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C R NA VIRUS
Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies
Agenda for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic
Impact on Geographies
2
The purpose is to provide detailed description about coronavirus disease,
COVID - 19 in terms of what is coronavirus, how it spreads in humans, how it is
affecting economy at global scale, what initiatives different governments are
taking in order to combat the COVID - 19 outbreak
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Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
3
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
4
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID-19 5
This slide provides information about the overview of coronavirus disease COVID-19. It provide details about virus, its impact on humans and where it was first identified.
CO
VI
D
19
Corona
Virus
Disease
2019 (Year it was Identified)
2019 Novel Coronavirus or 2019-nCoV
Coronavirus belongs to large family of viruses
Generally causes illness in animals or human
Cause respiratory infections such as common cold to critical respiratory issues such as
Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) & Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)
COVID – 19
Wuhan, Hubei Province, China in December 2019
Virus
Name
Details
About Virus
Coronavirus in
Humans
Disease Caused
by Coronavirus
Virus
Identified in
Detailed Structure of Coronavirus 6
This slide provides information about the structure of coronavirus comprising of various proteins and the functioning of each protein.
Nucleocapsid Protein
(N)
Spike Protein
(S)
Envelope Protein
(E)
RNA
Membrane Protein
(M)
Structural Protein
• Bound to RNA genome to make up
nucleocapsid
• Critical for building of host call receptors to
facilities entry of host cell
• Interacts with M to from viral envelope
• Central organizer of CoV assembly
• Determines shape of viral envelope
Function of Protein
It has been noted that some CoVs do not need to have the full ensemble of structural proteins to make virions, highlighting that certain proteins may be dispensable or compensated by the function of non-structural proteins.
What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? 7
This slide provides information about the symptoms related to COVID-19 disease. The symptoms are classified categorized based on severity. Some key facts in context to symptoms
are displayed.
Initial Symptoms
Fever
Tiredness
Dry Cough
Some of other symptoms are
Nasal Congestion
Runny Nose
Sore Throat
Pains
Diarrhea
Severe Symptoms
High Fever (100.4-degree F)
Pneumonia
Kidney Failure
Death
People who needs medical attention
• Aged (Older) people
• People are likely to develop serious illness
having medical issues such as –
oHigh blood pressure
oHeart problems
oDiabetes
• People with fever, cough and difficulty while
breathing
Key Facts Related to Symptoms -
•The symptoms are mild in nature & gradually increase
•Chances are there that people get infected and do not
develop any symptoms and not get unwell
•Approximately 75% of people get recovered from
disease without any special treatment
FACT
1 out of every 6 people
infected with COVID – 19 get
seriously infected and have
difficulty in breathing
How COVID-19 Spread in Humans? 8
This slide covers details regarding how COVID-19 is spread among humans. It provide details about the specific modes of transmission.
COVID – 19
spread from people
to people
Droplets of infected
fluid from nose or
mouth from COVID
– 19 infected
person coughs or
exhales or talk
Droplets lands on
objects and
surfaces around
person
Transmission
through physical
contact and
Infected person
have contaminated
face, hands, face,
clothes
2- 14 Days is the
Estimated incubation
period for Transmission
via Respiratory droplets
FACT
Infected with coronavirus
SARS - CoV - 2
Droplets containing
virus in air
Droplets fall on
surfaces/ Objects
Droplets land in nose,
mouth, possibly lungs
On Fingers from
touching
Droplets eventually get
into nose & mouth
People touch
contaminate
surfaces or
objects and then
touch eyes or
mouth
Specific Modes of Transmission
1 to 2m
Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus 9
This slide compares coronavirus & another similar viruses. The viruses are compared on factors such as incubation period, fatality rates & infection rate.
Virus Type Incubation Period
Fatality Rates
(Deaths/Cases)
Infection Rate
(per infected person)
Novel Coronavirus 2 - 14 or 0 – 24 Days 1% - 3.4% 1.5 – 3.5
SARS 2 - 7 Days (10 Days at Max.) 10% 3
MERS 5 Days (Range 2 - 14 Days) 34.30% 0.42 – 0.92
Seasonal Flu 2 Days (Range 1 - 4 Days) 0.05% 1.3
Ebola 2 - 21 Days 50% 1.5 – 2.5
Swine Flu 1 - 4 Days (7 Days at Max.)
*MERS – Middle East Respiratory Syndrome
*SARS – Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
10
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Latest Insights Related to COVID-19 11
This slide covers details about latest updates in context to COVID-19 such as number of confirmed cases reported, deaths across the globe, number of countries that get affected
> 870,000
Reported deaths across the globe
> 43,000
Reported
confirmed cases
Countries or territories with reported cases
194
New Countries or territories with reported cases from March 18 - 24
35
Countries or territories reporting local transmission evidence
> 115
Countries or territories with more than 100 reported cases
> 75
New reported case share by
China from March 18 - 24
0.4%
Increase in reported case in
Europe from March 18 - 24
> 160%
Reported COVID-19 Cases Across the Globe 12
This slide covers details about COVID-19 confirmed cases registered across the globe such as cases registered in Europe, Africa, Oceania, Asia, Middle East, America.
>10,000 reported cases
1,000 – 9,999 reported cases
250 - 999
50 - 99
< 10
10 - 49
100 - 249
>Propagation Trend
Africa
Total Cases : >1,000
Total Deaths : >20
Europe
Total Cases : >195,500
Total Deaths : >10,000
China
Total Cases : >81,500
Total Deaths : >3,200
Oceania
Total Cases : >1,800
Total Deaths : <10
Middle East3
Total Cases : >27,000
Total Deaths : >1,800
South America
Total Cases : >4,000
Total Deaths : >50
North America1
Total Cases : >56,000
Total Deaths : >600
Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe
13
This slide covers details regarding the demand of essential supplies such as masks, gloves, hand sanitizers that will be required to treat COVID-19 infected patients by health
responders across the globe.
The figures denotes the amount of supplies required by health responders in order to protect themselvesNote
89 million Masks
30 million Gowns
1.59 million Goggles
76 million Gloves
2.9 Million Liters Hand Sanitizer
How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States? 14
This slide provides information about how coronavirus is spreading and the number of COVID-19 cases increasing in regions such as Asia, Europe and United States.
Cumulative number of
cases from March 1 – 24
› Significant reduction in incremental cases from China &
South Korea
› Majority of reported new cases in China are imported rather
than from local transmission
› Significant increase in European transmission with Italy
reporting approx. 60,000 reported cases
› Incremental cases are rigorously monitored in European
countries for upcoming period to determine effectiveness of
social distancing
› Significant 8x increase in total cases from 6,500(approx.) on
March 17 to 50,000 (approx.) on March 24 with US having
third largest number of cases after China and Italy
› Growth rate of cases is 10,000 per day
United
States
Europe
Asia
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
350
375
400 Italy US Spain Germany
Iran France South Korea Switzerland
UK Rest of World China
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
15
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Initial COVID-19 Spread Timeline (1/2) 16
This slide provide details about how COVID-19 disease spread across the globe. The key details are presented in the form of timeline.
Wuhan
quarantined
Suspension of
air and rail
services
Shutdown of
wholesale
seafood market
in Wuhan
China alerts
WHO regarding
numerous
pneumonia
cases
6000 new
cases reported
with death toll
rises to 132
New virus –
COVID – 19
identified
First case
reported outside
China in
Thailand
Reported first
death in China
First identified
patient with
Wuhan
coronavirus
symptoms
Dec
8
Jan
1
Jan
13
Jan
23
Dec
31
Jan
11
Jan
23
Jan
29
2019 2020
Initial COVID-19 Spread Timeline (2/2) 17
This slide provide details about how COVID-19 disease spread across the globe. The key details are presented in the form of timeline.
Dec
China alerts WHO
regarding numerous
pneumonia cases
Dec 31
Jan
Europe’s first
case in France
reported
Jan 7
First death
in China
Jan 11
First case reported
by WHO outside
China in Thailand
Jan 13
WHO declared virus
outbreak as global
health emergency
Jan 30
Feb
First reported
death in Thailand,
outside China
Feb 2
Li Wenliang, Chinese
doctor &
whistleblower died
Feb 7
WHO named
virus
COVID – 19
Feb 11
Africa’s first case
reported in Egypt
Feb 14
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day
Mar 1
75% of Inter
provincial passenger
transport services
resumed
Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China 18
This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in China.
February MarchJan
Jan 23
Wuhan city lockdown
Travel restrictions
from near buy cities
Jan 24
Tourist activity in
Hubei cancelled
Feb 3
Hong Kong closes its
border control points
except 3 out of 14
Feb 7
Schools shutdown
after Chinese
New Year
Feb 19
Sustain reports
about new cases
below 2,000
Feb 21
Traffic restrictions
ease down by
government
Work resume in less
affected areas
Feb 24
320,000 tests
conducted in
Guangdong till date
Mar 10
16 temporary
hospital closed
Incrementalcasesperday&totalreportedcasesinChina
No.ofReportedcasesperday
TotalReportedCases
Mar
2020
COVID-19 Outbreak in US Timeline 19
This slide provides details about key highlights of COVID-19 outbreak in US in terms of first case in US, number of confirmed cases, etc.
Jan
2020
21 Jan
First confirmed case in Washington state, a man who had
returned from Wuhan, China
29 Jan
US government evacuated 195 State Department Employees from
Wuhan along with their families and other US citizens to March Air
Reserve in California and kept under quarantine for 14 days
21 Jan
First confirmed case of person – to person transmission
reported in Chicago
5-6 Feb
US government evacuated 345 citizens from Hubei Province
› On Feb 6, US government evacuated 300 passengers and
quarantined in Nebraska and Texas
› More than 500 people were quarantined at three air bases
Feb
2020
26 Feb First case of community transmission was confirmed in California
Mar 11
› Confirmed cases crossed
1,100 in United States
› Colleges and universities
suspended classes and moved
to remote access teaching
› Ban on social gatherings
Mar 12
Confirmed cases
crossed 1,500 in
United States
Mar 13
Confirmed
cases crossed
by 2,100
Mar 16
US President urged
people to avoid social
gatherings of more than
10 people and impose
travel restrictions
Federal Bank lowered
interest rates
Mar 20
Confirmed cases
surpassed by 19,000
with 249 deaths
Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea 20
This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in South Korea.
Incrementalcases&TestsperdayinSouthKorea
No.ofReportedcases
TestsPerformed
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day
February March
Travel restrictions
imposed by 15
countries on South
Korea
FEB
24
16 reported cases
First test kit
approved by
government
FEB
4
Patient -31
exposed to approx.
1,000 congregants
in Daegu Church
FEB
9, 16
Streets cleared by
Daegu residents
due to outbreak
FEB
20
MAR
20
Localized outbreaks with
infected church
congregation
Surveillance requirement
& response
Individual tested
approx. 180,000
MAR
9
Initiate testing inspires
by fast food chains drive
through process
MAR
3
MAR
1
Daegu Church
investigation
begins
Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy 21
This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in Italy.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day
Feb XX
Tourist activity in
Hubei cancelled
Feb 21
16 cases identified
in northern Italy
Feb 23
Officials lockdown
in Lombardy after spike
in cases
Feb 26
Ease at testing criteria
Confirmed cases
contact tested
Mar 8
3,300 residents tested
by authorities of
northern town of Vo
Mar 8
Lock down extended
in Lombardy & other
14 northern provinces
Mar 9
National lockdown
Travelling banned
Mar 20
Testing rate – approx.
3,500 per million
Highest in wester
Europe
February March
Incremental cases & Tests per day
No. of Reported cases
Tests Performed
COVID-19 Outbreak in India Timeline 22
This slide provides details about key highlights of COVID-19 outbreak in India in terms of first case in India, number of confirmed cases, etc.
