EOS Stainless GP1
• EOS Stainless PH1
• EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg
• EOS Maraging Steel MS1
• EOS Direct Metal 20
Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts
Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply
www.turbineengine.org9
Modular Intermix Design Management
TUI’s -7B Game Changing World record of 50K First Run
GE90’s successful propulsor concept backs intermix design
Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module
www.turbineengine.org10
Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems
Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons
Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs
Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation
Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership
Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs
Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain
Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template
What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts
Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept
Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons
PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time
PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement?
Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions
Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time
OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, …
Design For Optimum MRO
www.turbineengine.org11
THANK YOU!
QUESTIONS?
Email: info@turbineengine.org Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514
IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association
www.turbineengine.org12

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IAEA China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012

  • 1. Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand Dr. Hooman Rezaei IAEA Founder & President China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China @IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association www.turbineengine.org
  • 2. Commercial Engine Industry Overview World Regions Africa 2,045 4% Asia Pacific 6,634 15% China 3,599 8% Eastern Europe 2,115 5% India 770 2% South America 2,965 7% Middle East 2,456 5% North America 14,951 33% Western Europe 9,728 21% Total (2012) 45,263 Total (2022) 62,544 +38% OEMs 2012 2022 CFMI 16,658 26,951 GE Aviation 9,860 13,085 Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775 Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638 IAE 4,118 5,405 EA = GE + P&W 120 824 Power Jet 8 592 Honeywell 924 276 ACAE - TBD CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15 RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022 Source Fleet Data: Ascend $22bn+ Industry, 120,000+ Professionals www.turbineengine.org2
  • 3. Association’s Vision Founded Jan 2012 Based on 6500+ Social Media Professional Members Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among: Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers Operators Maintenance Providers Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As: Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums Provide Professional Opinions & Industry Voice – CAA, Forensic, Assessment Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally www.turbineengine.org3
  • 4. Board of Directors Lease & Finance Board of Advisors Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei MRO Board of Advisors Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines Team Leader: Kevin Kearns, P&W OEM Board of Advisors Bob Keady - SVP P&W TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD Consulting Board of Advisors Academia Board of Advisors Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle TBD TBD Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei Media & Events Board of Advisors Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD Association’s Boards www.turbineengine.org4 Supply Chain Board of Advisors
  • 5. Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD http://career.turbineengine.org Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based Manpower solution across spectrums C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management Collaboration with Embry Riddle Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars Collaboration with Airfinance Journal Update community with latest development in the industry www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule Phase I Execution www.turbineengine.org5
  • 6. Fan Size trend FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost www.turbineengine.org6
  • 7. Fan Drive System Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture?Open Rotor? www.turbineengine.org7
  • 8. Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl www.turbineengine.org8
  • 9. Manufacturing Technology: Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS) • Cobalt Chromium • Inconel 718 • Inconel 625 • Titanium-6Al-4V • Titanium-6Al-4V ELI • Aluminum 6061-T6 • Stainless 316L • Stainless 17-4PH • EOS Stainless GP1 • EOS Stainless PH1 • EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg • EOS Maraging Steel MS1 • EOS Direct Metal 20 Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply www.turbineengine.org9
  • 10. Modular Intermix Design Management TUI’s -7B Game Changing World record of 50K First Run GE90’s successful propulsor concept backs intermix design Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module www.turbineengine.org10
  • 11. Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement? Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, … Design For Optimum MRO www.turbineengine.org11
  • 12. THANK YOU! QUESTIONS? Email: info@turbineengine.org Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514 IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association www.turbineengine.org12