FIN 402 Week 3 Case Problems
Case Problem 6.1 Sara Decides to Take the Plunge
1. LG 1
2. LG 6
Sara Thomas is a child psychologist who has built a thriving practice in her hometown of Boise, Idaho. Over the past several years she has been able to accumulate a substantial sum of money. She has worked long and hard to be successful, but she never imagined anything like this. Even so, success has not spoiled Sara. Still single, she keeps to her old circle of friends. One of her closest friends is Terry Jenkins, who happens to be a stockbroker and who acts as Sara’s financial advisor.
Not long ago Sara attended a seminar on investing in the stock market, and since then she’s been doing some reading about the market. She has concluded that keeping all of her money in low-yielding savings accounts doesn’t make sense. As a result, Sara has decided to move part of her money to stocks. One evening, Sara told Terry about her decision and explained that she had found several stocks that she thought looked “sort of interesting.” She described them as follows:
· North Atlantic Swim Suit Company. This highly speculative stock pays no dividends. Although the earnings of NASS have been a bit erratic, Sara feels that its growth prospects have never been brighter—“what with more people than ever going to the beaches the way they are these days,” she says.
· Town and Country Computer. This is a long-established computer firm that pays a modest dividend yield (of about 1.50%). It is considered a quality growth stock. From one of the stock reports she read, Sara understands that T&C offers excellent long-term growth and capital gains potential.
· Southeastern Public Utility Company. This income stock pays a dividend yield of around 5%. Although it’s a solid company, it has limited growth prospects because of its location.
· International Gold Mines, Inc. This stock has performed quite well in the past, especially when inflation has become a problem. Sara feels that if it can do so well in inflationary times, it will do even better in a strong economy. Unfortunately, the stock has experienced wide price swings in the past. It pays almost no dividends.
Questions
a. What do you think of the idea of Sara keeping “substantial sums” of money in savings accounts? Would common stocks make better investments for her than savings accounts? Explain.
Answer: It is not a smart idea for Sara to retain substantial sums of money in her savings account for the reason that she could potentially make more money by investing in stocks. For example, the average rate for a savings account is 0.06%, and if you invest in stock, you can make anywhere from 0-15% depending on the amount of risk you is willing to take.
b. What is your opinion of the four stocks Sara has described? Do you think they are suitable for her investment needs? Explain.
Answer: Three out of the four stocks are ok investments to make since there is so little information provided. I do not think the NASS is a good i.
Introduction to ArtificiaI Intelligence in Higher Education
FIN 402 Week 3 Case ProblemsCase Problem 6.1 Sara Decides to Tak.docx
1. FIN 402 Week 3 Case Problems
Case Problem 6.1 Sara Decides to Take the Plunge
1. LG 1
2. LG 6
Sara Thomas is a child psychologist who has built a thriving
practice in her hometown of Boise, Idaho. Over the past several
years she has been able to accumulate a substantial sum of
money. She has worked long and hard to be successful, but she
never imagined anything like this. Even so, success has not
spoiled Sara. Still single, she keeps to her old circle of friends.
One of her closest friends is Terry Jenkins, who happens to be a
stockbroker and who acts as Sara’s financial advisor.
Not long ago Sara attended a seminar on investing in the stock
market, and since then she’s been doing some reading about the
market. She has concluded that keeping all of her money in low-
yielding savings accounts doesn’t make sense. As a result, Sara
has decided to move part of her money to stocks. One evening,
Sara told Terry about her decision and explained that she had
found several stocks that she thought looked “sort of
interesting.” She described them as follows:
· North Atlantic Swim Suit Company. This highly speculative
stock pays no dividends. Although the earnings of NASS have
been a bit erratic, Sara feels that its growth prospects have
never been brighter—“what with more people than ever going to
the beaches the way they are these days,” she says.
· Town and Country Computer. This is a long-established
computer firm that pays a modest dividend yield (of about
1.50%). It is considered a quality growth stock. From one of the
stock reports she read, Sara understands that T&C offers
excellent long-term growth and capital gains potential.
· Southeastern Public Utility Company. This income stock pays
a dividend yield of around 5%. Although it’s a solid company, it
has limited growth prospects because of its location.
· International Gold Mines, Inc. This stock has performed quite
2. well in the past, especially when inflation has become a
problem. Sara feels that if it can do so well in inflationary
times, it will do even better in a strong economy. Unfortunately,
the stock has experienced wide price swings in the past. It pays
almost no dividends.
Questions
a. What do you think of the idea of Sara keeping “substantial
sums” of money in savings accounts? Would common stocks
make better investments for her than savings accounts? Explain.