• First confirmed case in
Kerala’s Thrissur district,
a student who had
returned home for
vacation from Wuhan
University, China
30 January
2020
• Total cases
reached to 50
10 March
2020
• Indian PM Announced COVID – 19
Economic Response Task Force
o Indian PM announced, “Janata
Curfew”(people’s curfew) on 7AM to 9PM on
March 22, urging people to stay at home
(except those involved in essential services)
o Asked people to gather in their homes and
applaud people working in essential services
during Janata Curfew for five minutes at 5 PM
19 March
2020
• Confirmed cases crossed by 500
o Indian PM announced nationwide lockdown
for period of 21 days
o He announced $2.1 Bn(US) aid for
developing testing facilities, ICU ventilators,
PPEs and training of medial workers
24 March
2020
• Second confirmed case in
Kerala’s Alappuzha district,
a student who had returned
home for vacation from
Wuhan University, China
2 February
2020
• Total 6 confirmed cases
consist of travelers having
history from Italy, United
Arab Emirates. Two
schools in Noida were
closed for a week
1 – 2 March
2020
• More than 1,200 people
who came from other
countries were
quarantined in Kolkata
5 - 6 March
2020
• Confirmed cases
crossed 100
15 March
2020
• Confirmed cases
crossed by 1000
28 March
2020
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
23
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Global COVID-19 Economic Impact Overview 24
This slide provides overview of economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak at global scale in terms of impact on GDP, earnings in various sector, cost of COVID- 19 outbreak.
Sector/Industry
Global GDP
(2019) – 2.9%
Global GDP
(2020) – 1.6%
Global GDP
(2020) – 0
(worst case
pandemic scenario)
Basic Materials 389 -13 8
Consumer Cyclicals 671 -16 16
Airlines 45 -42 2
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 111 -21 2
Consumer Non-Cyclicals 351 -4 6
Energy 243 -13 20
Healthcare 195 0 3
Industrials 739 -9 14
Automobiles & Auto Parts 142 -44 9
Technology 358 -3 11
Telecommunications Services 105 1 11
Utilities 175 -5 10
Grand Total 3’226 -9 100
COVID – 19 Outbreak cost the global economy up to $ 2 trillion this year
Share
of capital
expenditures (%)
Average
earnings
revision (%)
Number of
Companies with
earnings revisions
Global Economy Impact - Earnings Revisions & Capital Expenditure of Top 5000 Public Companies
Online Learning Platform get boost
Widespread slowdown in
economic activity leading to
pollution levels & depressed
shipping traffic
Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread 25
This slide portrays impact of COVID-19 outbreak on GDP. It provides details about how much GDP has decreased global scale especially in China and USA.
0
30
60
90
120
150
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
China
USA
World
Eurozone
Local Currency Units
Indexed, 2019 Q4=100
Real GDP
Growth –
COVID – 19
Crisis
China USA World Eurozone
GDP fall in 2019Q4 – 2020 Q2 -3.3% -8.0% -4.9% -9.5%
2020 GDP Growth -0.4% -2.4% -1.5% -4.4%
Pre – Crisis Time 2020 2020 2020 2021443 1
2019 2020 2021
Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID-19 Outbreak
26
This slide provides details about the potential impact of COVID-19 outbreak on global economy and potential business opportunities that are identified during the outbreak.
Digital
platforms &
big data
New Smart
cities & parks
Internet Medical
Devices Online
classrooms
& education
Telecommuting &
online activities
5G Industry
Applications
Unmanned scene
transactions
& services
Fresh
Ecommerce
Supply chain
Management Manufacturing
& service
Robots
Potential Business
Opportunities
Identified during
COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Substantial impact on Chinese production due to shutdown of industrial plants in various
Chinese provinces
• Slowdown in China leads has affected Chinese exporters
• Largest sources of imports are Korea, Japan and other Asian countries resulting in slow
growth in Q2 2020
Direct impact on production
• Disruptions in inputs and production will affect firms with inadequate liquidity
• There might be chance that traders will not adequately anticipate firms with high vulnerability
resulting in high risk in financial markets
Financial impact on firms
• Manufacturing firms in certain countries rely on China for intermediate inputs will be affected as
they will not be able to switch source easily
• Few firms rely for sales in China to achieve financial goals will face issues in profitability
• Small & medium – sized firms will face greater difficulty in surviving the disruption
• Business related to travel & tourism that are facing losses are not recoverable
Market & supply chain disruption
Potential Impact of
COVID – 19 on
Global Economy
Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID-19 Outbreak 27
This slide provides details about various sectors and economies that are adversely impacted due to COVID -19 outbreak.
Most EUROPEAN economies will face
dislocations (drop in growth) with virus outbreak
and most countries including NORTHERN ITALY,
will adapt restrictive responses that will result in
halt in manufacturing activity in regional hubs
UNITED STATES will enter crisis with tailwind
with predicted drop in GDP in Q2 with fall in
foreign direct investment from 5 – 15% (lowest
since 2008 – 2009 global financial crisis)
JAPAN & EUROPE, both countries are facing
recession like situations with weak Q4
performance as they highly dependent on trade
Economies that are highly interconnected to
CHINA will face downward growth such as
SOUTH KOREA, AUSTRALIA & JAPAN
Vulnerable Economies
Northern
italy
European
United
states
Europe
Japan
China
South korea
Australia
Japan
Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID-19 Outbreak 28
This slide provides details about various sectors and economies that are adversely impacted due to COVID-19 outbreak.
Vulnerable
Sectors
Travel & Tourism related firms facing adverse impact as social authorities
(government) encouraging “social – distancing” & consumers are staying indoors
Aviation sector has been affected by COVID – 19 outbreak, International Air
Transport Association predicted loss of $63 Bn – $113 Bn in revenue from global
air carrier in 2020
Estimated loss of over $5 Bn in international film market of Entertainment sector
Restaurant & hotel firms will also face significant loss
Sectors which have less dependency on social interaction such as Agriculture,
considered comparatively less vulnerable but will face some constraint such as
demand wavers
Sports sector will face significant loss with ban on several sporting
events & functions
Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector 29
This slide provides details about the impact on energy sector due to COVID-19 outbreak. The economic slowdown has negative impact on energy sector leading lower
energy demands.
Saudi & Russian
price war lead to
major fall in price
of oil
COVID – 19
outbreak limit
benefit to oil –
importing countries
Brent crude fell
more than 20%
due to Saudi
decision, resulting
in further
decline ahead
Economic
slowdowns results in
lower energy
demands dur to
COVID – 19
outbreak
Producers reduce
supply to guide price
in response to
decrease in demand
– Major oil
producers made an
agreement for
additional cut of 1.5
million barrels per
day by the end
of June
As the agreement
disintegrate, Saudi
Arabia reduced
prices and
increased output,
intentionally to harm
Russia, who was
refusing production
cut agreements
Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector 30
This slide provides details about the impact on financial sector due to COVID-19 outbreak. The economic slowdown has adverse impact on financial markets with reduced
corporate earnings.
Longer duration of COVID –19 outbreak – > More negative impact on economic and firm performance
Outbreak is adversely impacting financial markets and most international firms are sustaining in
bear market territory with decline of at least 20% from last year(2019) high with reduced
corporate earnings
Economic impact of COVID outbreak results in –
o Debt sustainability concerns, especially in highly indented countries
After equity rout, investors have shifted to safe assets such as US treasury bonds resulting in
record low yields. Low yields leads to lower borrowing costs for US government
S&P 500 fall by 7% resulting in trading suspension (first since 1997). Index is down by 17%
from its record high on 20 February
Low interest rates will not benefit private firms or individuals as they will find financial markets
to be too risk adverse to lend credit in such uncertain conditions
COVID – 19
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
31
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline 32
This slide provides details regarding the impact of COVID-19 leading to stock market crash 2020 key highlights presented in timeline.
Global Stock have fall
25% during crash with
30% in most G20 nations
Goldman Sachs warned
US GDP will shrink by
29% by Q2 2020
Unemployment
Rate will
increase by 9%
12 February
Dow Jones
Industrial Average,
NASDAQ
Composite & S&P
500 Index finished
at record high
(NASDAQ
Composite & S&P
500 reached
record high on
19 February)
20 February
Stock market
crash initiated
24 to 28
February
Large one – week
decline registered by
stock markets
worldwide since
2008 financial crisis
Early March
Global markets
became
extremely
volatile
9 March “Black
Monday 1”
o Severe contractions
reported by global
markets in response to
COVID – 19 outbreak
o Oil Prices war between
Russia & OPEC Countries
led by Saudi Arabia
12 March “Black
Thursday”
o Stock across
Europe & North
America fell
more than 9%
o FTSE MIB &
Borsa Italiana fell
by 17%
13 March
All three Wall
Street Indexes fell
more than 12%
16 March
Countries in G7 &
G20 have
declared to be in
bear markets
Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview 33
This slide provides details about the Oil price war among Saudi Arabia and Russia due to COVID-19 resulting in price drop of oil.
Saudi Arabia initiated oil price war with Russia leading to major price fall of oil
8 March
2020
The price war is considered as one of the key causes of ongoing stock market crash at global scale
Oil demand has been reduced due to fall in factory production and transportation demand
Producers reduce supply to aid in response to decrease in oil demand – Major oil producers and
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) made an agreement for additional cut of
1.5 million barrels per day by the end of June
Russia rejected the proposed agreement for oil production cuts due coronavirus pandemic
As the agreement dissolved, Saudi Arabia reduced prices and increased output, intentionally to
harm Russia
34%
Fall in US Oil Prices
26%
Fall in Crude oil
24%
Fall in Brent oil
Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War 34
This slide provides details about the impact of Oil price war due to COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia Russia and other oil producers.
Impact on other Oil Producers
•10% of oil production globally will not be able to
cover its base operating cost especially heavy crude
oil producers such as Venezuela or Mexico
• US crude oil production will fall from 13.2 million
bpd (May 2020) to 12.8 million bpd (December
2020)
• Iraq and Kuwait announce price discounts to buyers
• Norway, which is considered as largest oil exporter
of Europe is facing currency drop
• Nigeria’s currency facing lowest depreciation
against dollar
Impact on Saudi Arabia
• Saudi Aramco announced cut on capital expenditure
from $35 - $40 Bn to $25 - $ 30 Bn
• Government increased debt ceiling from 30% to 50%
of GDP
• Budget deficit will increase from 6% to 9%
Impact on Russia
• Value of Ruble dropped over 30% by mid – March
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
35
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on Indian Economy 36
This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Indian economy in terms of its GDP.
India is witnessing outbreak of coronavirus
On 9 March 2020, India reported 43 confirmed cases
India’s annual real GDP growth rate was – 7.3% (2009 – 2018)
Impact of COVID – 19 outbreak
• Dull consumption
• Credit growth slowdown
• Disruptions in potential supply – side
India real GDP growth rate has been reduced from 5.6% to 5.5% in 2020
There is predicted sharp pick up in 2021
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
GDP Industrial Production
GDP & Industrial Production
5.6%
5.5%
For 2020
6.2%
For 2021
G D P
Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Different Sectors of India 37
This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on several sectors of India. The impact is categorized in three categories, low, medium and high. Several
sectors that are analyzed such as banking, investments, travel and tourism, retail, etc.
• Indian Office Sector been robust for
last 3 years
• Gross absorption – 58.6 MM sq.ft.
(2019, in top 7 cities) and forecasted
54.3 MM sq.ft. (2020)
• No major impact on office demand
due to COVID – 19
• Delayed decisions by occupiers who
depend on overseas clearance in
Asia
• Minimum occupancy in flexible
workspaces in March as employees
encouraged to work from home
• Construction delays due to supply
chain disruptions of imported
materials as India imported over
50% of wire rods and bars used in
construction as in 2018
Office
Recovery: Q2 2020
• Present scenario in India stresses
on workplace wellness and hygiene
• Firm will review their business
continuity plans for further virus
spread preparation
• Opportunity for occupiers in India to
initiate remote working policies
planning and implementation
• MNCs in India working in technology
sector providing advice to
employees regarding travel and
urging them to work from home and
domestic firms also planning such
precautionary measures
Workplace
Recovery: Q2 2020
• Banking and financial sectors have
significant impact as they make
transition to remote working
• Occupiers need to adopt technology
advancements and switch to cloud
strategy to minimize the disruptions
due to remote working
Banking
Recovery: Q2 2020
• 28% was total institutional
investments from Singapore, Hong
Kong and mainland China together
in 2019 in real estate investments
• Investors were expected to stay
bullish over span of next 5 years as
there was increase of funds from
Asia into India’s Grade A office
assets
• But due to COVID – 19 outbreak,
slower decision –making in Q1
2020 will result in obstruction in
capital deployment in India
Investments
Recovery: Q2 2020
Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Different Sectors of India contd… 38
This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on several sectors of India. The impact is categorized in three categories, low, medium and high. Several
sectors that are analyzed such as banking, investments, travel and tourism, retail, etc.
