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HOW TO MAKE MONEY WITH THE UPS AND DOWNS OF THE MARKET USING OPTIONS
Presented for Vancouver Investment Conference Network
May 8, 2019
Slides available at: www.slideshare.net/ppis
This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only.
Neither Vancouver Investment Conference Network or Prosperis Passive Income Strategies
(PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisors.
We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the
types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we are telling you
to trade these exact strategies or securities.
Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or
personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing is not
tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a
recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is
suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are
discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.
Vancouver Investment Conference Network and PPIS are not subject to trading restrictions.
We could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security we mention at any
time.
Disclaimer
Speaker Bio
Karim Adatia, CPA
Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016)
Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present)
Financial Educator (2016 - Present)
www.ppis.c
a
TRADING INC.
Canada Revenue Agency
THE S&P 500
What are Equity Options?
An option is a contract that to buy or sell a
certain amount of stock.
allows you
RIGHT or OBLIGATION
BUY
SELL
When you buy, you have a RIGHT.
When you sell, you have an OBLIGATION.
What can we do with Option Contracts?
Why do Options exist?
Leverage.
An option contract represents 100 shares of the underlying stock
but costs a lot less!
Bullish Stock Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
100 shares would cost = $10,000.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit.
Bullish Options Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
The Option contract goes to $6.80.
Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.
Types of Option contracts
CALL
PUT
A Call Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to buy, and gives
the seller (writer) the obligation to sell a 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or
before the expiration date of the contract.
A Put Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to sell, and gives the
seller (writer) the obligation to purchase 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or
before the expiration date of the contract.
SELL/WRITEBUY
PUT
THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO:
THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO:
Buy Stock Sell Stock
Sell Stock Buy Stock
CALL
Q: WHAT IF WE DID ALL FOUR TRADES AT THE SAME TIME?
A: WE CAN BE NON-DIRECTIONAL WITHIN A TRADING RANGE
The Iron Condor Options Strategy on a Stock
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg8IyTPoaQY
Trading
Range
Put
Spread
Call
Spread
The Iron Condor Options Strategy on the SPX
2780 2880 2980
Write a Put at
this Strike Price
Write a Call at
this Strike Price
Buy Protection for the Put = 2775 Buy Protection for the Call = 2985
SPX (S&P 500)
SHORT CALL:
= 2980
2880 29802780
95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under NORMAL Volatility Conditions
TRADING RANGE: 2780 – 2980
SHORT PUT:
= 2780
LONG PUT as
protection 5
points away
LONG CALL as
protection 5
points away
29852775
THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX
15.5
Our Non-Directional Trade
1. Option Writing Selling an Option to Open Trade
2. Range-bound Confidence Interval of 95%
3. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value
4. Index-linked Ticker: SPX
5. Average Return 8% in 3 weeks
6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay
The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay
$$$
Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days)
Option
Time
Value
($)
SELL
BUY
BACK
90 60 30 0
Practice Trade
WEEK OF: JAN 2 - 6 2017
STEP 1: INFORMATION
-105.00 -100.00 (SPX VALUE) +100.00 +105.00
Long Put Short Put Short Call Long Call
STEP 2: TRADE Watch Video:
STEP 3: MANAGEMENT Watch Video:
CALL ALERT: SPX Value + 65=
PUT ALERT: SPX Value - 65=
YOUR PRACTICE TRADE
Get spreadsheet from www.ppis.ca/Meetup
ADJUSTMENT RULES
This is a 3 Week Trade
If your ALERT goes off in the first two weeks:
ROLL THE THREATENED SIDE
If your ALERT goes off in the last week:
CLOSE THE THREATENED SIDE
TRACK RECORD FOR THIS TRADE?
www.meetup.com/VDTHub Message Boards
Trade Size Allocation Guide
POSITION SIZING
https://youtu.be/hFn0AviEk3U
Be ___________ when
others are _____________
and
____________ when others
are _______________
- Warren Buffett
greedy
fearful
fearful
greedy
TWEAKING THE TRADE
Volatility is measured by the VIX. AKA: The “Fear Index”.
The VIX has an inverse relationship to the SPX
The Volatility Factor in SPX Iron Condors
VIX Value Comment 95% c.i. Trading Range
<10.00 Not Volatile Enough
Too narrow, 100 strikes
doesn’t pay enough $
10-15 Average Volatility
Average, 100 strikes away is
ideal.
15-18 Perfect Volatility
Excellent, >100 strikes away
pays enough $.
>18 Too Volatile
Opportunity to get 150~200
strikes away
The Volatility Factor in SPX Iron Condors
The Volatility Factor
Trading Range = 2270-2030
= 240
Distance on either side
= 120/2150 = 5.58%
2030 2150 2270
1990 2150 2300
Trading Range = 2300-1990
= 310
Distance on either side
= 155/2150 = 7.21%
1
2
The Volatility
is Higher
KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS?
6:00 PM EVERY MONDAY – CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER
1. JOIN THE MEETUP:
www.meetup.com/VDTHub
KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS? (contd.)
