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1
CHAPTER 9
Cost of Capital
2
Topics in Chapter
 Cost of capital components
 Debt
 Preferred stock
 Common equity
 WACC
 Factors that affect WACC
 Adjusting cost of capital for risk
COST OF CAPITAL
Why?
 Key to understanding cost
of raising $
 Risk
 Financing costs
 Discount Rate
Business Application
 Min Req’d return needed
on Project
 Reflects blended costs of
raising capital
 Relevant “i ”
 Discount rate used to
determine Project’s NPV
or to disct FCFs by
 Hurdle rate
3
4
What types of long-term
capital do firms use?
 Long-term debt
 Preferred stock
 Common equity
5
Capital Components
 Cap. components are sources of funding that
come from investors.
 A/P, accruals, and deferred taxes are not
sources of funding that come from investors,
& not included in the calculation of the cost of
capital.
 These items are adjusted for when calculating
project cash flows, not when calculating the
cost of capital.
6
Before-tax vs. After-tax Capital
Costs
 Tax effects associated with financing
can be incorporated either in capital
budgeting cash flows or in cost of
capital.
 Most firms incorporate tax effects in the
cost of capital. Therefore, focus on
after-tax costs.
 Only cost of debt is affected.
7
Historical (Embedded) Costs
vs. New (Marginal) Costs
 The cost of capital is used primarily to
make decisions which involve raising
and investing new capital. So, focus on
marginal (incremental) costs.
COST of CAPITAL
Raising $ & its Costs
Debt
 Cost of Borrowing
 Interest Rate
Equity
 Internal
 RE
 External
 Common Stock
 Prfd Stock
8
Cost of Capital
Raising $ & its Costs
 Debt & Equity
 Cost Return
 Int. pd. Int. recd.
 Divids pd. Divids Recd
9
EQUITIES
Why?
 Key to understanding
valuations
 What is investment worth
today?
 Value of:
 Enterprise
 Entity
 Company/Firm
Business Application
 For Investor:
 Determine value of
asset/business/company
 For Firm:
 Determine cost of
attracting investors &
raising equity capital
 Selling ownership stake to
raise $
10
Weighted Average Cost of
Capital (WACC)
 WACC: Blended cost or raising capital
considering mix of debt & equity
 WACC = (Wt of Debt)(After-tax cost of
Debt) + Wt of Eqty)(Cost of Eqty) +
(Wt of Prfd)(Cost of Prfd)
11
 To put it simply, the weighted average
cost of capital formula helps
management evaluate whether the
company should finance the purchase
of new assets with debt or equity by
comparing the cost of both options.
Financing new purchases with debt or
equity can make a big impact on the
profitability of a company and the
overall stock price.
12
 Management must use the equation to
balance the stock price, investors’
return expectations, and the total cost
of purchasing the assets. Executives
and the board of directors use weighted
average to judge whether a merger is
appropriate or not.
 Investors and creditors, on the other
hand, use WACC to evaluate whether
the company is worth investing in or
loaning money to.
13
 Since the WACC represents the
average cost of borrowing money
across all financing structures, higher
weighted average percentages mean
the company’s overall cost of financing
is greater and the company will have
less free cash to distribute to its
shareholders or pay off additional debt.
As the weighted average cost of capital
increases, the company is less likely to
create value and investors and creditors
tend to look for other opportunities. 14
Cost of Equity
 Know: = P0 = D1/ (rs –g)
 So then: rs = D1/P0 + g
15
Cost of Equity
 Cost of External Equity: Function of Dvids,
growth, & net proceeds after adjusting for
flotation costs
 Cost of Internal Equity: Function of opp.
Costs of divids not pd out but retained in firm
to grow internally (no flot. req’d)
16
Cost of Preferred Stock
 r = D1/P0 + g
 g= 0, so cost of prfd = function of
divids pd. & flot cost to issue
17
 Assume newly formed Corporation ABC
needs to raise $1 million in capital so it
can buy office buildings and the
equipment needed to conduct its
business. The company issues and sells
6,000 shares of stock at $100 each to
raise the first $600,000. Because
shareholders expect a return of 6% on
their investment, the cost of equity is
6%.