Manufacturing
Recovery: Q3 2020
• Estimated decline in trade in India is
about $348 MM (INR 2,510 Crore) due
to COVID- 19 outbreak
• India will be among top 15 most affected
economies as China is considered as
second- largest trading partner
contributing 13.8 % of imports in 2018
• Most adversely affected sectors include
– Machinery, Automotive, Precision
Instruments, Communication Equipment
• Moderate impact on Office leasing
demand in Q1 2020 , if outbreak persists
in Q2 2020 then recovery is expected in
Q3 2020
• Manufacturers need to prioritize efficient
inventory management and last – mile
delivery for warehouses to cope
increase e –commerce demand
• Significant impact on travel and tourism
industry
• Probable decline in inbound tourism
with decline in domestic travel too
• Government of India advising citizens to
avoid travelling to crowded places and
large gatherings as India is intensely
populated country
• Severe impact on upcoming holidays
plans resulting in less occupancy in
hotels
Travel & Tourism
Recovery: Q3 2020
• Adverse impact on retail industry as
there will be fewer retail footfalls and
sales especially in malls, shopping
centers and markets
• Portion of decline in retail demand will
be offset by shift to ecommerce
• People will avoid visiting retail stores
Retail
Recovery: Q3 2020
Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on China Economy 39
This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese economy.
-13.50%
-20.50%
-24.50%
Year over year change in Chinese Economic
Activity for Jan – Feb 2020
Pandemic Epicenter – Wuhan, China
› China’s exports plunged by 17.2% in Jan – Feb 2020
› Fall in imports by – 4%
› China’s automobile sector sank by 80%
› Growth drop in Q1 GDP ( first noted contraction since China reporting quarterly data in 1992)
› According to China Enterprise Confederation, 299 large manufacturers and more than 95%
firms facing revenues drop
› Rise in operational costs by 80% in industries
› 15% is transport capacity in Beijing
› Significant drop in consumer consumption from 51.8% (Jan’2020) to 26.5%(Feb’2020)
› Slow return of migrants and labors to manufacturing facilities resulting in economic slowdown
› With COVID- 19 outbreak, drop in demand from other countries will considered as potential
challenge in China’s economic recovery
Industrial
Output
Retail
Sales
Investment In
Fixed Assets
C VD 9-
Economic Impact of COVID-19 on China Tourism 40
This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on China tourism and is analyzed for best, moderate and worst-case scenarios.
CHANNELS
SCENARIO
Duration of travel
bans & Sharp decline
in domestic demands
Tourism &
Travel Bans
Decline in China
consumption as
compared to no -
outbreak scenario
Decline in China
investment as
compared to no -
outbreak scenario
Best Case 2 months
•Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 2 months
•There is no tourism receipts from China for 2 months for economies that
are imposing travel bans
•Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies
0.7% None
Moderate Case 3 months
•Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 3 months
•There is no tourism receipts from China for 3 months for economies that
are imposing travel bans
•Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 10%
compared to best case scenario
2% None
Worst Case 6 months
•Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 6 months
•There is no tourism receipts from China for 6 months for economies that
are imposing travel bans
•Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 40%
compared to best case scenario i.e. 4 additional months
2% 2%
Hypothetical worst
case
(specific to each
economy)
6 months plus
outbreak in other
DMC’s lasting 3
months
•Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 6 months
•There is no tourism receipts from China for 6 months for economies that
are imposing travel bans
•Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 40%
compared to best case scenario i.e. 4 additional months
2% 2%
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy 41
This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on US economy. It also covers information about the role of Federal Reserve and Fiscal Policy in curbing COVID – 19
economic impact.
Role of Federal’s Reserve
• Increase liquidity in financial markets
• Lowered interest rates to zero and started sizable assets purchase
• Stimulated economy by making borrowing easier and less expensive
• Encouraging firms and consumers to increase investment and purchasing decisions
• Still credit risk and market uncertainty holds banks and customers in lending and borrowing respectively
US will face economic disruptions in March that will continue
through Q2 2020 such as –
• Supply chain issues with reduction in demand
• Fall in equity prices reduce household wealth leading to slowdown in US economy
• Travel bans leading to billion dollars revenue drop in airline industry
Role of Federal Fiscal Policy
• Expansion of paid sick leave as a safety to individuals
who are losing job or with limited resources
• Government will distribute funds directly to households
for ensuring their adequate purchasing power
• Guarantee loans and provide direct support to firms to
avoid systemic problems and to maintain payroll
• Federal support to states can aid state spending in time
of public health crisis
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1'19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20 Q2’20 Q3’20 Q4’20
Actual Forecast
GDP % Change
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Italy Economy 42
This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Italy economy. The coronavirus spread scenario is also presented in the slide.
• 31,506 (+13%[iv])
• 35,713 (+13%[V])
• 41,035 (+15%)
• 47,021 (+15%)
• 53,578 (+14%)
• 59,138 (+10%)
• 63,927 (+8.1%)
• 69,176 (+8.2%)
• 74,386 (+7.5%)
• 80,539 (+8.3%[vi])
• 86,498 (+7.4%)
• 92,472 (+6.8%)
• 97,689 (+5.6%)
• 101,739 (+4.1%)
• 2,503 (16%)
• 2,978 (+19%)
• 3,405 (+14%)
• 4.032 (+18%)
• 4,825 (+20%)
• 5,475 (+13%)
• 6,077 (+11%)
• 6,820 (+12%)
• 7,503 (+10%)
• 8,215 (+9.5%)
• 9,314 (+11%)
• 10,023 (+9.7%)
• 10,779 (+7.5%)
• 11,591 (+7.5%)
•COVID – 19 outbreak has significantly damaged Italian
economy
•Severely affected sectors are –
oTourism
oAccommodation
oFood services
•Nationwide lockdown was imposed by Italy government
on 8 March 2020
•Fiat Chrysler halted production in some of its plants
•Italian stock market faced worst hit on Black Friday(12
March 2020) when FTSE MIB index loss value by 17%
•Some small and medium – sized enterprise in Italy
started production of personal protective equipment such
as protective masks, hand sanitizers, ventilator
•Ban on in – person gatherings for religious worships
resulting in church broadcasting Mass through online live
stream , radio and television
3/17/2020
3/18/2020
3/19/2020
3/20/2020
3/21/2020
3/22/2020
3/23/2020
3/24/2020
3/25/2020
3/26/2020
3/27/2020
3/28/2020
3/29/2020
3/30/2020
3/31/2020
Deaths Recovery Active Cases
# of Cases # of Deaths
COVID-19 cases in ITALY
Jan Feb Mar Last 15 Days
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
43
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in
Epidemic
44
This slide provides details about the various government initiatives taken in order to combat economic fallout of COVID-19 epidemic.
Several national governments have initiated mostly uncoordinated and country specific responses to combat COVID – 19
China officials announced special purpose loans of billions to firms facing liquidity constraints and for the financial support of aviation sector
Federal Reserve of United States reduced policy rates in emergency response and collaborated with US Bank regulators in order to
encourage financial institutions to cater financial needs of customers and members affected by COVID -19
US president seeks plan for payroll tax cut and assistance for impacted hourly workers and industries
Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced expanded overnight repurchase operations for $50 Bn in order to prevent deeper credit crunch
In Europe, European Central Bank and Bank of England are taking actions to modify their monitory policies
Several countries announced fiscal measures such as –
• Japan - $9.6Bn (0.19% of GDP)
• South Korea - $9.2 Bn (0.56% of GDP)
• Italy - $2.1 Bn (0.20% of GDP)
On March 6 2020, G20 finance ministers and central bank governors announced to take fiscal and
monetary measures
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank announced financial aid of $50
Bn and $12 Bn in aiding low income and emerging market economies in response to COVID – 19
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
45
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Recovery of China after COVID-19 Spread 46
This slide provides details about the recovery of China after the pandemic spread of COVID-19 in terms of how China is resuming its economic activities and what constraints it will face.
• When will economic activity in rest of China will resume?
• Larger firms have started their operations despite of facing
challenges such as shortage of labor and movement of goods
• Small business are facing issue regarding labor as a smaller
number of labors are returning
• Industrial activity will recover in late Q1
Availability of labor to major industrial provinces in China
7
4
7
9
11
6
7
2.8
Jiangsu Shandong Zhejiang Guangdong
March 15,2020 Same Day 2019
Industrial plants that have resumed work
50% 57% 54%
18%
Chongqing Shanghai Shenzhen Wuhan
32%
Beijing Shenzhen China
Reduction in
air pollution
Reduction in
air pollution
Reduction in PMI
manufacturing index
in Feb’ 2020
IndustrialIndicator
24% 14%
Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence 47
This slide provides details about impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese Consumer Confidence in terms of purchasing activity of customers, sales etc.
90
65 64
80
6
63
71 67
69
54
0
20
40
60
80
100
Shenzhen Beijing Shanghai Nanjing Wuhan
16 March, 2020 Same Day 2019
When will consumer confidence & purchasing
activity resume in China?
• Difficulty in economic restart but proved resilient such as online boom
• Affect on some sectors such as tourism & hospitality will exist in Q2 & further
Automobile Traffic Index
6
8
17
Ongoing online lessons
After 15 March 2020
Not yet decided
Resuming schools in number of Chinese provinces Consumer Behavior Metrics
Retails sales of
consumers cars in
FEB-2020
- 92%
Consumer spending on
food & beverages in
JAN-FEB, 2020
- $60
Billion
Smartphones
sales in
JAN, 2020
- 37%
Occupancy in
hotels in
JAN-FEB, 2020
- 80%
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
48
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
COVID-19 Preparedness & Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline 49
This slide provides details about the COVID-19 preparedness and response plan that was initiated by WHO in the form of timeline.
30 04 06
• UN Development Coordination
Office (UNDCO) briefed WHO
Resident Coordinators & UN
Country Teams (UNCTs)
• Provide updates about COVID-
19 epidemic situation
• Developed COVID – 19
Strategic Preparedness
Response Plan (SPRP)
• Focusing on importance of
“One UN” in response to crisis
• Primary objective – Stop
human – to – human
transmission of virus
• Director – General of WHO
briefed Secretary General of
United Nations(UN)
• Activation of UN Crisis
management policy
• Establishment of Crisis
Management Team (CMT)
• Team will coordinate UN
system to assist countries in
response to COVID – 19
Director – General of WHO
declared COVID – 19 outbreak as
Public Health Emergency of
International Concern(PHEIC)
under International Health
Regulations (IHR 2005) after the
advice from IHR Emergency
Committee
January 2020 February 2020 February 2020
Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness & Response 50
This slide provides details about the primary objective of guidelines planned for risk preparedness and response, duration and key steps implemented across different areas
of public health to combat COVID-19.
