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The epidemiological plateau of Corona virus in Gulf
countries: a descriptive statistics study
Raghad S. Mouhamad
Abstract
The novel SARS-CoV-2 belongs to the beta coronaviruses
and causes a severe pandemic disease named as COVID-
19. In late December 2019. WHO situation reports on 11
March 2020, declared that COVID-19 a pandemic due to its
global spread. All Arab countries have reported COVID-19
2
global spread. All Arab countries have reported COVID-19
cases. The confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic in Arab
gulf countries were reported in the United Arab Emirates,
Iraq, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia,
respectively. The fatality case rates in Gulf Countries are less
than 1% in Oman, UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia,
yet it hits 7.5% in Iraq. In this manuscript, we try to interpret
the pandemic statistically in gulf countries, especially in Iraq.
Abstract
Additionally, the distribution of COVID-19 confirmed cases
based on ABO blood groups were investigated.
Epidemiological analyses revealed that a decreased risk of
infection was attributed to blood group O compared to non-O
blood groups, whereas people with the A and A.B. blood groups
showed the highest risk for COVID-19 infection. Besides, high
risk for diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood clotting, and
3
risk for diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood clotting, and
interleukin secretion was also related to blood groups in
different orders. Accordingly, patients with a specific blood
group that are associate with the above diseases should be
under strict medical surveillance when infected with COVID-19
to reduce complications and severity. This study provides
further confirmation for the previously reported correlation
between the ABO blood groups and the susceptibility to
COVID-19 infection.
The Neighboring countries belong to Gulf take their
containment measures after the first confirmed case of
infection to lessen and prevent the incidence of infections
with COVID-19; the origin of first diagnosed COVID-19 will
present in the table (1) for Gulf countries. Data presented by
WHO for confirmed cases of COVID-19 regarding Arab Gulf
countries revealed that Iraq came at the third number of
The origin of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 at
Arab Gulf region
4
countries revealed that Iraq came at the third number of
cases at 5-March, keeping forth position till 8 April. While Iraq
had the fifth and sixth positions in total confirmed cases at
mid of April and 19 April, respectively, the infection situation
also, revealed that the total number of confirmed cases at 19
April was bellowed other countries that recorded the first case
at the end of February 2020 such as Qatar, Kuwait, and
United Arab Emirate. On 28 April- 2020, Iraq became the last
position among Gulf countries.
The origin of the first confirmed case of
COVID-19 at Arab Gulf region
Country Date for 1st case Origin of 1st case
Iraq 24-2-2020 Iran
Saudi Arabia 2-3-2020 Iran
Qatar 27- 2-2020 Iran
4copyright cmassengale
Qatar 27- 2-2020 Iran
Bahrain 21-2-2020 Iran
United Arab Emirates 23-1-2020 China
Kuwait 24-2-2020 Iran
Oman 24-2-2020 Iran
Confirmed cases and Deaths of
COVID-19 in Gulf Countries for
March- April.
COVID-19 regular prevalence data were obtained from the
official website between 19 March- April 2020. The charts
have been designed to describe the infections in the Gulf
area; total cases were analyzed for confirmed infection and
deaths in Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Oman
6
deaths in Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Oman
with the first case of infection and its origin. On the other
hand, early confirmed the first case in Saudi Arabia began
may be the reason for its higher count of cases, as illustrated
in figure (1).
Confirmed cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in Gulf
Countries for March- April.
5copyright cmassengale
Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in
Iraq
In February 2020, it was first reported that the ongoing global
pandemic was transmitted to Iraq, the first recorded cases of
COVID-19 infections were identified in Najaf on 22 February
2020. In Iraq, illness is stigmatized, and many Iraqis are
worried not to pursue medical treatment and get screened,
which may contribute to inadequate numbers of cases.
Quarantine has a certain stigma. Although 0.20 percent of the
8
Quarantine has a certain stigma. Although 0.20 percent of the
population of the KRG was checked, just 0.05 percent of the
rest of the world was evaluated, and the possible disparity in
overall positive statistics in the area and the rest of the nation
was then illustrated. The first case was reported on 1 March of
COVID-19 infection in Iraqi Kurdistan. The first fatality of the
epidemic in Iraq is 3 March. It had been confirmed in the
district of Sulaymaniyah.
Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Iraq
6copyright cmassengale
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Descriptive Statistics for COVID-19
in Gulf countries.
The process of statistical analysis of a sample of data and
use it to conclude its population includes the use of
descriptive static for COVID- 19 in Gulf countries (table 2).
We can test and start investigating causal relationships
10
We can test and start investigating causal relationships
within infection data and country information with
inferential statistics. We pursue useful information or
models for data mining, especially in those which can be
used to predict the epidemic development of COVID-19.
Covid
confirmed
cases
Skewne
ss
Kurtosi
s
Statistic Statistic
Bahrain 2.16 4.39
Iran 1.52 0.91
Iraq 1.78 1.81
Descriptive Statistics for COVID-19 in Gulf countries.
Iraq 1.78 1.81
Kuwait 2.42 6.54
Oman 2.75 7.3
Saudi
Arabia
1.27 0.74
Qatar 2.49 5.76
UEA 2.72 6.59
Case fatality rate of the ongoing
Covid- 19 pandemic in Gulf
countries
CFR is the ratio between confirmed cases and deaths, the
figure 4. the number of confirmed COVID-19 events, and the
total number of fatalities is seen in contrast. In every individual
illness, there is no specific CFR statistic. The CFR differs from
location to position and typically shifts with time. There are
significant differences between the CFRs in Gulf countries,
12
significant differences between the CFRs in Gulf countries,
which are less than 1% in Oman, UEA, Kuwait, Bahrain, and
Saudi Arabia, hitting 7.5% in Iraq and 8% in Iran. The Gulf
Countries vary in material capacities in the medical knowledge,
and other professional capabilities of trained administrators and
Iraq is the competence of health personnel, who in recent
years, have assisted emergencies.
Case fatality rate of the ongoing Covid- 19 pandemic
in Gulf countries
13
Sewage analysis for the collective detection
of corona virus
With the economic and practical limits of medical screening for SARS-CoV-
2/COVID-19 coming sharply into focus worldwide, scientists are turning now to
wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) as a potential tool for assessing andwastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) as a potential tool for assessing and
managing the pandemic. We employed computational analysis and modeling
to examine the feasibility, economy, opportunities and challenges of
enumerating active coronavirus infections locally and globally using WBE.
Depending on local conditions, detection in community wastewater of one
symptomatic/asymptomatic infected case per 100 to 2,000,000 non-infected
people is theoretically feasible, with some practical successes now being
reported from around the world. Computer simulations for past, present and
emerging epidemic hotspots (e.g., Wuhan, Milan, Madrid, New York City,
Teheran, Seattle, Detroit and New Orleans) identified temperature, average in-
sewer travel time and per-capita water use as key variables.
15
virus loadings, depending on seasonal weather conditions
that dictate in-sewer decay of the qRT PCR signal.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004896
9720323925
Infection with SARS-CoV-2, the etiologic agent of the ongoing COVID-19
pandemic, is accompanied by the shedding of the virus in stool. Therefore, the
quantification of SARS-CoV-2 inwastewater affords the ability to monitor the
16
quantification of SARS-CoV-2 inwastewater affords the ability to monitor the
prevalence of infections among the population via wastewater-based epidemiology
(WBE). In the current work, SARS-CoV-2 RNA was concentrated from wastewater
in a catchment in Australia and viral RNA copies were enumerated using reverse
transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) resulting in two
positive detections within a six day period from the same wastewater treatment
plant (WWTP). The estimated viral RNA copy numbers observed in the wastewater
were then used to estimate the number of infected individuals in the catchment via
Monte Carlo simulation. Given the uncertainty and variation in the input
parameters, the model estimated a median range of 171 to 1090 infected persons
in the catchment, which is in reasonable agreement with clinical observations. This
work highlights the viability of WBE for monitoring infectious
17
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138764
Bioremediation by filtration methods
Pharmaceutical wastewater treatment using
heterogeneous photocatalysis in presence of nanoparticles
has become a lucrative method because the convectional
wastewater and biological treatments usually fail to remove
the detrimental effect of different drugs and hormones on
18
the environment.
