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India Inside. The Emerging
             Innovation Threat to the West
   Nirmalya Kumar
   Professor of Marketing and Co-Director of Aditya Birla India Centre at
   London Business School

From Obama to Singh, leaders worldwide cite innovation as crucial to the future
   prospects of their respective nations. During this session, Nirmalya Kumar will
   contend that the long held monopoly of the West with respect to innovation is over.

Drawing on extensive research and in-depth interviews with India-based executives
(including AstraZeneca, GE, Infosys, Intel and Wipro), Nirmalya will unveil the dramatic
rise in so-called “invisible” innovation occurring in India. This innovation takes a rich
variety of forms—from novel B2B offerings and R&D services outsourcing to process
improvement discoveries and fresh approaches to management. To the sceptic's
contention “where are the Indian Googles, iPods and Viagras?”, Nirmalya proposes that
despite some challenges, most significantly the mirage of mighty labour pools, India has
emerged as a global ‘invisible’ innovation hub.
The Emerging
  Markets
Challenge to
   MNCs

Nirmalya Kumar
Power Shift




              Copyright © Nirmalya Kumar
Copyright © Nirmalya Kumar
Bob McDonald
                                       CEO, Procter & Gamble




      “We are serving 3.5bn people today …. and I am confident
      we can reach at least another 1bn or more in the decade
      ahead.”

      “If, over time, we increase per capita consumption [of
      P&G products] in both China and India to the rate we see
      in Mexico, it would generate an incremental $40bn in
      annual sales.”

Source: P&G growth in emerging markets eyed, Financial Times (11 June 2009)
                                                                              © Nirmalya Kumar
Copyright © Nirmalya Kumar
© Nirmalya Kumar
China and India: Issues for MNC


  Lead Markets?

  Product Range?

  Future Competitors?

  Location of R&D?

  Corporate Headquarter Location?




                                     © Nirmalya Kumar
India’s Global
   Powerhouses
          ?
Future Competitors
               © Nirmalya Kumar
Indian Globalisation Strategy
 Essel Propack
      - following a global customer
 Mahindra, VIP, Suzlon
       - leveraging India’s scale
 Godrej, Marico, Tata Motors
       - unique product competence
 Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Tea
       - transformational merger
 Infosys, Wipro, TCS
       - born global

                                        © Nirmalya Kumar
Hindalco: Climbing the Acquisition
                      Competence Ladder
                                                                                                     Novelis
                                                                                                     North
                                                                                     Minacs          America
                                                                       St. Anne      Worldwide
                                                                       Nackawic      Canada
     ACQUISITIONS                                                      Pulp Mill
                                              Nifty;                   Canada
       Indal;                                 Mount Gordon
                                              Australia                                              2007
       Annapurna Foils                                                                2006
       India                                                            2005
                                              2003        2004
       2000        2001        2002

        How to bid for,            How to take over,      How to manage a          How to acquire,
         negotiate with, and         turn around, and        global supply chain       assimilate, and
         integrate                   operate companies       as a buyer and            delist a company in
         companies in India          in a developed          seller                    North America
        How to manage a             market                 How to manage            How to manage a
         large customer-            How to list             price fluctuations        large, HR-intensive
         focused, value-             companies on a          and foreign               multinational
         added products              stock exchange          exchange risks            operation
         business                    abroad and manage       across countries
        How to turn around          investor relations
         a small Indian
         company in
         receivership


Source: How Emerging Giants are rewriting the rules of M&A, Harvard Business Review (May 2009)
                                                                                                   © Nirmalya Kumar
Two Approaches to M&A
                                     Traditional Approach                          Emerging Giants Approach
Rationale                 The aim of a takeover is to drive                  The aim is to obtain drive market
                          consolidations sometimes to obtain                 combination
                          technologies, enter niches, or break into
                          new countries.
Synergy Levels            Shared - The acquirer and the acquisition          Unique - The acquirer is dominant in
                          usually have the same business model.              home market, while the acquisition is a
                                                                             value-added branded-products
                                                                             company in developed market.
Integration Speed         The buyer makes several changes in the             Integration is slow-moving at first. After
                          acquisition soon after the takeover. It slows      a while, the buyer starts pulling the
                          the quest for synergies thereafter.                acquisition closer.
Organizational            High executive turnover and head-count             Little interference, executive turnover,
Fallout                   reduction at first. Culture clashes occur and      or head-count reduction right after the
                          productivity declines, but things settle           acquisition. Focus on business process
                          down over time.                                    integration.
Goals                     The buyer has clear short-term aims but            The acquirer’s short-term objectives
                          may not have though through long-term              may be fuzzy, but its long-term vision is
                          goals.                                             clear.