Aim
The guidelines will act as a practical document which will aid national governments to prepare & response to
COVID – 19
Duration
Country wise Preparedness and Response Plan will be developed for initial period of 3 months from February 1,
2020 - April 30, 2020
Priority steps across key
areas of public health
Country – wise
coordination,
monitoring & planning
Community
engagement &
risk
communication
Development of
rapid – response
teams, case
investigation
National
laboratories
Prevention &
control of infection
Points of entry
surveillance
Operational support
& logistics
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Establish multi- partner coordination mechanism to aid response & preparedness
National authorities engagement & key partners to prepare country – level operational plan by forecasting resource requirement
Initial capacity assessment & risk analysis with identifying vulnerable population
Preparing metrics for effective monitoring of evaluation system to assess impact of planned measures
Develop incident management plan such as immediate deployment of designated staff from national or partner organizations
Crucial spokespeople identification, training & designation
Implement operational plan by engagement with local donors and existing programs in order to allocate resources and capacities
Regulatory requirements review
Regular situation reporting & monitoring
Implementation assessment success is reviewed on regular basis
Adjust operational plans in accordance to epidemic situation
Action review in accordance with IHR
Test/learn existing plans, systems in COVID – 19 outbreak to indicate future preparedness & response initiatives
Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise 51
This slide provides details about country wise coordination planning and monitoring activities with engagement of relevant ministries such as health, education, social protection to
combat COVID-19.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Establish national risk communication & community engagement plan
Perform behavior assessment in key understanding of target audience, concerns
Develop local messages in order to target key stakeholders and risk groups
Address trusted groups( local influencers) & local networks(women groups)
Develop clearance processes for timely delivery of messages and materials
Engagement of public health & community-based networks such as media, local NGOs
Initiate two-way channel for community & public information sharing such as hotlines, radio shows
Initiate large scale community engagement to ensure preventive community health & hygiene practices
Develop community information & feedback mechanism through social media, consultations, surveys
Ensure empathetic & appropriate community engagement
Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication 52
This slide provides details about community engagement and risk communication as it is essential to communicate public about COVID-19 and actions that are to be taken on
regularly basis.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Establish active case findings & event-based surveillance for influenza like illness & severe acute respiratory infection
Analyze gaps in active cases & event-based surveillance system
Improve already existing surveillance system to monitor COVID – 19 transmission
Case reporting to WHO within 24 hours under IHR
Regular monitoring & reporting of disease trends, impacts, case fatality rate, clinical data related to high risk groups(children, pregnant women)
Rapid response team training for case investigation
Regular & timely analysis of epidemic & social science data to continuously alert risk assessment & operational decision making
Simulation exercise to test existing system
Generate epidemic & social science reports on weekly basis
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Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance & Case
Investigations
53
This slide provides details about necessary steps taken by response team in terms of rapid detection of cases, rapid contract tracing, monitoring the geographical spread of virus,
transmission intensity, disease trends, etc. to combat COVID-19.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Prepare points of entry public health emergency plan
Prepare latest information regarding disease, standard operating procedures, staff training to handle ill passengers
Immediate health assessment such isolation facilities to handle affected people and secure transportation of ill patient to designated health facilities
Informing travelers about COVID – 19
Regular monitoring & evaluation of response measures at points of entry
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Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance 54
This slide provides details about necessary steps take at points of entry with effective surveillance and risk communication activities to combat COVID-19.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Establish access to internationally accepted COVID – 19 laboratory
Maintain standard operating procedures for sample collection, diagnosis & testing
Implement biosafety measures for risk mitigation
Standard procedure for molecular testing
Safeguard functionality of sample collection, management, referral network
Utilize genetic sequence data & virus materials in context COVID – 19 protocols
Link laboratory data to epidemic data for on time analysis
Implement plan to handle increase demand of testing and security of lab sources during widespread of COVID – 19 transmission
Monitor diagnosis, data quality & staff performance
Prepare quality assurance mechanism for testing
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Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories 55
This slide provides details about countries developing laboratory capacities in order to manage large scale testing for COVID-19. The laboratory should be capable in managing
increased volume of samples in suspected cases.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Implement healthcare infrastructure with functional triage system, isolation rooms, trained staff, personal protective equipment, hand & hygiene stations
Analyze healthcare system in communities where transmission risk is high
Regular review & update of infection prevention and control practices
Prepare plan for monitoring of healthcare staff exposed to confirmed cases of COVID – 19
Prepare plan for PPE supply management
Employ trained staff with technical experts and authorities to implement infection prevention and control activities
Healthcare associated infections are reported & investigated
Align infection prevention & control guidelines for home & community
Access to water and sanitation for health(WASH) services for public places and monitor the services
Deliver priority support to health facilities
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Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection 56
This slide provides details about essential practices for infection control and prevention in health facilities and communities. The regions should be reviewed on regular basis, steps
should be taken to avoid transmission, to staff, patients and visitors and in community to combat COVID-19.
Necessary Actions Taken Yes
Identify available resources & supply systems in healthcare sectors and prepare central stock reserve for COVID – 19 cases management
Maintain supply chain control and management system for medical and essential supplies
Procurement processes for medical and essential supplies review and motivating local sourcing
Capacity assessment of local markets to determine whether the local markets will be capable in meeting increased demands of medical and essential
supplies and coordinate international request of supplies through regional and global procurement mechanism
Develop staff surge capacity and deployment mechanism ad providing briefings about recommended vaccinations, enhanced medical kits, psychological
support and peer support for staff wellbeing
Recognize and aid crucial functions that are essential during COVID – 19 widespread such as water and sanitation, fuel and energy, telecommunications,
internet, finance, law , education and transportation and essential workforce, etc.
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Initiative 7 - Operational Support & Logistics 57
This slide provides details about logistics activities that are planned to cater incident management without hampering supply and procurement of essential products, staff
deployment and payment to combat COVID-19.
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
58
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness
& Response
59
This slide provides details about key performance indicators that are considered in order examine risk preparedness and response to combat COVID-19 outbreak by
different countries.
Segment Indicator Target Key Considerations
Epidemic Situation
• Number of countries with confirmed cases TBD
• Number of confirmed cases worldwide
• Number of countries with local transmission
• Number of Countries with imported cases
• Percentages of deaths reported regarding reported
cases
• % of cases in healthcare workers
TBD • Exercised caution to handle healthcare workers as
they might be high risk of community transmission
Global Response in
Managing Program
• % of Budget funded for Risk Preparedness and
Response Plan
80% • Assess financial support to global response
• % of received funds implemented for Risk
Preparedness & Response Plan
100% • Assess the implementation of global response
Global Response in
Supply Management
• Country received PPE stockpiles requested
TBD
• Ensure capacities in deploying supplies
Global Response in
Research & Development
• Eligible country enrolled in clinical trials
TBD • Ensuring country collaboration in multi – site
clinical trials
*TBD – To Be Decided
Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness
& Response contd…
60
This slide provides details about key performance indicators that are considered in order examine risk preparedness and response to combat COVID-19 outbreak by
different countries.
Segment Indicator Target Key Considerations
Country Capacity
Readiness
• Operational readiness & preparedness index
Level 1 <= 30%
Level 2 <= 50%
Level 3 <= 70%
Level 4 <= 90%
Level 5 > 30%
• Determine readiness based on implementation of
IHR capacities
• Country has initiated public health emergency
operations center
100% • Health system preparedness for event management
• Country prepared referral system in handling COVID-
19 patients
>80% • Determine health system readiness
Country Surveillance &
Rapid Detection
• Country reported first COVID – 19 case within 24
hours to WHO
100%
• Determine extent of Global collaboration and
information sharing to facilitate global risk
management
• Country with laboratory results available in 72 hours TBD
• Determine system capacity to immediate prepare
testing capacity to test COVID – 19
Infection Prevention &
Control & Biosafety
• % of healthcare facilities with triage capacity &
isolation capacity
80%
• Availability of single rooms, healthcare facility with
relevant infrastructures
Community Engagement
& Risk Communication
• Country improved their risk communication &
community engagement strategies
>80%
• Ensuring alternate channels to reach individuals and
decision makers in different sectors
*TBD – To Be Decided
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
61
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Resource Requirement for Preparedness & Response to Handle Local
Transmission up to 100 Cases
62
This slide provides details about the requirement of resources in order to handle local transmission up to 100 cases while COVID-19 risk preparedness and response initiative.
Expenditure Item Cost per Unit ($) Quantity Total ($)
Country wise coordination
Cost for Setup
Supplies – International Satellite communications 12,000 5 60,000
60,000
Monthly Cost
Incentive Payment National incident management 800 20 16000
Service Contract Car 3000 21 63000
Car Fuel 250 84 21000
Mobile phone credit 421 70 29470
Rental office space 3500 7 24500
Staff – international Incident management 24000 4 96000
Training
International incident
management training
800 20 16000
Total 265970
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
63
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (1/3) 64
This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of employee protection, developing
cross functional response team.
Action Step Description
Employee
Protection
• Follow conservative guidelines issued by local & global health authorities
• Frequent communication with employees – employee support as per health guidance
• Benchmarking efforts (for ex – avoid employees nonessential travel)
Developing cross
functional
response team
• Dedicated cross functional team governed by CEO
• Develop workstreams such as –
o Employees
o Financial – stress testing and contingency plan
o Supply chain
o Marketing & Sales
o Other essential constituencies
• Establish planned 48 hrs. and 1-week goals for each workstream
• Select minimum viable products -
o 6 – week milestones calendar
o 1 – page action plan for each workstream
o Progress and Triggers dashboard
o Threat map
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (2/3) 65
This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of ensuring liquidity, supply chain
stabilization.
Action Step Description
Ensure Liquidity
& Develop
Contingency
Plan
• Develop planning scenario & identify variables that will impact revenue & cost
• Implement cashflow, P&L & balance sheet in each scenario, identify triggers that significantly impact
• liquidity events
• Stabilize organization in each scenario with each trigger- based moves in each scenario such as optimization,
cost reduction, portfolio optimization through divestments
Supply Chain
Stabilization
• Identify extent & timing of exposure to areas that are facing community transmission to deal with tier – 1,2,3
suppliers and inventory levels
• Immediate stabilization through –
o Critical parts rationing
o Optimize alternatives
o Increase supplier production at priority basis
• Long term stabilization through –
o Demand planning and network optimization
o Drive flexibility in supply chain
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (3/3) 66
This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of handling customer,
purpose demonstration.
Action Step Description
Stay near to
Customers
• Immediate stabilization such as -
o Inventory planning
o Discounts
o Immediate price changes
• Long term stabilization such as
o Investment in priority segment for long term growth
In Depth
Exercise Plan
with Top Team
• Develop activation protocol for several response phases such as contingency planning
• Considering key activities such as –
• Clarity on decision made by owner
• Well defined roles of team member
• Actions and investments required for plan
Purpose
Demonstration
• Aid epidemic efforts when necessary
• Add text here
• Add text here
Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan &
Economic Impact on Geographies
67
About Coronavirus
• Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19
• Detailed Structure of Coronavirus
• What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease?
• How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans?
• Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus
Coronavirus Spread Timeline
• Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea
• Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy
• COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline
Latest Updates
• Latest Insights Related to COVID 19
• Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe
• Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders
Across the Globe
• How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States
Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global
Scale
• Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview
• Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread
• Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business
Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak
• Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19
Outbreak
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector
• Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector
Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview
• Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline
• Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview
o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War
Different Government Initiatives to Combat
Economic Fallout in Epidemic
Resource Requirement for Preparedness and
Response to Handle Local Transmission up to
100 Cases
Key Performance Indicators to Determine
Country Risk Preparedness and Response
Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to
Combat COVID – 19
Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies
• Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India
• Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy
• Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy
• Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy
COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness
• COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative
Timeline
• Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and
Response
• Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country
wise
• Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication
• Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case
Investigations
• Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance
• Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories
• Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection
• Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in
Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19
Pandemic?
Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19
Pandemic
• Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread
• Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility
during COVID-19 Pandemic?
68
This slide provides details about how firms can maintain their employee safety in manufacturing facilities during COVID-19 spread by altering the work shifts.