18
 Assume newly formed Corporation ABC
needs to raise $1 million in capital so it
can buy office buildings and the
equipment needed to conduct its
business. The company issues and sells
6,000 shares of stock at $100 each to
raise the first $600,000. Because
shareholders expect a return of 6% on
their investment, the cost of equity is
6%.
19
 Corporation ABC then sells 400 bonds
for $1,000 each to raise the other
$400,000 in capital. The people who
bought those bonds expect a 5%
return, so ABC's cost of debt is 5%.
20
 Corporation ABC's total market value is
now ($600,000 equity + $400,000
debt) = $1 million and its corporate tax
rate is 35%. Now we have all the
ingredients to calculate Corporation
ABC's weighted average cost of capital
(WACC).
WACC =
(($600,000/$1,000,000) x .06) +
[(($400,000/$1,000,000) x .05) *
(1-0.35))] = 0.049 = 4.9%
21
22
Determining Cost of Debt
 Method 1: Ask an investment banker
what coupon rate would be on new
debt.
 Method 2: Find bond rating for the
company and use yield on similarly
rated bonds.
 Method 3: Find yield on the company’s
existing debt.
23
Current vs. Historical Cost of
Debt
 For cost of debt, don’t use coupon rate
on existing debt, which represents cost
of past debt.
 Use the current interest rate on new
debt (think YTM).
(More…)
24
A 15-year, 13.25% semiannual bond sells
for $1,250. Tax = 40%. 60,000 Bonds
o/s. What’s rd?
-66.25 <66.25 + 1,000>
-66.25
0 1 2 30
rd = ?
1,250.00
...
30 1250 -66.25 -1000
5.0% x 2 = rd = 10%
N I/YR PV FV
PMT
INPUTS
OUTPUT
25
Component Cost of Debt
 Interest is tax deductible, so the after
tax (AT) cost of debt is:
rd AT = rd BT(1 – T)
rd AT = 10%(1 – 0.40) = 6%.
 Use nominal rate.
 Flotation costs small, so ignore.
26
Cost of preferred stock: Pps = $125;
10.26% Div; Par = $100; F = 8.8%
Use :
rps =
Dps
Pps (1 – F)
=
.0126($100)
$125.00(1 – 0.088)
=
$10.26
$114.
= 0.090 = 9.0%
27
Time Line of Preferred
10.26 10.26
10.26
0 1 2 ∞
rps = ?
-114.
...
$114.00 =
DQ
rPer
=
$10.26
rPer
rPer =
$10.26
$114.00
= 9%
28
Note:
 Flotation costs for preferred are
significant, so are reflected. Use net
price.
 Preferred dividends are not deductible,
so no tax adjustment. Just rps.
 Nominal rps is used.
29
Is preferred stock more or less
risky to investors than debt?
 More risky; company not required to
pay preferred dividend.
 However, firms want to pay preferred
dividend. Otherwise, (1) cannot pay
common dividend, (2) difficult to raise
additional funds, and (3) preferred
stockholders may gain control of firm.
30
Why is yield on preferred
lower than rd?
 Corporations own most preferred stock,
because 70% of prfd divids nontaxable to
corps.
 T/4, prfd often has a lower
B-T yield than the B-T yield on debt.
 The A-T yield to investors and A-T cost to the
issuer are higher on prfd than on debt, which
is consistent w/ higher risk of prfd.
31
Example:
rps = 9%, rd = 10%, T = 40%
rps, AT = rps – rps(1 – 0.7)(T)
= 9% – 9%(0.3)(0.4) = 7.92%
rd, AT = 10% – 10%(0.4) = 6.00%
A-T Risk Premium on Preferred = 1.92%
32
What are the two ways that
companies can raise common equity?
 Directly, by issuing new shares of
common stock.
 Indirectly, by reinvesting earnings that
are not paid out as dividends (i.e.,
retaining earnings).
33
Why is there a cost for
reinvested earnings?
 Earnings can be reinvested or paid out
as dividends.
 Investors could buy other securities,
earning a return.
 Thus, there is an opportunity cost if
earnings are reinvested.
34
Cost for Reinvested Earnings
(Continued)
 Opportunity cost: The return
stockholders could earn on alternative
investments of equal risk.
 They could buy similar stocks and earn
rs, or company could repurchase its own
stock and earn rs. So, rs, is cost of
reinvested earnings and is cost of
common equity.
