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November 2015Publication for private investors
www.nnip.com
FocusPoint
www.nnip.com
In-depth insights from NN Investment Partners
Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profile comparable to that of bonds.
Convertible bonds: the fixed-income
alternative to equities
•	 Convertible bonds have outperformed other asset classes in the past 40 years, profiting from equity
and bond bull markets.
•	 Asset class’s expected returns are comparable to equities, with lower volatility.
•	 Rate of default among issuers of convertibles is lower than high-yield bonds.
Convertible bonds carry risks similar to other fixed-income investments. Bonds with lower credit ratings are subject to
greater market, credit and default risk.
November 2015FocusPoint
2
Convertible bonds form a well-established asset class that has
outperformed through the cycle during the last 40 years.
Convertibles have displayed lower volatility than equities and
fewer defaults than high-yield bonds. The key attraction of the
investment class is its potential ability to generate returns from
both rising equity and credit markets.
NN Investment Partners’ convertibles investment strategy seeks
to capture the essence of the opportunities offered
by the convertible market. Our strategy is global, focused on bal-
anced convertibles, supported by in-depth credit research and
concentrated on a select number of convertibles that combine
solid credit fundamentals, underlying equity upside and a bal-
anced convertible profile with acceptable if not attractive valua-
tions.
An explanation of convertible bonds
Convertible bonds are corporate bonds that may be exchanged
by the holder for a fixed number of ordinary shares. They can be
regarded as a combination of a fixed income instrument and a
stock option, with the bond limiting downside risk and the option
providing equity return participation.
These instruments are a unique and useful tool in the investor’s
portfolio. In today’s low-yielding environment, their potential
relative return and diversification benefits make them especially
attractive in light of the lower expected returns of bonds and the
uncertainty of equities. Convertibles have historically performed
well compared with equities, with a level of volatility that makes
their efficiency, as measured by risk and return, comparable to
that of bonds. They also compete with high yield with similar
expected return/volatility characteristics. Convertible and
high-yield bonds also supplement each other with diversification
benefits. Investments in both asset classes can reduce risk and/or
improve expected returns of high yield investments. Investors who
are seeking better returns through high yield, but are concerned
about the risk involved, might consider adding convertibles.
As with all corporate bonds, convertibles are subject to the risk of
default, i.e., the risk that the issuer will be unable to make timely
interest payments or repay the principle when the bond expires.
An issuer’s credit rating can give an indication of the likelihood
of default. As is the case with all fixed-income investments, the
market value of a convertible can decline when interest rates rise.
Background
The first convertible bonds were issued in the 1850s by U.S. com-
panies seeking to finance construction of the country’s nascent
rail industry. Since then, the market for convertible bonds has
developed into a unique niche in the investment asset market, with
the value of outstanding convertibles growing to about US$380
billion as of the end of 2014. Their chief attraction – safe principal
with potentially unlimited upside – has remained fundamentally
unchanged since their conception 165 years ago.
The value of the bond at issuance can be seen as a theoretical
mix of the bond element and the option. Once issued, convertible
bonds trade in a relatively liquid secondary market (US$1.4 billion
traded daily). Prices are determined by their theoretical value and
demand/supply factors.
Historic convertible performance versus equities
Convertibles are designed to increase in value alongside equities
in rising markets, while being protected from the inevitable sharp
declines. The value of the underlying bond provides a “floor” value
for convertible bonds and prevents prices falling with equities past
a certain level.
Figure 1 shows a comparison of the performances of US invest-
ment grade bonds, high-yield bonds, convertible bonds and equi-
ties from 1973 through 1998. The 1972 values of each class have
been set at 100; their ensuing performances are tracked in rela-
tion to the 1972 base point. For example, a 1% return for a given
asset class in the first year would put it at 101 while a 5% loss
would put it at 95.
Figure 1: US asset classes’ total returns (1972 = 100)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98
Convertibles S&P 500 IG Govt/Corp Bonds HY Bonds
Source: Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Indices (1973-1998)
Equities, as measured by the S&P 500 index, were the clear driver
of growth in asset prices in this period, far ahead of all fixed
income. Convertibles still managed to follow closely, capturing
75% of equity performance.