ConsProsDescription
• 16 h X 5 Day model
• Time for deep
cleaning before 3rd
shift
• 24 h X 5 Day model
• Production at lower
speed with few FTE
working
• 25 h X 5 Day model
• FTEs are employed to
Line 1 then shift to
Line 2
• Maximum machine
productivity with max.
running time ratio
• Requirement of
forecasting of goods
demand
• Requirement of cross
training of whole staff
• Inefficiencies due
to process
• Inefficiencies due to
daily ramp ups
• Maintenance work
done in 3rd shift
• Dedicated people in
each assembly line
• Easy to implement
• 16 h X 5 Day model
• Time for deep
cleaning before 3rd
shift
Option-1 Shifts Reduction
Day M T W T F
Line 1
Line 2
Option-2 Pace reduction
Day M T W T F
Line 1
Line 2
Option-3 Dedicated to a line
Day M T W T F
Line 1
Line 2
Present Situation- 3 Shifts
24 Hours X 5 Days Model
Operator dedicated to
either Line 1 or Line 2
Day M T W T F
Line 1
Line 2
*FTE – Full Time Employee
Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on
Geographies Icons Slide
69
70
Additional Slides
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies
Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies

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Corona Virus Introduction Response Plan And Economic Impact On Geographies

  • 1. C R NA VIRUS Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies
  • 2. Agenda for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 2 The purpose is to provide detailed description about coronavirus disease, COVID - 19 in terms of what is coronavirus, how it spreads in humans, how it is affecting economy at global scale, what initiatives different governments are taking in order to combat the COVID - 19 outbreak Add text here Add text here Add text here Add text here
  • 3. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 3 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 4. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 4 Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 5. Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID-19 5 This slide provides information about the overview of coronavirus disease COVID-19. It provide details about virus, its impact on humans and where it was first identified. CO VI D 19 Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Year it was Identified) 2019 Novel Coronavirus or 2019-nCoV Coronavirus belongs to large family of viruses Generally causes illness in animals or human Cause respiratory infections such as common cold to critical respiratory issues such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) & Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) COVID – 19 Wuhan, Hubei Province, China in December 2019 Virus Name Details About Virus Coronavirus in Humans Disease Caused by Coronavirus Virus Identified in
  • 6. Detailed Structure of Coronavirus 6 This slide provides information about the structure of coronavirus comprising of various proteins and the functioning of each protein. Nucleocapsid Protein (N) Spike Protein (S) Envelope Protein (E) RNA Membrane Protein (M) Structural Protein • Bound to RNA genome to make up nucleocapsid • Critical for building of host call receptors to facilities entry of host cell • Interacts with M to from viral envelope • Central organizer of CoV assembly • Determines shape of viral envelope Function of Protein It has been noted that some CoVs do not need to have the full ensemble of structural proteins to make virions, highlighting that certain proteins may be dispensable or compensated by the function of non-structural proteins.
  • 7. What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? 7 This slide provides information about the symptoms related to COVID-19 disease. The symptoms are classified categorized based on severity. Some key facts in context to symptoms are displayed. Initial Symptoms Fever Tiredness Dry Cough Some of other symptoms are Nasal Congestion Runny Nose Sore Throat Pains Diarrhea Severe Symptoms High Fever (100.4-degree F) Pneumonia Kidney Failure Death People who needs medical attention • Aged (Older) people • People are likely to develop serious illness having medical issues such as – oHigh blood pressure oHeart problems oDiabetes • People with fever, cough and difficulty while breathing Key Facts Related to Symptoms - •The symptoms are mild in nature & gradually increase •Chances are there that people get infected and do not develop any symptoms and not get unwell •Approximately 75% of people get recovered from disease without any special treatment FACT 1 out of every 6 people infected with COVID – 19 get seriously infected and have difficulty in breathing
  • 8. How COVID-19 Spread in Humans? 8 This slide covers details regarding how COVID-19 is spread among humans. It provide details about the specific modes of transmission. COVID – 19 spread from people to people Droplets of infected fluid from nose or mouth from COVID – 19 infected person coughs or exhales or talk Droplets lands on objects and surfaces around person Transmission through physical contact and Infected person have contaminated face, hands, face, clothes 2- 14 Days is the Estimated incubation period for Transmission via Respiratory droplets FACT Infected with coronavirus SARS - CoV - 2 Droplets containing virus in air Droplets fall on surfaces/ Objects Droplets land in nose, mouth, possibly lungs On Fingers from touching Droplets eventually get into nose & mouth People touch contaminate surfaces or objects and then touch eyes or mouth Specific Modes of Transmission 1 to 2m
  • 9. Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus 9 This slide compares coronavirus & another similar viruses. The viruses are compared on factors such as incubation period, fatality rates & infection rate. Virus Type Incubation Period Fatality Rates (Deaths/Cases) Infection Rate (per infected person) Novel Coronavirus 2 - 14 or 0 – 24 Days 1% - 3.4% 1.5 – 3.5 SARS 2 - 7 Days (10 Days at Max.) 10% 3 MERS 5 Days (Range 2 - 14 Days) 34.30% 0.42 – 0.92 Seasonal Flu 2 Days (Range 1 - 4 Days) 0.05% 1.3 Ebola 2 - 21 Days 50% 1.5 – 2.5 Swine Flu 1 - 4 Days (7 Days at Max.) *MERS – Middle East Respiratory Syndrome *SARS – Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
  • 10. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 10 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 11. Latest Insights Related to COVID-19 11 This slide covers details about latest updates in context to COVID-19 such as number of confirmed cases reported, deaths across the globe, number of countries that get affected > 870,000 Reported deaths across the globe > 43,000 Reported confirmed cases Countries or territories with reported cases 194 New Countries or territories with reported cases from March 18 - 24 35 Countries or territories reporting local transmission evidence > 115 Countries or territories with more than 100 reported cases > 75 New reported case share by China from March 18 - 24 0.4% Increase in reported case in Europe from March 18 - 24 > 160%
  • 12. Reported COVID-19 Cases Across the Globe 12 This slide covers details about COVID-19 confirmed cases registered across the globe such as cases registered in Europe, Africa, Oceania, Asia, Middle East, America. >10,000 reported cases 1,000 – 9,999 reported cases 250 - 999 50 - 99 < 10 10 - 49 100 - 249 >Propagation Trend Africa Total Cases : >1,000 Total Deaths : >20 Europe Total Cases : >195,500 Total Deaths : >10,000 China Total Cases : >81,500 Total Deaths : >3,200 Oceania Total Cases : >1,800 Total Deaths : <10 Middle East3 Total Cases : >27,000 Total Deaths : >1,800 South America Total Cases : >4,000 Total Deaths : >50 North America1 Total Cases : >56,000 Total Deaths : >600
  • 13. Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe 13 This slide covers details regarding the demand of essential supplies such as masks, gloves, hand sanitizers that will be required to treat COVID-19 infected patients by health responders across the globe. The figures denotes the amount of supplies required by health responders in order to protect themselvesNote 89 million Masks 30 million Gowns 1.59 million Goggles 76 million Gloves 2.9 Million Liters Hand Sanitizer
  • 14. How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States? 14 This slide provides information about how coronavirus is spreading and the number of COVID-19 cases increasing in regions such as Asia, Europe and United States. Cumulative number of cases from March 1 – 24 › Significant reduction in incremental cases from China & South Korea › Majority of reported new cases in China are imported rather than from local transmission › Significant increase in European transmission with Italy reporting approx. 60,000 reported cases › Incremental cases are rigorously monitored in European countries for upcoming period to determine effectiveness of social distancing › Significant 8x increase in total cases from 6,500(approx.) on March 17 to 50,000 (approx.) on March 24 with US having third largest number of cases after China and Italy › Growth rate of cases is 10,000 per day United States Europe Asia 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 375 400 Italy US Spain Germany Iran France South Korea Switzerland UK Rest of World China
  • 15. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 15 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 16. Initial COVID-19 Spread Timeline (1/2) 16 This slide provide details about how COVID-19 disease spread across the globe. The key details are presented in the form of timeline. Wuhan quarantined Suspension of air and rail services Shutdown of wholesale seafood market in Wuhan China alerts WHO regarding numerous pneumonia cases 6000 new cases reported with death toll rises to 132 New virus – COVID – 19 identified First case reported outside China in Thailand Reported first death in China First identified patient with Wuhan coronavirus symptoms Dec 8 Jan 1 Jan 13 Jan 23 Dec 31 Jan 11 Jan 23 Jan 29 2019 2020
  • 17. Initial COVID-19 Spread Timeline (2/2) 17 This slide provide details about how COVID-19 disease spread across the globe. The key details are presented in the form of timeline. Dec China alerts WHO regarding numerous pneumonia cases Dec 31 Jan Europe’s first case in France reported Jan 7 First death in China Jan 11 First case reported by WHO outside China in Thailand Jan 13 WHO declared virus outbreak as global health emergency Jan 30 Feb First reported death in Thailand, outside China Feb 2 Li Wenliang, Chinese doctor & whistleblower died Feb 7 WHO named virus COVID – 19 Feb 11 Africa’s first case reported in Egypt Feb 14
  • 18. 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day Mar 1 75% of Inter provincial passenger transport services resumed Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China 18 This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in China. February MarchJan Jan 23 Wuhan city lockdown Travel restrictions from near buy cities Jan 24 Tourist activity in Hubei cancelled Feb 3 Hong Kong closes its border control points except 3 out of 14 Feb 7 Schools shutdown after Chinese New Year Feb 19 Sustain reports about new cases below 2,000 Feb 21 Traffic restrictions ease down by government Work resume in less affected areas Feb 24 320,000 tests conducted in Guangdong till date Mar 10 16 temporary hospital closed Incrementalcasesperday&totalreportedcasesinChina No.ofReportedcasesperday TotalReportedCases
  • 19. Mar 2020 COVID-19 Outbreak in US Timeline 19 This slide provides details about key highlights of COVID-19 outbreak in US in terms of first case in US, number of confirmed cases, etc. Jan 2020 21 Jan First confirmed case in Washington state, a man who had returned from Wuhan, China 29 Jan US government evacuated 195 State Department Employees from Wuhan along with their families and other US citizens to March Air Reserve in California and kept under quarantine for 14 days 21 Jan First confirmed case of person – to person transmission reported in Chicago 5-6 Feb US government evacuated 345 citizens from Hubei Province › On Feb 6, US government evacuated 300 passengers and quarantined in Nebraska and Texas › More than 500 people were quarantined at three air bases Feb 2020 26 Feb First case of community transmission was confirmed in California Mar 11 › Confirmed cases crossed 1,100 in United States › Colleges and universities suspended classes and moved to remote access teaching › Ban on social gatherings Mar 12 Confirmed cases crossed 1,500 in United States Mar 13 Confirmed cases crossed by 2,100 Mar 16 US President urged people to avoid social gatherings of more than 10 people and impose travel restrictions Federal Bank lowered interest rates Mar 20 Confirmed cases surpassed by 19,000 with 249 deaths
  • 20. Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea 20 This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in South Korea. Incrementalcases&TestsperdayinSouthKorea No.ofReportedcases TestsPerformed 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day February March Travel restrictions imposed by 15 countries on South Korea FEB 24 16 reported cases First test kit approved by government FEB 4 Patient -31 exposed to approx. 1,000 congregants in Daegu Church FEB 9, 16 Streets cleared by Daegu residents due to outbreak FEB 20 MAR 20 Localized outbreaks with infected church congregation Surveillance requirement & response Individual tested approx. 180,000 MAR 9 Initiate testing inspires by fast food chains drive through process MAR 3 MAR 1 Daegu Church investigation begins
  • 21. Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy 21 This slide portrays coronavirus spread highlights with increase in number of reported cases in Italy. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Number of tested persons per day New reported cases per day Feb XX Tourist activity in Hubei cancelled Feb 21 16 cases identified in northern Italy Feb 23 Officials lockdown in Lombardy after spike in cases Feb 26 Ease at testing criteria Confirmed cases contact tested Mar 8 3,300 residents tested by authorities of northern town of Vo Mar 8 Lock down extended in Lombardy & other 14 northern provinces Mar 9 National lockdown Travelling banned Mar 20 Testing rate – approx. 3,500 per million Highest in wester Europe February March Incremental cases & Tests per day No. of Reported cases Tests Performed
  • 22. COVID-19 Outbreak in India Timeline 22 This slide provides details about key highlights of COVID-19 outbreak in India in terms of first case in India, number of confirmed cases, etc. • First confirmed case in Kerala’s Thrissur district, a student who had returned home for vacation from Wuhan University, China 30 January 2020 • Total cases reached to 50 10 March 2020 • Indian PM Announced COVID – 19 Economic Response Task Force o Indian PM announced, “Janata Curfew”(people’s curfew) on 7AM to 9PM on March 22, urging people to stay at home (except those involved in essential services) o Asked people to gather in their homes and applaud people working in essential services during Janata Curfew for five minutes at 5 PM 19 March 2020 • Confirmed cases crossed by 500 o Indian PM announced nationwide lockdown for period of 21 days o He announced $2.1 Bn(US) aid for developing testing facilities, ICU ventilators, PPEs and training of medial workers 24 March 2020 • Second confirmed case in Kerala’s Alappuzha district, a student who had returned home for vacation from Wuhan University, China 2 February 2020 • Total 6 confirmed cases consist of travelers having history from Italy, United Arab Emirates. Two schools in Noida were closed for a week 1 – 2 March 2020 • More than 1,200 people who came from other countries were quarantined in Kolkata 5 - 6 March 2020 • Confirmed cases crossed 100 15 March 2020 • Confirmed cases crossed by 1000 28 March 2020
