SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 35
•
•
•
Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds
November 2018
JCB is an active manager of High Grade Bonds. We
are active duration management specialists with
security selection expertise.
Who
we are
To deliver true-to-label defence and superior risk-
adjusted returns for investors.
Our aim
Netwealth Webinar
Paul W. Chin, SF Fin
Director, Head of Investment Strategy & Research
Jamieson Coote Bonds
6
Agenda
The market environment: Late-cycle dynamics
Assets in portfolios: The dangers of being unbalanced
High Grade Bonds: Can they defend & protect given rate levels?
Portfolio construction: Considerations in a late cycle environment
7
This presentation has been prepared by the Investment Manager, Jamieson Coote Bonds Pty Ltd ACN 165 890 282 AFSL 459018 (‘JCB’) and its distribution
partner, Channel Capital Pty Ltd ACN 162 591 568 (‘Channel’). Channel Investment Management Limited ACN 163 234 240 AFSL 439007 (‘CIML’) is the issuer
of units in the CC JCB Active Bond Fund ARSN 610 435 302 (‘the Fund’). This presentation is supplied on the following conditions which are expressly accepted
and agreed to by each interested party (‘Recipient’).
The information in this presentation is not financial product advice and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs
of any particular person. The presentation may contain forecasts and projections. Readers are cautioned to not place undue reliance on these forecasts and
projections. While due care has been used in the preparation of this presentation, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner.
The information is not intended for any general distribution or publication and must be retained in a confidential manner. Information contained herein consists of
confidential proprietary information constituting the sole property of JCB and respecting JCB and its investment activities; its use is restricted accordingly. All
such information should be maintained in a strictly confidential manner.
This presentation does not purport to contain all of the information that may be required to evaluate JCB or the Fund and the Recipient should conduct their own
independent review, investigations and analysis of JCB and the Fund and of the information contained or referred to in this presentation.
Neither JCB, Channel, CIML or their representatives and respective employees or officers (collectively, ‘the Beneficiaries’) make any representation or warranty,
express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this presentation or subsequently provided to the Recipient or
its advisers by any of the Beneficiaries, including, without limitation, any historical financial information, the estimates and projections and any other financial
information derived there from, and nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or
the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The information in this presentation has not been the subject of complete due
diligence nor has all such information been the subject of proper verification by the Beneficiaries.
Except insofar as liability under any law cannot be excluded, the Beneficiaries shall have no responsibility arising in respect of the information contained in this
presentation or subsequently provided by them or in any other way for errors or omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence).
An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this document, and seek professional advice,
having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. For further information and before investing, please read the offer document which is
available upon request.
Disclaimer
1. Market environment:
Late-cycle dynamics
9
Global debt pileup – hits over US$237 trillion
Global debt is becoming a bigger worry as the global policy tightening cycle takes hold.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
TotaldebtlevelsUS$trillion
Non-f inancial
corporates
Gov ernment
Financial
corporates
Households
Source: Institute of International Finance, as at Dec 2017.
Lehman Brothers collapse
10
We are in a deep late-cycle stage:
investors are taking enormous risk for limited upside
Increasing (Hidden or Silent) Risk
◼ Risk additions to portfolios
− Are they correctly priced for risk?
◼ Real estate
− Rise in non-core real estate
◼ Credit
− Covenant Lite Loans
− Complex credit/FI portfolios
◼ Illiquid assets
− Rising exposure to illiquids
− Excessive capital chasing returns
◼ Hidden leverage
− Rising leverage in some investments
◼ Complexity
− Diversification good/complexity?
− But larger complex portfolios
“Covenant-lite” share of outstandings,
U.S. leveraged loans.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Covenant-liteshareofoutstandingloans
CAGR since 2010: 52%
Covenant-lite share of outstandings,
U.S. leveraged loans
Source: Emerging Policy (LCD – an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence).
11
Credit spreads fully valued?
Spread cushion vastly diminished after credit rally
Source: JCB team analysis based on data from Bloomberg.
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
USCorpBBB/Baa-Treasury10YearSpread(%)
US BBB rated ‘’investment grade’’ spreads vs
US Treasury Bonds
12
Returns
Risks Diversification
◼ Temper return expectations
◼ Use growth assets for returns
◼ Use defensive assets for
protection
◼ Focus on risk allocations
◼ Consider left tail risk outcomes
◼ Diversify against thematic
unintended risks
Portfolio construction:
What should you be concerned about?
2. The dangers of being
unbalanced
14
Observation: Australian portfolios tend to be tilted too heavily
to the same risk stack
Portfolio consequences:
High unintended bank risk
and Low allocations to
“High Grade” defence
Term Deposits
Hybrids
Credit
Negatively Geared
Property
Banking shares (e.g.
Big Four)
Government
State Governments
Supra Nationals
A well-diversified portfolio?
A different risk stack which derives its
return from different drivers
Source: JCB team analysis, based on analysis of ATO and FSC estimates and Investment Trends reports.
15
SMSF’s relative concentration can lead to wider outcomes
Source: JCB team analysis, based on data sourced from Bloomberg, the FSC and Investment Trends.
Asset Allocations for SMSFs have been sourced from the FSC and mapped to relevant asset class benchmarks. Aus securities selected (the most prominent portfolio component)