35
Three ways to determine
the cost of equity, rs:
1. CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b
= rRF + (RPM)b.
2. DCF: rs = D1/P0 + g.
3. Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-
Risk Premium: rs = rd + Bond RP.
Equity Cost Components
 Risk free = 5.6%
 Mrkt Risk Prem = 6%
 Beta = 1.2
 Div today = $3.12
 Price today = $50
 Growth = 5.8%
 Cost of Debt = 10%
 Risk prem = 3.2%
 3,000,000 shs outstanding
36
37
CAPM Cost of Equity: rRF = 5.6%,
RPM = 6%, b = 1.2
rs = rRF + (RPM )b
= 5.6% + (6.0%)1.2 = 12.8%.
38
Issues in Using CAPM
 Most analysts use the rate on a
long-term (10 to 20 years)
government bond as an estimate
of rRF.
 Can use Bloomberg.com to obtain
US Treasuries Quotes
(More…)
39
Issues in Using CAPM
(Continued)
 Most analysts use a rate of 3.5% to
6% for the market risk premium
(RPM)
 Estimates of beta vary, and
estimates are “noisy” (they have a
wide confidence interval).
40
DCF Cost of Equity, rs:
D0 = $3.12; P0 = $50; g = 5.8%
rs =
D1
P0
+ g =
D0(1 + g)
P0
+ g
= $3.12(1.058)
$50
+ 0.058
= 6.6% + 5.8%
= 12.4%
41
Estimating the Growth Rate
 Use historical growth rate if believe
future be like past.
 Obtain analysts’ estimates: Value Line,
Zacks, Yahoo!Finance.
 Use earnings retention model.
42
Earnings Retention Model
 Suppose company has been earning
15% on equity (ROE = 15%) and
been paying out 62% of its earnings.
 If expected to continue as is, what’s
the expected future g?
43
Earnings Retention Model
(Continued)
 Growth from earnings retention model:
g = (Retention rate)(ROE)
g = (1 – Payout rate)(ROE)
g = (1 – 0.62)(15%) = 5.7%.
Close to g = 5.8% given earlier.
44
Could DCF methodology be
applied if g is not constant?
 YES, nonconstant g stocks are
expected to have constant g at some
point, generally in 5 to 10 years.
45
The Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk-
Premium Method: rd = 10%, RP = 3.2%
 rs = rd + Judgmental risk premium
 rs = 10.0% + 3.2% = 13.2%
 This over-own-bond-judgmental-risk
premium  CAPM equity risk premium,
RPM.
 Produces ballpark estimate of rs.
Useful check.
46
Final estimate of rs?
Method Estimate
CAPM 12.8%
DCF 12.4%
Bond Yld + risk prem 13.2%
Average 12.8%
47
Determining Weights for WACC
 Wts are % of firm’s capital to be
financed by each component.
 If possible, always use the target wts
for % financed by each type of
capital.
48
Estimating Weights for the
Capital Structure
 If don’t know targets, better to estimate
wts using current market values than
current book values.
 If don’t know MV of debt, then
reasonable to use BV of debt, especially
if S/T debt.
(More…)
49
Estimating Weights
(Continued)
 Suppose the common stock price is $50
with 3 million shares outstanding; the
firm has 200,000 shs of preferred stock
trading at $125; and 60,000 bonds
outstanding trading at quoted price of
125% of par.
(More…)
50
Estimating Weights
(Continued)
 Vs = $50(3 million) = $150 million.
 Vps = $25 million.
 Vd = $75 million.
 Total value = $150 + $25 + $75
= $250 million.
51
Estimating Weights
(Continued)
 ws = $150/$250 = 0.6
 wps = $25/$250 = 0.1
 wd = $75/$250 = 0.3
 Target wts for this co. are same as these MV
wts, but often MV wts temporarily deviate
from targets due to changes in stock prices.
52
What’s the WACC using the
target weights?
WACC = wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wsrs
WACC = 0.3(10%)(1 − 0.4) + 0.1(9%)
+ 0.6(12.8%)
WACC = 10.38%
53
What factors influence a
company’s WACC?
 Uncontrollable factors:
 Market conditions, especially interest rates.
 The market risk premium.
 Tax rates.
 Controllable factors:
 Capital structure policy.
 Dividend policy.
 Investment policy. Firms with riskier projects
generally have higher financing costs.