  • 23. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 23 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 24. Global COVID-19 Economic Impact Overview 24 This slide provides overview of economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak at global scale in terms of impact on GDP, earnings in various sector, cost of COVID- 19 outbreak. Sector/Industry Global GDP (2019) – 2.9% Global GDP (2020) – 1.6% Global GDP (2020) – 0 (worst case pandemic scenario) Basic Materials 389 -13 8 Consumer Cyclicals 671 -16 16 Airlines 45 -42 2 Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure 111 -21 2 Consumer Non-Cyclicals 351 -4 6 Energy 243 -13 20 Healthcare 195 0 3 Industrials 739 -9 14 Automobiles & Auto Parts 142 -44 9 Technology 358 -3 11 Telecommunications Services 105 1 11 Utilities 175 -5 10 Grand Total 3’226 -9 100 COVID – 19 Outbreak cost the global economy up to $ 2 trillion this year Share of capital expenditures (%) Average earnings revision (%) Number of Companies with earnings revisions Global Economy Impact - Earnings Revisions & Capital Expenditure of Top 5000 Public Companies Online Learning Platform get boost Widespread slowdown in economic activity leading to pollution levels & depressed shipping traffic
  • 25. Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread 25 This slide portrays impact of COVID-19 outbreak on GDP. It provides details about how much GDP has decreased global scale especially in China and USA. 0 30 60 90 120 150 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 China USA World Eurozone Local Currency Units Indexed, 2019 Q4=100 Real GDP Growth – COVID – 19 Crisis China USA World Eurozone GDP fall in 2019Q4 – 2020 Q2 -3.3% -8.0% -4.9% -9.5% 2020 GDP Growth -0.4% -2.4% -1.5% -4.4% Pre – Crisis Time 2020 2020 2020 2021443 1 2019 2020 2021
  • 26. Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID-19 Outbreak 26 This slide provides details about the potential impact of COVID-19 outbreak on global economy and potential business opportunities that are identified during the outbreak. Digital platforms & big data New Smart cities & parks Internet Medical Devices Online classrooms & education Telecommuting & online activities 5G Industry Applications Unmanned scene transactions & services Fresh Ecommerce Supply chain Management Manufacturing & service Robots Potential Business Opportunities Identified during COVID – 19 Outbreak • Substantial impact on Chinese production due to shutdown of industrial plants in various Chinese provinces • Slowdown in China leads has affected Chinese exporters • Largest sources of imports are Korea, Japan and other Asian countries resulting in slow growth in Q2 2020 Direct impact on production • Disruptions in inputs and production will affect firms with inadequate liquidity • There might be chance that traders will not adequately anticipate firms with high vulnerability resulting in high risk in financial markets Financial impact on firms • Manufacturing firms in certain countries rely on China for intermediate inputs will be affected as they will not be able to switch source easily • Few firms rely for sales in China to achieve financial goals will face issues in profitability • Small & medium – sized firms will face greater difficulty in surviving the disruption • Business related to travel & tourism that are facing losses are not recoverable Market & supply chain disruption Potential Impact of COVID – 19 on Global Economy
  • 27. Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID-19 Outbreak 27 This slide provides details about various sectors and economies that are adversely impacted due to COVID -19 outbreak. Most EUROPEAN economies will face dislocations (drop in growth) with virus outbreak and most countries including NORTHERN ITALY, will adapt restrictive responses that will result in halt in manufacturing activity in regional hubs UNITED STATES will enter crisis with tailwind with predicted drop in GDP in Q2 with fall in foreign direct investment from 5 – 15% (lowest since 2008 – 2009 global financial crisis) JAPAN & EUROPE, both countries are facing recession like situations with weak Q4 performance as they highly dependent on trade Economies that are highly interconnected to CHINA will face downward growth such as SOUTH KOREA, AUSTRALIA & JAPAN Vulnerable Economies Northern italy European United states Europe Japan China South korea Australia Japan
  • 28. Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID-19 Outbreak 28 This slide provides details about various sectors and economies that are adversely impacted due to COVID-19 outbreak. Vulnerable Sectors Travel & Tourism related firms facing adverse impact as social authorities (government) encouraging “social – distancing” & consumers are staying indoors Aviation sector has been affected by COVID – 19 outbreak, International Air Transport Association predicted loss of $63 Bn – $113 Bn in revenue from global air carrier in 2020 Estimated loss of over $5 Bn in international film market of Entertainment sector Restaurant & hotel firms will also face significant loss Sectors which have less dependency on social interaction such as Agriculture, considered comparatively less vulnerable but will face some constraint such as demand wavers Sports sector will face significant loss with ban on several sporting events & functions
  • 29. Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector 29 This slide provides details about the impact on energy sector due to COVID-19 outbreak. The economic slowdown has negative impact on energy sector leading lower energy demands. Saudi & Russian price war lead to major fall in price of oil COVID – 19 outbreak limit benefit to oil – importing countries Brent crude fell more than 20% due to Saudi decision, resulting in further decline ahead Economic slowdowns results in lower energy demands dur to COVID – 19 outbreak Producers reduce supply to guide price in response to decrease in demand – Major oil producers made an agreement for additional cut of 1.5 million barrels per day by the end of June As the agreement disintegrate, Saudi Arabia reduced prices and increased output, intentionally to harm Russia, who was refusing production cut agreements
  • 30. Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector 30 This slide provides details about the impact on financial sector due to COVID-19 outbreak. The economic slowdown has adverse impact on financial markets with reduced corporate earnings. Longer duration of COVID –19 outbreak – > More negative impact on economic and firm performance Outbreak is adversely impacting financial markets and most international firms are sustaining in bear market territory with decline of at least 20% from last year(2019) high with reduced corporate earnings Economic impact of COVID outbreak results in – o Debt sustainability concerns, especially in highly indented countries After equity rout, investors have shifted to safe assets such as US treasury bonds resulting in record low yields. Low yields leads to lower borrowing costs for US government S&P 500 fall by 7% resulting in trading suspension (first since 1997). Index is down by 17% from its record high on 20 February Low interest rates will not benefit private firms or individuals as they will find financial markets to be too risk adverse to lend credit in such uncertain conditions COVID – 19
  • 31. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 31 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 32. Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline 32 This slide provides details regarding the impact of COVID-19 leading to stock market crash 2020 key highlights presented in timeline. Global Stock have fall 25% during crash with 30% in most G20 nations Goldman Sachs warned US GDP will shrink by 29% by Q2 2020 Unemployment Rate will increase by 9% 12 February Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ Composite & S&P 500 Index finished at record high (NASDAQ Composite & S&P 500 reached record high on 19 February) 20 February Stock market crash initiated 24 to 28 February Large one – week decline registered by stock markets worldwide since 2008 financial crisis Early March Global markets became extremely volatile 9 March “Black Monday 1” o Severe contractions reported by global markets in response to COVID – 19 outbreak o Oil Prices war between Russia & OPEC Countries led by Saudi Arabia 12 March “Black Thursday” o Stock across Europe & North America fell more than 9% o FTSE MIB & Borsa Italiana fell by 17% 13 March All three Wall Street Indexes fell more than 12% 16 March Countries in G7 & G20 have declared to be in bear markets
  • 33. Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview 33 This slide provides details about the Oil price war among Saudi Arabia and Russia due to COVID-19 resulting in price drop of oil. Saudi Arabia initiated oil price war with Russia leading to major price fall of oil 8 March 2020 The price war is considered as one of the key causes of ongoing stock market crash at global scale Oil demand has been reduced due to fall in factory production and transportation demand Producers reduce supply to aid in response to decrease in oil demand – Major oil producers and Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) made an agreement for additional cut of 1.5 million barrels per day by the end of June Russia rejected the proposed agreement for oil production cuts due coronavirus pandemic As the agreement dissolved, Saudi Arabia reduced prices and increased output, intentionally to harm Russia 34% Fall in US Oil Prices 26% Fall in Crude oil 24% Fall in Brent oil
  • 34. Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War 34 This slide provides details about the impact of Oil price war due to COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia Russia and other oil producers. Impact on other Oil Producers •10% of oil production globally will not be able to cover its base operating cost especially heavy crude oil producers such as Venezuela or Mexico • US crude oil production will fall from 13.2 million bpd (May 2020) to 12.8 million bpd (December 2020) • Iraq and Kuwait announce price discounts to buyers • Norway, which is considered as largest oil exporter of Europe is facing currency drop • Nigeria’s currency facing lowest depreciation against dollar Impact on Saudi Arabia • Saudi Aramco announced cut on capital expenditure from $35 - $40 Bn to $25 - $ 30 Bn • Government increased debt ceiling from 30% to 50% of GDP • Budget deficit will increase from 6% to 9% Impact on Russia • Value of Ruble dropped over 30% by mid – March
  • 35. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 35 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 36. Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on Indian Economy 36 This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Indian economy in terms of its GDP. India is witnessing outbreak of coronavirus On 9 March 2020, India reported 43 confirmed cases India’s annual real GDP growth rate was – 7.3% (2009 – 2018) Impact of COVID – 19 outbreak • Dull consumption • Credit growth slowdown • Disruptions in potential supply – side India real GDP growth rate has been reduced from 5.6% to 5.5% in 2020 There is predicted sharp pick up in 2021 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F GDP Industrial Production GDP & Industrial Production 5.6% 5.5% For 2020 6.2% For 2021 G D P
  • 37. Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Different Sectors of India 37 This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on several sectors of India. The impact is categorized in three categories, low, medium and high. Several sectors that are analyzed such as banking, investments, travel and tourism, retail, etc. • Indian Office Sector been robust for last 3 years • Gross absorption – 58.6 MM sq.ft. (2019, in top 7 cities) and forecasted 54.3 MM sq.ft. (2020) • No major impact on office demand due to COVID – 19 • Delayed decisions by occupiers who depend on overseas clearance in Asia • Minimum occupancy in flexible workspaces in March as employees encouraged to work from home • Construction delays due to supply chain disruptions of imported materials as India imported over 50% of wire rods and bars used in construction as in 2018 Office Recovery: Q2 2020 • Present scenario in India stresses on workplace wellness and hygiene • Firm will review their business continuity plans for further virus spread preparation • Opportunity for occupiers in India to initiate remote working policies planning and implementation • MNCs in India working in technology sector providing advice to employees regarding travel and urging them to work from home and domestic firms also planning such precautionary measures Workplace Recovery: Q2 2020 • Banking and financial sectors have significant impact as they make transition to remote working • Occupiers need to adopt technology advancements and switch to cloud strategy to minimize the disruptions due to remote working Banking Recovery: Q2 2020 • 28% was total institutional investments from Singapore, Hong Kong and mainland China together in 2019 in real estate investments • Investors were expected to stay bullish over span of next 5 years as there was increase of funds from Asia into India’s Grade A office assets • But due to COVID – 19 outbreak, slower decision –making in Q1 2020 will result in obstruction in capital deployment in India Investments Recovery: Q2 2020
  • 38. Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Different Sectors of India contd… 38 This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on several sectors of India. The impact is categorized in three categories, low, medium and high. Several sectors that are analyzed such as banking, investments, travel and tourism, retail, etc. Manufacturing Recovery: Q3 2020 • Estimated decline in trade in India is about $348 MM (INR 2,510 Crore) due to COVID- 19 outbreak • India will be among top 15 most affected economies as China is considered as second- largest trading partner contributing 13.8 % of imports in 2018 • Most adversely affected sectors include – Machinery, Automotive, Precision Instruments, Communication Equipment • Moderate impact on Office leasing demand in Q1 2020 , if outbreak persists in Q2 2020 then recovery is expected in Q3 2020 • Manufacturers need to prioritize efficient inventory management and last – mile delivery for warehouses to cope increase e –commerce demand • Significant impact on travel and tourism industry • Probable decline in inbound tourism with decline in domestic travel too • Government of India advising citizens to avoid travelling to crowded places and large gatherings as India is intensely populated country • Severe impact on upcoming holidays plans resulting in less occupancy in hotels Travel & Tourism Recovery: Q3 2020 • Adverse impact on retail industry as there will be fewer retail footfalls and sales especially in malls, shopping centers and markets • Portion of decline in retail demand will be offset by shift to ecommerce • People will avoid visiting retail stores Retail Recovery: Q3 2020
