2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Global Oil and Gas market
outlook based on oil prices
Company
background research
Oil and gas sector
scenario
Economic factors and
Local resources
OPEC production cuts Geopolitical factors
Administrative
changes
Suggested strategies
w.r.t. M/S
Halliburton
4. Commonly known as the first oil shock. Price of
oil rose from $3 to $12 per barrel. Occurred in
response to US support for Israel during Yom
Kippur War.
Arab Oil Embargo (1973)
Overthrow of Pahlavi dynasty (supported by US).
Created a situation of which resulted in oil
prices
Commonly known as first gulf war. This war
happened due to Iraq's desire to replace Iran as
dominant Persian gulf state. Led to undermining
OPEC's cohesiveness and market control.
Over the course of the twentieth century,
preserving the security not just of Saudi Arabia
but of the entire Persian Gulf region and the flow
of Middle Eastern oil were among the United
States’ chief political-economic concerns.
As Iraq invaded Kuwait, oil prices plunged by
$10.56. This lead to a situation in which there
was over-supply of oil in global market.
Saudis decided that they ere done being a 'patsy'.
If other oil producers were not going to bear the
cost of production , neither will they. oil cost
dropped to below $10 per barrel.
GEO-POLITICAL FACTORS
Iran-Iraq War (1981) US intervention in gulf
Iraq invades Kuwait (1990-1991)
Saudis violate OPEC deal (1986)
Iranian Revolution(1979)
5. Owns 80% of oil and
natural gas market
Plays an important role in oil
global price decisions
Adoption of enhanced techniques
and intensive explorations
O
P
E
C
6. LOCAL RESOURCES
Physical factors like location of reserves,
properties of oil affect pricing
Production/extraction costs
Research and development costs
7. ECONOMIC GROWTH
Oil prices are impacted
by national economic growth
Increase in non-OECD demand
Converse is also true
Importance of dollar currency
8. OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS (Yearly)
Source: Energy Information Administration, Thomson Reuters
12. Past - 12 fold increase over last decade
Proved resources - 200 trillion cubic feet
Unproved Recoverable resources - 623 trillion cubic feet
Trend - 5trillion cubic feet per year in 2010 to 13.6
trillion cubic feet per year in 2035
SHALE OIL & GAS
is the new emerging trend…
13. America’s First Offshore Energy Policy
86 billion barrels of oil & 420 trillion cubic
feet of natural gas
Lifting Obama’s administrative offshore drilling
Federal Land Leasi
$ 50 trillion in untapped oil and natural gas reserves on federal lan
Low energy prices, increase royalty payments, bolster econom
Executive order for rapid completion of pipeline development
Keystone XL and Dakota Pipeline
17. COMPREHENSIVE TAX REFORMS
Reduction in corporate tax
Proposal for stronger dollar value
Repatriation of foreign earnings
Intangible drilling and development costs
Percentage depletion
19. ECONOMIC PLANS FOR INTEREST RATES
BAT - Border Adjustment Tax
Trade war - Impose tariffs on countries
Infrastructure building boom - Public - Private
Possible Implications
May spur inflation, now running at a modest 1.6%
23. STRATEGIES – FUTURE MAP
Develop commercially competitive services
Invest in shale oil and gas - research and technology
Build loyal customer base to reap long term benefits
Effective risk management strategies
Repatriation of business process to American mainland
America First Energy plan: boost domestic energy and shun foreign fuels
Shale rock--supports exploration-- projected growth in the US
Open up Offshore drilling
KeyStone XL and Dakota Access controversies
EO --removed the ban on coal leases on federal lands-- competing natural gas availability
Details can be found in the article below:
http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Why-The-Trump-Administration-Is-A-Huge-Wildcard-For-The-Oil-Industry.html
Iraq, Libya : may affect operations
The average international rig count for 2016 decreased by 18% compared to 2015, as the international markets remain stressed as they near the bottom of the cycle. Depressed crude oil prices have caused many of our customers to reduce their budgets and defer several new projects; however, we have continued to work with our customers to improve project economics through technology and improved operating efficiency. what you are doing good
The average international rig count for 2016 decreased by 18% compared to 2015, as the international markets remain stressed as they near the bottom of the cycle. Depressed crude oil prices have caused many of our customers to reduce their budgets and defer several new projects; however, we have continued to work with our customers to improve project economics through technology and improved operating efficiency. what you are doing good
Invest in shale oil and gas research and technology
Due to falling oil prices, Halliburton shares is down by 36.31%.
Both international and national oil companies are negotiating aggressively for 10 to 30 percent discounts from oil-field service providers.
Research and development costs: Research and development costs were $329 million in 2016, $487 million in 2015 and $601 million in 2014 . R&D costss
We maintain an active research and development program. The program improves products, processes and engineering standards and practices that serve the changing needs of our customers, such as those related to high pressure and high temperature environments, and also develops new products and processes. Our expenditures for research and development activities were $329 million in 2016, $487 million in 2015 and $601 million in 2014. We sponsored over 95% of these expenditures in each year.
We are exposed to market risk from changes in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates. We selectively manage these exposures through the use of derivative instruments, including forward foreign exchange contracts, foreign exchange options and interest rate swaps. The objective of our risk management strategy is to minimize the volatility from fluctuations in foreign currency and interest rates. We do not use derivative instruments for trading purposes. The counterparties to our forward contracts, options and interest rate swaps are global commercial and investment banks.
risk amnageent strategy