54
Should firm-wide WACC be
used for each of its divisions?
 NO! Composite WACC reflects risk of
an average project undertaken by the
firm.
 Different divisions may have different
risks. Division’s WACC should be
adjusted to reflect division’s risk and
cap structure.
55
The Risk-Adjusted Divisional
Cost of Capital
 Estimate cost of capital division
would have if it were a stand-alone
firm.
 This requires estimating division’s
beta, cost of debt, and capital
structure.
56
Pure Play Method for Estimating
Beta for a Division or a Project
 Find several publicly traded companies
exclusively in project’s business.
 Use average of their betas as proxy for
project’s beta.
 Hard to find such companies.
57
Accounting Beta Method for
Estimating Beta
 Run regression between project’s
ROA and S&P Index ROA.
 Accounting betas correlated (0.5 –
0.6) with market betas.
 But normally can’t get data on new
projects’ ROAs before capital
budgeting decision made.
58
Divisional Cost of Capital
Using CAPM
 Target debt ratio = 10%.
 rd = 12%.
 rRF = 5.6%.
 Tax rate = 40%.
 betaDivision = 1.7.
 Market risk premium = 6%.
59
Divisional Cost of Capital
Using CAPM (Continued)
Division’s required return on equity:
rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)bDiv.
rs = 5.6% + (6%)1.7 = 15.8%.
WACCDiv. = wd rd(1 – T) + wsrs
= 0.1(12%)(0.6) + 0.9(15.8%)
= 14.94% ≈ 14.9%
60
Division’s WACC vs. Firm’s Overall
WACC?
 Division WACC = 14.9% versus
company WACC = 10.4%.
 “Typical” projects within this division
would be accepted if its returns above
14.9%.
61
What are the three types of
project risk?
 Stand-alone risk
 Corporate risk
 Market risk
62
How is each type of risk used?
 Stand-alone risk easiest to calculate.
 Market risk theoretically best in most
situations.
 However, creditors, customers,
suppliers, and employees are more
affected by corporate risk.
 Therefore, corporate risk is also
relevant.
A Project-Specific, Risk-Adjusted
Cost of Capital
 Start by calculating a divisional cost of
capital.
 Use judgment to scale up or down the
cost of capital for an individual project
relative to the divisional cost of capital.
63
Costs of Issuing New Common
Stock
 When a company issues new common
stock they also have to pay flotation
costs to the underwriter.
 Issuing new common stock may send a
negative signal to the capital markets,
which may depress stock price.
64
65
Cost of New Common Equity: P0 = $50,
D0 = $3.12, g = 5.8%, and F = 15%
re =
D0(1 + g)
P0(1 – F)
+ g
=
$3.12(1.058)
$50(1 – 0.15)
+ 5.8%
= $3.30
$42.50
+ 5.8% = 13.6%
66
Cost of New 30-Year Debt: Par = $1,000,
Coupon = 10% paid annually, and F = 2%
 Using a financial calculator:
 N = 30
 PV = 1,000(1 – 0.02) = 980
 PMT = -(0.10)(1,000)(1 – 0.4) = -60
 FV = -1,000
 Solving for I/YR: 6.15%
67
Comments about flotation
costs:
 Flot costs depend on risk of firm & type of
capital being raised.
 Flot costs highest for common equity.
However, most firms issue equity
infrequently, the per-project cost is fairly
small.
 We will frequently ignore flotation costs when
calculating the WACC.
68
Four Mistakes to Avoid
 Current vs. historical cost of debt
 Mixing current and historical measures
to estimate the market risk premium
 Book weights vs. Market Weights
 Incorrect cost of capital components
(More…)
69
Current vs. Historical Cost of
Debt
 When estimating the cost of debt, don’t
use the coupon rate on existing debt,
which represents the cost of past debt.
 Use the current interest rate on new
debt.
(More…)
70
Estimating the Market Risk
Premium
 When estimating the risk premium for the
CAPM approach, don’t subtract the current
long-term T-bond rate from the historical
average return on common stocks.
 For example, if the historical rM has been
about 12.2% and inflation drives the current
rRF up to 10%, the current market risk
premium is not 12.2% – 10% = 2.2%!
(More…)
71
Estimating Weights
 Use target cap structure to determine wts.