The fixed-income alternative to equities
Convertible bonds
November 2015
3
In the subsequent period, from 1999 through to 2014, the equity
market suffered two severe downturns and was overall a much
more volatile environment. During this time span, fixed income
performed quite well, thanks to declines in interest rates and a
limited number of corporate defaults. Convertibles were able to
benefit through their bond element and significantly outperformed
equities. Figure 2, which re-bases the values of all the asset
classes at 100 in 1998, illustrates this trend.
Figure 2: US asset classes’ total returns (1998 = 100)
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
Convertibles S&P 500 IG Govt/Corp Bonds HY Bonds
Source: Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Indices (1998-2014)
On top of this ability to “piggy-back” on the bull markets of both
asset classes during different periods, the volatility of global
convertibles – a measure of a security’s risk – has on average
been only about 45% of that of equities.
NN IP’s convertible bond investment philosophy and
process
At NN Investment Partners, we manage an investment strategy in
convertibles that we believe captures the essence of the opportu-
nities offered by the convertible market through an established
four-step process. In the first step we scan the investable universe
for convexity – our strategy is global and focused on balanced
convertibles. Our security selection in steps two and three is
supported by in-depth credit research and theme-based equity
selection. In step four we apply rigorous risk control in construct-
ing the portfolio.
Credit selection supported by in-depth credit analysis
Our process is based on the belief that credit fundamentals are
essential in providing capital preservation and asymmetric
returns. We believe that these issuers with solid balance sheets
and attractive business prospects can be better singled out by
in-depth credit and business analysis than by reliance on
rating-agency notations.
Our portfolio of convertibles at the end of June 2015 consisted
of about 10% investment grade convertibles. The average credit
spread of our convertible portfolio is in line with the broader
convertible universe.
Non-investment grade bonds have lower credit ratings and
generally pay higher yields than investment grade securities
but are subject to greater market, credit and default risk.
While the credit quality of a particular security of group of securi-
ties does not ensure the stability or safety of an overall portfolio,
we believe that a sound approach to convertible bond investing
includes limiting equity premium while selecting the convertibles
that provide the highest possible equity sensitivity in order to grab
the highest possible equity upside.
Theme-based approach
In order to identify the catalysts that may unlock equity value
within the investment horizon, we favour a theme-based approach
in selecting the underlying equities of our investments. A “theme”
is a set of common catalysts for underlying equities; these themes
may relate to sectors, regions or macro-economic, micro-economic,
or societal considerations. The companies that belong to a com-
mon theme are likely to react to common identified catalysts.
All our investments are selected for their fit in a chosen theme.
At any point in time, we deploy our investments into 10 to 15
themes. Figure 3 plots our theme selection in terms of weight,
equity premium and equity sensitivity at the end of January 2015.
We believe that our process, managed by an experienced
convertible team and designed after thorough analysis of the
convertible market characteristics and investors’ demands,
can optimally deliver equity participation with downside
protection and contained volatility.
Figure 3: NN IP Convertible Strategy Themes
Healthcare Spending
Real Estate Exposure
US Consumer Growth
Cloud Computing
Bank Deleveraging
Global Aging
Demographic Transition
Japan QEOnline Spending Growth
Europe Rebound
Oil Services Spending
Cash
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
EquitySensitivity
Equity Risk
Source: NN IP (February 2015)
November 2015FocusPoint
4
Disclaimer
The elements contained in this document have been prepared solely for the purpose
of information and do not constitute an offer, in particular a prospectus or any
invitation to treat, buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading strategy.
Investors should seek their own advice if in doubt about the suitability of any
investment. While particular attention has been paid to the contents of this
document, no guarantee, warranty or representation, express or implied, is given
to the accuracy, correctness or completeness thereof. Any information given in
this document may be subject to change or update without notice. Neither NN
Investment Partners Holdings N.V. nor any other company or unit belonging to
the NN Group, nor any of its officers, directors or employees can be held directly
or indirectly liable or responsible with respect to the information and/or
recommendations of any kind expressed herein. Investment sustains risks.
Please note that the value of your investment may rise or fall and also that past
performance is not indicative of future results and shall in no event be deemed
as such. This document and information contained herein must not be copied,
reproduced, distributed or passed to any person at any time without our prior
written consent. Any claims arising out of or in connection with the terms and
conditions of this disclaimer are governed by Dutch law. This document is not
intended and may not be used to solicit sales of investments or subscription of
securities in countries where this is prohibited by the relevant authorities or
legislation.

