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Let’s discuss the current economy, fintech scene and more !
I am here to share my insights on
the Indian banking scene!
You can find me at
“The chances of the worst-case
scenario, with all major economies
suffering a significant shock, are
rising by the day”
— Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Economics ECONOMIST
”
A slowdown, simply means that
the pace of the
.
During slowdown, the GDP
but the
.
Recession refers to a
in the economic
cycle when there is a
for some
quarters.
It begins after the
and
ends as the economy reaches its
trough.
A common for
recessions is two quarters of
.
Depression is a
marked by a
.
When , turns out to be
more severe and
.
A common for
depression is a
of more, for more than 3
years.
Uncertainty originated in a
major country (US vs China)
Stock market collapse
Monetary and Fiscal support
provided swiftly
Stock market fall has been too sharp
and sudden
GDP growth rate affected massively
Consumer demand has dropped
massively
Source: Bloomberg
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook
Source: Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
Increase of loan defaults in
retail / corporate lending 😟
Revenue drop due to interest rate
drop, reduced business activity 😟
Cost cutting resulting in
job losses 😭
Increase in trading (equity &
bond markets) activity 😊
Acceleration of Digital
Transformation 😊
Rise of Digital /
Branchless banking😊
● Repo rate was slashed by 75 bps, reverse
repo rate was slashed by 90 bps
● Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) reduced by
100 bps
● Announced a moratorium on all loan
payments until August 31
● Allocated Rs 15,000 crore to EXIM Bank
to support trade
● A targeted Long Term Repo Operation
(LTRO) of Rs 50,000 crore
● Systematic changes in NPA classification
● The aforementioned steps taken were to
solve the liquidity issues in the economy.
But inadvertently, they resulted in
surplus liquidity, implying there is
enough money but very few takers.
● As a result, banks have parked Rs 7.29
lakh crore worth of funds with the apex
bank because in these times when all
economic activities have come to
standstill, no company and business are
borrowing money from the bank.
Digital channels are more vulnerable Stimulus plans are plagued by fraud scams
Recession has historically driven fraud For banks, call center is the weakest link
“The Fintech opportunity is remote –
and it’s NOW!”
— SANJAY SWAMY, MANAGING PARTNER - PRIME VENTURE PARTNERS
”
It is a set of APIs that allows businesses to utilise a
unique digital infrastructure to solve India’s hard
problems. It is -
Aadhaar assigns an unique digital
identity that allows one to e-verify themselves
Digilocker provides a cloud account
where one can access their documents
UPI creates a single interface to connect
all bank accounts and wallets
DEPA empowers everyone to control
their Data. It is coming in late 2020.
IndiaStack has been driving the digital banking
agenda, new bank accounts have
been opened under the scheme.
Using AEPS, the government has launched over
(both new and existing subsidy
schemes) to provide subsidies digitally.
Thanks to IndiaStack, the government is well
positioned to make directly into people’s
accounts, to help them survive the lockdown
Now that no one wants to transact in cash or in
person, on-demand services are gaining
prominence, on the back of payment rails
Alternate
Credit
Rating
Model
POS Machine
Bill Payments
Social
Media
Rent
History
Geolocation
Browsing
behaviour
Text/Call logs and
contact list
Online buying
behaviour
Psychometrics
Spending
habits
Municipal
records
Government
economic surveys
Health APIs
Taxes
Post Covid Fintech Trends
Post Covid Fintech Trends
Post Covid Fintech Trends
Post Covid Fintech Trends
Post Covid Fintech Trends

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Post Covid Fintech Trends

  • 1. Let’s discuss the current economy, fintech scene and more !
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  • 3. I am here to share my insights on the Indian banking scene! You can find me at
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  • 5. “The chances of the worst-case scenario, with all major economies suffering a significant shock, are rising by the day” — Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Economics ECONOMIST ”
  • 6. A slowdown, simply means that the pace of the . During slowdown, the GDP but the . Recession refers to a in the economic cycle when there is a for some quarters. It begins after the and ends as the economy reaches its trough. A common for recessions is two quarters of . Depression is a marked by a . When , turns out to be more severe and . A common for depression is a of more, for more than 3 years.
  • 7. Uncertainty originated in a major country (US vs China) Stock market collapse Monetary and Fiscal support provided swiftly Stock market fall has been too sharp and sudden GDP growth rate affected massively Consumer demand has dropped massively
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  • 10. Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook
  • 11. Source: Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
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  • 13. Increase of loan defaults in retail / corporate lending 😟 Revenue drop due to interest rate drop, reduced business activity 😟 Cost cutting resulting in job losses 😭 Increase in trading (equity & bond markets) activity 😊 Acceleration of Digital Transformation 😊 Rise of Digital / Branchless banking😊
  • 14. ● Repo rate was slashed by 75 bps, reverse repo rate was slashed by 90 bps ● Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) reduced by 100 bps ● Announced a moratorium on all loan payments until August 31 ● Allocated Rs 15,000 crore to EXIM Bank to support trade ● A targeted Long Term Repo Operation (LTRO) of Rs 50,000 crore ● Systematic changes in NPA classification ● The aforementioned steps taken were to solve the liquidity issues in the economy. But inadvertently, they resulted in surplus liquidity, implying there is enough money but very few takers. ● As a result, banks have parked Rs 7.29 lakh crore worth of funds with the apex bank because in these times when all economic activities have come to standstill, no company and business are borrowing money from the bank.
  • 15. Digital channels are more vulnerable Stimulus plans are plagued by fraud scams Recession has historically driven fraud For banks, call center is the weakest link
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  • 17. “The Fintech opportunity is remote – and it’s NOW!” — SANJAY SWAMY, MANAGING PARTNER - PRIME VENTURE PARTNERS ”
  • 18. It is a set of APIs that allows businesses to utilise a unique digital infrastructure to solve India’s hard problems. It is - Aadhaar assigns an unique digital identity that allows one to e-verify themselves Digilocker provides a cloud account where one can access their documents UPI creates a single interface to connect all bank accounts and wallets DEPA empowers everyone to control their Data. It is coming in late 2020. IndiaStack has been driving the digital banking agenda, new bank accounts have been opened under the scheme. Using AEPS, the government has launched over (both new and existing subsidy schemes) to provide subsidies digitally. Thanks to IndiaStack, the government is well positioned to make directly into people’s accounts, to help them survive the lockdown Now that no one wants to transact in cash or in person, on-demand services are gaining prominence, on the back of payment rails
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  • 22. Alternate Credit Rating Model POS Machine Bill Payments Social Media Rent History Geolocation Browsing behaviour Text/Call logs and contact list Online buying behaviour Psychometrics Spending habits Municipal records Government economic surveys Health APIs Taxes