2. PRACTICE THE TRADE AT THE MEETUP
3 items at www.ppis.ca/meetup
WEEK OF: JAN 2 - 6 2017
STEP 1: INFORMATION
-105.00 -100.00 (SPX VALUE) +100.00 +105.00
Long Put Short Put Short Call Long Call
STEP 2: TRADE Watch Video:
STEP 3: MANAGEMENT Watch Video:
CALL ALERT: SPX Value + 65=
PUT ALERT: SPX Value - 65=
YOUR PRACTICE TRADE
3. ATTEND THE MONTHLY WORKSHOP WHEN YOU FEEL READY!
KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS? (contd.)
Every 3rd Wednesday of the Month
SFU Harbour Centre (Downtown)
Register at :
www.ppis.ca
Workshop (2.5 hours)
+ Workbook
+ 1-1 Coaching (1 hour)
+ Weekly support via VDTHub Meetup
Next Workshop: May 15, 2019
Methodology in Detail
Adjustment / Stops
Entry Criteria & Risk management
Taking Advantage of Volatility
$200 / person
$350 / 2 people*
(*2nd person not at this VICN Meetup)
US ON FACEBOOK
www.facebook.com/ppistrategies
If you Liked the Presentation,
Write us a review!
karim@ppis.ca
Out The Money / At The Money / In The Money
Strike Price: The predetermined price you set for the option you buy/sell.
• A CALL is out of the money if the
STRIKE PRICE is greater than the
STOCK PRICE.
• A CALL is in the money if the STOCK
PRICE is greater than the STRIKE
PRICE.
• A PUT is in the money if the STOCK
PRICE is less than the STRIKE PRICE.
• A PUT is out of the money if the
STRIKE PRICE is less than the STOCK
PRICE.
The “In-the-money-ness” of an Option is it’s Intrinsic Value.
Out-The-Money Options have no Intrinsic Value – ONLY TIME VALUE.
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
BUY A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP
• The person selling the call is betting the price will go DOWN or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
3
YOU LOSE
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
SELL A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME
• The person who buys the put is betting the price will go DOWN
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WIN
3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
BUY A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN
• The person selling the put is betting the price will go UP or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
SELL A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME
• The person who buys the call is betting the price will go UP
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WINYOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe
JOIN OUR MEETUP!
6:00 PM EVERY MONDAY – CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER
www.meetup.com/VDTHub

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VICN - How to make money whether the market goes up or down

  • 1. HOW TO MAKE MONEY WITH THE UPS AND DOWNS OF THE MARKET USING OPTIONS Presented for Vancouver Investment Conference Network May 8, 2019 Slides available at: www.slideshare.net/ppis
  • 2. This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only. Neither Vancouver Investment Conference Network or Prosperis Passive Income Strategies (PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisors. We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we are telling you to trade these exact strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Vancouver Investment Conference Network and PPIS are not subject to trading restrictions. We could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security we mention at any time. Disclaimer
  • 3. Speaker Bio Karim Adatia, CPA Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016) Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present) Financial Educator (2016 - Present) www.ppis.c a TRADING INC. Canada Revenue Agency
  • 5. What are Equity Options? An option is a contract that to buy or sell a certain amount of stock. allows you RIGHT or OBLIGATION BUY SELL When you buy, you have a RIGHT. When you sell, you have an OBLIGATION. What can we do with Option Contracts?
  • 6. Why do Options exist? Leverage. An option contract represents 100 shares of the underlying stock but costs a lot less! Bullish Stock Trader Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share 100 shares would cost = $10,000. Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit. Bullish Options Trader Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share 1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500. Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share The Option contract goes to $6.80. Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.
  • 7. Types of Option contracts CALL PUT A Call Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to buy, and gives the seller (writer) the obligation to sell a 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or before the expiration date of the contract. A Put Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to sell, and gives the seller (writer) the obligation to purchase 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or before the expiration date of the contract.