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[LU] Focuspoint / Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profile comparable to that of bonds

  • 1. November 2015Publication for private investors www.nnip.com FocusPoint www.nnip.com In-depth insights from NN Investment Partners Convertible bonds offer investors equity-like returns with a risk profile comparable to that of bonds. Convertible bonds: the fixed-income alternative to equities • Convertible bonds have outperformed other asset classes in the past 40 years, profiting from equity and bond bull markets. • Asset class’s expected returns are comparable to equities, with lower volatility. • Rate of default among issuers of convertibles is lower than high-yield bonds. Convertible bonds carry risks similar to other fixed-income investments. Bonds with lower credit ratings are subject to greater market, credit and default risk.
  • 2. November 2015FocusPoint 2 Convertible bonds form a well-established asset class that has outperformed through the cycle during the last 40 years. Convertibles have displayed lower volatility than equities and fewer defaults than high-yield bonds. The key attraction of the investment class is its potential ability to generate returns from both rising equity and credit markets. NN Investment Partners’ convertibles investment strategy seeks to capture the essence of the opportunities offered by the convertible market. Our strategy is global, focused on bal- anced convertibles, supported by in-depth credit research and concentrated on a select number of convertibles that combine solid credit fundamentals, underlying equity upside and a bal- anced convertible profile with acceptable if not attractive valua- tions. An explanation of convertible bonds Convertible bonds are corporate bonds that may be exchanged by the holder for a fixed number of ordinary shares. They can be regarded as a combination of a fixed income instrument and a stock option, with the bond limiting downside risk and the option providing equity return participation. These instruments are a unique and useful tool in the investor’s portfolio. In today’s low-yielding environment, their potential relative return and diversification benefits make them especially attractive in light of the lower expected returns of bonds and the uncertainty of equities. Convertibles have historically performed well compared with equities, with a level of volatility that makes their efficiency, as measured by risk and return, comparable to that of bonds. They also compete with high yield with similar expected return/volatility characteristics. Convertible and high-yield bonds also supplement each other with diversification benefits. Investments in both asset classes can reduce risk and/or improve expected returns of high yield investments. Investors who are seeking better returns through high yield, but are concerned about the risk involved, might consider adding convertibles. As with all corporate bonds, convertibles are subject to the risk of default, i.e., the risk that the issuer will be unable to make timely interest payments or repay the principle when the bond expires. An issuer’s credit rating can give an indication of the likelihood of default. As is the case with all fixed-income investments, the market value of a convertible can decline when interest rates rise. Background The first convertible bonds were issued in the 1850s by U.S. com- panies seeking to finance construction of the country’s nascent rail industry. Since then, the market for convertible bonds has developed into a unique niche in the investment asset market, with the value of outstanding convertibles growing to about US$380 billion as of the end of 2014. Their chief attraction – safe principal with potentially unlimited upside – has remained fundamentally unchanged since their conception 165 years ago. The value of the bond at issuance can be seen as a theoretical mix of the bond element and the option. Once issued, convertible bonds trade in a relatively liquid secondary market (US$1.4 billion traded daily). Prices are determined by their theoretical value and demand/supply factors. Historic convertible performance versus equities Convertibles are designed to increase in value alongside equities in rising markets, while being protected from the inevitable sharp declines. The value of the underlying bond provides a “floor” value for convertible bonds and prevents prices falling with equities past a certain level. Figure 1 shows a comparison of the performances of US invest- ment grade bonds, high-yield bonds, convertible bonds and equi- ties from 1973 through 1998. The 1972 values of each class have been set at 100; their ensuing performances are tracked in rela- tion to the 1972 base point. For example, a 1% return for a given asset class in the first year would put it at 101 while a 5% loss would put it at 95. Figure 1: US asset classes’ total returns (1972 = 100) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 Convertibles S&P 500 IG Govt/Corp Bonds HY Bonds Source: Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Indices (1973-1998) Equities, as measured by the S&P 500 index, were the clear driver of growth in asset prices in this period, far ahead of all fixed income. Convertibles still managed to follow closely, capturing 75% of equity performance. The fixed-income alternative to equities Convertible bonds