were done as part of a monte carlo simulation involving 2000 samples. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
Distribution of possible Returns for a typical SMSF portfolio (simulations: 2000)
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5th - 95th percentile
Balanced
Growth
MedianReturn%-cumulative(base=Dec2003)
16
Source: JCB team analysis, based on data sourced from Bloomberg, the FSC and Investment Trends.
Asset Allocations for SMSFs have been sourced from the FSC and mapped to relevant asset class benchmarks. Aus securities selected (the most prominent portfolio component)
were done as part of a monte carlo simulation involving 2000 samples. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
In times of stress, SMSFs typically show higher fluctuations
Spread of Risk for a typical SMSF Portfolio (simulations: 2000)
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Balanced
Growth
Median
5th - 95th percentile
Risk%-rolling24months
17
Hybrids (and low grade credit) can tend to become equity-like
in stressful markets
Source: Macquarie Research.
Notes: Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
3. High Grade Bonds:
Can they defend & protect
given current interest rate
levels?
19
How do bond prices react to interest rate changes?
Interest
Rates
Bond
Prices
Interest
Rates
Bond
Prices
Rate
Rise
Rate
Fall
20
Global rates have fallen to record lows…
Reversing the secular bull market
The path of 10yr yields (rates) for Australia, US and UK
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, March 2017, based on the original methodology from August 2016. Simulated total returns, assuming interest rates reverse their 30y
historical evolution. http://rsch.baml.com/r?q=Rw1BoyM3mPc220bQZXKc7g&e=phear.sam%40baml.com&h=0hXxRg&ps=true&pv=validated BofA Merrill Lynch indices total return
series for Treasuries (G0Q0), Gilts (G0L0) and ACGBs (G0T0). ACGB Index (G0T0) includes all government bonds excluding linkers. For illustrative purposes only.
21
A rise in rates (mirroring the secular decline) is positive…
Periods Annual returns %
2017-2020 4.47
2021-2025 2.85
2026-2030 9.04
2031-2035 8.43
2036-2040 7.65
2041-2045 9.28
Average annualised returns for future
periods:
Albert Einstein called compound interest the “Eighth Wonder of the World’’.
“He who understands it earns it, he who doesn’t pays it’’
Projected performance of holding 10yr bonds for extended periods: Australia
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, March 2017, based on the original methodology from August 2016. Simulated total returns, assuming interest rates reverse their 30y historical evolution.
http://rsch.baml.com/r?q=Rw1BoyM3mPc220bQZXKc7g&e=phear.sam%40baml.com&h=0hXxRg&ps=true&pv=validated BofA Merrill Lynch indices total return series for Treasuries (G0Q0),
Gilts (G0L0) and ACGBs (G0T0). ACGB Index (G0T0) includes all government bonds excluding linkers. For illustrative purposes only.
Australian High Grade Bonds are considered to be
self-rebalancing & long-term beneficial
22
-5.7%
18.8%
11.9%
12.5%
-1.7%
12.5%
4.5%
9.2% 6.8%
5.5%
2.4%
19.1%
-2.3%
5.2%
13.4%
5.5%
0.3%
10.3%
2.3%
2.5%
3.5%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
1994
1995
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2004
2005
2006
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CalendarYrIndexReturn%
RBA +275bps
in 1994
RBA +150bps
in 1999 period
US FOMC
+425bps
RBA +75bps
in 2009
14.3%
p.a. 8.7%
p.a.
9.2%
p.a.
Source: JCB team analysis based on data sourced from Bloomberg – index refers to Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond 0+yr index.
Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
23
Index: Bloomberg AusBond Treasury (0+ Yr) Index
Actively navigating the interest rate cycle:
Modified duration (vs index) – JCB Active Fund (Wholesale)
Note: the above information is for the JCB Active Fund, a wholesale fund launched on 31 December 2014 and offered under an Information Memorandum dated 11 January 2016
(not the CC JCB Active Bond Fund which launched on 1 August 2016) to illustrate the results achieved. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
5.3
3.8
3.5
2.9
4.4
5.1
3.3
4.0
4.2
3.2
5.5
4.2
4.7
5.0
4.9
5.2
6.4
3.9
4.6
5.2
5.8
6.1
4.6
4.8
3.7
4.4
4.0
5.3
4.5
5.9
5.4
4.7
5.7
4.2
4.8
5.4
5.65.65.65.5
6.2
6.4
5.4
4.7
4.9
6.1
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Modifiedduration(years)
Index
JCB average
High Grade Bonds have defended in down markets
24
The key reason why portfolios need genuine defensive holdings.
Indices Selected fundsIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected funds
-14.7%
8.8%
10.0%
9.6% 9.4%
-38.4%
11.2%
19.1%
14.9%
10.6%
-33.3%
-10.5%
10.1%
13.4%
11.4% 11.3%
2.0%
5.9%
-13.7%
1.8%
4.2%
3.0%
4.8%
2.2%
-3.7%
2.6%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
return%
May 15-Feb 16:
Greece & China concerns
2011 US downgrade2008 Global Financial CrisisMar 02-Feb 03: dot.com
Indices Selected fundsSelected fundsIndicesIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected funds
Source: JCB team analysis and Morningstar Direct. Morningstar reports on an after-fees basis. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
25
High Grade Bonds have protected in down equity markets
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
CalendarYearReturns%
Aus Shares
Intl Shares
Aus High Grade
Source: JCB team analysis based on data sourced from Bloomberg – High Grade Bonds refers to Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond 0+yr index. Aus Shares is the S&P/ASX 300
Index TR and Intl Shares is the MSCI World ex-Australia TR in A$. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
26
JCB 2018 Scenario Analysis for high grade bonds
Updated to February 2018
Source: JCB team analysis. Index relates to the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury (0+yr) Index Data sourced from Bloomberg, Yield Broker rate sheet dated 5 Feb 2018.
RBAcash
3yr yield
10yr yield
30yr yield
Expected 2018
Index Return
1. Continued
risk-on
2. Markets are
steady
3. A mild risk-off
4. Extreme risk-
off
Markets:
running hot
Goldilocks:
Cycle top
approaching
End of the
cycle
1.50
2.52
3.22
3.87
1.1%
1.50
2.18
2.80
3.50
3.4%
1.50
1.86
2.40
3.05
5.7%
1.50
1.53
1.99
2.64
8.0%
RBAno change in 2018 – remains at 1.50%
1.5 Std Dev
cheap
1.0 Std Dev
cheap
0.5 Std Dev
cheap
Fair
Value/Mean
Relative
Valuation=
1. More hikes
expected
2. RBA neutral
Fed hikes
3. Steady RBA /
Fed neutral
4. The next
move: a rate cut
Markets:
running hot
Goldilocks:
Cycle top
approaching
End of the
cycle
2.00
2.68
3.30
3.95
0.4%
2.00
2.36
2.89
3.59
2.7%
2.00
2.03
2.49
3.14
5.0%
2.00
1.63
2.15
2.80
7.1%
RBA HIKEStwice in H1 2018 to 2.00%
1.0 Std Dev
cheap
0.5 Std Dev
cheap
Fair
Value/Mean
Ave spreadto cash
of last 3 cycles
ScenarioA: ScenarioB:
27
Australians are underweight in bonds
Global Pension Aggregate Bond Allocations (at 2017)
21%
35% 34%
50%
56%
31%
27%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
US
UK
Switzerland
Netherlands
Japan
Canada
P7
Australia
%bondallocationineachmarket
Source: Global pension aggregate bond allocations from Willis Towers Watson 2017 Global Pension Report. P7 = US, UK, Switzerland, Netherlands, Japan, Canada and Australia.
The depicted allocation is an example balanced portfolio and is for illustrative purposes only and shows how high grade bonds could fit within a balanced portfolio.
4. Wrapping up: Considerations
for a late-cycle environment
29
Being well balanced in portfolios
Economy &
Markets
High Grade
Bonds
Portfolio
Construction
Manager
selection
Beware of complacency
during this late-cycle
phase: conditions are
evolving.
Focus on robust
portfolio construction –
be clear on what assets
are growth vs defensive.
High Grade Bonds can
play a strong role in
defending your portfolio
over different conditions:
few other assets can
consistently do this.
Understand what you
are investing in:
transparency, liquidity
30
Jamieson Coote Bonds at a glance – 30 September 2018
$1.1bn 2014
◼ Founded in 2014
◼ Offices in Melbourne &
Singapore
◼ Specialise solely on managing
high grade bonds
◼ Assets under
management
◼ Retail, HNWI and Institutional
clients
◼ Number of years of combined
investment experience of the
JCB team
◼ Deep offshore experience
520
◼ 20 specialist staff looking
after distribution, client
service & operations via
Channel Capital
◼ <80% of market beta#
◼ Outperformed down bond
market months: >95%#
◼ 1.1% p.a. gross alpha#
◼ High quality Advisory board
members:
− Mark Burgess (ex CEO
Future Fund), Saul Eslake
(noted career economist),
John Kean, Lynda O’Grady,
Neil Tritton
~75-80%
of index
vol
101
* Includes CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR:CHN0005AU), JCB Active Fund (Wholesale) and Institutional mandates.
# Source: JCB performance data and analysis for JCB Active Fund (Wholesale) which launched on 31 December 2014. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
31
Aspect CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR CHN0005AU) and JCB Active Bond Master Strategy
Benchmark ◼ Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Year Index
Objective ◼ To outperform the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Year Index over rolling 3 year periods
Instruments ◼ Australian Commonwealth Government Bonds, e.g. CGS
◼ Semi-Government Bonds, e.g. Treasury Corp Victoria (TCV)
◼ Supranational Bonds, e.g. World Bank, Inter American Development Bank – indicative standard
◼ Interest Rate Futures – for hedging purposes, e.g. 3, 10, 20yr bond futures
◼ Cash: JCB prefers to remain invested in bonds over cash due to the credit risk in holding cash >A$250,000
Typical # of holdings ◼ ~15-25 securities of various maturities
Constraints Individual security holdings:
- Will not usually exceed 20%
- Must have AAA (or AA minimum rating) from either Moodys or Standard and Poor’s
- Must be issued in AUD
- Must be explicitly backed by a Government or Public Finance Agency
Duration target ◼ Maintain index position with duration movement ±3 years
Portfolio management ◼ JCB’s Investments Team use both domestic and global macro-economic factors to adjust duration and risk exposures to generate
excess return and maximise outcomes for our clients.
◼ Futures positions and curve trades will be used to adjust duration (using technical analysis)
◼ Supply dynamics and global curves play a significant role in determining portfolio duration exposures and have a material impact
on the shape of the AUD term structure
Portfolio management – investment strategy
A conservative approach to managing money
CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR:CHN0005AU)
32
Portfolio snapshot – as at 30 September
Credit Rating Allocation Sector Allocation (duration weighted)
Fund overview
Fundamental
Analysis
Technical
Analysis
Risk
Management
JCB
Investment Strategy
Source: JCB Investment Team and Channel Capital, as at September 2018. The benchmark is the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond Index 0+yrs. Past performance is not an
indicator of future performance.
Characteristic Fund Benchmark
Modified Duration (years) 5.35 6.12
Yield to maturity (%) 2.67 2.42
Weighted average credit rating AAA AAA
Mezzanine Debt
High Yield /
Junk Debt
Bank Loans
High Grade
Corporate Debt
Mortgage Backed
Securities: RMBS
Supra Nationals e.g.
World Bank
State Government
Bonds: Semis
Australian Commonwealth
Government: ACGB
Default
Risk
Level of
Liquidity
33
As at September 2018. Average of Retail TD investment rates over a 6 month period (TDs) – source, RBA at September 2018. Returns are before fees. Performance shown here relates to JCB Active Fund, a
wholesale fund launched on 31 December 2014. Monthly NAV data is from the fund administrator and analysed by the JCB team. Performance is gross of fees and assumes reinvestment of distributions (i.e. total
return). From 31/12/2014 (inception) to 31/12/2015, the benchmark applied is the Bloomberg Australia Sovereign Bond Index. From 31/12/2015 to present, the index used is the Bloomberg Ausbond Treasury 0+yr
index. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. The index used is the Bloomberg Ausbond Treasury 0+yr index.
Comparing JCB Active Bond Master strategy vs Term Deposits
Term Deposits vs JCB active bond master strategy (gross)
(Index + Excess Return)
The defensive hierarchy
◼ Daily liquidity vs potentially long lock-up
◼ Superior credit quality over $250k
◼ JCB has an average AAA credit quality rating across
the portfolio (no corporate or credit exposure).
◼ JCB distributes income semi-annually with a
targeted distribution of 2% p.a.
2.58% 2.51%
3.49%
2.26%
2.89%
2.37%
0.47%
1.19%
0.03%
1.08%
2.49%
2.16%
2.01%
1.50%
2.18%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD Sep Since Inception
p.a.
TermDeposits
IndexExcessReturn
4.94%
2.99%
3.97%
Total JCB Fund Return
4.68%
2.29%
Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds
Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds

More Related Content

What's hot

01.2 credit risk factors and measures
01.2   credit risk factors and measures01.2   credit risk factors and measures
01.2 credit risk factors and measurescrmbasel
 
El rady-intro-summary
El rady-intro-summaryEl rady-intro-summary
El rady-intro-summaryBMLP
 
Credit Risk Management Primer
Credit Risk Management PrimerCredit Risk Management Primer
Credit Risk Management Primerav vedpuriswar
 
Credit Risk Modelling Primer
Credit Risk Modelling PrimerCredit Risk Modelling Primer
Credit Risk Modelling Primerav vedpuriswar
 
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTER
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTERJPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTER
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTERBernard Lambeau
 
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...Raffa Learning Community
 
Liability management in Banks focus on Deposits
Liability management in Banks focus on DepositsLiability management in Banks focus on Deposits
Liability management in Banks focus on DepositsD V Srinivas Rao
 
Sean G McCormick - Portfolio
Sean G McCormick - PortfolioSean G McCormick - Portfolio
Sean G McCormick - PortfolioSean McCormick
 
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate World
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate WorldAsset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate World
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate WorldWindham Labs
 
Income Matching Using Individual Bonds
Income Matching Using Individual BondsIncome Matching Using Individual Bonds
Income Matching Using Individual BondsBrent Burns
 
An Introduction to Capital Requirements
An Introduction to Capital RequirementsAn Introduction to Capital Requirements
An Introduction to Capital RequirementsMadhur Malik
 

What's hot (20)

01.2 credit risk factors and measures
01.2   credit risk factors and measures01.2   credit risk factors and measures
01.2 credit risk factors and measures
 
El rady-intro-summary
El rady-intro-summaryEl rady-intro-summary
El rady-intro-summary
 
Credit Risk Management Primer
Credit Risk Management PrimerCredit Risk Management Primer
Credit Risk Management Primer
 
Credit Risk Modelling Primer
Credit Risk Modelling PrimerCredit Risk Modelling Primer
Credit Risk Modelling Primer
 
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTER
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTERJPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTER
JPM Global Dividend A (acc) - EUR[LU_EN][2_5_2016]_AFTER
 
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...
2017-02-23 Are Bonds Safe? What Your Board Needs to Know about Interest Rate ...
 
Ch08
Ch08Ch08
Ch08
 
Liability management in Banks focus on Deposits
Liability management in Banks focus on DepositsLiability management in Banks focus on Deposits
Liability management in Banks focus on Deposits
 
Sean G McCormick - Portfolio
Sean G McCormick - PortfolioSean G McCormick - Portfolio
Sean G McCormick - Portfolio
 
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate World
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate WorldAsset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate World
Asset Allocation in a Low Interest Rate World
 
Chapter (7)
Chapter (7)Chapter (7)
Chapter (7)
 
Credit risk
Credit riskCredit risk
Credit risk
 
Income Matching Using Individual Bonds
Income Matching Using Individual BondsIncome Matching Using Individual Bonds
Income Matching Using Individual Bonds
 
Credit risk models
Credit risk modelsCredit risk models
Credit risk models
 
London Whale Presentation
London Whale PresentationLondon Whale Presentation
London Whale Presentation
 
SII effects on asset management1.1
SII effects on asset management1.1SII effects on asset management1.1
SII effects on asset management1.1
 
An Introduction to Capital Requirements
An Introduction to Capital RequirementsAn Introduction to Capital Requirements
An Introduction to Capital Requirements
 
Credit risk (3)
Credit risk (3)Credit risk (3)
Credit risk (3)
 
Presentation on credit risk
Presentation on credit risk Presentation on credit risk
Presentation on credit risk
 
Capital adequcy
Capital adequcyCapital adequcy
Capital adequcy
 

Similar to Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds

INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slides
INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slidesINCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slides
INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slidesNik Zaki Abdullah
 
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake Capital
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake CapitalCDO market primer by Kensington Blake Capital
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake CapitalBrian Zwerner
 
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch Presentation
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch PresentationTag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch Presentation
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch PresentationMelanie Brandt
 
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...A. Tyler Purviance, CFA, CAIA
 
Investment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsInvestment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsCPBIOntario
 
Investment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsInvestment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsCPBIOntario
 
10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment managementtessat97
 
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...NN Investment Partners
 
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...NN Investment Partners
 
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...NN Investment Partners
 
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...NN Investment Partners
 
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...NN Investment Partners
 
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...NN Investment Partners
 
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns123jumpad
 
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptx
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptxStrategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptx
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptxNicola Wealth
 
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?Adrian Jones
 
Country risk analysis
Country risk analysisCountry risk analysis
Country risk analysisamd86
 
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curve
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield CurvePresentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curve
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curveiciciprumf
 
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA world
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA worldReaching for hedge funds in a VUCA world
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA worldKobus Jansen van Vuuren
 

Similar to Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds (20)

INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slides
INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slidesINCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slides
INCEIF_18 Nov 2015_Presentation slides
 
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake Capital
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake CapitalCDO market primer by Kensington Blake Capital
CDO market primer by Kensington Blake Capital
 
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch Presentation
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch PresentationTag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch Presentation
Tag Young Professionals - Merrill Lynch Presentation
 
Rethinking risk in a more uncertain world
Rethinking risk in a more uncertain worldRethinking risk in a more uncertain world
Rethinking risk in a more uncertain world
 
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...
{567f3e52-8333-40b4-9a85-51603f4fc04b}_A_challenging_period_for_financial_mar...
 