Answer: It is not a smart idea for Sara to retain substantial sums
of money in her savings account for the reason that she could
potentially make more money by investing in stocks. For
example, the average rate for a savings account is 0.06%, and if
you invest in stock, you can make anywhere from 0-15%
depending on the amount of risk you is willing to take.
b. What is your opinion of the four stocks Sara has described?
Do you think they are suitable for her investment needs?
Explain.
Answer: Three out of the four stocks are ok investments to
make since there is so little information provided. I do not think
the NASS is a good investment because the stock pays no
dividends and their earnings have been erratic. If Sara wants to
make more money for her investments, she needs to find a
company that has better growth potential and dividend payouts.
c. What kind of common stock investment program would you
recommend for Sara? What investment objectives do you think
she should set for herself, and how can common stocks help her
achieve her goals?
Answer: The IPA program would be the program I would
recommend to Sara because it allows Sara to take classes and
speak with educated individuals who know about investing. I
think Sara should sit down with a financial advisor and figure
out exactly what she wants to do with her money and how much
she wants to make from her investments. Common stocks can
3. help her reach her goal faster because they offer a higher return
than a savings account.
Case Problem 6.2 Wally Wonders Whether There’s a Place for
Dividends
1. LG 5
Year
Expected EPS ($)
Expected Dividend Payout Ratio (%)
2016
$3.25
40%
2017
$3.40
40%
2018
$3.90
45%
2019
$4.40
45%
2020
$5.00
45%
2. LG 6
Wally Wilson is a commercial artist who makes a good living
by doing freelance work—mostly layouts and illustrations—for
local ad agencies and major institutional clients (such as large
department stores). Wally has been investing in the stock
market for some time, buying mostly high-quality growth stocks
as a way to achieve long-term growth and capital appreciation.
He feels that with the limited time he has to devote to his
security holdings, high-quality issues are his best bet. He has
become a bit perplexed lately with the market, disturbed that
some of his growth stocks aren’t doing even as well as many
good-grade income shares. He therefore decides to have a chat
4. with his broker, Al Fried.
During their conversation, it becomes clear that both Al and
Wally are thinking along the same lines. Al points out that
dividend yields on income shares are indeed way up and that,
because of the state of the economy, the outlook for growth
stocks is not particularly bright. He suggests that Wally
seriously consider putting some of his money into income
shares to capture the high dividend yields that are available.
After all, as Al says, “the bottom line is not so much where the
payoff comes from as how much it amounts to!” They then talk
about a high-yield public utility stock, Hydro-Electric Light and
Power. Al digs up some forecast information about Hydro-
Electric and presents it to Wally for his consideration:
The stock currently trades at $60 per share. Al thinks that
within five years it should be trading at $75 to $80 a share.
Wally realizes that to buy the Hydro-Electric stock, he will have
to sell his holdings of CapCo Industries—a highly regarded
growth stock that Wally is disenchanted with because of recent
substandard performance.
Questions
a. How would you describe Wally’s present investment
program? How do you think it fits him and his investment
objectives?
Answer: Wally has a good investment program right because
high-quality growth stocks are a good way to make money, but
he needs to change the type of stock he is invested in because it
is not meeting up to his expectations. His investments are for
long-term, which is what he is looking for.
b. Consider the Hydro-Electric stock.
1. Determine the amount of annual dividends Hydro-Electric
can be expected to pay over the years 2016 to 2020.
Answer:
Year
Expected EPS
Payout Ratio
6. 100
$136.00
2018
$1.76
100
$176.00
2019
$1.98
100
$198.00
2020
$2.25
100
$225.00
3. If Wally participates in the company’s dividend reinvestment
plan, how many shares of stock will he have by the end of
2020? What will they be worth if the stock trades at $80 on
December 31, 2020? Assume that the stock can be purchased
through the dividend reinvestment plan at a net price of $50 a
share in 2016, $55 in 2017, $60 in 2018, $65 in 2019, and $70
in 2020. Use fractional shares, to 2 decimals, in your
computations. Also, assume that, as in part b, Wally starts with
100 shares of stock and all dividend expectations are realized.
Answer:
Year
Beginning shares
Price
Shares Value
Dividends
Dividends Per Share
2016
100.00
$1.30
8. $9,208.17
c. Would Wally be going to a different investment strategy if he
decided to buy shares in Hydro-Electric? If the switch is made,
how would you describe his new investment program? What do
you think of this new approach? Is it likely to lead to more
trading on Wally’s behalf? If so, can you reconcile that with the
limited amount of time he has to devote to his portfolio?
Answer: Wally will not be changing him the investment strategy
if he wants to purchase stock in Hydro-Electric. He would be
altering the way he is investing. It is a common practice
amongst aggressive investors in a long term goal. If Wally
changed back to investing in his long-term shares and invests
the way he usually does it. I think this new approach is a good
idea and if things work out, I believe it would lead to more
trading for him.