  • 3. November 2015 3 In the subsequent period, from 1999 through to 2014, the equity market suffered two severe downturns and was overall a much more volatile environment. During this time span, fixed income performed quite well, thanks to declines in interest rates and a limited number of corporate defaults. Convertibles were able to benefit through their bond element and significantly outperformed equities. Figure 2, which re-bases the values of all the asset classes at 100 in 1998, illustrates this trend. Figure 2: US asset classes’ total returns (1998 = 100) 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Convertibles S&P 500 IG Govt/Corp Bonds HY Bonds Source: Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Indices (1998-2014) On top of this ability to “piggy-back” on the bull markets of both asset classes during different periods, the volatility of global convertibles – a measure of a security’s risk – has on average been only about 45% of that of equities. NN IP’s convertible bond investment philosophy and process At NN Investment Partners, we manage an investment strategy in convertibles that we believe captures the essence of the opportu- nities offered by the convertible market through an established four-step process. In the first step we scan the investable universe for convexity – our strategy is global and focused on balanced convertibles. Our security selection in steps two and three is supported by in-depth credit research and theme-based equity selection. In step four we apply rigorous risk control in construct- ing the portfolio. Credit selection supported by in-depth credit analysis Our process is based on the belief that credit fundamentals are essential in providing capital preservation and asymmetric returns. We believe that these issuers with solid balance sheets and attractive business prospects can be better singled out by in-depth credit and business analysis than by reliance on rating-agency notations. Our portfolio of convertibles at the end of June 2015 consisted of about 10% investment grade convertibles. The average credit spread of our convertible portfolio is in line with the broader convertible universe. Non-investment grade bonds have lower credit ratings and generally pay higher yields than investment grade securities but are subject to greater market, credit and default risk. While the credit quality of a particular security of group of securi- ties does not ensure the stability or safety of an overall portfolio, we believe that a sound approach to convertible bond investing includes limiting equity premium while selecting the convertibles that provide the highest possible equity sensitivity in order to grab the highest possible equity upside. Theme-based approach In order to identify the catalysts that may unlock equity value within the investment horizon, we favour a theme-based approach in selecting the underlying equities of our investments. A “theme” is a set of common catalysts for underlying equities; these themes may relate to sectors, regions or macro-economic, micro-economic, or societal considerations. The companies that belong to a com- mon theme are likely to react to common identified catalysts. All our investments are selected for their fit in a chosen theme. At any point in time, we deploy our investments into 10 to 15 themes. Figure 3 plots our theme selection in terms of weight, equity premium and equity sensitivity at the end of January 2015. We believe that our process, managed by an experienced convertible team and designed after thorough analysis of the convertible market characteristics and investors’ demands, can optimally deliver equity participation with downside protection and contained volatility. Figure 3: NN IP Convertible Strategy Themes Healthcare Spending Real Estate Exposure US Consumer Growth Cloud Computing Bank Deleveraging Global Aging Demographic Transition Japan QEOnline Spending Growth Europe Rebound Oil Services Spending Cash 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% EquitySensitivity Equity Risk Source: NN IP (February 2015)
  • 4. November 2015FocusPoint 4 Disclaimer The elements contained in this document have been prepared solely for the purpose of information and do not constitute an offer, in particular a prospectus or any invitation to treat, buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading strategy. Investors should seek their own advice if in doubt about the suitability of any investment. While particular attention has been paid to the contents of this document, no guarantee, warranty or representation, express or implied, is given to the accuracy, correctness or completeness thereof. Any information given in this document may be subject to change or update without notice. Neither NN Investment Partners Holdings N.V. nor any other company or unit belonging to the NN Group, nor any of its officers, directors or employees can be held directly or indirectly liable or responsible with respect to the information and/or recommendations of any kind expressed herein. Investment sustains risks. Please note that the value of your investment may rise or fall and also that past performance is not indicative of future results and shall in no event be deemed as such. This document and information contained herein must not be copied, reproduced, distributed or passed to any person at any time without our prior written consent. Any claims arising out of or in connection with the terms and conditions of this disclaimer are governed by Dutch law. This document is not intended and may not be used to solicit sales of investments or subscription of securities in countries where this is prohibited by the relevant authorities or legislation.