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PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!
2   Aging Population 3   Upskilling of Jobs 4   Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends 1   Great Recession
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Megatrend 1: The Great Recession
Megatrend 2: Aging Population Predictable Demographics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Percent of Canadian Population 15-64 Years of Age
2011   421,000 2016   947,000 2021 1,552,000 2026 2,079,000 2031 2,763,000 Projected Worker Shortfall Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People [Figures projected nationally from Miner’s Ontario (38%) medium growth estimates] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Megatrend 3: Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People
New & Changing Jobs There’s never been a better time to imagine career prospects! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Megatrend 4: Unprepared Workforce Education System and Employers The Talent Pipeline
[object Object],The Pipeline Leaks
[object Object],[object Object],The Pipeline Leaks
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Pipeline Leaks
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Pipeline Leaks
Of 100 students in the educational pipeline in grade 9 each year … End of the Pipeline
[object Object],[object Object],End of the Pipeline
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],End of the Pipeline
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],End of the Pipeline
More Demanding Labour Market (Upskilling) “ Over the past third of a century  all  net job growth in America has been generated by positions that require at least some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education
More Demanding Labour Market (Upskilling) “ Over the past third of a century  all  net job growth in America has been generated by positions that require at least some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education “ Only 14% of all undergraduate students enroll in STEM subjects. 1/3 will switch out of those fields, and only 2 in 5 will graduate with a STEM degree or certification within six years. We must do better than that.” President Obama, June 2011
Student Engagement “ The United States now has the highest college dropout rate in the industrialized world.” Why?
Student Engagement “ The United States now has the highest college dropout rate in the industrialized world.” Why? “ Too many students can’t see a clear connection between their program of study and labor market opportunities.” Pathways to Prosperity , February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education
Conclusion To avoid being victims of the perfect storm, communities must equip citizens with the knowledge, skills, attitudes, and tools to prosper in family-sustaining 21 st  century careers. A  “whole-community”  commitment to career navigation and workforce development is required.
Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Career and Workforce Development Paradigm Shift Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object]
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Helping students imagine the future they want to create “ Your imagination is a preview of life’s coming attractions.”  Albert Einstein  “ I wish The Real Game was MANDATORY for all students. The information and life experience it provides are more valuable than some required coursework. Giving our students the tools they need to be successful in “the real world” should be our first priority.”  Tanya McKay, First Northern Bank, Woodland, CA, April 2011
Career Cruising Career Information e-Portfolio (ILP) Course Planner Career Cruising Network
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expected Results To be measured ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Consequences of staying the course ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Career Cruising Solution All education/training institutions, employers & community agencies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PERFECT STORM Together, let’s implement a whole-community career navigation and workforce development strategy to weather the …

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Ca Perfect Storm

  • 1. PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!
  • 2. 2 Aging Population 3 Upskilling of Jobs 4 Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends 1 Great Recession
  • 3.
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  • 5. Percent of Canadian Population 15-64 Years of Age
  • 6.
  • 7. Megatrend 3: Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People
  • 8.
  • 9. Megatrend 4: Unprepared Workforce Education System and Employers The Talent Pipeline
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  • 14. Of 100 students in the educational pipeline in grade 9 each year … End of the Pipeline
  • 15.
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  • 18. More Demanding Labour Market (Upskilling) “ Over the past third of a century all net job growth in America has been generated by positions that require at least some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education
  • 19. More Demanding Labour Market (Upskilling) “ Over the past third of a century all net job growth in America has been generated by positions that require at least some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education “ Only 14% of all undergraduate students enroll in STEM subjects. 1/3 will switch out of those fields, and only 2 in 5 will graduate with a STEM degree or certification within six years. We must do better than that.” President Obama, June 2011
  • 20. Student Engagement “ The United States now has the highest college dropout rate in the industrialized world.” Why?
  • 21. Student Engagement “ The United States now has the highest college dropout rate in the industrialized world.” Why? “ Too many students can’t see a clear connection between their program of study and labor market opportunities.” Pathways to Prosperity , February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education
  • 22. Conclusion To avoid being victims of the perfect storm, communities must equip citizens with the knowledge, skills, attitudes, and tools to prosper in family-sustaining 21 st century careers. A “whole-community” commitment to career navigation and workforce development is required.
  • 23. Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Career and Workforce Development Paradigm Shift Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions
  • 24.
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  • 30. Helping students imagine the future they want to create “ Your imagination is a preview of life’s coming attractions.” Albert Einstein “ I wish The Real Game was MANDATORY for all students. The information and life experience it provides are more valuable than some required coursework. Giving our students the tools they need to be successful in “the real world” should be our first priority.” Tanya McKay, First Northern Bank, Woodland, CA, April 2011
  • 31. Career Cruising Career Information e-Portfolio (ILP) Course Planner Career Cruising Network
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  • 37. PERFECT STORM Together, let’s implement a whole-community career navigation and workforce development strategy to weather the …

Editor's Notes

  1. Despite growing workforce skills gaps, current processes to connect talent with opportunities remain inefficient. Too many students fail to see relevance in their studies to future work roles. They don’t know how to identify local employers who need their unique talents. Thus, they lack motivation to optimize learning opportunities public education and local training providers offer. The fastest growing youth cohorts tend to be the poorest-served. At the same time, most adults are not in jobs that engage them emotionally. Too many are unemployed, underemployed, or marginalized. Employers have no efficient mechanism to identify future talent in their own community. They insist schools are not producing graduates with the employability and applied (soft) skills, character and attitude they need. So employers cast their talent nets across the country and around the globe to find and re-locate the talent they need while students are dropping out of school in the employer’s community and adults are yearning for meaningful opportunities at home. All in all, the process of matching talent to opportunity is hit-and-miss, and there are vast economic and human consequences
  2. Projected peak in 2011. After 2011 Ontario’s/Canada’s population will decline dramatically, falling to 61% by 2030, and continuing to decrease thereafter, to reach 59% by 2050.
  3. It is projected that by 2016 Canada will have 1,350,000 unskilled workers (about 8% of total workforce) in a country that can no longer absorb unskilled workers. Even in 2010 there are more than a million unfilled vacancies begging for skilled workers. It is getting harder and harder for employers, large and small, to find people to: a) replace those who are retiring; and b) with the knowledge, skills and attitudes they now need in their workforce to assure survivability, let alone growth. The perfect storm will hit in the next decade when the supply of talent falls, and remains, substantially below demand. Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People The good news is that there are and will be for years to come more than enough good 21 st century jobs available for every Canadian that wants to work. However, most will have to “ up-skill ” to qualify for them. Moreover, we must dramatically increase labour force participation rates among traditionally under-represented, socially excluded groups such as aboriginal peoples, lower socio-economic groups, new immigrants, and the disabled.