This document summarizes information about the banking sector in Bangladesh from 2009-2011. It discusses the types of banks regulated by Bangladesh Bank, the main risks faced by the sector including credit, market, and operational risk. It notes that high credit growth can increase credit risk. Bangladesh Bank set a 9% minimum capital requirement by 2011 and has implemented stress testing to help banks manage risks in line with Basel II standards. Stress testing assesses how shocks might impact capital adequacy ratios and allows management to respond to potential crises. The document also provides an example of Private Bank Limited's stress testing process and assumptions used to evaluate the bank's capacity to handle unexpected events.

2. (Year 2009-2011)
Department of Finance
University of Dhaka

3.  4 State Owned Commercial Banks (SCB),
 4 government owned specialized banks,
 30 domestic private banks, and
 9 foreign banks are
Regulated and monitored by Bangladesh Bank (BB)
Direct impact comes from three major components of market
risk which includes interest rate risk, exchange rate risk and
equity price risk.
Risk weighted assets of this sector comprise credit risk,
market risk and operational risk
High credit growth is inseparable from mounting credit risk,
as reflected by nonperforming bank loans.

4. It has set a mandatory timeframe for the banks to
maintain their capital against 9% of risk weighted assets
by June 2011.
BB has designed a stress testing framework for banks and
FIs to manage risks in line with Basel-II framework.
Under the framework, majority of our banks are trying to
maintain the minimum required Capital Adequacy Ratio
(CAR).
Again to minimize equity risk, the total holdings of banks
in shares cannot exceed 10% of their total liabilities
according to Bank Company Act, 1991.

5. It provides an indication how much Capital Adequacy Ratio
(CAR) might be needed to absorb losses if any large shocks
occur.
‘Stress testing’ is a range of quantitative techniques to
assess the potential risks to the individual institutions as
well as financial system for any adverse unexpected
outcomes related to variety of risks.
It can be done by simple sensitivity Analysis, Scenario
Analysis or Maximum Shock Analysis.
All banks and FIs are ordered to carry out stress testing on
half-yearly basis i.e. on June 30 and December 31 each
year and reporting the results to Bangladesh Bank.

7. PBL claims that it has adequate capital to absorb minor, moderate
and major level of shocks. In case of cumulative shocks, some
additional capital may be required.
I have done stress testing on PBL based on year-end data of 2009,
2010 &2011. I have also used some assumptions in case of
unavailable data.
PBL has a strong capital base and capital adequacy stands at
12.49% of the risk weighted assets.
Risk Management Unit (RMU) of the bank prepares stress testing
model in line with the Bangladesh Bank’s guideline to ---
assess the capacity of the Bank to manage unanticipated crises
and management response to manage the crises

9. Settlement date = Present date
Maturity date = Settlement Date + Repricing Period
Current market rate
PV (rate, nper, pmt, [fv] )
DURATION (settlement, maturity,
coupon, yield, frequency)
Assumption
Excel
File

10. Given in Annual Report
Market Value weighted YTM and Duration

11. Revised Regulatory Capital = Regulatory
Capital – Tax adjusted loss
Revised RWA = RWA – Tax adjusted loss
Revised CAR (%) = (RRC/RRWA)

15. Total Liabilities – Borrowings of more than one year
All the deposits including the term deposits are
assumed to be liquid

17. Multiply
(SMA*%Shift*Provision Substandard + Substandard * (1-
%Shift)*Provision Substandard) + (Substandard * %Shift*
Provision doubtful + Doubtful * (1- %Shift)*Provision doubtful)
+ Doubtful *% Shift*Provision Loss + Loss * Provision Loss

25. Reason for the highest
risk Each Year

26. And The highest risk is caused by Fall
in FSV of Mortgaged Collateral