  • 39. Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on China Economy 39 This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese economy. -13.50% -20.50% -24.50% Year over year change in Chinese Economic Activity for Jan – Feb 2020 Pandemic Epicenter – Wuhan, China › China’s exports plunged by 17.2% in Jan – Feb 2020 › Fall in imports by – 4% › China’s automobile sector sank by 80% › Growth drop in Q1 GDP ( first noted contraction since China reporting quarterly data in 1992) › According to China Enterprise Confederation, 299 large manufacturers and more than 95% firms facing revenues drop › Rise in operational costs by 80% in industries › 15% is transport capacity in Beijing › Significant drop in consumer consumption from 51.8% (Jan’2020) to 26.5%(Feb’2020) › Slow return of migrants and labors to manufacturing facilities resulting in economic slowdown › With COVID- 19 outbreak, drop in demand from other countries will considered as potential challenge in China’s economic recovery Industrial Output Retail Sales Investment In Fixed Assets C VD 9-
  • 40. Economic Impact of COVID-19 on China Tourism 40 This slide provides details about the economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak on China tourism and is analyzed for best, moderate and worst-case scenarios. CHANNELS SCENARIO Duration of travel bans & Sharp decline in domestic demands Tourism & Travel Bans Decline in China consumption as compared to no - outbreak scenario Decline in China investment as compared to no - outbreak scenario Best Case 2 months •Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 2 months •There is no tourism receipts from China for 2 months for economies that are imposing travel bans •Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies 0.7% None Moderate Case 3 months •Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 3 months •There is no tourism receipts from China for 3 months for economies that are imposing travel bans •Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 10% compared to best case scenario 2% None Worst Case 6 months •Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 6 months •There is no tourism receipts from China for 6 months for economies that are imposing travel bans •Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 40% compared to best case scenario i.e. 4 additional months 2% 2% Hypothetical worst case (specific to each economy) 6 months plus outbreak in other DMC’s lasting 3 months •Tourism in China drops at rate of 50% for 6 months •There is no tourism receipts from China for 6 months for economies that are imposing travel bans •Fall in tourism in Southeast Asian economies by an additional 40% compared to best case scenario i.e. 4 additional months 2% 2%
  • 41. Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy 41 This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on US economy. It also covers information about the role of Federal Reserve and Fiscal Policy in curbing COVID – 19 economic impact. Role of Federal’s Reserve • Increase liquidity in financial markets • Lowered interest rates to zero and started sizable assets purchase • Stimulated economy by making borrowing easier and less expensive • Encouraging firms and consumers to increase investment and purchasing decisions • Still credit risk and market uncertainty holds banks and customers in lending and borrowing respectively US will face economic disruptions in March that will continue through Q2 2020 such as – • Supply chain issues with reduction in demand • Fall in equity prices reduce household wealth leading to slowdown in US economy • Travel bans leading to billion dollars revenue drop in airline industry Role of Federal Fiscal Policy • Expansion of paid sick leave as a safety to individuals who are losing job or with limited resources • Government will distribute funds directly to households for ensuring their adequate purchasing power • Guarantee loans and provide direct support to firms to avoid systemic problems and to maintain payroll • Federal support to states can aid state spending in time of public health crisis 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1'19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20 Q2’20 Q3’20 Q4’20 Actual Forecast GDP % Change
  • 42. Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Italy Economy 42 This slide provides details about the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Italy economy. The coronavirus spread scenario is also presented in the slide. • 31,506 (+13%[iv]) • 35,713 (+13%[V]) • 41,035 (+15%) • 47,021 (+15%) • 53,578 (+14%) • 59,138 (+10%) • 63,927 (+8.1%) • 69,176 (+8.2%) • 74,386 (+7.5%) • 80,539 (+8.3%[vi]) • 86,498 (+7.4%) • 92,472 (+6.8%) • 97,689 (+5.6%) • 101,739 (+4.1%) • 2,503 (16%) • 2,978 (+19%) • 3,405 (+14%) • 4.032 (+18%) • 4,825 (+20%) • 5,475 (+13%) • 6,077 (+11%) • 6,820 (+12%) • 7,503 (+10%) • 8,215 (+9.5%) • 9,314 (+11%) • 10,023 (+9.7%) • 10,779 (+7.5%) • 11,591 (+7.5%) •COVID – 19 outbreak has significantly damaged Italian economy •Severely affected sectors are – oTourism oAccommodation oFood services •Nationwide lockdown was imposed by Italy government on 8 March 2020 •Fiat Chrysler halted production in some of its plants •Italian stock market faced worst hit on Black Friday(12 March 2020) when FTSE MIB index loss value by 17% •Some small and medium – sized enterprise in Italy started production of personal protective equipment such as protective masks, hand sanitizers, ventilator •Ban on in – person gatherings for religious worships resulting in church broadcasting Mass through online live stream , radio and television 3/17/2020 3/18/2020 3/19/2020 3/20/2020 3/21/2020 3/22/2020 3/23/2020 3/24/2020 3/25/2020 3/26/2020 3/27/2020 3/28/2020 3/29/2020 3/30/2020 3/31/2020 Deaths Recovery Active Cases # of Cases # of Deaths COVID-19 cases in ITALY Jan Feb Mar Last 15 Days
  • 43. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 43 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 44. Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic 44 This slide provides details about the various government initiatives taken in order to combat economic fallout of COVID-19 epidemic. Several national governments have initiated mostly uncoordinated and country specific responses to combat COVID – 19 China officials announced special purpose loans of billions to firms facing liquidity constraints and for the financial support of aviation sector Federal Reserve of United States reduced policy rates in emergency response and collaborated with US Bank regulators in order to encourage financial institutions to cater financial needs of customers and members affected by COVID -19 US president seeks plan for payroll tax cut and assistance for impacted hourly workers and industries Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced expanded overnight repurchase operations for $50 Bn in order to prevent deeper credit crunch In Europe, European Central Bank and Bank of England are taking actions to modify their monitory policies Several countries announced fiscal measures such as – • Japan - $9.6Bn (0.19% of GDP) • South Korea - $9.2 Bn (0.56% of GDP) • Italy - $2.1 Bn (0.20% of GDP) On March 6 2020, G20 finance ministers and central bank governors announced to take fiscal and monetary measures International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank announced financial aid of $50 Bn and $12 Bn in aiding low income and emerging market economies in response to COVID – 19
  • 45. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 45 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 46. Recovery of China after COVID-19 Spread 46 This slide provides details about the recovery of China after the pandemic spread of COVID-19 in terms of how China is resuming its economic activities and what constraints it will face. • When will economic activity in rest of China will resume? • Larger firms have started their operations despite of facing challenges such as shortage of labor and movement of goods • Small business are facing issue regarding labor as a smaller number of labors are returning • Industrial activity will recover in late Q1 Availability of labor to major industrial provinces in China 7 4 7 9 11 6 7 2.8 Jiangsu Shandong Zhejiang Guangdong March 15,2020 Same Day 2019 Industrial plants that have resumed work 50% 57% 54% 18% Chongqing Shanghai Shenzhen Wuhan 32% Beijing Shenzhen China Reduction in air pollution Reduction in air pollution Reduction in PMI manufacturing index in Feb’ 2020 IndustrialIndicator 24% 14%
  • 47. Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence 47 This slide provides details about impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese Consumer Confidence in terms of purchasing activity of customers, sales etc. 90 65 64 80 6 63 71 67 69 54 0 20 40 60 80 100 Shenzhen Beijing Shanghai Nanjing Wuhan 16 March, 2020 Same Day 2019 When will consumer confidence & purchasing activity resume in China? • Difficulty in economic restart but proved resilient such as online boom • Affect on some sectors such as tourism & hospitality will exist in Q2 & further Automobile Traffic Index 6 8 17 Ongoing online lessons After 15 March 2020 Not yet decided Resuming schools in number of Chinese provinces Consumer Behavior Metrics Retails sales of consumers cars in FEB-2020 - 92% Consumer spending on food & beverages in JAN-FEB, 2020 - $60 Billion Smartphones sales in JAN, 2020 - 37% Occupancy in hotels in JAN-FEB, 2020 - 80%
  • 48. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 48 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 49. COVID-19 Preparedness & Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline 49 This slide provides details about the COVID-19 preparedness and response plan that was initiated by WHO in the form of timeline. 30 04 06 • UN Development Coordination Office (UNDCO) briefed WHO Resident Coordinators & UN Country Teams (UNCTs) • Provide updates about COVID- 19 epidemic situation • Developed COVID – 19 Strategic Preparedness Response Plan (SPRP) • Focusing on importance of “One UN” in response to crisis • Primary objective – Stop human – to – human transmission of virus • Director – General of WHO briefed Secretary General of United Nations(UN) • Activation of UN Crisis management policy • Establishment of Crisis Management Team (CMT) • Team will coordinate UN system to assist countries in response to COVID – 19 Director – General of WHO declared COVID – 19 outbreak as Public Health Emergency of International Concern(PHEIC) under International Health Regulations (IHR 2005) after the advice from IHR Emergency Committee January 2020 February 2020 February 2020
  • 50. Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness & Response 50 This slide provides details about the primary objective of guidelines planned for risk preparedness and response, duration and key steps implemented across different areas of public health to combat COVID-19. Aim The guidelines will act as a practical document which will aid national governments to prepare & response to COVID – 19 Duration Country wise Preparedness and Response Plan will be developed for initial period of 3 months from February 1, 2020 - April 30, 2020 Priority steps across key areas of public health Country – wise coordination, monitoring & planning Community engagement & risk communication Development of rapid – response teams, case investigation National laboratories Prevention & control of infection Points of entry surveillance Operational support & logistics
  • 51. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Establish multi- partner coordination mechanism to aid response & preparedness National authorities engagement & key partners to prepare country – level operational plan by forecasting resource requirement Initial capacity assessment & risk analysis with identifying vulnerable population Preparing metrics for effective monitoring of evaluation system to assess impact of planned measures Develop incident management plan such as immediate deployment of designated staff from national or partner organizations Crucial spokespeople identification, training & designation Implement operational plan by engagement with local donors and existing programs in order to allocate resources and capacities Regulatory requirements review Regular situation reporting & monitoring Implementation assessment success is reviewed on regular basis Adjust operational plans in accordance to epidemic situation Action review in accordance with IHR Test/learn existing plans, systems in COVID – 19 outbreak to indicate future preparedness & response initiatives Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise 51 This slide provides details about country wise coordination planning and monitoring activities with engagement of relevant ministries such as health, education, social protection to combat COVID-19.
  • 52. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Establish national risk communication & community engagement plan Perform behavior assessment in key understanding of target audience, concerns Develop local messages in order to target key stakeholders and risk groups Address trusted groups( local influencers) & local networks(women groups) Develop clearance processes for timely delivery of messages and materials Engagement of public health & community-based networks such as media, local NGOs Initiate two-way channel for community & public information sharing such as hotlines, radio shows Initiate large scale community engagement to ensure preventive community health & hygiene practices Develop community information & feedback mechanism through social media, consultations, surveys Ensure empathetic & appropriate community engagement Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication 52 This slide provides details about community engagement and risk communication as it is essential to communicate public about COVID-19 and actions that are to be taken on regularly basis.
  • 53. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Establish active case findings & event-based surveillance for influenza like illness & severe acute respiratory infection Analyze gaps in active cases & event-based surveillance system Improve already existing surveillance system to monitor COVID – 19 transmission Case reporting to WHO within 24 hours under IHR Regular monitoring & reporting of disease trends, impacts, case fatality rate, clinical data related to high risk groups(children, pregnant women) Rapid response team training for case investigation Regular & timely analysis of epidemic & social science data to continuously alert risk assessment & operational decision making Simulation exercise to test existing system Generate epidemic & social science reports on weekly basis Add text here Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance & Case Investigations 53 This slide provides details about necessary steps taken by response team in terms of rapid detection of cases, rapid contract tracing, monitoring the geographical spread of virus, transmission intensity, disease trends, etc. to combat COVID-19.