 If don’t know target wts, use MV of equity.
 If don’t know MV of debt, then use BV of
debt.
(More…)
72
Capital components are sources of
funding that come from investors.
 Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred
taxes are not sources of funding that come
from investors, so they are not included in
the calculation of the WACC.
 We do adjust for these items when
calculating project cash flows, but not when
calculating the WACC.

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Ch. 6ed Cost of Capital.ppt.ppt

  • 2. 2 Topics in Chapter  Cost of capital components  Debt  Preferred stock  Common equity  WACC  Factors that affect WACC  Adjusting cost of capital for risk
  • 3. COST OF CAPITAL Why?  Key to understanding cost of raising $  Risk  Financing costs  Discount Rate Business Application  Min Req’d return needed on Project  Reflects blended costs of raising capital  Relevant “i ”  Discount rate used to determine Project’s NPV or to disct FCFs by  Hurdle rate 3
  • 4. 4 What types of long-term capital do firms use?  Long-term debt  Preferred stock  Common equity
  • 5. 5 Capital Components  Cap. components are sources of funding that come from investors.  A/P, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, & not included in the calculation of the cost of capital.  These items are adjusted for when calculating project cash flows, not when calculating the cost of capital.
  • 6. 6 Before-tax vs. After-tax Capital Costs  Tax effects associated with financing can be incorporated either in capital budgeting cash flows or in cost of capital.  Most firms incorporate tax effects in the cost of capital. Therefore, focus on after-tax costs.  Only cost of debt is affected.
  • 7. 7 Historical (Embedded) Costs vs. New (Marginal) Costs  The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions which involve raising and investing new capital. So, focus on marginal (incremental) costs.
  • 8. COST of CAPITAL Raising $ & its Costs Debt  Cost of Borrowing  Interest Rate Equity  Internal  RE  External  Common Stock  Prfd Stock 8
  • 9. Cost of Capital Raising $ & its Costs  Debt & Equity  Cost Return  Int. pd. Int. recd.  Divids pd. Divids Recd 9
  • 10. EQUITIES Why?  Key to understanding valuations  What is investment worth today?  Value of:  Enterprise  Entity  Company/Firm Business Application  For Investor:  Determine value of asset/business/company  For Firm:  Determine cost of attracting investors & raising equity capital  Selling ownership stake to raise $ 10
  • 11. Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)  WACC: Blended cost or raising capital considering mix of debt & equity  WACC = (Wt of Debt)(After-tax cost of Debt) + Wt of Eqty)(Cost of Eqty) + (Wt of Prfd)(Cost of Prfd) 11
  • 12.  To put it simply, the weighted average cost of capital formula helps management evaluate whether the company should finance the purchase of new assets with debt or equity by comparing the cost of both options. Financing new purchases with debt or equity can make a big impact on the profitability of a company and the overall stock price. 12
  • 13.  Management must use the equation to balance the stock price, investors’ return expectations, and the total cost of purchasing the assets. Executives and the board of directors use weighted average to judge whether a merger is appropriate or not.  Investors and creditors, on the other hand, use WACC to evaluate whether the company is worth investing in or loaning money to. 13
  • 14.  Since the WACC represents the average cost of borrowing money across all financing structures, higher weighted average percentages mean the company’s overall cost of financing is greater and the company will have less free cash to distribute to its shareholders or pay off additional debt. As the weighted average cost of capital increases, the company is less likely to create value and investors and creditors tend to look for other opportunities. 14
  • 15. Cost of Equity  Know: = P0 = D1/ (rs –g)  So then: rs = D1/P0 + g 15
  • 16. Cost of Equity  Cost of External Equity: Function of Dvids, growth, & net proceeds after adjusting for flotation costs  Cost of Internal Equity: Function of opp. Costs of divids not pd out but retained in firm to grow internally (no flot. req’d) 16
  • 17. Cost of Preferred Stock  r = D1/P0 + g  g= 0, so cost of prfd = function of divids pd. & flot cost to issue 17
  • 18.  Assume newly formed Corporation ABC needs to raise $1 million in capital so it can buy office buildings and the equipment needed to conduct its business. The company issues and sells 6,000 shares of stock at $100 each to raise the first $600,000. Because shareholders expect a return of 6% on their investment, the cost of equity is 6%. 18
  • 19.  Assume newly formed Corporation ABC needs to raise $1 million in capital so it can buy office buildings and the equipment needed to conduct its business. The company issues and sells 6,000 shares of stock at $100 each to raise the first $600,000. Because shareholders expect a return of 6% on their investment, the cost of equity is 6%. 19
  • 20.  Corporation ABC then sells 400 bonds for $1,000 each to raise the other $400,000 in capital. The people who bought those bonds expect a 5% return, so ABC's cost of debt is 5%. 20
  • 21.  Corporation ABC's total market value is now ($600,000 equity + $400,000 debt) = $1 million and its corporate tax rate is 35%. Now we have all the ingredients to calculate Corporation ABC's weighted average cost of capital (WACC). WACC = (($600,000/$1,000,000) x .06) + [(($400,000/$1,000,000) x .05) * (1-0.35))] = 0.049 = 4.9% 21
  • 22. 22 Determining Cost of Debt  Method 1: Ask an investment banker what coupon rate would be on new debt.  Method 2: Find bond rating for the company and use yield on similarly rated bonds.  Method 3: Find yield on the company’s existing debt.