Case Problem 7.1 Some Financial Ratios Are Real Eye-Openers
1. LG 5
2. LG 6
Cash
$ 1,250
Accounts receivable
$ 8,000
Current liabilities
$10,000
9. Inventory
$12,000
Long-term debt
$ 8,000
Current assets
$21,250
Stockholders’ equity
$12,000
Fixed and other assets
$ 8,750
Total liabilities and
Total assets
$30,000
stockholders’ equity
$30,000
South Plains Chemical Company Balance Sheet ($ thousands)
Sales
$50,000
Cost of goods sold
$25,000
Operating expenses
$15,000
Operating profit
$10,000
Interest expense
$ 2,500
Taxes
$ 2,500
Net profit
$ 5,000
Dividends paid to common stockholders ($ in thousands)
$ 1,250
Number of common shares outstanding
5 million
Recent market price of the common stock
10. $ 25
South Plains Chemical Company Income Statement ($
thousands)
Jack Arnold is a resident of Lubbock, Texas, where he is a
prosperous rancher and businessman. He has also built up a
sizable portfolio of common stock, which, he believes, is due to
the fact that he thoroughly evaluates each stock he invests in.
As Jack says, “You can’t be too careful about these things!
Anytime I plan to invest in a stock, you can bet I’m going to
learn as much as I can about the company.” Jack prefers to
compute his own ratios even though he could easily obtain
analytical reports from his broker at no cost. (In fact, Bob
Smith, his broker, has been volunteering such services for
years.)
Recently Jack has been keeping an eye on a small chemical
stock. The firm, South Plains Chemical Company, is big in the
fertilizer business—which is something Jack knows a lot about.
Not long ago, he received a copy of the firm’s latest financial
statements (summarized here) and decided to take a closer look
at the company.
Questions
a. Using the South Plains Chemical Company figures, compute
the following ratios.
Latest Industry Averages
Latest Industry Averages
Liquidity
Profitability
a. Net working capital
N/A
h. Net profit margin
8.5%
11. b. Current ratio
1.95
i. Return on assets
22.5%
Activity
j. ROE
32.2%
c. Receivables turnover
5.95
Common-Stock Ratios
d. Inventory turnover
4.50
k. Earnings per share
$2.00
e. Total asset turnover
2.65
l. Price-to-earnings ratio
20.0
Leverage
m. Dividends per share
$1.00
f. Debt-equity ratio
0.45
n. Dividend yield
2.5%
g. Times interest earned
6.75
o. Payout ratio
50.0%
p. Book value per share
$6.25
12. q. Price-to-book-value ratio
6.4
b. Compare the company ratios you prepared to the industry
figures given in part a. What are the company’s strengths? What
are its weaknesses?
Answer: We can see that the SPC Company has a net working
capital of $ 11,250,000. It indicates that the SPC Company has
$ 11.25 million of working capital available to pay its bill and
grow the business. This value is a good sign for SPC Company
because it is a higher amount than the industry average. We also
can see the current ratio for SPC Company is 2.125 that are
more than 0.175 when compare to the industry average, 1.95. It
indicates that SPC Company can pay its accounts creditor on
time and get the discounts for prompt payment and credibility
from future supplies. SPC Company may able to do essential
maintenance and replacement of fixed assets, it will result in
reducing operating expenses, such that selling expenses and
depreciation expenses. Also, the company has a liquid cash for
a new investment project, which may increase the future growth
rate of the company. This ratio is a good sign for the company.
The receivables turnover for SPC Company is 6.25, which is
more than 0.3 when you compare it to the industry average of
5.95. It means that the SPC Company is collecting its accounts
receivable more quickly than the industry average. The SPC
Company can have a valuable discipline on credit control that
will possibly result in a bad debt decrease, which is good for
SPC Company. The inventory turnover for the SPC Company is
4.167, which is less than 0.333 when you are comparing it to the
industry average of 4.5. It might be because the SPC Company
may have too many inventories in hand than the industry
average. It is expensive because inventories take up costly
warehouse space, some inventories may become spoiled or
obsolete and also a high risk of stock pilferage. The total asset
turnover for SPC Company is 1.67 that is less than 0.98 when
13. you compare it to the industry average of 2.65. It indicates that
the company is not able to get any more sales out of its assets
than the industry average. The company should reduce the
selling price to achieve higher sales volume since they are in a
very price competitive industry. When sales volume increase,
given no new investment in fixed assets, then the total asset
turnover will increase.