19
Size dependent filtration methods
20
membranes for removal of pollutants in wastewater
treatment

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The epidemiological plateau of corona virus in gulf countries a descriptive statistics study

  • 1. The epidemiological plateau of Corona virus in Gulf countries: a descriptive statistics study Raghad S. Mouhamad
  • 2. Abstract The novel SARS-CoV-2 belongs to the beta coronaviruses and causes a severe pandemic disease named as COVID- 19. In late December 2019. WHO situation reports on 11 March 2020, declared that COVID-19 a pandemic due to its global spread. All Arab countries have reported COVID-19 2 global spread. All Arab countries have reported COVID-19 cases. The confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic in Arab gulf countries were reported in the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia, respectively. The fatality case rates in Gulf Countries are less than 1% in Oman, UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia, yet it hits 7.5% in Iraq. In this manuscript, we try to interpret the pandemic statistically in gulf countries, especially in Iraq.
  • 3. Abstract Additionally, the distribution of COVID-19 confirmed cases based on ABO blood groups were investigated. Epidemiological analyses revealed that a decreased risk of infection was attributed to blood group O compared to non-O blood groups, whereas people with the A and A.B. blood groups showed the highest risk for COVID-19 infection. Besides, high risk for diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood clotting, and 3 risk for diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood clotting, and interleukin secretion was also related to blood groups in different orders. Accordingly, patients with a specific blood group that are associate with the above diseases should be under strict medical surveillance when infected with COVID-19 to reduce complications and severity. This study provides further confirmation for the previously reported correlation between the ABO blood groups and the susceptibility to COVID-19 infection.
  • 4. The Neighboring countries belong to Gulf take their containment measures after the first confirmed case of infection to lessen and prevent the incidence of infections with COVID-19; the origin of first diagnosed COVID-19 will present in the table (1) for Gulf countries. Data presented by WHO for confirmed cases of COVID-19 regarding Arab Gulf countries revealed that Iraq came at the third number of The origin of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 at Arab Gulf region 4 countries revealed that Iraq came at the third number of cases at 5-March, keeping forth position till 8 April. While Iraq had the fifth and sixth positions in total confirmed cases at mid of April and 19 April, respectively, the infection situation also, revealed that the total number of confirmed cases at 19 April was bellowed other countries that recorded the first case at the end of February 2020 such as Qatar, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirate. On 28 April- 2020, Iraq became the last position among Gulf countries.
  • 5. The origin of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 at Arab Gulf region Country Date for 1st case Origin of 1st case Iraq 24-2-2020 Iran Saudi Arabia 2-3-2020 Iran Qatar 27- 2-2020 Iran 4copyright cmassengale Qatar 27- 2-2020 Iran Bahrain 21-2-2020 Iran United Arab Emirates 23-1-2020 China Kuwait 24-2-2020 Iran Oman 24-2-2020 Iran
  • 6. Confirmed cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in Gulf Countries for March- April. COVID-19 regular prevalence data were obtained from the official website between 19 March- April 2020. The charts have been designed to describe the infections in the Gulf area; total cases were analyzed for confirmed infection and deaths in Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Oman 6 deaths in Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Oman with the first case of infection and its origin. On the other hand, early confirmed the first case in Saudi Arabia began may be the reason for its higher count of cases, as illustrated in figure (1).
  • 7. Confirmed cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in Gulf Countries for March- April. 5copyright cmassengale
  • 8. Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Iraq In February 2020, it was first reported that the ongoing global pandemic was transmitted to Iraq, the first recorded cases of COVID-19 infections were identified in Najaf on 22 February 2020. In Iraq, illness is stigmatized, and many Iraqis are worried not to pursue medical treatment and get screened, which may contribute to inadequate numbers of cases. Quarantine has a certain stigma. Although 0.20 percent of the 8 Quarantine has a certain stigma. Although 0.20 percent of the population of the KRG was checked, just 0.05 percent of the rest of the world was evaluated, and the possible disparity in overall positive statistics in the area and the rest of the nation was then illustrated. The first case was reported on 1 March of COVID-19 infection in Iraqi Kurdistan. The first fatality of the epidemic in Iraq is 3 March. It had been confirmed in the district of Sulaymaniyah.