  • 23. 23 Current vs. Historical Cost of Debt  For cost of debt, don’t use coupon rate on existing debt, which represents cost of past debt.  Use the current interest rate on new debt (think YTM). (More…)
  • 24. 24 A 15-year, 13.25% semiannual bond sells for $1,250. Tax = 40%. 60,000 Bonds o/s. What’s rd? -66.25 <66.25 + 1,000> -66.25 0 1 2 30 rd = ? 1,250.00 ... 30 1250 -66.25 -1000 5.0% x 2 = rd = 10% N I/YR PV FV PMT INPUTS OUTPUT
  • 25. 25 Component Cost of Debt  Interest is tax deductible, so the after tax (AT) cost of debt is: rd AT = rd BT(1 – T) rd AT = 10%(1 – 0.40) = 6%.  Use nominal rate.  Flotation costs small, so ignore.
  • 26. 26 Cost of preferred stock: Pps = $125; 10.26% Div; Par = $100; F = 8.8% Use : rps = Dps Pps (1 – F) = .0126($100) $125.00(1 – 0.088) = $10.26 $114. = 0.090 = 9.0%
  • 27. 27 Time Line of Preferred 10.26 10.26 10.26 0 1 2 ∞ rps = ? -114. ... $114.00 = DQ rPer = $10.26 rPer rPer = $10.26 $114.00 = 9%
  • 28. 28 Note:  Flotation costs for preferred are significant, so are reflected. Use net price.  Preferred dividends are not deductible, so no tax adjustment. Just rps.  Nominal rps is used.
  • 29. 29 Is preferred stock more or less risky to investors than debt?  More risky; company not required to pay preferred dividend.  However, firms want to pay preferred dividend. Otherwise, (1) cannot pay common dividend, (2) difficult to raise additional funds, and (3) preferred stockholders may gain control of firm.
  • 30. 30 Why is yield on preferred lower than rd?  Corporations own most preferred stock, because 70% of prfd divids nontaxable to corps.  T/4, prfd often has a lower B-T yield than the B-T yield on debt.  The A-T yield to investors and A-T cost to the issuer are higher on prfd than on debt, which is consistent w/ higher risk of prfd.
  • 31. 31 Example: rps = 9%, rd = 10%, T = 40% rps, AT = rps – rps(1 – 0.7)(T) = 9% – 9%(0.3)(0.4) = 7.92% rd, AT = 10% – 10%(0.4) = 6.00% A-T Risk Premium on Preferred = 1.92%
  • 32. 32 What are the two ways that companies can raise common equity?  Directly, by issuing new shares of common stock.  Indirectly, by reinvesting earnings that are not paid out as dividends (i.e., retaining earnings).
  • 33. 33 Why is there a cost for reinvested earnings?  Earnings can be reinvested or paid out as dividends.  Investors could buy other securities, earning a return.  Thus, there is an opportunity cost if earnings are reinvested.
  • 34. 34 Cost for Reinvested Earnings (Continued)  Opportunity cost: The return stockholders could earn on alternative investments of equal risk.  They could buy similar stocks and earn rs, or company could repurchase its own stock and earn rs. So, rs, is cost of reinvested earnings and is cost of common equity.
