Slides for the 45th Meetup for the Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub. www.ppis.ca/Meetup

2. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

3. This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only.
Neither Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub (VDTH), Round Table Educators (RTE) or
Prosperis Passive Income Strategies (PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered
broker-dealers or investment advisors.
We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates
for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we
are telling you to trade these exact strategies or securities.
Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or
personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing
is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a
recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is
suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are
discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.
VDTH, RTE and PPIS are not subject to trading restrictions. We could have a position in a
security or initiate a position in a security we mention at any time.
Disclaimer

4. Who are We?
FRIDAY 6:00PM 5th FLOOR, SFU SURREY
SUNDAY 6:00PM CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER
www.meetup.com/vdthub
www.slideshare.net/vdth
Educating Since Jan 2017

5. Who are We?
Karim Adatia, CPA
Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016)
Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present)
Financial Educator (2016 - Present)
www.ppis.ca
TRADING INC.
Canada Revenue Agency

6. What is Disciplined Trading?
Trade based on:
1) CONVICTION (based on what is PERCEIVED in any given moment.)
2) CATALYST (A fundamental or technical reason/opinion)
3) COMPLACENCY (Eg. Wait for a bull market to return
Convert a trade to an investing position)
What a Disciplined Retail Trader will Do …
1) PREDEFINE their risk BEFORE taking a trade
2) CUT THEIR LOSSES without hesitation (when the catalyst fails)
3) MANAGE using a SYSTEMATIC and CONSISTENT money management plan
What Most Retail Traders Do…

7. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

8. What are Equity Options?
An option is a contract that to buy or sell
a certain amount of stock.
allows you
BUYING an option gives the owner a RIGHT
SELLING an option gives the seller an OBLIGATION
RIGHT or OBLIGATION

9. Why trade Equity Options?
Leverage.
An option contract controls 100 shares of the underlying stock
but costs a lot less!
Bullish Stock Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
100 shares would cost = $10,000.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit.
Bullish Options Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
The Option contract goes to $6.80.
Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.

10. SELLBUY
(SHORT)(LONG)
THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO:
THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO:
Buy Stock Sell Stock
Sell Stock Buy Stock
PUTCALL
WHEN WE DO ALL FOUR – WE ARE NON-DIRECTIONAL!

11. Non-Directional Trade
No opinion on whether market goes up or down.

12. Non-Directional Trade Characteristics
1. Option Writing Write: To Sell an Option
2. Range-bound Confidence Interval: 95%
3. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value
4. Index-linked Ticker: SPX
5. Average Return 8% in 3 weeks
6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay

13. The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay
$$$
Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days)
Option
Time
Value
($)
SELL
BUY
BACK
90 60 30 0

14. The Iron Condor Options Strategy
2710 2810 2910

15. SPX (S&P 500)
SHORT CALL:
= 2910
2810 29102710
95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under Normal Volatility Conditions
TRADING RANGE: 2710 – 2910
SHORT PUT:
= 2710
LONG PUT as
protection 5
points away
LONG CALL as
protection 5
points away
29152705

16. THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX

17. Practice Trade
WEEK OF: JAN 2 - 6 2017
STEP 1: INFORMATION
-105.00 -100.00 (SPX VALUE) +100.00 +105.00
Long Put Short Put Short Call Long Call
STEP 2: TRADE Watch Video:
STEP 3: MANAGEMENT Watch Video:
CALL ALERT: SPX Value + 65=
PUT ALERT: SPX Value - 65=
YOUR PRACTICE TRADE
Get spreadsheet from www.ppis.ca/Meetup

18. Our Track Record
www.meetup.com/VDTHub

19. Determining Expectancy
Steps for calculation expectancy:
1. Calculate your win and loss ratio
2. Calculate your reward to risk ratio
3. Combine those two ratios into an expectancy ratio
SPX Trade Expectancy
1. Win and loss ratio:
55 trades. 54 wins. Win ratio = 98%, Loss ratio = 2%
2. Reward to risk ratio:
Winner size (Avg) = $350. Loser size (Avg) = $350. Reward-Risk Ratio = 1.000
3. Expectancy ratio:
(Reward to Risk ratio x Win ratio) – Loss ratio = (1.000 x 98% ) - 2% = + 0.9636

20. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+45

21. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+68

22. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+32

23. How much does the SPX Move on a Daily Basis?
www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data+107

24. WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2017
2400 24652335
2.6% away
(Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert)
2.6% away

25. Apply with caution
Disciplined Traders …
1) Predefine their risk before taking a trade
2) Cut their losses without hesitation
3) Use a systematic money management plan
to make consistent profits.
This Strategy…
1) Predefines your risk
2) Has an adjustment plan
3) Can be systematic / automatic with trade alerts
Has positive expectancy (is therefore consistent)

26. Takeaways!!
1) Be Disciplined!
Whether you are trading stocks, options, currency
or futures.
2) You Can Make Money by being Non-Directional!
3) Equity Options give you leverage that stocks can’t!
4) If you are interested in this particular strategy,
(1) Come to VDTH Meetups each week or
(2) Follow the Practice Trades on Discussion Board.
and only then…

27. Full Workshop
Every 3rd Wednesday of the Month
SFU Harbour Centre (Downtown)
Register at :
www.ppis.ca
Workshop (2.5 hours)
+ Workbook
+ 1-1 Coaching (1 hour)
Next Workshop: February 21, 2018
Methodology
Adjustment Rules
Risk management
…

28. US ON FACEBOOK
www.facebook.com/ppistrategies
If you Liked the Presentation,
Write us a review!
www.ppis.ca

29. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

30. Videos

31. karim@ppis.ca

32. Backup Slides

33. Our Inspiration
Mark
Douglas
Norman
Hallet

34. NON-
DIRECTIONAL
TRADES
Stocks and Equity Options
3-month Program
US$799
DIRECTIONAL
TRADES
FOR VIDEO ABOUT MMT PROGRAM: www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzhJBdGNwyo
$200 off for VDTH Meetup Members (Contact us for details)
FB PAGE: www.facebook.com/MasterMindTraders.official/
www.mastermindtraders.com/freevideos

35. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
BUY A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP
• The person you sell the call to is betting the price will go DOWN or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
3
YOU LOSE

36. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
SELL A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go DOWN
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WIN
3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe

37. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
BUY A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE

38. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
SELL A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WINYOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe

39. VIX During the 2008 Financial Crisis
Takeaway: When VIX is > 18, Don’t Trade This Strategy!