Investment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsInvestment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentations
 
Investment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentationsInvestment forecast combined presentations
Investment forecast combined presentations
 
10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management10 key trends changing investment management
10 key trends changing investment management
 
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[CH] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
 
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...
[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with ...
 
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[JP] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
 
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
 
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...
[LATAM EN] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk ...
 
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
[UK] Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profil...
 
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns
11 eaton vance volatility - the black widow returns
 
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptx
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptxStrategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptx
Strategic Outlook 2023 - Part 2.pptx
 
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?
Adrian Jones presentation at InsureTech Connect 2021: What's Next for InsurTech?
 
Country risk analysis
Country risk analysisCountry risk analysis
Country risk analysis
 
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curve
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield CurvePresentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curve
Presentation on Decoding Economic Cycles & Yield Curve
 
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA world
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA worldReaching for hedge funds in a VUCA world
Reaching for hedge funds in a VUCA world
 

More from netwealthInvest

Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain markets
Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain marketsRetirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain markets
Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain marketsnetwealthInvest
 
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clients
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clientsWhat does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clients
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clientsnetwealthInvest
 
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with it
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with itHow clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with it
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with itnetwealthInvest
 
2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing
 2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing 2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing
2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investingnetwealthInvest
 
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...netwealthInvest
 
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...netwealthInvest
 
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practice
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practiceAdapting to change: How to future-ready your practice
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practicenetwealthInvest
 
2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery
2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery
2020 economic outlook with Roger MontgomerynetwealthInvest
 
Practical steps to building an estate planning offering
Practical steps to building an estate planning offeringPractical steps to building an estate planning offering
Practical steps to building an estate planning offeringnetwealthInvest
 
How to transition a family-owned business
How to transition a family-owned businessHow to transition a family-owned business
How to transition a family-owned businessnetwealthInvest
 
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?netwealthInvest
 
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyond
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyondCreate a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyond
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyondnetwealthInvest
 
Why emerging markets are too important to ignore
Why emerging markets are too important to ignoreWhy emerging markets are too important to ignore
Why emerging markets are too important to ignorenetwealthInvest
 
Learn how to master the art of storyselling
Learn how to master the art of storysellingLearn how to master the art of storyselling
Learn how to master the art of storysellingnetwealthInvest
 
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycle
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycleBuild a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycle
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cyclenetwealthInvest
 
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advice
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial adviceThe likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advice
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advicenetwealthInvest
 
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectively
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectivelyMarketing strategies to communicate your value effectively
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectivelynetwealthInvest
 
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clients
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clientsAttract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clients
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clientsnetwealthInvest
 
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distance
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distanceIdentify small cap stocks that will last the distance
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distancenetwealthInvest
 
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should know
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should knowAustralian investor trends every financial adviser should know
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should knownetwealthInvest
 

More from netwealthInvest (20)

Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain markets
Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain marketsRetirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain markets
Retirement income strategies during volatile and uncertain markets
 
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clients
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clientsWhat does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clients
What does the coronavirus stimulus package mean for you and your clients
 
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with it
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with itHow clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with it
How clients are reacting to uncertainty and how best to deal with it
 
2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing
 2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing 2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing
2020, the latest developments in Environment, Social and Governance investing
 
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Next super steps with Keat Chew, Netwealth Head of ...
 
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...
2020 Netwealth Roadshow - Evolving your service offering for high net worth c...
 
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practice
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practiceAdapting to change: How to future-ready your practice
Adapting to change: How to future-ready your practice
 
2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery
2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery
2020 economic outlook with Roger Montgomery
 
Practical steps to building an estate planning offering
Practical steps to building an estate planning offeringPractical steps to building an estate planning offering
Practical steps to building an estate planning offering
 
How to transition a family-owned business
How to transition a family-owned businessHow to transition a family-owned business
How to transition a family-owned business
 
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?
The rise of Global Listed Infrastructure and why now?
 
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyond
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyondCreate a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyond
Create a strategic roadmap for 2020 and beyond
 
Why emerging markets are too important to ignore
Why emerging markets are too important to ignoreWhy emerging markets are too important to ignore
Why emerging markets are too important to ignore
 
Learn how to master the art of storyselling
Learn how to master the art of storysellingLearn how to master the art of storyselling
Learn how to master the art of storyselling
 
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycle
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycleBuild a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycle
Build a resilient portfolio for all stages of the economic cycle
 
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advice
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial adviceThe likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advice
The likely impacts of AI on your business and financial advice
 
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectively
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectivelyMarketing strategies to communicate your value effectively
Marketing strategies to communicate your value effectively
 
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clients
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clientsAttract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clients
Attract, retain and advise Gen X&Y clients
 
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distance
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distanceIdentify small cap stocks that will last the distance
Identify small cap stocks that will last the distance
 
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should know
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should knowAustralian investor trends every financial adviser should know
Australian investor trends every financial adviser should know
 

Recently uploaded

call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...shivangimorya083
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHenry Tapper
 
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfLundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfAdnet Communications
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarHarsh Kumar
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...First NO1 World Amil baba in Faisalabad
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Avanish Goel
 
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignLog your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignHenry Tapper
 
Attachment Of Assets......................
Attachment Of Assets......................Attachment Of Assets......................
Attachment Of Assets......................AmanBajaj36
 
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptxOAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptxhiddenlevers
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办fqiuho152
 
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex
 
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130Suhani Kapoor
 

Recently uploaded (20)

call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
 
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdfLundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
Lundin Gold April 2024 Corporate Presentation v4.pdf
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
 
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
Financial institutions facilitate financing, economic transactions, issue fun...
 
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
 
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
 
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignLog your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign
 
Attachment Of Assets......................
Attachment Of Assets......................Attachment Of Assets......................
Attachment Of Assets......................
 