  • 8. SELL/WRITEBUY PUT THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO: THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO: Buy Stock Sell Stock Sell Stock Buy Stock CALL Q: WHAT IF WE DID ALL FOUR TRADES AT THE SAME TIME? A: WE CAN BE NON-DIRECTIONAL WITHIN A TRADING RANGE
  • 9. The Iron Condor Options Strategy on a Stock https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg8IyTPoaQY Trading Range Put Spread Call Spread
  • 10. The Iron Condor Options Strategy on the SPX 2780 2880 2980 Write a Put at this Strike Price Write a Call at this Strike Price Buy Protection for the Put = 2775 Buy Protection for the Call = 2985
  • 11. SPX (S&P 500) SHORT CALL: = 2980 2880 29802780 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under NORMAL Volatility Conditions TRADING RANGE: 2780 – 2980 SHORT PUT: = 2780 LONG PUT as protection 5 points away LONG CALL as protection 5 points away 29852775
  • 12. THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX 15.5
  • 13. Our Non-Directional Trade 1. Option Writing Selling an Option to Open Trade 2. Range-bound Confidence Interval of 95% 3. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value 4. Index-linked Ticker: SPX 5. Average Return 8% in 3 weeks 6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay
  • 14. The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay $$$ Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days) Option Time Value ($) SELL BUY BACK 90 60 30 0
  • 15. Practice Trade WEEK OF: JAN 2 - 6 2017 STEP 1: INFORMATION -105.00 -100.00 (SPX VALUE) +100.00 +105.00 Long Put Short Put Short Call Long Call STEP 2: TRADE Watch Video: STEP 3: MANAGEMENT Watch Video: CALL ALERT: SPX Value + 65= PUT ALERT: SPX Value - 65= YOUR PRACTICE TRADE Get spreadsheet from www.ppis.ca/Meetup
  • 16. ADJUSTMENT RULES This is a 3 Week Trade If your ALERT goes off in the first two weeks: ROLL THE THREATENED SIDE If your ALERT goes off in the last week: CLOSE THE THREATENED SIDE
  • 17. TRACK RECORD FOR THIS TRADE? www.meetup.com/VDTHub Message Boards
  • 18. Trade Size Allocation Guide POSITION SIZING https://youtu.be/hFn0AviEk3U
  • 19. Be ___________ when others are _____________ and ____________ when others are _______________ - Warren Buffett greedy fearful fearful greedy TWEAKING THE TRADE
  • 20. Volatility is measured by the VIX. AKA: The “Fear Index”. The VIX has an inverse relationship to the SPX The Volatility Factor in SPX Iron Condors
  • 21. VIX Value Comment 95% c.i. Trading Range <10.00 Not Volatile Enough Too narrow, 100 strikes doesn’t pay enough $ 10-15 Average Volatility Average, 100 strikes away is ideal. 15-18 Perfect Volatility Excellent, >100 strikes away pays enough $. >18 Too Volatile Opportunity to get 150~200 strikes away The Volatility Factor in SPX Iron Condors
  • 22. The Volatility Factor Trading Range = 2270-2030 = 240 Distance on either side = 120/2150 = 5.58% 2030 2150 2270 1990 2150 2300 Trading Range = 2300-1990 = 310 Distance on either side = 155/2150 = 7.21% 1 2 The Volatility is Higher
  • 23. KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS? 6:00 PM EVERY MONDAY – CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER 1. JOIN THE MEETUP: www.meetup.com/VDTHub
  • 24. KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS? (contd.) 2. PRACTICE THE TRADE AT THE MEETUP 3 items at www.ppis.ca/meetup WEEK OF: JAN 2 - 6 2017 STEP 1: INFORMATION -105.00 -100.00 (SPX VALUE) +100.00 +105.00 Long Put Short Put Short Call Long Call STEP 2: TRADE Watch Video: STEP 3: MANAGEMENT Watch Video: CALL ALERT: SPX Value + 65= PUT ALERT: SPX Value - 65= YOUR PRACTICE TRADE
  • 25. 3. ATTEND THE MONTHLY WORKSHOP WHEN YOU FEEL READY! KARIM, HOW DO CAN I DO THIS? (contd.) Every 3rd Wednesday of the Month SFU Harbour Centre (Downtown) Register at : www.ppis.ca Workshop (2.5 hours) + Workbook + 1-1 Coaching (1 hour) + Weekly support via VDTHub Meetup Next Workshop: May 15, 2019 Methodology in Detail Adjustment / Stops Entry Criteria & Risk management Taking Advantage of Volatility $200 / person $350 / 2 people* (*2nd person not at this VICN Meetup)
  • 26. US ON FACEBOOK www.facebook.com/ppistrategies If you Liked the Presentation, Write us a review!
  • 28. Out The Money / At The Money / In The Money Strike Price: The predetermined price you set for the option you buy/sell. • A CALL is out of the money if the STRIKE PRICE is greater than the STOCK PRICE. • A CALL is in the money if the STOCK PRICE is greater than the STRIKE PRICE. • A PUT is in the money if the STOCK PRICE is less than the STRIKE PRICE. • A PUT is out of the money if the STRIKE PRICE is less than the STOCK PRICE. The “In-the-money-ness” of an Option is it’s Intrinsic Value. Out-The-Money Options have no Intrinsic Value – ONLY TIME VALUE.
  • 29. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go UP: BUY A CALL • You are betting the price of the stock will go UP • The person selling the call is betting the price will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 NEUTRAL 2 YOU LOSE 3 YOU LOSE
  • 30. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go UP: SELL A PUT • You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME • The person who buys the put is betting the price will go DOWN When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 NEUTRAL 2 YOU WIN 3 YOU LOSE … Maybe
  • 31. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go DOWN: BUY A PUT • You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN • The person selling the put is betting the price will go UP or STAY THE SAME When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways YOU WIN 1 3 YOU LOSE NEUTRAL 2 YOU LOSE
  • 32. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS If you believe a stock will go DOWN: SELL A CALL • You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME • The person who buys the call is betting the price will go UP When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways NEUTRAL 2 YOU WINYOU WIN 1 3 YOU LOSE … Maybe
  • 33. JOIN OUR MEETUP! 6:00 PM EVERY MONDAY – CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER www.meetup.com/VDTHub