  • 54. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Prepare points of entry public health emergency plan Prepare latest information regarding disease, standard operating procedures, staff training to handle ill passengers Immediate health assessment such isolation facilities to handle affected people and secure transportation of ill patient to designated health facilities Informing travelers about COVID – 19 Regular monitoring & evaluation of response measures at points of entry Add text here Add text here Add text here Add text here Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance 54 This slide provides details about necessary steps take at points of entry with effective surveillance and risk communication activities to combat COVID-19.
  • 55. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Establish access to internationally accepted COVID – 19 laboratory Maintain standard operating procedures for sample collection, diagnosis & testing Implement biosafety measures for risk mitigation Standard procedure for molecular testing Safeguard functionality of sample collection, management, referral network Utilize genetic sequence data & virus materials in context COVID – 19 protocols Link laboratory data to epidemic data for on time analysis Implement plan to handle increase demand of testing and security of lab sources during widespread of COVID – 19 transmission Monitor diagnosis, data quality & staff performance Prepare quality assurance mechanism for testing Add text here Add text here Add text here Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories 55 This slide provides details about countries developing laboratory capacities in order to manage large scale testing for COVID-19. The laboratory should be capable in managing increased volume of samples in suspected cases.
  • 56. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Implement healthcare infrastructure with functional triage system, isolation rooms, trained staff, personal protective equipment, hand & hygiene stations Analyze healthcare system in communities where transmission risk is high Regular review & update of infection prevention and control practices Prepare plan for monitoring of healthcare staff exposed to confirmed cases of COVID – 19 Prepare plan for PPE supply management Employ trained staff with technical experts and authorities to implement infection prevention and control activities Healthcare associated infections are reported & investigated Align infection prevention & control guidelines for home & community Access to water and sanitation for health(WASH) services for public places and monitor the services Deliver priority support to health facilities Add text here Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection 56 This slide provides details about essential practices for infection control and prevention in health facilities and communities. The regions should be reviewed on regular basis, steps should be taken to avoid transmission, to staff, patients and visitors and in community to combat COVID-19.
  • 57. Necessary Actions Taken Yes Identify available resources & supply systems in healthcare sectors and prepare central stock reserve for COVID – 19 cases management Maintain supply chain control and management system for medical and essential supplies Procurement processes for medical and essential supplies review and motivating local sourcing Capacity assessment of local markets to determine whether the local markets will be capable in meeting increased demands of medical and essential supplies and coordinate international request of supplies through regional and global procurement mechanism Develop staff surge capacity and deployment mechanism ad providing briefings about recommended vaccinations, enhanced medical kits, psychological support and peer support for staff wellbeing Recognize and aid crucial functions that are essential during COVID – 19 widespread such as water and sanitation, fuel and energy, telecommunications, internet, finance, law , education and transportation and essential workforce, etc. Add text here Add text here Add text here Initiative 7 - Operational Support & Logistics 57 This slide provides details about logistics activities that are planned to cater incident management without hampering supply and procurement of essential products, staff deployment and payment to combat COVID-19.
  • 58. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 58 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 59. Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness & Response 59 This slide provides details about key performance indicators that are considered in order examine risk preparedness and response to combat COVID-19 outbreak by different countries. Segment Indicator Target Key Considerations Epidemic Situation • Number of countries with confirmed cases TBD • Number of confirmed cases worldwide • Number of countries with local transmission • Number of Countries with imported cases • Percentages of deaths reported regarding reported cases • % of cases in healthcare workers TBD • Exercised caution to handle healthcare workers as they might be high risk of community transmission Global Response in Managing Program • % of Budget funded for Risk Preparedness and Response Plan 80% • Assess financial support to global response • % of received funds implemented for Risk Preparedness & Response Plan 100% • Assess the implementation of global response Global Response in Supply Management • Country received PPE stockpiles requested TBD • Ensure capacities in deploying supplies Global Response in Research & Development • Eligible country enrolled in clinical trials TBD • Ensuring country collaboration in multi – site clinical trials *TBD – To Be Decided
  • 60. Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness & Response contd… 60 This slide provides details about key performance indicators that are considered in order examine risk preparedness and response to combat COVID-19 outbreak by different countries. Segment Indicator Target Key Considerations Country Capacity Readiness • Operational readiness & preparedness index Level 1 <= 30% Level 2 <= 50% Level 3 <= 70% Level 4 <= 90% Level 5 > 30% • Determine readiness based on implementation of IHR capacities • Country has initiated public health emergency operations center 100% • Health system preparedness for event management • Country prepared referral system in handling COVID- 19 patients >80% • Determine health system readiness Country Surveillance & Rapid Detection • Country reported first COVID – 19 case within 24 hours to WHO 100% • Determine extent of Global collaboration and information sharing to facilitate global risk management • Country with laboratory results available in 72 hours TBD • Determine system capacity to immediate prepare testing capacity to test COVID – 19 Infection Prevention & Control & Biosafety • % of healthcare facilities with triage capacity & isolation capacity 80% • Availability of single rooms, healthcare facility with relevant infrastructures Community Engagement & Risk Communication • Country improved their risk communication & community engagement strategies >80% • Ensuring alternate channels to reach individuals and decision makers in different sectors *TBD – To Be Decided
  • 61. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 61 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 62. Resource Requirement for Preparedness & Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases 62 This slide provides details about the requirement of resources in order to handle local transmission up to 100 cases while COVID-19 risk preparedness and response initiative. Expenditure Item Cost per Unit ($) Quantity Total ($) Country wise coordination Cost for Setup Supplies – International Satellite communications 12,000 5 60,000 60,000 Monthly Cost Incentive Payment National incident management 800 20 16000 Service Contract Car 3000 21 63000 Car Fuel 250 84 21000 Mobile phone credit 421 70 29470 Rental office space 3500 7 24500 Staff – international Incident management 24000 4 96000 Training International incident management training 800 20 16000 Total 265970
  • 63. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 63 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 64. Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (1/3) 64 This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of employee protection, developing cross functional response team. Action Step Description Employee Protection • Follow conservative guidelines issued by local & global health authorities • Frequent communication with employees – employee support as per health guidance • Benchmarking efforts (for ex – avoid employees nonessential travel) Developing cross functional response team • Dedicated cross functional team governed by CEO • Develop workstreams such as – o Employees o Financial – stress testing and contingency plan o Supply chain o Marketing & Sales o Other essential constituencies • Establish planned 48 hrs. and 1-week goals for each workstream • Select minimum viable products - o 6 – week milestones calendar o 1 – page action plan for each workstream o Progress and Triggers dashboard o Threat map
  • 65. Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (2/3) 65 This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of ensuring liquidity, supply chain stabilization. Action Step Description Ensure Liquidity & Develop Contingency Plan • Develop planning scenario & identify variables that will impact revenue & cost • Implement cashflow, P&L & balance sheet in each scenario, identify triggers that significantly impact • liquidity events • Stabilize organization in each scenario with each trigger- based moves in each scenario such as optimization, cost reduction, portfolio optimization through divestments Supply Chain Stabilization • Identify extent & timing of exposure to areas that are facing community transmission to deal with tier – 1,2,3 suppliers and inventory levels • Immediate stabilization through – o Critical parts rationing o Optimize alternatives o Increase supplier production at priority basis • Long term stabilization through – o Demand planning and network optimization o Drive flexibility in supply chain
  • 66. Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID-19 (3/3) 66 This slide provides details about key initiatives that are to be taken by firms on immediate basis in order to minimize the impact of COVID-19 in terms of handling customer, purpose demonstration. Action Step Description Stay near to Customers • Immediate stabilization such as - o Inventory planning o Discounts o Immediate price changes • Long term stabilization such as o Investment in priority segment for long term growth In Depth Exercise Plan with Top Team • Develop activation protocol for several response phases such as contingency planning • Considering key activities such as – • Clarity on decision made by owner • Well defined roles of team member • Actions and investments required for plan Purpose Demonstration • Aid epidemic efforts when necessary • Add text here • Add text here
  • 67. Table of Content for Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies 67 About Coronavirus • Overview of Coronavirus Disease COVID – 19 • Detailed Structure of Coronavirus • What are Symptoms Related to COVID19 Disease? • How COVID – 19 Spread in Humans? • Comparison of Coronavirus with Other Similar Virus Coronavirus Spread Timeline • Initial COVID – 19 Spread Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in China • COVID – 19 Outbreak in US Timeline • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in South Korea • Coronavirus Spread Highlights in Italy • COVID – 19 Outbreak in India Timeline Latest Updates • Latest Insights Related to COVID 19 • Reported COVID 19 Cases Across the Globe • Requirement of Essential Supplies for Health Responders Across the Globe • How Coronavirus Spreading in Asia Europe and United States Impact of Coronavirus on Economy at Global Scale • Global COVID – 19 Economic Impact Overview • Impact on GDP Due to Coronavirus Spread • Analysing Potential Impact on Economy and Business Opportunities in COVID – 19 Outbreak • Vulnerable Sectors and Economies due to COVID – 19 Outbreak • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Energy Sector • Impact of Economic Slowdown on Financial Sector Stock Market Crash 2020 Overview • Stock Market Crash 2020 Timeline • Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War o Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Overview o Impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia Oil Price War Different Government Initiatives to Combat Economic Fallout in Epidemic Resource Requirement for Preparedness and Response to Handle Local Transmission up to 100 Cases Key Performance Indicators to Determine Country Risk Preparedness and Response Seven Immediate Actions taken by Firms to Combat COVID – 19 Impact of Coronavirus on Different Economies • Impact of COVID – 19 Outbreak on Indian Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on Different Sectors of India • Impact of COVID – 19 on China Economy • Economic Impact of COVID – 19 on China Tourism • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on U.S. Economy • Impact of COVID – 19 Pandemic on Italy Economy COVID – 19 Response Plan and Preparedness • COVID – 19 Preparedness and Response Plan WHO Initiative Timeline • Aim of Planning Guidelines for Risk Preparedness and Response • Initiative 1 - Coordination Planning and Monitoring Country wise • Initiative 2 - Community Engagement and Risk Communication • Initiative 3 - Rapid Response Teams Surveillance and Case Investigations • Initiative 4 - Points of Entry Surveillance • Initiative 5 - Establishment of National Laboratories • Initiative 6 - Prevention and Control of Infection • Initiative 7 - Operational Support and Logistics How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID – 19 Pandemic? Analysing Recovery of China in COVID – 19 Pandemic • Recovery of China after COVID – 19 Spread • Impact of Pandemic on Chinese Consumer Confidence
  • 68. How Employee Safety can be Maintained in Manufacturing Facility during COVID-19 Pandemic? 68 This slide provides details about how firms can maintain their employee safety in manufacturing facilities during COVID-19 spread by altering the work shifts. ConsProsDescription • 16 h X 5 Day model • Time for deep cleaning before 3rd shift • 24 h X 5 Day model • Production at lower speed with few FTE working • 25 h X 5 Day model • FTEs are employed to Line 1 then shift to Line 2 • Maximum machine productivity with max. running time ratio • Requirement of forecasting of goods demand • Requirement of cross training of whole staff • Inefficiencies due to process • Inefficiencies due to daily ramp ups • Maintenance work done in 3rd shift • Dedicated people in each assembly line • Easy to implement • 16 h X 5 Day model • Time for deep cleaning before 3rd shift Option-1 Shifts Reduction Day M T W T F Line 1 Line 2 Option-2 Pace reduction Day M T W T F Line 1 Line 2 Option-3 Dedicated to a line Day M T W T F Line 1 Line 2 Present Situation- 3 Shifts 24 Hours X 5 Days Model Operator dedicated to either Line 1 or Line 2 Day M T W T F Line 1 Line 2 *FTE – Full Time Employee
  • 69. Corona Virus Introduction, Response Plan & Economic Impact on Geographies Icons Slide 69