  • 9. Confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Iraq 6copyright cmassengale A l-A nbarG overnorate A l-Q idisiyyah G overnorate B abilG overnorate B aghdad G overnorate B asra G overnorate D hiQ arG overnorate D iyala G overnorate D uhok G overnorate ErbilG overnorate K arbala G overnorate K irkuk G overnorate M aysan G overnorate M uthanna G overnorate N ajafG overnorate N ineveh G overnorate Sulaym aniyah G overnorate Saladin G overnorate W asitG overnorate
  • 10. Descriptive Statistics for COVID-19 in Gulf countries. The process of statistical analysis of a sample of data and use it to conclude its population includes the use of descriptive static for COVID- 19 in Gulf countries (table 2). We can test and start investigating causal relationships 10 We can test and start investigating causal relationships within infection data and country information with inferential statistics. We pursue useful information or models for data mining, especially in those which can be used to predict the epidemic development of COVID-19.
  • 11. Covid confirmed cases Skewne ss Kurtosi s Statistic Statistic Bahrain 2.16 4.39 Iran 1.52 0.91 Iraq 1.78 1.81 Descriptive Statistics for COVID-19 in Gulf countries. Iraq 1.78 1.81 Kuwait 2.42 6.54 Oman 2.75 7.3 Saudi Arabia 1.27 0.74 Qatar 2.49 5.76 UEA 2.72 6.59
  • 12. Case fatality rate of the ongoing Covid- 19 pandemic in Gulf countries CFR is the ratio between confirmed cases and deaths, the figure 4. the number of confirmed COVID-19 events, and the total number of fatalities is seen in contrast. In every individual illness, there is no specific CFR statistic. The CFR differs from location to position and typically shifts with time. There are significant differences between the CFRs in Gulf countries, 12 significant differences between the CFRs in Gulf countries, which are less than 1% in Oman, UEA, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia, hitting 7.5% in Iraq and 8% in Iran. The Gulf Countries vary in material capacities in the medical knowledge, and other professional capabilities of trained administrators and Iraq is the competence of health personnel, who in recent years, have assisted emergencies.
  • 13. Case fatality rate of the ongoing Covid- 19 pandemic in Gulf countries 13
  • 14. Sewage analysis for the collective detection of corona virus With the economic and practical limits of medical screening for SARS-CoV- 2/COVID-19 coming sharply into focus worldwide, scientists are turning now to wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) as a potential tool for assessing andwastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) as a potential tool for assessing and managing the pandemic. We employed computational analysis and modeling to examine the feasibility, economy, opportunities and challenges of enumerating active coronavirus infections locally and globally using WBE. Depending on local conditions, detection in community wastewater of one symptomatic/asymptomatic infected case per 100 to 2,000,000 non-infected people is theoretically feasible, with some practical successes now being reported from around the world. Computer simulations for past, present and emerging epidemic hotspots (e.g., Wuhan, Milan, Madrid, New York City, Teheran, Seattle, Detroit and New Orleans) identified temperature, average in- sewer travel time and per-capita water use as key variables.
  • 15. 15 virus loadings, depending on seasonal weather conditions that dictate in-sewer decay of the qRT PCR signal. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004896 9720323925
  • 16. Infection with SARS-CoV-2, the etiologic agent of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, is accompanied by the shedding of the virus in stool. Therefore, the quantification of SARS-CoV-2 inwastewater affords the ability to monitor the 16 quantification of SARS-CoV-2 inwastewater affords the ability to monitor the prevalence of infections among the population via wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE). In the current work, SARS-CoV-2 RNA was concentrated from wastewater in a catchment in Australia and viral RNA copies were enumerated using reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) resulting in two positive detections within a six day period from the same wastewater treatment plant (WWTP). The estimated viral RNA copy numbers observed in the wastewater were then used to estimate the number of infected individuals in the catchment via Monte Carlo simulation. Given the uncertainty and variation in the input parameters, the model estimated a median range of 171 to 1090 infected persons in the catchment, which is in reasonable agreement with clinical observations. This work highlights the viability of WBE for monitoring infectious
  • 18. Bioremediation by filtration methods Pharmaceutical wastewater treatment using heterogeneous photocatalysis in presence of nanoparticles has become a lucrative method because the convectional wastewater and biological treatments usually fail to remove the detrimental effect of different drugs and hormones on 18 the environment.
  • 20. 20 membranes for removal of pollutants in wastewater treatment