As for the compare profitability ratio, we can see that the net
profit margin, ROA, and ROE for SPC Company is 10%,
16.67%, 41.67% compared to the industry average of 8.5%,
22.5%, and 32.2% respectively. The results are mixed. When
compared to common stock ratios the dividends per share for
SPC Company is $ 0.25 that is less than $ 0.75 when compared
to the industry average of $ 1.00. Some dividends paid out to
the common stockholder is less than the average. Also, the
dividend yield for SPC Company is 1 % that is less than 1.5 %
when you compare it to the industry average of 2.5 %. It
indicates that the rate of current income earned on the
investments dollar is less than the average. Moreover, the
price-to-book-value for SPC Company is 10.40 that are higher
4.0 when compare to the industry average, 6.4. It indicates that
the stock for SPC Company is overpriced than average.
c. What is your overall assessment of South Plains Chemical?
Do you think Jack should continue with his evaluation of the
stock? Explain
Answer: No, the stock for SPC Company is overpriced. We can
see the fact from the price-to-book-value for SPC Company is
10.42 that are higher 4.0 when compare to the industry average,
6.4.
Case Problem 7.2 Doris Looks at an Auto Issue
Doris Wise is a young career woman. She lives in Phoenix,
Arizona, where she owns and operates a highly successful
modeling agency. Doris manages her modest but rapidly
growing investment portfolio, made up mostly of high-grade
common stocks. Because she’s young and single and has no
pressing family requirements, Doris has invested primarily in
14. stocks that offer the potential for attractive capital gains. Her
broker recently recommended an auto company stock and sent
her some literature and analytical reports to study. One report,
prepared by the brokerage house she deals with, provided an up-
to-date look at the economy, an extensive study of the auto
industry, and an equally extensive review of several auto
companies (including the one her broker recommended). She
feels strongly about the merits of security analysis and believes
it is important to spend time studying a stock before making an
investment decision.
Questions
a. Doris tries to stay informed about the economy on a regular
basis. At the present time, most economists agree that the
economy is getting stronger. What information about the
economy do you think Doris would find helpful in evaluating an
auto stock? Prepare a list—and be specific. Which three items
of economic information (from your list) do you feel are most
important? Explain.
Answer: The majority of economists would agree that a strong
economy would affect a company positively. Other factors that
Doris should take into consideration before she invests are the
following:
1- Jobs and Unemployment - You have to look at the current
unemployment rate. People have to be working to qualify for
loans to finance or purchase a car.
2- Interest Rates - The interest rate has to be low to entice the
consumer to borrow money to purchase a car. When rates are
high consumers are less likely to purchase or finance a car.
3- Inflation Rate – Once the price of items starts to go up,
many consumers may start to grow concerned about inflation.
Once people are concerned about inflation, it starts to affect
your investments negatively.
4- Taxes: A tax break can offer savings and incentives
through tax credits, deductions and exemptions to order to boost
spending.
15. 5- Labor Relations: Labor relations are important because
many automakers in the US have to deal with unions and union
influence. How they negotiate pay, medical benefits, and
retirement benefits has a big impact on how they do business
and how they keep their costs in line. But any change in cost
from paying higher wages and benefits usually gets passed on to
the consumer. Higher prices will mean lower sales.
The most important economic factors I feel is inflation and
unemployment. The reason they are the most important is
without a job nobody can buy a car and inflation lowers a
person buying power which makes them less likely to purchase
a car because they may feel the price is too high. It will all
impact the car sales.
b. In relation to a study of the auto industry, briefly note the
importance of each of the following.
1. Auto imports
Answer: Imported automobiles and those built by foreign
manufacturers in the U.S have had a tremendous impact on the
domestic industry. Imported automobile have a significant part
of the market, and this goes to domestic company end up losing
revenue.
2. The United Auto Workers union
Answer: Their unions are known to be aggressive when
negotiating for labor benefits.
3. Interest rates
Answer: The average price of a new car now is close to the
uppers $30,000, so it’s no surprise that consumers increasingly
finance their purchases with loans that last from 5 to 7 years.
When interest rates are lower people are willing to borrow more
money to purchase big items. When people are paying less
interest, it gives them more money to spend and when a
consumer has more money to spend that means good news for
companies that sell big ticket items like cars and homes.