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptxOAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptx
OAT_RI_Ep19 WeighingTheRisks_Apr24_TheYellowMetal.pptx
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
 
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
 
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
VIP Call Girls Service Begumpet Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130
 

Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds

  • 1.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Quality defence in a late-cycle environment – High Grade Bonds November 2018 JCB is an active manager of High Grade Bonds. We are active duration management specialists with security selection expertise. Who we are To deliver true-to-label defence and superior risk- adjusted returns for investors. Our aim Netwealth Webinar Paul W. Chin, SF Fin Director, Head of Investment Strategy & Research Jamieson Coote Bonds
  • 6. 6 Agenda The market environment: Late-cycle dynamics Assets in portfolios: The dangers of being unbalanced High Grade Bonds: Can they defend & protect given rate levels? Portfolio construction: Considerations in a late cycle environment
  • 7. 7 This presentation has been prepared by the Investment Manager, Jamieson Coote Bonds Pty Ltd ACN 165 890 282 AFSL 459018 (‘JCB’) and its distribution partner, Channel Capital Pty Ltd ACN 162 591 568 (‘Channel’). Channel Investment Management Limited ACN 163 234 240 AFSL 439007 (‘CIML’) is the issuer of units in the CC JCB Active Bond Fund ARSN 610 435 302 (‘the Fund’). This presentation is supplied on the following conditions which are expressly accepted and agreed to by each interested party (‘Recipient’). The information in this presentation is not financial product advice and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The presentation may contain forecasts and projections. Readers are cautioned to not place undue reliance on these forecasts and projections. While due care has been used in the preparation of this presentation, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner. The information is not intended for any general distribution or publication and must be retained in a confidential manner. Information contained herein consists of confidential proprietary information constituting the sole property of JCB and respecting JCB and its investment activities; its use is restricted accordingly. All such information should be maintained in a strictly confidential manner. This presentation does not purport to contain all of the information that may be required to evaluate JCB or the Fund and the Recipient should conduct their own independent review, investigations and analysis of JCB and the Fund and of the information contained or referred to in this presentation. Neither JCB, Channel, CIML or their representatives and respective employees or officers (collectively, ‘the Beneficiaries’) make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this presentation or subsequently provided to the Recipient or its advisers by any of the Beneficiaries, including, without limitation, any historical financial information, the estimates and projections and any other financial information derived there from, and nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The information in this presentation has not been the subject of complete due diligence nor has all such information been the subject of proper verification by the Beneficiaries. Except insofar as liability under any law cannot be excluded, the Beneficiaries shall have no responsibility arising in respect of the information contained in this presentation or subsequently provided by them or in any other way for errors or omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence). An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this document, and seek professional advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. For further information and before investing, please read the offer document which is available upon request. Disclaimer
  • 9. 9 Global debt pileup – hits over US$237 trillion Global debt is becoming a bigger worry as the global policy tightening cycle takes hold. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 TotaldebtlevelsUS$trillion Non-f inancial corporates Gov ernment Financial corporates Households Source: Institute of International Finance, as at Dec 2017. Lehman Brothers collapse
  • 10. 10 We are in a deep late-cycle stage: investors are taking enormous risk for limited upside Increasing (Hidden or Silent) Risk ◼ Risk additions to portfolios − Are they correctly priced for risk? ◼ Real estate − Rise in non-core real estate ◼ Credit − Covenant Lite Loans − Complex credit/FI portfolios ◼ Illiquid assets − Rising exposure to illiquids − Excessive capital chasing returns ◼ Hidden leverage − Rising leverage in some investments ◼ Complexity − Diversification good/complexity? − But larger complex portfolios “Covenant-lite” share of outstandings, U.S. leveraged loans. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Covenant-liteshareofoutstandingloans CAGR since 2010: 52% Covenant-lite share of outstandings, U.S. leveraged loans Source: Emerging Policy (LCD – an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence).
  • 11. 11 Credit spreads fully valued? Spread cushion vastly diminished after credit rally Source: JCB team analysis based on data from Bloomberg. 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 USCorpBBB/Baa-Treasury10YearSpread(%) US BBB rated ‘’investment grade’’ spreads vs US Treasury Bonds
  • 12. 12 Returns Risks Diversification ◼ Temper return expectations ◼ Use growth assets for returns ◼ Use defensive assets for protection ◼ Focus on risk allocations ◼ Consider left tail risk outcomes ◼ Diversify against thematic unintended risks Portfolio construction: What should you be concerned about?
  • 13. 2. The dangers of being unbalanced
  • 14. 14 Observation: Australian portfolios tend to be tilted too heavily to the same risk stack Portfolio consequences: High unintended bank risk and Low allocations to “High Grade” defence Term Deposits Hybrids Credit Negatively Geared Property Banking shares (e.g. Big Four) Government State Governments Supra Nationals A well-diversified portfolio? A different risk stack which derives its return from different drivers Source: JCB team analysis, based on analysis of ATO and FSC estimates and Investment Trends reports.