Source: How Emerging Giants are rewriting the rules of M&A, Harvard Business Review (May 2009)

                                                                                                  © Nirmalya Kumar
© Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Friedman’s Prognosis


                                                    Free trade based on comparative
                                                    advantage will benefit the
                                                    developed world

                                                    ..with “more sophisticated tasks
                                                    being done in the developed world
                                                    and the less sophisticated tasks in
                                                    the developing world—where each
                                                    has its comparative advantage.”

                                                                      The World is Flat (p. 271)


Source: The World is Flat, Thomas Friedman (2005)                      © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
???
   Where are the
  Indian Googles,
iPods, and Viagras
             © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
“Indians don’t do
   innovation”


            © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Invisible Innovation

                       New products/services
                           for end users
VISIBLE INNOVATION



INVISIBLE INNOVATION   1. Innovation for business
                       customers - made in India,
                       branded elsewhere

                       2. Outsourcing Innovation -
                       value added R & D services
                       on demand

                       3. Process innovation -
                       an injection of intelligence

                       4. Management Innovation -
                       global services delivery
                       model




                                                      © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Indian Visible Innovation


“The beauty of the Indian market is that it pushes
you in a corner…it demands everything in the
world, but cheaper and smaller”

                                           Guillermo Wille
              Former Head of John F. Welch Technology Centre
                                                GE Bangalore




                                                     © Nirmalya Kumar
"Designing for simple solutions at the lowest
possible cost is in many ways more challenging
than designing a very advanced, high-tech
solution”

                                       Unmesh Kulkarni
                       Senior Design Manager, Philips India




                                                    © Nirmalya Kumar
Frugal innovation:
            “Nano Effect”

 Robustness
 Portability
 De-featuring
 Leapfrog technology
 Mega scale production
 Service ecosystems




                               © Nirmalya Kumar
Invisible Innovation

                       New products/services
                           for end users
VISIBLE INNOVATION



INVISIBLE INNOVATION   1. Innovation for business
                       customers - made in India,
                       branded elsewhere

                       2. Outsourcing Innovation -
                       value added R & D services
                       on demand

                       3. Process innovation -
                       an injection of intelligence

                       4. Management Innovation -
                       global services delivery
                       model




                                                      © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
From services to innovation……




                      © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Research Design




                  © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
The Internal Impacts Do Not Differ!

                                                         There is a
Impact on:   EE         US           Difference          difference in the
             Patents    patents                          overall impact
             mean (fwd mean (fwd                         of inventions
             citations) citations)

All            2.71        3.39      -0.68**
MNC
Network        0.38        0.47      -0.09
External
                                                          There is no
Firms          2.33        2.92      -0.59*               difference in the
                                                          internal impact
                                                          of inventions
*p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

                                                  © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Source: Integrating distributed work, K. Srikanth and P Puranam   © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Management Innovation: Global Service
           Delivery Model
“People usually don’t trust their counterparts who are sitting
11,000 miles away. If you think about it, though, few companies
have the luxury of having their technologists sitting in one
building….The behavioural reality is that if people are sitting in
different buildings, they already pick up the phone or communicate
through computers. If you understand that, and have created a
culture of treating your teams in the next building or those 11,000
miles away the same, you have it. The only caveat is the time
difference, which generates issues in work/life balance. That’s the
problem you face.”

                                                         Guillermo Wille
                            Former Head of John F. Welch Technology Centre
                                                              GE Bangalore


                                                   © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
IBM’s Dilemma
                  IBM Headcount
                  2003      2009      Now
      World      310,000   400,000   433,000
      USA        135,000   105,000   98,000
      India       9,000    100,000   150,000



January 24, 2009 5:18 PM PST
       IBM quietly lays off North American staff

News March 12, 2010 Computerworld:
      IBM stops disclosing U.S. headcount data

                                     © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
China and India: Issues for MNC


 Lead Markets?

 Product Range?                     Browning of
                                      the TMT
 Location of R&D?

 Future Competitors?                Sinking skill
                                      ladder
 Corporate Headquarter Location?




                                          © Nirmalya Kumar
Evolution of MNC Structure


    Export
    Local subsidiary
    Transnational
    T shaped structures



                           © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Mighty Labour Pools

 Currently, India constitutes one-third of the world’s
  low-cost labor supply, and more that half the
  population are under the age of 25.


 Over the next 5 years, India will account for a quarter
  of the increase in the working age population across
  the globe.