4. The price of a gallon of gas
Answer: The price of a gallon of gas will reduce the number of
16. cars sales depending on what types of cars the company is
selling. Also if the gallon of gas is high, consumers are
spending more money to purchase gas than purchasing cars.
c. A variety of financial ratios and measures are provided about
one of the auto companies and its stock. These are incomplete,
however, so some additional information will have to be
computed. Specifically, we know the following:
Net profit margin
15%
Total assets
$25 billion
Earnings per share
$3.00
Total asset turnover
1.5
Net working capital
$3.4 billion
Payout ratio
40%
Current liabilities
$5 billion
Price-to-earnings ratio
12.5
Given this information, calculate the following:
1. Sales
Answer:
Total Assets Turnover * Total Assets =
1.5 * $25 Billion= $37.5 Billion
2. Net profits after taxes
Answer:
Net Profit Margin * Sales
15% X $ 37.5 = $5.625 billion
3. Current ratio
Answer:
Current assets = Net working cap + Current liabilities
17. $3.4 +$5 billion = $ 8.4 Billion
Current assets / Current liabilities = Current ratio
$ 8.4 billion÷ $5 billion= 1.68
4. Market price of the stock
Answer:
Price-to-earnings ratio*Earnings per share
12.5 X $3.00= $37.5 per share
5. Dividend yield
Answer:
(Earnings per share * Payout ratio) ÷ Market price of the stock
($3 X 40%) ÷$37.5= 0.032
0.032 X 100 =3.2%
Case Problem 8.1 Chris Looks for a Way to Invest His Wealth
1. LG 1
2. LG 2
3. LG 4
Chris Norton is a young Hollywood writer who is well on his
way to television superstardom. After writing several successful
television specials, he was recently named the head writer for
one of TV’s top-rated sitcoms. Chris fully realizes that his
business is a fickle one, and on the advice of his dad and
manager, he has decided to set up an investment program. Chris
will earn about a half-million dollars this year. Because of his
age, income level, and desire to get as big a bang as possible
from his investment dollars, he has decided to invest in
speculative, high-growth stocks.
Chris is currently working with a respected Beverly Hills broker
and is in the process of building up a diversified portfolio of
speculative stocks. The broker recently sent him information on
a hot new issue. She advised Chris to study the numbers and, if
he likes them, to buy as many as 1,000 shares of the stock.
Among other things, corporate sales for the next three years
have been forecasted as follows:
Year
Sales ($ millions)
18. 1
$22.5
2
$35.0
3
$50.0
The firm has 2.5 million shares of common stock outstanding.
They are currently being traded at $70 a share and pay no
dividends. The company has a net profit rate of 20%, and its
stock has been trading at a P/E of around 40 times earnings. All
these operating characteristics are expected to hold in the
future.
Questions
a. Looking first at the stock:
1. Compute the company’s net profits and EPS for each of the
next 3 years.
Answer:
Year 1
120/100) * 22.5 = $27 million
Therefore 27-22.5= $4.5 million
Profit= 4.5/70
= $64,285.71
Year 2
20% * 35.0 = $7
$7 million/70
Profit= $100,000
Year 3
20% of 50 = $ 10 million
10million/70
Profit = $142857.14285
2. Compute the price of the stock three years from now.
Answer:
Price of stocks= total profits for 3 years + total sales
= (4.5+7+10) + 107.5
= $129 million
3. Assuming that all expectations hold up and that Chris buys
19. the stock at $70, determine his expected return on this
investment.
Answer:
$ Stock= $ 70.00
Total sales = $107.5 million
Return = $107,500,000/70
=$535,714.29
Profit= 20% of $535,714.29
= $107,142.85
Total return= $535,714.29+$10,712.85
= $546,427.14
4. What risks is he facing by buying this stock? Be specific.
Answer: The earning per share is not stable, and therefore Chris
might run into high percentage loss. The 40% times earning
will, therefore, be tempered which will make the investment
drop.
5. Should he consider the stock a worthwhile investment
candidate? Explain.
Answer: Yes, The EPS from the previous years have constantly
been increasing, and therefore this shows a significant increase
and the net profit.
b. Looking at Chris’s investment program in general:
1. What do you think of his investment program? What do you
see as its strengths and weaknesses?
Answer: Constant change to EPS is the only weakness if not so,
therefore, this program is good.
2. Are there any suggestions you would make?
Answer: The suggestion I would make is to determine the
appropriate asset allocation. Chris needs to have a strategy
whereby the input should remain a hundred percent.
3. Do you think Chris should consider adding foreign stocks to
his portfolio? Explain.
Answer: I would say yes because I think it will amplify the
expansion of Chris’ investments and therefore increasing the
input per EPS.