  • 35. 35 Three ways to determine the cost of equity, rs: 1. CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b = rRF + (RPM)b. 2. DCF: rs = D1/P0 + g. 3. Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental- Risk Premium: rs = rd + Bond RP.
  • 36. Equity Cost Components  Risk free = 5.6%  Mrkt Risk Prem = 6%  Beta = 1.2  Div today = $3.12  Price today = $50  Growth = 5.8%  Cost of Debt = 10%  Risk prem = 3.2%  3,000,000 shs outstanding 36
  • 37. 37 CAPM Cost of Equity: rRF = 5.6%, RPM = 6%, b = 1.2 rs = rRF + (RPM )b = 5.6% + (6.0%)1.2 = 12.8%.
  • 38. 38 Issues in Using CAPM  Most analysts use the rate on a long-term (10 to 20 years) government bond as an estimate of rRF.  Can use Bloomberg.com to obtain US Treasuries Quotes (More…)
  • 39. 39 Issues in Using CAPM (Continued)  Most analysts use a rate of 3.5% to 6% for the market risk premium (RPM)  Estimates of beta vary, and estimates are “noisy” (they have a wide confidence interval).
  • 40. 40 DCF Cost of Equity, rs: D0 = $3.12; P0 = $50; g = 5.8% rs = D1 P0 + g = D0(1 + g) P0 + g = $3.12(1.058) $50 + 0.058 = 6.6% + 5.8% = 12.4%
  • 41. 41 Estimating the Growth Rate  Use historical growth rate if believe future be like past.  Obtain analysts’ estimates: Value Line, Zacks, Yahoo!Finance.  Use earnings retention model.
  • 42. 42 Earnings Retention Model  Suppose company has been earning 15% on equity (ROE = 15%) and been paying out 62% of its earnings.  If expected to continue as is, what’s the expected future g?
  • 43. 43 Earnings Retention Model (Continued)  Growth from earnings retention model: g = (Retention rate)(ROE) g = (1 – Payout rate)(ROE) g = (1 – 0.62)(15%) = 5.7%. Close to g = 5.8% given earlier.
  • 44. 44 Could DCF methodology be applied if g is not constant?  YES, nonconstant g stocks are expected to have constant g at some point, generally in 5 to 10 years.
  • 45. 45 The Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk- Premium Method: rd = 10%, RP = 3.2%  rs = rd + Judgmental risk premium  rs = 10.0% + 3.2% = 13.2%  This over-own-bond-judgmental-risk premium  CAPM equity risk premium, RPM.  Produces ballpark estimate of rs. Useful check.
  • 46. 46 Final estimate of rs? Method Estimate CAPM 12.8% DCF 12.4% Bond Yld + risk prem 13.2% Average 12.8%
  • 47. 47 Determining Weights for WACC  Wts are % of firm’s capital to be financed by each component.  If possible, always use the target wts for % financed by each type of capital.
  • 48. 48 Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure  If don’t know targets, better to estimate wts using current market values than current book values.  If don’t know MV of debt, then reasonable to use BV of debt, especially if S/T debt. (More…)
  • 49. 49 Estimating Weights (Continued)  Suppose the common stock price is $50 with 3 million shares outstanding; the firm has 200,000 shs of preferred stock trading at $125; and 60,000 bonds outstanding trading at quoted price of 125% of par. (More…)
  • 50. 50 Estimating Weights (Continued)  Vs = $50(3 million) = $150 million.  Vps = $25 million.  Vd = $75 million.  Total value = $150 + $25 + $75 = $250 million.
  • 51. 51 Estimating Weights (Continued)  ws = $150/$250 = 0.6  wps = $25/$250 = 0.1  wd = $75/$250 = 0.3  Target wts for this co. are same as these MV wts, but often MV wts temporarily deviate from targets due to changes in stock prices.
  • 52. 52 What’s the WACC using the target weights? WACC = wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wsrs WACC = 0.3(10%)(1 − 0.4) + 0.1(9%) + 0.6(12.8%) WACC = 10.38%
  • 53. 53 What factors influence a company’s WACC?  Uncontrollable factors:  Market conditions, especially interest rates.  The market risk premium.  Tax rates.  Controllable factors:  Capital structure policy.  Dividend policy.  Investment policy. Firms with riskier projects generally have higher financing costs.