                                        © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
The Mirage of Mighty Labour Pools
• Indian R&D talent pool is between 100,000 and 300,000 people,
  compared with 925,000 in China, 477,000 in Russia, and 150,000 in Korea
• India produced about 6,600 science and technology PhDs in
  2007,compared with 8,000 in China and 12,000 in the USA in 2003
• Only 10% of the college-age population (18-24) attend college in India,
  compared with 20% in China and 60% in the USA
• Employable undergraduates: “less than 30%” (McKinsey estimate)
• IIT’s and IIM’s are notoriously understaffed
• Indian Universities are invisible in the record of US patents involving
  Indian inventors
• Management research: Total number of Indian author appearances
  between 1990-2009 is 132 (compare: HKUST is about 30 per annum)
• %GDP spending on R&D: India (0.6%); China (1.3); USA (2.6%)


                                                   © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
Harvard Business Review
Have You Restructured for Global Success? (with
Puranam) - October 2011

The Upstart’s Assault (with Bertini) – July 2010

Don’t Be Undersold! (with Steenkamp) - December
2009

How Emerging Giants are Rewriting the Rules of
M&A - May 2009

Strategies to Fight Low-Cost Rivals - December 2006

Kill a Brand, Keep a Customer – December 2003

Profits in the Pie of the Beholder (with Corsten) -
May 2003


                                                      32

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India Inside. The Emerging Innovation Threat to the West – LBS Professor Nirmalya Kumar

