Think Again: Media + Tech 2014

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This document discusses trends in media, technology, and consumer attention. It notes that the average person's day is fragmented into 120 15-minute periods of attention across various activities like work, commuting, TV, and social media. Emerging technologies like virtual reality and the "internet of things" will further divide attention. The number of media and tech companies serving the next 4 billion users will increase as more offer specialized services across areas like messaging, content, commerce, connectivity and more. The future will see more independent players in each layer and the rise of new attention-grabbing formats, quantified data about humans and the world, and fan-created content dwarfing professional content.

Entertainment & Humor Technology

THINKAGAIN:MEDIA+TECH 2014
MichaelJ.Wolf | @mjw

9HOURS
2HOURS
3HOURS
7HOURS
5HOURS
1
ATTENTIONISNOT 
AZERO-SUMGAME

OTHER NIGHTTIME  
ACTIVITIES
SLEEP
MULTITASKED TV,  
DIGITAL AND  
OTHER MEDIA
MULTITASKED WORK
WITH MEDIA
FOCUSED
WORK
MULTITASKED  
AUDIO AND OTHER  
PASSIVE MEDIA
COMMUTING, MEALS,  
OTHER DAYTIME
DEDICATED TV
8HOURS
2HOURS
3HOURS
7HOURS
5HOURS
3HOURS
1HOUR
1HOUR
30HOURSINA24HOURDAY
REALITY OF A TYPICAL PERSON
IN THE U.S. AVERAGE DAY

ATTENTION15MINUTESATATIME
SLEEP
FOCUSED WORK
MULTITASKED WORK
WITH MEDIA
!
COMMUTING, MEALS,  
OTHER DAYTIME
!
DEDICATED TV
MULTI-TASKED TV, DIGITAL  
AND OTHER MEDIA
!
MULTI-TASKED AUDIO AND  
OTHER PASSIVE MEDIA
!
OTHER NIGHTTIME ACTIVITIES
A TYPICAL 30 HOUR DAY: 120 15 MIN. MOMENTS

$2.6 $1.5 $9.0 $1.5
$1.0 $.7 $.5
BILLIONDOLLARSONLESSTHANFIVEMINUTES
VALUATIONS IN BILLIONS
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REPLACEMENT CYCLESLOW FAST
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PHABLETS
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ANNUAL ARPU COMPARISON ACROSS SUBSCRIPTIONS, COMMERCE, MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT AND ADVERTISING
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285307
633
684
760
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MORELAYERS 
TOBEAPLAYER
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
✔ ✔ ✔

SEARCHINGFORVR
OCULUS RIFT GOOGLE CARDBOARD
SONY MORPHEUS DAFT PUNK

MEDIA+TECHLAYERS
MOBILE/VIDEO MESSAGING
VIDEO CONTENT
BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE/BIG DATA
INTERNET OF THINGS
SEARCH
MARKETPLACE
DELIVERY SERVICE/ON-DEMAND
CONNECTIVITY
OS
HARDWARE
PAYMENT
STORAGE
ADS/TECH

MEDIA+TECHCAPABILITIESMATRIX
MOBILE/VIDEO MESSAGING ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
VIDEO CONTENT ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
INTERNET OF THINGS ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
SEARCH ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
MARKETPLACE ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
DELIVERY SERVICE/ON-DEMAND ✔ ✔ ✔
CONNECTIVITY ✔ ✔ ✔
OS ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
HARDWARE ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
PAYMENT ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
STORAGE ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
ADS/TECH ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE/BIG DATA ✔ ✔ ✔

WHAT’SNEXT?
INDEPENDENT PLAYERS IN EACH LAYER
MOBILE/VIDEO MESSAGING
VIDEO CONTENT
INTERNET OF THINGS
SEARCH
MARKETPLACE
DELIVERY SERVICE/ON-DEMAND
CONNECTIVITY
OS
HARDWARE
PAYMENT
STORAGE
ADS/TECH
BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE/BIG DATA

LESSONSFROMTHEINTERNETFRIDGE
1999 2007 20112010 20242006 20082001

CONTENTMUSTSERVE 
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220 142,000
100 63,000
150 131,000
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NETWORK LIBRARY FAN CREATED CONTENT

35
90 52MILLION
COPIES
SOLD
LANGUAGES
PUBLISHED
FASTEST-SELLING
PAPERBACK
OF ALL TIME
$

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