Case Problem 8.2 An Analysis of a High-Flying Stock
20. 1. LG 2
2. LG 6
Marc Dodier is a recent university graduate and a security
analyst with the Kansas City brokerage firm of Lippman,
Brickbats, and Shaft. Marc has been following one of the hottest
issues on Wall Street, C&I Medical Supplies, a company that
has turned in an outstanding performance lately and, even more
important, has exhibited excellent growth potential. It has five
million shares outstanding and pays a nominal annual dividend
of $0.05 per share. Marc has decided to take a closer look at
C&I to assess its investment potential. Assume the company’s
sales for the past five years have been as follows:
Year
Sales ($ millions)
2012
$10.0
2013
$12.5
2014
$16.2
2015
$22.0
2016
$28.5
Marc is concerned with the future prospects of the company, not
its past. As a result, he pores over the numbers and generates
the following estimates of future performance:
Expected net profit margin
12%
Estimated annual dividends per share
5¢
Number of common shares outstanding
No change
P/E ratio at the end of 2017
35
P/E ratio at the end of 2018
21. 50
Questions
a. Determine the average annual rate of growth in sales over the
past five years. (Assume sales in 2011 amounted to $7.5
million.)
1. Use this average growth rate to forecast revenues for next
year (2017) and the year after that (2018).
Answer:
Year
Growth Rate
2012 to 2013
( 12.5 – 10.0 )/10.0 = 0.250
2013 to 2014
( 16.2 – 12.5 )/12.5 = 0.296
2014 to 2015
( 22.0 – 16.2 )/16.2 = 0.358
2015 to 2016
( 28.5 – 22.0 )/22.0 = 0.296
250 + .296 + .358 + .296 / 4 = .30
Average Annual Growth Rate = 30%
2. Now determine the company’s net earnings and EPS for each
of the next two years (2017 and 2018).
Answer:
Earnings in 2017
Sales x Profit margin
$37,000,000 x 0.12
= $4,440,000
Earnings in 2018
Sales x Profit margin
$48,100,000 x 0.12
22. = $5,772,000
EPS: 2017
$4,440,000 / 5,000,000 = $0.89
= $0.89
EPS: 2018
$5,772,000 / 5,000,000 = $1.15
= $1.15
3. Finally, determine the expected future price of the stock at
the end of this two-year period.
Answer:
P/E ratio for 2006 = 50
Share Price, 2006
P/E ratio for 2006 x 2006 EPS
50 x $1.15 = $57.50
$57.50 Share Price
b. Because of several intrinsic and market factors, Marc feels
that 25% is a viable figure to use for a desired rate of return.
1. Using the 25% rate of return and the forecasted figures you
came up with in question a, compute the stock’s justified price.
Answer:
Price of the share
We can calculate the price of the share by using PE ratio
PE ratio is MPS/EPS i.e market price of share to earnings per
share
23. for 2017= PE ratio is given as 35
35=MPS/0.89376
MPS=31.28
For 2018
50=MPS/1.1676
MPS=58.38
2. If C&I is currently trading at $32.50 per share, should Marc
consider the stock a worthwhile investment candidate? Explain.
Answer:
The stock is currently trading for $32.5 per share which is less
than the value we have calculated. so Marc should consider it as
a worthwhile investment because the MPS is going to pick up
more in future.
Case Problem 9.2 Deb Takes Measure of the Market
1. LG 5
Several months ago, Deb Forrester received a substantial sum of
money from the estate of her late aunt. Deb initially placed the
money in a savings account because she was not sure what to do
with it. Since then, however, she has taken a course in
investments at the local university. The textbook for the course
was, in fact, this one, and the class just completed this chapter.
Excited about what she has learned in class, Deb has decided
that she definitely wants to invest in stocks. But before she
does, she wants to use her newfound knowledge in technical
analysis to determine whether now would be a good time to
24. enter the market.
Deb has decided to use all of the following measures to help her
determine if now is, indeed, a good time to start putting money
into the stock market:
· Advance-decline line
· New highs-new lows indicator (Assume the current 10-day
moving average is 0 and the last 10 periods were each 0.)
· Arms index
· Mutual fund cash ratio
Deb goes to the Internet and, after considerable effort, is able to
put together the accompanying table of data.
Questions
a. Based on the data presented in the table, calculate a value
(where appropriate) for periods 1 through 5, for each of the four
measures listed above. Chart your results, where applicable.
Answer:
The Arms index = (The number of advancing stocks/The number
of declining stocks)/(The composite volume of advancing
stocks/The composite volume of declining stocks)
Arms Index[(Advancing issues(NYSE)/Declining issues
(NYSE))/(Volume up/Volume down) 0.525821596
0.20439551 1.91830855 0.696730457 0.39463639
b. Discuss each measure individually and note what it indicates
for the market, as it now stands. Taken collectively, what do
these four measures indicate about the current state of the
market? According to these measures, is this a good time for
Deb to consider getting into the market, or should she wait a
while? Explain.
Answer:
It is fairly bullish for investment purpose in period 1
period2period 4 and period 5 since Arms index is below 1.
Anything above 1as in the case of period 3 is considered
25. bearish. An Arms index of1 is said to be balanced market.