  • 54. 54 Should firm-wide WACC be used for each of its divisions?  NO! Composite WACC reflects risk of an average project undertaken by the firm.  Different divisions may have different risks. Division’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect division’s risk and cap structure.
  • 55. 55 The Risk-Adjusted Divisional Cost of Capital  Estimate cost of capital division would have if it were a stand-alone firm.  This requires estimating division’s beta, cost of debt, and capital structure.
  • 56. 56 Pure Play Method for Estimating Beta for a Division or a Project  Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in project’s business.  Use average of their betas as proxy for project’s beta.  Hard to find such companies.
  • 57. 57 Accounting Beta Method for Estimating Beta  Run regression between project’s ROA and S&P Index ROA.  Accounting betas correlated (0.5 – 0.6) with market betas.  But normally can’t get data on new projects’ ROAs before capital budgeting decision made.
  • 58. 58 Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM  Target debt ratio = 10%.  rd = 12%.  rRF = 5.6%.  Tax rate = 40%.  betaDivision = 1.7.  Market risk premium = 6%.
  • 59. 59 Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM (Continued) Division’s required return on equity: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)bDiv. rs = 5.6% + (6%)1.7 = 15.8%. WACCDiv. = wd rd(1 – T) + wsrs = 0.1(12%)(0.6) + 0.9(15.8%) = 14.94% ≈ 14.9%
  • 60. 60 Division’s WACC vs. Firm’s Overall WACC?  Division WACC = 14.9% versus company WACC = 10.4%.  “Typical” projects within this division would be accepted if its returns above 14.9%.
  • 61. 61 What are the three types of project risk?  Stand-alone risk  Corporate risk  Market risk
  • 62. 62 How is each type of risk used?  Stand-alone risk easiest to calculate.  Market risk theoretically best in most situations.  However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are more affected by corporate risk.  Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant.
  • 63. A Project-Specific, Risk-Adjusted Cost of Capital  Start by calculating a divisional cost of capital.  Use judgment to scale up or down the cost of capital for an individual project relative to the divisional cost of capital. 63
  • 64. Costs of Issuing New Common Stock  When a company issues new common stock they also have to pay flotation costs to the underwriter.  Issuing new common stock may send a negative signal to the capital markets, which may depress stock price. 64
  • 65. 65 Cost of New Common Equity: P0 = $50, D0 = $3.12, g = 5.8%, and F = 15% re = D0(1 + g) P0(1 – F) + g = $3.12(1.058) $50(1 – 0.15) + 5.8% = $3.30 $42.50 + 5.8% = 13.6%
  • 66. 66 Cost of New 30-Year Debt: Par = $1,000, Coupon = 10% paid annually, and F = 2%  Using a financial calculator:  N = 30  PV = 1,000(1 – 0.02) = 980  PMT = -(0.10)(1,000)(1 – 0.4) = -60  FV = -1,000  Solving for I/YR: 6.15%
  • 67. 67 Comments about flotation costs:  Flot costs depend on risk of firm & type of capital being raised.  Flot costs highest for common equity. However, most firms issue equity infrequently, the per-project cost is fairly small.  We will frequently ignore flotation costs when calculating the WACC.
  • 68. 68 Four Mistakes to Avoid  Current vs. historical cost of debt  Mixing current and historical measures to estimate the market risk premium  Book weights vs. Market Weights  Incorrect cost of capital components (More…)
  • 69. 69 Current vs. Historical Cost of Debt  When estimating the cost of debt, don’t use the coupon rate on existing debt, which represents the cost of past debt.  Use the current interest rate on new debt. (More…)
  • 70. 70 Estimating the Market Risk Premium  When estimating the risk premium for the CAPM approach, don’t subtract the current long-term T-bond rate from the historical average return on common stocks.  For example, if the historical rM has been about 12.2% and inflation drives the current rRF up to 10%, the current market risk premium is not 12.2% – 10% = 2.2%! (More…)
  • 71. 71 Estimating Weights  Use target cap structure to determine wts.  If don’t know target wts, use MV of equity.  If don’t know MV of debt, then use BV of debt. (More…)
  • 72. 72 Capital components are sources of funding that come from investors.  Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in the calculation of the WACC.  We do adjust for these items when calculating project cash flows, but not when calculating the WACC.