  • 15. 15 SMSF’s relative concentration can lead to wider outcomes Source: JCB team analysis, based on data sourced from Bloomberg, the FSC and Investment Trends. Asset Allocations for SMSFs have been sourced from the FSC and mapped to relevant asset class benchmarks. Aus securities selected (the most prominent portfolio component) were done as part of a monte carlo simulation involving 2000 samples. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Distribution of possible Returns for a typical SMSF portfolio (simulations: 2000) 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5th - 95th percentile Balanced Growth MedianReturn%-cumulative(base=Dec2003)
  • 16. 16 Source: JCB team analysis, based on data sourced from Bloomberg, the FSC and Investment Trends. Asset Allocations for SMSFs have been sourced from the FSC and mapped to relevant asset class benchmarks. Aus securities selected (the most prominent portfolio component) were done as part of a monte carlo simulation involving 2000 samples. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. In times of stress, SMSFs typically show higher fluctuations Spread of Risk for a typical SMSF Portfolio (simulations: 2000) 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Balanced Growth Median 5th - 95th percentile Risk%-rolling24months
  • 17. 17 Hybrids (and low grade credit) can tend to become equity-like in stressful markets Source: Macquarie Research. Notes: Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
  • 18. 3. High Grade Bonds: Can they defend & protect given current interest rate levels?
  • 19. 19 How do bond prices react to interest rate changes? Interest Rates Bond Prices Interest Rates Bond Prices Rate Rise Rate Fall
  • 20. 20 Global rates have fallen to record lows… Reversing the secular bull market The path of 10yr yields (rates) for Australia, US and UK Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, March 2017, based on the original methodology from August 2016. Simulated total returns, assuming interest rates reverse their 30y historical evolution. http://rsch.baml.com/r?q=Rw1BoyM3mPc220bQZXKc7g&e=phear.sam%40baml.com&h=0hXxRg&ps=true&pv=validated BofA Merrill Lynch indices total return series for Treasuries (G0Q0), Gilts (G0L0) and ACGBs (G0T0). ACGB Index (G0T0) includes all government bonds excluding linkers. For illustrative purposes only.
  • 21. 21 A rise in rates (mirroring the secular decline) is positive… Periods Annual returns % 2017-2020 4.47 2021-2025 2.85 2026-2030 9.04 2031-2035 8.43 2036-2040 7.65 2041-2045 9.28 Average annualised returns for future periods: Albert Einstein called compound interest the “Eighth Wonder of the World’’. “He who understands it earns it, he who doesn’t pays it’’ Projected performance of holding 10yr bonds for extended periods: Australia Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, March 2017, based on the original methodology from August 2016. Simulated total returns, assuming interest rates reverse their 30y historical evolution. http://rsch.baml.com/r?q=Rw1BoyM3mPc220bQZXKc7g&e=phear.sam%40baml.com&h=0hXxRg&ps=true&pv=validated BofA Merrill Lynch indices total return series for Treasuries (G0Q0), Gilts (G0L0) and ACGBs (G0T0). ACGB Index (G0T0) includes all government bonds excluding linkers. For illustrative purposes only.
  • 22. Australian High Grade Bonds are considered to be self-rebalancing & long-term beneficial 22 -5.7% 18.8% 11.9% 12.5% -1.7% 12.5% 4.5% 9.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.4% 19.1% -2.3% 5.2% 13.4% 5.5% 0.3% 10.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 1994 1995 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CalendarYrIndexReturn% RBA +275bps in 1994 RBA +150bps in 1999 period US FOMC +425bps RBA +75bps in 2009 14.3% p.a. 8.7% p.a. 9.2% p.a. Source: JCB team analysis based on data sourced from Bloomberg – index refers to Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond 0+yr index. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
  • 23. 23 Index: Bloomberg AusBond Treasury (0+ Yr) Index Actively navigating the interest rate cycle: Modified duration (vs index) – JCB Active Fund (Wholesale) Note: the above information is for the JCB Active Fund, a wholesale fund launched on 31 December 2014 and offered under an Information Memorandum dated 11 January 2016 (not the CC JCB Active Bond Fund which launched on 1 August 2016) to illustrate the results achieved. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 5.3 3.8 3.5 2.9 4.4 5.1 3.3 4.0 4.2 3.2 5.5 4.2 4.7 5.0 4.9 5.2 6.4 3.9 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.1 4.6 4.8 3.7 4.4 4.0 5.3 4.5 5.9 5.4 4.7 5.7 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.65.65.65.5 6.2 6.4 5.4 4.7 4.9 6.1 - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Modifiedduration(years) Index JCB average
  • 24. High Grade Bonds have defended in down markets 24 The key reason why portfolios need genuine defensive holdings. Indices Selected fundsIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected funds -14.7% 8.8% 10.0% 9.6% 9.4% -38.4% 11.2% 19.1% 14.9% 10.6% -33.3% -10.5% 10.1% 13.4% 11.4% 11.3% 2.0% 5.9% -13.7% 1.8% 4.2% 3.0% 4.8% 2.2% -3.7% 2.6% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% return% May 15-Feb 16: Greece & China concerns 2011 US downgrade2008 Global Financial CrisisMar 02-Feb 03: dot.com Indices Selected fundsSelected fundsIndicesIndices Selected fundsIndices Selected funds Source: JCB team analysis and Morningstar Direct. Morningstar reports on an after-fees basis. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
  • 25. 25 High Grade Bonds have protected in down equity markets -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CalendarYearReturns% Aus Shares Intl Shares Aus High Grade Source: JCB team analysis based on data sourced from Bloomberg – High Grade Bonds refers to Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond 0+yr index. Aus Shares is the S&P/ASX 300 Index TR and Intl Shares is the MSCI World ex-Australia TR in A$. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
  • 26. 26 JCB 2018 Scenario Analysis for high grade bonds Updated to February 2018 Source: JCB team analysis. Index relates to the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury (0+yr) Index Data sourced from Bloomberg, Yield Broker rate sheet dated 5 Feb 2018. RBAcash 3yr yield 10yr yield 30yr yield Expected 2018 Index Return 1. Continued risk-on 2. Markets are steady 3. A mild risk-off 4. Extreme risk- off Markets: running hot Goldilocks: Cycle top approaching End of the cycle 1.50 2.52 3.22 3.87 1.1% 1.50 2.18 2.80 3.50 3.4% 1.50 1.86 2.40 3.05 5.7% 1.50 1.53 1.99 2.64 8.0% RBAno change in 2018 – remains at 1.50% 1.5 Std Dev cheap 1.0 Std Dev cheap 0.5 Std Dev cheap Fair Value/Mean Relative Valuation= 1. More hikes expected 2. RBA neutral Fed hikes 3. Steady RBA / Fed neutral 4. The next move: a rate cut Markets: running hot Goldilocks: Cycle top approaching End of the cycle 2.00 2.68 3.30 3.95 0.4% 2.00 2.36 2.89 3.59 2.7% 2.00 2.03 2.49 3.14 5.0% 2.00 1.63 2.15 2.80 7.1% RBA HIKEStwice in H1 2018 to 2.00% 1.0 Std Dev cheap 0.5 Std Dev cheap Fair Value/Mean Ave spreadto cash of last 3 cycles ScenarioA: ScenarioB:
  • 27. 27 Australians are underweight in bonds Global Pension Aggregate Bond Allocations (at 2017) 21% 35% 34% 50% 56% 31% 27% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% US UK Switzerland Netherlands Japan Canada P7 Australia %bondallocationineachmarket Source: Global pension aggregate bond allocations from Willis Towers Watson 2017 Global Pension Report. P7 = US, UK, Switzerland, Netherlands, Japan, Canada and Australia. The depicted allocation is an example balanced portfolio and is for illustrative purposes only and shows how high grade bonds could fit within a balanced portfolio.
  • 28. 4. Wrapping up: Considerations for a late-cycle environment
  • 29. 29 Being well balanced in portfolios Economy & Markets High Grade Bonds Portfolio Construction Manager selection Beware of complacency during this late-cycle phase: conditions are evolving. Focus on robust portfolio construction – be clear on what assets are growth vs defensive. High Grade Bonds can play a strong role in defending your portfolio over different conditions: few other assets can consistently do this. Understand what you are investing in: transparency, liquidity
  • 30. 30 Jamieson Coote Bonds at a glance – 30 September 2018 $1.1bn 2014 ◼ Founded in 2014 ◼ Offices in Melbourne & Singapore ◼ Specialise solely on managing high grade bonds ◼ Assets under management ◼ Retail, HNWI and Institutional clients ◼ Number of years of combined investment experience of the JCB team ◼ Deep offshore experience 520 ◼ 20 specialist staff looking after distribution, client service & operations via Channel Capital ◼ <80% of market beta# ◼ Outperformed down bond market months: >95%# ◼ 1.1% p.a. gross alpha# ◼ High quality Advisory board members: − Mark Burgess (ex CEO Future Fund), Saul Eslake (noted career economist), John Kean, Lynda O’Grady, Neil Tritton ~75-80% of index vol 101 * Includes CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR:CHN0005AU), JCB Active Fund (Wholesale) and Institutional mandates. # Source: JCB performance data and analysis for JCB Active Fund (Wholesale) which launched on 31 December 2014. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
  • 31. 31 Aspect CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR CHN0005AU) and JCB Active Bond Master Strategy Benchmark ◼ Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Year Index Objective ◼ To outperform the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Year Index over rolling 3 year periods Instruments ◼ Australian Commonwealth Government Bonds, e.g. CGS ◼ Semi-Government Bonds, e.g. Treasury Corp Victoria (TCV) ◼ Supranational Bonds, e.g. World Bank, Inter American Development Bank – indicative standard ◼ Interest Rate Futures – for hedging purposes, e.g. 3, 10, 20yr bond futures ◼ Cash: JCB prefers to remain invested in bonds over cash due to the credit risk in holding cash >A$250,000 Typical # of holdings ◼ ~15-25 securities of various maturities Constraints Individual security holdings: - Will not usually exceed 20% - Must have AAA (or AA minimum rating) from either Moodys or Standard and Poor’s - Must be issued in AUD - Must be explicitly backed by a Government or Public Finance Agency Duration target ◼ Maintain index position with duration movement ±3 years Portfolio management ◼ JCB’s Investments Team use both domestic and global macro-economic factors to adjust duration and risk exposures to generate excess return and maximise outcomes for our clients. ◼ Futures positions and curve trades will be used to adjust duration (using technical analysis) ◼ Supply dynamics and global curves play a significant role in determining portfolio duration exposures and have a material impact on the shape of the AUD term structure Portfolio management – investment strategy A conservative approach to managing money
  • 32. CC JCB Active Bond Fund (APIR:CHN0005AU) 32 Portfolio snapshot – as at 30 September Credit Rating Allocation Sector Allocation (duration weighted) Fund overview Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis Risk Management JCB Investment Strategy Source: JCB Investment Team and Channel Capital, as at September 2018. The benchmark is the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Bond Index 0+yrs. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Characteristic Fund Benchmark Modified Duration (years) 5.35 6.12 Yield to maturity (%) 2.67 2.42 Weighted average credit rating AAA AAA
  • 33. Mezzanine Debt High Yield / Junk Debt Bank Loans High Grade Corporate Debt Mortgage Backed Securities: RMBS Supra Nationals e.g. World Bank State Government Bonds: Semis Australian Commonwealth Government: ACGB Default Risk Level of Liquidity 33 As at September 2018. Average of Retail TD investment rates over a 6 month period (TDs) – source, RBA at September 2018. Returns are before fees. Performance shown here relates to JCB Active Fund, a wholesale fund launched on 31 December 2014. Monthly NAV data is from the fund administrator and analysed by the JCB team. Performance is gross of fees and assumes reinvestment of distributions (i.e. total return). From 31/12/2014 (inception) to 31/12/2015, the benchmark applied is the Bloomberg Australia Sovereign Bond Index. From 31/12/2015 to present, the index used is the Bloomberg Ausbond Treasury 0+yr index. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. The index used is the Bloomberg Ausbond Treasury 0+yr index. Comparing JCB Active Bond Master strategy vs Term Deposits Term Deposits vs JCB active bond master strategy (gross) (Index + Excess Return) The defensive hierarchy ◼ Daily liquidity vs potentially long lock-up ◼ Superior credit quality over $250k ◼ JCB has an average AAA credit quality rating across the portfolio (no corporate or credit exposure). ◼ JCB distributes income semi-annually with a targeted distribution of 2% p.a. 2.58% 2.51% 3.49% 2.26% 2.89% 2.37% 0.47% 1.19% 0.03% 1.08% 2.49% 2.16% 2.01% 1.50% 2.18% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD Sep Since Inception p.a. TermDeposits IndexExcessReturn 4.94% 2.99% 3.97% Total JCB Fund Return 4.68% 2.29%