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 Period
5
Mutual Fund Cash
ratio(MututalFund
cash/Total Assets) 4% 5% 7% 9%
10%
c. Comment on the time periods used in the table, which are not
defined here. What if they were relatively long intervals of
time? What if they were relatively short? Explain how the
length of the time periods can affect the measures.
Answer:
Mutual fund cash ratio is below 5% for period 1 which seems
fairly bullish. The perspective remains balanced for period
2.However since Mutual fund cash ratio is above 5% for period
3period 4 Period 5, the sentiment is fairly bearish and not
advisable for making investments under these periods.
A/D Line = (No of Advancing Stocks - No of Declining Stocks)
+ Previous Period's A/D Line Value
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 Period
5
AD Line
(Advancing
Issues
(NYSE)-
Declining issues
(NYSE) -1,010 -1,704 -2,414 -1,832
-1,224
26. As per AD Line, The Sentiment is fairly bearish with regard to
all periods and hence investment should be avoided.
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Dow Jones Industrial Average
8,300
7,250
8,000
9,000
9,400
Dow Transportation Average
2,375
2,000
2,000
2,850
3,250
New highs
$ 68
$ 85
$ 85
$ 120
$ 200
New lows
$ 75
$ 60
$ 80
$ 75
$ 20
Volume up
600,000,000
82. · Behavioral leadership theory made major contributions to
leadership research.
· But it found there is no ‘one’ best style of leadership.
Leadership Behavior is Based on Traits:
· Leaders’ behavior is based on their traits and skills.
· Directly affecting their behavior and relationship with
employees.
· Leading by example is important.
· Behavior is easier to learn and change than traits.
Leadership Style:
· Leadership style is the combination of traits, skills, and
behaviors leaders use as they interact with followers.
· While based on traits and skills, the important component of a
leadership style is behavior.
· Consistent patterns of behavior characterize a leader.
Autocratic leadership style
· The autocrat makes the decisions, tells employees what to do
and closely supervises workers.
Democratic leadership style
· The democrat encourages participation in decisions, allows the
group to determine tasks and does not closely supervise
employees.
University of Michigan Leadership Model:
· Created and used the Survey of Organizations.
· The University of Michigan Leadership Model thus identifies
two leadership styles: job-centered and employee-
83. centered.
· Job-Centered Leadership Style has scales measuring goal
emphasis and work facilitation.
· Employee-Centered Leadership Style has scales measuring
supportive leadership and interaction facilitation. [Being In
Between.]
High-High Leader Research:
· The high-high leader has concern for both production and
people, or
· Team leadership style.
· There is some support for the high-high leader style as the
universal theory.
· However, it is not accepted as the one best style in all
situations.
Leadership and Motivation Theories:
· Motivation is anything that affects behavior in pursuing a
certain outcome.
· Through the motivation process, people go from need to
motive to behavior to consequence to satisfaction or
dissatisfaction. [Ups and Downs.]
Content Motivation Theories:
· Content motivation theories focus on explaining and
predicting behavior based on people’s needs. Includes:
· Hierarchy of Needs Theory,
· Two-Factor Theory, and
· Acquired Needs Theory.
· The key to successful leadership is to meet the needs of
employees while achieving organizational objectives.
Hierarchy of Needs Theory:
· In the 1940’s, Abraham Maslow (We will need to use his name
in the dissuasions and his thoughts.) developed his hierarchy of
needs theory based on these four assumptions.
84. 1. Only unmet needs motivate.
2. People’s needs are arranged in order of importance
(hierarchy) from basic to complex.
3. No motivation to fulfill a higher-level need unless the lower-
level need(s) are met.
4. People have five classifications of needs.
Hierarchy of Needs:
· The hierarchy of needs theory proposes that people are
motivated through five levels of needs.
1. Physiological needs – basic needs.
2. Safety needs – safety and security.
3. Belongingness needs – also called social needs.
4. Esteem needs – focuses on ego, status, self-respect.
5. Self-actualization needs – reach one’s full potential.
· Today, Maslow and others realize needs are not on a simple
five-step hierarchy.
Maintenance and Motivators:
Maintenance factors:
· Also called extrinsic motivators.
· Extrinsic motivators include:
Pay,
Job security,
Working conditions,
Fringe benefits, and
Relationships.
Motivators:
· Also called intrinsic motivators.
· Intrinsic motivators include:
Achievement,
Recognition,
85. Challenge, and
Advancement.
· Better motivators than extrinsic factors.
Motivating Employees with Two-Factor Theory:
· Money as a motivator:
· Money will not necessarily motivate employees to work
harder.
· Motivating with the Two-Factor Theory:
· Under the new paradigm, pay is important, but the best
motivators are intrinsic motivators.