  • 1. India Inside. The Emerging Innovation Threat to the West Nirmalya Kumar Professor of Marketing and Co-Director of Aditya Birla India Centre at London Business School From Obama to Singh, leaders worldwide cite innovation as crucial to the future prospects of their respective nations. During this session, Nirmalya Kumar will contend that the long held monopoly of the West with respect to innovation is over. Drawing on extensive research and in-depth interviews with India-based executives (including AstraZeneca, GE, Infosys, Intel and Wipro), Nirmalya will unveil the dramatic rise in so-called “invisible” innovation occurring in India. This innovation takes a rich variety of forms—from novel B2B offerings and R&D services outsourcing to process improvement discoveries and fresh approaches to management. To the sceptic's contention “where are the Indian Googles, iPods and Viagras?”, Nirmalya proposes that despite some challenges, most significantly the mirage of mighty labour pools, India has emerged as a global ‘invisible’ innovation hub.
  • 2. The Emerging Markets Challenge to MNCs Nirmalya Kumar
  • 3. Power Shift Copyright © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 5. Bob McDonald CEO, Procter & Gamble “We are serving 3.5bn people today …. and I am confident we can reach at least another 1bn or more in the decade ahead.” “If, over time, we increase per capita consumption [of P&G products] in both China and India to the rate we see in Mexico, it would generate an incremental $40bn in annual sales.” Source: P&G growth in emerging markets eyed, Financial Times (11 June 2009) © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 8. China and India: Issues for MNC  Lead Markets?  Product Range?  Future Competitors?  Location of R&D?  Corporate Headquarter Location? © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 9. India’s Global Powerhouses ? Future Competitors © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 10. Indian Globalisation Strategy  Essel Propack - following a global customer  Mahindra, VIP, Suzlon - leveraging India’s scale  Godrej, Marico, Tata Motors - unique product competence  Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Tea - transformational merger  Infosys, Wipro, TCS - born global © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 11. Hindalco: Climbing the Acquisition Competence Ladder Novelis North Minacs America St. Anne Worldwide Nackawic Canada ACQUISITIONS Pulp Mill Nifty; Canada Indal; Mount Gordon Australia 2007 Annapurna Foils 2006 India 2005 2003 2004 2000 2001 2002  How to bid for,  How to take over,  How to manage a  How to acquire, negotiate with, and turn around, and global supply chain assimilate, and integrate operate companies as a buyer and delist a company in companies in India in a developed seller North America  How to manage a market  How to manage  How to manage a large customer-  How to list price fluctuations large, HR-intensive focused, value- companies on a and foreign multinational added products stock exchange exchange risks operation business abroad and manage across countries  How to turn around investor relations a small Indian company in receivership Source: How Emerging Giants are rewriting the rules of M&A, Harvard Business Review (May 2009) © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 12. Two Approaches to M&A Traditional Approach Emerging Giants Approach Rationale The aim of a takeover is to drive The aim is to obtain drive market consolidations sometimes to obtain combination technologies, enter niches, or break into new countries. Synergy Levels Shared - The acquirer and the acquisition Unique - The acquirer is dominant in usually have the same business model. home market, while the acquisition is a value-added branded-products company in developed market. Integration Speed The buyer makes several changes in the Integration is slow-moving at first. After acquisition soon after the takeover. It slows a while, the buyer starts pulling the the quest for synergies thereafter. acquisition closer. Organizational High executive turnover and head-count Little interference, executive turnover, Fallout reduction at first. Culture clashes occur and or head-count reduction right after the productivity declines, but things settle acquisition. Focus on business process down over time. integration. Goals The buyer has clear short-term aims but The acquirer’s short-term objectives may not have though through long-term may be fuzzy, but its long-term vision is goals. clear. Source: How Emerging Giants are rewriting the rules of M&A, Harvard Business Review (May 2009) © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 13. © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 14. Friedman’s Prognosis Free trade based on comparative advantage will benefit the developed world ..with “more sophisticated tasks being done in the developed world and the less sophisticated tasks in the developing world—where each has its comparative advantage.” The World is Flat (p. 271) Source: The World is Flat, Thomas Friedman (2005) © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 15. ??? Where are the Indian Googles, iPods, and Viagras © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 16. “Indians don’t do innovation” © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 17. Invisible Innovation New products/services for end users VISIBLE INNOVATION INVISIBLE INNOVATION 1. Innovation for business customers - made in India, branded elsewhere 2. Outsourcing Innovation - value added R & D services on demand 3. Process innovation - an injection of intelligence 4. Management Innovation - global services delivery model © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 18. Indian Visible Innovation “The beauty of the Indian market is that it pushes you in a corner…it demands everything in the world, but cheaper and smaller” Guillermo Wille Former Head of John F. Welch Technology Centre GE Bangalore © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 19. "Designing for simple solutions at the lowest possible cost is in many ways more challenging than designing a very advanced, high-tech solution” Unmesh Kulkarni Senior Design Manager, Philips India © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 20. Frugal innovation: “Nano Effect”  Robustness  Portability  De-featuring  Leapfrog technology  Mega scale production  Service ecosystems © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 21. Invisible Innovation New products/services for end users VISIBLE INNOVATION INVISIBLE INNOVATION 1. Innovation for business customers - made in India, branded elsewhere 2. Outsourcing Innovation - value added R & D services on demand 3. Process innovation - an injection of intelligence 4. Management Innovation - global services delivery model © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 22. From services to innovation…… © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 23. Research Design © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 24. The Internal Impacts Do Not Differ! There is a Impact on: EE US Difference difference in the Patents patents overall impact mean (fwd mean (fwd of inventions citations) citations) All 2.71 3.39 -0.68** MNC Network 0.38 0.47 -0.09 External There is no Firms 2.33 2.92 -0.59* difference in the internal impact of inventions *p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001 © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 25. Source: Integrating distributed work, K. Srikanth and P Puranam © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 26. Management Innovation: Global Service Delivery Model “People usually don’t trust their counterparts who are sitting 11,000 miles away. If you think about it, though, few companies have the luxury of having their technologists sitting in one building….The behavioural reality is that if people are sitting in different buildings, they already pick up the phone or communicate through computers. If you understand that, and have created a culture of treating your teams in the next building or those 11,000 miles away the same, you have it. The only caveat is the time difference, which generates issues in work/life balance. That’s the problem you face.” Guillermo Wille Former Head of John F. Welch Technology Centre GE Bangalore © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 27. IBM’s Dilemma IBM Headcount 2003 2009 Now World 310,000 400,000 433,000 USA 135,000 105,000 98,000 India 9,000 100,000 150,000 January 24, 2009 5:18 PM PST IBM quietly lays off North American staff News March 12, 2010 Computerworld: IBM stops disclosing U.S. headcount data © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 28. China and India: Issues for MNC  Lead Markets?  Product Range?  Browning of the TMT  Location of R&D?  Future Competitors?  Sinking skill ladder  Corporate Headquarter Location? © Nirmalya Kumar
  • 29. Evolution of MNC Structure  Export  Local subsidiary  Transnational  T shaped structures © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 30. Mighty Labour Pools  Currently, India constitutes one-third of the world’s low-cost labor supply, and more that half the population are under the age of 25.  Over the next 5 years, India will account for a quarter of the increase in the working age population across the globe. © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 31. The Mirage of Mighty Labour Pools • Indian R&D talent pool is between 100,000 and 300,000 people, compared with 925,000 in China, 477,000 in Russia, and 150,000 in Korea • India produced about 6,600 science and technology PhDs in 2007,compared with 8,000 in China and 12,000 in the USA in 2003 • Only 10% of the college-age population (18-24) attend college in India, compared with 20% in China and 60% in the USA • Employable undergraduates: “less than 30%” (McKinsey estimate) • IIT’s and IIM’s are notoriously understaffed • Indian Universities are invisible in the record of US patents involving Indian inventors • Management research: Total number of Indian author appearances between 1990-2009 is 132 (compare: HKUST is about 30 per annum) • %GDP spending on R&D: India (0.6%); China (1.3); USA (2.6%) © Nirmalya Kumar & Phanish Puranam
  • 32. Harvard Business Review Have You Restructured for Global Success? (with Puranam) - October 2011 The Upstart’s Assault (with Bertini) – July 2010 Don’t Be Undersold! (with Steenkamp) - December 2009 How Emerging Giants are Rewriting the Rules of M&A - May 2009 Strategies to Fight Low-Cost Rivals - December 2006 Kill a Brand, Keep a Customer – December 2003 Profits in the Pie of the Beholder (with Corsten) - May 2003 32