This is part 1 in a series of presentations that outlines my swing trading system. Here I describe the pattern that I swing trade, showing you the basic move up and down that I look for.
For more info on my thoughts about swing trading this pattern, or swing trading in general, visit my blog:
https://greedygoblintrader.com/
3. The move up & the move down: AAPL
The move up (GREEN arrow) I always
scan to the left to view the pricing action
going back over the previous month. You
can see that right around the start of
November, AAPL moved sharply higher.
That is a pretty powerful move. It lasted
about 9 days (each candle is a day) after
trading in a relatively quiet period through
October. After that initial move that lasted
about a week and a half, AAPL traded
sideways for the most part and then...
The move down (RED arrow) The bottom
fell out.
4. AAPL: Psychology behind this chart
The move up (Green arrow), was
relatively fast and quick. Those
that bought here, I call Phase 1
buyers.
There is another "hidden buyer", which is the one who regretted not buying in during the
sharp move up which occurred during the GREEN arrow time-frame... Hidden Hillary's I like to
call them.
The move down (Red arrow), was
relatively fast and quick. Many of
those that sell here, are the same
Phase 1 buyers that now have a
loss.
5. AAPL: Phase 1 buyers during the Green up period
● They got in, expecting the sharp move up to continue.
● It didn't do much... trading sideways. They held.
● Then comes the sharp move down. The recent buyers are now showing a
loss. They watch as each day, their loss keeps increasing.
● Finally, they've had enough. They throw in the towel and sell on the way
down shown by the RED arrow.
● Those previous Phase 1 buyers
(GREEN), become Phase 1 sellers
(RED).
6. AAPL: The “Hidden” Buyer Steps In
● Hidden Hillary, who was sitting there watching the sharp move up and didn't participate. Maybe
she was already a holder and regretted not adding more. Maybe she wanted to buy, but was
uncertain of the direction. Well, in any case, she watched as AAPL rocketed higher and
completely missed out, kicking herself each day.
● Then, the decline happened (RED arrow)! Now she's got a potential bargain on her hands,
thinking to herself: "This is a buy! I’m buying shares on this dip and don’t want to miss out on the
move like I did last time”
● So she gets in on the trade. There actually there are tons of Hidden Hillary's out there...buying in
to get a bargain.
● This the classic definition of support. The reversal happens at the prior point of the breakout.
10. Up Next:
Part 2: Using Moving Averages
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