· Herzberg developed job enrichment, the process of building
motivators into the job.
Acquired Needs Theory:
· Acquired needs theory proposes that people are motivated by
their need for achievement, power, and affiliation.
Balancing Work-Life Needs:
· Work-life balance is also called work-home and work-family
balance.
· Life needs a healthy balance.
· The global marketplace allows for around the clock work
causing work-life conflict.
· Two things organizations are doing:
· Providing on-site day care centers, and
· Offering flextime.
· Blue-Collar: No education, skilled trade, and labor.
· White-Collar: Education, Salary, Marketing, Lawyer, and
Professors.
Equity Theory:
· Equity theory proposes that people are motivated when their
86. perceived inputs equal outputs.
· People compare their inputs and outputs to that of relevant
others and conclude if they are under-rewarded, over-rewarded,
or equitably rewarded.
· When inequity is perceived, employees attempt to correct the
balance.
Motivating with Equity Theory:
· When employees feel under-rewarded, they are demotivated.
Expectancy Theory:
· Expectancy theory proposes that people are motivated when
they believe they can accomplish the task, they will get the
reward, and the rewards for doing the task are worth the effort.
Motivating with Expectancy Theory:
· These conditions result in motivation:
· Clearly defined objectives and the performance needed to
achieve them,
· Tie performance to rewards,
· Be sure rewards are of value to employees,
· Make sure employees believe you will do what you say you
will do, and
· Use the Pygmalion effect to increase expectations.
Goal-Setting Theory:
· Goal-setting theory proposes that specific, difficult goals
motivate people.
· Writing objectives model are
(1) To + (2) action verb + (3) singular, specific, and
measurable result to be achieved + (4) target date.
· Goal setting might be the most effective management tool
available.
An example of mine, based on that formula above:
My aim to graduate by the fall semester in 2019, by the next
semester with honorary certificate.
87. Giving Praise: (Important to him. Yet not for the class purpose)
· Giving praise creates a win-win situation.
· The steps in the giving praise model are (1) tell the employee
exactly what was done correctly, (2) tell the employee why the
behavior is important, (3) stop for a moment of silence, and (4)
encourage repeat performance.
Running Head: LEADERSHIP
1
Motivational Theories 2
Name: Abdulaziz
Date: 05/14/2019
A leader appreciates the fact that their most important asset is
the human resource they manage. Such a leader acknowledges
that the failure or success of the organization is dependent on
how the employees of the organization have been motivated.
Modern leadership theories incorporate the element of employee
motivation and empowerment as critical elements that define
great leadership skills. Consequently, leaders are therefore
mindful that objectives of the organization can be met more
efficiently when they attend to the needs of the employees. The
88. acquired needs theory is the most preferable content motivation
theory. This is because it proposes that because individuals
have different experiences and preferences they are bound to
have different needs. Therefore, leaders should not use the same
formulae to satisfy the needs of employees because this needs
maybe different (Rudolph, 2016).
Employee motivation can be perceived from different
dimensions. Process motivational theories attempt to perceive
employee motivation from a behavioral and psychological
dimension. The theories seek to explain how the needs of
employees might influence their behavior at work. The most
preferable theory in this category is the equity motivational
theory. The theory proposes that when workers feels their
efforts are not rewarded equitably they become less motivated
and their productivity might be negatively affected (Rudolph,
2016). If a worker feels their efforts is not comparatively equal
to their fellow employees, they will seek to adjust their efforts
upwards or downwards to march the effort of other employees.
As a leader, the theory encourages that employees should be
rewarded based on the effort they put at work. Any deviation
from a reward system that is perceived to be equitable can
create disharmony among employees making them feel less
motivated.
In any position of power, positive and negative reinforcement
always comes in handy depending on the nature of employees
one is dealing with. The pain, humiliation and public annoyance
that is derived from negative reinforcement might motivate
employees to avoid engaging in actions that not desired at work.
However, it comes with a risk of losing their respect as they
will only fear the consequences of their actions and not
appreciate the importance of following the rules. On the other
hand, a positive reinforcement generates pleasure and a sense of
appreciation by the organization (Temminck, Mearns & Fruhen,
2015). This form of motivation is more beneficial to both
parties and breeds mutual respect. The best model to employ a
mixture of both forms of reinforcement so that you cater to
89. employees of every kind.
References
Rudolph, C. W. (2016). Lifespan developmental perspectives on
working: A literature review of motivational theories. Work,
Aging and Retirement, 2(2), 130-158.
Temminck, E., Mearns, K., & Fruhen, L. (2015). Motivating
employees towards sustainable behaviour. Business Strategy
and the Environment, 24(6), 402-412.